A hierarchical approach for evaluating athlete performance with an application in elite basketball

In this paper, we present the ON score for evaluating the performance of athletes and teams that includes a season-long evaluation system, a single-game evaluation, and an evaluation of an athlete's overall contribution to their team. The approach used to calculate the ON score is based on mixed-effects regression models that take into account the hierarchical structure of the data and a principal component analysis to calculate athlete rating. We apply our methodology to a large dataset of National Basketball Association (NBA) games spanning four seasons from 2015-2016 to 2018-2019. Our model is validated using two systematic approaches, and our results demonstrate the reliability of our approach to calculate an athlete's performance. This provides coaches, General Managers and player agents with a powerful tool to gain deeper insights into their players' performance, make more informed decisions and ultimately improve team performance. Our methodology has several key advantages. First, by incorporating the hierarchical structure of the data, we can obtain valuable information about an athlete's contribution within their team. Second, the use of principal component analysis allows us to calculate a single score, the ON score, that captures the overall performance of an athlete. Third, our approach is based on classical restricted likelihood methods, which makes the calculation faster than Bayesian methods typically requiring 1000 posterior samples. With our approach, coaches and managers can evaluate athletes' performance throughout the season, compare athletes and teams over a year, and assess an athlete's performance during a single game. Our methodology can also complement other ratings and box score metrics to provide a more comprehensive assessment of an athlete's performance as our method uses the hierarchical nature of performance data (i.e. player nested within team over season) which is typically ignored in player rating systems. In summary, our methodology represents a significant contribution to the field of sports analytics and provides the foundation for future developments.

Comparison of markerless and marker-based motion capture systems using 95% functional limits of agreement in a linear mixed-effects modelling framework

Biomechanics analysis of human movement has been proven useful for maintenance of health, injury prevention, and rehabilitation in both sports and clinical populations. A marker-based motion capture system is considered the gold standard method of measurement for three dimensional kinematics measurements. However, the application of markers to anatomical bony points is a time consuming process and constrained by inter-, intra-tester and session reliability issues. The emergence of novel markerless motion capture systems without the use of reflective markers is a rapidly growing field in motion analysis. However an assessment of the level of agreement of a markerless system with an established gold standard marker-based system is needed to ensure the applicability of a markerless system. An extra layer of complexity is involved as the kinematics measurements are functional responses. In this paper a new approach is proposed to generate 95% functional limits of agreement (fLoA) using the linear mixed-effects modelling framework for hierarchical study designs. This approach is attractive as it will allow practitioners to extend their use of linear mixed models to assess agreement in method comparison studies in all domains where functional responses are recorded.

Feasibility and Acceptability of a Physical Exercise Program Embedded Into the Daily Lives of Older Adults Living in Nursing Homes: A Pilot Feasibility Study

The purpose of this study was to test the feasibility and acceptability of a staff-delivered physical exercise program embedded into the daily lives of older adults living in nursing homes. A randomized controlled pilot feasibility study was carried out, which included quantitative, qualitative, and economic assessments at baseline, 12 weeks, and 12 months. Two nursing homes (one intervention and one control) took part. The exercise program was carried out on 3 days per week for 12 weeks and consisted of a program of Morning Movement (walking and sit-to-stand exercises) and Activity Bursts. The results confirm that the intervention and study processes are largely acceptable and feasible to implement in the nursing home setting. Potential short-term improvements in physical mobility and quality of life were noticed as positive mean changes and supported by qualitative assessment. Future randomized controlled trials should consider using the 6-meter walk test and refining nursing home and participant eligibility criteria.

Circulating microRNAs can predict chemotherapy-induced toxicities in patients being treated for primary breast cancer

PURPOSE

Prescribing NAC for breast cancer is a pragmatic treatment strategy for several reasons; however, certain patients suffer chemotherapy-induced toxicities. Unfortunately, identifying patients at risk of toxicity often proves challenging. MiRNAs are small non-coding RNA molecules which modulate genetic expression. The aim of this study was to determine whether circulating miRNAs are sensitive biomarkers that can identify the patients likely to suffer treatment-related toxicities to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for primary breast cancer.

METHODS

This secondary exploratory from the prospective, multicentre translational research trial (CTRIAL ICORG10/11-NCT01722851) recruited 101 patients treated with NAC for breast cancer, from eight treatment sites across Ireland. A predetermined five miRNAs panel was quantified using RQ-PCR from patient bloods at diagnosis. MiRNA expression was correlated with chemotherapy-induced toxicities. Regression analyses was performed using SPSS v26.0.

RESULTS

One hundred and one patients with median age of 55 years were recruited (range: 25-76). The mean tumour size was 36 mm and 60.4% had nodal involvement (n = 61) Overall, 33.7% of patients developed peripheral neuropathies (n = 34), 28.7% developed neutropenia (n = 29), and 5.9% developed anaemia (n = 6). Reduced miR-195 predicted patients likely to develop neutropenia (P = 0.048), while increased miR-10b predicted those likely to develop anaemia (P = 0.049). Increased miR-145 predicted those experiencing nausea and vomiting (P = 0.019), while decreased miR-21 predicted the development of mucositis (P = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

This is the first study which illustrates the value of measuring circulatory miRNA to predict patient-specific toxicities to NAC. These results support the ideology that circulatory miRNAs are biomarkers with utility in predicting chemotherapy toxicity as well as treatment response.

Statistical techniques used in analysing simultaneous continuous glucose monitoring and ambulatory electrocardiography in patients with diabetes: A systematic review

OBJECTIVES

There has been a steady increase in the number of studies of the complex relationship between glucose and electrical cardiac activity which use simultaneous continuous glucose monitors (CGM) and continuous electrocardiogram (ECG). However, data collected on the same individual tend to be similar (yielding correlated or dependent data) and require analyses that take into account that correlation. Many opt for simplified techniques such as calculating one measure from the data collected and analyse one observation per subject. These simplified methods may yield inconsistent and biased results in some instances. In this systematic review, we aim to examine the adequacy of the statistical analyses performed in such studies and make recommendations for future studies.

RESEARCH QUESTIONS

What are the objectives of studies collecting simultaneous CGM and ECG data? Do methods used in analysing CGM and continuous ECG data fully optimise the data collected?

DESIGN

Systematic review.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed and Web of Science.

METHODS

A comprehensive search of the PubMed and Web of Science databases to June 2022 was performed. Studies utilising CGM and continuous ECG simultaneously in people with diabetes were included. We extracted information about study objectives, technologies used to collect data and statistical analysis methods used for analysis. Reporting was done following PRISMA guidelines.

RESULTS

Out of 118 publications screened, a total of 31 studies met the inclusion criteria. There was a diverse array of study objectives, with only two studies exploring the same exposure-outcome relationship, allowing only qualitative analysis. Only seven studies (23%) incorporated methods which fully utilised the study data using methods that yield the correct power and minimize type I error rate. The rest (77%) used analyses that summarise the data first before analysis and/or totally ignored data dependency. Of those who applied more advanced methods, one study performed both simple and correct analyses and found that ignoring data structure resulted in no association whilst controlling for repeated measures yielded a significant relationship.

CONCLUSION

Most studies underutilised statistical methods suitable for analysis of dynamic continuous data, potentially attenuating their statistical power and overall conclusions. We recommend that aggregated data be used only as exploratory analysis, while primary analysis should use methods applied to the raw data such as mixed models or functional data analyses. These methods are widely available in many free, open source software applications.

Evaluating the Role of Circulating MicroRNAs in Predicting Long-Term Survival Outcomes in Breast Cancer: A Prospective, Multicenter Clinical Trial

BACKGROUND

While long-term outcomes have improved for patients with breast cancer, 20% to 30% will still develop recurrence, and identifying these patients remains a challenge. MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are small, noncoding molecules that modulate genetic expression and affect oncogenesis.

STUDY DESIGN

This prospective, multicenter trial (ICORG10/11-NCT01722851) recruited patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy across 8 Irish centers. Predetermined miRNAs were quantified from patient whole blood using quantitative reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction. Venous sampling was performed at diagnosis (timepoint 1) and midway during neoadjuvant chemotherapy (timepoint 2 [T2]). miRNA expression profiles were correlated with recurrence-free survival (RFS), disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival. Data analysis was performed using R v3.2.3.

RESULTS

A total of 124 patients were recruited with a median age of 55.0 years. The median follow-up was 103.1 months. Increased miR-145 expression at T2 was associated with improved RFS (hazard ratio 0.00; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.00 to 0.99; p = 0.050). Using survival regression tree analysis, a relative cutoff of increased miR-145 expression greater than 0.222 was associated with improved RFS (p = 0.041). Increased miR-145 expression at T2 trended towards significance in predicting improved DFS (hazard ratio 0.00; 95% CI 0.00 to 1.42; p = 0.067). Using survival regression tree analysis, a relative cutoff of increased miR-145 expression greater than 0.222 was associated with improved DFS (p = 0.012). No miRNAs correlated with overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

ICORG10/11 is the first Irish multicenter, translational research trial evaluating circulatory miRNAs as biomarkers predictive of long-term survival and correlated increased miR-145 expression with enhanced outcomes in early-stage breast cancer. Validation of these findings is required in the next generation of translational research trials.

Supporting GPs and people with hypertension to maximise medication use to control blood pressure: Protocol for a pilot cluster RCT of the MIAMI intervention

Background: Hypertension is one of the most important risk factors for stroke and heart disease. Recent international guidelines have stated that 'poor adherence to treatment – in addition to physician inertia - is the most important cause of poor blood pressure control'. The MaxImising Adherence, Minimising Inertia (MIAMI) intervention, which has been developed using a systematic, theoretical, user-centred approach, aims to support general practitioners (GPs) and people with hypertension to maximise medication use, through the facilitation of adequate information exchange within consultations about long-term antihypertensive medication use and adherence skill development. The aim of the MIAMI pilot cluster randomised controlled trial (RCT) is to gather and analyse feasibility data to allow us to (1) refine the intervention, and (2) determine the feasibility of a definitive RCT. Methods: GP practices (n = 6) will be recruited and randomised to the intervention arm (n = 3) or usual care control arm (n = 3). Each practice will recruit 10 patient participants. For a patient to be eligible they must have a diagnosis of hypertension, be on two or more anti-hypertensive medications, must not be achieving recommended blood pressure levels,  and be over the age of 65 years. Participants in the intervention arm will meet their GP and receive the MIAMI intervention twice over three months. Quantitative data collection will take place at baseline and three month follow up. A pilot health economic analysis and a qualitative sub-study will also be incorporated into the study. Discussion: This pilot cluster RCT of the MIAMI intervention will allow us to gather valuable acceptability and feasibility data to further refine the intervention so it optimally designed for both GP and patient use. In particular, the qualitative component will provide an insight into GP and patient experiences of using the intervention.

Fast absolute 3D CGO-based electrical impedance tomography on experimental tank data

Objective.To present the first 3D CGO-based absolute EIT reconstructions from experimental tank data.Approach.CGO-based methods for absolute EIT imaging are compared to traditional TV regularized non-linear least squares reconstruction methods. Additional robustness testing is performed by considering incorrect modeling of domain shape.Main Results.The CGO-based methods are fast, and show strong robustness to incorrect domain modeling comparable to classic difference EIT imaging and fewer boundary artefacts than the TV regularized non-linear least squares reference reconstructions.Significance.This work is the first to demonstrate fully 3D CGO-based absolute EIT reconstruction on experimental data and also compares to TV-regularized absolute reconstruction. The speed (1-5 s) and quality of the reconstructions is encouraging for future work in absolute EIT.

The MultimorbiditY COllaborative Medication Review And DEcision Making (MyComrade) study: a protocol for a cross-border pilot cluster randomised controlled trial

Background

While international guidelines recommend medication reviews as part of the management of multimorbidity, evidence on how to implement reviews in practice in primary care is lacking. The MultimorbiditY Collaborative Medication Review And Decision Making (MyComrade) intervention is an evidence-based, theoretically informed novel intervention which aims to support the conduct of medication reviews for patients with multimorbidity in primary care. Our aim in this pilot study is to evaluate the feasibility of a trial of the intervention with unique modifications accounting for contextual variations in two neighbouring health systems (Republic of Ireland (ROI) and Northern Ireland (NI)).

Methods

A pilot cluster randomised controlled trial will be conducted, using a mixed-methods process evaluation to investigate the feasibility of a trial of the MyComrade intervention based on pre-defined progression criteria. A total of 16 practices will be recruited (eight in ROI; eight in NI), and four practices in each jurisdiction will be randomly allocated to intervention or control. Twenty people living with multimorbidity and prescribed ≥ 10 repeat medications will be recruited from each practice prior to practice randomisation. In intervention practices, the MyComrade intervention will be delivered by pairs of general practitioners (GPs) in ROI, and a GP and practice-based pharmacist (PBP) in NI. The GPs/GP and PBP will schedule the time to review the medications together using a checklist. Usual care will proceed in practices in the control arm. Data will be collected via electronic health records and postal questionnaires at recruitment and 4 and 8 months after randomisation. Qualitative interviews to assess the feasibility and acceptability of the intervention and explore experiences related to multimorbidity management will be conducted with a purposive sample of GPs, PBPs, practice administration staff and patients in intervention and control practices. The feasibility of conducting a health economic evaluation as part of a future definitive trial will be assessed.

Discussion

The findings of this pilot study will assess the feasibility of a trial of the MyComrade intervention in two different health systems. Evaluation of the progression criteria will guide the decision to progress to a definitive trial and inform trial design. The findings will also contribute to the growing evidence-base related to intervention development and feasibility studies.

Trial registration

ISRCTN Registry, ISRCTN80017020. Date of confirmation is 4/11/2019.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40814-022-01018-y.

The People's Trial: supporting the public's understanding of randomised trials

Background

Randomised trials are considered the gold standard in providing robust evidence on the effectiveness of interventions. However, there are relatively few initiatives to help increase public understanding of what randomised trials are and why they are important. This limits the overall acceptance of and public participation in clinical trials. The People’s Trial aims to help the public learn about randomised trials, to understand why they matter, and to be better equipped to think critically about health claims by actively involving them in all aspects of trial design. This was done by involving the public in the design, conduct, and dissemination of a randomised trial.

Methods

Using a reflexive approach, we describe the processes of development, conduct, and dissemination of The People’s Trial.

Results

Over 3000 members of the public, from 72 countries, participated in The People’s Trial. Through a series of online surveys, the public designed a trial called The Reading Trial. They chose the question the trial would try to answer and decided the components of the trial question. In December 2019, 991 participants were recruited to a trial to answer the question identified and prioritised by the public, i.e. ‘Does reading a book in bed make a difference to sleep in comparison with not reading a book in bed?’ We report the processes of The People’s Trial in seven phases, paralleling the steps of a randomised trial, i.e. question identification and prioritisation, recruitment, randomisation, trial conduct, data analysis, and sharing of findings. We describe the decisions we made, the processes we used, the challenges we encountered, and the lessons we learned.

Conclusion

The People’s Trial involved the public successfully in the design, conduct, and dissemination of a randomised trial demonstrating the potential for such initiatives to help the public learn about randomised trials, to understand why they matter, and to be better equipped to think critically about health claims.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.govNCT04185818. Registered on 4 December 2019

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13063-021-05984-1.

Improving outcomes among young adults with type 1 diabetes: the D1 Now pilot cluster randomised controlled trial

Background

The D1 Now intervention is designed to improve outcomes in young adults living with type 1 diabetes. It consists of three components: an agenda-setting tool, an interactive messaging system and a support worker. The aim of the D1 Now pilot cluster randomised controlled trial (RCT) was to gather and analyse acceptability and feasibility data to allow (1) further refinement of the D1 Now intervention, and (2) determination of the feasibility of evaluating the D1 Now intervention in a future definitive RCT.

Methods

A pilot cluster RCT with two intervention arms and a control arm was conducted over 12 months. Quantitative data collection was based on a core outcome set and took place at baseline and 12 months. Semi-structured interviews with participants took place at 6, 9 and 12 months. Fidelity and health economic costings were also assessed.

Results

Four diabetes centres and 57 young adults living with type 1 diabetes took part. 50% of eligible young adults were recruited and total loss to follow-up was 12%. Fidelity, as measured on a study delivery checklist, was good but there were three minor processes that were not delivered as intended in the protocol. Overall, the qualitative data demonstrated that the intervention was considered acceptable and feasible, though this differed across intervention components. The agenda-setting tool and support worker intervention components were acceptable to both young adults and staff, but views on the interactive messaging system were mixed.

Conclusions

Some modifications are required to the D1 Now intervention components and research processes but with these in place progression to a definitive RCT is considered feasible.

Trial registration

ISRCTN (ref: ISRCTN74114336)

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40814-022-00986-5.

Does reading a book in bed make a difference to sleep in comparison to not reading a book in bed? The People's Trial-an online, pragmatic, randomised trial

BACKGROUND

The best way of comparing healthcare treatments is through a randomised trial. In a randomised trial, we compare something (a treatment or intervention) to something else, often another treatment. Who gets what is decided at random, meaning everyone has an equal chance of getting any of the treatments. This means any differences found can be put down to the treatment received rather than other things, such as where people live, or health conditions they might have. The People's Trial aimed to help the public better understand randomised trials by inviting them to design and carry out a trial. The question chosen by the public for The People's Trial was: 'Does reading a book in bed make a difference to sleep, in comparison to not reading a book in bed?' This paper describes that trial, called 'The Reading Trial'.

METHODS

The Reading Trial was an online, randomised trial. Members of the public were invited to take part through social media campaigns. People were asked to either read a book in bed before going to sleep (intervention group) or not read a book in bed before going to sleep (control group). We asked everyone to do this for 7 days, after which they measured their sleep quality.

RESULTS

During December 2019, a total of 991 people took part in The Reading Trial, half (496 (50%)) in the intervention group and half (495 (50%)) in the control group. Not everyone finished the trial: 127 (25.6%) people in the intervention group and 90 (18.18%) people in the control group. Of those providing data, 156/369 (42%) people in the intervention group felt their sleep improved, compared to 112/405 (28%) of those in the control group, a difference of 14%. When we consider how certain we are of this finding, we estimate that, in The Reading Trial, sleep improved for between 8 and 22% more people in the intervention group compared to the control group.

CONCLUSIONS

Reading a book in bed before going to sleep improved sleep quality, compared to not reading a book in bed.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04185818. Registered on 4 December 2019.

Modelling menstrual cycle length in athletes using state-space models

The ability to predict an individual's menstrual cycle length to a high degree of precision could help female athletes to track their period and tailor their training and nutrition correspondingly. Such individualisation is possible and necessary, given the known inter-individual variation in cycle length. To achieve this, a hybrid predictive model was built using data on 16,524 cycles collected from a sample of 2125 women (mean age 34.38 years, range 18.00-47.10, number of menstrual cycles ranging from 4 to 53). A mixed-effect state-space model was fitted to capture the within-subject temporal correlation, incorporating a Bayesian approach for process forecasting to predict the duration (in days) of the next menstrual cycle. The modelling procedure was split into three steps (1) a time trend component using a random walk with an overdispersion parameter, (2) an autocorrelation component using an autoregressive moving-average model, and (3) a linear predictor to account for covariates (e.g. injury, stomach cramps, training intensity). The inclusion of an overdispersion parameter suggested that [Formula: see text] [Formula: see text] of cycles in the sample were overdispersed. The random walk standard deviation for a non-overdispersed cycle is [Formula: see text] [1.00, 1.09] days while under an overdispersed cycle, the menstrual cycle variance increase in 4.78 [4.57, 5.00] days. To assess the performance and prediction accuracy of the model, each woman's last observation was used as test data. The root mean square error (RMSE), concordance correlation coefficient and Pearson correlation coefficient (r) between the observed and predicted values were calculated. The model had an RMSE of 1.6412 days, a precision of 0.7361 and overall accuracy of 0.9871. In conclusion, the hybrid model presented here is a helpful approach for predicting menstrual cycle length, which in turn can be used to support female athlete wellness.

Medical encounters at community-based physical activity events (parkrun) in the UK

OBJECTIVE

To determine the incidence, clinical correlates and exposure risk of medical encounters during community-based physical activity events in the UK.

METHODS

An analysis of medical data from weekly, community-based physical activity events (parkrun) at 702 UK locations over a 6-year period (29 476 294 participations between 2014 and 2019) was conducted in order to define the incidence and clinical correlates of serious life-threatening, non-life-threatening and fatal medical encounters.

RESULTS

84 serious life-threatening encounters (overall incidence rate=0.26/100 000 participations) occurred including 18 fatalities (0.056/100 000 participations). Statistical modelling revealed that the probabilities of serious life-threatening encounters were exceptionally low, however, male sex, increasing age, slower personal best parkrun time and less prior running engagement/experience (average number of runs per year and number of years as a parkrun participant) were associated with increased probability of serious life-threatening encounters. These were largely accounted for by cardiac arrest (48/84, 57%) and acute coronary syndromes (20/84, 24%). Non-life-threatening medical encounters were mainly attributed to tripping or falling, with a reported incidence of 39.2/100 000 participations.

CONCLUSIONS

Serious life-threatening and fatal medical encounters associated with parkrun participation are extremely rare. In the context of a global public health crisis due to inactivity, this finding underscores the safety and corollary public health value of community running/walking events as a strategy to promote physical activity.

Elastin-like recombinamers-based hydrogel modulates post-ischemic remodeling in a non-transmural myocardial infarction in sheep

Ischemic heart disease is a leading cause of mortality due to irreversible damage to cardiac muscle. Inspired by the post-ischemic microenvironment, we devised an extracellular matrix (ECM)-mimicking hydrogel using catalyst-free click chemistry covalent bonding between two elastin-like recombinamers (ELRs). The resulting customized hydrogel included functional domains for cell adhesion and protease cleavage sites, sensitive to cleavage by matrix metalloproteases overexpressed after myocardial infarction (MI). The scaffold permitted stromal cell invasion and endothelial cell sprouting in vitro. The incidence of non-transmural infarcts has increased clinically over the past decade, and there is currently no treatment preventing further functional deterioration in the infarcted areas. Here, we have developed a clinically relevant ovine model of non-transmural infarcts induced by multiple suture ligations. Intramyocardial injections of the degradable ELRs-hydrogel led to complete functional recovery of ejection fraction 21 days after the intervention. We observed less fibrosis and more angiogenesis in the ELRs-hydrogel-treated ischemic core region compared to the untreated animals, as validated by the expression, proteomic, glycomic, and histological analyses. These findings were accompanied by enhanced preservation of GATA4⁺ cardiomyocytes in the border zone of the infarct. We propose that our customized ECM favors cardiomyocyte preservation in the border zone by modulating the ischemic core and a marked functional recovery. The functional benefits obtained by the timely injection of the ELRs-hydrogel in a clinically relevant MI model support the potential utility of this treatment for further clinical translation.

Modelling the relationship between continuously measured glucose and electrocardiographic data in adults with type 1 diabetes mellitus

INTRODUCTION

Type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) is associated with earlier onset of cardiovascular disease. Recent evidence has found hyperglycaemia appears to play a greater role in this association among T1DM compared to T2DM. This study investigates the relationship between glucose and QTc (a key cardiovascular measure) using data from continuous electrocardiogram (ECG) and glucose monitors.

METHODS

Seventeen adults with T1DM were recruited at a clinical facility in Ireland. A continuous glucose monitoring system was fitted to each participant that measured glucose every 5 min for 7 days. The participants simultaneously wore a vest with sensors to measure 12-lead ECG data every 10 min for 7 days. Area under the glucose curve (AUC), proportion of time spent in hypoglycaemia and hyperglycaemia, and mean daily absolute deviation of glucose were calculated. Mixed effects ANOVA and functional regression models were fitted to the data to investigate the aggregate and time-dependent association between glucose and QTc.

RESULTS

All participants were male with an average age of 52.5 (SD 3.8) years. Those with neuropathy had a significantly higher mean QTc compared to their counterparts. Mean QTc was significantly longer during hyperglycaemia. There was a significant positive association between QTc and time spent in hyperglycaemia. A negative association was found between QTc and time spent in hypoglycaemia. A functional model suggested a positive relationship between glucose and QTc at several times during the 7-day follow-up.

CONCLUSION

This study used sensor technology to investigate, with high granularity, the temporal relationship between glucose and ECG data over one week. QTc was found to be longer on average during hyperglycaemia.

A comparison of methods to generate adaptive reference ranges in longitudinal monitoring

In a clinical setting, biomarkers are typically measured and evaluated as biological indicators of a physiological state. Population based reference ranges, known as 'static' or 'normal' reference ranges, are often used as a tool to classify a biomarker value for an individual as typical or atypical. However, these ranges may not be informative to a particular individual when considering changes in a biomarker over time since each observation is assessed in isolation and against the same reference limits. To allow early detection of unusual physiological changes, adaptation of static reference ranges is required that incorporates within-individual variability of biomarkers arising from longitudinal monitoring in addition to between-individual variability. To overcome this issue, methods for generating individualised reference ranges are proposed within a Bayesian framework which adapts successively whenever a new measurement is recorded for the individual. This new Bayesian approach also allows the within-individual variability to differ for each individual, compared to other less flexible approaches. However, the Bayesian approach usually comes with a high computational cost, especially for individuals with a large number of observations, that diminishes its applicability. This difficulty suggests that a computational approximation may be required. Thus, methods for generating individualised adaptive ranges by the use of a time-efficient approximate Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm will be presented which relies only on a few sufficient statistics at the individual level.

Prehabilitation during a pandemic: preoperative exercise to improve fitness in patients undergoing complex surgery for cancer of the lung or oesophagus, the PRE-HIIT trial: an updated study protocol

Background: Pre-operative fitness is an established predictor of postoperative outcome; accordingly, targeting pre-operative fitness through exercise prehabilitation has logical appeal. Exercise prehabilitation for patients with cancer of the lung or oesophagus is challenging to implement due to the short opportunity for intervention between diagnosis and surgery. In addition, there are now additional challenges to providing prehabilitation during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic due to concerns about social distancing and minimising patient contact. The PRE-HIIT project will examine the influence of virtually delivered exercise prehabilitation on physiological outcomes and postoperative recovery. Methods: The PRE-HIIT randomised controlled trial (RCT) will compare a 2-week high intensity interval training programme to standard preoperative care in a cohort of patients with thoracic and oesophageal cancers. A protocol for this study has been published previously. As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, changes to the study assessment battery and the mode of intervention delivery have been made. The PRE-HIIT programme will now be a home-based intervention. Both the exercise intervention and standard care will be delivered via telehealth. The recruitment target for the study remains 78 participants. There is no change to the primary outcome of the study; cardiorespiratory fitness. Secondary outcomes include measures of pulmonary and physical function, quality of life and post-operative morbidity. Outcomes will be measured at baseline and post-intervention. The impact of PRE-HIIT on well-being will be examined qualitatively with interviews post-intervention (T1). This revised protocol will also explore participant’s satisfaction with delivery of prehabilitation via telehealth. The healthcare costs associated with the PRE-HITT programme will also be examined. Discussion: The overall aim of this RCT is to examine the effect of tailored, individually prescribed high intensity interval training on pre-operative fitness and postoperative recovery for patients undergoing complex surgical resections. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.Gov NCT03978325 07/06/2019

The feasibility of a Comprehensive Resilience-building psychosocial Intervention (CREST) for people with dementia in the community: protocol for a non-randomised feasibility study

BACKGROUND

A dementia diagnosis can prevent people from participating in society, leading to a further decline in cognitive, social and physical health. However, it may be possible for people with dementia to continue to live meaningful lives and continue to participate actively in society if a supportive psychosocial environment exists. Resilience theory, which focuses on strengthening personal attributes and external assets in the face of serious challenges, may provide a scaffold on which an inclusive multifaceted psychosocial supportive environment can be built. This protocol paper describes a study to determine the feasibility of conducting a multifaceted complex resilience building psychosocial intervention for people with dementia and their caregivers living in the community.

METHODS

This is a non-randomised feasibility study. Ten participants with dementia and their primary caregivers living in the community will be recruited and receive the CREST intervention. The intervention provides (a) a 7-week cognitive stimulation programme followed by an 8-week physical exercise programme for people with dementia and (b) a 6-week educational programme for caregivers. Members of the wider community will be invited to a dementia awareness programme and GP practices to a dementia training workshop. Trained professionals will deliver all intervention components. Outcomes will assess the feasibility and acceptability of all study processes. The feasibility and acceptability of a range of outcomes to be collected in a future definitive trial, including economic measurements, will also be explored. Finally, social marketing will be used to map a route toward stigma change in dementia for use in a subsequent trial. Quantitative feasibility outcome assessments will be completed at baseline and after completion of the 15-week intervention while qualitative data will be collected at recruitment, baseline, during and post-intervention delivery.

CONCLUSION

This feasibility study will provide evidence regarding the feasibility and acceptability of a comprehensive multifaceted psychosocial intervention programme for people with dementia and their caregivers (CREST). The results will be used to inform the development and implementation of a subsequent RCT, should the findings support feasibility.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ISRCTN25294519 Retrospectively registered 07.10.2019.

Prevalence and frequency of menstrual cycle symptoms are associated with availability to train and compete: a study of 6812 exercising women recruited using the Strava exercise app

OBJECTIVES

The menstrual cycle can affect sports participation and exercise performance. There are very few data on specific menstrual cycle symptoms (symptoms during various phases of the cycle, not only during menstruation) experienced by exercising women. We aimed to characterise the most common symptoms, as well as the number and frequency of symptoms, and evaluate whether menstrual cycle symptoms are associated with sporting outcomes.

METHODS

6812 adult women of reproductive age (mean age: 38.3 (8.7) years) who were not using combined hormonal contraception were recruited via the Strava exercise app user database and completed a 39-part survey. Respondents were from seven geographical areas, and the questions were translated and localised to each region (Brazil, n=892; France, n=1355; Germany, n=839; Spain, n=834; UK and Ireland, n=1350; and USA, n=1542). The survey captured exercise behaviours, current menstrual status, presence and frequency of menstrual cycle symptoms, medication use for symptoms, perceived effects of the menstrual cycle on exercise and work behaviours, and history of hormonal contraception use. We propose a novel Menstrual Symptom index (MSi) based on the presence and frequency of 18 commonly reported symptoms (range 0-54, where 54 would correspond to all 18 symptoms each occurring very frequently).

RESULTS

The most prevalent menstrual cycle symptoms were mood changes/anxiety (90.6%), tiredness/fatigue (86.2%), stomach cramps (84.2%) and breast pain/tenderness (83.1%). After controlling for body mass index, training volume and age, the MSi was associated with a greater likelihood of missing or changing training (OR=1.09 (CI 1.08 to 1.10); p≤0.05), missing a sporting event/competition (OR=1.07 (CI 1.06 to 1.08); p≤0.05), absenteeism from work/academia (OR=1.08 (CI 1.07 to 1.09); p≤0.05) and use of pain medication (OR=1.09 (CI 1.08 to 1.09); p≤0.05).

CONCLUSION

Menstrual cycle symptoms are very common in exercising women, and women report that these symptoms compromise their exercise participation and work capacity. The MSi needs to be formally validated (psychometrics); at present, it provides an easy way to quantify the frequency of menstrual cycle symptoms.

Improving Outcomes Among Young Adults with type 1 diabetes: The D1 Now Randomised Pilot Study Protocol

BACKGROUND

Young adults (18-25 years old) living with type 1 diabetes mellitus often have sub-optimal glycaemic levels which can increase their risk of long term diabetes complications. Informed by health psychology theory and using a (public and patient involvement) young adult-centred approach, we have developed a complex intervention, entitled D1 Now, to improve outcomes in this target group. The D1 Now intervention includes three components; 1) a support-worker, 2) an interactive messaging system and 3) an agenda setting tool for use during clinic consultations.

AIMS

The aim of the D1 Now pilot study is to gather and analyse acceptability and feasibility data to allow us to (1) refine the D1 Now intervention, and (2) determine the feasibility of a definitive Randomised Control Trial (RCT) of the intervention.

METHODS

Diabetes clinics on the island of Ireland will be recruited and randomised to a D1 Now intervention arm or a usual care control arm. For a participant to be eligible they should be 18-25 years old and living with type 1 diabetes for at least 12 months. Participant outcomes (influenced by a Core Outcome Set) include change in HbA1c, clinic attendance, number of episodes of severe hypoglycaemia and of diabetic ketoacidosis, diabetes distress, self-management, quality of life and perceived level of control over diabetes; these will be will be measured at baseline and after 12 months follow-up for descriptive statistics only. An assessment of treatment fidelity, a health economic analysis and a qualitative sub-study will also be incorporated into the pilot study. ISRCTN (ref: ISRCTN74114336).

Blood Biomarker Profiling and Monitoring for High-Performance Physiology and Nutrition: Current Perspectives, Limitations and Recommendations

Blood test data were traditionally confined to the clinic for diagnostic purposes, but are now becoming more routinely used in many professional and elite high-performance settings as a physiological profiling and monitoring tool. A wealth of information based on robust research evidence can be gleaned from blood tests, including: the identification of iron, vitamin or energy deficiency; the identification of oxidative stress and inflammation; and the status of red blood cell populations. Serial blood test data can be used to monitor athletes and make inferences about the efficacy of training interventions, nutritional strategies or indeed the capacity to tolerate training load. Via a profiling and monitoring approach, blood biomarker measurement combined with contextual data has the potential to help athletes avoid injury and illness via adjustments to diet, training load and recovery strategies. Since wide inter-individual variability exists in many biomarkers, clinical population-based reference data can be of limited value in athletes, and statistical methods for longitudinal data are required to identify meaningful changes within an athlete. Data quality is often compromised by poor pre-analytic controls in sport settings. The biotechnology industry is rapidly evolving, providing new technologies and methods, some of which may be well suited to athlete applications in the future. This review provides current perspectives, limitations and recommendations for sports science and sports medicine practitioners using blood profiling and monitoring for nutrition and performance purposes.

"Death is a better option than being treated like this": a prevalence survey and qualitative study of depression among multi-drug resistant tuberculosis in-patients

Background

Understanding of the relationship between multi-drug resistant tuberculosis and mental health is limited. With growing prevalence of multi-drug resistant tuberculosis, addressing mental ill-health has potential to improve treatment outcomes and well-being. In several low and middle-income contexts hospitalisation during treatment is common. Understanding of the impact on mental ill-health are required to inform interventions for patients with multi-drug resistant tuberculosis.

Our aim was to identify the prevalence of comorbid depression among in-patients being treated for multi-drug resistant tuberculosis and to explore their experiences of comorbid disease and the care they received in a large specialist chest hospital in Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Methods

We conducted a quantitative cross-sectional survey among 150 multi-drug resistant tuberculosis in-patients (new cases = 34%, previously treated = 66%) in 2018. A psychiatrist assessed depression was assessed with the Structured Clinical Interview for Depression (SCID DSM-IV). We used multi-level modelling to identify associations with depression. Experience Bangladeshi researchers conducted qualitative interviews with 8 patients, 4 carers, 4 health professionals and reflective notes recorded. Qualitative data was analysed thematically.

Results

We found 33.8% (95% CI 26.7%; 41.7%) of patients were depressed. While more women were depressed 39.3% (95% CI 27.6%; 52.4%) than men 30.4% (95% CI 22%; 40.5%) this was not significant. After controlling for key variables only having one or more co-morbidity (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 2.88 [95% CI 1.13; 7.33]) and being a new rather than previously treated case (AOR = 2.33 [95% CI 1.06; 5.14]) were associated (positively) with depression. Qualitative data highlighted the isolation and despair felt by patients who described a service predominantly focused on providing medicines. Individual, familial, societal and health-care factors influenced resilience, nuanced by gender, socio-economic status and home location.

Conclusions

Patients with multi-drug resistant tuberculosis are at high risk of depression, particularly those with co- and multi-morbidities. Screening for depression and psycho-social support should be integrated within routine TB services and provided throughout treatment.

Preoperative exercise to improve fitness in patients undergoing complex surgery for cancer of the lung or oesophagus (PRE-HIIT): protocol for a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Patients with cancer of the lung or oesophagus, undergoing curative treatment, usually require a thoracotomy and a complex oncological resection. These surgeries carry a risk of major morbidity and mortality, and risk assessment, preoperative optimisation, and enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) pathways are modern approaches to optimise outcomes. Pre-operative fitness is an established predictor of postoperative outcome, accordingly, targeting pre-operative fitness through exercise prehabilitation has logical appeal. Exercise prehabilitation is challenging to implement however due to the short opportunity for intervention between diagnosis and surgery. Therefore, individually prescribed, intensive exercise training protocols which convey clinically meaningful improvements in cardiopulmonary fitness over a short period need to be investigated. This project will examine the influence of exercise prehabilitation on physiological outcomes and postoperative recovery and, through evaluation of health economics, the impact of the programme on hospital costs.

METHODS

The PRE-HIIT Randomised Controlled Trial (RCT) will compare a 2-week high intensity interval training (HIIT) programme to standard preoperative care in a cohort of thoracic and oesophageal patients who are > 2-weeks pre-surgery. A total of 78 participants will be recruited (39 per study arm). The primary outcome is cardiorespiratory fitness. Secondary outcomes include, measures of pulmonary and physical and quality of life. Outcomes will be measured at baseline (T0), and post-intervention (T1). Post-operative morbidity will also be captured. The impact of PRE-HIIT on well-being will be examined qualitatively with focus groups/interviews post-intervention (T1). Participant's experience of preparation for surgery on the PRE-HIIT trial will also be explored. The healthcare costs associated with the PRE-HITT programme, in particular acute hospital costs, will also be examined.

DISCUSSION

The overall aim of this RCT is to examine the effect of tailored, individually prescribed high intensity interval training aerobic exercise on pre-operative fitness and postoperative recovery for patients undergoing complex surgical resections, and the impact on use of health services.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The study is registered with Clinical Trials.Gov (NCT03978325). Registered on 7th June 2019.

Community engagement interventions for communicable disease control in low- and lower- middle-income countries: evidence from a review of systematic reviews

Background

Community engagement (CE) interventions include a range of approaches to involve communities in the improvement of their health and wellbeing. Working with communities defined by location or some other shared interest, these interventions may be important in assisting equity and reach of communicable disease control (CDC) in low and lower-middle income countries (LLMIC). We conducted an umbrella review to identify approaches to CE in communicable disease control, effectiveness of these approaches, mechanisms and factors influencing success.

Methods

We included systematic reviews that: i) focussed on CE interventions; ii) involved adult community members; iii) included outcomes relevant to communicable diseases in LLMIC; iv) were written in English. Quantitative results were extracted and synthesised narratively. A qualitative synthesis process enabled identification of mechanisms of effect and influencing factors. We followed guidance from the Joanna Briggs Institute, assessed quality with the DARE tool and reported according to standard systematic review methodology.

Results

Thirteen systematic reviews of medium-to-high quality were identified between June and July 2017. Reviews covered the following outcomes: HIV and STIs (6); malaria (2); TB (1); child and maternal health (3) and mixed (1). Approaches included: CE through peer education and community health workers, community empowerment interventions and more general community participation or mobilisation. Techniques included sensitisation with the community and involvement in the identification of resources, intervention development and delivery. Evidence of effectiveness of CE on health outcomes was mixed and quality of primary studies variable. We found: i) significantly reduced neonatal mortality following women’s participatory learning and action groups; ii) significant reductions in HIV and other STIs with empowerment and mobilisation interventions with marginalised groups; iii) significant reductions in malaria incidence or prevalence in a small number of primary studies; iv) significant reductions in infant diarrhoea following community health worker interventions. Mechanisms of impact commonly occurred through social and behavioural processes, particularly: changing social norms, increasing social cohesion and social capacity. Factors influencing effectiveness of CE interventions included extent of population coverage, shared leadership and community control over outcomes.

Conclusion

Community engagement interventions may be effective in supporting CDC in LLMIC. Careful design of CE interventions appropriate to context, disease and community is vital.

A Three-Month Follow-Up Study Evaluating Changes in Clinical Profile and Attitudes Towards Involuntary Admission

Introduction

Involuntary admission and treatment is often a traumatic experience for patients and there is a wide variation in attitudes towards care even when patients are recovered.

Objectives/aims

The purpose of this large prospective study was to identify clinical predictors of attitudes towards care during involuntary admission.

Methods

Three hundred and ninety-one consecutively admitted involuntarily patients to three psychiatric inpatient units over a 30-month period were invited to participate in the study. Comprehensive assessments at admission and 3 months after discharge were attained including measures of symptoms, insight, functioning, attitudes towards involuntary admission and coercive experiences. Multiple linear regression modelling was used to determine the optimal explanatory variables for attitudes towards care.

Results

Two hundred and sixty-three individuals participated at baseline and 156 (59%) successfully completed follow-up assessments. Individuals improved significantly over time clinically and in their attitudes towards their care. At baseline greater insight (P < 0.001) and less symptoms (P = 0.02) were associated with more positive attitudes towards care as was older age (P = 0.001). At follow-up, greater insight (P < 0.001), less symptoms (P = 0.02) and being older (P = 0.04) were associated with more positive attitudes towards care. More positive attitudes towards care at follow-up were associated with greater improvements in insight over time (P < 0.001) and having a diagnosis of an affective psychosis (P = 0.0009).

Conclusions

The best predictors of positive attitudes towards care during and after involuntary admission are illness related factors, such as levels of insight and improvement in insight, rather than service or legislation related factors, such as the use of coercive measures, seclusion and restraint.

Disclosure of interest

The authors have not supplied their declaration of competing interest.

OptiBIRTH: a cluster randomised trial of a complex intervention to increase vaginal birth after caesarean section

BACKGROUND

Despite evidence supporting the safety of vaginal birth after caesarean section (VBAC), rates are low in many countries.

METHODS

OptiBIRTH investigated the effects of a woman-centred intervention designed to increase VBAC rates through an unblinded cluster randomised trial in 15 maternity units with VBAC rates < 35% in Germany, Ireland and Italy. Sites were matched in pairs or triplets based on annual birth numbers and VBAC rate, and randomised, 1:1 or 2:1, intervention versus control, following trial registration. The intervention involved evidence-based education of clinicians and women with one previous caesarean section (CS), appointment of opinion leaders, audit/peer review, and joint discussions by women and clinicians. Control sites provided usual care. Primary outcome was annual hospital-level VBAC rates before the trial (2012) versus final year of the trial (2016). Between April 2014 and October 2015, 2002 women were recruited (intervention 1195, control 807), with mode-of-birth data available for 1940 women.

RESULTS

The OptiBIRTH intervention was feasible and safe across hospital settings in three countries. There was no statistically significant difference in the change in the proportion of women having a VBAC between intervention sites (25.6% in 2012 to 25.1% in 2016) and control sites (18.3 to 22.3%) (odds ratio adjusted for differences between intervention and control groups (2012) and for homogeneity in VBAC rates at sites in the countries: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.67, 1.14, p = 0.32 based on 5674 women (2012) and 5284 (2016) with outcome data. Among recruited women with birth data, 4/1147 perinatal deaths > 24 weeks gestation occurred in the intervention group (0.34%) and 4/782 in the control group (0.51%), and two uterine ruptures (one per group), a rate of 1:1000.

CONCLUSIONS

Changing clinical practice takes time. As elective repeat CS is the most common reason for CS in multiparous women, interventions that are feasible and safe and that have been shown to lead to decreasing repeat CS, should be promoted. Continued research to refine the best way of promoting VBAC is essential. This may best be done using an implementation science approach that can modify evidence-based interventions in response to changing clinical circumstances.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The OptiBIRTH trial was registered on 3/4/2013. Trial registration number ISRCTN10612254.

Visualising statistical models using dynamic nomograms

Translational Statistics proposes to promote the use of Statistics within research and improve the communication of statistical findings in an accurate and accessible manner to diverse audiences. When statistical models become more complex, it becomes harder to evaluate the role of explanatory variables on the response. For example, the interpretation and communication of the effect of predictors in regression models where interactions or smoothing splines are included can be challenging. Informative graphical representations of statistical models play a critical translational role; static nomograms are one such useful tool to visualise statistical models. In this paper, we propose the use of dynamic nomogram as a translational tool which can accommodate models of increased complexity. In theory, all models appearing in the literature could be accompanied by the corresponding dynamic nomogram to translate models in an informative manner. The R package presented will facilitate this communication for a variety of linear and non-linear models.

WHEN AND HOW I WANT: FEASIBILITY AND EFFECTS OF EMBEDDING PHYSICAL ACTIVITY INTO NURSING HOME CARE

Physical activity (PA) is essential to maintaining health into older age. However, older adults living in nursing homes (NHs) remain highly inactive. This study tested the feasibility of a PA programme embedded into NH care and its potential effects on older adults’ function and quality of life (QOL). A cluster-randomised controlled pilot feasibility study, including qualitative and economic components, was conducted. Intervention participants (n=18) performed Morning Movement (morning-time walking and sit-to-stand exercises) and Activity Bursts (bouts of activity throughout the day in standing), 3 times weekly for 12-weeks. Participants in the control NH (n=16) received usual care. At baseline and 12-weeks, feasibility and economic data were collected, function was measured using the Timed Up and Go (TUG) and 10-Metre Walk Test (10MWT) and QOL was measured with the Nottingham Health Profile (NHP) and Investigating Choice Experiments for the Preferences of Older People-CAPability (ICECAP-O). Semi-structured interviews were conducted with staff and participants at mid- and post-intervention and analysed thematically. The PA programme was acceptable to staff and participants and study procedures were feasible. Mean TUG improved by 10.2 (±21.6) seconds in the intervention group and was unchanged -0.2 (9.5) seconds in the control group (95% confidence interval of between-group difference in improvement -2.5 to 23.3 seconds). 10MWT scores stayed stable in the intervention group and disimproved in the control group. ICECAP-O and NHP scores were unchanged. While this study contained a small sample, it demonstrated a feasible, acceptable and potentially effective NH PA intervention and provides guidance for a definitive trial.

Comparative efficacy of exercise and anti-hypertensive pharmacological interventions in reducing blood pressure in people with hypertension: A network meta-analysis

Aims

This analysis aims to estimate the comparative efficacy of anti-hypertensive medications and exercise interventions on systolic and diastolic blood pressure reduction in people with hypertension.

Methods

A systematic review was conducted focusing on randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of exercise interventions and first-line anti-hypertensives where blood pressure reduction was the primary outcome in those with hypertension. Network meta-analyses were conducted to generate estimates of comparative efficacy.

Results

We identified 93 RCTs ( N = 32,404, mean age in RCTs: 39–70 years) which compared placebo or usual care with first-line antihypertensives including angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, calcium channel blockers and thiazide-like diuretics and exercise interventions including aerobic training and dynamic resistance training. Of these, there were 81 (87%) trials related to medications ( n = 31,347, 97%) and 12 (13%) trials related to exercise ( n = 1057, 3%). The point estimates suggested that antihypertensive medications were more effective than exercise but there was insufficient evidence to suggest that first-line medications significantly reduced blood pressure to a greater extent than did the exercise interventions. Of the first-line treatments, angiotensin receptor blockers and calcium channel blockers had the highest treatment ranking, while exercise had the second lowest treatment ranking, followed by control conditions.

Conclusion

The current evidence base with a bias towards medication research may partly explain the circumspection around the efficacy of exercise in guidelines and practice. Clinicians may justifiably consider exercise for low risk hypertension patients who confirm a preference for such an approach.

404 Porous titanium revision shells permit early weight-bearing and rapid rehabilitation in revision hip surgery

An aging population and younger primary arthroplasty candidates have led to increased demand for acetabular bone deficient revision hip surgery. Seventy consecutive revision arthroplasty porous titanium shells prior to December 2011 were reviewed. We sought to determine evidence of implant instability in a cohort of patients that are mobilised early. Radiological data were analysed for stability. Primary endpoint was revision of implant. Mean age at surgery was 69.9 (±10) years. Median time since primary surgery was 13 years (range: 0.3-37). Forty-nine per cent had Paprosky Type IIb or greater acetabular deficiency. Bone graft and augments were not used. One shell was revised for ingrowth failure. Mean acetabular inclination was 35.4 ̊ (±7.3) post- operatively and 36.9 ̊ (±7.28) at latest follow up. There were no screw fractures. Porous titanium shells in revision arthroplasty are stable and permit rapid rehabilitation.

An evaluation of an intervention designed to help inactive adults become more active with a peer mentoring component: a protocol for a cluster randomised feasibility trial of the Move for Life programme

Background

There is overwhelming evidence to support the promotion of physical activity in adults in terms of benefits to well-being, physical and mental health. Physical activity guidelines suggest that adults should accumulate at least 150 min of moderate to vigorous physical activity per week. In Ireland, the majority of adults do not achieve these guidelines, with costs to health and economy. ‘Move for Life’ (MFL) employs behavioural change techniques delivered by an instructor and peer mentor, using a train-the-trainer (cascade) model. This study will conduct a feasibility cluster randomised controlled trial of the MFL intervention for modifying physical activity behaviours in inactive adults aged 45 years and older.

Methods

The trial is set in eight Local Sports Partnership (LSP) hubs that have structured physical activity programmes. The hubs are the units of randomisation (clusters), and individuals are the units of analysis (participants). Eligible participants will contact one of the hubs, with each hub running four physical activity programmes. Each programme requires between 12–15 inactive adults, resulting in 48–60 participants per hub. Allowing for 20% dropout rate, an additional 96 people will be recruited giving a maximum sample of 576. The hub will be randomised: true control, usual programme or MFL intervention. The true control group will be given information about physical activity but will not be included in a programme for the duration of the trial; the intervention will involve the instructor training one (or more) of the participants to be a peer mentor using an educational toolkit; and usual care groups will have physical activity classes delivered as normal. Baseline data will collect physical activity measures and follow-up measurements will be obtained at 3 and 6 months. All participants will be asked to wear a device for measuring activity on the thigh (activPAL) for 7 days before commencing the programme and at 3 and 6 months. The primary objective of the study is to investigate if it is feasible to deliver the intervention and collect data on moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA) on all participants, thereby providing valuable information to guide sample size calculation for a future, more definitive trial.

Trial registration number

ISRCTN11235176

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s40814-019-0473-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Relative and Absolute Expression Analysis of MicroRNAs Associated with Luminal A Breast Cancer- A Comparison

MicroRNAs, as small non-coding regulatory RNAs, play crucial roles in various aspects of breast cancer biology. They have prognostic and diagnostic value, which makes them very interesting molecules to investigate. Reverse transcriptase quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) is the gold standard method to analyse miRNA expression in breast cancer patients. This study investigated two RT-qPCR methods (absolute and relative) to determine the expression of ten miRNAs in whole blood samples obtained from luminal A breast cancer patients compared to healthy controls. Whole blood samples were collected from 38 luminal A breast cancer patients and 20 healthy controls in Paxgene blood RNA tubes. Total RNA was extracted and analysed by relative and absolute RT-qPCR. For relative RT-qPCR, miR-16 was used as an endogenous control. For absolute RT-qPCR, standard curves were generated using synthetic miRNA oligonucleotides to determine the absolute copy number of each miRNA. Of the ten miRNAs that were analysed, the absolute RT-qPCR method identified six miRNAs (miR-16, miR-145, miR-155, miR-451a, miR-21 and miR-486) that were upregulated and one miRNA (miR-195) that was downregulated. ROC curve and AUC analysis of the data found that the combination of three miRNAs (miR-145, miR-195 and miR-486) had the best diagnostic value for luminal A breast cancer with an AUC of 0.875, with 76% sensitivity and 81% specificity. On the other hand, the relative RT-qPCR method identified two miRNAs (miR-155 and miR-486) that were upregulated and miR-195, which was downregulated. Using this approach, the combination of three miRNAs (miR-155, miR-195 and miR-486) was showed to have an AUC of 0.657 with 65% sensitivity and 69% specificity. We conclude that miR-16 is not a suitable normalizer for the relative expression profiling of miRNAs in luminal A breast cancer patients. Compared to relative quantification, absolute quantification assay is a better method to determine the expression level of circulating miRNAs in Luminal A breast cancer.

Analysis of revascularisation in ischaemic stroke with EmboTrap (ARISE I study) and meta-analysis of thrombectomy

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The goal of the analysis of revascularisation in ischaemic stroke with EmboTrap study (ARISE I) was to demonstrate the effectiveness of EmboTrap.

METHODS

ARISE I was an open label, single arm, multicentre, prospective study for the treatment of acute stroke due to large vessel occlusion. The primary outcome was revascularisation of the target vessel as measured by the modified thrombolysis in cerebrovascular infarction (mTICI) score of at least 2b following thrombectomy with EmboTrap. For comparison of the ARISE I results a meta-analysis of eight randomised controlled trials was performed.

RESULTS

ARISE I enrolled 40 patients. Their baseline characteristics that are predictors of stroke outcome and procedure timings in ARISE I were similar to those reported in recent randomised controlled trials. The primary outcome, good revascularisation rates (mTICI 2b/3 scores) after three or fewer passes with EmboTrap were 75% (95% confidence interval (CI) 62-88%), which is the same as 74% found in randomised controlled trials (difference of 0.8%, P = 0.95). After additional EmboTrap passes or the use of another device mTICI 2b/3 scores rose to 85% (95% CI 74-96%), which was also similar to the randomised controlled trials (difference 11%, P = 0.38). The high revascularisation rates in ARISE I converted into 64% good clinical outcomes (modified Rankin scale ≤2) compared to 50% in randomised controlled trials (difference 14%; 95% CI -13.7-41.7%; P = 0.32).

CONCLUSIONS

ARISE I demonstrates that thrombectomy using the EmboTrap stent retriever yields similar results to devices that were used in recent randomised controlled trials for the treatment of stroke due to large vessel occlusions. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT02190552.

Predictors of involuntary patients' satisfaction with care: prospective study

BACKGROUND

Involuntary admission can be traumatic and is associated with negative attitudes that persist after the episode of illness has abated.

AIMS

We aimed to prospectively assess satisfaction with care at the points of involuntary admission and symptomatic recovery, and identify their sociodemographic, clinical and service experience predictors.

METHOD

Levels of satisfaction with care, and clinical and sociodemographic variables were obtained from a representative cohort of 263 patients at the point of involuntary admission and from 155 of these patients 3 months after termination of the involuntary admission. Data were analysed with multiple linear regression modelling.

RESULTS

Higher baseline awareness of illness (B = 0.19, P < 0.001) and older age (B = 0.05, P = 0.001) were associated with more satisfaction with care at baseline and follow-up. Transition to greater satisfaction with care was associated with improvements in awareness of illness (B = 0.13, P < 0.001) and in symptoms (B = 0.05, P = 0.02), as well as older age (B = 0.04, P = 0.01). Objective coercive experiences were not associated with variation in satisfaction with care.

CONCLUSIONS

There is wide variation in satisfaction with coercive care. Greater satisfaction with care is positively associated with clinical variables such as increased awareness of illness.

DECLARATION OF INTEREST

None.

Prevention of striae gravidarum: study protocol for a pilot randomised controlled trial

Background

Striae gravidarum (stretch marks) are considered the most common connective tissue/skin change in pregnancy. Though not a health issue they can affect women in different ways, for example, cause stress or be an aesthetic or cosmetic concern. Many women use one or more of the commercially available products to try and prevent their development during pregnancy despite the fact that that there is a lack of high-quality evidence to support their use. There is a dearth of studies on the prevention of striae gravidarum and large, robust trials are lacking. Until such time as more products are investigated, much of the knowledge remains anecdotal. This pilot study will evaluate the feasibility of conducting a study to evaluate the effectiveness of a commercially available moisturising oil compared to no treatment for the prevention and reduction in severity of striae gravidarum.

Methods

The definitive study will be a randomised controlled trial to evaluate the effectiveness of a moisturising oil (commercially available moisturising oil) compared to no treatment for the prevention and reduction in severity of striae gravidarum. This protocol is for a pilot randomised trial to evaluate the feasibility of conducting such a study. The pilot study will be a two-arm, unblinded, pragmatic parallel randomised trial with a 1:1 randomisation ratio between control and intervention groups. Women in the intervention group will be asked to apply a moisturising oil to their abdomen during pregnancy, while women in the control group will not use any treatment. It is proposed to recruit 20 primigravida, who are 12–16 weeks pregnant from an Irish Maternity Hospital, in each arm to assess the feasibility of running such a trial.

Discussion

This pilot trial will evaluate the feasibility of conducting the main study to evaluate the effectiveness of a moisturising oil (commercially available moisturising oil) compared to no treatment for the prevention and reduction in severity of striae gravidarum. It will potentially initiate the generation of high-quality evidence to guide women in their choice of anti-stretch mark product.

Trial registration

ISRCTN Registry, ISRCTN76992326. Registered on 14 July 2017.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13063-018-2898-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Admission cardiotocography versus intermittent auscultation of the fetal heart in low-risk pregnancy during evaluation for possible labour admission - a multicentre randomised trial: the ADCAR trial

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effect of admission cardiotocography (ACTG) versus intermittent auscultation (IA) of the fetal heart (FH) in low-risk pregnancy during assessment for possible labour on caesarean section rates.

DESIGN

A parallel multicentre randomised trial.

SETTING

Three maternity units in the Republic of Ireland.

POPULATION

Healthy, low-risk pregnant women, at term and ≥ 18 years old, who provided written informed consent.

METHODS

Women were randomised to receive IA of the FH or 20 minutes ACTG on admission for possible labour onset, using remote telephone randomisation. Both groups received IA during labour, with conversion to continuous CTG as clinically indicated.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Caesarean section (primary outcome), obstetric interventions (e.g. continuous CTG during labour, fetal blood sampling, augmentation of labour) and neonatal morbidity (e.g. metabolic acidosis, admission to the neonatal intensive care unit, neonatal death).

RESULTS

Based on 3034 women (1513 and 1521 randomised to IA and ACTG, respectively), there was no statistical difference between the groups in caesarean section [130 (8.6%) and 105 (6.9%) for IA and ACTG groups, respectively; relative risk (RR) 1.24; 95% CI 0.97-1.58], or in any other outcome except for use of continuous CTG during labour, which was lower in the IA group (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.86-0.93).

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrates no differences in obstetric or neonatal outcomes between IA and ACTG for women with possible labour onset, other than an increased risk for continuous CTG in women receiving ACTG.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

No differences in outcomes between intermittent auscultation and admission cardiotocography for women with possible labour onset.

Feasibility of a physical activity programme embedded into the daily lives of older adults living in nursing homes: protocol for a randomised controlled pilot feasibility study

Background

Older adults living in nursing homes spend the majority of their time inactive. The associated levels of chronic disease place an increasing burden on healthcare systems. Physical activity (PA) interventions delivered through exercise classes may be resource-intensive and require specialist staff. The aim of this study is to explore the feasibility and acceptability of a PA programme embedded into the daily lives of older adults living in nursing homes and to examine the preliminary effects of this on physical mobility and quality of life.

Methods

A randomised controlled pilot feasibility study, including embedded qualitative and economic components will be carried out. Two randomly selected nursing homes will take part in the study; participants (n = 20) in one nursing home will receive a three-month PA intervention and participants (n = 20) in the other will be a usual care control. Nursing home staff will be provided with training and support to monitor participants PA programmes. Feasibility data will be collected on recruitment, randomisation, assessment and intervention procedures. Criteria for progression of the pilot feasibility study to a definitive trial will be specified. The Timed Up and Go test, Nottingham Health Profile, 10-Metre Walk test, the Investigating Choice Experiments for the Preferences of Older People Capability index and the Bangor Goal Setting Interview will be assessed at baseline, three-month and 12-month follow-up. Between-group and within-individual effects will be estimated using appropriate linear mixed models. Semi-structured interviews will be conducted with staff and participants of the intervention group within one month after the intervention to explore the feasibility and acceptability of the programme. A subset of control participants will be interviewed to describe usual care. Economic data will be collected to examine costs of the intervention in comparison with costs in the control group.

Discussion

The findings will facilitate refinement of the PA programme and development of a clear protocol for subsequent evaluation of the PA intervention in a definitive randomised controlled trial.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03484715. Registered on 30 March 2018.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13063-018-2848-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Comparative effectiveness of physical activity interventions and anti-hypertensive pharmacological interventions in reducing blood pressure in people with hypertension: protocol for a systematic review and network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of hypertension is a major public health challenge. Despite it being highly preventable, hypertension is responsible for a significant proportion of global morbidity and mortality. Common methods for controlling hypertension include prescribing anti-hypertensive medication, a pharmacological approach, and increasing physical activity, a behavioural approach. In general, little is known about the comparative effectiveness of pharmacological and behavioural approaches for reducing blood pressure in hypertension. A previous network meta-analysis suggested that physical activity interventions may be just as effective as many anti-hypertensive medications in preventing mortality; however, this analysis did not provide the comparative effectiveness of these disparate modes of intervention on blood pressure reduction. The primary objective of this study is to use network meta-analysis to compare the relative effectiveness, for blood pressure reduction, of different approaches to increasing physical activity and different first-line anti-hypertensive therapies in people with hypertension.

METHODS

A systematic review will be conducted to identify studies involving randomised controlled trials which compare different types of physical activity interventions and first-line anti-hypertensive therapy interventions to each other or to other comparators (e.g. placebo, usual care) where blood pressure reduction is the primary outcome. We will search the Cochrane Library, MEDLINE and PsycInfo. For studies which meet our inclusion criteria, two reviewers will extract data independently and assess the quality of the literature using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool. Network meta-analyses will be conducted to generate estimates of comparative effectiveness of each intervention class and rankings of their effectiveness, in terms of reduction of both systolic and diastolic blood pressure.

DISCUSSION

This study will provide evidence regarding the comparability of two common first-line treatment options for people with hypertension. It will also describe the extent to which there is direct evidence regarding the comparative effectiveness of increasing physical activity and initiating anti-hypertensive therapy.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42017070579.

The CHARMS pilot study: a multi-method assessment of the feasibility of a sexual counselling implementation intervention in cardiac rehabilitation in Ireland

Background

Many people living with cardiovascular disease (CVD) are affected by sexual problems associated with the condition. International guidelines recommend all patients with CVD should receive sexual counselling, yet this is rarely provided by health professionals. The current study piloted the Cardiac Health and Relationship Management and Sexuality (CHARMS) intervention, a complex multi-level intervention designed to increase the implementation of sexual counselling guidelines in hospital-based cardiac rehabilitation (CR) in Ireland.

Methods

The CHARMS intervention, consisting of awareness training and skills development for staff, and education and support for patients, was implemented in two CR centres. Following a repeated measures design, quantitative and qualitative feasibility, fidelity, cost, and outcome data were collected from staff and patients at baseline (T1, pre-intervention), at 3 months post-baseline (T2, post-intervention), and at 6 months post-baseline (T3, post-intervention). Data were organised according to a 14-point reporting framework of methodological issues that should be examined in pilot and feasibility studies. To inform a future definitive trial, potential solutions to identified feasibility issues were generated using the ADePT process for decision-making after pilot and feasibility trials.

Results

Most elements of the study protocol were executed smoothly, and intervention implementation was successful. Patients' (N = 42) responses to the intervention were positive. The reporting framework and the ADePT process facilitated the identification of two overarching feasibility problems, as well as solutions to be implemented in a definitive trial: (1) a high level of patient attrition in the pilot study, to be addressed through the use of financial incentives, reducing the length of the patient questionnaire, and providing a telephone survey option; and (2) negative staff perceptions, to be addressed through an augmented staff intervention, reframing 'sexual counselling' as 'sexual education and support' to fit with professional role perceptions, and reviewing all intervention terminology with a CR staff member to ensure acceptability.

Conclusions

This article reports the successful piloting of a novel sexual counselling implementation intervention in cardiac rehabilitation. The utilisation of an extended reporting framework and the ADePT process facilitated the identification of adaptations necessary to ensure the feasibility of a definitive trial, thereby maximising methodological transparency.