Does neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy increase survival in patients with resectable oesophageal cancer?

External validation of a nomogram predicting conditional survival after tri-modality treatment of esophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

A conditional survival nomogram was developed at a single high-volume center to predict 5-year overall survival for esophageal cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemoradiation and esophagectomy. The aim of this study was to externally validate the nomogram in a cohort of patients with esophageal adeno- or squamous cell carcinoma from another high-volume center.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with an esophageal adeno- or squamous cell carcinoma who had undergone esophagectomy after being treated with preoperative chemoradiation between 2004 and 2016 were selected from a prospectively maintained institutional database. The level of discrimination for prediction of 5-year overall survival was quantified by Harrell's C statistic. Calibration of the conditional survival nomogram was visualized by plotting predicted 5-year survival and observed 5-year survival for comparison.

RESULTS

Of the 296 patients examined, the probability of 5-year overall survival directly after surgery was 45% and increased to 51%, 68%, 78%, and 89% for each additional year survived. The predicted 5-year overall survival differed from the observed survival, with a calibration slope of 0.54, 0.55, 0.59, 0.73, and 1.09 directly after surgery and 1, 2, 3, and 4 years of survival after surgery, respectively. The nomogram's discrimination level for 5-year survival was moderate, with a C statistic of 0.65 compared to the 0.70 reported in the original study.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram model has moderate predictive discrimination and accuracy, supporting its applicability to external cohorts to predict conditional survival. Further validation studies should empirically assess the model for predictive performance.

Impact of postoperative lymph node status on the prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after esophagectomy following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and surgery are widely used treatments for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Thus, it is critically important to investigate risk factors that affect patient prognosis after preoperative chemoradiotherapy and surgery.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of 77 patients with ESCC who received nCRT and underwent surgery at our center from January 2015 to December 2019. We analyzed the primary clinical data, postoperative pathological results, recurrence, and death results.

RESULTS

Among the 77 ESCC patients who received nCRT and surgery, 19 achieved a postoperative pathologic complete response (pCR), and the overall pCR rate was 24.68%. The univariate analysis indicated that postoperative post-neoadjuvant treatment N stage (ypN) metastasis [hazards ratio (HR): 2.908; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.874-9.676; P=0.082], a high lymph-node ratio [(LNR) >0.1] (HR: 7.149, 95% CI: 1.740-29.369; P=0.006), post-neoadjuvant treatment T3-4 (ypT3-4) (HR: 3.626, 95% CI: 0.824-15.956; P=0.088) affected disease-specific survival (DSS). The multivariate analysis indicated that a high LNR (>0.1) (HR: 6.170; 95% CI: 1.472-25.856; P=0.013) was a significant independent predictor of DSS. The univariate analysis indicated that postoperative ypN metastasis (HR: 2.283; 95% CI: 1.047-4.979; P=0.038) and a high LNR (>0.1) (HR: 4.210; 95% CI: 1.547-11.458; P=0.005) were associated with recurrence-free survival (RFS). The multivariate survival analysis showed that a high LNR (>0.1) (HR: 4.289; 95% CI: 1.538-11.965; P=0.005) was also a significant independent predictor of RFS. In this study, 57 positive lymph nodes were found in 30 of the 77 patients, including 16 left gastric lymph nodes, 9 pericardial lymph nodes, and 7 left supraclavicular lymph nodes.

CONCLUSIONS

A high LNR (>0.1) in ESCC patients after nCRT is a risk factor of DSS and RFS. ypN metastasis is also an independent predictor of RFS. Left gastric-arterial lymph nodes, para-cardiac lymph nodes, and left supraclavicular lymph nodes are the most common sites of metastasis in ESCC after nCRT.

Neoadjuvant immunotherapy for resectable esophageal cancer: A protocol of meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Esophageal cancer is a highly malignant cancer with a very poor prognosis. For resectable esophageal cancer, neoadjuvant treatment could improve the prognosis of esophageal cancer. However, current clinical neoadjuvant treatment options for esophageal cancer are still limited. The application of immunotherapy is a potentially beneficial new neoadjuvant treatment option for esophageal cancer. The objective of this meta-analysis is to evaluate the efficacy and safety of immunotherapy for the neoadjuvant treatment of esophageal cancer.

METHODS

We will search Wanfang Database, SinoMed, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Embase, Web of Science, Pubmed, and Cochrane Library for relevant articles published before July, 2021. We will also search the unpublished clinical trials of neoadjuvant immunotherapy in esophageal cancer in preprint website (such as bioRXiv and medRxiv) up to July, 2021. We will perform a meta-analysis to evaluate the efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant immunotherapy for resectable esophageal cancer. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) will be included in this study. The risk of bias will be evaluated for each included study using the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions. We will use RevMan 5.3 software for statistical analysis of the data.

RESULTS

The results of this study will provide evidence of immunotherapy using as neoadjuvant treatment for esophageal cancer. This meta-analysis will be submitted to a peer-reviewed journal seeking for publication.

CONCLUSION

The results of this study will provide a reliable basis for clinicians and patients to formulate the best pre-surgical treatment plan for resectable esophageal cancer.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

INPLASY202120026.

Hazard Curves for Tumor Recurrence and Tumor-Related Death Following Esophagectomy for Esophageal Cancer

BACKGROUND

The knowledge of both patterns and risk of relapse following resection for esophageal cancer is crucial for establishing appropriate surveillance schedules. The aim of this study was to evaluate the pattern of hazards for tumor recurrence and tumor-related death in the postoperative long-term follow-up after esophagectomy.

METHODS

Retrospective single-center analysis of 362 patients, with resected esophageal cancer. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard model was used.

RESULTS

A total of 192 (53%) had postoperative tumor recurrence. The relapse patterns of adenocarcinoma and squamous-cell carcinoma showed that each had a single peak, 12 months after surgery. After induction there was one peak at 5 months, the non-induced patients peaked 11 months, postoperatively. At 18 months, the recurrence hazard declined sharply in all cases. The hazard curves for tumor-related death were bimodal for adenocarcinoma, with two peaks at 6 and 22 months and one single peak for squamous-cell carcinoma at 18 months after surgery, showing pronounced decline later on.

CONCLUSION

In curatively resected esophageal cancer, both tumor recurrence hazard and hazard for tumor-related death showed distinct, partly bimodal patterns. It could be justified to intensify the surveillance during the first two postoperative years by initiating a close-meshed follow-up to detect and treat tumor recurrence, as early as possible.

Neoadjuvant and Definitive Radiochemotherapeutic Approaches in Esophageal Cancer: A Retrospective Evaluation of 122 Cases in Daily Clinical Routine

INTRODUCTION

Esophageal cancer (EC) is a common malignant tumor entity with increasing occurrence. The incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma (AC), particularly, is constantly rising in the Western world. The mainstays of therapy with curative intent for EC in advanced stages are neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy (neoRCT) with surgery and definitive radiochemotherapy (defRCT).

METHODS

We examined our internal files to identify patients suffering from EC. Palliative cases were excluded. Statistical testing was performed by χ2 test, Student's t test, Kaplan-Meier analyses, and the Mann-Whitney U test.

RESULTS

One hundred and twenty-two cases were included. Histology revealed squamous cell carcinoma in 92 cases and AC in 23 cases. Ninety-five patients underwent defRCT, 27 underwent neoRCT, and 114 (in both therapy regimes) received simultaneous chemotherapy. There was no difference in the overall survival (OS) (p = 0.654; HR 1.145; 95% CI 0.629-2.086) or and progression-free survival (PFS) (p = 0.912) of patients who underwent neoRCT or defRCT. Median OS was 13.5 (2-197) months for defRCT patients and 19.5 (2-134) months for neoRCT patients (p = 0.751). Karnofsky index (KI) with a cut-off of 70% was strongest, but not a significant parameter for OS (p = 0.608) or PFS (p = 0.137).

CONCLUSION

defRCT is a valid and an equal alternative to neoRCT for patients suffering from EC. Selection of patients for therapy is of crucial relevance. Further studies and improvements in follow-up are needed when neoRCT has been completed before surgery, in order to spare the patient undergoing operative treatment if there is complete remission. The identification of valid markers urgently needed to limit treatment side effects.

Influence of body composition and muscle strength on outcomes after multimodal oesophageal cancer treatment

BACKGROUND

Influence of sarcopenia in combination with other body composition parameters and muscle strength on outcomes after oesophageal surgery for oesophageal cancer remains unclear. The objectives were (i) to describe the incidence of sarcopenia in relation to adipose tissue quantity and distribution and muscle strength; (ii) to evaluate if neoadjuvant chemoradiation (nCRTx) influences body composition and muscle strength; and (iii) to evaluate the influence of body composition and muscle strength on post-operative morbidity and long-term survival.

METHODS

This retrospective study included patients with oesophageal cancer who received nCRTx followed by surgery between January 2011 and 2016. Skeletal muscle, visceral, and subcutaneous adipose tissue cross-sectional areas were calculated based on computed tomography scans, and muscle strength was measured using hand grip tests, 30 seconds chair stand tests, and maximal inspiratory and expiratory pressure tests prior to nCRTx and after nCRTx.

RESULTS

A total of 322 patients were included in this study. Sarcopenia was present in 55.6% of the patients prior to nCRTx and in 58.2% after nCRTx (P = 0.082). Patients with sarcopenia had a significantly lower muscle strength and higher fat percentage. The muscle strength and incidence of sarcopenia increased while the mean body mass index and fat percentage decreased during nCRTx. A body mass index above 25 kg/m2 was associated with anastomotic leakage (P = 0.032). Other body composition parameters were not associated with post-operative morbidity. A lower handgrip strength prior to nCRTx was associated with pulmonary and cardiac complications (P = 0.023 and P = 0.009, respectively). In multivariable analysis, a lower number of stands during the 30 seconds chair stand test prior to nCRTx (hazard ratio 0.93, 95% confidence interval 0.87-0.99, P = 0.017) and visceral adipose tissue of >128 cm2 after nCRTx (hazard ratio 1.81, 95% confidence interval 1.30-2.53, P = 0.001) were associated with worse overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Sarcopenia occurs frequently in patients with oesophageal cancer and is associated with less muscle strength and a higher fat percentage. Body composition changes during nCRTx did not influence survival. Impaired muscle strength and a high amount of visceral adipose tissue are associated with worse survival. Therefore, patients with poor fitness might benefit from preoperative nutritional and muscle strengthening guidance, aiming to increase muscle strength and decrease visceral adipose tissue. However, this should be confirmed in a large prospective study.

Conditional survival after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery for oesophageal cancer

Background

Conditional survival accounts for the time already survived after surgery and may be of additional informative value. The aim was to assess conditional survival in patients with oesophageal cancer and to create a nomogram predicting the conditional probability of survival after oesophagectomy.

Methods

This retrospective study included consecutive patients with oesophageal cancer who received neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by oesophagectomy between January 2004 and 2019. Conditional survival was defined as the probability of surviving y years after already surviving for x years. The formula used for conditional survival (CS) was: CS_(x|y) = S_(x + y)/S_(x), where S_(x) represents overall survival at x years. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate predictors of overall survival. A nomogram was constructed to predict 5‐year survival directly after surgery and given survival for 1, 2, 3 and 4 years after surgery.

Results

Some 660 patients were included. Median overall survival was 44·4 (95 per cent c.i. 37·0 to 51·8) months. The probability of achieving 5‐year overall survival after resection increased from 45 per cent directly after surgery to 54, 65, 79 and 88 per cent given 1, 2, 3 and 4 years already survived respectively. Cardiac co‐morbidity, cN category, ypT category, ypN category, chyle leakage and pulmonary complications were independent predictors of survival. The nomogram predicted 5‐year survival using these predictors and number of years already survived.

Conclusion

The probability of achieving 5‐year overall survival after oesophagectomy for cancer increases with each additional year survived. The proposed nomogram predicts survival in patients after oesophagectomy, taking the years already survived into account.

Interplay between the NF‑κB and hedgehog signaling pathways predicts prognosis in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Tumor recurrence and metastasis in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) are primary causes of patient mortality. The nuclear factor (NF)‑κB signaling pathway and hedgehog signaling pathway were previously reported to contribute to cell growth and metastasis in ESCC. The present study therefore investigated the roles of the NF‑κB and hedgehog pathways in ESCC tumors following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT). By immunohistochemistry staining, it was observed that NF‑κB and glioma‑associated oncogene homolog 1 (Gli1), key components of the NF‑κB and hedgehog pathways, respectively, were decreased following NCRT, which was further confirmed by western blotting and reverse transcription‑quantitative polymerase chain reaction analysis. In addition, survival analysis suggested that high expression levels of either NF‑κB or Gli1 were associated with poor overall survival (OS) of patients. In the esophageal cell line TE‑8, NF‑κB and Gli1 formed a positive feedback loop, and inhibition of either NF‑κB or Gli1 may inhibit cell migration, invasion and proliferation. The results of the present study demonstrated that activation of the NF‑κB and hedgehog signaling pathways limited the OS of patients with ESCC following NCRT, and may therefore be suitable targets for ESCC treatment.