Prothrombin Time Prolongation was the Most Important Indicator of Severe Bleeding in Children with Severe Dengue Viral Infection

Development and validation of a prediction tool for intraoperative blood transfusion in brain tumor resection surgery: a retrospective analysis

Early identification of a patient with a high risk of blood transfusion during brain tumor resection surgery is difficult but critical for implementing preoperative blood-saving strategies. This study aims to develop and validate a machine learning prediction tool for intraoperative blood transfusion in brain tumor resection surgery. A total of 541 patients who underwent brain tumor resection surgery in our hospital from January 2019 to December 2021 were retrospectively enrolled in this study. We incorporated demographics, preoperative comorbidities, and laboratory risk factors. Features were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Eight machine learning algorithms were benchmarked to identify the best model to predict intraoperative blood transfusion. The prediction tool was established based on the best algorithm and evaluated with discriminative ability. The data were randomly split into training and test groups at a ratio of 7:3. LASSO identified seven preoperative relevant factors in the training group: hemoglobin, diameter, prothrombin time, white blood cell count (WBC), age, physical status of the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, and heart function. Logistic regression, linear discriminant analysis, supporter vector machine, and ranger all performed better in the eight machine learning algorithms with classification errors of 0.185, 0.193, 0.199, and 0.196, respectively. A nomogram was then established, and the model showed a better discrimination ability [0.817, 95% CI (0.739, 0.895)] than hemoglobin [0.663, 95% CI (0.557, 0.770)] alone in the test group (P = 0.000). Hemoglobin, diameter, prothrombin time, WBC, age, ASA status, and heart function are risk factors of intraoperative blood transfusion in brain tumor resection surgery. The prediction tool established using the logistic regression algorithm showed a good discriminative ability than hemoglobin alone for predicting intraoperative blood transfusion in brain tumor resection surgery.

Acute Liver Failure in Dengue: A Common but Overlooked Entity in Pediatric Patients in Tropical Countries

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the study is to estimate the incidence of acute liver failure (ALF) in dengue infection, understand the demographic and biochemical profiles, and identify prognostic factors associated with mortality.

METHODOLOGY

This is a retrospective observational study. We evaluated the data of all pediatric dengue patients admitted over the last 5 years in our hospital to identify patients who fulfilled the criteria for pediatric ALF. Demographic profile, and biochemical and radiological parameters were assessed. Their outcomes and mortality data were analyzed to identify prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Thirty children with dengue infection were identified to have developed a during the ALF study period which was 29.1% (30 of 103) of all our ALF admissions. A total of 189 children with dengue infection needed admission during the same period and 15.8% (30 of 189) of them developed ALF. The mean duration of onset of ALF was 5.4 days after fever onset. Twenty-two patients (73%) survived, and 8 patients expired. High creatinine, low albumin level, and multisystemic involvement were identified as poor prognostic markers in those patients who did not survive.

CONCLUSION

ALF is common in admitted severe dengue patients. A significant proportion of acute liver patients in endemic countries can be attributed to dengue infection. Low serum albumin, high creatinine, and multi-organ dysfunction during acute illness can be used as prognostic markers in these children. Multicentric prospective studies are needed to validate these results.

Efficacy of rupatadine in reducing the incidence of dengue haemorrhagic fever in patients with acute dengue: A randomised, double blind, placebo-controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Rupatadine was previously shown to reduce endothelial dysfunction in vitro, reduced vascular leak in dengue mouse models and to reduce the extent of pleural effusions and thrombocytopenia in patients with acute dengue. Therefore, we sought to determine the efficacy of rupatadine in reducing the incidence of dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF) in patients with acute dengue.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

A phase 2, randomised, double blind, placebo controlled clinical trial was carried out in patients with acute dengue in Sri Lanka in an outpatient setting. Patients with ≤3 days since the onset of illness were either recruited to the treatment arm of oral rupatadine 40mg for 5 days (n = 123) or the placebo arm (n = 126). Clinical and laboratory features were measured daily to assess development of DHF and other complications. 12 (9.7%) patients developed DHF in the treatment arm compared to 22 (17.5%) who were on the placebo although this was not significant (p = 0.09, relative risk 0.68, 95% CI 0.41 to 1.08). Rupatadine also significantly reduced (p = 0.01) the proportion of patients with platelet counts <50,000 cells/mm3 and significantly reduced (p = 0.04) persisting vomiting, headache and hepatic tenderness (p<0.0001) in patients. There was a significant difference in the duration of illness (p = 0.0002) although the proportion of individuals who required hospital admission in both treatment arms. Only 2 patients on rupatadine and 3 patients on the placebo developed shock, while bleeding manifestations were seen in 6 patients on rupatadine and 7 patients on the placebo.

CONCLUSIONS

Rupatadine appeared to be safe and well tolerated and showed a trend towards a reducing proportion of patients with acute dengue who developed DHF. Its usefulness when used in combination with other treatment modalities should be explored.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

International Clinical Trials Registration Platform: SLCTR/2017/024.

Mortality Rates of Severe Dengue Viral Infection Before and After Implementation of a Revised Guideline for Severe Dengue

OBJECTIVES

To compare the mortality rate of severe dengue (SD) before and after implementation of a revised SD guideline.

METHODS

Medical records of SD patients <15 years of age hospitalized during 1998-2020 were reviewed. The revised SD guidelines were implemented in 2016, including intensive monitoring of vital signs and intra-abdominal pressure, the release of intra-abdominal pressure in cases of abdominal compartment syndrome (ACS) and the use of N-acetyl cysteine in cases of acute liver failure.

RESULTS

On initial admission, organ failure including severe bleeding, acute respiratory failure, acute kidney injury and acute liver failure was not significantly different between 78 and 23 patients treated in the pre- and postrevised guideline periods, respectively. After hospitalization, the proportions of patients who developed profound shock (68.8% vs. 41.2%), multiorgan failures (60.4% vs. 73.3%), ACS (37.2% vs. 26.1%) and fatal outcome (33.3% vs. 13.0%) were also not significantly different between the pre- and postrevised guideline periods, respectively. In subgroup analysis, the mortality rates in patients with multiorgan failure (44.1% vs. 15.8%), acute respiratory failure and active bleeding (78.1% vs. 37.5%) and ACS (82.8% vs. 33.3%), respectively, were significantly higher in the pre- than the postrevised guideline periods. The durations of time before the liver function tests returned to normal levels, and the mortality rates in acute liver failure patients treated with and without N-acetyl cysteine were not significantly different.

CONCLUSIONS

Although following the revised guidelines could not prevent organ failure, the mortality rates in patients with multiorgan failure and/or ACS decreased significantly when following the revised guidelines.

Different Profiles of Cytokines, Chemokines and Coagulation Mediators Associated with Severity in Brazilian Patients Infected with Dengue Virus

The incidence of dengue in Latin America has increased dramatically during the last decade. Understanding the pathogenic mechanisms in dengue is crucial for the identification of biomarkers for the triage of patients. We aimed to characterize the profile of cytokines (IFN-γ, TNF-α, IL-1β, IL-6, IL-18 and IL-10), chemokines (CXCL8/IL-8, CCL2/MCP-1 and CXCL10/IP-10) and coagulation mediators (Fibrinogen, D-dimer, Tissue factor-TF, Tissue factor pathway inhibitor-TFPI and Thrombomodulin) during the dengue-4 epidemic in Brazil. Laboratory-confirmed dengue cases had higher levels of TNF-α (p < 0.001), IL-6 (p = 0.005), IL-10 (p < 0.001), IL-18 (p = 0.001), CXCL8/IL-8 (p < 0.001), CCL2/MCP-1 (p < 0.001), CXCL10/IP-10 (p = 0.001), fibrinogen (p = 0.037), D-dimer (p = 0.01) and TFPI (p = 0.042) and lower levels of TF (p = 0.042) compared to healthy controls. A principal component analysis (PCA) distinguished between two profiles of mediators of inflammation and coagulation: protective (TNF-α, IL-1β and CXCL8/IL-8) and pathological (IL-6, TF and TFPI). Lastly, multivariate logistic regression analysis identified high aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) as independent risk factors associated with severity (adjusted OR: 1.33; 95% CI 1.03–1.71; p = 0.027), the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) was 0.775 (95% CI 0.681–0.869) and an optimal cutoff value was 1.4 (sensitivity: 76%; specificity: 79%), so it could be a useful marker for the triage of patients attending primary care centers.

Evolving Paradigm of Prothrombin Time Diagnostics with Its Growing Clinical Relevance towards Cardio-Compromised and COVID-19 Affected Population

Prothrombin time (PT) is a significant coagulation (hemostasis) biomarker used to diagnose several thromboembolic and hemorrhagic complications based on its direct correlation with the physiological blood clotting time. Among the entire set of PT dependents, candidates with cardiovascular ailments are the major set of the population requiring lifelong anticoagulation therapy and supervised PT administration. Additionally, the increasing incidence of COVID affected by complications in coagulation dynamics has been strikingly evident. Prolonged PT along with sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC score > 3) has been found to be very common in critical COVID or CAC-affected cases. Considering the growing significance of an efficient point-of-care PT assaying platform to counter the increasing fatalities associated with cardio-compromised and coagulation aberrations propping up from CAC cases, the following review discusses the evolution of lab-based PT to point of care (PoC) PT assays. Recent advances in the field of PoC PT devices utilizing optics, acoustics, and mechanical and electrochemical methods in microsensors to detect blood coagulation are further elaborated. Thus, the following review holistically aims to motivate the future PT assay designers/researchers by detailing the relevance of PT and associated protocols for cardio compromised and COVID affected along with the intricacies of previously engineered PoC PT diagnostics.

Multivariate time-series analysis of biomarkers from a dengue cohort offers new approaches for diagnosis and prognosis

Dengue is a major public health problem worldwide with distinct clinical manifestations: an acute presentation (dengue fever, DF) similar to other febrile illnesses (OFI) and a more severe, life-threatening form (severe dengue, SD). Due to nonspecific clinical presentation during the early phase of dengue infection, differentiating DF from OFI has remained a challenge, and current methods to determine severity of dengue remain poor early predictors. We present a prospective clinical cohort study conducted in Caracas, Venezuela from 2001-2005, designed to determine whether clinical and hematological parameters could distinguish DF from OFI, and identify early prognostic biomarkers of SD. From 204 enrolled suspected dengue patients, there were 111 confirmed dengue cases. Piecewise mixed effects regression and nonparametric statistics were used to analyze longitudinal records. Decreased serum albumin and fibrinogen along with increased D-dimer, thrombin-antithrombin complex, activated partial thromboplastin time and thrombin time were prognostic of SD on the day of defervescence. In the febrile phase, the day-to-day rates of change in serum albumin and fibrinogen concentration, along with platelet counts, were significantly decreased in dengue patients compared to OFI, while the day-to-day rates of change of lymphocytes (%) and thrombin time were increased. In dengue patients, the absolute lymphocytes to neutrophils ratio showed specific temporal increase, enabling classification of dengue patients entering the critical phase with an area under the ROC curve of 0.79. Secondary dengue patients had elongation of Thrombin time compared to primary cases while the D-dimer formation (fibrinolysis marker) remained always lower for secondary compared to primary cases. Based on partial analysis of 31 viral complete genomes, a high frequency of C-to-T transitions located at the third codon position was observed, suggesting deamination events with five major hot spots of amino acid polymorphic sites outside in non-structural proteins. No association of severe outcome was statistically significant for any of the five major polymorphic sites found. This study offers an improved understanding of dengue hemostasis and a novel way of approaching dengue diagnosis and disease prognosis using piecewise mixed effect regression modeling. It also suggests that a better discrimination of the day of disease can improve the diagnostic and prognostic classification power of clinical variables using ROC curve analysis. The piecewise mixed effect regression model corroborated key early clinical determinants of disease, and offers a time-series approach for future vaccine and pathogenesis clinical studies.