The role of ultrasound-defined tenosynovitis and synovitis in the prediction of rheumatoid arthritis development

[Research progress of ultrasound in diagnosis and treatment of shoulder joint diseases]

Objective

To review the research progress of ultrasound in the diagnosis and treatment of shoulder diseases, in order to provide a theoretical basis for the further development of ultrasound in shoulder surgery.

Methods

The recent literature on the application of ultrasound in the shoulder joint was extensively reviewed. The application of ultrasound in the diagnosis and treatment of shoulder joint diseases, and the advantages and disadvantages of ultrasound were analysed, and the development trend of ultrasound technology in the shoulder joint area was prospected.

Results

At present, the diagnosis of shoulder joint diseases mainly relies on MRI, however, with the development of ultrasound technology, ultrasound with the characteristics of convenient, reliable, and real-time dynamic evaluation is more and more recognized in the diagnosis process of shoulder joint diseases, combined with three-dimensional ultrasound, ultrasound intervention, and elastography can improve the accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of the diagnosis, and is suitable for the diagnosis and treatment of various shoulder joint diseases, which is expected to carry out early prevention of shoulder joint diseases in the future and achieve more refined and minimally invasive treatment.

Conclusion

Ultrasound technology has wide application prospect in shoulder joint diseases, but it is still in the developing stage, and the subjective dependence needs to be solved further.

Abatacept inhibits inflammation and onset of rheumatoid arthritis in individuals at high risk (ARIAA): a randomised, international, multicentre, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Individuals with anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPAs) and subclinical inflammatory changes in joints are at high risk of developing rheumatoid arthritis. Treatment strategies to intercept this pre-stage clinical disease remain to be developed. We aimed to assess whether 6-month treatment with abatacept improves inflammation in preclinical rheumatoid arthritis.

METHODS

The abatacept reversing subclinical inflammation as measured by MRI in ACPA positive arthralgia (ARIAA) study is a randomised, international, multicentre, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial done in 14 hospitals and community centres across Europe (11 in Germany, two in Spain, and one in the Czech Republic). Adults (aged ≥18 years) with ACPA positivity, joint pain (but no swelling), and signs of osteitis, synovitis, or tenosynovitis in hand MRI were randomly assigned (1:1) to weekly subcutaneous abatacept 125 mg or placebo for 6 months followed by a double-blind, drug-free, observation phase for 12 months. The primary outcome was the proportion of participants with any reduction in inflammatory MRI lesions at 6 months. The primary efficacy analysis was done in the modified intention-to-treat population, which included participants who were randomly assigned and received study medication. Safety analyses were conducted in participants who received the study medication and had at least one post-baseline observation. The study was registered with the EUDRA-CT (2014-000555-93).

FINDINGS

Between Nov 6, 2014, and June 15, 2021, 139 participants were screened. Of 100 participants, 50 were randomly assigned to abatacept 125 mg and 50 to placebo. Two participants (one from each group) were excluded due to administration failure or refusing treatment; thus, 98 were included in the modified intention-to-treat population. 70 (71%) of 98 participants were female and 28 (29%) of 98 were male. At 6 months, 28 (57%) of 49 participants in the abatacept group and 15 (31%) of 49 participants in the placebo group showed improvement in MRI subclinical inflammation (absolute difference 26·5%, 95% CI 5·9-45·6; p=0·014). Four (8%) of 49 participants in the abatacept group and 17 (35%) of 49 participants in the placebo group developed rheumatoid arthritis (hazard ratio [HR] 0·14 [0·04-0·47]; p=0·0016). Improvement of MRI inflammation (25 [51%] of 49 participants in the abatacept group, 12 [24%] of 49 in the placebo group; p=0·012) and progression to rheumatoid arthritis (17 [35%] of 49, 28 [57%] of 49; HR 0·14 [0·04-0·47]; p=0·018) remained significantly different between the two groups after 18 months, 12 months after the end of the intervention. There were 12 serious adverse events in 11 participants (four [8%] of 48 in the abatacept group and 7 [14%] of 49 in the placebo group). No deaths occurred during the study.

INTERPRETATION

6-month treatment with abatacept decreases MRI inflammation, clinical symptoms, and risk of rheumatoid arthritis development in participants at high risk. The effects of the intervention persist through a 1-year drug-free observation phase.

FUNDING

Innovative Medicine Initiative.

Value of Hands Ultrasonography in the Differential Diagnosis Between Psoriatic Arthritis and Rheumatoid Arthritis

OBJECTIVES

Psoriatic arthritis (PsA) can mimic rheumatoid arthritis (RA) at an early stage, especially when psoriasis is lacking. In the absence of specific radiological and immunological markers, the differential diagnosis between these two diseases can be challenging. We aimed to determine whether hands ultrasonography (US) may be useful in the differential diagnosis between PsA and RA.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study including patients with PsA and RA. All wrists and small joints of the hands were examined using gray-scale and Power Doppler US. The evaluated US lesions were: synovitis, tenosynovitis of extensor carpi ulnaris, extensor communis and flexor tendons, enthesitis of extensor tendons at distal interphalangeal joints, peritendon inflammation of extensor tendons, and soft tissue edema.

RESULTS

Six hundred joints in 20 PsA patients and 900 joints in 30 RA patients were assessed. Extensor enthesitis was significantly more observed in PsA compared with RA (39.4 vs 26.3%, P = .006) with a significant higher frequency of enthesophytes and calcifications (P = .022 and P = .002, respectively). Peritendon inflammation of extensor digitorum tendons was observed in 13% of metacarpophalangeal joints in PsA patients versus 3% in RA patients with a significant difference (P < .001). Soft tissue edema was exclusively observed in PsA (1.5 vs 0%, P = .033). Power Doppler synovitis was significantly more frequent in RA (9.2 vs 5%, P = .002). Extensor carpi ulnaris tenosynovitis was significantly more frequent in RA (18.3 vs 2.5%, P = .017).

CONCLUSION

Extrasynovial US findings may be helpful to distinguish PsA from RA especially in patients with immunonegative polyarthritis and no evidence of psoriasis.

Importance of tenosynovitis in preventing the progression through rheumatoid arthritis continuum

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) has long been characterized by synovitis and bone erosions typically developing symmetrically in small joints. However, recent advances in imaging modalities have indicated frequent association of tenosynovitis with RA, and some consider tenosynovitis to be not just a complication but a major trait of RA. Furthermore, as there are cases with tenosynovitis preceding the clinical detection of inflammatory arthritis in predisposed individuals, tenosynovitis may constitute an important biomarker in defining the pre-RA phase of disease development. Tenosynovitis itself must be treated as it causes functional impairment and physical as well as socioeconomic burden, and its treatment may result in effective prevention of RA development at a pre-arthritic stage. Thus, further efforts need to be taken in detecting and treating tenosynovitis in the pre-RA stage, which can be facilitated by ultrasonography and magnetic resonance imaging.

Predictive Value of Magnetic Resonance Imaging-detected Tenosynovitis of the Metacarpophalangeal and Wrist Joints for the Development of Rheumatoid Arthritis among Patients with Undifferentiated Arthritis

Objective The early diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) improves disease outcomes. Using bilateral magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), we investigated whether or not tenosynovitis at the level of the metacarpophalangeal (MCP) and wrist joints, as well as non-symmetrical versus symmetrical involvement, predicts RA development in undifferentiated arthritis (UA) patients. Methods We collected the clinical and serological findings as well as bilateral gadolinium-enhanced 1.5-T MRI data of UA patients after 1 year. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the association of tenosynovitis in UA with RA development. Ninety-one UA patients from the Nagasaki Early Arthritis Clinic who did not meet the 2010 European League Against Rheumatism/American College of Rheumatology classification criteria for RA were selected. Tenosynovitis at the MCP and wrist joints was scored according to the RA MRI scoring system. Results Of these 91 UA patients, 29 (31.9%) progressed to RA, with a median disease duration of 3 months, despite only 10.9% being positive for anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (ACPA). A univariate analysis showed higher MCP tenosynovitis scores, MCP flexor tenosynovitis, and symmetrical MCP tenosynovitis in the RA development group than in the non-development group (p<0.05). A multivariate analysis showed that symmetrical MCP tenosynovitis was independently associated with RA development after adjusting for age, gender, swollen joint count, C-reactive protein level, and ACPA positivity (odds ratio: 4.96). The presence of symmetrical MCP tenosynovitis had low sensitivity (35%) but high specificity (87%) for RA development. Conclusion MRI-detected tenosynovitis, especially symmetrical findings at the MCP joint, is predictive of RA development in a UA population with low ACPA positivity.

The value of ultrasound-defined tenosynovitis and synovitis in the prediction of persistent arthritis

OBJECTIVES

The value of US-defined tenosynovitis in predicting the persistence of inflammatory arthritis is not well described. In particular, the predictive utility of US-defined tenosynovitis of larger tendons is yet to be reported. We assessed the value of US-defined tenosynovitis alongside US-defined synovitis and clinical and serological variables in predicting persistent arthritis in an inception cohort of DMARD-naïve patients with early arthritis.

METHODS

One hundred and fifty DMARD-naïve patients with clinically apparent synovitis of one or more joints and a symptom duration of ≤3 months underwent baseline clinical, laboratory and US (of 19 bilateral joints and 16 bilateral tendon compartments) assessments. Outcomes were classified as persistent or resolving arthritis after 18 months' follow-up. The predictive value of US-defined tenosynovitis for persistent arthritis was compared with those of US-defined synovitis, and clinical and serological variables.

RESULTS

At 18 months, 99 patients (66%) had developed persistent arthritis and 51 patients (34%) had resolving disease. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that US-detected digit flexor tenosynovitis [odds ratio (OR): 6.6, 95% CI: 2.0 , 22.1, P = 0.002] provided independent predictive data for persistence over and above the presence of US-detected joint synovitis and RF antibodies. In the RF/ACPA-negative subcohort, US-defined digit flexor tenosynovitis remained a significant predictive variable (OR: 4.7, 95% CI: 1.4, 15.8, P = 0.012), even after adjusting for US-defined joint synovitis.

CONCLUSION

US-defined tenosynovitis provided independent predictive data for the development of persistent arthritis. The predictive role of US-defined digit flexor tenosynovitis should be further assessed; investigators should consider including this tendon site as a candidate variable when designing imaging-based predictive algorithms for persistent inflammatory arthritis development.

Evaluation of tenosynovitis in patients with seronegative rheumatoid arthritis using microvascular flow imaging

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this research was investigate the potential use of MVFI (microvascular flow imaging) in the assessment of tenosynovitis in cases with SNRA (seronegative rheumatoid arthritis).

METHODS

Fifty-six SNRA cases and 20 HCs (healthy controls) were enrolled, and all of them were subjected to ultrasonographic examination of the compartments I-VI of the extensor tendons of the wrist, flexor carpi radialis and flexor tendons of the five digits. Each tendon synovial sheath was semi-quantitatively scored by GS (gray-scale) ultrasound, PD (power Doppler) ultrasound, and MVFI. The PD and MVFI scores for each tendon synovial sheath were added up for each patient to get the total scores. GS scores, PD scores, and MVFI scores of tendon synovial sheaths were compared between the two groups. The correlations of total PD scores and total MVFI scores with DAS28 (disease activity scores in 28 joints), ESR (erythrocyte sedimentation rate), and CRP (C-reactive protein) were analyzed.

RESULTS

(1) In the HC group (480 tendons), GS revealed abnormalities in 29 (6.04%) tendon synovial sheaths. The GS score was 1.03 ± 0.18 with the predominance of GS grade 1 (96.55%). In the SNRA group (1,344 tendons), GS detected abnormalities in 418 tendon synovial sheaths (31.10%). The GS score was 1.97 ± 0.53 with the predominance of GS grade 2 (71.77%). There were significant differences in the GS examination rate and grade for tenosynovitis between the two groups (P < 0.05). (2) In the SNRA group, involvement of the extensor carpi ulnaris in the 6^th dorsal compartment was the most common among all extensor tendons; the flexor tendon of the third digit was the most commonly affected among all flexor tendons. (3) In the HC group, the MVFI and PD scores were 0 for tendon synovial sheaths upon GS examination. In the SNRA group, the blood flow display rate of abnormal tendon synovial sheaths indicated by GS was 83.49% and 64.59% upon MVFI and PD, respectively. The results of the two imaging techniques were significantly different (P < 0.05). The blood flow grade of abnormal tendon synovial sheaths indicated by GS was significantly different between MVFI and PD (P < 0.05), which was higher upon MVFI than PD. (4) The total MVFI score and the total PD score in the SNRA group were correlated positively with CRP, ESR and DAS28 (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

MVFI is a more sensitive way in detection of blood flow in the tendon synovial sheaths of SNRA cases, which may be used in clinic to evaluate disease activity and tenosynovitis in SNRA cases.

Bench to Bedside: Modelling Inflammatory Arthritis

Inflammatory arthritides such as rheumatoid arthritis are a major cause of disability. Pre-clinical murine models of inflammatory arthritis continue to be invaluable tools with which to identify and validate therapeutic targets and compounds. The models used are well-characterised and, whilst none truly recapitulates the human disease, they are crucial to researchers seeking to identify novel therapeutic targets and to test efficacy during preclinical trials of novel drug candidates. The arthritis parameters recorded during clinical trials and routine clinical patient care have been carefully standardised, allowing comparison between centres, trials, and treatments. Similar standardisation of scoring across in vivo models has not occurred, which makes interpretation of published results, and comparison between arthritis models, challenging. Here, we include a detailed and readily implementable arthritis scoring system, that increases the breadth of arthritis characteristics captured during experimental arthritis and supports responsive and adaptive monitoring of disease progression in murine models of inflammatory arthritis. In addition, we reference the wider ethical and experimental factors researchers should consider during the experimental design phase, with emphasis on the continued importance of replacement, reduction, and refinement of animal usage in arthritis research.

Predictors of interest in predictive testing for rheumatoid arthritis among first degree relatives of rheumatoid arthritis patients

OBJECTIVES

There is increasing interest in prediction and prevention of RA. It is important to understand the views of those at risk to inform the development of effective approaches. First-degree relatives (FDRs) of RA patients are at increased risk of RA. This study assessed predictors of their interest in predictive testing for RA.

METHODS

Questionnaires were completed by RA patients (provided with their questionnaire by a healthcare professional) and their FDRs (provided with their questionnaire by their RA proband). FDR surveys assessed interest in taking a predictive test, demographic variables, perceived RA risk, attitudes about predictive testing, autonomy preferences, illness perceptions, avoidance coping and health anxiety. Patient surveys included demographic variables, disease impact, RA duration and treatment. Ordinal logistic regression examined the association between FDRs' characteristics and their interest in predictive testing. Generalized estimating equations assessed associations between patient characteristics and FDRs' interest in predictive testing.

RESULTS

Three hundred and ninety-six FDRs responded. Paired data from the RA proband were available for 292. The proportion of FDRs interested in predictive testing was 91.3%. Information-seeking preferences, beliefs that predictive testing can increase empowerment over health and positive attitudes about risk knowledge were associated with increased interest. Beliefs that predictive testing could cause psychological harm predicted lower interest. Patient characteristics of the proband were not associated with FDRs' interest.

CONCLUSIONS

FDRs' interest in predictive testing for RA was high, and factors associated with interest were identified. These findings will inform the development of predictive strategies and informational resources for those at risk.

The EFSUMB Guidelines and Recommendations for Musculoskeletal Ultrasound - Part II: Joint Pathologies, Pediatric Applications, and Guided Procedures

The second part of the Guidelines and Recommendations for Musculoskeletal Ultrasound (MSUS), produced under the auspices of EFSUMB, following the same methodology as for Part 1, provides information and recommendations on the use of this imaging modality for joint pathology, pediatric applications, and musculoskeletal ultrasound-guided procedures. Clinical application, practical points, limitations, and artifacts are described and discussed for every joint or procedure. The document is intended to guide clinical users in their daily practice.

Controversies in rheumatology: Ultrasound for monitoring of RA - do we need it?

Clinical joint examination is the cornerstone for evaluation of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). However, since large discrepancies have been shown even between experienced rheumatologists in evaluation of joint inflammation, and tender joints may have limited value in reflecting inflammation, ultrasound has in the last decennials been introduced in the clinical assessments of RA patients. Ultrasound has high accordance with other imaging modalities and enables detection of clinically difficult pathologies and contributes to assessments of joints difficult to evaluate clinically. However, there is no general agreement on the optimal use of ultrasound in rheumatology and the prevalence of machines as well as the level of experience is highly different across the countries. In addition, standardized use of ultrasound in treat-to-target follow-up of RA patients was found not to have any added value. Thus, how to use ultrasound in monitoring of RA patients is open for debate. The present article will discuss the pros and cons for using ultrasound in the clinical setting.

First assessment of thermoacoustic tomography for in vivo detection of rheumatoid arthritis in the finger joints detection of rheumatoid arthritis in the finger joints

BACKGROUND

The diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is complicated because of the complexity of symptoms and joint structures. Current clinical imaging techniques for the diagnosis of RA have strengths and weaknesses. Emerging imaging techniques need to be developed for the diagnosis or auxiliary diagnosis of RA.

PURPOSE

This study aimed to demonstrate the potential of thermoacoustic tomography (TAT) for in vivo detection of RA in the finger joints.

METHODS

Finger joints were imaged by a TAT system using three different microwave illumination methods including pyramidal horn antenna, and parallel in-phase and anti-phase microwave illuminations. Both diseased and healthy joints were imaged and compared when the three microwave illumination methods were used. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of all the joints was performed to validate the TAT findings. In addition, two diseased joints were imaged at two time points by the pyramidal horn antenna-based TAT to track/monitor the progression of RA during a time period of 16 months. Three-dimensional (3-D) TAT images of the joints were also obtained.

RESULTS

The TAT images of the diseased joints displayed abnormalities in bone and soft tissues compared to the healthy ones. The TAT images by pyramidal horn antenna and in-phase microwave illumination showed high similarity in image appearance, while the anti-phase-based TAT images provided different information about the disease. We found that the TAT findings matched well with the MRI images. The 3-D TAT images effectively displayed the stereoscopic effect of joint lesions. Finally, it was evident that TAT could detect the development of the lesions in 16 months.

CONCLUSION

TAT can noninvasively visualize bone lesions and soft tissue abnormalities in the joints with RA. This first in vivo assessment of TAT provides a foundation for its clinical application to the diagnosis and monitoring of RA in the finger joints.

Systematic review of imaging tests to predict the development of rheumatoid arthritis in people with unclassified arthritis

OBJECTIVE

To estimate and compare the diagnostic accuracy of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and ultrasound, for the prediction of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in unclassified arthritis (UA).

METHODS

MEDLINE, Embase and BIOSIS were searched from 1987 to May 2019. Studies evaluating any imaging test in participants with UA were eligible. Reference standards were RA classification criteria or methotrexate initiation. Two authors independently extracted data and assessed validity using QUADAS-2. Sensitivities and specificities were calculated for each imaging characteristic and joint area. Summary estimates with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated where possible.

RESULTS

Nineteen studies were included; 13 evaluated MRI (n=1,143; 454 with RA) and 6 evaluated ultrasound (n=531; 205 with RA). Studies were limited by unclear recruitment procedures, inclusion of patients with RA at baseline, differential verification, lack of blinding and consensus grading. Study heterogeneity largely precluded meta-analysis, however summary sensitivity and specificity for MRI synovitis in at least one joint were 93% (95% CI 88%, 96%) and 25% (95% CI 13%, 41%) (3 studies). Specificities may be higher for other MRI characteristics but data are limited. Ultrasound results were difficult to synthesise due to different diagnostic thresholds and reference standards.

CONCLUSION

The evidence for MRI or ultrasound as single tests for predicting RA in people with UA is heterogeneous and of variable methodological quality. Larger studies using consensus grading and consistently defined RA diagnosis are needed to identify whether combinations of imaging characteristics, either alone or in combination with other clinical findings, can better predict RA in this population.

EULAR points to consider for conducting clinical trials and observational studies in individuals at risk of rheumatoid arthritis

BACKGROUND

Despite growing interest, there is no guidance or consensus on how to conduct clinical trials and observational studies in populations at risk of rheumatoid arthritis (RA).

METHODS

An European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) task force formulated four research questions to be addressed by systematic literature review (SLR). The SLR results informed consensus statements. One overarching principle, 10 points to consider (PTC) and a research agenda were proposed. Task force members rated their level of agreement (1-10) for each PTC.

RESULTS

Epidemiological and demographic characteristics should be measured in all clinical trials and studies in at-risk individuals. Different at-risk populations, identified according to clinical presentation, were defined: asymptomatic, musculoskeletal symptoms without arthritis and early clinical arthritis. Study end-points should include the development of subclinical inflammation on imaging, clinical arthritis, RA and subsequent achievement of arthritis remission. Risk factors should be assessed at baseline and re-evaluated where appropriate; they include genetic markers and autoantibody profiling and additionally clinical symptoms and subclinical inflammation on imaging in those with symptoms and/or clinical arthritis. Trials should address the effect of the intervention on risk factors, as well as progression to clinical arthritis or RA. In patients with early clinical arthritis, pharmacological intervention has the potential to prevent RA development. Participants' knowledge of their RA risk may inform their decision to participate; information should be provided using an individually tailored approach.

CONCLUSION

These consensus statements provide data-driven guidance for rheumatologists, health professionals and investigators conducting clinical trials and observational studies in individuals at risk of RA.

A core set of risk factors in individuals at risk of rheumatoid arthritis: a systematic literature review informing the EULAR points to consider for conducting clinical trials and observational studies in individuals at risk of rheumatoid arthritis

BACKGROUND

There is significant interest in determining risk factors in individuals at risk of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). A core set of risk factors for clinical arthritis development has not been defined.

METHODS

A literature search and systematic literature review (SLR) was conducted to identify risk factors in individuals at risk of RA using Medline, Embase, PubMed and Central databases.

RESULTS

3854 articles were identified by the literature search. After screening of titles, 138 abstracts were reviewed and 96 articles finally included. Fifty-three articles included data on risk factors including autoantibodies, subclinical inflammation on imaging, clinical features, serum and cellular biomarkers and genetic markers. Risk factors were dependent on the at-risk population. There was good evidence for serum anticitrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) levels, as risk factors for arthritis in all at-risk populations (n=13 articles). Subclinical inflammation on ultrasound (n=12) and MRI (n=6) was reported as a risk factor in multiple studies in at-risk individuals with musculoskeletal (MSK) symptoms and undifferentiated arthritis (UA). Clinical features were reported as a risk factor in at-risk individuals with MSK symptoms and UA (n=13). Other risk factors, including serum and cellular markers were less frequently reported.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk factors for arthritis development in RA are specific to the at-risk population. Serum ACPA confers risk in all populations; subclinical inflammation on imaging and clinical features confer risk in at-risk individuals with MSK symptoms. This SLR informed the EULAR taskforce for points to consider on conducting clinical trials and studies in individuals at risk of RA.

Correlation of Ultrasound Synovitis Joint Count with Disease Activity and Its Longitudinal Variation with Treatment Response to Etanercept in Rheumatoid Arthritis

More research is needed into rheumatoid arthritis (RA), and ultrasound (US) synovitis is a promising factor for assisting in the management of RA; however, related research is extremely limited. The goal of this study was to evaluate the correlation of US synovitis joint count with clinical features, and its longitudinal changes with treatment response to etanercept in RA. We consecutively enrolled 117 people with active RA being treated with etanercept. US synovitis joint count was evaluated in 28 joints at baseline (W0), week 4 (W4), week 12 (W12) and week 24 (W24) after initiation of etanercept treatment. The mean (±standard deviation), median, inter-quartile range, and total range of the US synovitis joint count at W0 were 9.3 ± 4.0, 9.0, 7.0-11.0 and 2.0-21.0, respectively. US synovitis joint count was positively associated with tenderness joint count, swollen joint count, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, 28-joint Disease Activity Score based on erythrocyte sedimentation rate and Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index score. Then participants were categorized into response and non-response groups according to their response status at W24. Further analyses showed that US synovitis joint count gradually decreased from W0 to W24, and displayed a more notable declining trend in the response group compared with the non-response group. In addition, US synovitis joint count at W0 and W4 was similar between groups, but at W12 and W24 it was markedly decreased in the response group compared with the non-response group. In conclusion, US synovitis joint count correlates with disease activity, and its longitudinal decrease is associated with treatment response to etanercept in RA.

Very low prevalence of ultrasound-detected tenosynovial abnormalities in healthy subjects throughout the age range: OMERACT ultrasound minimal disease study

Objectives

This study aimed to determine the prevalence of ultrasound-detected tendon abnormalities in healthy subjects (HS) across the age range.

Methods

Adult HS (age 18–80 years) were recruited in 23 international Outcome Measures in Rheumatology ultrasound centres and were clinically assessed to exclude inflammatory diseases or overt osteoarthritis before undergoing a bilateral ultrasound examination of digit flexors (DFs) 1–5 and extensor carpi ulnaris (ECU) tendons to detect the presence of tenosynovial hypertrophy (TSH), tenosynovial power Doppler (TPD) and tenosynovial effusion (TEF), usually considered ultrasound signs of inflammatory diseases. A comparison cohort of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) was taken from the Birmingham Early Arthritis early arthritis inception cohort.

Results

939 HS and 144 patients with RA were included. The majority of HS (85%) had grade 0 for TSH, TPD and TEF in all DF and ECU tendons examined. There was a statistically significant difference in the proportion of TSH and TPD involvement between HS and subjects with RA (HS vs RA p<0.001). In HS, there was no difference in the presence of ultrasound abnormalities between age groups.

Conclusions

Ultrasound-detected TSH and TPD abnormalities are rare in HS and can be regarded as markers of active inflammatory disease, especially in newly presenting RA.

What Is the Value of Ultrasound in Individuals 'At-Risk' of Rheumatoid Arthritis Who Do Not Have Clinical Synovitis?

The identification of biomarkers that help identify individuals at imminent risk of progression to rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is of crucial importance for disease prevention. In recent years, several studies have highlighted the value of musculoskeletal (MSK) ultrasound (US) in predicting progression to inflammatory arthritis (IA) in individuals ‘at-risk’ of RA. These studies have highlighted the following main aspects: first, in RA-related autoantibody-positive individuals, MSK symptoms seem to develop before ‘sub-clinical’ joint inflammation occurs on US. Second, the detection of ‘sub-clinical’ synovitis (and/or bone erosions) greatly increases the risk of IA development in these ‘at-risk’ individuals. US has a potential key role for better understanding the ‘pre-clinical’ stages in individuals ‘at-risk’ of RA, and for the early identification of those individuals at high risk of developing IA. Further research is needed to address questions on image analysis and standardization. In this review, we provide an overview of the most relevant studies which have investigated the value of US in the prediction of RA development in individuals ‘at-risk’ of RA who have MSK symptoms, but no clinical evidence of IA. We highlight recent insights, limitations, and future perspectives of US use in this important population.

Recommendations for the pragmatic use of ultrasound in rheumatoid arthritis by the GEISPER French group

OBJECTIVE

To develop recommendations for the appropriate use of ultrasound in the management of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in routine practice based on data from the literature and of experts opinion.

METHODS

Based on a systematic literature review, a scientific committee decided on themes and relevant questions to draw up an initial draft of recommendations. These recommendations were submitted to a group of experts in ultrasound in rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases using a Delphi method, which produced preliminary recommendations. These were submitted to an expanded group of ultrasound experts for relevance, comprehensibility and comprehensiveness. The level of agreement of the experts were recorded during a face-to-face meeting.

RESULTS

Following two rounds of the Delphi, a consensus was reached on three overarching principles, including definitions of joints, tendons and articular sites to be examined, and 10 recommendations. These recommendations underline the benefit of ultrasound for the diagnosis of RA in cases of inflammatory arthralgia or undifferentiated arthritis as well as in assessing the extent of initial structural and inflammatory damage. They also define the role of ultrasound during follow-up or when considering treatment reduction once clinical remission has been achieved. Lastly, they illustrate the utility of ultrasound in facilitating technical procedures.

CONCLUSION

These 10 consensus-based recommendations should harmonize and optimize clinical practice and thus improve the management of RA patients.

The Role of Imaging in Predicting the Development of Rheumatoid Arthritis

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) remains a chronic debilitating disease with a significant negative societal impact, despite the expanding landscape of treatment options. This condition is often preceded by a phase of systemic autoimmunity with circulating autoantibodies, elevated pro-inflammatory cytokines, or subtle structural changes. The capability of identifying individuals in the preclinical phase of RA disease makes a "preventive window of opportunity" possible. Much recent work has focused on the role of imaging modalities including ultrasound (US), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and high-resolution peripheral quantitative computer tomography (HR-pQCT) in identifying at-risk individuals with or without early joint symptoms for the development of inflammatory arthritis. This article will review the evidence and discuss the challenges as well as opportunities of proactive risk assessment by imaging in RA.

The autoimmune response as a potential target for tolerance induction before the development of rheumatoid arthritis

Rheumatoid arthritis is a chronic inflammatory disease that affects the synovial joints. Although treatment options and efficacy have increased substantially in the past two decades, the disease cannot be cured or prevented. Therefore, rheumatoid arthritis still has a considerable effect on the quality of life of patients, not only because life-long medication is often required, but also because residual disease activity leads to progressive loss of function in the musculoskeletal system and extra-articular morbidity. Key future goals in the management of rheumatoid arthritis are the ability to induce long-lasting drug-free remission in patients with the disease (ie, to achieve a cure), and to prevent disease before it emerges. To reach these goals, it is pivotal to understand the autoimmune response underlying rheumatoid arthritis pathogenesis and to develop ways to permanently silence it (ie, to induce tolerance). For preventive studies, the identification of markers (clinical, immunological, and biological) predictive of future disease is crucial, as prevention of disease will not be feasible without the ability to identify relevant at-risk target populations. In this Series paper, we review the autoimmune response underlying rheumatoid arthritis, how rheumatoid arthritis-specific autoimmunity develops and evolves during the transition from health to disease, and how tolerance studies could be designed to achieve prevention or cure of the disease.

Update on the diagnosis and management of early rheumatoid arthritis

The clinical spectrum of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) presentation is heterogeneous, with wide variation in age of onset, degree of joint involvement and severity. Delayed rheumatological referral is associated with less favourable long-term outcomes. Multidisciplinary teamwork is key to the success of a holistic approach to patient care and addressing issues that are important to the person. Pharmacological treatment of early RA aims to optimally suppress the inflammatory component of the disease with an ideal treatment target of remission. The overarching aim of management of early RA is to achieve a quality of life that permits the individual to pursue normal work, domestic and social activity.

The Role of Musculoskeletal Ultrasound in the Rheumatoid Arthritis Continuum

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is no longer considered a fixed phenotype but rather a disease continuum. This review outlines the current and potential value of applying ultrasound (US) along this continuum: from the prediction of progression to RA in at-risk individuals, to confirmation of the early diagnosis of RA, as well as the consideration of differential diagnoses, and the use in disease monitoring and defining remission.

RECENT FINDINGS

In individuals at-risk of RA (i.e., positive autoantibodies with symptoms but without synovitis), US has shown a promising predictive value for the development of clinical arthritis, providing the opportunity to improve risk stratification (and disease prevention) of these individuals. The detection of inflammation on US in patients with early undifferentiated arthritis, in which a definite diagnosis cannot be reached, could predict evolution to persistent arthritis, mostly RA. This, in addition to the US potential ability to identify disease specific patterns for different rheumatic conditions, might facilitate early diagnosis and, therefore, improve the management of patients with RA, or other types of inflammatory arthritides. US has also demonstrated the capability to predict radiographic progression, and relapse risk after treatment discontinuation, in RA patients in remission according to the clinical instruments, raising implications in the management, including therapy discontinuation, of these patients. US has an undeniable value in the management of patients at different stages along the RA continuum. Further research is needed to identify which groups of patients benefit the most from US imaging.

The role of ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging for treat to target in rheumatoid arthritis and psoriatic arthritis

The treat-to-target (T2T) approach has revolutionized the way we treat patients with rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases. Recent attention has focused on imaging techniques, in particular musculoskeletal ultrasound and MRI as a focus for T2T strategies. Recently, a number of randomized clinical trials have been performed that compared tight clinical control vs control augmented by imaging techniques. While the three published trials have concluded that imaging does not add to tight clinical care, implementing imaging into the T2T strategy has actual advantages, such as the detection of subclinical involvement, and information on joint involvement/pathology and may possess potential advantages as evidenced by certain secondary endpoints. This review examines the findings of these studies and discusses the advantages and disadvantages of incorporating imaging into the T2T strategy.

Future use of musculoskeletal ultrasonography and magnetic resonance imaging in rheumatoid arthritis

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Musculoskeletal ultrasonography (MSUS) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) play important roles in diagnosis, monitoring, and prognostication of rheumatoid arthritis. This review highlights recent literature in this field and aims to provide insight into the future use in clinical practice.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent studies concerning the use of MSUS and MRI in clinical practice show how MSUS and MRI can improve diagnosis and monitoring of rheumatoid arthritis and how they can predict both radiographic progression and clinical outcome (e.g., successful tapering of medical treatment). Moreover, novel technical developments of the two imaging modalities, such as 3D ultrasonography, ultrasound image reading with convolutional neural network, image fusion (MSUS and MRI) and whole-body MRI show promising results. Further validation of these novel techniques is required prior to implementation.

SUMMARY

MSUS and MRI will be important parts of the future management of rheumatoid arthritis patients, mostly because of their ability to detect rheumatoid arthritis changes at a very early stage and to predict the course of disease. However, the exact role in routine clinical practice is still to be defined.

Hand ultrasound patterns in rheumatoid and psoriatic arthritis: the role of ultrasound in the differential diagnosis

Many rheumatic diseases may present with an inflammatory joint syndrome, affecting the small joints of the hands, of which rheumatoid (RA) and psoriatic arthritis (PsA) being one of the most common. The aim of this systematic review was to focus on the literature evidence regarding the added value of ultrasound (US) of the hand in the differential diagnosis between RA and PsA. Pubmed and Scopus were searched to identify original manuscripts, published in the last 20 years utilising ultrasonography to reveal specific hand US patterns. Studies were eligible if they: (1) included adults (over 18 years) with a diagnosis of RA/PsA; (2) were published in the English language; (3) were published in peer-reviewed journals; (4) included description of the US machine; (5) used US for assessment of hand joints, periarticular tissues and nails. The search yielded 322 published studies, of which 16 were deemed relevant and were included in the present study. Overall, there was heterogeneity with regard to the pathology examined. Based on the included studies analysis, hand US patterns have several basic features to be considered-location of gray scale (GS) inflammatory findings, involvement of periarticular soft tissue, distribution and extent of Doppler signal (intra- and peri-articular), bone reaction, shape and location of erosions, involvement of tendons without synovial sheath, involvement of enthesis and nail abnormalities. Future research could focus on determining the sensitivity and specificity of the different US detected hand patterns in patients with early arthritis.

Serial magnetic resonance imaging and ultrasound examinations demonstrate differential inflammatory lesion patterns in soft tissue and bone upon patient-reported flares in rheumatoid arthritis

BACKGROUND

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and ultrasonography (US) are more sensitive than clinical evaluation in assessing inflammation in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Data is scarce regarding potential link between patient-reported flares and inflammation on imaging. The aim of the study was to explore the pattern and longitudinal associations of inflammatory lesions detected by serial MRI and US in relation to patient-reported flares in patients with RA.

METHODS

Eighty RA patients with baseline DAS28CRP < 3.2 and no swollen joints were examined at baseline and followed for 1 year. Patients were requested to contact the hospital in case of patient-reported hand flare accompanied by ≥ 1 tender and swollen joint. The 29 patients who reported hand flare had four extra visits within 4 months from flare onset comprising clinical examination, patient-reported outcomes, MRI, and US of wrists and hands. MRI synovitis/tenosynovitis/bone marrow edema (BME) and US synovitis/tenosynovitis were scored. MRI and US scores at and after the flare were compared to baseline before the flare, and associations were explored by linear mixed models for repeated measurements.

RESULTS

Synovitis and tenosynovitis by MRI/US increased significantly at flare onset. Synovitis waned quickly, as did US tenosynovitis. BME showed delayed increase yet persisted, once the patient-reported flare had resolved, as did MRI tenosynovitis. In univariate models, patient-reported flares were associated with all MRI and US inflammatory markers, except for BME, which was only associated with SJC28 and long-lasting flares > 14 days. Independent associations were observed between patient-reported flares and tenosynovitis by MRI and US (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Patient-reported flares were linked to inflammation detected by serial MRI and US. Differential patterns of inflammatory lesion evolution were observed by serial imaging with early synovial and tenosynovial inflammation, followed by delayed-onset BME.

The value of MRI examination on bilateral hands including proximal interphalangeal joints for disease assessment in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis: a cross-sectional cohort study

Background

Bilateral hands including proximal interphalangeal joints (PIPJs) are recommended on physical, X-ray radiographic, or ultrasonographic examination by clinical guidelines of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but MRI still tends to examine unilateral wrists and/or MCPJs. We aimed to demonstrate the advantages of MRI examination on bilateral hands including PIPJs for disease assessment in early RA patients.

Methods

Active early RA patients received 3.0T whole-body MRI examination with contrast-enhanced imaging on bilateral wrists, MCPJs, and PIPJs. MRI features were scored referring to the updated RAMRIS. Clinical assessments were conducted on the day of MRI examination.

Results

The mean time of MRI examination was 24 ± 3 min. MRI bone erosion in MCPJs would be missed-diagnosed in 23% of patients if non-dominant MCPJs were scanned unilaterally, while osteitis in MCPJs would be missed-diagnosed in 16% of patients if dominant MCPJs were scanned unilaterally. MRI synovitis severity was also asymmetric: 21% of patients showing severe synovitis unilaterally in non-dominant MCPJs/PIPJs and other 20% showing severe synovitis unilaterally in dominant MCPJs/PIPJs. Among these early RA patients, MRI tenosynovitis occurred the most frequently in wrist extensor compartment I, while MRI examination on bilateral hands demonstrated no overuse influence present. However, overuse should be considered in dominant PIPJ2, PIPJ4, and IPJ of thumb of which MRI tenosynovitis prevalence was respectively 18%, 17%, or 16% higher than the non-dominant counterparts. Early MRI abnormality of nervus medianus secondary to severe tenosynovitis occurred either in dominant or non-dominant wrists; MRI of unilateral hands would take a risk of missed-diagnosis. Common MRI findings in PIPJs were synovitis and tenosynovitis, respectively in 87% and 69% of patients. MRI tenosynovitis prevalence in IPJ of thumb or PIPJ5 was much higher than the continued wrist flexor compartments. MRI synovitis or tenosynovitis in PIPJs independently increased more than twice probability of joint tenderness (OR = 2.09 or 2.83, both p < 0.001).

Conclusions

In consideration of asymmetric MRI features in early RA, potential overuse influence for certain tenosynovitis in dominant hands, and high prevalence of MRI findings in PIPJs, MRI examination on bilateral hands including PIPJs is deserved for disease assessment in early RA patients.

Should ultrasound be used routinely in the diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis?

INTRODUCTION

A growing body of evidence indicates the benefits of early diagnosis of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and prompt treatment with disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDS) in terms of relieving symptoms, improving prognosis, and reducing long-term complications. There is however some controversy over the most beneficial method of imaging in providing accurate early diagnosis. Though current practice favours clinical and radiological assessment, this is increasingly supplemented by ultrasound techniques (and, to a lesser extent, CT and MRI scanning). While EULAR and ESSR favour the use of ultrasonography (US) as the first-line investigation in cases of suspected RA, a recent NICE review upholds the traditional place of plain film radiographs of hands and feet to detect erosions as early signs of synovitis. This review considers the evidence for US in the early diagnosis of RA and the case for it becoming the primary assessment modality in rheumatology clinics.

AIMS

This paper aims to assess the current literature on the efficacy of ultrasonography in diagnosing early RA, by comparing US with alternative imaging modalities. The goal is to propose the most appropriate method of diagnosis to improve early initiation of DMARD treatment for optimum disease outcomes.

METHODS

Searches for related studies and review articles were carried out using electronic databases and hand searches. Additional references were gleaned from the bibliographies of included papers. Related articles and pop-outs from PubMed were also used. The search was refined in PubMed, by only using reviews which were written in English and published in past 10 years and had full free text available.

RESULTS

This review confirms that US has a high level of sensitivity in diagnosing RA (and hence a low risk of missing cases of RA which might benefit from early treatment with DMARDs). It also has a high level of specificity (and hence a low risk of falsely diagnosing somebody with RA who may suffer adverse effects of DMARD therapy). US is already widely available and well accepted by clinicians and patients. It does not involve exposure to radiation and can be readily delivered by appropriately trained staff.

CONCLUSION

This review of relevant studies indicates that US should become accepted as the investigation with the most favourable balance of benefits to risks in the early diagnosis of RA. Given the continuing controversy surrounding studies of different imaging techniques in RA, further research into the diagnostic role of US in RA is indicated.

The Role of Ultrasound in Assessing Hand Joints and Tendons in Psoriatic Arthritis

Introduction: Psoriatic arthritis (PsA) is an inflammatory arthritis, usually involving peripheral joints, associated with cutaneous psoriasis, in the absence of rheumatoid factor and anti-citrullinated protein antibodies. Material and methods: The study included 28 patients diagnosed with psoriatic arthritis according to CASPAR criteria, presenting pain or swelling of the small joints of the hands and wrists, hospitalized in the Department of Rheumatology of the Emergency Clinical County Hospital of Craiova during 2016-2018. Results: In the 28 patients, a total of 840 joints were examined clinically and by ultrasound. From the clinical point of view, out of the total, 32 joints were swollen while 59 joints were tender. Dactylitis was evidenced in 20/280 examined digits upon physical examination. MUS revealed the presence of synovial proliferation in 108/840 sites (12.85%), with grade 1 synovitis in 4 joints (3.7%), grade 2 in 94 joints (87.03%) and grade 3 in 10 joints (9.25%). Out of 280 examined fingers 5.71% presented dactylitis, the third digit being the most commonly targeted. Grade 2 tenosynovitis was found in 40 of the examined tendons, whereas 8 tendons presented with grade 3 tenosynovitis. The most frequently involved were the flexor tendons of the digits (38 out of 40 tendons with inflammatory changes), followed by the extensor carpi ulnaris and flexor carpi radialis tendons. Conclusions: Ultrasound has proven its utility in assessing joint and tendon inflammation to a higher extent that clinically expected. Thus, MUS examination of hand joints may aid the clinician in diagnosing PsA, in evaluating the prognosis and the course of treatment.

Preferences of Patients and At-risk Individuals for Preventive Approaches to Rheumatoid Arthritis

Effective treatments for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are available and can lead to remission for some patients, but most patients remain on potentially toxic and expensive medications in the long term. Interest is increasingly turning to the disease phases preceding the development of RA that represent opportunities for preventive interventions. At-risk target populations include individuals with genetic and environmental risk factors, those who have developed systemic autoimmunity, and those who have developed clinically suspect symptoms (eg, arthralgias without synovitis, or an early arthritis). Ongoing prospective studies will inform the development of increasingly accurate predictive tools to identify individuals at risk of developing RA. Furthermore, a range of preventive approaches has been suggested, including lifestyle modification (eg, smoking cessation) and pharmacologic interventions (eg, hydroxychloroquine, methotrexate, abatacept, rituximab) that are currently the subject of randomized controlled trials. As prediction and prevention of RA evolve, it is increasingly likely that individuals at risk (including asymptomatic individuals) may be faced with complex decisions about whether to accept assessment of their risk status or to take a preventive intervention associated with risk of serious adverse events and uncertain benefit. Acceptance of preventive medication in other contexts can be low. For example, <25% of women at high risk of breast cancer are willing to take preventive hormonal treatments. Actual uptake is lower still. Patients' beliefs and preferences predict treatment uptake and adherence. Before the dream of preventing RA can become reality, health care providers need to understand the perspectives of individuals in the target population and to identify barriers and facilitators for this approach. This commentary reviews what is currently known about the perspectives of patients and individuals at risk about predictive and preventive approaches for RA and identifies gaps to be addressed to inform the development of efficient preventive strategies.

Do musculoskeletal ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging identify synovitis and tenosynovitis at the same joints and tendons? A comparative study in early inflammatory arthritis and clinically suspect arthralgia

Objective

Ultrasound (US) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are recommended in the diagnostic process of rheumatoid arthritis. Research on its comparability in early disease phases is scarce. Therefore, we compared synovitis and tenosynovitis detected by US and MRI on joint/tendon level.

Methods

Eight hundred forty joints and 700 tendons of 70 consecutive patients, presenting with inflammatory arthritis or clinically suspect arthralgia, underwent US and MRI of MCP (2–5), wrist and MTP (1–5) joints at the same day. Greyscale (GS) and power Doppler (PD) synovitis were scored according to the modified Szkudlarek method (combining synovial effusion and hypertrophy) and the recently published EULAR-OMERACT method (synovial hypertrophy regardless of the presence of effusion) on static images. US-detected tenosynovitis was scored according to the OMERACT. MRI scans were scored according to the RAMRIS. Test characteristics were calculated on joint/tendon level with MRI as reference. Cut-off for US scores were ≥ 1 and ≥ 2 and for MRI ≥ 1.

Results

Compared to MRI, GS synovitis according to EULAR-OMERACT (cut-off ≥ 1) had a sensitivity ranging from 29 to 75% for the different joint locations; specificity ranged from 80 to 98%. For the modified Szkudlarek method, the sensitivity was 68–91% and specificity 52–71%. PD synovitis had a sensitivity of 30–54% and specificity 97–99% compared to MRI. The sensitivity to detect GS tenosynovitis was 50–78% and the specificity 80–94%. For PD tenosynovitis, the sensitivity was 19–58% and specificity 98–100%.

Conclusion

Current data showed that US is less sensitive than MRI in the early detection of synovitis and tenosynovitis, but resulted in only few non-specific findings. The higher sensitivity of MRI is at the expense of less accessibility and higher costs.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13075-019-1824-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

The value of joint ultrasonography in predicting arthritis in seropositive patients with arthralgia: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The value of joint ultrasonography (US) in the prediction of clinical arthritis in individuals at risk of developing rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is still a point of debate, due to varying scanning protocols and different populations. We investigated whether US abnormalities assessed with a standard joint protocol can predict development of arthritis in seropositive patients with arthralgia.

METHODS

Anti-citrullinated protein antibodies and/or rheumatoid factor positive patients with arthralgia, but without clinical arthritis were included. US was performed at baseline in 16 joints: bilateral metacarpophalangeal 2-3, proximal interphalangeal 2-3, wrist and metatarsophalangeal (MTP) joints 2-3 and 5. Images were scored semi-quantitatively for synovial thickening and for positive signs on power Doppler (PD). Association between US abnormalities and arthritis development at the joint and at the patient level was evaluated. Also, we investigated the added value of US over clinical parameters.

RESULTS

Out of 163 patients who underwent US examination, 51 (31%) developed clinical arthritis after a median follow-up time of 12 (interquartile range 5-24) months, of which 44 (86%) satisfied the 2010 American College of Rheumatology/European League Against Rheumatism classification criteria for RA. US revealed synovial thickening and PD in at least one joint in 49 patients (30%) and 7 patients (4%), respectively. Synovial thickening was associated with both development and timing of clinical arthritis in any joint (patient level) when MTP joints were excluded from the US assessment (odds ratio 6.6, confidence interval (CI) 1.9-22), and hazard ratio 3.4, CI 1.6-6.8, respectively, with a mean time to arthritis of 23 versus 45 months when synovial thickening was present versus not present). There was no association between US and arthritis development at the joint level. Predictive capacity was highest in the groups with an intermediate and high risk of developing arthritis based on a prediction rule with clinical parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

Synovial thickening on US predicted clinical arthritis development at the patient level in seropositive patients with arthralgia when MTPs were excluded from the US assessment. Positive PD signs were infrequently seen in these at-risk individuals and was not predictive. In patients at intermediate risk of RA, US may help to identify those at higher risk of developing arthritis.