Outcome from critical care in the "oldest old" trauma patients

Differences in Injury Pattern and Mortality between Hong Kong Elderly and Younger Patients

Background

The rapidly aging population in Hong Kong is causing an impact on our health care system. In Hong Kong, 16.5% of emergency department trauma patients are aged ≥65 years.

Objective

We aim to compare factors associated with trauma and differences in trauma mortality between elderly (≥65 years) and younger adult patients (15 to 64 years) in Hong Kong.

Methods

A retrospective observational study was performed using trauma registry data from the Prince of Wales Hospital, a 1200–bed acute hospital which is a regional trauma centre.

Results

A total of 2172 patients (331 [15.2%] elderly and 1841 [84.8%] younger) were included. Male patients predominated in the younger adult group but not in the elderly group. Compared with younger patients, elderly patients had more low falls and pedestrian-vehicle crashes and sustained injuries to the head, neck and extremities more frequently. The odds ratio (OR) for death following trauma was 5.5 in the elderly group (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.4–8.9, p>0.0001). Mortality rates increased progressively with age (p>0.0001) and were higher in the elderly at all levels of Injury Severity Score (ISS). Age ≥65 years independently predicted mortality (OR=5.7, 95% CI 3.5–9.3, p>0.0001). The elderly had a higher co-morbidity rate (58.6% vs. 14.1%; p>0.01). There was a lower proportion of trauma call activations for the elderly group (38.6% vs. 53.3%; p>0.01).

Conclusion

Elderly trauma patients differ from younger adult trauma patients in injury patterns, modes of presentation of significant injuries and mortality rates. In particular, the high mortality of elderly trauma requires renewed prevention efforts and aggressive trauma care to maximise the chance of survival.

Global burden of road traffic accidents in older adults: A systematic review and meta-regression analysis

PURPOSE OF THE STUDY

This study aims to estimate the burden of road traffic accidents and death among older adults.

DESIGN AND METHODS

A systematic literature review was conducted on 10 electronic databases for articles describing Road Traffic Accident(RTA) mortality in older adults until September 2016. A random-effects meta-regression analyses was conducted to estimate the pooled rates of road traffic accidents and death.

RESULTS

A total 5018 studies were identified and 23 studies were included. Most of the reported older adults were aged between 60 and 74 years, with majority being male gender and sustained minor trauma due to Motor-Vehicle Collision (MVC). The overall pooled mortality rate was 14% (95% Confidence Interval, CI: 11%, 16%), with higher mortality rates in studies conducted in North America (15%, 95% CI: 12%, 18%) and older adults admitted to trauma centers (17%, 95% CI: 14%, 21%). Secondary analysis showed that the very elderly adults (aged >75years) and pedestrians had higher odds of mortality death (Odds Ratio, OR: 2.05, 95% CI: 1.25, 3.38; OR: 2.08, 95% CI: 1.63, 2.66, respectively).

IMPLICATION

A new comprehensive trauma management guidelines tailored to older adults should be established in low and middle-income countries where such guidelines are still lacking.

Critical Illness in the Elderly: Review of Pathophysiology of Aging and Outcome of Intensive Care

The goal of this article is to review the literature on age and its influence on the pathophysiology of critical illness, outcome after critical illness, and end of life decision making in critically ill elderly patients. Sources for this review included the MEDLINE database and bibliographies of original articles, reviews, and book chapters. The population is aging and the need for medical care and its costs increase with increasing age. A majority of the elderly lead independent lives, although some need help with various functional activities related to daily living. It is difficult to separate the effects of aging from the effects of the comorbidities that develop with increasing age. The physiologic reserve decreases in the elderly and they may not be able to tolerate a critical injury or illness as well as a younger individual. As the elderlyare usually on multiple medications, they are prone to have more drug interactions and side effects, and need close monitoring of the drugs and adjustment of the dosage. Mortality after a critical illness in the elderly is higher compared to younger patients, and it is more related to the acuity of physiologic disturbance than age alone. The effect of age alone on long-term outcome is not well studied, but individuals with poor functional status and/or increased comorbidities have a poor short-term outcome. Functional status usually deteriorates after critical illness, but the long-term survivors usually recover functional abilities, and they are satisfied with their quality of life. Decision making at the end of life is difficult because of the paucity of data on long-term mortality and quality of life, lack of information about patient wishes, and the uncertainty of the prognosis. Because many elderly patients survive critical illness and may return to their previous lifestyle, age alone should not weigh heavily in end of life decisions. As with other age groups, end of life decisions in the elderly should be made after considering long-term outcomes, patient goals, and the benefits and burdens of life-sustaining technology.

Intensive care and invasive ventilation in the elderly patient, implications of chronic lung disease and comorbidities

Aims: Elderly patients have an increasing prevalence of illness that requires consideration of critical care and invasive ventilatory support. Although critical care of even the very elderly can provide value, with increasing age the potential risks of treatment and diminishing returns with respect to quality and quantity of life result in a need for careful evaluation. Variable combinations of impaired organ function, active disease and residual pathology from past disease and injury all affect critical care, with the consequence that the elderly are a very heterogeneous population. Recognizing that critical care is a limited resource, it is important to identify patients who may be at increased risk or least likely to benefit from treatment. Patients with functional impairments, nutritional deficiencies and multiple comorbidities may be at highest risk of poor outcomes. Those with very severe disease, extreme age and requirements for prolonged ventilatory support have high in-hospital mortality. Functional impairments, comorbidities and severity of illness are usually more important considerations than chronologic age. The objective of this review is to identify how common problems of the elderly affect critical care and decisions concerning use of invasive ventilatory support.

Early Predictors of Mortality in Geriatric Patients With Trauma

OBJECTIVE

To identify variables that predict mortality in geriatric patients with trauma.

DESIGN

Retrospective review.

SETTING

Level I trauma center.

PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS

A total of 147 geriatric patients with trauma (age ≥65) with a predicted probability of survival of 10%-75% based on the Trauma Score-Injury Severity Score (TRISS).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS

Patients were divided into 2 cohorts: survivors and nonsurvivors. The following variables available at presentation were analyzed: age, mechanism of injury, temperature, systolic blood pressure, pulse rate, shock index, respiratory rate, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, base deficit, and hematocrit (HCT). The Injury Severity Score (ISS) and TRISS were calculated for both cohorts.

RESULTS

Of the 147 patients analyzed, 84 (57%) died during the index hospitalization and 63 (43%) survived. The mean age of nonsurvivors was significantly higher than that of survivors (78.6 vs. 76.1 years; P < 0.04). A greater number of nonsurvivors (72.6%) sustained injuries as a result of a low-energy mechanism compared with survivors (54%; P = 0.02). GCS, temperature, and respiratory rate were significantly lower for nonsurvivors, whereas base deficit was higher (P < 0.05). The TRISS was predictive of survival (TRISS 0.27 vs. 0.53, P < 0.001), but the distinguishing capacity of the TRISS to predict mortality was limited (area under the receiver operator curve; 0.67; 95% confidence interval 0.58-0.76; P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Older age, lower GCS, and a low-energy mechanism of injury are associated with a higher mortality rate in this at-risk geriatric trauma population. Early identification of predictors of mortality may help care providers more accurately assess injury burden in geriatric patients.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

It's All About Location, Location, Location: A New Perspective on Trauma Transport

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effect of aeromedical transport on trauma mortality when accounting for geographic factors.

BACKGROUND

The existing literature on the mortality benefit of aeromedical transport on trauma mortality is controversial. Studies examining patient and injury characteristics find higher mortality, whereas studies measuring injury severity find a protective effect. Previous studies have not adjusted for the time and distance that would have been traveled had a helicopter not been used.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of an institutional trauma registry. We compared mortality among adult patients (≥15 years) transported from the scene of injury to our level I trauma center by air or ground (January 1, 2000-December 31, 2010) using univariate comparisons and multivariable logistic regression. Regression models were constructed to incrementally account for patient demographics and injury mechanism, followed by injury severity, and, finally, by network bands for drive time and roadway distance as predicted by geographic information systems.

RESULTS

Of 4522 eligible patients, 1583 (35%) were transported by air. Patients transported by air had higher unadjusted mortality (4.1% vs 1.9%, P < 0.05). In multivariable modeling, including patient demographics and type of injury, helicopter transport predicted higher mortality than ground transport (odds ratio [OR] 2.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2-4.0). After adding validated injury severity measures to the model, helicopter transport predicted lower mortality (OR 0.7, 95% CI 0.3-0.9). Finally, including geographic covariates found that helicopter transport was not associated with mortality (OR 1.1, 95% CI 0.6-2.3).

CONCLUSIONS

Helicopter transport does not impart a survival benefit for trauma patients when geographic considerations are taken into account.

Impact of age on the clinical outcomes of major trauma

PURPOSE

In view of demographic changes over the past few decades, the average age of trauma patients is progressively increasing. We therefore aimed to summarize the specific characteristics of geriatric trauma and to identify potential fields for further research to improve the care of elderly trauma patients.

METHODS

Review of the literature.

RESULTS

Due to the diverse risk factors (e.g., pre-existing conditions, limited physiological reserve), geriatric patients are prone to developing severe complications, even after less severe trauma. Yet, age is not considered as the only predictor of worse outcomes, and it should not be considered the only criterion for limiting care in those patients. It is crucial that age-specific treatment guidelines are developed to optimize the outcomes for senior trauma patients. Based on the current literature, these guidelines should emphasize the importance of field triage directly to a trauma center, along with the activation of the trauma team. Furthermore, early intensive monitoring, aggressive resuscitation, and time of surgical intervention are of upmost importance to reduce mortality.

CONCLUSION

The impact of several factors [age, premedical conditions (PMC), decreased physiological reserves, and impaired immune function] on the post-traumatic course of elderly trauma patients needs to be clarified in future experimental and clinical studies for the early identification of geriatric high-risk patients and for the development of age-adapted therapeutic strategies.

Long-term postinjury functional recovery: outcomes of geriatric consultation

IMPORTANCE

Functional recovery is an important outcome following injury. Functional impairment is persistent in the year following injury for older trauma patients.

OBJECTIVE

To measure the impact of routine geriatric consultation on functional outcomes in older trauma patients.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In this pretest-posttest study, the pretest control group (n = 37) was retrospectively identified (December 2006-November 2007). The posttest geriatric consultation (GC) group (n = 85) was prospectively enrolled (December 2007-June 2010). We then followed up both groups for 1 year after enrollment. This study was conducted at an academic level 1 trauma center with adults 65 years of age and older admitted as an activated code trauma.

INTERVENTION

Routine GC.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The Short Functional Status survey of 5 activities of daily living (ADLs) at hospital admission and 3, 6, and 12 months postinjury.

RESULTS

The unadjusted Short Functional Status score (GC group only) declined from 4.6 preinjury to 3.7 at 12 months postinjury, a decline of nearly 1 full ADL (P < .05). The ability to shop for personal items was the specific ADL more commonly retained by the GC group compared with the control group. The GC group had a better recovery of function in the year following injury than the GC group, controlling for age, sex, race/ethnicity, length of stay, comorbidity, injury severity, postdischarge rehabilitation, complication, and whether surgery was performed (P < .01), a difference of 0.67 ADL abilities retained by the GC group compared with the control group (95% CI, 0.06-1.4).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Functional recovery for older adults following injury may be improved by GC. Early introduction of multidisciplinary care in geriatric trauma patients warrants further investigation.

Octogenarians and motor vehicle collisions: postdischarge mortality is lower than expected

BACKGROUND

Motor vehicle collisions (MVCs) are the second leading cause of injury among octogenarians. Physicians and families lack outcomes-based data to assist in the decision-making process concerning injury treatment in this population. The purpose of this study was to evaluate 1-year postdischarge mortality in octogenarian MVC patients, cause of death, and patterns predictive of mortality.

METHODS

A 10-year retrospective review was conducted of trauma patients 80 years and older who were involved in an MVC and were subsequently discharged alive. Data collected included demographics, injury severity and patterns, hospitalization details, and outcomes. State death database and hospital records were queried to determine cause of death for patients who died within 12 months of hospital discharge. Analyses were conducted to explore if a relationship existed between severity of injury and injury patterns to 12-month postdischarge mortality.

RESULTS

Among the 199 patients included in this study, mean (SD) age and Injury Severity Score (ISS) was 84.2 (3.3) years and 9.3 (8.2), respectively. Twenty-two patients (11.1%) died within 12 months. Among these patients, cause of death was directly related to trauma in nine (40.9%), likely related to trauma in seven (31.8%), and unrelated to trauma in six (27.3%). More severely injured patients (ISS >15, p = 0.0041) and those admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) (p = 0.0051) were more likely to die within 12 months of discharge. Results indicated a trend toward higher mortality in patients with pneumonia. Rib, hip, and pelvic fractures; spinal injuries; intubation upon hospital arrival; and need for mechanical ventilation were not associated with higher postdischarge mortality rates.

CONCLUSION

The commonly held belief that the majority of octogenarians with MVC-related trauma die within 1 year of hospital discharge is refuted by this study. Only injury severity, ICU admission, and ICU duration were predictive of mortality within 12 months following discharge.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Prognostic study, level III.

Evolving prehospital, emergency department, and "inpatient" management models for geriatric emergencies

Alternative management methods are essential to ensure high-quality and efficient emergency care for the growing number of geriatric adults worldwide. Protocols to support early condition-specific treatment of older adults with acute severe illness and injury are needed. Improved emergency department care for older adults will require providers to address the influence of other factors on the patient's health. This article describes recent and ongoing efforts to enhance the quality of emergency care for older adults using alternative management approaches spanning the spectrum from prehospital care, through the emergency department, and into evolving inpatient or outpatient processes of care.

High-energy skeletal trauma in the elderly

Despite the increasing prevalence of high-energy skeletal trauma in the elderly (i.e., sixty years or older), there is a lack of prospective data regarding best care for these injuries.Elderly patients with multiple injuries are often undertriaged to trauma centers and underresuscitated.Aggressive early resuscitation can improve outcomes in elderly patients who have sustained skeletal trauma.Comanagement by orthopaedic surgeons and geriatricians of elderly patients with skeletal trauma can lead to a lower length of hospital stay, lower readmission rates, shorter time to operation, lower complication rates, and lower mortality.

The Value of the Trauma Mechanism in the Triage of Severely Injured Elderly

BACKGROUND

The triage of trauma patients is currently based on the trauma mechanism. However, it is known that elderly patients can sustain severe injuries due to insignificant trauma mechanisms. As such, triage methods might be questionable.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether current trauma triage criteria are appropriate in severely injured elderly patients.

METHODS

To analyze the effect of the trauma mechanism on triage and treatment, consecutive patients ≥ 55 years of age, with an injury severity score > 15, treated from 2002 to 2005 were divided into those who sustained a high-energy trauma (HET) versus a low energy trauma (LET). Pre-hospital and in-hospital data, injury characteristics, and data on mortality and disablement one year postinjury (sickness impact profile) were analyzed for HET and LET groups.

RESULTS

Age, sex and co-morbidity rate were similar in 84 HET patients and 107 LET patients. HET patients (mean ISS 28) received more sophisticated trauma care than LET patients (mean ISS 22), although mortality was similar (38 vs. 34%). Long-term disablement was also similar (median SIP scores 4 vs. 6). Severe head injuries and the Revised Trauma Score were related to mortality. Physical disablement was related to preexisting co-morbidities. No variables were related to psychosocial disablement.

CONCLUSIONS

In elderly people a low energy trauma may lead to severe consequences. Not only the trauma mechanism, but also age, co-morbidity, and the likelihood of a brain injury should be leading in the triage and subsequent management of severely injured elderly.

Determinants of outcome in critically ill octogenarians after surgery: an observational study

BACKGROUND

The population in the UK is growing older and the number of elderly patients cared for on intensive care units (ICU) is increasing. This study was designed to identify risk factors for mortality in critically ill patients of >80 yr of age after surgery.

METHODS

We identified 275 patients, aged 80 yr or greater, admitted to the ICU after surgery. After exclusions, 255 were selected for further analysis. Multivariate analysis was then performed to determine the covariates associated with hospital mortality.

RESULTS

The overall ICU and hospital mortality was 20.4% and 33.3%, respectively. Patients who received i.v. vasoactive drugs on days 1 and 2 had hospital mortality of 54.4% and 60.5%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that requirement for i.v. vasoactive drugs within the first 24 h on ICU [odds ratio (OR) 4.29; 95% CI, 2.35-7.84, P<0.001] and requirement for i.v. vasoactive drugs for a further 24 h (OR 3.63; 95% CI, 1.58-8.37, P<0.01) were associated with hospital mortality. The requirement for i.v. vasoactive drugs was also strongly associated with hospital mortality in all the subgroups studied (elective surgery, emergency surgery, and emergency laparotomy).

CONCLUSIONS

For patients aged 80 yr and more, admitted to ICU after surgery, the requirement for i.v. vasoactive drugs in the first and second 24 h was the strongest predictor of hospital mortality.

Intensive care of the elderly in Finland

BACKGROUND

The ageing of the population will increase the demand for health care resources. The aim of this study was to determine how age affects resource consumption and outcome of intensive care in Finland.

METHODS

Data on 79,361 admissions to 26 Finnish intensive care units (ICUs) during the years 1998-2004 were analysed. The severity of illness was measured using Simplified Acute Physiology II scores and the intensity of care using Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System scores.

RESULTS

The median age was 62 years; 8.9% of patients were aged 80 years or over. The hospital mortality rate was 16.2% in the overall patient population, but 28.4% in patients aged 80 years or over. Old age was an independent risk factor for hospital mortality. The mean intensity of care was at its highest in the age groups 60-69, 70-74 and 75-79 years. It was notably lower for patients aged 80 years or over. If the need for intensive care remains unchanged in each age group, the change in the age distribution of the Finnish population will increase the demand for ICU beds by 19% by the year 2020 and by 25% by the year 2030.

CONCLUSION

The hospital mortality rate increases with increasing age. The mean intensity of care is lower for the oldest patients than for patients aged less than 80 years. The ageing of the population will probably cause a remarkable increase in the need for intensive care in the near future.

An Appraisal of Trauma in the Elderly

To review the trends of trauma in the elderly experienced at our trauma center compared with other Level I trauma centers. This was a retrospective trauma registry analysis (1996–2003) of 2783 blunt trauma in elderly (BTE) and 4568 adult (BTA) patients in a Level 1 trauma center. Falls and motor vehicular crashes were the most common mechanisms noted in 47 per cent and 31 per cent (84% and 13% in BTE, 25% and 42% in BTA). BTE were sicker, with higher Injury Severity Scores (ISS), lengths of stay, and mortality (5% vs 2%, P value < 0.05). ISS was 5.2-fold higher in nonsurvivors to survivors in BTA and 2.4-fold in BTE. Elevation in ISS resulted in higher linear increase in mortality in BTE ( vs BTA) at any ISS level. Mortality in patients with ISS ≥ 25 was 43.5 per cent vs 23.8 per cent. ISS ≥ 50 had 31 per cent adult survivors but no elderly survivors. Among isolated injuries, head trauma in the elderly carried the highest mortality, at 12 per cent (19% in patients with an Abbreviated Injury Score ≥3). Abdominal injuries were the most lethal (18.3% and 41.2% in patients with an Abbreviated Injury Score ≥3) in multiple trauma victims (41% vs 18% in isolated trauma). There was 4.4-fold increased mortality in the presence of thoracic trauma. Combined head, chest, and abdominal trauma carried the worst prognosis. Thirty-four per cent of BTE and 88 per cent of BTA patients were discharged home. Elderly patients need more aggressive therapy, as they are sicker with higher mortality.

Survival after prolonged length of stay in a trauma intensive care unit

BACKGROUND

Intensive care unit (ICU) patients comprise a small proportion of patients in the hospital but consume a disproportionate amount of hospital resources. In our cost-conscious environment, it becomes necessary to address the overall performance of our ICUs. This study was designed to analyze survival among trauma ICU (TICU) patients with a length of stay (LOS) >1 month.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the prospectively collected Trauma Registry Database between January 1, 1995, and January 1, 2005, in an adult TICU from a Level I trauma center. Data on demographics, mechanism of injury, Injury Severity Score (ISS), LOS, and in-hospital survival was collected. Descriptive statistics were calculated and student's t test and comparison of proportions were performed where appropriate. Logistic regression was performed to analyze independent predictors of mortality with significance when p < 0.05.

RESULTS

The initial cohort consisted of 3,556 patients with a mean LOS of 9.8 days (range, 0-274 days). Sixty-nine percent were men, mean age was 44.3 years (range, 0-104 years), and mean ISS was 18 (range, 0-75). The mechanism of injury was blunt trauma in 75%, burns in 15%, and penetrating trauma in 10%. Overall survival was 87%. A total of 339 patients had a LOS >1 month. There was no difference in survival between patients with a LOS <1 month and those with a LOS >1 month (87.1% versus 86.7%). Patients >50 years old (n = 1,251) had a longer LOS (12.5 versus 8.4 days; p < 0.001) and increased mortality (22.1% versus 8.0%; p < 0.001). Age remained an independent predictor of mortality when controlling for ISS.

CONCLUSION

In our TICU population, extended LOS did not preclude a significant chance of survival. Patients >50 years old had longer LOS and increased mortality. This suggests that the utilization of resources in patients with a prolonged LOS is reasonable and justified.

Rib fractures: Relationship with pneumonia and mortality*

OBJECTIVE

In single-institution studies, age is a risk factor for mortality after rib fracture. Sample size has limited the assessment of other risk factors. We used a national database to analyze suspected risk factors contributing to pneumonia and mortality in patients sustaining rib fractures.

DESIGN

: Database analysis.

PATIENTS

All patients with rib fractures discharged from hospitals submitting information to the Nationwide Inpatient Sample database.

INTERVENTIONS

The 1999 Nationwide Inpatient Sample was queried for all patients with rib fracture. Age, gender, number of rib fractures, Injury Severity Score, comorbidities, pneumonia, and mortality were abstracted from the database. Comorbidities were scored according to Elixhauser. Multivariate analysis identified independent risk factors for mortality and pneumonia.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We identified 23,426 patients; 17,308 patients had a primary diagnosis of trauma and were included in the analysis. Mean age was 56. Mean Injury Severity Score was 13.1. The number of comorbidities ranged from 0 to 9. Overall mortality was 4%. Six percent of patients had pneumonia. In a multivariate model, age and Injury Severity Score were significantly associated with both mortality and pneumonia. Comorbidity score was associated with pneumonia and mortality only in patients with isolated thoracic trauma. Pneumonia was associated with mortality only in patients with isolated thoracic trauma.

CONCLUSIONS

In a model controlling for multiple known risk factors, age and Injury Severity Score were the only important predictors of mortality in patients with rib fractures and multiple-system injury. Pneumonia was significantly associated with mortality only in patients with isolated thoracic trauma.

A Simple Fall in the Elderly: Not So Simple

BACKGROUND

The goal of this study was to evaluate the burden of falls in the elderly in a Canadian tertiary trauma center.

METHODS

Patients admitted to Charles-LeMoyne Hospital with a low velocity fall (LVF) from April 1, 1993 to March 31, 2000 were individually reviewed. Elderly was defined as age 65 years and older. A region was considered to be injured if Abbreviated Injury Scale was greater than or equal to 2.

RESULTS

There were 2,333 patients with LVF, 41.4% of all blunt trauma admissions. Median Injury Severity Score was 9 for elderly compared with 5 for young (p < 0.001). Injuries were significantly more frequent to head, face, thorax, and lower limbs in the elderly. Mortality (13.4% versus 0.9%; p < 0.001), length of stay (median = 15 versus 3 days; p < 0.001) and long-term care facility reference (19.3% versus 1.1%, p < 0.001) were significantly higher in the elderly.

CONCLUSIONS

LVF is a frequent cause of admission for trauma in the elderly. Despite the apparent benign nature of the mechanism, LVF is associated with more severe injuries and worse outcome.

Critical care nursing for older adults: pathophysiological and functional considerations

The aging of the population brings into health care practice, including ICUs, an increasing prevalence of people with chronic conditions with corresponding expectations of eventual decline in function. These age-related health problems, however, do not have a precise moment of onset, nor a single and unambiguous cause. By their nature, chronic conditions do not have an end that can be modified easily, and ordinarily, they are related to parameters other than physiology alone. Aged individuals often are distinguished as a medicalized cohort on the basis of sheer numbers of comorbidities and predisposition toward frequent hospitalizations, without regard for the potential for adaptation to life despite complex health factors. Some care providers, health economists, and bioethicists propose using the existence of chronic conditions and assumed physical decompensation asa valid basis for restricting individuals and groups, by means of rationing, from consideration for intensive care and treatment. In view of studies demonstrating that covert rationing of ICU resources to critically ill older patients already is taking place, there isa need to continue to examine institutional policies that permit care providers to act as gatekeepers, ostensibly with benign intent, but presumably without patients' knowledge or acceptance. On the other hand, there is evidence that older ICU patients do equally well as younger and middle-aged patients in terms of discharge from the hospital with subsequent recovery of function. Thus, age alone is not a useful marker for limiting access to ICUs. Rather, a comprehensive evaluation is the foundation for diagnostic accuracy and health care decision-making for older individuals. Assessment and maintenance of the older person's functional status are fundamental concerns of geriatric and critical care specialists. Evaluation of an individual's baseline abilities in physical, mental, social, and psychological spheres is necessary before limitation of care realistically can be considered. Intensive care unit hospitalizations for catastrophic or critical illness are not necessarily terminal events. Ongoing functional assessment will help to illuminate the impact of chronicity on an older person's capacity for self care, and may help to guide health care decision-making regarding use of critical care resources. Accordingly, assuring equitable access to essential intensive care services, devoid of concerns about age constraints, will help to ensure the autonomy that is central to older adults' achievement of a fulfilling and productive old age.

Improving the TRISS Methodology by Restructuring Age Categories and Adding Comorbidities

BACKGROUND

The Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS) methodology was developed to predict the probability of survival after trauma. Despite many criticisms, this methodology remains in common use. The purpose of this study was to show that improving the stratification for age and adding an adjustment for comorbidity significantly increases the predictive accuracy of the TRISS model.

METHODS

The trauma registry and the hospital administrative database of a regional trauma center were used to identify all blunt trauma patients older than 14 years of age admitted with International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision codes 800 to 959 from April 1993 to March 2001. Each individual medical record was then reviewed to ascertain the Revised Trauma Score, the Injury Severity Score, the age of the patients, and the presence of eight comorbidities. The outcome variable was the status at discharge: alive or dead. The study population was divided into two subsamples of equal size using a random sampling method. Logistic regression was used to develop models on the first subsample; a second subsample was used for cross-validation of the models. The original TRISS and three TRISS-derived models were created using different categorizations of Revised Trauma Score, Injury Severity Score, and age. A new model labeled TRISSCOM was created that included an additional term for the presence of comorbidity.

RESULTS

There were 5,672 blunt trauma patients, 2,836 in each group. For original TRISS, the Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic (HL) was 179.1 and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve was 0.873. Sensitivity and specificity were 99.0% and 27.8%, respectively. For the best modified TRISS model, the HL statistic was 20.35, the AUROC curve was 0.902, the sensitivity was 99.0%, and the specificity was 27.8%. For TRISSCOM, the HL statistic was 14.95 and the AUROC curve was 0.918. Sensitivity and specificity were 99.0% and 29.7%, respectively. The difference between the two models almost reached statistical significance (p = 0.086). When TRISSCOM was applied to the cross-validation group, the HL statistic was 10.48 and the AUROC curve was 0.914. The sensitivity was 98.6% and the specificity was 34.9%.

CONCLUSION

TRISSCOM can predict survival more accurately than models that do not include comorbidity. A better categorization of age and the inclusion of comorbid conditions in the logistic model significantly improves the predictive performance of TRISS.

Fall-related injuries in the elderly in Tehran

During 13 months of data gathering, all injury-related information concerning trauma patients was gathered according to International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision (ICD-10). The severity of the injury was calculated according to Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS-90) in six major university hospitals in Tehran. Twelve percent of 8000 hospitalised trauma patients were elderly (65 years or older) and 70% of them (675 patients) had suffered from fall-related injuries. Falling on the ground and falling on stairs were the most common kinds of injury (with 462 (68%) and 122 (18%) cases, respectively). In the home and on the street were the most common sites of fall occurrence (with 520 cases (77%) and 91 cases (13.5%), respectively). After adjustment for the gender, kind of fall and Injury Severity Score, it was shown that the elderly were more prone to death than their younger counterparts (odds ratio=5.8, 95% CI for odds ratio: 2.3-7.2), but there was no significant difference in mortality rate between elderly men and women. Further studies are needed to evaluate personal and environmental risk factors for falls in our population. Furthermore, significantly higher mortality rate in our elderly trauma victims necessitates prudent attention to elderly trauma care in our teaching hospitals.

Trends in hospitalization after injury: older women are displacing young men

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate trends in hospitalization after injuries in the USA.

DESIGN

National Hospital Discharge Survey data from 1979 to 2000 were evaluated annually by age group, sex, injury severity score (ISS), length of stay, and discharge destination.

SETTING AND SUBJECTS

National probability sample of hospitalized patients.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Incidence, duration, outcome, and population based rates of hospital admission after injuries.

RESULTS

The number of young males admitted to hospitals after injuries has decreased dramatically; older females are now the group most frequently admitted. Total days in the hospital have decreased in all age groups, but have declined less in the older population than in the younger population; furthermore, most patients aged 65 and over were formerly discharged home, but now most are discharged to long term care facilities. Overall hospitalization rates after injury have decreased in all age groups, but have declined less in the older population; furthermore, male and female hospitalization rates for serious injury (ISS at least 9, excluding isolated hip fracture) are decreasing in younger age groups while increasing in older age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Older patients comprise a growing proportion of injuries requiring hospitalization. Trauma systems must address this change, and preventing injuries in older people is increasingly important.

Functional outcomes in octogenarian trauma

BACKGROUND

Outcome data on geriatric trauma patients (GTPs) (age >or= 65) focus on mortality and resource use. We examined mortality and outcome in GTPs and octogenarian trauma patients (OTPs) (age >or= 80). We hypothesized that OTPs would have worse functional outcomes than GTPs as defined by functional independence measurement (FIM) scales.

METHODS

Our study was a 13-year retrospective analysis of a statewide trauma database. Isolated hip fractures and intubation with Glasgow Coma Scale scores of 3 at admission were excluded. Demographic data, preexisting conditions, complications, discharge destination, mortality, and FIM were analyzed.

RESULTS

OTPs constituted 17742 (40.9%) of 43297 GTPs admitted to trauma centers. Falls (64.4%) and motor vehicle collisions (24.5%) were predominant. Average Injury Severity Score (ISS) was higher in GTPs (11.5 +/- 9.2 vs. 10.8 +/- 8.3, p = 0.001). Cardiac disease was the most common preexisting condition. Diabetes, obesity, and pulmonary disease were more common in GTPs than in OTPs (p = 0.001). Dementia, congestive heart failure, and hematologic disease were more common in OTPs than in GTPs (p = 0.001). Pulmonary and infectious complications were most common and occurred with equal frequency in OTPs and GTPs. Mortality rates were higher (10.0% vs. 6.6%, p = 0.001) for OTPs overall and when stratified into low (<10), moderate (11-20), and high (>20) ISS subgroups (p = 0.001). Discharge destination was most often home (53.3% vs. 28.8%, p = 0.001) or a rehabilitation facility (20.0% vs. 17.4%, p = 0.001) for GTPs versus OTPs. OTPs were discharged to skilled nursing facilities (37.2% vs. 14.9%, p = 0.001) far more often than GTPs. FIM at discharge was lower in all categories for OTPs. Modified dependence in locomotion and transfer was seen for OTPs but not GTPs overall and when stratified by ISS subgroups (p = 0.001). Some dependence in feeding was seen for OTPs but not GTPs with high injury severity (p = 0.001). Otherwise, feeding, expression, and social independence were preserved for both OTPs and GTPs.

CONCLUSION

Functional outcomes after blunt trauma are worse for OTPs; however, functional independence in feeding and social interaction are preserved in OTPs even with moderate injury severity.

Intensive Care Unit Outcome of Vehicle-Related Injury in Elderly Trauma Patients

Vehicle-related trauma is a common mechanism of injury in elderly (age ≥65 years) trauma patients. Several hospital-based studies have shown that patients with pedestrian injury have a higher mortality compared with those with motor vehicle collision (MVC) injury partially because of older patients found in the former group. In addition the injury patterns also differ significantly between these two mechanisms of vehicle-related trauma. The purpose of the present study is to compare the demographics, injury severity, injury patterns, and outcomes of elderly patients with pedestrian injury admitted to a surgical intensive care unit (SICU) of a Level I trauma center between January 1, 1994 and December 31, 2000 with those admitted with MVC injury. During the study period there were 187 elderly patients admitted to the surgical intensive care unit with vehicle-related injury. Fifty-one per cent of the patients had MVC injury. Patients were divided into two groups based on their mechanisms of injury (pedestrian vs MVC) for comparison. There was no difference in the mean age and gender between the two groups. Injury Severity Score, admission Simplified Acute Physiology Score, and mortality were significantly higher in the pedestrian group compared with the MVC group. Using logistic regression analysis three factors were found to be independently predictive of mortality: Simplified Acute Physiology Score, intracranial hemorrhage with mass effect on CT scan, and cardiac complications.

Outcomes of and Resource Consumption by High-Cost Patients in the Intensive Care Unit

• Background Care of patients in an intensive care unit is among the most costly in hospitals. Little is known about high-cost patients within the intensive care unit or their outcomes of care.

• Objectives To examine outcomes of and resource consumption by high-cost adult patients who received care in an intensive care unit at an academic medical center.

• Methods Data on patients admitted during the period January 1, 1995, through June 30, 1999, were analyzed retrospectively. An intensive care unit database, the hospital discharge data set, and a cost-accounting data set were used to determine the total intensive care unit cost for the hospitalization. Patients were then stratified into cost deciles. Hospital and intensive care unit outcomes for patients in the top decile were compared with those of patients in the other deciles.

• Results Cost data were available on 10606 of the 11244 patients who received care in an intensive care unit. Patients in the top decile accounted for 48.7% of all intensive care unit costs, and 67.6% of this group survived to discharge despite prolonged care. Patients transferred from an outside hospital were more likely to be in the top decile, have a longer stay in the intensive care unit, or die than were the other patients.

• Conclusions A small group of patients accounts for a disproportionately higher amount of intensive care unit resources but has a relatively high survival rate. This cohort should be treated as an intact group that is not amenable to traditional cost-cutting measures.

Oxygen transport and organ dysfunction in the older trauma patient

OBJECTIVES

To determine baseline values of cardiac index (CI) and oxygen transport variables in patients with multiple trauma within 24 hours of admission to a level I trauma center.

METHOD

This project was part of a larger study comparing methods of measuring oxygen consumption (VO2) in 38 severely injured patients. Measurements of CI, oxygen delivery (DO2), and VO2 were performed every 6 hours for 24 hours. Patients were monitored for multiple organ dysfunction syndrome.

RESULTS

The mean age was 59 (+/- 17) years, with 74% (n = 28) of patients 50 years or older. Patients 65 years or older had significantly lower levels of CI, DO2, and VO2. Initial age-related differences in CI (P < .001) persisted at each time period (P < .0136). Younger patients generated a higher DO2 at each time period (P < .0005). Even though there were persistent age-related differences in VO2 over time (P < .0001), no interaction between age and time was found. Survivors had lower scores for multiple organ dysfunction syndrome than did nonsurvivors (P < .0001), all of whom were 50 years or older. Mortality was 21%.

CONCLUSIONS

All patients were hypermetabolic, but older patients were much less so. Younger patients progressively had increased CI and DO2 levels, whereas older patients started with low levels that remained so. Patients in each age group appeared to lock into a level of VO2 that did not change over time. These findings underscore the vulnerability of older patients to poor outcomes. As the magnitude of the postinjury response is partly age-dependent, future research should differentiate patient characteristics associated with positive outcomes among elderly trauma patients.

Trauma in the elderly: intensive care unit resource use and outcome

BACKGROUND

As the population ages, the elderly will constitute a prominent proportion of trauma patients. The elderly suffer more severe consequences from traumatic injuries compared with the young, presumably resulting in increased resource use. In this study, we sought to examine ICU resource use in trauma on the basis of age and injury severity.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective review of trauma registry data prospectively collected on 26,237 blunt trauma patients admitted to all trauma centers (n = 26) in one state over 24 months (January 1996-December 1997). Age-dependent and injury severity-dependent differences in mortality, ICU length of stay (LOS), and hospital LOS were evaluated by logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Elderly (age > or = 65 years, n = 7,117) patients had significantly higher mortality rates than younger (age < 65 years) trauma patients after stratification by Injury Severity Score (ISS), Revised Trauma Score, and other preexisting comorbidities. Age > 65 years was associated with a two- to threefold increased mortality risk in mild (ISS < 15, 3.2% vs. 0.4%; < 0.001), moderate (ISS 15-29, 19.7% vs. 5.4%; < 0.001), and severe traumatic injury (ISS > or = 30, 47.8% vs. 21.7%; < 0.001) compared with patients aged < 65 years. Logistic regression analysis confirmed that elderly patients had a nearly twofold increased mortality risk (odds ratio, 1.87; confidence interval, 1.60-2.18; < 0.001). Elderly patients also had significantly longer hospital LOS after stratifying for severity of injury by ISS (1.9 fewer days in the age 18-45 group, 0.89 fewer days in the age 46-64 group compared with the age > or = 65 group). Mortality rates were higher for men than for women only in the ISS < 15 (4.4% vs. 2.6%, < 0.001) and ISS 15 to 29 (21.7% vs. 17.6%, = 0.031) groups. ICU LOS was significantly decreased in elderly patients with ISS > or = 30.

CONCLUSION

Age is confirmed as an independent predictor of outcome (mortality) in trauma after stratification for injury severity in this largest study of elderly trauma patients to date. Elderly patients with severe injury (ISS > 30) have decreased ICU resource use secondary to associated increased mortality rates.

Increasing importance of the elderly in a trauma system

The objectives of the study were to determine age- and sex-related trends in hospitalization after injuries. Statewide hospitalization data from 1980-1999 were evaluated annually by sex and age (0-39, 40-64, 65-99), incidence, mean length of stay (LOS), and disposition. Males 0-39 represented 39.6% of admissions in 1980, but only 20.7% in 1999; females >or=65 are now most frequent. These trends partly reflect population changes, but rates of hospitalization for young men have also declined. For age < 65, LOS has gradually decreased since 1980; for age >or=65, LOS decreased after 1990. However, most elderly patients were formerly discharged home, whereas now most are discharged to skilled nursing facilities (SNF). The proportion of younger patients hospitalized in trauma centers increased significantly, but over age 65 this proportion remained stable. Major changes have occurred in populations served by trauma systems. Preventing injuries in the elderly is increasingly important. Accurate evaluation of cost-effectiveness in the elderly must include outcomes from SNF.

Characteristics and outcomes of serious traumatic injury in older adults

OBJECTIVES

To describe the seriously injured older adult; characterize and compare the differences in injury characteristics and outcomes in three subgroups of seriously injured older adults: aged 65 to 74, 75 to 84, and 85 and older; and identify risk factors for death, complications, and discharge placement at hospital discharge.

DESIGN

A retrospective secondary analysis of a statewide trauma data set from 1988 through 1997.

SETTING

Data submitted from all designated trauma centers in Pennsylvania.

PARTICIPANTS

The data set yielded 38,707 patients with a mean age of 77.5 years with serious injury (mean number of injuries=3.6, mean number of body systems involved=2).

MEASUREMENTS

Key outcomes were mortality, complications, and discharge placement. Abbreviated Injury Score categorized injuries and Injury Severity Score (ISS) quantified anatomic severity of injury.

RESULTS

Mortality was 10%. Mean length of stay was 11.5 days. Just over half (52.2%) of survivors were discharged home; 25.4% were discharged to a skilled nursing facility. Injury severity, total number of injuries, complications, and increasing age were predictors of mortality (P <.01). The presence of preexisting comorbid medical conditions increased the odds of experiencing a complication over threefold. Increasing age, total number of injuries, injury to extremities or abdominal contents, injuries due to falls, and lower functional level predicted discharge to a skilled nursing facility (P <.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Traumatic injuries affect older adults of all ages and are typically multisystem and life threatening. The standard ISS does not fully capture the potential for mortality in older adults and does not predict discharge placement. The majority of older adults survive multisystem injury. Our findings indicate the need to examine outcomes beyond mortality and to make the identification and management of comorbid conditions a priority. A geriatric consultation service could be an important addition to the interdisciplinary trauma team.

Trauma in the very elderly: a community-based study of outcomes at trauma and nontrauma centers

BACKGROUND

Little research has examined trauma outcomes in the very elderly (>80 years), the fastest growing subset of our geriatric population. Our objective was to describe demographics, mechanism of injury and injury severity of very elderly trauma patients and examine the association between trauma center (TC) verification and hospital mortality in this age group.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study. Database consisted of a 1996 countywide trauma registry. Subjects consisted of patients > 80 years of age. The setting consisted of Level I (TCI) and Level II (TCII) trauma centers, and acute care (AC) hospitals. The z score analysis was performed using the Major Trauma Outcome Study and a county-specific risk/outcome equation. In addition, a logistic regression model examined hospital mortality (outcome variable) using age, ISS, arrival GCS, and TC verification as predictor variables. Statistical analysis included descriptive statistics; ANOVA; and forward stepwise logistic regression model (OR; 95% CI).

RESULTS

Four hundred fifty-five patients with a mean age of 85.9 (+/-4.8) years (range 80-101). Overall mortality was 9.9%. Using z score analysis, survival at TCII performed as predicted (-1.59), while AC performed less than predicted (-3.41). In the regression model, GCS (OR 0.68; CI 0.57-0.79), ISS (OR 1.1; CI 1.05-1.2) and AC setting (OR 3.2; CI 1.1-9.5) predicted hospital mortality. TCs had significantly better outcomes than AC hospitals in a subset of severely injured patients (ISS 21-45) (56% v 8% survival; p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Risk-adjusted outcomes, in this population, differed between TC and AC settings. Head injury, injury severity, and lack of TC verification are associated with hospital mortality in very elderly trauma patients.

Low-impact falls: demands on a system of trauma management, prediction of outcome, and influence of comorbidities

BACKGROUND

Falls from a low height are an extremely common source of injury, the severity of which is often underestimated. As a result, low fall patients are usually not transferred to Level I trauma centers. There are surprisingly few systematic data relating to the demands made on systems of trauma care by patients with low falls. This study addresses this issue using information from a comprehensive national trauma database. The performance of TRISS methodology, and the factors associated with prolonged hospital stay, in low fall patients is also examined.

METHODS

The study included 31,419 patients. Patients with low falls (< 2 m) were compared with those suffering high falls (> or = 2 m), motor vehicle crashes, assault, sports injuries, and a group with unclassified injuries. Probability of survival was estimated using TRISS, and its performance in different types of injury was assessed using measures of discrimination and calibration. The influence of coexistent medical conditions on mortality and length of stay was investigated using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Low falls accounted for 45.5% of all admissions, and 43.9% of the total bed days. The low fall group was older (mean age, 61.6 years), and predominantly female (62.5%) in contrast to the other groups (both p < 0.001). There were fewer severely injured patients than in all of the other groups except sports injuries. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for TRISS applied to low falls (0.874) was less than that for high falls (0.969), motor vehicle crashes (0.973), assaults (0.960), sports (1.000), and unclassified injuries (0.965). Also, the calibration of the TRISS model was poor for patients with low falls. A logistic regression model derived from a training set of 5,000 patients gave slightly improved discrimination and markedly improved calibration when compared with TRISS. Although there was a strong relationship between the number of coexistent medical conditions and the risk of dying after a low fall, including data on comorbidities in a predictive model did not improve performance. Prolonged stay (defined as greater than the 90th centile, 23 days) was more likely in women (p < 0.005), or with advanced age (p < 0.001) or low initial calculated probability of survival (p < 0.001). Cardiovascular and central nervous system diseases and diabetes were associated with longer hospital stay (all p < 0.001). A logistic regression model using TRISS variables and comorbidity data gave poor prediction of prolonged stay. There was considerable variation in the length of stay between institutions.

CONCLUSION

Patients with low falls make considerable demands on a system of trauma care. TRISS methodology performs less well in this group than with other types of injury. Chronic medical conditions are associated with increased mortality and more prolonged stay after a low fall. Between-institutional variation in length of stay was considerable and this, along with the poor performance of predictive models derived from routinely collected clinical data, make it unlikely that length of stay could be used as a measure of institutional performance. More robust audit measures for patients with low falls are required.

Penetrating trauma in patients older than 55 years: a case-control study

BACKGROUND

Multiple studies have compared young and elderly blunt trauma patients, and concluded that, because elderly patients have outcomes similar to young patients, aggressive resuscitation should be offered regardless of age. Similar data on penetrating trauma patients are limited.

STUDY DESIGN

In a retrospective review, 79 patients with penetrating injuries and age > or =55 were blindly matched for Injury Severity Score (ISS) and Abbreviated Injury Scores (AIS) with 79 penetrating trauma patients aged 15-35 years, who were admitted to the hospital over the same 4 year period (June 1994-June 1998). Mortality rates and length of stay in the intensive care unit (ICU) and the hospital were compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

The average ISS for all patients was 12 (range 1-75) and identical for both groups. Both groups had similar injuries and were evaluated by an equal number and type of diagnostic studies. The mean ISS was not different between severely injured older and younger patients who required ICU admission or died. Among 32 nonsurvivors (18 older and 14 younger), older patients were more likely than younger patients to present with normal vital signs, although the comparison did not reach statistical significance (50% vs. 13%, P=0.25). There was a clinically significant trend for longer ICU (15+/-30 vs. 3+/-2 days, P=0.096) and hospital stay (10+/-18 vs. 6+/-8 days, P=0.08) among older patients, but mortality rates were similar (23% in older vs. 18% in younger, P=NS). Furthermore, these outcome parameters showed no difference when both groups were classified according to severity of injury or physiologic response.

CONCLUSIONS

Following penetrating trauma, older patients arriving alive and admitted to the hospital are as likely to survive as younger patients who have injuries of similar severity, but at the expense of longer ICU and hospital stays.

Long-term survival in the elderly after trauma

BACKGROUND

In the elderly, trauma has been associated with increased, long-term, all-cause mortality. Functional limitations secondary to injury may be responsible for the reduced survival rate. The objective of this study was to test this hypothesis using data from the Longitudinal Study of Aging (LSOA).

METHODS

The LSOA is an extension of the 1984 National Health Interview Survey, which focused on 7,527 persons who were 70 years and older in 1984. Using data from the LSOA, a cohort of elderly patients hospitalized for injury in 1985 (N = 102) was identified from Medicare hospital discharge data. An uninjured cohort (N = 408) was also identified using the LSOA and matched by age (within 1 year) and sex. Deaths in both cohorts were identified using the National Death Index. Hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality within 6 years subsequent to injury, adjusted for demographic, health status, and functional characteristics, were calculated.

RESULTS

The injured cohort had a significantly reduced rate of survival compared with the uninjured cohort (HR = 1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1-2.2), and this relationship persisted after adjusting for demographic and health characteristics (HR = 1.4; 95% CI 1.0-2.0). After additional adjustment for measures of functional decline, the association diminished (HR = 1.2; 95% CI 0.8-1.7). Functional decline remained a strong, independent factor for the risk of mortality.

CONCLUSION

Trauma in the elderly has both an acute and long-term influence on mortality; the latter seems to be mediated through a decline in function resulting from the injury. This study suggests that strategies to return the elderly patient to preinjury functional status are of paramount importance. Future research should explore the impact of these interventions on long-term survival.

The management of elderly blunt trauma victims in Scotland: evidence of ageism?

Health services are challenged with providing trauma care to an increasingly elderly population. The objectives of this study were to determine the in-hospital mortality for injured elderly patients, and by analysing key features of their management, to ascertain whether these trauma patients were managed less aggressively than their younger counterparts. Main outcome measures included; use of resuscitation room facilities, senior medical staff involvement, admission to intensive care units, transfers to regional neurosurgical centres and mortality. Three thousand seven hundred patients initially managed in a resuscitation room were significantly younger (mean age 43) than those not treated in this area (mean age 54, 95% CI 10.7-12.4). Considering seriously injured patients with a significant head injury (who did not present in coma) those transferred to neurosurgical care were younger (mean age 44) than patients who were not transferred (mean age 49, 95% CI 1. 6-8.6). Logistic regression analysis showed that age did not have a significant independent effect on the seniority of medical response from key specialties. For the severely injured, the odds of being admitted to an intensive care unit when aged 70 in comparison to age 30 were 0.7436 (95% CI 0.5787-0.9559). Overall in-hospital mortality of the 290 elderly patients who had sustained major trauma was 42.1%. Significantly more of the elderly died than would be predicted. Age appears to be an independent factor in the process of trauma care in Scottish hospitals. We consider that outcomes for the injured elderly could be improved by a more dynamic approach to their management.

Prognosis of penetrating trauma in elderly patients: a comparison with younger patients

BACKGROUND

It has previously been shown that elderly patients have a worse prognosis than their younger counterparts after sustaining blunt trauma. This is due in part to a higher incidence of comorbid conditions as well as less physiologic reserve in an elderly population sustaining largely blunt trauma. We compared the outcome after penetrating trauma in elderly patients to matched "younger" patients to determine whether they had a similarly poor prognosis.

METHODS

Elderly patients (> or = 65 years) were identified from our trauma registry. Sex, mechanism of injury, and Abbreviated Injury Score/Injury Severity Score were determined from the registry. Patients presenting with traumatic arrest were excluded. The registry was then searched for patients aged 15 to 40 years with the same sex, mechanism of injury, and Abbreviated Injury Score in each region. A chart review was then performed to determine additional details of their hospital stay. The two groups were then compared using Student's t test and Fisher's exact chi2 test, as appropriate.

RESULTS

Eighty-five elderly patients (OLD group) were admitted with penetrating trauma between 1983 and 1998. They were compared with 85 matched young patients (YOUNG group). Each group included 66 male and 19 female patients. In each group, gunshot wounds occurred in 45.9%, stab wounds in 52.9%, and shotgun wounds in 1.2% of patients. The average Injury Severity Score in each group was 5.5 +/- 5.6 (range, 1-29) and the regional Abbreviated Injury Scores were likewise equal in both groups. The OLD patients had an average hospital stay of 6.9 +/- 9.1 days compared with 4.3 +/- 5.7 days in the YOUNG patients (p < 0.05). Twenty-seven OLD patients spent 7.3 +/- 9.2 days in the intensive care unit compared with 19 YOUNG patients who stayed 3.4 +/- 3.2 days (p < .05). A total of 91 comorbidities were identified in 58 OLD patients compared with 18 in 15 YOUNG patients (p < .0001). Eighty-six invasive procedures were performed in the OLD group compared with 96 in the YOUNG group (p = not significant). Nineteen OLD patients (22.3%) and 15 YOUNG patients (17.6%) suffered one or more complications, including death (p = not significant). A total of 91% of surviving OLD patients were discharged to home compared with 100% of surviving YOUNG patients (p < .01).

CONCLUSION

Elderly patients who sustain penetrating trauma have more comorbidities than their younger counterparts. This may account for their longer hospital stay and lesser ability to be discharged home. These patients do not have an increased complication rate and should continue to be managed aggressively.

The injured elderly in the trauma intensive care unit

The injured elderly patient in the ICU presents many challenges. Demographic changes in western society will dramatically increase the patient population in question, and new, older, subsets are growing. The association of severe injury, preinjury comorbidity, and the aging process narrows the ability of the patient to respond to the stress of injury. When compared with younger patients, the elderly have greater mortality, morbidity, and higher costs. Age alone, however, does not predict outcome. Although aggressive or maximally supportive care is advocated, controlled data supporting this approach are lacking. Significant economic, sociologic, and ethical issues confront the care providers in almost every case. Continued and heightened study of all aspects of our injured elders focusing on the determinants of outcome is required. A realistic appraisal of the limitations of care and a reassessment of the financial implications of providing extended care are critical to the continuing ability to respond to this growing need.

Outcomes of trauma patients who survive prolonged lengths of stay in the intensive care unit

OBJECTIVE

To examine a subgroup of severely injured patients spending > or = 3 weeks in the intensive care unit (ICU) and to determine their disposition and eventual functional outcome.

METHODS

A retrospective review of our trauma registry and medical records over a 7-year period (January of 1991 to December of 1997) identified 115 patients with ICU length of stay (LOS) > or = 3 weeks. Variables selected included age, length of stay, injury severity score, injuries, disposition, and charges. Functional independence measures (FIM) were obtained in patients requiring inpatient rehabilitation and a written questionnaire (Rand 36-item Health Survey) was mailed to all patients alive at discharge.

RESULTS

Mean ICU length of stay of the 115 patients was 36 days (range, 21-106 days); mean age, 49 years (range, 4-89 years); 73 patients (63%) were males, 42 patients (37%) were females. Overall mortality was 22% (n = 25). The remaining 90 patients survived to discharge with the following disposition: rehabilitation facility 60% (n = 54), home with temporary disability 22% (n = 20), nursing home 8% (n = 7), home with permanent disability 4% (n = 4), transferred 6% (n = 5). Mean hospital charge was $193,000 (range, $77,000-$528,000). No variable or combination could predict outcome except age. Elderly patients (age > or = 75, n = 24) had an overall mortality of 42% (n = 10). Eight of 14 survivors fulfilled admission criteria and entered our rehabilitation facility. The remaining six elderly patients either went to nursing homes or were permanently disabled. Complete FIM scores were available on 47 of 54 patients who went to rehabilitation facility. The mean rehabilitation facility admission FIM score was 52, indicating either complete dependence or the need for moderate assistance. After they had remained at the rehabilitation facility for a mean of 48 days (range, 7-278 days), patients' FIM scores improved to a mean of 86, signifying minimal contact assistance or supervision only. Three-month follow-up FIM scores continued to improve to a mean of 101, a score denoting complete independence. Elderly patients within the rehabilitation facility fared as well as the younger group. For the Rand-36 survey, 47 of 90 patients or family members were contacted. Twelve patients died since discharge, leaving 35 patients to complete the survey. Despite excellent FIM scores, overall mean health was only fair to good, with limitations to activity and lack of energy cited as the main problems.

CONCLUSION

Despite tremendous resource utilization, the majority of trauma patients with prolonged ICU stays can eventually return to varying degrees of functional daily living and independence, but not to preinjury levels. A subgroup of severely injured elderly patients had a significantly higher mortality rate. However, elderly survivors that entered our rehabilitation facility fared as well as the younger patients.

An application of lifetime models in estimation of expected length of stay of patients in hospital with complexity and age adjustment

Expected length of stay (ELOS) of patients in hospital is an important measure in hospital resource utilization management. Previous work has shown that estimation of ELOS is improved using complexity and age adjustment. These improved estimates have the potential to improve the accuracy of estimates of resource use. Recently other authors have applied the linear regression model to make complexity and age adjustments in the estimation of ELOS. However, these estimates using linear regression estimates are likely flawed on the basis that the assumptions regarding the distribution of data for the linear regression model are unjustifiable. The non-normal distributions of most hospital patient discharge data demand that an alternative method be described to provide accurate estimates of ELOS. The purpose of this paper is to describe an alternative method which uses lifetime models to initially estimate the expected length of stay. The paper then provides an approach to estimate the adjusted expected length of stay (AELOS) using several influencing factors by application of lifetime models. Depending on whether or not the proportional hazards assumption is appropriate for the data, the Cox proportional hazards model or the Kaplan-Meier adjustment is recommended.

Perioperative management of the elderly trauma patient

This article reviews the physiology and pathology associated with ageing and the impact these may have on the perioperative and anaesthetic care of the elderly trauma patient. The current literature on this subject is summarized and, based on this, recommendations are made for perioperative management.

Fatal falls down stairs

Fatal falls down stairs in south-east Scotland were studied using prospectively collected data between 1992 and 1997. 51 individuals, comprising 27 men and 24 women with mean age 68.9 years, died following falls down stairs, 30 (59%) of which were unwitnessed. 43 (84%) individuals died following falls within their own homes. Overall, 27 (53%) fatal falls resulted in death at the scene of the accident. Analysis of injuries according to the Abbreviated Injury Scale yielded injury severity scores (ISS) of between 5 and 75, but only four individuals had injuries recognised to be unsurvivable (ISS = 75). Injury to the brain and/or spinal cord was responsible for the vast majority of most severe injuries. The results demonstrate that stairs represent a significant hazard for the elderly. Most of the deaths in the pre-hospital setting appeared to be more the result of the fact that the victim was alone and unable to summon assistance, rather than as a result of unsurvivable injuries. Consideration needs to be given to both how the safety of stairs can be improved and whether a particular elderly person can safely cope with stairs.

Geriatric trauma

This article reviews the salient aspects of geriatric trauma, including common injury mechanisms, physiologic differences in elderly patients, and their prehospital and emergency department evaluation. Specific organ injuries and associated mortality are also discussed.