A predictive model for premature atherosclerosis in systemic lupus erythematosus based on clinical characteristics

OBJECTIVE

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is associated with a significant risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, especially in the development of premature atherosclerosis. Specific prediction models for premature atherosclerosis in SLE patients are still limited. The objective of this study was to establish a predictive model for premature atherosclerosis in SLE.

METHOD

The study collected clinical and laboratory data from 148 SLE patients under the age of 55, between January 2021 and June 2023. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression model was utilized to identify potentially relevant features. Subsequently, a nomogram was developed using multivariable logistic analysis. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated through a receiver-operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

A total of 148 SLE patients who fulfilled the inclusion criteria were enrolled in the study, of whom 53 patients (35.81%) met the definition of premature atherosclerosis. Hypertension, antiphospholipid syndrome, azathioprine use, duration of glucocorticoid, and age of patients were included in the multivariable regression. The nomogram, based on the non-overfitting multivariable model, was internally validated and demonstrated sufficient clinical utility for assessing the risk of premature atherosclerosis (area under curve: 0.867).

CONCLUSIONS

The comprehensive nomogram constructed in this study serves as a useful and convenient tool for evaluating the risk of premature atherosclerosis in SLE patients. It is helpful for clinicians to early identify SLE patients with premature atherosclerosis and facilitates the implementation of more effective preventive measures. Key Points • SLE patients are at a significantly higher risk of developing premature atherosclerosis compared to the general population, and this risk persists even in cases with low disease activity. Traditional models used to evaluate and predict premature atherosclerosis in SLE patients often underestimate the risk. • This study establishes a comprehensive and visually orientated predictive model of premature atherosclerosis in SLE patients, based on clinical characteristics. • The scoring system allows for convenient and effective prediction of individual incidence of premature atherosclerosis, and could provide valuable information for identification and making further intervention decision.

Arterial stiffness tested by pulse wave velocity and augmentation index for cardiovascular risk stratification in antiphospholipid syndrome

OBJECTIVES

Cardiovascular disease is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in Antiphospholipid syndrome (APS). Arterial stiffness (ArS) has emerged as a predictor of future cardiovascular events in the general population. We aimed to assess ArS in patients with thrombotic APS versus diabetes mellitus (DM) and healthy controls (HC) and identify predictors of increased ArS in APS.

METHODS

ArS was evaluated by carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV) and augmentation index normalized to 75 beats/min (AIx@75) using the SphygmoCor device. Participants also underwent carotid/femoral ultrasound for atherosclerotic plaque detection. We used linear regression to compare ArS measures among groups and assess ArS determinants in the APS group.

RESULTS

We included 110 patients with APS (70.9% female, mean age 45.4 years), 110 DM patients and 110 HC, all age/sex matched. After adjustment for age, sex, cardiovascular risk factors and plaque presence, APS patients exhibited similar cfPWV [β = -0.142 (95% CI -0.514, 0.230), p = 0.454] but increased AIx@75 [β = 4.525 (95% CI 1.372, 7.677), p = 0.005] compared with HC and lower cfPWV (p < 0.001) but similar AIx@75 (p = 0.193) versus DM patients. In the APS group, cfPWV was independently associated with age [β = 0.056 (95% CI 0.034, 0.078), p < 0.001], mean arterial pressure (MAP) [β = 0.070 (95% CI 0.043, 0.097), p < 0.001], atherosclerotic femoral plaques [β = 0.732 (95% CI 0.053, 1.411), p = 0.035] and anti-β2-glycoprotein I IgM positivity [β = 0.696 (95% CI 0.201, 1.191), p = 0.006]. AIx@75 was associated with age [β = 0.334 (95% CI 0.117, 0.551), p = 0.003], female sex [β = 7.447 (95% CI 2.312, 12.581), p = 0.005] and MAP [β = 0.425 (95% CI 0.187, 0.663), p = 0.001].

CONCLUSION

APS patients exhibit elevated AIx@75 vs HC and similar to DM patients, indicating enhanced arterial stiffening in APS. Given its prognostic value, ArS evaluation may help to improve cardiovascular risk stratification in APS.

Risk of Subclinical Atherosclerosis in Patients with Antiphospholipid Syndrome and Subjects With Antiphospholipid Antibody Positivity: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Currently, the guidelines for the prevention of atherosclerosis in patients with antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) do not differ substantially from those in the general population. We aimed to assess the risk of subclinical atherosclerosis in patients with APS and subjects with antiphospholipid antibody (aPL) positivity. Systematic literature search was conducted through Medline and Scopus until January 2023. Random effects meta-analyses were performed to examine the differences in markers of subclinical atherosclerosis between APS patients, subjects positive for aPLs and healthy controls. Patients with APS had significantly higher values of common carotid artery (CCA) intima-media thickness (IMT) (MD = 0.07 mm; P < 0.0001), internal carotid artery IMT (MD = 0.06 mm; P < 0.01), carotid bifurcation IMT (MD = 0.14 mm; P < 0.01) and were more frequently diagnosed with atherosclerotic plaques compared to controls (OR = 3.73; P < 0.01). Similarly, APS patients showed a decreased flow and nitrate-mediated dilation (MD = -4.52 %; <0.01, MD = -1.25 %; P < 0.05, respectively). Interestingly, comparable were the results for subjects with aPL positivity, who had higher CCA-IMT (MD = 0.06 mm; P < 0.01) and higher prevalence of atherosclerotic plaques (OR = 2.59; P = 0.08) compared to controls. Sensitivity analysis conducted on primary APS patients revealed that the risk of atherosclerosis is associated with APS per se and is not exclusively driven by other underlying conditions. Patients with APS and subjects with aPLs have an increased risk of subclinical atherosclerosis and require early and disease-specific prevention of atherosclerosis.

Differences in Antiphospholipid Antibody Profile between Patients with Obstetric and Thrombotic Antiphospholipid Syndrome

Antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) is a systemic autoimmune condition characterised by the presence of antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) associated with vascular thrombosis and/or pregnancy complications. In a cohort of 74 yet diagnosed APS individuals fulfilling Sydney laboratory criteria (twice positive for lupus anticoagulant, anticardiolipin, aCL, and/or anti-β2glycoprotein I, aβ2GPI), 33 out of 74 were obstetric APS (OAPS) and 41 thrombotic APS (TAPS) patients. 39% of TAPS patients were women. Although aPL detection was persistent, we observed an oscillatory aPL positivity in 56.7% and a transient seroconversion in 32.4% of APS patients at enrolment. Thus, we tested their sera in a line immunoassay that simultaneously detected IgG or IgM for criteria (aCL and aβ2GPI) and non-criteria (anti-phosphatidylserine, aPS; anti-phosphatidic acid, aPA; anti-phosphatidylinositol, aPI; anti-annexin 5, aA5; anti-prothrombin, aPT; anti-phosphatidylethanolamine; anti-phosphatidylglycerol, and anti-phosphatidylcholine) aPL. OAPS and TAPS patients displayed different but overlapping clusters based on their aPL reactivities. Specifically, while OAPS patients showed higher aPA, aPS, aA5, aβ2GPI and aPT IgM levels than TAPS patients, the latter displayed higher reactivity in aCL, aPI and aA5 IgG. Eventually, with a cut-off of the 99th percentile established from a population of 79 healthy donors, TAPS patients significantly tested more positive for aCL and aA5 IgG than OAPS patients, who tested more positive for aPA, aPS and aβ2GPI IgM. Transiently seronegative APS patients showed non-criteria aPL positivity twice in sera obtained 3 months apart. Overall, our data show that APS patients presented clusters of aPL that define different profiles between OAPS and TAPS, and persistent non-criteria aPL positivity was observed in those who are transiently seronegative.

Long Term Follow up of Patients With Primary Obstetric Antiphospholipid Syndrome

Introduction: Primary obstetric antiphospholipid syndrome (OAPS) is defined by specific morbidities and/or losses of pregnancy in the presence of persistent antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL). This variant of APS is usually treated during pregnancy and the post-partum period. Data on occurrence of thrombotic event during long term follow-up of OAPS patients is limited.

Methods: A multi-centre retrospectively cohort of female patients with primary APS (pAPS) was assembled during 2004–2019. Patients were grouped according to disease presentation as pure OAPS or thrombotic APS (tAPS) for those presenting with thrombosis. Clinical and serological data were compared between groups.

Results: Of 219 pAPS female patients 67 (30.6%) were diagnosed with OAPS and 152 (69.4%) with tAPS. During >10 years of follow-up 24/67 (35.8%) OAPS and 71/152 (50%) tAPS suffered a new thrombotic event (p = 0.06), while obstetric morbidity was more likely in the OAPS group (31.3 vs. 10.5%, p < 0.001) respectively. Among patients with OAPS at presentation heart valve disease and the presence of ANA were related to thrombosis following diagnosis (25 vs. 4.7%, p = 0.02; and 45.8 vs. 20.8%, p = 0.04 respectively).

Conclusion: Thrombotic event following diagnosis were common among female patients with pAPS regardless of disease presentation. Heart valve disease and ANA positivity may be risk factors for thrombosis during follow-up of patients presenting with pure OAPS.

Cardiovascular disease risk in antiphospholipid syndrome: Thrombo-inflammation and atherothrombosis

Antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) is an autoimmune disorder characterized by the presence of antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) (lupus anticoagulant, anticardiolipin antibodies and anti-beta2glycoprotein I (anti-β2GPI) antibodies) and a plethora of macro- and micro-vascular manifestations, affecting predominantly young adults. Cardiovascular events are the leading causes of morbidity and mortality in APS. APL-mediated thrombo-inflammation and atherothrombosis are emerging pathogenetic mechanisms of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in APS, involving endothelial cell and monocyte activation, cytokines and adhesion molecules expression, complement and neutrophils activation, neutrophil extracellular traps formation, platelet cell activation and aggregation, and subsequent thrombin generation, in parallel with an oxidized low-density lipoprotein (oxLDL)-β2GPI complex induced macrophage differentiation to foam cells. High risk aPL profile, especially the presence of lupus anticoagulant and triple aPL positivity (all three aPL subtypes), co-existence with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE), as well as traditional risk factors such as smoking, hypertension, hyperlipemia and obesity are associated with both subclinical atherosclerosis and cardiovascular events in APS. Increased awareness of CVD risk by the physicians and patients, regular assessment and strict control of traditional risk factors, and lifestyle modifications are recommended. Use of low-dose aspirin should be considered for cardiovascular prevention in asymptomatic aPL carriers or SLE patients with high-risk aPL profile. The role of older agents such as hydroxychloroquine and statins or new potential targeted treatments against immuno- and athero-thrombosis has been demonstrated by experimental and some clinical studies and needs to be further evaluated by randomized controlled studies. This review summarizes the available evidence about the pathogenetic mechanisms and prevalence of cardiovascular events and subclinical atherosclerosis, the interrelationship between traditional and disease-related CVD risk factors, and the cardiovascular risk assessment and management in APS.

Pathogenesis, Diagnosis and Management of Obstetric Antiphospholipid Syndrome: A Comprehensive Review

Antiphospholipid syndrome is an autoimmune disorder characterized by vascular thrombosis and/or pregnancy morbidity associated with persistent antiphospholipid antibody positivity. Cases fulfilling the Sydney criteria for obstetric morbidity with no previous thrombosis are known as obstetric antiphospholipid syndrome (OAPS). OAPS is the most identified cause of recurrent pregnancy loss and late-pregnancy morbidity related to placental injury. Cases with incomplete clinical or laboratory data are classified as obstetric morbidity APS (OMAPS) and non-criteria OAPS (NC-OAPS), respectively. Inflammatory and thrombotic mechanisms are involved in the pathophysiology of OAPS. Trophoblasts, endothelium, platelets and innate immune cells are key cellular players. Complement activation plays a crucial pathogenic role. Secondary placental thrombosis appears by clot formation in response to tissue factor activation. New risk assessment tools could improve the prediction of obstetric complication recurrences or thromboses. The standard-of-care treatment consists of low-dose aspirin and prophylactic low molecular weight heparin. In refractory cases, the addition of hydroxychloroquine, low-dose prednisone or IVIG improve pregnancy outcomes. Statins and eculizumab are currently being tested for treating selected OAPS women. Finally, we revisited recent insights and concerns about the pathophysiology, diagnosis and management of OAPS.

Growth Differentiation Factor 15 (GDF-15) as potential cardiovascular risk biomarker in Antiphospholipid Syndrome

OBJECTIVE

An interplay between thrombo-inflammatory and atherogenic mechanisms is recognized in cardiovascular disease pathogenesis (CVD) in antiphospholipid syndrome (APS). Herein, we examine associations of growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), a pro-inflammatory cytokine identified as potent CVD risk biomarker in the general population, with subclinical atherosclerosis in APS.

METHODS

We measured plasma GDF-15 levels by an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay (cut-off 1200 pg/mL) and examined carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and the presence of carotid and femoral plaques using vascular ultrasound in 80 patients with APS (44 primary, 36 systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE)/APS) and 40 healthy controls. We calculated the aGAPSSCVD, a revised adjusted Global APS Score (aGAPSS) to predict CVD, including lupus anticoagulant, anticardiolipin and anti-beta2glycoprotein-I antibodies, and hypertension, dyslipidemia, obesity, diabetes and smoking.

RESULTS

GDF-15 levels were higher in APS patients vs. controls adjusting for age and gender (absolute difference: 281 (95% CI: 141-421) pg/mL, p < 0.001). GDF-15 levels ≥1200 pg/mL were associated with higher mean IMT of right and left carotid (beta coefficient 0.068 (95% CI: 0.020, 0.116), p = 0.006) compared with GDF-15 levels <1200 pg/mL. GDF-15 was independently associated with mean IMT adjusting for gender and aGAPSSCVD (beta coefficient 0.059 (95% CI: 0.008-0.110, p = 0.024), and additionally for statin (p = 0.025) and hydroxychloroquine use (p = 0.011). GDF-15 levels ≥1200 pg/mL were associated with 2.4 higher odds for atherosclerotic plaques (OR = 2.438 (95% CI: 0.906, 6.556), p = 0.078), while this effect reduced adding more covariates in the model.

CONCLUSION

GDF-15 is independently associated with subclinical atherosclerosis in APS patients suggesting its potential role in CVD risk stratification in APS.

Validation of the adjusted global antiphospholipid syndrome score in a single centre cohort of APS patients from Turkey

The adjusted global antiphospholipid syndrome score (aGAPSS) is a recently developed thrombotic risk assessment score that considers the antiphospholipid antibody (aPL) profile and conventional cardiovascular risk factors. In this retrospective study, we aimed to evaluate the validity of the aGAPSS in predicting clinical manifestations (criteria and extra-criteria) of antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) in a single centre cohort of patients. Ninety-eight patients with APS ± systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) were classified according to clinical manifestations as vascular thrombosis (VT), pregnancy morbidity (PM) or both (VT + PM). The aGAPSS was calculated for each patient as previously defined. Mean aGAPSS of the cohort was calculated as 10.2 ± 3.8. Significantly higher aGAPSS values were seen in VT (n = 58) and VT + PM (n = 29) groups when compared to PM (n = 11) group (10.6 ± 3.7 vs 7.4 ± 2.9, P = 0.005; 10.7 ± 4 vs 7.4 ± 2.9, P = 0.008, respectively), mainly due to lower frequencies of cardiovascular risk factors in PM. Higher aGAPPS values were also associated with recurrent thrombosis (11.6 ± 3.7 vs 9.9 ± 3.6, P = 0.04). Regarding extra-criteria manifestations, patients with livedo reticularis (n = 11) and APS nephropathy (n = 9) had significantly higher aGAPSS values (12.9 ± 3.4 vs 9.9 ± 3.7, P = 0.02; 12.4 ± 2.9 vs 10 ± 3.8, P = 0.04, respectively). The computed AUC demonstrated that aGAPSS values ≥10 had the best diagnostic accuracy for thrombosis. Our results suggest that patients with higher aGAPSS values are at higher risk for developing vascular thrombosis (either first event or recurrence) and extra-criteria manifestations, especially livedo reticularis and APS nephropathy.