What mechanisms of tau protein transport could be responsible for the inverted tau concentration gradient in degenerating axons?

A numerical study of sensitivity coefficients for a model of amyloid precursor protein and tau protein transport and agglomeration in neurons at the onset of Alzheimer's disease

Modeling of intracellular processes occurring during the development of Alzheimer's disease (AD) can be instrumental in understanding the disease and can potentially contribute to finding treatments for the disease. The model of intracellular processes in AD, which we previously developed, contains a large number of parameters. To distinguish between more important and less important parameters we performed a local sensitivity analysis of this model around the values of parameters that give the best fit with published experimental results. We show that the effect of model parameters on the total concentration of amyloid precursor protein (APP) and tau protein in the axon, respectively, is reciprocal to the effect of the same parameters on the average velocities of the same proteins during their transport in the axon. The results of our analysis also suggest that in the beginning of AD the aggregation of amyloid-ß and misfolded tau protein have little effect on transport of APP and tau in the axon, which suggests that early effects of AD may be reversible.

Simulating tubulin-associated unit transport in an axon: using bootstrapping for estimating confidence intervals of best-fit parameter values obtained from indirect experimental data

In this paper, we first develop a model of axonal transport of tubulin-associated unit (tau) protein. We determine the minimum number of parameters necessary to reproduce published experimental results, reducing the number of parameters from 18 in the full model to eight in the simplified model. We then address the following questions: Is it possible to estimate parameter values for this model using the very limited amount of published experimental data? Furthermore, is it possible to estimate confidence intervals for the determined parameters? The idea that is explored in this paper is based on using bootstrapping. Model parameters were estimated by minimizing the objective function that simulates the discrepancy between the model predictions and experimental data. Residuals were then identified by calculating the differences between the experimental data and model predictions. New, surrogate 'experimental' data were generated by randomly resampling residuals. By finding sets of best-fit parameters for a large number of surrogate data the histograms for the model parameters were produced. These histograms were then used to estimate confidence intervals for the model parameters, by using the percentile bootstrap. Once the model was calibrated, we applied it to analysing some features of tau transport that are not accessible to current experimental techniques.

Utilization of the bootstrap method for determining confidence intervals of parameters for a model of MAP1B protein transport in axons

This paper develops a model of axonal transport of MAP1B protein. The problem of determining parameter values for the proposed model utilizing limited available experimental data is addressed. We used a global minimum search algorithm to find parameter values that minimize the discrepancy between model predictions and published experimental results. By analyzing the best fit parameter values it was established that some processes can be dropped from the model without losing accuracy, thus a simplified version of the model was formulated. In particular, our analysis suggests that reversals in MAP1B transport are infrequent and can be neglected. The detachment of anterogradely-biased MAP1B from microtubules (MTs) and the attachment of retrogradely-biased MAP1B to MTs can also be neglected. An analytical solution for the simplified model was obtained. Confidence intervals for the determined parameters were found by bootstrapping model residuals. The resultant analysis heavily constrained the values of some parameters while showing that some could vary without significantly impacting model error. For example, our analysis suggests that, above a certain threshold value, the kinetic constant determining the rate of MAP1B transition from the retrograde pausing state to the off-track state has little impact on model error. On the contrary, the kinetic constant describing MAP1B transition from a pausing to a running state has great impact on model error.

The Impact of Mathematical Modeling in Understanding the Mechanisms Underlying Neurodegeneration: Evolving Dimensions and Future Directions

Neurodegenerative diseases are a heterogeneous group of disorders that are characterized by the progressive dysfunction and loss of neurons. Here, we distil and discuss the current state of modeling in the area of neurodegeneration, and objectively compare the gaps between existing clinical knowledge and the mechanistic understanding of the major pathological processes implicated in neurodegenerative disorders. We also discuss new directions in the field of neurodegeneration that hold potential for furthering therapeutic interventions and strategies.