Analysis to determine cost-effectiveness of procalcitonin-guided antibiotic use in adult patients with suspected bacterial infection and sepsis

Cost-effectiveness of Procalcitonin (PCT) guidance for antibiotics management of adult sepsis patients in the Egyptian context

BACKGROUND

Sepsis, which is described as a life-threatening organ malfunction brought on by an unbalanced host response to infection, continues to be a significant healthcare issue that affects millions of individuals each year. It is well-known that sepsis can affect anyone around the world, but the employed survey results showed that there are significant regional variations in sepsis incidence as well as mortality rates. Although there are no definite estimates for Egypt, the highest rates were in Low-Middle-Income Countries (LMICs). Procalcitonin (PCT) is a host response marker with high specificity for bacterial infections, unlike C-reactive protein (CRP) or white blood cell count (WBC), which represent the traditional methods of detecting inflammation and infection. Its dynamic profile and superior prognostic prediction make it invaluable for assessing response to antibiotic treatment and improving clinical care for sepsis patients. Our main purpose was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of PCT guidance compared to no PCT guidance in the antibiotic management of adult sepsis patients according to the Egyptian context.

METHODS

We developed a decision tree model to compare the PCT-guided antibiotic management duration endpoint versus the conventional laboratory culture-based antibiotic management in adult sepsis patients. We employed the"Delphi technique" to reach a satisfactory consensus regarding the resources attributed to each compared alternative. The primary measure of the study was the additional cost associated with each Quality-Adjusted Life Year (QALY) gained by sepsis survivors over a one-year time horizon. Base-case, deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted using TreeAge, Software.

RESULTS

Base-case analysis showed no dominance for either alternative and resulted in an Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) value of 297,783.57 Egyptian Pounds per Quality Adjusted Life Year (L.E/QALY) in favor of the PCT guidance alternative, Deterministic sensitivity analysis revealed that the highest impact magnitudes on ICER reside with seven input parameters, the top two parameters that had the most significant influence were the costs of ICU stay with and without PCT guidance. The CEAC showed a slightly higher probability in terms of acceptability in favor of the no PCT guidance choice along the WTP scale till reaching equal probabilities at the willingness-to-pay (WTP) value point of 390,000 (state currency) after which the - probability supports the PCT guidance choice.

CONCLUSIONS

In the Egyptian context, PCT guidance has no cost-effectiveness domination over no PCT guidance in Antibiotics management for adult sepsis patients. This may be attributed to the high cost of PCT investigation that shall be resolved by standardization of its cost when applying the approach of DRG cost packages.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of procalcitonin and lung ultrasonography guided antibiotic prescriptions in primary care

Antimicrobial resistance comes with high morbidity and mortality burden, and ultimately high impact on healthcare and social costs. Efficient strategies are needed to limit antibiotic overuse. This paper investigates the cost-effectiveness of testing patients with lower respiratory tract infection with procalcitonin, either at the point-of-care only or combined with lung ultrasonography. These diagnostic tools help detect the presence of bacterial pneumonia, guiding prescription decisions. The clinical responses of these strategies were studied in the primary care setting. Evidence is needed on their cost-effectiveness. We used data from a cluster-randomized bi-centric clinical trial conducted in Switzerland and estimated patient-level costs using data on resource use to which we applied Swiss tariffs. Combining the incremental costs of the two strategies and the reduction in the 28-days antibiotic prescription rate (APR) compared to usual care, we calculated Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratios (ICER). We also used the Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Curve as an analytical decision-making tool. The robustness of the findings is ensured by Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis and scenario analysis. In the base case scenario, the ICER compared to usual care is $2.3 per percentage point (pp) reduction in APR for the procalcitonin group, and $4.4 for procalcitonin-ultrasound combined. Furthermore, we found that for a willingness to pay per patient of more than $2 per pp reduction in the APR, procalcitonin is the strategy with the highest probability to be cost-effective. Our findings suggest that testing patients with respiratory symptoms with procalcitonin to guide antibiotic prescription in the primary care setting represents good value for money.

Role of biomarkers in antimicrobial stewardship: physicians' perspectives

Biomarkers are playing an increasingly important role in antimicrobial stewardship. Their applications have included use in algorithms that evaluate suspected bacterial infections or provide guidance on when to start or stop antibiotic therapy, or when therapy should be repeated over a short period (6-12 h). Diseases in which biomarkers are used as complementary tools to determine the initiation of antibiotics include sepsis, lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI), COVID-19, acute heart failure, infectious endocarditis, acute coronary syndrome, and acute pancreatitis. In addition, cut-off values of biomarkers have been used to inform the decision to discontinue antibiotics for diseases such as sepsis, LRTI, and febrile neutropenia. The biomarkers used in antimicrobial stewardship include procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP), presepsin, and interleukin (IL)-1β/IL-8. The cut-off values vary depending on the disease and study, with a range of 0.25-1.0 ng/mL for PCT and 8-50 mg/L for CRP. Biomarkers can complement clinical diagnosis, but further studies of microbiological biomarkers are needed to ensure appropriate antibiotic selection.

Clinical utility of procalcitonin in implementation of procalcitonin-guided antibiotic stewardship in the South-East Asia and India: evidence and consensus-based recommendations

INTRODUCTION

The South-East Asian (SEA) region and India are highly susceptible to antibiotic resistance, which is caused due to lack of antimicrobial stewardship (AMS) knowledge, uncontrolled use of antibiotics, and poor infection control. Nonadherence to national/local guidelines, developed to combat antimicrobial resistance, is a major concern. A virtual advisory board was conducted to understand the current AMS standards and challenges in its implementation in these regions.

AREAS COVERED

Procalcitonin (PCT)-guided antibiotic use was discussed in various clinical conditions across initiation, management, and discontinuation stages. Most experts strongly recommended using PCT-driven antibiotic therapy among patients with lower respiratory tract infections, sepsis, and COVID-19. However, additional research is required to understand the optimal use of PCT in patients with organ transplantation and cancer patients with febrile neutropenia. Implementation of the solutions discussed in this review can help improve PCT utilization in guiding AMS in these regions and reducing challenges.

EXPERT OPINION

Experts strongly support the inclusion of PCT in AMS. They believe that PCT in combination with other clinical data to guide antibiotic therapy may result in more personalized and precise targeted antibiotic treatment. The future of PCT in antibiotic treatment is promising and may result in effective utilization of this biomarker.

Compliance with a Procalcitonin-Based Protocol in Patients with Ventilation-Associated Pneumonia: An Observational, Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Procalcitonin (PCT) protocols to guide antibiotic treatment for ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in the intensive care unit aim at reducing antibiotic exposure. Our study goal was to measure compliance with a PCT protocol for VAP and to determine the associated variables.

METHODS

From 2017 to 2021, we conducted a retrospective, monocentric study including patients treated for VAP. In our PCT protocol, PCT was measured at the initiation of antibiotic treatment and every 48 h until treatment completion; antibiotics were stopped if PCT decreased by more than 80% from its highest value or fell below 0.5 ng/mL. We assessed the compliance with the PCT protocol and compared the compliant and noncompliant groups.

RESULTS

Among the 177 included patients, compliance with the PCT protocol was assessed at 58%. Noncompliance was due to lack of PCT measurements in 76% of cases. Compliance was higher in the medical patients (p = 0.04) and in those admitted for SARS-CoV-2 (p = 0.02). Compliance regarding the interruption of antibiotic therapy based on PCT was lower on weekends and holidays (p = 0.01). Outcomes did not differ according to compliance.

CONCLUSION

This study assessed real-life compliance with the PCT protocol to monitor antibiotic treatment for VAP. Improving the measurement of PCT at the bedside would increase the rate.

Clinical Utility of Procalcitonin on Antibiotic Stewardship: A Narrative Review

Procalcitonin (PCT) was discovered as a useful marker for bacterial infection. Following its discovery, there have been a substantial number of clinical studies conducted to evaluate the presence of bacterial infections, and to guide antibiotic treatment by the stratified levels of PCT. Clinical evidence suggests that antibiotic treatment by PCT-guided antibiotic stewardship has been associated with a reduction in antibiotic usage without an increase in adverse outcomes. The use of PCT was approved by the Food and Drug Administration in the United States of America in 2017 to guide antibiotic treatment in sepsis and lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs). In Korea, the use of PCT for sepsis and for pneumonia was approved in 2015 and 2022, respectively. This review will discuss the clinical utility of PCT on antibiotic stewardship in the management of sepsis and LRTIs including pneumonia.

Practical Concerns about the Metrics and Methods of Financial Outcome Measurement in Antimicrobial Stewardship Programs: A Narrative Review

Emerging pathogens in the meantime of paucity of new antibiotics discovery, put antimicrobial stewardship in the center of attention, to preserve the existing antimicrobial effect. Implementation of antimicrobial stewardship programs, however, needs approval from healthcare system managers. The approval process can be enhanced, when the beneficial effects of stewardship programs are supported by both clinical and financial evidence. Focusing on the financial outcome evaluation, the practitioners who run the stewardship programs, may choose certain methods and metrics, depending on the clinical setting scale and type, available human resources, and budget. The wise selection of the methods and metrics warrants a comprehensive insight of the existing methods and metrics, deployed by typically published works that set good examples to follow. This review is an attempt to provide such an insight along with typical relevant examples for each metric and method.

Prognostic Value of Serum Procalcitonin Based Model in Moderate to Severe Traumatic Brain Injury Patients

Objective

Procalcitonin (PCT) is an acknowledged marker of systemic inflammatory response. Previous studies have not reached agreement on the association between serum PCT and outcome of traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients. We designed this study to confirm the prognostic value of PCT in isolated TBI and those with extracranial injury, respectively.

Methods

Patients hospitalized in our hospital for moderate-to-severe TBI between March 2015 and December 2019 were included. Logistic regression analysis was performed to validate the association between PCT and in-hospital mortality in these patients. AUC (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve) of PCT and constructed model were calculated and compared.

Results

Among the included 211 patients, 81 patients suffered a poor outcome, with a mortality rate of 38.4%. Non-survivors had a higher level of serum PCT (2.73 vs 0.72, p<0.001) and lower GCS (5 vs 7, p<0.001) on admission than survivors. AUC of single PCT for predicting mortality in isolated TBI and those with extracranial injury were 0.767 and 0.553, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression showed that GCS (OR=0.744, p=0.008), glucose (OR=1.236, p<0.001), cholesterol (OR=0.526, p=0.002), and PCT (OR=1.107, p=0.022) were independently associated with mortality of isolated TBI. The AUC of the prognostic model composed of GCS, glucose, cholesterol, and PCT was 0.868 in isolated TBI.

Conclusion

PCT is an efficient marker of outcome in isolated moderate-to-severe TBI but not those with extracranial injury. A prognostic model incorporating PCT is useful for clinicians to make early risk stratification for isolated TBI.

Pancreatic stone protein point-of-care testing can reduce healthcare expenditure in sepsis

BACKGROUND

Sepsis is a life-threatening organ dysfunction in response to infection. Early recognition and rapid treatment are critical to patient outcomes and cost savings, but sepsis is difficult to diagnose because of its non-specific symptoms. Biomarkers such as pancreatic stone protein (PSP) offer rapid results with greater sensitivity and specificity than standard laboratory tests.

METHODS

This study developed a decision tree model to compare a rapid PSP test to standard of care in the emergency department (ED) and intensive care unit (ICU) to diagnose patients with suspected sepsis. Key model parameters included length of hospital and ICU stay, readmission due to infection, cost of sepsis testing, length of antibiotic treatment, antibiotic resistance, and clostridium difficile infections. Model inputs were determined by review of sepsis literature.

RESULTS

The rapid PSP test was found to reduce costs by $1688 per patient in the ED and $3315 per patient in the ICU compared to standard of care. Cost reductions were primarily driven by the specificity of PSP in the ED and the sensitivity of PSP in the ICU.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of the model indicate that PSP testing is cost saving compared to standard of care in diagnosis of sepsis. The abundance of sepsis cases in the ED and ICU make these findings important in the clinical field and further support the potential of sensitive and specific markers of sepsis to not only improve patient outcomes but also reduce healthcare expenditures.

Antimicrobial Stewardship Using Biomarkers: Accumulating Evidence for the Critically Ill

This review aims to summarize current progress in the management of critically ill, using biomarkers as guidance for antimicrobial treatment with a focus on antimicrobial stewardship. Accumulated evidence from randomized clinical trials (RCTs) and observational studies in adults for the biomarker-guided antimicrobial treatment of critically ill (mainly sepsis and COVID-19 patients) has been extensively searched and is provided. Procalcitonin (PCT) is the best studied biomarker; in the majority of randomized clinical trials an algorithm of discontinuation of antibiotics with decreasing PCT over serial measurements has been proven safe and effective to reduce length of antimicrobial treatment, antibiotic-associated adverse events and long-term infectious complications like infections by multidrug-resistant organisms and Clostridioides difficile. Other biomarkers, such as C-reactive protein and presepsin, are already being tested as guidance for shorter antimicrobial treatment, but more research is needed. Current evidence suggests that biomarkers, mainly procalcitonin, should be implemented in antimicrobial stewardship programs even in the COVID-19 era, when, although bacterial coinfection rate is low, antimicrobial overconsumption remains high.

Diagnostic Testing for Sepsis: A Systematic Review of Economic Evaluations

Introduction: Sepsis is a serious and expensive healthcare problem, when caused by a multidrug-resistant (MDR) bacteria mortality and costs increase. A reduction in the time until the start of treatment improves clinical results. The objective is to perform a systematic review of economic evaluations to analyze the cost-effectiveness of diagnostic methods in sepsis and to draw lessons on the methods used to incorporate antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in these studies. Material and Methods: the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines were followed, and the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting standards (CHEERS) checklist was used to extract the information from the texts. Results: A total of 16 articles were found. A decision model was performed in 14. We found two ways to handle resistance while modelling: the test could identify infections caused by a resistant pathogen or resistance-related inputs, or outcomes were included (the incidence of AMR in sepsis patients, antibiotic use, and infection caused by resistant bacterial pathogens). Conclusion: Using a diagnostic technique to detect sepsis early on is more cost-effective than standard care. Setting a direct relationship between the implementation of a testing strategy and the reduction of AMR cases, we made several assumptions about the efficacy of antibiotics and the length-of-stay of patients.

A Veterans' Healthcare Administration (VHA) antibiotic stewardship intervention to improve outpatient antibiotic use for acute respiratory infections: A cost-effectiveness analysis

OBJECTIVES

The Core Elements of Outpatient Antibiotic Stewardship provides a framework to improve antibiotic use, but cost-effectiveness data on implementation of outpatient antibiotic stewardship interventions are limited. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of Core Element implementation in the outpatient setting.

METHODS

An economic simulation model from the health-system perspective was developed for patients presenting to outpatient settings with uncomplicated acute respiratory tract infections (ARI). Effectiveness was measured as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Cost and utility parameters for antibiotic treatment, adverse drug events (ADEs), and healthcare utilization were obtained from the literature. Probabilities for antibiotic treatment and appropriateness, ADEs, hospitalization, and return ARI visits were estimated from 16,712 and 51,275 patient visits in intervention and control sites during the pre- and post-implementation periods, respectively. Data for materials and labor to perform the stewardship activities were used to estimate intervention cost. We performed a one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) using 1,000,000 second-order Monte Carlo simulations on input parameters.

RESULTS

The proportion of ARI patient-visits with antibiotics prescribed in intervention sites was lower (62% vs 74%) and appropriate treatment higher (51% vs 41%) after implementation, compared to control sites. The estimated intervention cost over a 2-year period was $133,604 (2018 US dollars). The intervention had lower mean costs ($528 vs $565) and similar mean QALYs (0.869 vs 0.868) per patient compared to usual care. In the PSA, the intervention was dominant in 63% of iterations.

CONCLUSIONS

Implementation of the CDC Core Elements in the outpatient setting was a cost-effective strategy.

Blood Procalcitonin Level as a Diagnostic Marker of Pediatric Bacterial Meningitis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Early diagnosis and treatment of bacterial meningitis in children are essential, due to the high mortality and morbidity rates. However, lumbar puncture is often difficult, and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) culture takes time. This meta-analysis aims to determine the diagnostic accuracy of blood procalcitonin for detecting bacterial meningitis in children. We conducted a systematic search on electronic databases to identify relevant studies. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) were calculated, and a hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the curve (AUC) were determined. Eighteen studies with 1462 children were included in the analysis. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and the DOR of blood procalcitonin for detecting bacterial meningitis were 0.87 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.78–0.93); 0.85 (95% CI: 0.75–0.91), and 35.85 (95% CI: 10.68–120.28), respectively. The AUC for blood procalcitonin was 0.921. Blood procalcitonin also showed higher diagnostic accuracy for detecting bacterial meningitis than other conventional biomarkers, including serum C-reactive protein and leukocyte count, CSF leukocyte and neutrophil count, and CSF protein and glucose levels. Blood procalcitonin can be a good supplemental biomarker with high diagnostic accuracy in detecting bacterial meningitis in children.

Clinical utility of procalcitonin in febrile infants younger than 3 months of age visiting a pediatric emergency room: a retrospective single-center study

BACKGROUND

Fever in infants under 90 days of age is highly likely to be caused by a severe bacterial infection (SBI) and it accounts for a large number of patients visiting the pediatric emergency room. In order to predict the bacterial infection and reduce unnecessary treatment, the classic classification system is based on white blood cell (WBC) count, urinalysis, and x-ray, and it is modified and applied at each center by incorporating recently studied biomarkers such as c-reactive protein (CRP) or procalcitonin (PCT). This study analyzed the usefulness of PCT in predicting SBI when applied along with the existing classification system, including CRP, among infants less than 90 days old who visited with a fever at a single institution pediatric emergency center.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of patients younger than 3 months of age who presented with fever at the Seoul Asan Medical Center pediatric emergency room between July 2017 and October 2018.

RESULTS

A total of 317 patients were analyzed, and 61 were diagnosed with SBI, among which urinary tract infection (UTI) accounted for the largest proportion (55/61, 90.2%). There were differences in WBC, neutrophil proportion, CRP, and PCT between the SBI group and the non-SBI group, and the AUC values of WBC, CRP, and PCT were 0.651, 0.804, and 0.746, respectively. When using the cut-off values of CRP and PCTs as 2.0 mg/dL and 0.3 ng/mL, respectively, the sensitivity and specificity for SBI were 49.2/89.5, and 54.1/87.5, respectively. WBC, CRP, and PCT were statistically significant for predicting SBI in multivariate analysis (odds ratios 1.066, 1.377, and 1.291, respectively). When the subjects were classified using the existing classification criteria, WBC and CRP, the positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) were 29.3 and 88.7%, respectively, and when PCT was added, the PPV and NPV were 30.7 and 92%, respectively, both increased.

CONCLUSION

PCT is useful for predicting SBI in children aged 3 months or less who visit the emergency room with a fever. It is useful as a single biomarker, and when used in conjunction with classic biomarkers, its diagnostic accuracy is further increased.

A real-world assessment of procalcitonin combined with antimicrobial stewardship in a community ICU

PURPOSE

We evaluated the feasibility and impact of PCT-guided antibiotic duration combined with an established antibiotic stewardship program (ASP) in a community hospital intensive care unit (ICU).

METHODS

We implemented daily PCT levels for ICU patients receiving antibiotics. Our protocol recommended stopping antibiotic therapy if PCT met an absolute or relative stopping threshold. We evaluated the adherence to stopping criteria within 48 h, antibiotic use [days of therapy (DOT) per 1000 patient-days (PD)], length of stay and ICU-mortality. We performed interrupted time series analysis to compare 24 months before and 12 months after implementation.

RESULTS

A total of 297 antibiotic courses were monitored with PCT in 217 patients. Protocol adherence was 34% (absolute threshold: 39%, relative threshold: 12%). Antibiotic use pre-PCT was 935 DOTs/1000 PDs and post-PCT was 817 DOTs/1000 PDs (RR_adj 0.73, 95% CI: 0.62 to 0.86). No statistically significant changes in clinical outcomes were noted.

CONCLUSION

In the context of an established ASP in a community hospital ICU, PCT monitoring was feasible and associated with an adjusted overall decrease of 27% in antibiotic use with no adverse impact on clinical outcomes. Incorporating PCT testing to guide antibiotic duration can be successful if integrated into workflow and paired with ASP guidance.

The use of procalcitonin for the management of sepsis in Internal Medicine wards: current evidence

Procalcitonin (PCT) is a circulating polypeptide produced in response to bacterial infections. Studies conducted in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) setting have demonstrated its utility as a biomarker of bacterial infection and sepsis. Thus, PCT is widely used to distinguish between sepsis and SIRS, and to guide antibiotic therapy. At present sepsis represents a frequent diagnosis among patients admitted to internal medicine (IM) departments. Basing on the knowledge derived from ICU studies, the use of PCT has become routine in non-intensive wards, contributing to improve the management of sepsis. However, some differences between the two populations of patients - the IM being older, affected by multiple chronic comorbidities and lacking of invasive monitoring - could limit the generalizability of ICU results. Most of the studies on PCT conducted in the IM setting have focused on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pneumonia and sepsis. Although PCT represents one of the best biomarker available in routine clinical practice, there are uncertainties on the optimal cut-offs to be used for starting or discontinuing antibiotic treatment in patients with suspected bacterial infection or sepsis, for predicting outcome and on the role of PCT variations during antibiotic treatment. Moreover, several diseases can produce an elevation of PCT levels, thus producing false positive results. This represents a narrative review summarizing current evidences on PCT for the management of sepsis in an Internal Medicine wards, highlighting differences with ICU, with a special focus on the role of PCT variations as predictor of outcomes in non-ICU wards.