Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the diagnosis of cancer in Japan: analysis of hospital-based cancer registries

Laryngeal cancer incidence trends in the United States over 2000-2020: a population-based analysis

INTRODUCTION

Laryngeal cancers account for one-third of all head and neck cancers. We aimed to report the incidence trends of laryngeal cancer over 2000-2020 in the United States (US), by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and histological subtypes.

METHODS

Data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 22 database were used to identify patients with laryngeal cancer based on the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, version 3. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) for laryngeal cancer, adjusted for reporting delays, were calculated. The Joinpoint Regression Program was then utilized to determine annual percent changes (APCs) and average annual percent changes (AAPCs) in the trends. The analysis excluded data from 2020 to prevent potential bias related to the COVID-19 pandemic.

RESULTS

A total of 104,991 cases of laryngeal cancer were identified in the US from 2000 to 2019. Squamous cell carcinoma was the predominant subtype, accounting for 94.53% of cases. Above 73.20% occurred among non-Hispanic whites, with the highest incidence observed among individuals aged 55-69 years (46.71%). The ASIRs were 5.98 and 1.25 per 100,000 population for men and women, respectively. Over 2000-2019, there was a significant reduction in ASIRs for laryngeal cancer in both sexes. Non-Hispanic black men exhibited the highest ASIR (9.13 per 100,000) and the largest decline in the ASIRs over 2000-2019 (AAPC: -3.26%).

CONCLUSIONS

Laryngeal cancer incidence rates showed a decline from 2000 to 2019, in addition to 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic. Additional research is required to investigate risk factors and their influence on incidence rates of laryngeal cancer.

COVID-19 impact on incidence and stage at diagnosis of five prominent cancers: A French cancer registry-based study

BACKGROUND

The French healthcare system has been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, including cancer care.

METHODS

In order to evaluate the impact of this pandemic on cancer incidence, the Isere Departmental Cancer Registry compared the actual 2020 incidence of melanoma, breast, colorectal, prostate and lung cancers with the expected 2020 incidence based on data collected by the Registry between 2015 and 2019, taking into account periods of lockdown and reopening. When available, cancer stages and/or prognostic scores were recorded.

RESULTS

During the period of initial confinement, a 54%, 50% and 36,8% drop in incidence was observed for breast, prostate and colorectal cancer respectively. Although their annual incidence remained stable, a worsening trend emerged as a decline in the number of low stages/scores at diagnosis in favour of higher stages/scores towards the end of 2020. In contrast, a significant 17,8% drop was observed in annual incidence of melanoma, particularly for Breslow scores < 1 (-27,4%). However, this trend was noticeable before the lockdown, as well as the 14% reduction in the incidence of lung cancer in women, but not in men.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of certain cancers was caught up over the year but the COVID-19 pandemic seems to be associated with a change in their severity at diagnosis throughout 2020. The downward trends in female lung cancer and melanoma incidence point to complex underlying phenomena. Further analysis is still needed to assess the global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cancer incidence.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on gastric surgery in Japan: A nationwide study using interrupted time-series analyses

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Changes in the number of surgeries for gastric cancer during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic have been reported, but data are insufficient to understand the impact at the national level. This study aimed to determine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on gastric surgery in Japan.

METHODS

Insurance claims data registered from January 2015 to January 2021 were used. Changes in the number of endoscopic resections and gastrectomies for gastric cancer were estimated using an interrupted time-series analysis.

RESULTS

The number of endoscopic resections significantly decreased in July 2020 (-1565; 95% confidence interval [CI]: -2022, -1108) and January 2021 (-539; 95% CI: -970, -109), and the number of laparoscopic surgeries significantly decreased in July 2020 (-795; 95% CI: -1097, -492), October 2020 (-313; 95% CI: -606, -19), and January 2021 (-507; 95% CI: -935, -78). Meanwhile, the number of open gastrectomies remained unchanged, and the number of robot-assisted gastrectomies steadily increased since their coverage by public health insurance in April 2018.

CONCLUSIONS

The decreased number of endoscopic resections and laparoscopic surgeries in Japan suggests a decline in early-stage gastric cancer diagnosis, likely due to the suspension of gastric cancer screening and diagnostic testing during the pandemic. Meanwhile, the number of open and robot-assisted gastrectomies remained unchanged and increased, respectively, indicating that these applications were not affected by the pandemic-related medical crisis. These findings highlight that procedures for cancer diagnosis, including screening, should still be provided during pandemics.

The United States experience with diagnosing and treating esophageal cancer during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic: A retrospective cohort study

The downstream effects on healthcare delivery during the initial wave of the COVID-19 pandemic remain unclear. The purpose of this study was to determine how the healthcare environment surrounding the pandemic affected the oncologic care of patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer. This was a retrospective cohort study evaluating patients in the National Cancer Database (2019-2020). Patients with esophageal cancer diagnoses were divided into pre-pandemic (2019) and pandemic (2020) groups. Patient demographics, cancer-related variables, and treatment modalities were compared. Among 26,231 esophageal cancer patients, 14,024 patients (53.5%) were in the pre-pandemic cohort and 12,207 (46.5%) were in the pandemic cohort. After controlling for demographics, patients diagnosed during the pandemic were more likely to have poorly differentiated tumors (odds ratio [OR] 1.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-1.42), pathologic T3 disease compared to T1 (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.02-1.53), positive lymph nodes on pathology (OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.14-1.64), and to be pathologic stage IV (OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.29-1.76). After controlling for oncologic characteristics, patients diagnosed during the pandemic were more likely to require at least two courses of systemic therapy (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.48-2.14) and to be offered palliative care (OR 1.13, 95% CI 1.04-1.22). While these patients were offered curative therapy at lower rates, this became non-significant after risk-adjustment (p = .15). The pandemic healthcare environment was associated with significantly increased risk-adjusted rates of patients presenting with advanced esophageal cancer. While this led to significant differences in treatment, most of these differences became non-significant after controlling for oncologic factors.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on esophageal cancer resource allocation: a systematic review

Background

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic challenged global infrastructure. Healthcare systems were forced to reallocate resources toward the frontlines. In this systematic review, we analyze the impact of resource reallocation during the COVID-19 pandemic on the diagnosis, management, and outcomes of esophageal cancer (EC) patients.

Methods

PubMed and Embase were systematically searched for articles investigating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on EC patients. Of the 1,722 manuscripts initially screened, 23 met the inclusion criteria.

Results

Heterogeneity of data and outcomes reporting prohibited aggregate analysis. Reduced detection of EC and considerable variability in disease stage at presentation were noted during the COVID-19 pandemic. EC patients experienced delays in diagnostic and preoperative staging investigations but surgical resection was not associated with greater short-term morbidity or mortality. Modeling the impact of pandemic-related delays in EC care predicts significant reductions in survival with associated economic losses in the coming years.

Conclusions

Amidst resource scarcity during the COVID-19 pandemic, the multidisciplinary management of patients with EC was affected at multiple stages in the care pathway. Although the complete ramifications of reductions in EC diagnosis and delays in care remain unclear, EC surgery was able to safely continue as a result of collaboration between centers, strict adherence to COVID-19 protective measures, and reallocation of healthcare resources towards the same. Ultimately, when healthcare systems are pushed to the brink, the downstream consequences of resource reallocation require judicious analysis to optimize overall patient outcomes.

Rates of newly diagnosed breast cancer at commission on cancer facilities during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic

INTRODUCTION

The objective of this study was to examine the impact of the early part of the COVID-19 pandemic on the number of newly diagnosed breast cancer cases at Commission on Cancer (CoC)-accredited facilities relative to the United States (U.S.) population.

METHODS

We examined the incidence of breast cancer cases at CoC sites using the U.S. Census population as the denominator. Breast cancer incidence was stratified by patient age, race and ethnicity, and geographic location.

RESULTS

A total of 1,499,806 patients with breast cancer were included. For females, breast cancer cases per 100,000 individuals went from 188 in 2015 to 203 in 2019 and then dropped to 176 in 2020 with a 15.7% decrease from 2019 to 2020. Breast cancer cases per 100,000 males went from 1.7 in 2015 to 1.8 in 2019 and then declined to 1.5 in 2020 with a 21.8% decrease from 2019 to 2020. For both females and males, cases per 100,000 individuals decreased from 2019 to 2020 for almost all age groups. For females, rates dropped from 2019 to 2020 for all races and ethnicities and geographic locations. The largest percent change was seen among Hispanic patients (-18.4%) and patients in the Middle Atlantic division (-18.6%). The stage distribution (0-IV) for female and male patients remained stable from 2018 to 2020.

CONCLUSION

The first year of the COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a decreased number of newly diagnosed breast cancer cases at Commission on Cancer sites.

Impact of coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic on breast cancer surgery using the National Database of Japan

Various countries have reported a decrease in breast cancer surgeries during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic; however, inconsistent results have been reported in Japan. This study revealed changes in the number of surgeries during the pandemic using the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan (NDB) from January 2015 to January 2021, where insurance claims data from Japan as a whole are comprehensively accumulated. The number of breast-conserving surgeries (BCS) without axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) significantly decreased in July (- 846; 95% confidence interval (CI) - 1190 to - 502) and October 2020 (- 540; 95% CI - 861 to - 218). No decrease was observed for other types of surgery, BCS with ALND, and mastectomy with or without ALND. In the age-specific subgroup analysis, significant and transient reduction in BCS without ALND was observed in all age groups (0-49, 50-69, and ≥ 70 years). The number of BCS without ALND significantly decreased for a relatively short period in the early pandemic stages, suggesting reduced surgery for patients with a relatively low stage of cancer. Some patients with breast cancer might have been left untreated during the pandemic, and an unfavorable prognosis would be a concern.

Travel patterns of patients seeking cancer care during the COVID-19 pandemic: Multi-centre cohort study in Osaka, Japan

BACKGROUND

In Japan, provision of equal access to cancer care is intended to be achieved via secondary medical areas (SMAs). However, the percentage of patients receiving care within the residential area varies by SMA in Osaka Prefecture. We aimed to assess the effect size of factors associated with patient mobility, and whether patient mobility was affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

Records of patients diagnosed with stomach, colorectal, lung, breast, cervical, oesophageal, liver or pancreatic cancer during 2019-2020 were extracted from multi-centre hospital-based cancer registry data. Odds ratios of whether a patient received care within the SMA of residence were set as the outcome. A multivariable model was built using generalised estimating equations with multiple imputation for missing data. Change in patient mobility after the pandemic was examined by deriving age- and SMA-specific adjusted ORs (aORs).

RESULTS

A total of 78,839 records were included. Older age, more advanced stage and palliative care had up to 1.69 times higher aORs of receiving care within their own area. Patients with oesophageal, liver or pancreatic cancer tended to travel outside their area with aORs ranging from 0.71 to 0.90. Patients aged ≤ 79 and living in the East and South SMAs tended to remain in their area with aORs ranging from 1.05 to 1.11 after the pandemic.

CONCLUSION

Patient mobility decreased for higher age and stage. It also varied by SMA, cancer site and treatment type.

POLICY SUMMARY

Our results need to be linked with resource inputs to help policymakers decide whether to intervene to address current efficiency or equity issues.

Japanese cancer screening programs during the COVID-19 pandemic: Changes in participation between 2017-2020

BACKGROUND

The impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on cancer screening participation is a global concern. A national database of screening performance is available in Japan for population-based cancer screening, estimated to cover approximately half of all cancer screenings.

METHODS

Utilizing the fiscal year (FY) 2017-2020 national database, the number of participants in screenings for gastric cancer (upper gastrointestinal [UGI] series or endoscopy), colorectal cancer (fecal occult blood test), lung cancer (chest X-ray), breast cancer (mammography), and cervical cancer (Pap smear) were identified. The percent change in the number of participants was calculated.

RESULTS

Compared with the pre-pandemic period (FY 2017-2019), in percentage terms FY 2020 recorded the largest decline in gastric cancer UGI series (2.82 million to 1.91 million, percent change was -32.2 %), followed by screening for breast cancer (3.10 million to 2.57 million, percent change was -17.2 %), lung cancer (7.92 million to 6.59 million, percent change was -16.7 %), colorectal cancer (8.42 million to 7.30 million, percent change was -13.4 %), cervical cancer (4.26 million to 3.77 million, percent change was -11.6 %), and gastric cancer via endoscopy (1.02 million to 0.93 million, percent change was -9.0 %).

CONCLUSION

The number of participants in population-based screenings in Japan decreased by approximately 10-30 % during the pandemic. The impact of these declines on cancer detection or mortality should be carefully monitored.

Changes in the number of cancer diagnosis practices due to the COVID-19 pandemic: interrupted time-series analysis using the National Database of Japan

PURPOSE

This study aimed to reveal the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on the number of practices commonly used for cancer diagnosis in Japan.

METHODS

The sampling dataset of the National Database of Japan from January 2015 to January 2021 was used to generate 25-point time-series data for the number of practices (21 points before and 4 points during the pandemic outbreak). The decreased number was estimated by interrupted time-series analysis using a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model. Using the pre-pandemic data, expected counterfactual numbers during the pandemic were predicted, and decreased rate was calculated.

RESULTS

In most practices, the number dramatically decreased in the early stage of the pandemic and recovered rapidly thereafter. As of April 2020, gastric endoscopy decreased at the top of the practices (- 42.1%, with 95% confidence intervals of - 50.5% and - 33.7%), followed by gastric biopsy (- 38.6%, with 95% confidence intervals of - 46.7% and - 30.6%). The period of declined practices for lung cancer was relatively prolonged. The number of sentinel lymph node biopsies for breast cancer and colposcopies and biopsies for cervical cancer did not decrease in April 2020, but significantly decreased later in July 2020, which is assumed to be the time lapse after the primary testing before surgical treatment or intense scrutiny.

CONCLUSION

In general, the number of practices for cancer diagnosis in Japan showed only a temporary decline, which was concordant with reports from several other countries.

Impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on the number of newly diagnosed cancer patients and examinations and surgeries performed for cancer in Japan: a nationwide study

BACKGROUND

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has rapidly and dramatically influenced healthcare across Japan. However, the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on the number of newly diagnosed cancer, surgical treatment, and diagnostic examination for cancer types have not been completely investigated all over Japan. This study aimed to analyze the number of cases before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

This retrospective study was a survey that asked to provide the number of cases diagnosed with gastric, colorectal, lung, breast, and cervical cancer between January 2019 and December 2020. The survey was sent to tertiary healthcare hospitals, including national cancer institutions, university hospitals, and general hospitals, all over Japan. Data obtained from 105 of 486 surveyed hospitals were evaluated, and the number of cases in each quarter in 2020 was compared with that in the equivalent quarter in 2019.

RESULTS

In the second quarter (Q2), significant reductions were observed in the median number of newly diagnosed cases from 2019 to 2020: gastric cancer, 26.7% (43 vs. 32, p <  0.001); colorectal cancer, 17.9% (52 vs. 40, p <  0.001); lung cancer, 12.3% (53.5 vs. 47, p <  0.001); and breast cancer, 13.1% (43 vs. 35.5, p <  0.001). A significant reduction of 11.4% (9 vs. 8, p = 0.03) was observed in the third quarter (Q3) for cervical cancer. In Q2, the number of cases decreased by 30.9% (25 vs. 15, p <  0.001) for stage I gastric cancer, by 27.3% (12 vs. 9, p <  0.001) for stage I colorectal cancer, and by 17.6% (13 vs. 10, p <  0.001) for stage II breast cancer. The magnitude of reduction was significant for the localized stages of gastric, colorectal, and breast cancer according to diagnostic examinations in Q2 and surgical and endoscopic treatment in Q3 rather than that for lung or cervical cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

COVID-19 has prolonged collateral effects on cancer care, including examination, diagnosis, and surgery, with significant effects on gastric cancer, followed by colorectal, lung, breast, and cervical cancer in Japan.

Real-World Outcomes of Systemic Therapy in Japanese Patients with Cancer (Tokushukai REAl-World Data Project: TREAD): Study Protocol for a Nationwide Cohort Study

Cohort studies using large-scale databases have become increasingly important in recent years. The Tokushukai Medical Group is a leading medical group in Japan that includes 71 general hospitals nationwide from Hokkaido to Okinawa, with a total of 18,000 beds, and a unified electronic medical record system. This retrospective cohort study aims to evaluate the real-world outcomes of systemic therapy for Japanese patients with cancer using this merit of scale. All adult patients with cancer who received systemic therapy using a centrally registered chemotherapy protocol system at 46 hospitals from April 2010 to March 2020 will be identified (~48,850 patients). Key exclusion criteria include active double cancer and inadequate data extraction. Data will be obtained through electronic medical records, diagnosis procedure combination data, medical prescription data, and the national cancer registration system that includes sociodemographic variables, diagnostic and laboratory tests, concomitant drug prescriptions, cost, and overall survival. Kaplan–Meier estimates will be calculated for time-to-event analyses. Stratified/conventional Cox proportional hazards regression analyses will be conducted to examine the relationships between overall survival and related factors. Our findings provide important insights for future research directions, policy initiatives, medical guidelines, and clinical decision-making.