Z-scores-based methods and their application to biological monitoring: an example in professional soccer players

A new multimodal paradigm for biomarkers longitudinal monitoring: a clinical application to women steroid profiles in urine and blood

BACKGROUND

Most current state-of-the-art strategies to generate individual adaptive reference ranges are designed to monitor one clinical parameter at a time. An innovative methodology is proposed for the simultaneous longitudinal monitoring of multiple biomarkers. The estimation of individual thresholds is performed by applying a Bayesian modeling strategy to a multivariate score integrating several biomarkers (compound concentration and/or ratio). This multimodal monitoring was applied to data from a clinical study involving 14 female volunteers with normal menstrual cycles receiving testosterone via transdermal route, as to test its ability to detect testosterone administration. The study samples consisted of urine and blood collected during 4 weeks of a control phase and 4 weeks with a daily testosterone gel application.

RESULTS

Integrating multiple biomarkers improved the detection of testosterone gel administration with substantially higher sensitivity compared with the distinct follow-up of each biomarker, when applied to selected urine and serum steroid biomarkers, as well as the combination of both. Among the 175 known positive samples, 38% were identified by the multimodal approach using urine biomarkers, 79% using serum biomarkers and 83% by combining biomarkers from both biological matrices, whereas 10%, 67% and 64% were respectively detected using standard unimodal monitoring.

SIGNIFICANCE AND NOVELTY

The detection of abnormal patterns can be improved using multimodal approaches. The combination of urine and serum biomarkers reduced the overall number of false-negatives, thus evidencing promising complementarity between urine and blood sampling for doping control, as highlighted in the case of the use of transdermal testosterone preparations. The generation in a multimodal setting of adaptive and personalized reference ranges opens up new opportunities in clinical and anti-doping profiling. The integration of multiple parameters in a longitudinal monitoring is expected to provide a more complete evaluation of individual profiles generating actionable intelligence to further guide sample collection, analysis protocols and decision-making in clinics and anti-doping.

A comparison of methods to generate adaptive reference ranges in longitudinal monitoring

In a clinical setting, biomarkers are typically measured and evaluated as biological indicators of a physiological state. Population based reference ranges, known as 'static' or 'normal' reference ranges, are often used as a tool to classify a biomarker value for an individual as typical or atypical. However, these ranges may not be informative to a particular individual when considering changes in a biomarker over time since each observation is assessed in isolation and against the same reference limits. To allow early detection of unusual physiological changes, adaptation of static reference ranges is required that incorporates within-individual variability of biomarkers arising from longitudinal monitoring in addition to between-individual variability. To overcome this issue, methods for generating individualised reference ranges are proposed within a Bayesian framework which adapts successively whenever a new measurement is recorded for the individual. This new Bayesian approach also allows the within-individual variability to differ for each individual, compared to other less flexible approaches. However, the Bayesian approach usually comes with a high computational cost, especially for individuals with a large number of observations, that diminishes its applicability. This difficulty suggests that a computational approximation may be required. Thus, methods for generating individualised adaptive ranges by the use of a time-efficient approximate Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm will be presented which relies only on a few sufficient statistics at the individual level.