Survival statistics gone awry: pancreatic cancer, a case in point

The high FKBP1A expression in WBCs as a potential screening biomarker for pancreatic cancer

Given the limitation of current routine approaches for pancreatic cancer screening and detection, the mortality rate of pancreatic cancer cases is still critical. The development of blood-based molecular biomarkers for pancreatic cancer screening and early detection which provide less-invasive, high-sensitivity, and cost-effective, is urgently needed. The goal of this study is to identify and validate the potential molecular biomarkers in white blood cells (WBCs) of pancreatic cancer patients. Gene expression profiles of pancreatic cancer patients from NCBI GEO database were analyzed by CU-DREAM. Then, mRNA expression levels of three candidate genes were determined by quantitative RT-PCR in WBCs of pancreatic cancer patients (N = 27) and healthy controls (N = 51). ROC analysis was performed to assess the performance of each candidate gene. A total of 29 upregulated genes were identified and three selected genes were performed gene expression analysis. Our results revealed high mRNA expression levels in WBCs of pancreatic cancer patients in all selected genes, including FKBP1A (p < 0.0001), PLD1 (p < 0.0001), and PSMA4 (p = 0.0002). Among candidate genes, FKBP1A mRNA expression level was remarkably increased in the pancreatic cancer samples and also in the early stage (p < 0.0001). Moreover, FKBP1A showed the greatest performance to discriminate patients with pancreatic cancer from healthy individuals than other genes with the 88.9% sensitivity, 84.3% specificity, and 90.1% accuracy. Our findings demonstrated that the alteration of FKBP1A gene in WBCs serves as a novel valuable biomarker for patients with pancreatic cancer. Detection of FKBP1A mRNA expression level in circulating WBCs, providing high-sensitive, less-invasive, and cost-effective, is simple and feasible for routine clinical setting that can be applied for pancreatic cancer screening and early detection.

Actual Five-year Survival After Upfront Resection for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: Who Beats the Odds?

OBJECTIVE

To determine actual five-year survival (5YS) rates associated with a strategy of upfront surgery and adjuvant therapy in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

BACKGROUND

The rate of actual 5YS in PDAC remains controversial. Available data is restricted to cohorts acquired over several decades and series of resection after patient selection by neoadjuvant therapy.

METHODS

All patients undergoing upfront resection for resectable and borderline-resectable PDAC from 10/2001 to 12/2011 were identified from a prospective database. Actual overall survival was assessed after a follow-up of at least 5 years. Uni- and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Median survival of 937 patients was 22.1 months. The actual 5YS rate was 17.0% (n = 159) including 89 (9.5%) patients without evidence of disease >5 years after resection. 5YS rates in patients with or without adjuvanttherapy were 18.8% vs. 12.2%, respectively. Tumorgrading, number of positive lymph nodes, a context of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia, and vascular resections were independently associated with 5YS. Patient-related parameters and CA 19-9 levels were associated with observed survival up to 3 years, but lost relevance thereafter. The extent of lymph node involvement was the strongest predictor of 5YS. Patients with pN0R0 had a 5YS rate of 38.2%. in patients with exclusively favorable factors the observed 5YS rate was above 50%.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the largest series of long-term survivors with histologically confirmed PDAC. With upfront resection and adjuvant therapy an actual overall 5YS rate of 18.8% can be expected. in favorable subgroups actual 5YS is above 50%.

A Novel Immune-Related Prognostic Signature Predicting Survival in Patients with Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

Pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAAD) carries the lowest survival rate of all major organ cancers, which is of dismal prognosis and high mortality rate. Thus, the present study attempted to identify a few novel prognostic biomarkers and establish an immune-related prognostic signature which could predict the prognosis of PAAD. Four prognostic immune-related genes (IRGs) including S100A6, S100A10, S100A16, and SDC1 were screened by differentially expressed gene (DEG) identification and weighted gene coexpression network analysis (WGCNA). Subsequent analysis proved the high expression of these IRGs in PAAD tissues, suggested by TCGA-PAAD data, merged microarray-acquired dataset (MMD), GEPIA, and Oncomine webtool. By using MMD and TCGA-PAAD data, S100A6 (MMD: AUC = 0.897; TCGA: AUC = 0.843), S100A10 (MMD: AUC = 0.880; TCGA: AUC = 0.780), S100A16 (MMD: AUC = 0.878; TCGA: AUC = 0.838), and SDC1 (MMD: AUC = 0.885; TCGA: AUC = 0.812) exhibited excellent diagnostic efficiency for PAAD. By conducting connectivity map (CMap) analysis, we concluded that three molecule drugs (sulpiride, famotidine, and nalidixic acid) might have worked in the treatment of PAAD. Then, an immune-related prognostic index was constructed, which was validated as an independent prognostic factor for PAAD patients (P=0.004). We further constructed a nomogram by using this immune-related signature and age, the prognostic value of which was validated by using concordance index (C-index = 0.780) and area under curve (AUC = 0.909). Moreover, the immune-related prognostic signature was associated with response to anti-PD-1/L1 immunotherapy. To sum up, four IRGs were screened out and verified to be novel immune-related prognostic biomarkers in PAAD. Besides, sulpiride, famotidine, and nalidixic acid might be potential choices in the treatment of PAAD. An immune-related signature was established to show great potential for prognosis prediction for PAAD, independently, which might guide more effective immunotherapy strategies. A nomogram is further established by using this immune-related prognostic index, which might contribute to more effective prognosis prediction in PAAD patients.

Ziziphus nummularia Attenuates the Malignant Phenotype of Human Pancreatic Cancer Cells: Role of ROS

Pancreatic cancer (PC) is the fourth leading cause of all cancer-related deaths. Despite major improvements in treating PC, low survival rate remains a major challenge, indicating the need for alternative approaches, including herbal medicine. Among medicinal plants is Ziziphus nummularia (family Rhamnaceae), which is a thorny shrub rich in bioactive molecules. Leaves of Ziziphus nummularia have been used to treat many pathological conditions, including cancer. However, their effects on human PC are still unknown. Here, we show that the treatment of human pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma cells (Capan-2) with Ziziphus nummularia ethanolic extract (ZNE) (100–300 μg/mL) attenuated cell proliferation in a time- and concentration-dependent manner. Pretreatment with N-acetylcysteine, an ROS scavenger, attenuated the anti-proliferative effect of ZNE. In addition, ZNE significantly decreased the migratory and invasive capacity of Capan-2 with a concomitant downregulation of integrin α₂ and increased cell–cell aggregation. In addition, ZNE inhibited in ovo angiogenesis as well as reduced VEGF and nitric oxide levels. Furthermore, ZNE downregulated the ERK1/2 and NF-κB signaling pathways, which are known to drive tumorigenic and metastatic events. Taken together, our results suggest that ZNE can attenuate the malignant phenotype of Capan-2 by inhibiting hallmarks of PC. Our data also provide evidence for the potential anticancer effect of Ziziphus nummularia, which may represent a new resource of novel anticancer compounds, especially ones that can be utilized for the management of PC.

The actual 5-year survivors of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma based on real-world data

Survival data for pancreatic cancer are usually based on actuarial calculations and actual long-term survival rates are rarely reported. Here we use population-level data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program for patients with microscopically confirmed pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma diagnosed from 1975 to 2011. A total of 84,275 patients with at least 5 years of follow-up were evaluated (follow-up cutoff date: December 31, 2016). Actual 5-year survival for pancreatic cancer increased from 0.9% in 1975 to 4.2% in 2011 in patients of all stages (p < 0.001), while in surgically resected patients, it rose from 1.5% to 17.4% (p < 0.001). In non-resected patients, the actual 5-year survival remained unchanged over the same time period (0.8% vs 0.9%; p = 0.121). Multivariable analysis of surgically resected patients diagnosed in the recent time era (2004-2011) showed that age, gender, grade, tumour size, TNM-stage and chemotherapy were significant independent predictors of actual 5-year survival, while age, grade and TNM-stage were significant independent predictors in non-resected patients. However, unfavourable clinicopathological factors did not preclude long-term survival. Collectively, our findings indicate that actual 5-year survival for pancreatic cancer is still below 5% despite improvement of survival for the subset of patients undergoing surgical resection.

WITHDRAWN: Novel long-acting BF-30 conjugate corrects pancreatic carcinoma via cytoplasmic membrane permeabilization and DNA-binding in tumor-bearing mice

This article has been withdrawn at the request of the editor. The Publisher apologizes for any inconvenience this may cause. The full Elsevier Policy on Article Withdrawal can be found at https://www.elsevier.com/about/our-business/policies/article-withdrawal.

Dabigatran potentiates gemcitabine-induced growth inhibition of pancreatic cancer in mice

Pancreatic cancer is one of the most lethal solid malignancies with little treatment options. We have recently shown that expression of protease activated receptor (PAR)-1 in the tumor microenvironment drives progression and induces chemoresistance of pancreatic cancer. As thrombin is the prototypical PAR-1 agonist, here we addressed the effect of the direct thrombin inhibitor dabigatran on pancreatic cancer growth and drug resistance in an orthotropic pancreatic cancer model. We show that dabigatran treatment did not affect primary tumor growth whereas it significantly increased tumor dissemination throughout the peritoneal cavity. Increased dissemination was accompanied by intratumoral bleeding and increased numbers of aberrant and/or collapsed blood vessels in the primary tumors. In combination with gemcitabine, dabigatran treatment limited primary tumor growth, did not induce bleeding complications and prevented tumor cell dissemination. Dabigatran was however not as efficient as genetic ablation of PAR-1 in our previous study suggesting that thrombin is not the main PAR-1 agonist in the setting of pancreatic cancer. Overall, we show that dabigatran potentiates gemcitabine-induced growth inhibition of pancreatic cancer but does not affect primary tumor growth when used as a monotherapy.

Pancreatic Cancer: 80 Years of Surgery-Percentage and Repetitions

Objective. The incidence of pancreatic cancer is estimated to be 48,960 in 2015 in the US and projected to become the second and third leading causes of cancer-related deaths by 2030. The mean costs in 2015 may be assumed to be $79,800 per patient and for each resection $164,100. Attempt is made to evaluate the results over the last 80 years, the number of survivors, and the overall survival percentage. Methods. Altogether 1230 papers have been found which deal with resections and reveal survival information. Only 621 of these report 5-year survivors. Reservation about surgery was first expressed in 1964 and five-year survival of nonresected survivors is well documented. Results. The survival percentage depends not only on the number of survivors but also on the subset from which it is calculated. Since the 1980s the papers have mainly reported the number of resections and survival as actuarial percentages, with or without the actual number of survivors being reported. The actuarial percentage is on average 2.75 higher. Detailed information on the original group (TN), number of resections, and actual number of survivors is reported in only 10.6% of the papers. Repetition occurs when the patients from a certain year are reported several times from the same institution or include survivors from many institutions or countries. Each 5-year survivor may be reported several times. Conclusion. Assuming a 10% resection rate and correcting for repetitions and the life table percentage the overall actual survival rate is hardly more than 0.3%.

Evaluation of microvessel density and p53 expression in pancreatic adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic significance of microvessel density and p53 expression in pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Between 2008 and 2012, 49 patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma underwent resection with curative intention. The resected specimens were immunohistochemically stained with anti-p53 and anti-CD34 antibodies. Microvessel density was assessed by counting vessels within ten areas of each tumoral section a highpower microscope.

RESULTS

The microvessel density ranged from 21.2 to 54.2 vessels/mm2. Positive nuclear staining for p53 was found in 20 patients (40.6%). The overall median survival rate after resection was 24.1 months and there were no differences in survival rates related to microvessel density or p53 positivity. Microvessel density was associated with tumor diameter greater than 3.0 cm and with R0 resection failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Microvessel density was associated with R1 resection and with larger tumors. p53 expression was not correlated with intratumoral microvessel density in pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

The Importance of Long-term Follow-up of Head and Neck Cancer Patients for Reliable Survival Analysis

OBJECTIVE: Analyze the influence of patients lost to follow-up in estimated survival rates calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method.

STUDY DESIGN: Only patients with previously untreated squamous cell carcinoma of the upper aerodigestive tract were selected. For the patients lost to follow-up anytime, the last medical evaluation date was collected to calculate the “estimate A” survival time. If the same patient returned to our outpatient clinic or further health information was obtained, the updated last information/evaluation date was also collected to calculate “estimate B” survival time. The survival curves considering “estimate A” and “B” survival rates were compared.

RESULTS: The overall 5 and 10-years survival rates for all patients calculated for “estimate A” were 54.0% and 46.0%, respectively; compared with 42.8% and 28.2% when were calculated considering “estimate B” ( P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION: Close follow-up of the head and neck cancer patients is essential for an accurate estimate of survival by KaplanMeier method.

EBM RATING: C

Mesopancreas in pancreatic cancer: where do we stand - review of literature

Pancreatic cancer is associated with poor prognosis and surgery remains the main modality of treatment. Negative resection margin is an important prognostic factor for survival. Retropancreatic margin or the medial margin is the most common site of positive resection margin. Mesopancreas was proposed in analogy with mesorectum, which is considered as a fusion fascia formed embryologically during the development of pancreas. This mesopancreas lies posterior to the pancreas and contains pancreaticoduodenal vessels, lymphatics, nerve plexus and loose areolar tissue. Various technical modifications were proposed for better dissection of mesopancreas like posterior approach and artery first approach. There is an increased rate of R0 resection by these technical modifications but whether this will turn to increase in survival rates is yet to be established.

Endoscopic ultrasound elastography for differentiating between pancreatic adenocarcinoma and inflammatory masses: A meta-analysis

AIM: To evaluate the accuracy of endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) elastography for differentiating between pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and pancreatic inflammatory masses (PIM).

METHODS: Electronic databases (updated to December 2012) and manual bibliographical searches were carried out. A meta-analysis of all diagnostic clinical trials evaluating the accuracy of EUS elastography in differentiating PDAC from PIM was conducted. Heterogeneity was assessed among the studies. The meta-analysis was performed to evaluate the accuracy of EUS elastography in differentiating PDAC from PIM in homogeneous studies.

RESULTS: Ten studies involving 781 patients were included in the analysis. Significant heterogeneity in sensitivity was observed among the studies (Cochran Q test = 24.16, df = 9, P = 0.0041, I² = 62.8%), while heterogeneity in specificity was not observed (Cochran Q test = 5.93, df = 9, P = 0.7473, I² = 0.0%). The area under the curve under the Sports Rights Owners Coalition was 0.8227. Evaluation of heterogeneity suggested that the different diagnostic standards used in the included studies were the source of heterogeneity. In studies using the color pattern as the diagnostic standard, the pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (LR), negative LR and diagnostic OR were 0.99 (0.97-1.00), 0.76 (0.67-0.83), 3.36 (2.39-4.72), 0.03 (0.01-0.07) and 129.96 (47.02-359.16), respectively. In studies using the hue histogram as the diagnostic standard, the pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive LR, negative LR and diagnostic OR were 0.92 (0.89-0.95), 0.68 (0.57-0.78), 2.84 (2.05-3.93), 0.12 (0.08-0.19) and 24.69 (12.81-47.59), respectively.

CONCLUSION: EUS elastography is a valuable method for the differential diagnosis between PDAC and PIM. And a preferable diagnostic standard should be explored and improvements in specificity are required.

Clinical outcome, proteome kinetics and angiogenic factors in serum after thermoablation of colorectal liver metastases

Background

Thermoablation is used to treat patients with unresectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). We analyze clinical outcome, proteome kinetics and angiogenic markers in patients treated by cryosurgical ablation (CSA) or radiofrequency ablation (RFA).

Methods

205 patients underwent CSA (n = 20), RFA (n = 22), partial hepatectomy (PH, n = 134) or were found truly unresectable (n = 29). Clinical outcome, proteome transitions and angiogenic response in serum were analyzed at various time points after ablation.

Result

Median overall survival in CSA patients (17.6 months) was worse (p < 0.0001) when compared to RFA treated patients (51.7 months) and patients after PH (43.4 months). The complication rate was higher in the CSA group (50%) as compared to the RFA group (22%). Proteomics analyses showed consistently more changes in serum protein abundance with CSA compared to RFA. In the first four days after ablation a pro-angiogenic serum response occurred.

Conclusions

RFA of CRLM is superior to CSA with a median survival which equals survival in patients after PH. Proteomics analyses suggests a more aggravated serum response to CSA compared to RFA. Thermoablation is associated with changes in serum levels of angiogenic factors favouring a pro-angiogenic environment, but without differences between RFA and CSA.

The incidence and survival rate of population-based pancreatic cancer patients: Shanghai Cancer Registry 2004-2009

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer is a devastating disease with dismal prognosis. Large population-based evidence on its survival rate and influence factors is lacking in China.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to depict the demographic factors, tumor characteristics, incidence rate and survival rate of pancreatic cancer cases in urban China.

METHODS

The demographic factors, tumor characteristics were collected for all the pancreatic cancer cases identified during 2004 to 2009 from the Shanghai Cancer Registry. The survival time was ascertained through linkage of the Shanghai Cancer Registry and the Shanghai Vital Statistics Registry. The deadline of death certificates was the end of December 2012. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional-hazards regression model were used to explore the survival rate and influence factors.

RESULTS

11,672 new pancreatic cancer cases were identified among Shanghai residency during 2004 to 2009. The crude incidence rate of pancreatic cancer was increasing from 12.80/100,000 in 2004 to 15.66/100,000 in 2009, while the standardized incidence rate was about 6.70/100,000 and didn't change a lot. The overall 5-year survival rate was 4.1% and the median survival time was 3.9 (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 3.8-4.0) months. Subjects had received surgical resection had improved survival (HR  = 0.742, 95% CI: 0.634-0.868) than its counterparts. In adjusted multivariable Cox proportional-hazard models, factors associated with poor survival included older age at diagnosis (age > = 70 years: hazard ratio (HR)  = 1.827, 95% CI: 1.614-2.067), male sex (HR  = 1.155, 95% CI: 1.041-1.281), distant disease at diagnosis (HR =  1.257, 95% CI: 1.061-1.488), positive lymph node (HR  = 1.236, 95% CI: 1.085-1.408), tumor stage (Stage IV HR  = 2.817, 95% CI: 2.029-3.909).

CONCLUSION

The age-adjusted incidence rate was stable and overall survival rate was low among pancreatic cancer patients of Shanghai residency. Early detection and improved treatment strategies are needed to improve prognosis for this deadly disease.

Google goes cancer: improving outcome prediction for cancer patients by network-based ranking of marker genes

Predicting the clinical outcome of cancer patients based on the expression of marker genes in their tumors has received increasing interest in the past decade. Accurate predictors of outcome and response to therapy could be used to personalize and thereby improve therapy. However, state of the art methods used so far often found marker genes with limited prediction accuracy, limited reproducibility, and unclear biological relevance. To address this problem, we developed a novel computational approach to identify genes prognostic for outcome that couples gene expression measurements from primary tumor samples with a network of known relationships between the genes. Our approach ranks genes according to their prognostic relevance using both expression and network information in a manner similar to Google's PageRank. We applied this method to gene expression profiles which we obtained from 30 patients with pancreatic cancer, and identified seven candidate marker genes prognostic for outcome. Compared to genes found with state of the art methods, such as Pearson correlation of gene expression with survival time, we improve the prediction accuracy by up to 7%. Accuracies were assessed using support vector machine classifiers and Monte Carlo cross-validation. We then validated the prognostic value of our seven candidate markers using immunohistochemistry on an independent set of 412 pancreatic cancer samples. Notably, signatures derived from our candidate markers were independently predictive of outcome and superior to established clinical prognostic factors such as grade, tumor size, and nodal status. As the amount of genomic data of individual tumors grows rapidly, our algorithm meets the need for powerful computational approaches that are key to exploit these data for personalized cancer therapies in clinical practice.

Why do some people with the same type of cancer die early and some live long? Apart from influences from the environment and personal lifestyle, we believe that differences in the individual tumor genome account for different survival times. Recently, powerful methods have become available to systematically read genomic information of patient samples. The major remaining challenge is how to spot, among the thousands of changes, those few that are relevant for tumor aggressiveness and thereby affecting patient survival. Here, we make use of the fact that genes and proteins in a cell never act alone, but form a network of interactions. Finding the relevant information in big networks of web documents and hyperlinks has been mastered by Google with their PageRank algorithm. Similar to PageRank, we have developed an algorithm that can identify genes that are better indicators for survival than genes found by traditional algorithms. Our method can aid the clinician in deciding if a patient should receive chemotherapy or not. Reliable prediction of survival and response to therapy based on molecular markers bears a great potential to improve and personalize patient therapies in the future.

Systematic review of actual 10-year survival following resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatic resection is a potentially curative therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but recurrence of disease is very common. Few studies have reported 10-year actual survival rates following hepatic resection; instead, most have used actuarial measures based on the Kaplan-Meier method. This systematic review aims to document 10-year actual survival rates and to identify factors significant in determining prognosis.

METHODS

A comprehensive search was undertaken of MEDLINE and EMBASE. Only studies reporting the absolute number of patients alive at 10 years after first resection for HCC were included; these figures were used to calculate the actual 10-year survival rate. A qualitative review and analysis of the prognostic factors identified in the included studies were performed.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies, all of which were retrospective case series, including data on 4197 patients with HCC were analysed. Ten years following resection, 303 of these patients were alive. The 10-year actual survival rate was 7.2%, whereas the actuarial survival quoted from the same studies was 26.8%. Positive prognostic factors included better hepatic function, a wider surgical margin and the absence of satellite lesions.

CONCLUSIONS

The actual long-term survival rate after resection of HCC is significantly inferior to reported actuarial survival rates. The Kaplan-Meier method of actuarial survival analysis tends to overestimate survival outcomes as a result of censorship of data and subgroup analysis.

Survival in population-based pancreatic cancer patients: San Francisco Bay area, 1995-1999

Patient vital status generally is passively obtained by cancer registries, and no previous population-based studies have used extensive active follow-up to compute a more accurate overall survival rate for pancreatic cancer. Therefore, the authors used multiple active and passive follow-up methods to determine vital status and date of death for 1,954 pancreatic cancer patients diagnosed from 1995 to 1999 in a large population-based study in the San Francisco Bay Area, California. Survival rates were estimated by using Kaplan-Meier methods. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated by using multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models. Vital status was confirmed for >99% of 1,954 patients. The overall 5-year survival rate was 1.3% and was greater in patients who were younger and who had localized disease, well-differentiated tumors, and surgical resection. Shorter survival was associated with older age at diagnosis, male sex, distant/metastatic disease, and poorly differentiated tumors. Longer survival was observed for Asian/Pacific Islanders compared with non-Hispanic whites and for any active treatment regardless of tumor stage. With an almost complete follow-up, the authors observed a low overall 5-year survival rate. Although the results provide further evidence of poor survival among patients with pancreatic cancer, the data also suggest that within-stage-of-disease patients survived somewhat longer with therapy.

Pancreatic cancer: survival, errors and evidence

BACKGROUND

Resections for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma have now been carried out systematically for over 70 years. However, opinions still differ as to the results. Some consider it unresectable, whereas others claim a high survival percentage and recommend resections.

METHODS

The literature on this surgery has been scrutinized from the onset, and 790 studies have been found that deal with resections and reveal survival information.

RESULTS

Review reveals that the percentage of survivals is exaggerated with life-table methods when there is censoring of the data. Duplication of reporting survivors is rampant.

CONCLUSION

After adjusting for calculations and duplications, the total number of 5-year survivors can hardly be more than 700-800.

The mesopancreas is the primary site for R1 resection in pancreatic head cancer: relevance for clinical trials

Purpose

The prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer remains poor, even after potentially curative R0 resection. This discrepancy may be due to the histopathological misclassification of R1 cases as curative resections (R0) in the past.

Materials and methods

To test this hypothesis, color coding of all resection margins and organ surfaces as part of a standardized histopathological workup was implemented and prospectively tested on 100 pancreatic head specimens.

Results

Thirty-five patients were excluded from the analysis owing to the pathohistological diagnosis; only pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, distal bile duct adenocarcinoma, and periampullary adenocarcinoma were included. Applying the International Union Against Cancer criteria, 32 cancer resections were classified R0 (49.2%), while 33 cases turned out to be R1 resections (50.8%). The mesopancreas was infiltrated in 22 of the 33 R1 resection specimens (66.6%). It proved to be the only site of tumor infiltration in 17 specimens (51.5%). Applying the Royal College of Pathologists’ criteria, 46 resections were classified R1 (70.8%). As expected, the mesopancreas again was the most frequent site of noncurative resection (n = 27; 58.7%).

Conclusion

Using the intensified histopathological workup for pancreatic head cancer specimens resulted in an increased rate of R1 resections and the mesopancreas represents the primary site for positive resection margins. Such results are of relevance for patients’ stratification in clinical trials.

Preoperative platelet count and survival prognosis in resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

High platelet counts are associated with an adverse effect on survival in various neoplastic entities. The prognostic relevance of preoperative platelet count in pancreatic cancer has not been clarified.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of 205 patients with ductal adenocarcinoma who underwent surgical resection between 1990 and 2003. Demographic, surgical, and clinicopathologic variables were collected. A cutoff of 300,000/mul was used to define high platelet count.

RESULTS

Of the 205 patients, 56 (27.4%) had a high platelet count, whereas 149 patients (72.6%) comprised the low platelet group. The overall median survival was 17 (2-178) months. The median survival of the high platelet group was 18 (2-137) months, and that of the low platelet group was 15 (2-178) months (p = 0.7). On multivariate analysis, lymph node metastasis, vascular invasion, positive margins, and CA 19-9 > 200 U/ml were all significantly associated with poor survival.

CONCLUSIONS

There is no evidence to support preoperative platelet count as either an adverse or favorable prognostic factor in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Use of 5-year actual survival data confirms that lymph node metastases, positive margins, vascular invasion, and CA 19-9 are predictors of poor survival in resected pancreatic cancer.

Pancreatic cancer--low survival rates

INTRODUCTION

Cancers of the pancreas are identified in 11 800 to 13 500 patients each year in Germany. Epidemiological studies prove smoking and chronic alcohol consumption as causes of about 30% of pancreatic cancers.

METHODS

Selective literature review.

RESULTS

Only patients within TNM stage I and II have after oncologic tumor extirpation a chance for long term survival. Controlled prospective clinical trials demonstrated adjuvant chemotherapy yielding an additional significant survival benefit. The 3- and 5-year-survival after R0-resection and adjuvant chemotherapy are about 30% and below 15% respectively. Using the criteria of observed 5-year-survival less than 2% of all pancreatic cancer patients are alive. After R0-resection the median survival time is between 17 and 28 months, after R1/2-resection between 8 and 22 months.

DISCUSSION

Pancreatic cancer is even today for more than 95% of the patients incurable. Strategies to prevent pancreatic cancer are intended to stop smoking and chronic alcohol consumption and early surgical extirpation of cystic neoplastic lesions. For patients with established pancreatic cancer risk a follow-up protocol is discussed.

Evaluation of clinical relevance of examining K-ras, p16 and p53 mutations along with allelic losses at 9p and 18q in EUS-guided fine needle aspiration samples of patients with chronic pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer

AIM: To establish an optimum combination of molecular markers resulting in best overall diagnostic sensitivity and specificity for evaluation of suspicious pancreatic mass.

METHODS: Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided fine needle aspiration cytology (FNA) was performed on 101 consecutive patients (63 males, 38 females, 60 ± 12 years; 81 with subsequently diagnosed pancreatic cancer, 20 with chronic pancreatitis) with focal pancreatic mass. Samples were evaluated on-site by an experienced cytopathologist. DNA was extracted from Giemsa stained cells selected by laser microdissection and the presence of K-ras, p53 and p16 somatic mutations was tested by cycling-gradient capillary electrophoresis (CGCE) and single-strand conformation polymorphism (SSCP) techniques. In addition, allelic losses of tumor suppressor genes p16 (INK4, CDKN2A) and DPC4 (MADH4, SMAD4) were detected by monitoring the loss of heterozygosity (LOH) at 9p and 18q, respectively.

RESULTS: Sensitivity and specificity of EUS-guided FNA were 75% and 85%, positive and negative predictive value reached 100%. The remaining 26% samples were assigned as inconclusive. Testing of molecular markers revealed sensitivity and specificity of 70% and 100% for K-ras mutations (P < 0.001), 24% and 90% for p53 mutations (NS), 13% and 100% for p16 mutations (NS), 85% and 64% for allelic losses at 9p (P < 0.001) and 78% and 57% for allelic losses at 18q (P < 0.05). When tests for different molecular markers were combined, the best results were obtained with K-ras + LOH at 9p (92% and 64%, P < 0.001), K-ras + LOH at 18q (92% and 57%, P < 0.001), and K-ras + LOH 9q + LOH 18q (96% and 43%, P < 0.001). When the molecular markers were used as complements to FNA cytology to evaluate inconclusive samples only, the overall sensitivity of cancer detection was 100% in all patients enrolled in the study.

CONCLUSION: EUS-guided FNA cytology combined with screening of K-ras mutations and allelic losses of tumor suppressors p16 and DPC4 represents a very sensitive approach in screening for pancreatic malignancy. Molecular markers may find its use particularly in cases where FNA cytology has been inconclusive.

Extended Resection for Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

Adenocarcinoma of the pancreas presents a number of therapeutic challenges. Given the poor long-term outcomes after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD), many surgeons have sought to improve survival via a radical or "extended" pancreatectomy which may include (a) total pancreatectomy (TP), (b) extended lymph node dissection (ELND), and (c) portal/mesenteric vascular resections. These themes of "extended" resection are addressed in this review. TP should not be performed for most cases of adenocarcinoma of the pancreatic head because of the nominal incidence of lymph node involvement along the body and tail of the pancreas, the scarcity of multicentric disease, and the better management of pancreatic leaks after PD. Most studies show no difference in long-term survival and demonstrate greater postoperative morbidity after TP than after PD. Performing ELND in addition to PD is not worthwhile because most studies do not demonstrate any long-term benefits from ELND and the circumferential dissection around the mesenteric vessels required to harvest distant lymph nodes increases postoperative morbidity. Major arterial resection increases postoperative morbidity after PD and worsens long-term survival as the need for arterial resection to achieve negative resection margins indicates more aggressive disease. In contrast, portal and/or mesenteric venous resection does not increase the morbidity after PD or impact long-term survival as venous resection is often performed because of tumor location and not extent of disease. The disappointing experience with extended resections underscores the need for better adjuvant systemic strategies and the interdisciplinary care of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

A margin-negative R0 resection accomplished with minimal postoperative complications is the surgeon's contribution to long-term survival in pancreatic cancer

Pancreatic cancer has a poor prognosis with complete surgical resection being the only therapy to offer a realistic chance for long-term survival. The aim of this study is to identify surgery-related variables that influence long-term survival. Between 1990 and 2002, 226 consecutive patients (mean age of 64+/-11 years) had resection for pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Prognostic variables in these patients were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analysis. Two hundred four patients (90%) had pancreaticoduodenectomy, 13 patients (6%) had distal pancreatectomy, and 9 patients (4%) had a TP. Stage I disease was present in 50 (22%), stage II disease in 170 (75%), and stage III disease in 6 (3%). R0 resections were achieved in 70%. Operative morbidity was 36% and 30-day mortality was 6%. Actual 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates were 49% (n=111), 14% (n=31), and 4% (n=9). Using multivariate analysis: tumor size, tumor differentiation, obtaining an R0 resection, and lack of postoperative complications were variables associated with long-term survival. Long-term survival in patients with pancreatic cancer after resection remains poor. Achieving a margin negative resection (R0) with no postoperative complications are prognostic variables that can be affected by the surgeon.

Survival among patients with adenocarcinoma of the pancreas: a population-based study (United States)

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of the current study was to evaluate survival of patients diagnosed in California with adenocarcinoma of the pancreas by demographic and tumor-related factors.

METHODS

Through the California Cancer Registry (CCR) we identified all California residents diagnosed with invasive pancreatic adenocarcinoma between 1994 and 2000. Demographic, tumor and treatment information was extracted from the CCR, and socioeconomic status (SES) was assigned based on census block group of residence.

RESULTS

A total of 10,612 eligible patients were identified of whom 1674 (15.8%) underwent surgical resection. Patients of lower SES were less likely to undergo resection and somewhat less likely to survive. Median survival was 3.5 months for patients who were not resected and 13.3 months for those who underwent resection. Adjuvant therapy was associated with a decreased risk of death among patients who underwent resection.

CONCLUSIONS

This study is the largest population-based study to date to explore survival from pancreatic cancer among all age groups in a racially diverse population. Median survival was shorter than that reported from other series. Race/ethnicity did not have a significant effect on survival. However patients residing in poor neighborhoods were less likely to undergo resection and somewhat less likely to survive this disease.

P53 mutation analysis of colorectal liver metastases: relation to actual survival, angiogenic status, and p53 overexpression

PURPOSE

To correlate TP53 mutations with angiogenic status of the tumor and prognosis after liver surgery in patients with colorectal liver metastases and to correlate immunohistochemical staining of p53 protein with TP53 gene mutations.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Tumors of 44 patients with surgically treated colorectal liver metastases were analyzed for (a) TP53 mutations using denaturing gradient gel electrophoresis followed by sequencing, (b) microvessel density using the hot spot overlap technique, (c) apoptotic rate in tumor cells and endothelial cells of tumor microvessels using double immunostaining for anti-cleaved caspase 3 and anti-CD34, and (d) expression of p53 protein using immunohistochemistry.

RESULTS

TP53 mutations were detected in 36% of the metastases and occurred more frequently in liver metastases from left-sided colon tumors than from right-sided colon tumors (P = 0.04). In metastases with TP53 mutations, microvessel density was higher compared with tumors with wild-type p53. Endothelial cell apoptosis was not different in tumor microvessels from TP53-mutated versus nonmutated tumors. The 5-year actual survival was not influenced by TP53 mutational status, microvessel density, or endothelial cell apoptotic rate of the tumors. Based on immunohistochemical p53 overexpression, the positive and negative predictive values of TP53 mutations were 61% and 82%.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with surgically treated colorectal liver metastases, TP53 mutations and angiogenic status did not influence prognosis. Immunohistochemistry is not a reliable technique for detecting TP53 mutations.

Radioiodinated phenylalanine derivatives to image pancreatic cancer: a comparative study with [18F]fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose in human pancreatic carcinoma xenografts and in inflammation models

This work validated an in vivo model of human pancreatic cancer for preclinical studies and evaluated p-amino-3-[123I]iodo-L-phenylalanine (AIPA) and p-[123I]iodo-L-phenylalanine (IPA) as potential imaging agents for pancreatic cancer. The primary human pancreatic adenocarcinoma PaCa44 and PanC1 cells (1.5-2.5x10(6)) were inoculated either subcutaneously into the flank or orthotopically into the pancreas of severe combined immunodeficient (SCID) mice. Tumor formation was recorded by palpation and monitored by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). After intravenous injection, tumor affinity and organ distribution of AIPA and IPA were compared with those of [18F]fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose (FDG) in tumor-bearing SCID mice and in concanavalin A (ConA)-induced inflammation models. All SCID mice developed a pancreatic tumor 2-4 weeks after cell implantation. All subcutaneously transplanted tumors were detected by MRI and confirmed histologically, whereas 90% and 68% of the histopathologically confirmed orthotopic PaCa44 and PanC1 tumors were accurately demonstrated by MRI. Tumor formation and spread after orthotopic implantation showed invasion into adjacent organs and metastases in different sites of the abdomen. In contrast, no organ invasion or metastases were demonstrated by subcutaneous implantation. In vivo, AIPA and IPA displayed high affinity for pancreatic tumors. Radioactivity uptake into a tumor at 60 and 240 min amounted to 7.2+/-2.1% and 10.7+/-2.5% I.D./g for AIPA and 13.3+/-3.5% and 15.2+/-3.8% I.D./g for IPA in heterotopic tumors as compared with 11.8+/-3.2% and 15.2+/-2.4% I.D./g for AIPA and 16.7+/-3.5% and 22.5+/-4.3% I.D./g for IPA in orthotopically implanted tumors. In comparison, the FDG uptake was 10.8+/-2.9% and 2.5+/-0.6% I.D./g into heterotopic tumors and 12.5+/-3.8% and 3.5+/-1.2% I.D./g into the orthotopic ones at 60 and 240 min postinjection. The FDG uptake markedly increased (>400%) in the area of inflammation, whereas accumulation of AIPA and IPA in inflammation remained moderate and comparable with that determined in muscle. In summary, the orthotopic implantation model, more than the heterotopic one, reflects more closely the clinical course of the disease, thus representing the appropriate in vivo model for preclinical studies. The specific and high-level targeting of AIPA and IPA to human pancreatic tumor xenografts, with marked tumor-to-background ratios, indicate that AIPA and IPA are interesting candidates as radiotracers for noninvasive imaging of pancreatic cancer. IPA has the advantage of relatively low renal uptake and thus presents as the most promising candidate.

Survival after surgical management of pancreatic adenocarcinoma: does curative and radical surgery truly exist?

Surgery for pancreatic cancer offers a low success rate but it provides the only likelihood of cure. Modern series show that, in experienced hands, the standard Whipple procedure is associated with a 5-year survival of 10%-20%, with a perioperative mortality rate of less than 5%. Most patients, however, will develop recurrent disease within 2 years after curative treatment. This occurs, usually, either at the site of resection or in the liver. This suggests the presence of micrometastases at the time of operation. Negative lymph nodes are the strongest predictor for long-term survival. Other predictors for a favourable outcome are tumour size, radical surgery and a histopathologically well-differentiated tumour. Adjuvant therapy has, so far, shown only modest results, with 5FU chemotherapy, to date, the only proven agent able to increase survival. Nowadays, the choice of therapy should be based on histopathological assessment of the tumour. Knowledge of the molecular basis of pancreatic cancer has led to various discoveries concerning its character and type. Well-known examples of genetic mutations in adenocarcinoma of the pancreas are k-ras, p53, p16, DPC4. Use of molecular diagnostics and markers in the assessment of tumour biology may, in future, reveal important subtypes of this type of tumour and may possibly predict the response to adjuvant therapy. Defining the subtypes of pancreatic cancer will, hopefully, lead to target-specific, less toxic and finally more effective therapies. Long-term survival is observed in only a very small group of patients, contradicting the published actuarial survival rates of 10%-45%. Assessment of clinical benefit from surgery and adjuvant therapy should, therefore, not only be based on actuarial survival but also on progression-free survival, actual survival, median survival and quality of life (QOL) indicators. Survival in surgical series is usually calculated by actuarial methods. If there is no information on the total number of patients and the number of actual survivors, and no clear definition of the subset of patients, actuarial survival curves can prove to be misleading. Proper assessment of QOL after surgery and adjuvant therapy is of the utmost importance, as improvements in survival rates have, so far, proved to be disappointing.

Prognostic factors in resected pancreatic adenocarcinoma: analysis of actual 5-year survivors

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer is a rapidly fatal disease with very few 5-year survivors even after aggressive surgical treatment. Our objective was to determine the actual 5-year survival rate of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma who underwent a resection with curative intent in 5 teaching hospitals within the University of Toronto system. We then sought to determine clinical and histopathologic features of 5-year survivors to determine factors associated with a favorable prognosis.

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective chart review was performed using surgeon and hospital databases to identify patients who had a surgical resection for pancreatic adenocarcinoma between January 1, 1988, and December 31, 1996.

RESULTS

One hundred twenty-three patients who had a resection and a pathologic diagnosis of pancreatic adenocarcinoma with complete followup were identified from seven surgical practices. Mean survival (+/- standard error) in this series was 31.7 +/- 3.5 months (median 13.6 months). There were 18 5-year survivors (14.6%), including 5 patients (4.1%) who survived longer than 10 years. The survivors included 13 patients who had undergone a Whipple resection, 4 who had undergone a distal pancreatectomy, and 1 who had undergone a total pancreatectomy. Tumor size, lack of jaundice at presentation, negative nodal disease, low tumor grade, and a low tumor stage were all significant predictors of survival in univariate analysis (all p < 0.05). Only tumor stage (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: stage IIA 1.5 [0.8 to 2.8], stage IIB 2.6 [1.4 to 4.7], stage III 1.8 [0.8 to 4.3]) and tumor grade (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: moderately differentiated 1.6 [0.9 to 2.9], and poorly differentiated 3.1 [1.6 to 6.2]) were independently associated with survival differences in a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that longterm survival from pancreatic adenocarcinoma is possible if the disease is identified in its early stages. These and other similar data should provide further stimulus for the development and evaluation of novel screening strategies to improve early detection of this disease.

Surgical treatment of pancreatic adenocarcinoma; actual survival and prognostic factors in 343 patients

Survival data of patients with pancreatic carcinoma are often overestimated because of incomplete follow-up. Therefore, the aim of this study was to approach complete follow-up and to analyse survival and prognostic factors of patients who underwent surgical treatment for pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Between 1992 and 2002, 343 patients underwent surgical treatment for pancreatic adenocarcinoma. One hundred and sixty patients underwent a resection with a curative intention and 183 patients underwent bypass surgery for palliation. Follow-up was complete for 93% of patients. Median survival after resection and bypass was 17.0 and 7.5 months, and 5-year survival was 8% and 0, respectively. In multivariate analysis, tumour-positive lymph nodes, non-radical surgery, poor tumour differentiation, and tumour size were independent prognostic factors for survival after resection. For patients treated with bypass surgery, metastatic disease and tumour size independently predicted survival. In conclusion, actual survival of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma is disappointing compared with the actuarial survival rates reported in the literature. The independent prognostic factors for survival of patients who underwent surgical treatment for pancreatic adenocarcinoma are tumour-related.

Treatment of pancreatic cancer: challenge of the facts

Adenocarcinoma of the pancreas is associated with the worst survival of any form of gastrointestinal malignancy. In spite of the progress in surgical treatment, resulting in increasing resection rates and a decrease in treatment-related morbidity and mortality, the true figures of cure are even today below 3%. The dissemination of pancreatic cancer behind the local tissue compartments restricts the short-term (< 3 years) and long-term outcome for patients who have undergone resection. By histological evaluation, less than 15% of the patients undergoing R(0) resection have a pN(0) status, more than 60% suffer from lymph angiosis carcinomatosa, and more than 50% suffer extrapancreatic nerve plexus infiltration. Hematoxylin and eosin-negative lymph nodes were found to be cancer positive when reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT- PCR) or immunostaining was applied to the HE-negative lymph nodes. Cancer of the uncinate process has a very poor prognosis because there are no early symptoms; vessel wall involvement occurs early and frequently; a high association of liver metastasis exists as well. Surgery offers a low success rate, but it provides the only chance of cure. Ductal pancreatic cancer is diagnosed in more than 95% of the cases in an advanced stage; potentially curative resection can be performed only in about 10%-15% of these patients. Major contributions of surgery to improved treatment results are the reduction of surgical morbidity--e.g., early postoperative local and systemic complications--and a decrease of hospital mortality below 3%-5%. In most recently published prospective trials, R(0) resection has been reported to result in an increase in short-term survival beyond that recorded for patients with residual tumor. However, R(0) resection fails to improve long-term survival. In many published R(0) series, standard tissue resection of pancreatic head cancer with the Kausch-Whipple procedure failed to include remote cancer cell-positive tissues in the operative specimen; e.g., N(2)-lymph nodes, nerve plexus, and perivascular extrapancreatic and retropancreatic tissues were not excised. Cancer recurrence after so-called R(0) resection with curative intent is frequently the consequence of cancer left behind. Thus, long-term survival (> 5 years) is observed in a very small group of patients, contradicting the published 5-year actuarial survival rates of 20%-45% for resected patients. The assessment of clinical benefit from surgical or medical cancer treatment should therefore be based on several end points, not only on actuarial survival. Publication of actuarial survival figures must include the number of observed (actual) survivals, the definition of the subset of patients followed after resection, and the total number of patients in the study group; anything less is misleading. In reporting pancreatic cancer treatment trial results after oncological resections, more convincing primary end points to evaluate treatment efficacy are median survival (in months), actual survival at 1-5 years, and progression-free survival (in months). In series with multimodality treatment, clinical benefit response as well as quality of life measurements using the EORTC Quality of Life index C30 (QLQ-C30) are of importance in evaluating survival data. Adjuvant treatment improves survival after oncological resection; however, the short-term and long-term benefit after adjuvant chemotherapy in R(0) as well as in R(1)-(2) resected patients has not yet been underscored by data from controlled clinical trials. The survival benefit (median survival time) of adjuvant chemotherapy or radiochemotherapy has been demonstrated to be 6-10 months. Therefore, after oncological resection of pancreatic cancer each patient should be offered adjuvant treatment. A neoadjuvant treatment protocol for pancreatic cancer, however, has not been established.

Pancreatic cancer - a continuing challenge in oncology

Pancreatic cancer is still one of the major health problems because of its rising incidence and the modest therapeutic results. The paper surveys the statistical data, the risk factors, the preneoplastic ductal lesions, the hormonal sensitivity, the possible transdifferentiation in the endocrine and exocrine parts and the possibilities for chemoprevention. Hungary is peculiar among the European countries because during the last 50 years the incidence of pancreatic cancer has displayed a 15-fold increase. Apart from smoking, additional risk factors seem to be important, and recently a puzzling association between Helicobacter pylori seropositivity and pancreatic cancer was found. First-degree relatives of patients with pancreatic cancer are also at increased risk of this tumor. The term pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PanIN) seems yet to be established, but the dynamics of these lesions needs to be further elucidated. Several lines of firmly established data indicate the hormonal sensitivity of this tumor, but still an unexplained discrepancy exists between the experimental and the clinical results. In addition to the somatostatin analogs, anti-gastrin vaccine is being tested. The mixed exocrine-endocrine tumors might suggest a real possibility of transdifferentiation between different compartments of the pancreas. Finally, the paper outlines the available data about the possibility of chemoprevention, including the role of cyclooxygenase inhibitors.