To RCT or not to RCT? Depends on the question. A response to McEvoy et al

Application of Inverse-Probability-of-Treatment Weighting to Estimate the Effect of Daytime Sleepiness in Patients with Obstructive Sleep Apnea

Rationale: Continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP), the first line therapy for obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), is considered effective in reducing daytime sleepiness. Its efficacy relies on adequate adherence, often defined as >4 hours per night. However, this binary threshold may limit our understanding of the causal effect of CPAP adherence and daytime sleepiness, and a multilevel approach for CPAP adherence can be more appropriate. Objectives: In this study, we show how two causal inference methods can be applied on observational data for the estimation of the effect of different ranges of CPAP adherence on daytime sleepiness as measured by the Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS). Methods: Data were collected from a large prospective observational French cohort for patients with OSA. Four groups of CPAP adherence were considered (0-4, 4-6, 6-7, and 7-10 h per night). Multivariable regression, inverse-probability-of-treatment weighting (IPTW), and inverse propensity weighting with regression adjustment (IPW-RA) were used to assess the impact of CPAP adherence level on daytime sleepiness. Results: In this study, 9,244 patients with OSA treated by CPAP were included. The mean initial ESS score was 11 (±5.2), with a mean reduction of 4 points (±5.1). Overall, there was evidence of the causal effect of CPAP adherence on daytime sleepiness which was mainly observed between the lower CPAP adherence group (0-4 h) compared with the higher CPAP adherence group (7-10 h). There are no differences by considering higher level of CPAP adherence (>4 h). Conclusions: We showed that IPTW and IPW-RA can be easily implemented to answer questions regarding causal effects using observational data when randomized trials cannot be conducted. Both methods give a direct causal interpretation at the population level and allow the assessment of the appropriate consideration of measured confounders.

Design and rationale for the treating Obstructive Sleep Apnea using Targeted Hypoglossal Nerve Stimulation (OSPREY) trial

Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) affects nearly 1 billion people worldwide, including approximately 35 million US residents. OSA has detrimental cardiovascular and neurocognitive consequences. Positive airway pressure corrects sleep disordered breathing but is not always tolerated or used sufficiently. Oral appliances and surgery provide alternatives in select populations but are variably effective. Hypoglossal nerve stimulation can effectively treat obstructive sleep apnea. Targeted hypoglossal nerve stimulation (THN) is simpler than incumbent technology with no sensor and an easier, proximal electrode implantation. The third clinical study of THN, THN3, was the first randomized, controlled trial of hypoglossal nerve stimulation to demonstrate significant improvement of sleep disordered breathing in OSA. The present investigation reports the design of a novel trial of targeted stimulation to provide additional Level 1 evidence in moderate to severe obstructive apnea. OSPREY is a randomized, parallel-arm, 13-month trial wherein all subjects are implanted, 2/3 are activated at Month 1 ("Treatment") and 1/3 are activated at Month 7 ("Control"). The primary endpoint is the difference in apnea-hypopnea index response rates between Treatment and Control groups at Month 7. Secondary endpoints include quality of life and oximetry metrics. OSPREY follows an adaptive "Goldilocks" design which optimizes the number of subjects with the need for high-confidence results. A maximum of 150 subjects is allowed, at which study power of >95% is predicted. Interim analyses begin once 50 patients are randomized and recur after each 20 additional randomizations to detect early success or futility. OSPREY is a unique, efficient trial that should provide high-confidence confirmation of the safety and efficacy of targeted hypoglossal nerve stimulation for moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea.

Impact of Positive Airway Pressure Therapy Adherence on Outcomes in Patients with Obstructive Sleep Apnea and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Rationale: The co-occurrence of obstructive sleep apnea and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, termed overlap syndrome, has a poor prognosis. However, data on positive airway pressure (PAP) treatments and their impact on outcomes and costs are lacking. Objectives: This retrospective observational study investigated the effects of PAP on health outcomes, resource usage, and costs in patients with overlap syndrome. Methods: Deidentified adjudicated claims data for patients with overlap syndrome in the United States were linked to objectively measured PAP user data. Patients were considered adherent to PAP therapy if they met Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services criteria for eight 90-day timeframes from device setup through 2-year follow-up. Propensity score matching was used to create comparable groups of adherent and nonadherent patients. Healthcare resource usage was based on the number of doctor visits, all-cause emergency room visits, all-cause hospitalizations, and PAP equipment and supplies, and proxy costs were obtained. Measurements and Main Results: A total of 6,810 patients were included (mean age, 60.8 yr; 56% female); 2,328 were nonadherent. Compared with the year before therapy, there were significant reductions in the number of emergency room visits, hospitalizations, and severe acute exacerbations during 2 years of PAP therapy in patients who were versus were not adherent (all P < 0.001). This improvement in health status was paralleled by a significant reduction in the associated healthcare costs. Conclusions: PAP usage by patients with overlap syndrome was associated with reduced all-cause hospitalizations and emergency room visits, severe acute exacerbations, and healthcare costs.

Relationship Between CPAP Termination and All-Cause Mortality: A French Nationwide Database Analysis

BACKGROUND

Randomized controlled trials have failed to demonstrate an effect of CPAP therapy on mortality. However, these studies have a number of important limitations, including low CPAP adherence, patient selection, and a small number of mortality events.

RESEARCH QUESTION

What are the effects of CPAP therapy termination in the first year on all-cause mortality in patients with OSA from the Nationwide Claims Data Lake for Sleep Apnea study?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Data from the Système National des Données de Santé (SNDS) database, the French national health insurance reimbursement system, for all new CPAP users ≥ 18 years of age were analyzed. The SNDS contains comprehensive, individualized, and anonymized data on health spending reimbursements for > 99% of all individuals living in France. OSA diagnosis was based on specific disease codes, whereas CPAP prescription was identified using specific treatment method codes. CPAP therapy termination was defined as the cessation of CPAP reimbursements triggered by the respiratory physician or sleep specialist in charge of follow-up. Patients who terminated therapy in the first year were propensity score matched with those who continued to use CPAP. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Three-year survival was visualized using Kaplan-Meier curves. Contributors to mortality also were determined.

RESULTS

Data from two matched groups each including 88,007 patients were included (mean age, 60 years; 64% men). Continuation of CPAP therapy was associated with a significantly lower risk of all-cause death compared with CPAP therapy termination (hazard ratio [HR], 0.61; 95% CI, 0.57-0.65; P < .01, log-rank test). Incident heart failure also was less common in patients who continued vs terminated CPAP therapy (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.71-0.82; P < .01).

INTERPRETATION

These real-world data from a comprehensive, unbiased database highlight the potential for ongoing use of CPAP treatment to reduce all-cause mortality in patients with OSA.