Stroke and bleeding risk in atrial fibrillation with CHA2DS2-VASC risk score of one: the Norwegian AFNOR study

Polygenic Risk and Cardiovascular Event Risk in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation With Low to Intermediate Stroke Risk

BACKGROUND

The clinical utility of the polygenic risk score in predicting cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) has not yet been established. This study aimed to determine whether the polygenic risk score for AF might be useful in the risk stratification of AF-related cardiovascular events.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study included 9597 oral anticoagulation-naive patients with AF with a CHA2DS2-VA (congestive heart failure; hypertension; age ≥75 years; diabetes; prior stroke or transient ischemic attack or thromboembolism; vascular disease; and age 65-74 years) score of 0 or 1 from the UK Biobank. Patients were stratified according to polygenic risk score tertiles and observed for the occurrence of ischemic stroke or systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, and heart failure hospitalization. The risks of incident events associated with the polygenic risk score were investigated using inverse probability of treatment weighting. Of 9597 individuals, 3800 (39.6%) were women and the mean±SD age was 65.3±6.4 years. During a median follow-up of 4.6 years (interquartile range, 1.7-7.9 years), the incidence rates of ischemic stroke or systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, and heart failure hospitalization were 0.83, 0.42, and 0.61 per 100 person-years, respectively. Compared with low genetic risk, high genetic risk was associated with a hazard ratio of 1.38 (95% CI, 1.08-1.76; P=0.011) for ischemic stroke or systemic embolism, 1.15 (95% CI, 0.82-1.61; P=0.422) for myocardial infarction, and 1.02 (95% CI, 0.78-1.34; P=0.895) for heart failure hospitalization.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with AF with low-intermediate stroke risk, genetic risk for AF is associated with increased risk of stroke or systemic embolism.

The Construction and Application of a Clinical Decision Support System for Cardiovascular Diseases: Multimodal Data-Driven Development and Validation Study

Background

Due to the acceleration of the aging population and the prevalence of unhealthy lifestyles, the incidence of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) in China continues to grow. However, due to the uneven distribution of medical resources across regions and significant disparities in diagnostic and treatment levels, the diagnosis and management of CVDs face considerable challenges.

Objective

The purpose of this study is to build a cardiovascular diagnosis and treatment knowledge base by using new technology, form an auxiliary decision support system, and integrate it into the doctor's workstation, to improve the assessment rate and treatment standardization rate. This study offers new ideas for the prevention and management of CVDs.

Methods

This study designed a clinical decision support system (CDSS) with data, learning, knowledge, and application layers. It integrates multimodal data from hospital laboratory information systems, hospital information systems, electronic medical records, electrocardiography, nursing, and other systems to build a knowledge model. The unstructured data were segmented using natural language processing technology, and medical entity words and entity combination relationships were extracted using IDCNN (iterated dilated convolutional neural network) and TextCNN (text convolutional neural network). The CDSS refers to global CVD assessment indicators to design quality control strategies and an intelligent treatment plan recommendation engine map, establishing a big data analysis platform to achieve multidimensional, visualized data statistics for management decision support.

Results

The CDSS system is embedded and interfaced with the physician workstation, triggering in real-time during the clinical diagnosis and treatment process. It establishes a 3-tier assessment control through pop-up windows and screen domination operations. Based on the intelligent diagnostic and treatment reminders of the CDSS, patients are given intervention treatments. The important risk assessment and diagnosis rate indicators significantly improved after the system came into use, and gradually increased within 2 years. The indicators of mandatory control, directly became 100% after the CDSS was online. The CDSS enhanced the standardization of clinical diagnosis and treatment.

Conclusions

This study establishes a specialized knowledge base for CVDs, combined with clinical multimodal information, to intelligently assess and stratify cardiovascular patients. It automatically recommends intervention treatments based on assessments and clinical characterizations, proving to be an effective exploration of using a CDSS to build a disease-specific intelligent system.

Temporal Trends of Ischemic Stroke Risk in Patients With Incident Atrial Fibrillation Before Anticoagulation

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major risk factor for ischemic stroke (IS), but whether the magnitude of this risk has changed over time is unknown.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to investigate temporal trends in IS rates in patients with incident AF before oral anticoagulant agent (OAC) therapy.

METHODS

The nationwide FinACAF (Finnish Anticoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation) study covers patients with AF at all levels of care in Finland from 2007 to 2018. A 4-week quarantine period from AF diagnosis was applied, and only follow-up time without OAC therapy was included. Incidence rates of IS were computed in 4-year intervals in relation to sex and non-sex CHA2DS2-VASc (ie, CHA2DS2-VA) score values.

RESULTS

In total, 129,789 patients with new-onset AF were identified (49.2% women; mean age: 71.4 ± 14.5 years). Between the calendar year intervals of 2007-2010 and 2015-2018, the patients' mean CHA2DS2-VA score increased from 2.5 to 3.0, and concurrently the overall IS rate decreased by 25% from 36.7 to 27.6 events per 1,000 patient-years. This trend was driven by a 32% decrease of IS rate in women, particularly among those with higher age and CHA2DS2-VA scores. The IS rate in patients with a CHA2DS2-VA score of 1 was 8.2 events per 1,000 patient-years and remained stable across the study period.

CONCLUSIONS

The initial IS risk in AF patients, before the initiation of OAC therapy, has decreased by 25% between 2007 and 2018 despite an increase in both age and stroke risk scores. The decrease has been most pronounced in older women with high stroke risk scores.

Clinical and Economic Impact of a First Major Bleeding Event in Non-Anticoagulated Patients in Spain: A 3-Year Retrospective Observational Cohort Study

Objective: To analyze clinical characteristics of non-anticoagulated subjects with major bleeding, and to determine the incidence of adverse events, healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and associated costs following a major bleeding event. Methods: Retrospective observational cohort study that analyzed secondary data from electronic health records in Spain. Non-anticoagulated patients with a first major bleeding during the study period (between January 2013 and December 2022) were analyzed for 3 years. Results: A total of 4089 patients (mean age 57.26 (12.87) years, 58.47% female) were included. A proportion of 27.63% presented with genitourinary bleeding, 22.43% with gastrointestinal bleeding, 5.16% with respiratory bleeding and 3.11% with intracranial hemorrhage. At the end of the first major bleeding event, 0.56% of patients died (5.51% after intracranial hemorrhage, 3.23% in case of trauma-related bleeding). The incidence rates of clinical outcomes per 100 person-years within the first 3 months of the major bleeding were death from any cause 7.51 (95% CI 6.70-8.32), cardiovascular death 1.80 (95% CI 1.39-2.21), acute myocardial infarction 4.53 (95% CI 3.89-5.17), and ischemic stroke 3.52 (95% CI 2.96-4.08), and decreased over time. At year 3, mean overall major bleeding cost per patient was EUR 13,310.00 (5153.05), of which EUR 7648.20 (2674.46) (57.46%) accounted for in-hospital costs to treat the major bleeding event. Conclusions: Among non-anticoagulated patients presenting with a first major bleeding, <1% of patients died during index hospitalization. However, these patients had a substantial risk of adverse clinical events during the follow-up, as well as high associated HCRU and costs.

CHA2DS2-VASc score and prior oral anticoagulant use on endovascular treatment for acute ischemic stroke

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated the effect of CHA2DS2-VASc score and prior use of oral anticoagulants (OACs) on endovascular treatment (EVT) in patients with acute ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

Patients with AF who received EVT in 353 centers in Japan (2018-2020) were included. The outcomes were symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH), in-hospital mortality, functional independence, and successful and complete reperfusion. The effects of CHA2DS2-VASc score, its components, and prior use of OACs were assessed via a multiple logistic regression model.

RESULTS

Of the 6984 patients, 780 (11.2%) used warfarin and 1168 (16.7%) used direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) before EVT. Based on the CHA2DS2-VASc score, 6046 (86.6%) presented a high risk (≥2 for males and ≥3 for females) while 938 (13.4%) had intermediate to low risks. Higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores were associated with increased sICH, in-hospital mortality, and decreased functional independence, regardless of prior OACs. For patients with a high-risk category, prior DOACs increased the odds of successful and complete reperfusion (adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence interval (CI)], 1.27 [1.00-1.61] and 1.30 [1.10-1.53]). For those with integrated intermediate to low risks, neither prior warfarin nor DOAC affected the outcomes. Regardless of total CHA2DS2-VASc scores, patients with congestive heart failure or left ventricular dysfunction, hypertension, age >75 years, or female benefited similarly from prior DOAC use.

INTERPRETATION

Prior DOAC use for patients with high- and selected intermediate-risk CHA2DS2-VASc scores increased prevalence of successful and complete reperfusion. These findings may provide supplemental evidence to introduce preventive DOAC for patients with AF.

Multi-parametric thrombus profiling microfluidics detects intensified biomechanical thrombogenesis associated with hypertension and aging

Arterial thrombosis is a leading cause of death and disability worldwide with no effective bioassay for clinical prediction. As a symbolic feature of arterial thrombosis, severe stenosis in the blood vessel creates a high-shear, high-gradient flow environment that facilitates platelet aggregation towards vessel occlusion. Here, we present a thrombus profiling assay that monitors the multi-dimensional attributes of thrombi forming in such biomechanical conditions. Using this assay, we demonstrate that different receptor-ligand interactions contribute distinctively to the composition and activation status of the thrombus. Our investigation into hypertensive and older individuals reveals intensified biomechanical thrombogenesis and multi-dimensional thrombus profile abnormalities, endorsing the diagnostic potential of the assay. Furthermore, we identify the hyperactivity of GPIbα-integrin αIIbβ3 mechanosensing axis as a molecular mechanism that contributes to hypertension-associated arterial thrombosis. By studying drug-disease interactions and inter-individual variability, our work reveals a need for personalized anti-thrombotic drug selection that accommodates each patient's pathological profile.

Investigating the Interplay between Cardiovascular and Neurodegenerative Disease

Neurological diseases, including neurodegenerative diseases (NDDs), are the primary cause of disability worldwide and the second leading cause of death. The chronic nature of these conditions and the lack of disease-modifying therapies highlight the urgent need for developing effective therapies. To accomplish this, effective models of NDDs are required to increase our understanding of underlying pathophysiology and for evaluating treatment efficacy. Traditionally, models of NDDs have focused on the central nervous system (CNS). However, evidence points to a relationship between systemic factors and the development of NDDs. Cardiovascular disease and related risk factors have been shown to modify the cerebral vasculature and the risk of developing Alzheimer's disease. These findings, combined with reports of changes to vascular density and blood-brain barrier integrity in other NDDs, such as Huntington's disease and Parkinson's disease, suggest that cardiovascular health may be predictive of brain function. To evaluate this, we explore evidence for disruptions to the circulatory system in murine models of NDDs, evidence of disruptions to the CNS in cardiovascular disease models and summarize models combining cardiovascular disruption with models of NDDs. In this study, we aim to increase our understanding of cardiovascular disease and neurodegeneration interactions across multiple disease states and evaluate the utility of combining model systems.

Clinical decisions for appropriate management of patients with atrial fibrillation

The management of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) requires intricate clinical decision-making to optimize outcomes. In everyday clinical practice, physicians undergo difficult choices to better manage patients with AF. They need to balance thromboembolic and bleeding risk to focus on patients' symptoms and to manage a variety of multiple comorbidities. In this review, we aimed to explore the multifaceted dimensions of clinical decision-making in AF patients, encompassing the definition and diagnosis of clinical AF, stroke risk stratification, oral anticoagulant therapy selection, consideration of bleeding risk, and the ongoing debate between rhythm and rate control strategies. We will also focus on possible grey zones for the management of AF patients. In navigating this intricate landscape, clinicians must reconcile the dynamic interplay of patient-specific factors, evolving guidelines, and emerging therapies. The review underscores the need for personalized, evidence-based clinical decision-making to tailor interventions for optimal outcomes according to specific AF patient profiles.

Multi-parametric thrombus profiling microfluidics detects intensified biomechanical thrombogenesis associated with hypertension and aging

Arterial thrombosis, which represents a critical complication of cardiovascular diseases, is a leading cause of death and disability worldwide with no effective bioassay for clinical prediction. As a symbolic feature of arterial thrombosis, severe stenosis in the blood vessel creates a high-shear, high-gradient flow environment that effectively facilitates platelet aggregation towards vessel occlusion even with platelet amplification loops inhibited. However, no approach is currently available to comprehensively characterize the size, composition and platelet activation status of thrombi forming under this biorheological condition. Here, we present a thrombus profiling assay that monitors the multi-dimensional attributes of thrombi forming in conditions mimicking the physiological scenario of arterial thrombosis. Using this platform, we demonstrate that different receptor-ligand interactions contribute distinctively to the composition and activation status of the thrombus. Our investigation into hypertensive and older individuals reveals intensified biomechanical thrombogenesis and multi-dimensional thrombus profile abnormalities, demonstrating a direct contribution of mechanobiology to arterial thrombosis and endorsing the diagnostic potential of the assay. Furthermore, we identify the hyperactivity of GPIbα-integrin αIIbβ3 mechanosensing axis as a molecular mechanism that contributes to hypertension-associated arterial thrombosis. By studying the interactions between anti-thrombotic inhibitors and hypertension, and the inter-individual variability in personal thrombus profiles, our work reveals a critical need for personalized anti-thrombotic drug selection that accommodates each patient's pathological profile.

Thromboembolic events and vascular dementia in patients with atrial fibrillation and low apparent stroke risk

The prevention of thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation (AF) is typically restricted to patients with specific risk factors and ignores outcomes such as vascular dementia. This population-based cohort study used electronic healthcare records from 5,199,994 primary care patients (UK; 2005-2020). A total of 290,525 (5.6%) had a diagnosis of AF and were aged 40-75 years, of which 36,340 had no history of stroke, a low perceived risk of stroke based on clinical risk factors and no oral anticoagulant prescription. Matching was performed for age, sex and region to 117,298 controls without AF. During 5 years median follow-up (831,005 person-years), incident stroke occurred in 3.8% with AF versus 1.5% control (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 2.06, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.91-2.21; P < 0.001), arterial thromboembolism 0.3% versus 0.1% (HR 2.39, 95% CI 1.83-3.11; P < 0.001), and all-cause mortality 8.9% versus 5.0% (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.38-1.50; P < 0.001). AF was associated with all-cause dementia (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.04-1.32; P = 0.010), driven by vascular dementia (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.33-2.12; P < 0.001) rather than Alzheimer's disease (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.70-1.03; P = 0.09). Death and thromboembolic outcomes, including vascular dementia, are substantially increased in patients with AF despite a lack of conventional stroke risk factors.

Clinical case of Cor triatriatum sinister, a dilemma of anticoagulation: A case report and literature review

Cor triatriatum is a rare congenital heart abnormality in which a membrane separates the left atrium (LA; sinister) or the right atrium (dexter) into two compartments. It is also a long-forgotten cause of atrial fibrillation (AF) and substantially higher rates of blood stagnation, particularly proximal to the additional septum in the LA. In this case report, we faced a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1 in patients with non-valvular AF due to Cor triatriatum sinister (CTS). The decision to start anticoagulants in this particular case was controversial, so we reviewed the literature to assess and address it. We present our case and discuss the indication of anticoagulants in this unique clinical scenario, accompanied by a literature review. Facing this dilemma of starting anticoagulants in special cases of CTS and AF should be individualized and need more investigation. However, till this moment, based on similar reports, it seems to be rational to consider CTS Per se as an additional risk stratification marker beyond the CHA2DS2-VASc score start anticoagulant until the surgical resection. Considering CTS as the sole indication of anticoagulant in patients with normal sinus rhythm is a complex matter that needs further investigation.

Impact of left ventricular diastolic function and direct oral anticoagulant use for predicting embolic events in patients with heart failure and atrial fibrillation

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) have high stroke risk owing to left atrial dysfunction. However, anticoagulation is a concern in patients with high bleeding risk. We aimed to identify independent predictors of stroke in HF patients with AF.

Methods

We retrospectively examined 320 patients (mean age 79 ± 12 years, 163 women) hospitalized with acute HF complicated by AF between January 2014 and December 2018. Patients were followed from admission until ischemic stroke or systemic embolism (SSE) onset or death or were censored at the last contact date or September 2023.

Results

SSE occurred in 40 patients (median follow-up of 528 days). Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.04, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00-1.07, p = .034), direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) use (HR 0.26, 95% CI 0.11-0.60, p = .002), and early diastolic peak flow velocity to early diastolic peak annular velocity (E/e'; HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.02-1.08, p < .001) to be independent predictors of SSE, whereas left atrial reservoir strain was not. After determining an appropriate E/e' cutoff by receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis and adjusting the multivariate Cox model, E/e' ≥17.5 (HR 3.30, 95% CI 1.56-6.83, p = .001) independently predicted SSE. The results were consistent with no interaction in the subanalysis except for gender.

Conclusion

Elderly patients not on DOACs with elevated E/e' may be at higher risk of stroke, suggesting that DOACs should be the first choice for patients with elevated E/e' and aggressive additional prophylaxis and careful follow-up are needed.