Limited value for ultrasonography in predicting flare in rheumatoid arthritis patients with low disease activity stopping TNF inhibitors

Prevalence and predictors of sustained remission/low disease activity after discontinuation of induction or maintenance treatment with tumor necrosis factor inhibitors in rheumatoid arthritis: a systematic and scoping review

BACKGROUND

To determine the prevalence of sustained remission/low disease activity (LDA) in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) after discontinuation of tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi), separately in induction treatment and maintenance treatment studies, and to identify predictors of successful discontinuation.

METHODS

We performed a systematic literature review of studies published from 2005 to May 2022 that reported outcomes after TNFi discontinuation among patients in remission/LDA. We computed prevalences of successful discontinuation by induction or maintenance treatment, remission criterion, and follow-up time. We performed a scoping review of predictors of successful discontinuation.

RESULTS

Twenty-two induction-withdrawal studies were identified. In pooled analyses, 58% (95% confidence interval (CI) 45, 70) had DAS28 < 3.2 (9 studies), 52% (95% CI 35, 69) had DAS28 < 2.6 (9 studies), and 40% (95% CI 18, 64) had SDAI ≤ 3.3 (4 studies) at 37-52 weeks after discontinuation. Among patients who continued TNFi, 62 to 85% maintained remission. Twenty-two studies of maintenance treatment discontinuation were also identified. At 37-52 weeks after TNFi discontinuation, 48% (95% CI 38, 59) had DAS28 < 3.2 (10 studies), and 47% (95% CI 33, 62) had DAS28 < 2.6 (6 studies). Heterogeneity among studies was high. Data on predictors in induction-withdrawal studies were limited. In both treatment scenarios, longer duration of RA was most consistently associated with less successful discontinuation.

CONCLUSIONS

Approximately one-half of patients with RA remain in remission/LDA for up to 1 year after TNFi discontinuation, with slightly higher proportions in induction-withdrawal settings than with maintenance treatment discontinuation.

Musculoskeletal ultrasound for treating rheumatoid arthritis to target-a systematic literature review

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to systematically review the literature to retrieve evidence on the diagnostic and prognostic value of musculoskeletal ultrasound for a treat to target (T2T) approach in RA.

METHODS

Eight research questions were developed addressing the role of ultrasound (including different ultrasound scores and elementary lesions) for diagnosis, monitoring and prognosis of RA. PubMed and EMBASE were searched (2005-2020). Articles on RA and reporting data on musculoskeletal ultrasound were included and extracted according to the underlying questions, and risk of bias assessed according to the study design.

RESULTS

Out of 4632 records, 60 articles were included. Due to clinical heterogeneity, meta-analysis was not possible. Ultrasound better predicted disease relapses with respect to clinical examination in patients in remission, while both methods performed similarly in predicting response to therapy, achievement of remission and radiographic progression. Ultrasound was superior to clinical examination in diagnosing joint involvement using another imaging modality, such as magnetic resonance imaging, as reference. Limited ultrasound scores performed like more extensive evaluations for the detection of joint inflammation and for outcome prediction. Higher ultrasound scores of synovitis were linked to poor outcomes at all disease stages, but a specific cut-off distinguishing between low- and high-risk groups did not emerge.

CONCLUSIONS

These data confirm the pivotal role of ultrasound when evaluating synovial inflammation and when identifying RA patients at higher risk of relapse. Further research is needed to better define the role of ultrasound in a T2T management strategy in moderately-to-highly active RA.

Defining the Optimal Strategies for Achieving Drug-Free Remission in Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Narrative Review

Background: It is now accepted that the optimum treatment goal for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is sustained remission, as this has been shown to be associated with the best patient outcomes. There is little guidance on how to manage patients once remission is achieved; however, it is recommended that patients can taper therapy, with a view to discontinuing and achieving drug-free remission if treatment goals are maintained. This narrative review aims to present the current literature on drug-free remission in rheumatoid arthritis, with a view to identifying which strategies are best for disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD) tapering and to highlight areas of unmet clinical need. Methods: We performed a narrative review of the literature, which included research articles, meta-analyses and review papers. The key search terms included were rheumatoid arthritis, remission, drug-free remission, b-DMARDS/biologics, cs-DMARDS and tapering. The databases that were searched included PubMed and Google Scholar. For each article, the reference section of the paper was reviewed to find additional relevant articles. Results: It has been demonstrated that DFR is possible in a proportion of RA patients achieving clinically defined remission (both on cs and b-DMARDS). Immunological, imaging and clinical associations with/predictors of DFR have all been identified, including the presence of autoantibodies, absence of Power Doppler (PD) signal on ultrasound (US), lower disease activity according to composite scores of disease activity and lower patient-reported outcome scores (PROs) at treatment cessation. Conclusions: DFR in RA may be an achievable goal in certain patients. This carries importance in reducing medication-induced side-effects and potential toxicity, the burden of taking treatment if not required and cost effectiveness, specifically for biologic therapy. Prospective studies of objective biomarkers will help facilitate the prediction of successful treatment discontinuation.

Synovitis and Tenosynovitis on Ultrasound as Predictors of DMARD Tapering Failure in Patients with Long-Standing Rheumatoid Arthritis in Clinical Remission or Low Disease Activity

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of synovitis and tenosynovitis detected by grayscale (GS) and by power Doppler (PD) ultrasound (US) in relation to failure of tapering disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARD) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients.

METHODS

Long-standing RA patients who de-escalated treatment were included in this prospective cohort study. All patients underwent 3 ultrasonographic and clinical assessments, at baseline and every 3 or 4 months, over a period of 6-8 months. US investigation of 32 joints was performed. Synovitis was assessed by GS and PD semiquantitative scoring (0-3) and a global score was calculated for each individual by summing single joint scores. The presence of tenosynovitis was recorded whenever detected during ultrasound assessment.

RESULTS

Thirty-three patients completed the follow-up period (29 women; 4 men). Eight patients (25%) relapsed. Using the optimal cutoff values determined by receiver operating characteristic curve, patients with a PD synovitis ≥1 at baseline had significantly greater chances to relapse than those without PD activity. During follow-up, GS tenosynovitis was detected in 6 patients (5 with PD) who failed and in 3 patients (1 with PD) who succeeded in tapering therapy. Having at least 1 joint with PD synovitis resulted in a relative risk of 3.14 and having GS tenosynovitis resulted in a relative risk of 11.4 (95% CI: 1.03-9.60 and 2.82-45.9, respectively) for relapse in the multivariate Poisson model.

CONCLUSIONS

PD synovitis and GS tenosynovitis may be useful to identify RA patients in risk of relapse after DMARD tapering.

18F-FDG PET-CT scanning in rheumatoid arthritis patients tapering TNFi: reliability, validity and predictive value

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the reliability and validity of 18F-FDG PET-CT scanning (FDG-PET) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients with low disease activity tapering tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi) and its' predictive value for successful tapering or discontinuation.

METHODS

Patients in the tapering arm of the DRESS study, a randomized controlled trial on TNFi tapering in RA, underwent FDG-PET before tapering (baseline) and after maximal tapering. 48 joints per scan were scored: 1) visually (FDG-avid joint (FAJ) y/n), 2) quantitatively (maximal and mean standardized uptake values (SUVmax and SUVmean)). Interobserver agreement was calculated in 10 patients at baseline. Quantitative and visual FDG-PET scores were investigated for: 1) (multilevel) association with clinical parameters both on joint and patient level and 2) predictive value at baseline and change between baseline and maximal tapering (delta) for successful tapering and discontinuation at 18 months.

RESULTS

79 patients underwent FDG-PET. For performance of identification of FAJs on PET, Cohen's kappa was 0.49 (0.35-0.63). For SUVmax and SUVmean, ICCs were 0.80 (0.77-0.83) and 0.96 (0.9-1.0), respectively. On joint level, swelling was significantly associated with SUVmax and SUVmean (B coefficients with 95%CI 1.0 (0.73-1.35) and 0.2 (0.08-0.32) respectively). On patient level only correlation with acute phase reactants was found. FDG-PET scores were not predictive for successful tapering or discontinuation.

CONCLUSIONS

Quantitative FDG-PET arthritis scoring in RA patients with low disease activity is reliable and has some construct validity. However, no predictive values were found for FDG-PET parameters for successful tapering and/or discontinuation of TNFi.

Rheumatoid Arthritis Relapse and Remission - Advancing Our Predictive Capability Using Modern Imaging

Clinical remission has become an achievable target for the majority of patients with rheumatoid arthritis, but subclinical inflammation as assessed by ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has been demonstrated to be frequent in patients in clinical remission. Subclinical synovitis has been shown to be linked to both subsequent structural damage progression and a risk of flare, demonstrating that subclinical synovitis represents incomplete suppression of inflammation and questions whether it is appropriate only to use clinical composite scores as treatment target in clinical practice. Maintaining a state of remission has proven important as sustained clinical remission impacts long-term outcome regarding joint damage progression, physical function and quality of life. Treating subclinical inflammation has been attempted and has led to more frequent strict clinical remission and better physical function, but also to more adverse events. Thus, an overall benefit of incorporating imaging goals in treat-to-target strategies has not been documented. However, in patients in clinical remission on biological disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs, both ultrasound and MRI may aid in the clinical decision regarding whether drug tapering or even discontinuation should be attempted.

Adalimumab drug and antidrug antibody levels do not predict flare risk after stopping adalimumab in RA patients with low disease activity

OBJECTIVE

To establish whether serum adalimumab (ADA) trough level (ADA-TL) and antidrug antibody (ADA-ab) level predict flare after stopping ADA in established RA patients with long-standing low disease activity.

METHODS

From the clinical trial Potential Optimalisation and Effectiveness of TNF-blockers, 210 RA patients stopping ADA, who had been using ADA (40 mg/2 weeks) for >1 year with conventional synthetic DMARDs and who had low disease activity (DAS28 < 3.2, or the rheumatologist's assessment of low disease activity with CRP < 10 mg/l) for at least 6 months prior to stopping, were followed for 1 year. The ADA-TL was measured (by ELISA) 12-17 days after the last ADA injection; if it was low, ADA-abs were measured (by an antigen-binding test). Association between time-to-flare and ADA-TL was evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and Cox regression.

RESULTS

A total of 106 (51%) patients flared within 1 year after stopping ADA. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for flare and ADA-TL was 0.50 (95% CI 0.42-0.58), P = 0.92. The hazard ratio for flare for ADA-TL ⩾ 5 μg/ml (adequate level) vs <5 μg/ml was 0.93 (95% CI: 0.63-1.36) (not significant). Of the 4 patients with high ADA-ab levels, 2 patients (50%) experienced a flare.

CONCLUSION

Flare risk within the year following stopping ADA is not predicted by the ADA-TL or ADA-abs assessed at the moment of stopping.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Netherlands Trial Register, http://www.trialregister.nl, NTR3112.

Flares in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients with Low Disease Activity: Predictability and Association with Worse Clinical Outcomes

OBJECTIVE

To investigate predictors of flare in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients with low disease activity (LDA) and to evaluate the effect of flare on 12-month clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Patients with RA who were taking disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs and had a stable 28-joint count Disease Activity Score (DAS28) < 3.2 were eligible for inclusion. At baseline and every 3 months, clinical (DAS28), functional [Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index (HAQ-DI), EQ-5D, Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy Fatigue scale (FACIT-F), Medical Outcomes Study Short Form-36 (SF-36)], serum biomarkers [multibiomarker disease activity (MBDA) score, calprotectin, CXCL10], and imaging data were collected. Flare was defined as an increase in DAS28 compared with baseline of > 1.2, or > 0.6 if concurrent DAS28 ≥ 3.2. Cox regression analyses were used to identify baseline predictors of flare. Biomarkers were cross-sectionally correlated at time of flare. Linear regressions were performed to compare clinical outcomes after 1 year.

RESULTS

Of 152 patients, 46 (30%) experienced a flare. Functional disability at baseline was associated with flare: HAQ-DI had an unadjusted HR 1.82 (95% CI 1.20-2.72) and EQ-5D had HR 0.20 (95% CI 0.07-0.57). In multivariate analyses, only HAQ-DI remained a significant independent predictor of flare (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.05-2.93). At time of flare, DAS28 and its components significantly correlated with MBDA and calprotectin, but correlation coefficients were low at 0.52 and 0.49, respectively. Two-thirds of flares were not associated with a rise in biomarkers. Patients who flared had significantly worse outcomes at 12 months (HAQ-DI, EQ-5D, FACIT-F, SF-36, and radiographic progression).

CONCLUSION

Flares occur frequently in RA patients with LDA and are associated with worse disease activity, quality of life, and radiographic progression. Higher baseline HAQ-DI was modestly predictive of flare, while biomarker correlation at the time of flare suggests a noninflammatory component in a majority of events.

Design of a phase IV randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial assessing the ImPact of Residual Inflammation Detected via Imaging TEchniques, Drug Levels and Patient Characteristics on the Outcome of Dose TaperIng of Adalimumab in Clinical Remission Rheumatoid ArThritis (RA) patients (PREDICTRA)

INTRODUCTION

The current American College of Rheumatology and European League Against Rheumatism treatment recommendations advise tapering biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (bDMARD) therapy in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) who achieve stable clinical remission while receiving bDMARDs. However, not all patients maintain remission or low disease activity after tapering or discontinuation of bDMARDs. The aim of the ImPact of Residual Inflammation Detected via Imaging TEchniques, Drug Levels and Patient Characteristics on the Outcome of Dose TaperIng of Adalimumab in Clinical Remission Rheumatoid ArThritis (RA) study, or PREDICTRA, is to generate data on patient and disease characteristics that may predict the clinical course of a fixed dose-tapering regimen with the bDMARD adalimumab.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

PREDICTRA is an ongoing, multicentre, phase IV, randomised, double-blind, parallel-group study of adalimumab dose tapering controlled by withdrawal in participants with RA who achieved stable clinical remission while receiving adalimumab. The study includes a screening period, a 4-week lead-in period with open-label adalimumab 40 mg every other week and a subsequent 36-week double-blind period during which participants are randomised 5:1 to adalimumab 40 mg every 3 weeks (taper arm) or placebo (withdrawal arm). The primary explanatory efficacy variables are lead-in baseline hand and wrist MRI-detected synovitis and bone marrow oedema scores, as well as a composite of both scores; the dependent variable is the occurrence of flare up to week 40. Additional efficacy variables, safety, pharmacokinetics, biomarkers and immunogenicity will also be assessed, and an ultrasound substudy will be conducted.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study is conducted in accordance with the International Conference on Harmonisation guidelines, local laws and the ethical principles of the Declaration of Helsinki. All participants are required to sign a written informed consent statement before the start of any study procedures.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

EudraCT 2014-001114-26 and NCT02198651; Pre-results.

Can Ultrasound Be Used to Predict Loss of Remission in Patients with RA in a Real-life Setting? A Multicenter Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

Several studies have suggested that patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) presenting with ultrasound (US) synovitis despite clinical remission have more subsequent flares than those who show both clinical and sonographic remission. The objective of our study was to investigate whether these results could be translated to a real-life setting.

METHODS

We compared the time from the first US performed in clinical remission to loss of remission (defined by a DAS28 > 2.6 or the need for stepping up treatment with disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs) within the Swiss Clinical Quality Management cohort of patients with RA, and we adjusted for relevant confounders. Analyses were repeated for different definitions of US-detected synovitis (US+) using greyscale, Doppler, and combined modes based on previously validated scores, and they were adjusted for relevant confounders.

RESULTS

There were 318 RA patients with 378 remission phases included. Loss of clinical remission was observed in 60% of remission phases. Residual US synovitis was associated with a shorter duration of clinical remission (median 2-5 mos) and a moderately increased hazard ratio (HR) for loss of remission (HR 1.2-1.5), with the highest HR for the combined US score. The association between US+ and loss of remission was strongest when the US measurement had taken place early in remission (shorter median duration of 6-20 mos) and when followup time was limited to the first 3 or 6 months (most HR between 2-4).

CONCLUSION

US-detected synovitis, particularly when US is performed early in clinical remission, has a moderate predictive power for loss of remission in a real-life setting.