Correlation between tumor response to first-line chemotherapy and prognosis in advanced gastric cancer patients

Correlation of multiple endpoints in the first-line chemotherapy of advanced gastric cancer: Pooled analysis of individual patient data from Japanese Phase III trials

BACKGROUND

Individual-level surrogates are important for management in patients treated for advanced gastric cancer (AGC). This study aimed to comprehensively investigate the correlation of multiple clinical endpoints in the first-line chemotherapy of AGC.

METHODS

Individual patient data (IPD) were collected from four Japanese Phase III trials comparing S-1-based first-line chemotherapies (SPIRITS, START, GC0301/TOP-002, and G-SOX trials). Patients without Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST)-based radiological assessments were excluded. Spearman's rank correlation coefficient was tested for correlation among overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and postprogression survival (PPS). OS, PFS, and PPS were compared between responders (best response: complete response or partial response) and nonresponders (best response: stable disease or progressive disease).

RESULTS

The study included a total of 1492 patients. Eighty percent of the patients (n = 1190) received subsequent chemotherapies after the failure of each trial's treatment protocol. PFS moderately correlated with OS (Spearman correlation coefficient = 0.66, p < 0.005), whereas the correlation between PPS and OS was strong (Spearman correlation coefficient = 0.87, p < 0.005). Responders had significantly longer OS (median, 17.7 vs. 9.1 months, p < 0.005), PFS (median, 6.9 vs. 2.8 months, p < 0.005), and PPS (median, 10.5 vs. 6.0 months, p < 0.005) than nonresponders.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results reacknowledged the mild surrogacy of PFS and importance of postprogression treatments in patients with AGC receiving first-line chemotherapy. Consistent longer survival outcomes in better RECIST categories suggested that tumor response might be a useful individual-level surrogate.

Sex and gender disparities in patients with advanced gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma: data from the AGAMENON-SEOM registry

Background

Recommendations for research articles include the use of the term sex when reporting biological factors and gender for identities or psychosocial or cultural factors. There is an increasing awareness of incorporating the effect of sex and gender on cancer outcomes. Thus, these types of analyses for advanced gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma are relevant.

Patients and methods

Patients with advanced gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma from the Spanish AGAMENON-SEOM registry treated with first-line combination chemotherapy were selected. Epidemiology, characteristics of the disease, treatment selection, and results were examined according to sex.

Results

This analysis included 3274 advanced gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma patients treated with combination chemotherapy between 2008 and 2021: 2313 (70.7%) men and 961 (29.3%) women. Tumors in females were more frequently HER2-negative (67.8% versus 60.8%; P < 0.0001), grade 3 (45.4% versus 36.8%; P < 0.001), diffuse (43.3% versus 26.5%; P < 0.0001), and signet ring cell histology (40.5 versus 23.9%; P < 0.0001). Peritoneal spread was more common in women (58.6% versus 38.9%; P < 0.0001), while liver burden was lower (58.9% versus 71.1%; P < 0.0001). There were no significant differences in treatment recommendation. Treatment doses, density, and duration were comparable between sexes. Women experienced more diarrhea (46% versus 37%; P < 0.0001), neutropenia (51% versus 43%; P < 0.0001), and anemia (62% versus 57%; P < 0.0001). After a median 59.6-month follow-up [95% confidence interval (CI) 54.5-70.8], there were no statistically significant differences between the sexes in progression-free survival [6.21 months (95% CI 5.8-6.5 months) versus 6.08 months (95% CI 5.8-6.3 months); log-rank test, χ² = 0.1, 1 df, P = 0.8] or in overall survival [10.6 months (95% CI 9.8-11.1 months) versus 10.9 months (95% CI 10.4-11.4 months); log-rank test: χ² = 0.6, 1 df, P = 0.5].

Conclusion

This sex analysis of patients with advanced gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma from the AGAMENON-SEOM registry receiving first-line polychemotherapy found no differences in survival. Although women had worse prognostic histopathology, metastatic disease pattern, and greater toxicity, treatment allocation and compliance were equivalent.

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Sex and gender are determinants of health inequalities and may affect treatments, tolerability, and therapeutic outcomes.

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According to sex, subtle biological and clinical differences exist in advanced gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma.

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Women with advanced gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma experience greater toxicity with therapeutic results comparable with men.

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Stratification and analysis by sex in studies of gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma should be considered.

Modelling approaches for histology-independent cancer drugs to inform NICE appraisals: a systematic review and decision-framework

BACKGROUND

The first histology-independent marketing authorisation in Europe was granted in 2019. This was the first time that a cancer treatment was approved based on a common biomarker rather than the location in the body at which the tumour originated. This research aims to explore the implications for National Institute for Health and Care Excellence appraisals.

METHODS

Targeted reviews were undertaken to determine the type of evidence that is likely to be available at the point of marketing authorisation and the analyses required to support National Institute for Health and Care Excellence appraisals. Several challenges were identified concerning the design and conduct of trials for histology-independent products, the greater levels of heterogeneity within the licensed population and the use of surrogate end points. We identified approaches to address these challenges by reviewing key statistical literature that focuses on the design and analysis of histology-independent trials and by undertaking a systematic review to evaluate the use of response end points as surrogate outcomes for survival end points. We developed a decision framework to help to inform approval and research policies for histology-independent products. The framework explored the uncertainties and risks associated with different approval policies, including the role of further data collection, pricing schemes and stratified decision-making.

RESULTS

We found that the potential for heterogeneity in treatment effects, across tumour types or other characteristics, is likely to be a central issue for National Institute for Health and Care Excellence appraisals. Bayesian hierarchical methods may serve as a useful vehicle to assess the level of heterogeneity across tumours and to estimate the pooled treatment effects for each tumour, which can inform whether or not the assumption of homogeneity is reasonable. Our review suggests that response end points may not be reliable surrogates for survival end points. However, a surrogate-based modelling approach, which captures all relevant uncertainty, may be preferable to the use of immature survival data. Several additional sources of heterogeneity were identified as presenting potential challenges to National Institute for Health and Care Excellence appraisal, including the cost of testing, baseline risk, quality of life and routine management costs. We concluded that a range of alternative approaches will be required to address different sources of heterogeneity to support National Institute for Health and Care Excellence appraisals. An exemplar case study was developed to illustrate the nature of the assessments that may be required.

CONCLUSIONS

Adequately designed and analysed basket studies that assess the homogeneity of outcomes and allow borrowing of information across baskets, where appropriate, are recommended. Where there is evidence of heterogeneity in treatment effects and estimates of cost-effectiveness, consideration should be given to optimised recommendations. Routine presentation of the scale of the consequences of heterogeneity and decision uncertainty may provide an important additional approach to the assessments specified in the current National Institute for Health and Care Excellence methods guide.

FURTHER RESEARCH

Further exploration of Bayesian hierarchical methods could help to inform decision-makers on whether or not there is sufficient evidence of homogeneity to support pooled analyses. Further research is also required to determine the appropriate basis for apportioning genomic testing costs where there are multiple targets and to address the challenges of uncontrolled Phase II studies, including the role and use of surrogate end points.

FUNDING

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Evidence Synthesis programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 25, No. 76. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

A systematic review of meta-analyses assessing the validity of tumour response endpoints as surrogates for progression-free or overall survival in cancer

BACKGROUND

Tumour response endpoints, such as overall response rate (ORR) and complete response (CR), are increasingly used in cancer trials. However, the validity of response-based surrogates is unclear. This systematic review summarises meta-analyses assessing the association between response-based outcomes and overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) or time-to-progression (TTP).

METHODS

Five databases were searched to March 2019. Meta-analyses reporting correlation or regression between response-based outcomes and OS, PFS or TTP were summarised.

RESULTS

The systematic review included 63 studies across 20 cancer types, most commonly non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), colorectal cancer (CRC) and breast cancer. The strength of association between ORR or CR and either PFS or OS varied widely between and within studies, with no clear pattern by cancer type. The association between ORR and OS appeared weaker and more variable than that between ORR and PFS, both for associations between absolute endpoints and associations between treatment effects.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review suggests that response-based endpoints, such as ORR and CR, may not be reliable surrogates for PFS or OS. Where it is necessary to use tumour response to predict treatment effects on survival outcomes, it is important to fully reflect all statistical uncertainty in the surrogate relationship.

Risk factors and prognosis of bone metastases in newly diagnosed gastric cancer

Aim: To predict the occurrence of bone metastases and prognosis among patients with gastric cancer on a population level. Materials & methods: Data were obtained from the SEER database (2010-2016). Multivariable logistic regression and multivariable Cox regression were used to determine factors that predict the occurrence of bone metastasis and prognosis. Results: Cardia cancer, younger age, white race, poor differentiation grade, higher N stage, diffuse-type were positively associated with the presence of bone metastasis. For gastric cancer patients with bone metastasis, the median survival time was longer (9.0 months) among patients with surgery of primary site compared with those without surgery (3.0 months). Conclusion: According to the results of risk assessment, clinical efforts should be targeted to focus on screening high-risk patients.

CISD2 enhances the chemosensitivity of gastric cancer through the enhancement of 5-FU-induced apoptosis and the inhibition of autophagy by AKT/mTOR pathway

Gastric cancer (GC) is a prevalent upper gastrointestinal tumor characterized by high morbidity and mortality due to imperfect screening systems and the rapid development of resistance to 5‐fluorouracil (5‐FU). CDGSH iron sulfur domain 2 (CISD2) has been recently regarded as a candidate oncogene in several types of tumors. It is, therefore, necessary to investigate its biological function and clinical significance in gastric cancer. In this study, the down‐regulated expression level of CISD2 in GC compared with adjacent normal tissues was evaluated by quantitative RT‐PCR and Western blotting. An immunohistochemical analysis indicated that CISD2 expression in GC was significantly correlated with age (P = 0.002), Lauren's classification (P = 0.001), and differentiation (P = 0.049). Two cell lines, MKN1 and BGC823, were used to analyze the role of CISD2 in gastric carcinogenesis and response to 5‐FU through CCK‐8 assays, the RT‐CES system, Transwell assays, flow cytometry, and confocal fluorescence microscopy. The overexpression of CISD2 resulted in reduced cellular growth and proliferation, inhibition of metastatic ability, and increased apoptosis. 5‐FU treatment increased endogenous as well as exogenous overexpression of CISD2 in GC cells. Further investigation revealed that CISD2 enhanced sensitivity to 5‐FU via an increase in apoptosis and inhibition of protective autophagy through the activation of the AKT/mTOR pathway. In conclusion, CISD2 is down‐regulated in gastric cancer, and its effects on the inhibition of cellular proliferation, metastatic ability, and increased chemotherapy sensitivity are mediated by antagonism to 5‐FU‐induced autophagy through the AKT/mTOR pathway.

Objective response rate is a possible surrogate endpoint for survival in patients with advanced, recurrent ovarian cancer

OBJECTIVE

Evaluate literature to assess response rate as a surrogate endpoint of survival in ovarian cancer (OC).

METHODS

Systematic review consistent with PRISMA criteria, identified randomized, controlled trials reporting overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and objective response rate (ORR) in recurrent OC. MEDLINE® and Embase® searches (year 2000-March 23, 2015) were augmented by bibliographic screening. Proposed surrogate measures (independent variables) were ORR and disease control rate. True clinical outcomes (dependent variables) were median OS and PFS. Analyses were performed on unweighted and weighted data using correlation analysis, linear regression, and surrogate threshold effect (STE). Smaller STE indicates greater predictive precision with magnitude of STE dependent on variance of prediction.

RESULTS

Thirty-nine studies were included for review, representing 9223 platinum-sensitive and resistant patients. Objective response rate (r=0.82; P<0.001) was a better predictor than disease control rate (r=0.58; P<0.001) and strongly correlated with PFS (r=0.85; P<0.0001). Weighted-regression analysis demonstrated that for each 10% increase in ORR, PFS increased by 1.20months and OS by 2.83months. Regression analysis of treatment effects (odds ratio of response, hazard ratio of survival) suggests that a 10% increase in odds ratio of ORR would result in 2.5% reduction in the hazard ratio of OS. Based on weighted data, STE indicated that an ORR of ≥1% is needed to achieve nonzero OS benefit.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review supports ORR as a possible surrogate clinical trial endpoint for OS in recurrent OC with at least second-line therapy.

Phase II/III study of second-line chemotherapy comparing irinotecan-alone with S-1 plus irinotecan in advanced gastric cancer refractory to first-line treatment with S-1 (JACCRO GC-05)

BACKGROUND

In Japan, S-1 plus cisplatin has been used as first-line therapy for advanced gastric cancer (AGC). Patients with no response to first-line treatment with S-1 often receive a taxane-alone or irinotecan-alone as second-line treatment. However, second-line treatment with S-1 plus irinotecan is widely used in patients with AGC resistant to first-line S-1-based chemotherapy. The goal of this trial was to determine whether the consecutive use of S-1 plus irinotecan improves survival when compared with irinotecan-alone as second-line treatment for AGC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients who had disease progression during first-line S-1-based chemotherapy were randomly assigned to receive S-1 plus irinotecan or irinotecan-alone. The S-1 plus irinotecan group received oral S-1 (40-60 mg/m(2)) on days 1-14 and intravenous irinotecan (150 mg/m(2)) on day 1 of a 21-day cycle. The irinotecan-alone group received the same dose of irinotecan intravenously on day 1 of a 14-day cycle. The primary end point was overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

From February 2008 to May 2011, a total of 304 patients were enrolled. The median OS was 8.8 months in the S-1 plus irinotecan group and 9.5 months in the irinotecan-alone group. This difference was not significant (hazard ratio for death, 0.99; 95% confidence interval 0.78-1.25; P = 0.92). Grade 3 or higher toxicities were more common in the S-1 plus irinotecan group than in the irinotecan-alone group.

CONCLUSION

The consecutive use of S-1 plus irinotecan is not recommended as second-line treatment in patients who are refractory to S-1-based first-line chemotherapy. ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT00639327.

miRNA27a is a biomarker for predicting chemosensitivity and prognosis in metastatic or recurrent gastric cancer

We previously identified five miRNAs (miR-1, miR-20a, miR-27a, miR-34a, and miR-423-5p) that are up-regulated in gastric cancer. The goal of this study was to investigate the value of these miRNAs as potential biomarkers for predicting chemosensitivity and prognosis in metastatic or recurrent gastric cancer patients who received first-line chemotherapy. A total of 82 patients with metastatic or recurrent GC receiving first-line chemotherapy were included in our study. The expression levels of the five miRNAs were evaluated using hydrolysis probe-based stem-loop quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) in individual samples before first-line chemotherapy. Patients receiving first-line chemotherapy with fluoropyrimidine combined with oxaliplatin or paclitaxel were chosen for the chemosensitivity analysis. The relationships between expression of the five-miRNAs and clinicopathological parameters, response to chemotherapy and prognosis were analyzed statistically. Patients with higher miRNA1 expression levels tended to have a higher rate of liver metastasis, and higher miRNA34a expression levels occurred more frequently in males (P = 0.022). The expression of the remaining three miRNAs showed no obvious relationship to any of the clinicopathological features. The partial response rates of the patients with high miRNA1 expression and low miRNA1 expression were 11.1% and 23.1%, respectively (P = 0.048). Similar results were observed for miRNA27a (the partial response rate was 7.7% vs. 25.9%, P = 0.018). Patients with up-regulated miRNA27a expression had a significantly worse overall survival (OS) than patients with lower miRNA27a expression (P = 0.024). In patients with MRGC, miRNA27a is a potential biomarker for predicting resistance to fluoropyrimidine-based chemotherapy and a novel prognostic marker for gastric cancer.

Response to first-line chemotherapy of docetaxel combined with platinum predicting the prognosis and subsequent treatment of patients with non-small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to confirm the association between the response to docetaxel combined with platinum as first-line chemotherapy and prognosis and subsequent treatment for patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

This study enrolled 224 patients with NSCLC diagnosed at our institution between January 2001 and August 2012. All patients received more than two cycles of docetaxel combined with platinum as first-line chemotherapy and were reassessed after two cycles. The association between the response to first-line treatment and prognosis and subsequent treatment were statistically analyzed.

RESULTS

Among the 224 patients, 70 (31.25%) achieved partial response (PR), 90 (40.18%) stable disease (SD), and 64 (28.57%) progressive disease (PD). The overall survival (OS) of NSCLC patients with PR, SD and PR+SD was significantly longer than those with PD (P = 0.043; P = 0.000; P = 0.001). However, no significant difference was observed in OS between patients with PR and SD (P = 0.174). Cox regression analysis found treatment response was an independent prognostic factor (hazard ratio = 1.615, 95% confidence interval: 1.121-2.327). Two independent non-parametric sample tests showed that patients with a good response to first-line treatment had received further treatment cycles and treatment lines (P = 0.000; P = 0.000).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated that the response to docetaxel in combination with platinum as a first-line chemotherapy was an independent prognostic factor for patients with NSCLC. In addition, patients with a good response to first-line treatment had received further treatment cycles and treatment lines.

Polychemotherapy or gemcitabine in advanced pancreatic cancer: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Gemcitabine monotherapy is the cornerstone of treatment for advanced pancreatic cancer. To date, no clear survival benefit has been found when combination chemotherapy has been compared with gemcitabine alone, except in a few studies. This meta-analysis compared the efficacy of polychemotherapy with gemcitabine alone in advanced pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Randomised trials comparing combination chemotherapy with gemcitabine alone were identified through electronic searches of PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. Overall survival, reported as the hazard ratio at the 95% confidence interval, was the primary outcome measure.

RESULTS

29 trials (19 phase III and 10 small randomised trials) that included 8421 patients were identified. Overall, polychemotherapy significantly improved overall survival (hazard ratio=0.87; 95% CI, 0.81-0.93; P<0.0001), progression-free survival (hazard ratio=0.77; 95% CI, 0.70-0.84; P<0.00001), and response rate (risk ratio=1.71; 95% CI, 1.42-2.07; P<0.00001) compared with gemcitabine alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with gemcitabine monotherapy, combinations of two or more drugs (particularly those with novel agents or associated with >20% response rates and triplets) improved outcomes and response rate in advanced pancreatic cancer, and they could be considered a new standard of care in advanced settings.

Tumour expression of leptin is associated with chemotherapy resistance and therapy-independent prognosis in gastro-oesophageal adenocarcinomas

BACKGROUND

Cytotoxic chemotherapy remains the main systemic therapy for gastro-oesophageal adenocarcinoma, but resistance to chemotherapy is common, resulting in ineffective and often toxic treatment for patients. Predictive biomarkers for chemotherapy response would increase the probability of successful therapy, but none are currently recommended for clinical use. We used global gene expression profiling of tumour biopsies to identify novel predictive biomarkers for cytotoxic chemotherapy.

METHODS

Tumour biopsies from patients (n=14) with TNM stage IB-IV gastro-oesophageal adenocarcinomas receiving platinum-based combination chemotherapy were used as a discovery cohort and profiled with Affymetrix ST1.0 Exon Genechips. An independent cohort of patients (n=154) treated with surgery with or without neoadjuvant platinum combination chemotherapy and gastric adenocarcinoma cell lines (n=22) were used for qualification of gene expression profiling results by immunohistochemistry. A cisplatin-resistant gastric cancer cell line, AGS Cis5, and the oesophageal adenocarcinoma cell line, OE33, were used for in vitro validation investigations.

RESULTS

We identified 520 genes with differential expression (Mann-Whitney U, P<0.020) between radiological responding and nonresponding patients. Gene enrichment analysis (DAVID v6.7) was used on this list of 520 genes to identify pathways associated with response and identified the adipocytokine signalling pathway, with higher leptin mRNA associated with lack of radiological response (P=0.011). Similarly, in the independent cohort (n=154), higher leptin protein expression by immunohistochemistry in the tumour cells was associated with lack of histopathological response (P=0.007). Higher leptin protein expression by immunohistochemistry was also associated with improved survival in the absence of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and patients with low leptin protein-expressing tumours had improved survival when treated by neoadjuvant chemotherapy (P for interaction=0.038). In the gastric adenocarcinoma cell lines, higher leptin protein expression was associated with resistance to cisplatin (P=0.008), but not to oxaliplatin (P=0.988) or 5fluorouracil (P=0.636). The leptin receptor antagonist SHLA increased the sensitivity of AGS Cis5 and OE33 cell lines to cisplatin.

CONCLUSIONS

In gastro-oesophageal adenocarcinomas, tumour leptin expression is associated with chemoresistance but a better therapy-independent prognosis. Tumour leptin expression determined by immunohistochemistry has potential utility as a predictive marker of resistance to cytotoxic chemotherapy, and a prognostic marker independent of therapy in gastro-oesophageal adenocarcinoma. Leptin antagonists have been developed for clinical use and leptin and its associated pathways may also provide much needed novel therapeutic targets for gastro-oesophageal adenocarcinoma.

High level of serum AMBP is associated with poor response to paclitaxel-capecitabine chemotherapy in advanced gastric cancer patients

Gastric cancer is one of the most common human cancers and ranks the second in the global cancer-related mortality. The clinical outcome of patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC) is markedly dependent on their response to the chemotherapy. Paclitaxel plus capecitabine, as a first-line regimen, is widely administrated in AGC patients, but more than a half of the patients have a poor response, possibly due to their resistance to the treatment. Therefore, it is important to identify potential responders to improve the efficacy of the chemotherapy. In the present study, we used an isobaric tag approach for relative and absolute quantification combined with ESI-QUAD-TOF/MS to identify potential predictive biomarkers for the chemotherapy. We found 211 serum proteins, and confirmed 17 candidates that were differentially present in the progression of disease (PD) group and the partial response (PR) group to the treatment of paclitaxel plus capecitabine. In further validation of the 17 candidates in the set of 12 PD and 12 PR AGC patients, we identified a higher level of AMBP (Alpha-1-Microglobulin/Bikunin Precursor) in the sera of PD patients than of the PR patients assayed by ELISA (9.13 ± 0.45 vs. 8.11 ± 0.26 μg/mL, p = 0.06) and by the Western blotting (relative gray value 396.4 ± 39.1 vs. 275.0 ± 34.76, p = 0.03), respectively. The receiver operating characteristics curve showed 75% sensitivity and 75% specificity of AMBP in AGC patients treated with the chemotherapy. Our data indicated that the high level of serum AMBP could predict the poor response of the AGC patients treated with the paclitaxel-capecitabine chemotherapy, which could be used as a potential biomarker to identify patients who would benefit from this chemotherapeutic regimen.

REG Iα is a biomarker for predicting response to chemotherapy with S-1 plus cisplatin in patients with unresectable stage IV gastric cancer

Background:

The regenerating gene Iα (REG Iα) is involved in gastric carcinogenesis as an antiapoptotic factor. Therefore, we investigated whether REG Iα confers resistance to chemotherapeutic drugs in gastric cancer (GC) cells and whether REG Iα expression is useful for predicting the response to chemotherapy and outcome in patients with GC.

Methods:

A total of 70 patients with unresectable stage IV GC received first-line chemotherapy with S-1 and cisplatin (S-1/CDDP). The expression of REG Iα was evaluated immunohistochemically using biopsy samples obtained before chemotherapy, and its relationship to clinicopathological parameters was analysed statistically. The effects of REG Iα gene induction on resistance to 5-FU or CDDP treatment were examined by cell survival assay and flow cytometry.

Results:

Of the 70 patients with unresectable stage IV GC, 19 (27%) were positive for REG Iα expression. The expression of REG Iα was independently predictive of poorer progression-free and overall survival in such patients (hazard ratio (HR) 2.46; P=0.002 and HR 1.89; P=0.037, respectively). The gene induction of REG Iα conferred resistance to cell death induced by 5-FU or CDDP in GC cells.

Conclusion:

In patients with stage IV GC, REG Iα, which confers resistance to chemotherapeutic drugs in GC cells, is a potential biomarker for predicting resistance to S-1/CDDP treatment.

Optimal indications for second-line chemotherapy in advanced gastric cancer

As it remains uncertain whether patients with advanced gastric cancer who progress after first-line chemotherapy should receive second-line chemotherapy, we attempted to identify the optimal indications for second-line chemotherapy. In this retrospective study, 101 patients were included in univariate and multivariate analyses to identify clinicopathological variables independently associated with longer survival postprogression (SPP), defined as the time from recognition of disease progression on first-line chemotherapy to death from any cause or last follow-up. The median SPP was 340 days. On multivariate analysis, performance status 2 [hazard ratio (HR), 14.234; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.766-73.258], serum albumin level less than 3.5 g/dl (HR, 2.088; 95% CI, 1.047-4.060) at initiation of second-line chemotherapy, and time to progression less than 170 days on first-line chemotherapy (HR, 2.497; 95% CI, 1.227-5.083) were identified as independent prognostic factors associated with shorter SPP. The median SPP was 496, 375, and 232 days in patients with 0, 1, and 2 of these 3 negative prognostic factors, respectively (P=0.0002). The present study suggests that second-line chemotherapy would not be beneficial in patients with two or more of the following three negative prognostic factors: performance status 2, serum albumin less than 3.5 g/dl at initiation of second-line chemotherapy and time to progression less than 170 days on first-line chemotherapy.

Bax expression is predictive of favorable clinical outcome in chemonaive advanced gastric cancer patients treated with capecitabine, oxaliplatin, and irinotecan regimen

OBJECTIVE

Bax protein is a key mediator of apoptosis, and it might be related to chemosensitivity. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic role of Bax in patients with advanced gastric cancer treated with triplet chemotherapy COI regimen (capecitabine, oxaliplatin, and irinotecan).

METHODS

Pretreatment tissue blocks were available for 23 consecutive patients, selected for good performance status (ECOG ≤ 1) and consenting for treatment with first-line COI at a single institution. Bax levels were classified as positive or negative by immunohistochemistry (bax N20; Santa Cruz Biotechnology) and related to outcome in terms of response rate, progression-free survival, and overall survival.

RESULTS

Bax-negative and -positive samples were 26% and 74%, respectively. Bax expression was associated with significantly higher response rate (87% vs 33%), progression-free survival (8.7 vs 4.9 months, P = .016), and overall survival (23.8 vs 12.7 months, P = .025). In multivariate analysis including Bax and performance status, low Bax independently predicted worse outcome, along with suboptimal performance status.

CONCLUSIONS

In advanced gastric cancer, Bax expression was related to clinical benefit with COI regimen. Whether Bax is a prognostic or mixed prognostic/predictive factor warrants prospective confirmation. It is to be defined if Bax predicts sensitivity to platinum analogs or to whatever chemotherapy regimen.

Bax predicts outcome in gastric cancer patients treated with 5-fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin palliative chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Platinum and 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)-based regimens have been used the most frequently in palliative chemotherapy for gastric cancer. The present study evaluated the prognostic significance of Bax, excision repair cross-complementation group 1 (ERCC1), and thymidylate synthase (TS) in advanced gastric cancer patients treated with 5-FU, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) palliative chemotherapy.

METHODS

Seventy-two patients with metastatic or recurrent gastric cancer were treated with FOLFOX regimen. Pretreatment tumor biopsy specimens were analyzed for Bax, ERCC1, and TS expression by immunohistochemistry.

RESULTS

High expression of Bax, ERCC1, and TS was observed in 31 (43%), 33 (46%), and 35 (49%) patients, respectively. The median overall survival (OS) of patients was 12 months. Low expression of Bax was associated with poor OS (median, 9 months vs. 18 months; 2-year, 10% vs. 48%; p=0.0005) in univariate analysis, while expression of ERCC1 and TS was not correlated with patient outcome. In multivariate analysis, low expression of Bax was a significant independent predictor of poor OS (p=0.028). Low expression of Bax was significantly associated with poor survival of patients with metastatic or recurrent gastric cancer treated with FOLFOX chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Immunohistochemical staining for Bax with pretreatment biopsy specimen may be useful in selecting FOLFOX regimen as a treatment option for advanced gastric cancer patients.

Progression-free survival in first-line chemotherapy is a prognostic factor in second-line chemotherapy in patients with advanced gastric cancer

PURPOSE

First-line chemotherapy (Cx-1) in advanced gastric cancer (AGC) provides survival benefit. However, it is unclear who should proceed to second-line chemotherapy (Cx-2).

METHODS

We reviewed patients who received Cx-2 for AGC following progressive disease after Cx-1 from 2000 to 2005 at the National Cancer Center Hospital, Tokyo. To evaluate the prognostic factors in Cx-2, Cox regression multivariate analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Of 995 patients who received Cx-1 in this study period, 466 met the eligibility criteria. The median progression-free survival in Cx-1 (PFS-1) was 133 days. The median survival time from the date of starting second-line chemotherapy (MST-2) was 207 days. Multivariate analysis revealed that the factors affecting short survival time in Cx-2 were poor performance status (> or = 2), low serum albumin level (<3.5 mg/dL), elevated C-reactive protein level (> or = 1.0 mg/dL), patients with bone, liver or peritoneal metastasis, and patients without previous gastrectomy (p < 0.01). PFS-1 was an independent prognostic factor for survival (PFS-1 <120, MST-2 133 days, PFS-1 > or = 120, MST-2 258 days, hazard ratio 0.71, 95% confidence interval 0.58-0.86, p < 0.01). The Cx-2 regimen (irinotecan vs. taxane) did not correlate with survival.

CONCLUSION

PFS-1 is one of the prognostic factors of Cx-2 in patients with AGC.

Outcomes of multiple salvage chemotherapy for advanced gastric cancer: implications for clinical practice and trial design

PURPOSE

We analyzed the natural history of advanced gastric cancer with sequential salvage chemotherapy following first-line treatment.

METHODS

We studied 532 patients with unresectable gastric adenocarcinoma who were treated at Yonsei Cancer Center (2000-2008). The patients were managed with multiple sequential salvage chemotherapy as allowed by performance status and toxicity profiles. The tumor response was assessed every two cycles.

RESULTS

Four hundred sixty patients received palliative chemotherapy and 72 received supportive care only. The median overall survival was 12.0 months for all patients, 12.1 months for the chemotherapy group, and 2.5 months for the supportive care group (P < 0.001). In the chemotherapy group, 87% received first-line chemotherapy, 47% second-line, 23% third-line, 9% fourth-line, and 3% fifth-line. Response rates were 24.8, 12.6, 10.9, 2.6, and 0% and disease control rates were 76.3, 60.1, 54.2, 54.2, and 53.3% for first- to fifth-line treatment, respectively. The median progression-free survival was 5.5, 3.4, 2.5, 1.9, and 2.0 months and overall survival was 12.1, 7.9, 5.5, 5.0, and 6.8 months. Performance status and metastatic pattern were consistent prognostic factors throughout salvage treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical trials may be feasible in second- or third-line salvage chemotherapy for gastric cancer. Future clinical trials in these settings should take into account the low response rate, short progression-free survival, and the prognostic factors for optimal trial design.

Exact tests using two correlated binomial variables in contemporary cancer clinical trials

New therapy strategies for the treatment of cancer are rapidly emerging because of recent technology advances in genetics and molecular biology. Although newer targeted therapies can improve survival without measurable changes in tumor size, clinical trial conduct has remained nearly unchanged. When potentially efficacious therapies are tested, current clinical trial design and analysis methods may not be suitable for detecting therapeutic effects. We propose an exact method with respect to testing cytostatic cancer treatment using correlated bivariate binomial random variables to simultaneously assess two primary outcomes. The method is easy to implement. It does not increase the sample size over that of the univariate exact test and in most cases reduces the sample size required. Sample size calculations are provided for selected designs.

Advanced gastric cancer--slow but steady progress

Progress in gastric cancer has been slow, but steady. Historically, patients commonly presented with significant disease related co-morbidity and received treatment of marginal benefit but unfortunately associated with significant toxicity. Today there is no universally accepted reference standard chemotherapy for this disease. However, there is reason for optimism. Meta-analyses of randomized trials have shown a benefit for first-line combination chemotherapy. Current three drug chemotherapy regimens remain toxic, though perhaps less so than previously, and can result in a small but significant survival advantage in carefully chosen patients. Incremental improvements have been observed in both treatment-related toxicity and survival after first-line therapy. More patients are candidates for chemotherapy beyond progression with first-line therapy and response rates with second-line regimens are similar to those seen in other solid tumor malignancies. Although there is no randomized data to support its use second-line treatment should be considered in appropriate patients. Even before the integration of targeted therapies in the treatment of gastric cancer, it was evident that survival for more than 2 years is possible in a subset of patients and large retrospective studies have highlighted clinicopathologic factors associated with improved survival. Presently, with the addition of targeted therapy, especially anti-angiogenic and anti-Her2 therapy, and a better understanding of the biology of the disease, perhaps a sense of optimism should indeed suppress the nihilism commonly associated with this disease.

Chemotherapy-induced neutropenia as a prognostic factor in advanced non-small-cell lung cancer: results from Japan Multinational Trial Organization LC00-03

Background:

Neutropenia is a common adverse reaction of chemotherapy. We assessed whether chemotherapy-induced neutropenia could be a predictor of survival for patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Methods:

A total of 387 chemotherapy-naïve patients who received chemotherapy (vinorelbine and gemcitabine followed by docetaxel, or paclitaxel and carboplatin) in a randomised controlled trial were evaluated. The proportional-hazards regression model was used to examine the effects of chemotherapy-induced neutropenia and tumour response on overall survival. Landmark analysis was used to lessen the bias of more severe neutropenia resulting from more treatment cycles allowed by longer survival, whereby patients who died within 126 days of starting chemotherapy were excluded.

Results:

The adjusted hazard ratios for patients with grade-1 to 2 neutropenia or grade-3 to 4 neutropenia compared with no neutropenia were 0.59 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.36–0.97) and 0.71 (95% CI, 0.49–1.03), respectively. The hazard ratios did not differ significantly between the patients who developed neutropenia with stable disease (SD), and those who lacked neutropenia with partial response (PR).

Conclusion:

Chemotherapy-induced neutropenia is a predictor of better survival for patients with advanced NSCLC. Prospective randomised trials of early-dose increases guided by chemotherapy-induced toxicities are warranted.

A multiple-center phase II study of biweekly oxaliplatin and tegafur-uracil/leucovorin for chemonaive patients with advanced gastric cancer

PURPOSE

The current study assessed the efficacy and safety of biweekly oxaliplatin combining oral tegafur-uracil/leucovorin in treating chemonaive patients with advanced gastric cancer.

METHODS

Eligible patients were 18-75 years old, had stage IV disease or post-surgery recurrence, no prior palliative chemotherapy, and an ECOG performance status of 0-2. Patients in the current study received 2-h i.v. infusion of oxaliplatin at a dose of 100 mg/m(2) after diluting in 500 mL 5% dextrose/water (dexan premedication), and 5-HT3 antagonist biweekly. Oral tegafur-uracil and leucovorin was given at a dose of 300 mg/m(2)/day and 60 mg/day three times daily from day 1 to 21, respectively, followed by a 1-week rest. Response assessment was based on the RECIST criteria and was performed every two courses. Toxicity was assessed according to NCI common toxicity criteria version 2.

RESULTS

From October 2003 to April 2006, 57 patients were evaluated (55 eligible) with a median age of 61 years (range 31-75). According to the assessment of response in 48 evaluable patients, partial response rate was 24/48 (50.0%) (95% CI: 35.23-64.73%) and stable disease was observed in 11 patients (22.92%), and diseased progressed in 13 patients (27.08%). Mean number of oxaliplatin cycles was 3 (0.5-6.5). Median time to progression was 177 days. Median overall survival was 318 days. Major-grade (III/IV) toxicities were diarrhea 25.5%, vomiting 16.5%, anemia 10.9%, numbness 12.7%, thrombocytopenia 7.3%, neutropenia 3.6% and leucopenia 1.8%.

CONCLUSIONS

Biweekly, oxaliplatin combining oral tegafur-uracil/leucovorin in treating patients with advanced gastric cancer showed acceptable activity and manageable toxicity.

Prognostic model to predict survival following first-line chemotherapy in patients with metastatic gastric adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

This study was to devise a prognostic model for metastatic gastric cancer patients undergoing first-line chemotherapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis was carried out on 1455 gastric cancer patients, who received first-line chemotherapy from September 1994 to February 2005.

RESULTS

At multivariate level, poor prognostic factors were no previous gastrectomy [P = 0.003; relative risk (RR), 1.191; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.061-1.338], albumin < 3.6 g/dl (P = or <0.001; RR, 1.245; 95% CI 1.106-1.402), alkaline phosphatase > 85 U/l (P = or <0.001; RR, 1.224; 95% CI 1.092-1.371), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of two or more (P = or <0.001; RR, 1.690; 95% CI 1.458-1.959), the presence of bone metastases (P = 0.001; RR, 1.460; 95% CI 1.616-1.836), and the presence of ascites (P = or < 0.001; RR, 1.452; 95% CI 1.295-1.628). Of 1434 patients, 489 patients (34.1%) were categorized as low-risk group (zero to one factors), 889 patients (62.0%) as intermediate-risk group (two to four factors), and 56 patients (3.9%) as high-risk group (five to six factors). Median survival durations for low, intermediate, and high-risk groups were 12.5 months, 7.0 months, and 2.7 months, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This model should facilitate the individual patient risk stratification and thus, more appropriate therapies for each metastatic gastric cancer patient.