Timing of coronary angiography in patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome: long-term clinical outcomes from the nationwide SWEDEHEART registry

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines stress the importance of early invasive assessment of patients with non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS), in particular those at high risk. However, supporting scientific evidence is limited.

AIMS

We aimed to investigate the prognostic impact of the timing of coronary angiography in a large cohort of NSTE-ACS patients.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis including 34,666 NSTE-ACS patients registered from 2013 to 2018 in the SWEDEHEART registry. The prognostic implications of the timing of coronary angiography on a continuous scale and within <24 vs 24-72 hours were assessed using Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

The median time interval from admission to invasive assessment was 32.8 (25th, 75th percentiles 20.4-63.8) hours. There was no apparent time window within 96 hours from admission that provided prognostic benefit. Coronary angiography within 24-72 hours (vs <24 hours) was not associated with worse outcome overall (all-cause mortality: hazard ratio 1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.11; major adverse events: hazard ratio 1.04, 95% CI: 0.98-1.12). Interaction analyses indicated a greater relative benefit of coronary angiography <24 hours in some lower-risk groups (women, non-diabetics, patients with minor troponin elevation) but neutral effects in higher-risk groups (defined by age or the GRACE 2.0 score).

CONCLUSIONS

These Swedish data do not provide support for an early invasive strategy in NSTE-ACS, especially in high-risk patients. Our results suggest that the timing of invasive assessment should rather be based on individualised decisions integrating symptoms and risk panorama than on strictly defined time intervals.

Machine learning-based in-hospital mortality prediction models for patients with acute coronary syndrome

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study is to identify the risk factors of in-hospital mortality in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and to evaluate the performance of traditional regression and machine learning prediction models.

METHODS

The data of ACS patients who entered the emergency department of Fujian Provincial Hospital from January 1, 2017 to March 31, 2020 for chest pain were retrospectively collected. The study used univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify risk factors for in-hospital mortality of ACS patients. The traditional regression and machine learning algorithms were used to develop predictive models, and the sensitivity, specificity, and receiver operating characteristic curve were used to evaluate the performance of each model.

RESULTS

A total of 6482 ACS patients were included in the study, and the in-hospital mortality rate was 1.88%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis found that age, NSTEMI, Killip III, Killip IV, and levels of D-dimer, cardiac troponin I, CK, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, and Stains were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. The study found that the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the models developed by logistic regression, gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), random forest, and support vector machine (SVM) for predicting the risk of in-hospital mortality were 0.884, 0.918, 0.913, and 0.896, respectively. Feature importance evaluation found that NT-proBNP, D-dimer, and Killip were top three variables that contribute the most to the prediction performance of the GBDT model and random forest model.

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive model developed using logistic regression, GBDT, random forest, and SVM algorithms can be used to predict the risk of in-hospital death of ACS patients. Based on our findings, we recommend that clinicians focus on monitoring the changes of NT-proBNP, D-dimer, Killip, cTnI, and LDH as this may improve the clinical outcomes of ACS patients.

Temporal trends and predictors of time to coronary angiography following non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome in the USA

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to investigate the temporal trends in utilization of invasive coronary angiography (CA) at different time points and changing profiles of patients undergoing CA following non-ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTEACS). We also describe the association between time to CA and in-hospital clinical outcomes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We queried the National Inpatient Sample to identify all admissions with a primary diagnosis of NSTEACS from 2004 to 2014. Patients were stratified into early (day 0, 1), intermediate (day 2) and late strategy (day≥3) according to time to CA. Multivariable logistic regression was used to investigate the association between time to CA and in-hospital mortality, major bleeding, stroke and Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events.

RESULTS

A total of 4 380 827 records were identified with a diagnosis of NSTEACS, out of which 57.5% received CA. The proportion of patients undergoing early CA increased from 65.6 to 72.6%, whereas late CA commensurately declined from 19.6 to 13.5%. Patients receiving early CA were younger (age: 64 vs. 70 years), more likely to be male (63.7 vs. 55.3%) and of Caucasian ethnic background (68.7 vs. 64.7%) compared with late CA group. Similarly, Women, weekend admissions and African Americans remain less likely to receive early CA. In-hospital mortality was lowest in the intermediate group (odds ratio=0.30, 95% confidence interval: 0.28-0.33).

CONCLUSION

Use of early CA has increased in the management of NSTEACS; however, there remain significant disparities in utilization of an early invasive approach in women, African Americans, admission day and older patients in the USA.

Association of Multiple Biomarkers With Risk of All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality After Acute Coronary Syndromes: A Secondary Analysis of the PLATO Biomarker Study

Importance

Mortality remains at about 5% within a year after an acute coronary syndrome event. Prior studies have assessed biomarkers in relation to all-cause or cardiovascular deaths but not across multiple causes.

Objective

To assess if different biomarkers provide information about the risk for all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

Design, Setting, and Participants

The Platelet Inhibition and Patient Outcomes (PLATO) trial randomized 18 624 patients with acute coronary syndrome to ticagrelor or clopidogrel from October 2006 through July 2008. In this secondary analysis biomarker substudy, 17 095 patients participated.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Death due to myocardial infarction, heart failure, sudden cardiac death/arrhythmia, bleeding, procedures, other vascular causes, and nonvascular causes, as well as all-cause death.

Exposures

At baseline, levels of cystatin-C, growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, high-sensitivity troponin I and T, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were determined.

Results

The median (interquartile range) age of patients was 62.0 (54.0-71.0) years. Of 17 095 patients, 782 (4.6%) died during follow-up. The continuous associations between biomarkers and all-cause and cause-specific mortality were modeled using Cox models and presented as hazard ratio (HR) comparing the upper vs lower quartile. For all-cause mortality, NT-proBNP and GDF-15 were the strongest markers with adjusted HRs of 2.96 (95% CI, 2.33-3.76) and 2.65 (95% CI, 2.17-3.24), respectively. Concerning death due to heart failure, NT-proBNP was associated with an 8-fold and C-reactive protein, GDF-15, and cystatin-C, with a 3-fold increase in risk. Regarding sudden cardiac death/arrhythmia, NT-proBNP was associated with a 4-fold increased risk and GDF-15 with a doubling in risk. Growth differentiation factor-15 had the strongest associations with other vascular and nonvascular deaths and was possibly associated with death due to major bleeding (HR, 4.91; 95% CI, 1.39-17.43).

Conclusions and Relevance

In patients with acute coronary syndrome, baseline levels of NT-proBNP and GDF-15 were strong markers associated with all-cause death based on their associations with death due to heart failure as well as due to arrhythmia and sudden cardiac death. Growth differentiation factor-15 had the strongest associations with death due to other vascular or nonvascular causes and possibly with death due to bleeding.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00391872.

Association of Diabetes Mellitus With Health Status Outcomes in Young Women and Men After Acute Myocardial Infarction: Results From the VIRGO Study

Background Diabetes mellitus increases the risk of mortality after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, little is known about the association of diabetes mellitus with post-AMI health status outcomes (symptoms, functioning, and quality of life) in younger adults. Methods and Results We investigated the association between diabetes mellitus and health status during the first 12 months after AMI, using data from 3501 adults with AMI (42.6% with diabetes mellitus) aged 18 to 55 years enrolled in the VIRGO (Variation in Recovery: Role of Gender on Outcomes of Young AMI Patients) study. Health status was measured with Seattle Angina Questionnaire (SAQ), 12-item Short-Form Health Survey, and EuroQol-Visual Analogue Scale at baseline hospitalization, 1-month, and 12-months post-AMI. At baseline, patients with diabetes mellitus had significantly worse SAQ-angina frequency (81±22 versus 86±19), SAQ-physical limitations (77±28 versus 85±23), SAQ-quality of life (55±25 versus 57±23), 12-item Short-Form Health Survey mental (44±13 versus 46±12)/physical functioning (41±12 versus 46±12), and EuroQol-Visual Analogue Scale (61±22 versus 66±21) than those without diabetes mellitus. Over time, both groups (with and without diabetes mellitus) improved considerably and the differences in health status scores progressively narrowed (except for 12-item Short-Form Health Survey physical functioning). In the linear-mixed effects models, adjusted for sociodemographics, cardiovascular risk factors, comorbidities, clinical characteristics, psychosocial factors, healthcare use, and AMI treatment, diabetes mellitus was associated with worse health status at baseline but not after discharge, and the association did not vary by sex. Conclusions At baseline, young adults with diabetes mellitus had poorer health status than those without diabetes mellitus. After AMI, however, they experienced significant improvements and diabetes mellitus was not associated with worse angina, SAQ-physical limitations, mental functioning, and quality of life, after adjustment for baseline covariates. Clinical Trial Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/. Unique identifier: NCT00597922.

Comparison of early and delayed invasive strategies in short-medium term among patients with non-ST segment elevation acute coronary syndrome: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background and objectives

An invasive approach is recommended as the treatment of patients with non-ST elevated acute coronary syndromes (NSTE-ACS). However, it remains unclear that the optimal time of angiography and intervention for patients with NSTE-ACS at present. This study was designed to compare the effect of early and delayed invasive strategies on short-medium term prognosis in patients with those.

Methods

Pubmed, Cochrane Library and Embase were searched up to Dec-30-2018. Randomized clinical trials comparing an early versus a delayed invasive strategy in patients with NSTE-ACS were included. The primary endpoint (all-cause death and recurrent myocardial infarction) and secondary endpoint (major bleeding and recurrent revascularization), as well as composite endpoint were assessed by random or fixed effected meta-analysis with software RevMan 5.3 version after short-medium term follow up.

Result

A total of six randomized clinical trials involving 4,277 early or delayed invasive strategies patients with NSTE-ACS were included in the meta-analysis. Time to coronary angiography varied from 0.5 to 24 h in the early invasive strategy and from 18.6 to 72 h in the delayed invasive strategy. There was a statistical difference in the primary endpoint of all-cause death among patients with NSTE-ACS between early and delayed invasive strategies (4.6% vs 6%; OR:0.76; 95% CI:0.58 to 1.00; P = 0.05; I² = 0%), but not for recurrent myocardial infarction (6.0% vs 6.3%; OR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.55 to 1.61; P = 0.82; I² = 60%). The major bleeding in patients with NSTE-ACS was similar between both invasive strategies (2.7% vs 3.1%; OR:0.88; 95% CI:0.59 to 1.31; P = 0.54; I² = 0%). However, the composite endpoint in the early invasive strategy patients with NSTE-ACS was significantly lower than that of the delayed invasive strategy (10.9% vs 13.9%; OR:0.76; 95% CI:0.63 to 0.92; P = 0.006; I² = 0%), and the recurrent revascularization between both strategies was just the opposite (8.7% vs 5.9%; OR:1.5; 95%CI:1.15 to 1.97; P = 0.003; I² = 0%).

Conclusion

The systematic review and meta-analysis demonstrated that the early invasive strategy had a beneficial trend on all-cause death and significantly reduced the composite endpoint in patients with NSTE-ACS, but increased the rate of revascularization. These data could provide a solution for patients with those.