Does pain self-efficacy predict, moderate or mediate outcomes in people with chronic headache; an exploratory analysis of the CHESS trial

BACKGROUND

Chronic headache disorders are disabling. The CHESS trial studied the effects of a short non-pharmacological intervention of education with self-management support for people affected by migraine and/or tension type headache for at least 15 days per month for at least three months. There were no statistically significant effects on the Headache Impact Test-6 (HIT-6) at 12-months. However, we observed improvement in pain self-efficacy questionnaire (PSEQ) and short-term HIT-6. We explored the impact of the CHESS intervention on PSEQ, and subsequently, on the HIT-6 and chronic headache quality of life questionnaire (CH-QLQ) at four, eighth and 12 months.

METHODS

We included all 736 participants from the CHESS trial. We used simple linear regression models to explore the change of HIT-6 and CH-QLQ with treatment and PSEQ at baseline (predictor analysis), and the interaction between treatment and baseline PSEQ (moderator analysis). We considered the change of PSEQ from baseline to four months as a mediator in the mediation analysis.

RESULTS

Baseline PSEQ neither predicted nor moderated outcomes. The prediction effect on change of HIT-6 from baseline to 12 months was 0.01 (95% CI, -0.03 to 0.04) and the interaction (moderation) effect was -0.07 (95% CI, -0.15 to 0.002). However, the change of PSEQ from baseline to 4-month mediated the HIT-6 (baseline to 8-, and 12-month) and all components of CH-QLQ (baseline to 8-, and 12-month). The CHESS intervention improved the mediated variable, PSEQ, by 2.34 (95% CI, 0.484 to 4.187) units and this corresponds to an increase of 0.21 (95% CI, 0.03 to 0.45) units in HIT-6 at 12-months. The largest mediated effect was observed on the CH-QLQ Emotional Function, an increase of 1.12 (95% CI, 0.22 to 2.20).

CONCLUSIONS

PSEQ was not an effective predictor of outcome. However, change of short-term PSEQ mediated all outcomes, albeit minimally. Future behavioural therapy for chronic headache may need to consider how to achieve larger, and more sustained increases level of self-efficacy than that achieved within the CHESS trial.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ISRCTN79708100.

Prediction and mediation analysis for treatment responses to combined cognitive and physical training for older adults

Diminished cognitive and physical functions negatively affect the daily functions of individuals. Although combined cognitive and physical training prevents instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) disability in older adults, no predictive model or mediation analysis of IADL after combined training exists. This study aims to employ prediction and mediation analysis to identify the predictors of IADL performance and to elucidate the mediators of the association between baseline global cognition and subsequent IADL performance following combined cognitive and physical training. This study involved 177 participants aged 60 years and older who underwent combined training. Cognitive function was measured with the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA), Digit Symbol Substitution Test (DSST), Color Trails Test, Word List, and a dual task; physical function with the Timed Up and Go (TUG) test; daily function with the Lawton IADL Scale. We conducted regression analyses to identify the predictors of IADL performance, and mediation analysis to examine whether DSST and TUG mediate the relationship between MoCA and IADL. The pre-intervention DSST and TUG were significant independent predictors of post-intervention IADL. The association between the pre-intervention MoCA and post-intervention IADL was mediated by pre-intervention DSST and TUG. This study highlighted the importance of measuring and improving processing speed and functional mobility before and during interventions to enhance IADL outcomes.Trial registration: NCT03619577, 23/07/2018; NCT04689776, 29/12/2020.

Predictors of Very Poor Outcome After Mechanical Thrombectomy in Older Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

Mechanical thrombectomy (MT) is an effective treatment for patients with acute ischemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion. However, some elderly patients with recanalization have a very poor outcome, including vegetative state and mortality. This study evaluated predictors of very poor outcome at 3 months in older patients with stroke undergoing MT treatment.

METHODS

We retrospectively collected data from consecutive stroke patients ≥80 years old undergoing MT between April 2018 and January 2021. A very poor outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 5 or 6 at 3-month follow-up. Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the predictors of very poor outcome at 3 months.

RESULTS

The study enrolled 62 patients with a median age of 85.5 years (interquartile range: 82.0-89.0). Of patients, 35 (56.5%) had a very poor outcome at 3-month follow-up. Multiple logistic regression analysis identified female sex (odds ratio = 3.592, 95% confidence interval 1.047-12.319, P = 0.042) and stroke-associated pneumonia (odds ratio = 6.103, 95% CI 1.541-24.174, P = 0.010) as independent predictors of very poor outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

In elderly stroke patients undergoing MT treatment, female sex and stroke-associated pneumonia were independent predictors of very poor outcome at 3 months.

Risk of recurrence at the time of withdrawal of short- or long-term methimazole therapy in patients with Graves' hyperthyroidism: a randomized trial and a risk-scoring model

PURPOSE

In Graves' disease, administration of low-dose methimazole for more than 60 months induces higher remission rates compared with the conventional duration of 12-18 months. However, the risk of recurrence and its predictors beyond 48 months of drug withdrawal are not known. The aims of this study were to determine the risk of recurrence during 84 months after withdrawal of short- or long-term methimazole therapy and a risk stratification for recurrence of hyperthyroidism.

METHODS

A total of 258 patients were treated with methimazole for a median of 18 months and randomized to discontinuation of the drug(conventional short-term group; n = 128) or continuation of the treatment up to 60-120 months(long-term group; n = 130). Patients were followed for 84 months after methimazole withdrawal. Cox proportional hazards modeling was performed to identify factors associated with relapse and develop a risk-scoring model at the time of discontinuing the treatment.

RESULTS

Hyperthyroidism recurred in 67 of 120(56%) of conventionally-treated patients versus 20 of 118(17%) of those who received long-term methimazole treatment, p < 0.001. Age, sex, goiter grade, triiodothyronine, thyrotropin, and thyrotropin receptor antibodies were significant predictors of recurrence in both "conventional" and "long-term" groups but free thyroxine just in the "long-term" group. The risk-scoring model had a good discrimination power (optimism corrected c-index = 0.78,95%CI = 0.73-0.82) with a range of 0-14 and sensitivity of 86% and specificity of 62% at the risk-score of eight.

CONCLUSION

A relapse-free state was achieved in 83% of patients with Graves' hyperthyroidism 84 months after cessation of long-term methimazole treatment which could be predicted by some significant predictors in a simple risk-scoring system.

Incidence and Risk Factors of Pneumonia in Individuals With Acute Spinal Cord Injury: A Multi-national, Multi-center, Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To describe the occurrence of pneumonia in individuals with acute spinal cord injury (SCI) and identify its key predictors.

DESIGN

Multi-centric, longitudinal cohort study.

SETTING

10 specialized SCI rehabilitation units in Europe and Australia.

PARTICIPANTS

Eligible were 902 men and women with acute SCI, aged 18 years or older, with cervical or thoracic lesions and not dependent on 24-hour mechanical ventilation; 503 participated in the study (N=503).

INTERVENTIONS

Not applicable.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

We assessed demographics and lesion related parameters at study entry, and any pneumonia events throughout inpatient rehabilitation. Respiratory function, decubitus, and urinary tract infections were assessed at 1, 3, and 6 months post injury as well as at discharge from inpatient rehabilitation. Time to event (pneumonia) analyses were done using the Kaplan-Meier method, and potential predictors for pneumonia were analyzed with multivariable survival models.

RESULTS

Five hundred three patients with SCI were included, with 70 experiencing at least 1 pneumonia event. 11 participants experienced 2 or more events during inpatient rehabilitation. Most events occurred very early after injury, with a median of 6 days. Pneumonia risk was associated with tetraplegia (hazard ratio [HR]=1.78; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00-3.17) and traumatic etiology (HR=3.75; 95% CI 1.30-10.8) American Spinal Injury Impairment Scale (AIS) A (HR=5.30; 95% CI 2.28-12.31), B (HR=4.38; 95% CI 1.77-10.83), or C (HR=4.09; 95% CI 1.71-9.81) lesions. For every 10 cmH2O increase in inspiratory muscle strength, pneumonia risk was reduced by 13% (HR=0.87; 95% CI 0.78-0.97).

CONCLUSION

Pneumonia is a major complication after SCI with the highest incidence very early after injury. Individuals with traumatic or AIS A, B, or C tetraplegia are at highest risk for pneumonia.

Predictors of acute cerebellar bulge prior to posterior fossa lesion resection

OBJECTIVE

A cerebellar bulge prior to posterior fossa resection is an emergency condition during surgery. Intraoperative cerebellar bulging not only increases the difficulty of lesion resection but also brings additional postoperative complications. Currently, there are few systematic reports on this topic. The predictors of cerebellar bulge and how to effectively prevent intraoperative cerebellar bulge are discussed in this article.

METHODS

The clinical and imaging data of 527 patients with posterior fossa lesions who underwent resection at our hospital were retrospectively collected and analyzed. Perioperative clinical and imaging data were assessed. Variables were analyzed using univariate and multivariate regression analyses.

RESULTS

Overall, 10.4% (55/527) of patients had intraoperative acute bulges. Multivariate analysis revealed that age <60 years, BMI ≥24, lesion size ≥30 (mm), cerebellar tonsillar herniation and/or hydrocephalus, and perilesional edema (moderate-severe) were predictors of cerebellar bulging. Relief of the cerebellar bulge can be accomplished by excising the lesion, releasing cerebrospinal fluid, and removing the cerebellum (the outer 1/3). Obvious cerebellar-related complications occurred in 4 patients postoperatively, and the symptoms disappeared after 6 months of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Cerebellar bulging during intraoperative posterior fossa resection deserves attention. Through the analysis of multiple factors related to cerebellar bulge, comprehensive evaluation and early intervention during the perioperative period are necessary. The incidence of cerebellar bulges can be reduced, and surgical complications related to cerebellar bulges can be avoided.

Predictors of mortality and poor outcome for patients with severe infectious encephalitis in the intensive care unit: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

There are few thorough studies assessing predictors of severe encephalitis, despite the poor prognosis and high mortality associated with severe encephalitis. The study aims to evaluate the clinical predictors of mortality and poor outcomes at hospital discharge in patients with severe infectious encephalitis in intensive care units.

METHOD

In two Chinese hospitals, a retrospective cohort study comprising 209 patients in intensive care units suffering from severe infectious encephalitis was carried out. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify the factors predicting mortality in all patients and poor outcomes in all survivors with severe infectious encephalitis.

RESULTS

In our cohort of 209 patients with severe encephalitis, 22 patients died, yielding a mortality rate of 10.5%. Cerebrospinal fluid pressure ≥ 400mmH2O (OR = 7.43), abnormal imaging (OR = 3.51), abnormal electroencephalogram (OR = 7.14), and number of rescues (OR = 1.12) were significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality in severe infectious encephalitis patients. Among the 187 survivors, 122 (65.2%) had favorable outcomes, defined as the modified Rankine Scale (mRS) score (0 ~ 3), and 65(34.8%) had poor outcomes (mRS scores 4 ~ 5). Age (OR = 1.02), number of rescues (OR = 1.43), and tubercular infection (OR = 10.77) were independent factors associated with poor outcomes at discharge in all survivors with severe infectious encephalitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple clinical, radiologic, and electrophysiological variables are independent predictive indicators for mortality and poor outcomes in patients with severe encephalitis in intensive care units. Identifying these outcome predictors early in patients with severe encephalitis may enable the implementation of appropriate medical treatment and help reduce mortality rates.

The rate of QMGS change predicts recurrence after thymectomy in myasthenia gravis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between short-term changes in quantitative myasthenia gravis score (QMGS) after thymectomy and postoperative recurrence in myasthenia gravis (MG) patients without thymoma.

METHODS

A retrospective observational cohort study. The QMGS of 44 patients with non-thymomatous MG were evaluated before and 1 month after thymectomy, and the frequency and time of postoperative recurrence were recorded. The reduction rate of QMGS (rr-QMGS) was defined as (QMGS one week before thymectomy - QMGS one month after thymectomy)/ QMGS one week before thymectomy × 100 %, as an indicator of short-term symptom change after thymectomy. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was established to determine an appropriate cut-off value of rr-QMGS for distinguishing postoperative recurrence. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was applied to predict postoperative recurrence.

RESULTS

Postoperative recurrence occurred in 21 patients (30 times in total) during follow-up. The mean annual recurrence rate was 3.98 times/year preoperatively and 0.30 times/year postoperatively. ROC analysis determined the cut-off value of rr-QMGS was 36.7 % (sensitivity 90.5 %, specificity 52.2 %). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that rr-QMGS＜36.7 % (hazard rate[HR]6.251, P = 0.014) is positive predictor of postoperative recurrence. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that postoperative recurrence time was earlier in the low rr-QMGS group than in the high rr-QMGS group (12.62 vs. 36.60 months, p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Low rr-QMGS is associated with early postoperative recurrence. Rr-QMGS can be used to predict postoperative recurrence of non-thymomatous MG.

Venous thromboembolism in patients with acute myeloid leukemia: development of a predictive model

BACKGROUND

Patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) are at increased risk of venous thromboembolic events (VTE). However, thromboprophylaxis is largely underused.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to determine possible VTE development risk factors and to develop a novel predictive model.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients with newly diagnosed AML. We used univariate and multivariable logistic regression to estimate binary outcomes and identify potential predictors. Based on our final model, a dynamic nomogram was constructed with the goal of facilitating VTE probability calculation.

RESULTS

Out of 626 eligible patients with AML, 72 (11.5%) developed VTE during 6 months of follow-up. Six parameters were independent predictors: male sex (odds ratio [OR] 1.82, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.077-2.065), prior history of thrombotic events (OR 2.27, 95% CI: 1.4-4.96), international normalized ratio (OR 0.21, 95% CI: 0.05-0.95), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (OR 0.71, 95% CI: 0.53-0.94), and intensive therapy (OR 2.05, 95% CI: 1.07-3.91). The C statistics for the model was 0.68. The model was adequately calibrated and internally validated. The decision-curve analysis suggested the use of thromboprophylaxis in patients with VTE risks between 8 and 20%.

CONCLUSION

We developed a novel and convenient tool that may assist clinicians in identifying patients whose VTE risk is high enough to warrant thromboprophylaxis.

Effects of right ventricular remodeling in chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension on the outcomes of balloon pulmonary angioplasty: a 2D-speckle tracking echocardiography study

BACKGROUND

Balloon pulmonary angioplasty (BPA) improves the prognosis of chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH). Right ventricle (RV) is an important predictor of prognosis in CTEPH patients. 2D-speckle tracking echocardiography (2D-STE) can evaluate RV function. This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of BPA in CTEPH patients and to assess the value of 2D-STE in predicting outcomes of BPA.

METHODS

A total of 76 patients with CTEPH underwent 354 BPA sessions from January 2017 to October 2022. Responders were defined as those with mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) ≤ 30 mmHg or those showing ≥ 30% decrease in pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) after the last BPA session, compared to baseline. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of BPA efficacy.

RESULTS

BPA resulted in a significant decrease in mPAP (from 50.8 ± 10.4 mmHg to 35.5 ± 11.9 mmHg, p < 0.001), PVR (from 888.7 ± 363.5 dyn·s·cm-5 to 545.5 ± 383.8 dyn·s·cm-5, p < 0.001), and eccentricity index (from 1.3 to 1.1, p < 0.001), and a significant increase in RV free wall longitudinal strain (RVFWLS: from 15.7% to 21.0%, p < 0.001). Significant improvement was also observed in the 6-min walking distance (from 385.5 m to 454.5 m, p < 0.001). After adjusting for confounders, multivariate analysis showed that RVFWLS was the only independent predictor of BPA efficacy. The optimal RVFWLS cutoff value for predicting BPA responders was 12%.

CONCLUSIONS

BPA was found to reduce pulmonary artery pressure, reverse RV remodeling, and improve exercise capacity. RVFWLS obtained by 2D-STE was an independent predictor of BPA outcomes. Our study may provide a meaningful reference for interventional therapy of CTEPH.

Beyond prediction: unveiling the prognostic power of μ-opioid and cannabinoid receptors, alongside immune mediators, in assessing the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection

BACKGROUND

This study aims to explore the potential of utilizing the expression levels of cannabinoid receptor 2 (CB2), μ-opioid receptor (MOR), MCP-1, IL-17, IFN-γ, and osteopontin as predictors for the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection. The overarching goal is to delineate the pathogenic mechanisms associated with SARS-CoV-2.

METHODS

Using quantitative Real-time PCR, we analyzed the gene expression levels of CB2 and MOR in nasopharynx specimens obtained from patients diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection, with 46 individuals classified as having severe symptoms and 46 as non-severe. Additionally, we measured the circulating levels of MCP-1, IL-17, IFN-γ, and osteopontin using an ELISA assay. We examined the predictive capabilities of these variables and explored their correlations across all patient groups.

RESULTS

Our results demonstrated a significant increase in MOR gene expression in the epithelium of patients with severe infection. The expression of CB2 receptor was also elevated in both male and female patients with severe symptoms. Furthermore, we observed concurrent rises in MCP-1, IL-17, IFN-γ, and osteopontin levels in patients, which were linked to disease severity. CB2, MOR, MCP-1, IL-17, IFN-γ, and osteopontin showed strong predictive abilities in distinguishing between patients with varying degrees of SARS-CoV-2 severity. Moreover, we identified a significant correlation between CB2 expression and the levels of MOR, MCP-1, osteopontin, and IFN-γ.

CONCLUSIONS

These results underline the interconnected nature of molecular mediators in a sequential manner, suggesting that their overexpression may play a role in the development of SARS-CoV-2 infections.

Sense of coherence as a predictor for patients' quality of recovery after total hip or knee arthroplasty - A descriptive cohort study

BACKGROUND

Patients' postoperative quality of recovery (QOR) is an important outcome measurement and predicting and preventing impaired quality of recovery is essential. In this study, we aimed to investigate if patients Sense of Coherence (SOC) could be a potential predictor and screening instrument for impaired quality of recovery. We hypothesized that patients' SOC is positively related to their QOR.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The study was performed as a descriptive single-center prospective cohort study. Data was collected using digital questionnaires. Patients undergoing total hip (THA) or knee arthroplasty (TKA) received the SOC13 questionnaire prior to their surgery to establish their SOC and a questionnaire on postoperative day 2 and 7, respectively, establishing their QOR. Multiple linear regression was used to fit a model for the QOR score using SOC, age, sex, and type of surgery as potential explanatory variables.

RESULTS

206 patients were included in the study analysis. The results showed a highly significant positive correlation between patients' SOC and their postoperative QOR on both postoperative day 2 and 7 (p < 0.01). Patients with a lower SOC score also presented a significantly lower QOR score, meaning they experienced impaired QOR compared to patients with a higher SOC score.

CONCLUSIONS

The results indicate that a weak SOC (low SOC score) can be considered a clinically important indicator for risk of impaired QOR (low QOR score) after THA and TKA. The SOC13 questionnaire may be a potential screening instrument identifying patients in risk of impaired postoperative QOR based on a low SOC score.

Body surface area is a predictor of 90-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury

OBJECTIVE

To clarify the prognosis effect between body surface area (BSA) and patients with acute kidney injury (AKI), we attempted to analyze the association between BSA and 90-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AKI.

METHODS

Clinical data of 9195 critically ill patients with AKI were retrieved from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III database were then retrospectively analyzed. BSA were calculated using the Mosteller formula. We analyzed the correlation between BSA and 90-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AKI based on Kaplan-Meier curve analysis and adjusted Cox regression model.

RESULTS

Of the 9195 critically ill patients with AKI, there were 3778 (41.1%) female patients and 2001 90-day all-cause deaths (female: 22.2%, male: 21.5%). Kaplan-Meier curve analysis revealed that a lower body surface area indicated a higher 90-day all-cause mortality in both male and female patients with AKI (log-rank P < 0.001). Cox regression model showed that a higher BSA was independently correlated with a lower 90-day all-cause mortality (female: hazard ratio=0.657, 95% confidence interval: 0.550-0.784, P < 0.001; male: hazard ratio=0.655, 95% confidence interval: 0.565-0.760, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

BSA was negatively correlated with 90-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AKI. BSA can therefore be used as a prognostic indicator for poor outcomes in critically ill patients with AKI.

Fasting Plasma Glucose Levels and Longitudinal Motor and Cognitive Outcomes in Parkinson's Disease Patients

OBJECTIVE

Hyperglycemia and diabetes mellitus have been identified as poor prognostic factors for motor and nonmotor outcomes in patients with Parkinson's disease (PD), although there is some controversy with this finding. In the present study, we investigated the effects of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) levels on longitudinal motor and cognitive outcomes in PD patients.

METHODS

We included a total of 201 patients who were diagnosed with PD between January 2015 and January 2020. The patients were categorized based on FPG level into euglycemia (70 mg/dL < FPG < 100 mg/dL), intermediate glycemia (100 mg/dL ≤ FPG < 126 mg/dL), and hyperglycemia (FPG ≥ 126 mg/dL), and longitudinal FPG trajectories were analyzed using group-based trajectory modeling. Survival analysis was conducted to determine the time until motor outcome (Hoehn and Yahr stage ≥ 2) and the conversion from normal cognition to mild cognitive impairment.

RESULTS

Among the patient cohort, 82 had euglycemia, 93 had intermediate glycemia, and 26 had hyperglycemia. Intermediate glycemia (hazard ratio 1.747, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.083-2.816, p = 0.0221) and hyperglycemia (hazard ratio 3.864, 95% CI 1.996-7.481, p < 0.0001) were found to be significant predictors of worsening motor symptoms. However, neither intermediate glycemia (hazard ratio 1.183, 95% CI 0.697-2.009, p = 0.5339) nor hyperglycemia (hazard ratio 1.297, 95% CI 0.601-2.800, p = 0.5078) demonstrated associations with the longitudinal progression of cognitive impairment. Diabetes mellitus, defined by self-reported medical history, was not related to poor motor or cognitive impairment outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Our.

RESULTS

suggest that both impaired glucose tolerance and hyperglycemia could be associated with motor progression in PD patients.

Growth differentiation factor-15 as a negative predictor for microvascular obstruction in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction after primary percutaneous coronary intervention

Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is an anti-inflammatory cytokine with cardioprotective effects, but circulating GDF-15 concentration predicts adverse cardiovascular outcomes in clinical settings. Microvascular obstruction (MVO) formation contributed to poor prognosis in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI). We aimed to investigate GDF-15 concentration in relation to cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR)-derived MVO in STEMI patients after pPCI, which might help better understand the role of GDF-15 in STEMI. GDF-15 levels at 6 h after pPCI and MVO extent at day 5 ± 2 after pPCI were measured in 74 STEMI patients (mean age 60.3 ± 12.8 years, 86.5% men). The adjusted association of GDF-15 with MVO was analyzed with MVO treated as a categorized variable (extensive MVO, defined as MVO extent ≥ 2.6% of left ventricular (LV)) and a continuous variable (MVO mass, % of LV), respectively, in multivariate logistic and linear regression models. 41.9% of the patients developed extensive MVO after pPCI. In multivariate analysis, the odds ratio (95% confidential interval (CI)) of each standard deviation (SD) increase in GDF-15 for developing extensive MVO was 0.46 (0.21, 0.82), p = 0.02). Consistently, when MVO was used a continuous variable, each SD increase in GDF-15 was associated with a substantially lower MVO mass (β - 0.42, standard error 0.19, p = 0.03). GDF-15 was a negative predictor for MVO in STEMI patients after pPCI. The observation was consistent with results from experiment studies, suggesting a potential protective effect of GDF-15 against cardiac injury.

Pediatric perforated appendicitis diagnosis based on the C-reactive protein/prealbumin ratio

Pediatric perforated appendicitis, prone to multiple complications, necessitates identifying potential serum biomarkers for early diagnosis and intervention. A cross-sectional study was conducted on patients under 16 with acute appendicitis, admitted to Hainan Women and Children's Medical Center from January 2019 to July 2023. The patients were categorized into perforated and non-perforated groups. Among the 313 included patients, 106 (33.87%, 95% CI 28.59-39.14%) developed perforation. The C-reactive protein to prealbumin ratio (CPA) showed a significant difference between the perforated and non-perforated groups [6.63 (2.9-13.02) vs. 0.7 (0.11-2.18), p < 0.001]. The AUC of CPA on the ROC curve was 0.691 (95% CI 0.513-0.869, p = 0.084) in patients under 4. In patients aged 4-9, the sensitivity of CPA > 3 predicting perforation was 76.2%, with a specificity of 81.6%, and an AUC of 0.816 (95% CI 0.747-0.886, p < 0.001). For patients aged 9-16, the sensitivity of CPA > 2.2 predicting perforation was 85%, with a specificity of 85.7%, and an AUC of 0.919 (95% CI 0.859-0.979, p < 0.001). CPA > 3 and CPA > 2.2 can predict perforated appendicitis in patients aged 4-9 and 9-16, respectively.

Time to recovery and its predictors following traumatic injuries among injured victims in Dessie Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, North East of Ethiopia, 2022: a retrospective follow-up study

BACKGROUND

Injuries are an extremely important public health problem worldwide. Despite being largely preventable and despite government efforts, injuries continue to be a major public health issue. Thus, the study tends to evaluate the time to recovery and its predictors for traumatic injuries.

METHODS

A hospital-based retrospective follow-up study was used. A total of 329 medical charts were actually reviewed. Traumatic injury victims from January 1, 2018-December 31, 2022 were included, and a simple random sampling technique was utilized. The data was gathered by reviewing medical charts. Data was coded and entered into Epi-Data Manager version 4.6.0.4 statistical software and further analyzed using STATA version 17. Descriptive statistics were performed to see the frequency distribution of variables. A Kaplan-Meier survival estimate and log rank test were performed to plot the overall survival curve and compare the difference in recovery among predictor categories, respectively. A model fitness test was done by using the Cox-Snell residual test and Harrell's C concordance statistic. Finally, a Cox proportional hazard model was fitted to determine the effect of predictors on recovery time from traumatic injuries.

RESULTS

The median time to recovery of traumatic injuries was 5 days (IQR: 3-10 days), with an overall incidence density of 8.77 per 100 person-days of observation. In the multivariable cox proportional regression model, variables such as being male (AHR: 0.384, 95%CI: 0.190-0.776, P-value: 0.008), the Glasgow coma scale of 13-15 (AHR: 2.563, 95%CI: 1.070-6.139, P-value: 0.035), intentional injury (AHR: 1.934, 95%CI: 1.03-3.632, P-value: 0.040), mild traumatic brain injury (AHR: 2.708, 95%CI: 1.095-6.698, P-value: 0.031), and moderate traumatic brain injury (AHR: 2.253, 95%CI: (1.033-4.911, P-value: 0.041) were statistically significant variables.

CONCLUSIONS

The median recovery time for traumatically injured respondents was 5 days. Independent predictors such as the Glasgow coma scale, time taken for surgical management, intent of injury, and traumatic brain injury were statistically significant with time to recovery from trauma.

D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio as a novel indicator for predicting prognosis in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis

Background

Hepatitis B virus-related decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DC) is a critical illness with a low survival rate. Timely identification of prognostic indicators is crucial for risk stratification and personalized management of patients. The present study aimed to investigate the potential of the D-dimer-to-platelet count ratio (DPR) as a prognostic indicator for HBV-DC.

Methods

A retrospective review of medical records was conducted for 164 patients diagnosed with HBV-DC. Baseline clinical and laboratory characteristics were extracted for analysis. The endpoint was 30-day mortality. Disease severity was assessed by the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. A multivariate logistic regression model and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis (ROC) were used to evaluate the predictive value of DPR for mortality.

Results

During the 30-day follow-up period, 30 (18.3%) patients died. Non-survivors exhibited significantly higher DPR values than survivors, and a high DPR had a strong association with increased mortality. Importantly, DPR was identified as an independent risk factor for mortality in HBV-DC patients after adjustments for confounding factors (Odds ratio = 1.017; 95% Confidence interval, 1.006-1.029; p = 0.003). The cut-off value of DPR as a predictor of mortality was>57.6 (sensitivity = 57%, specificity = 86%, p < 0.001). The area under ROC curve for DPR for 30-day mortality was 0.762, comparable to the MELD score (p = 0.100). Furthermore, the combined use of DPR and MELD score further increased the area under the ROC curve to 0.897.

Conclusion

Elevated DPR was demonstrated to have a correlation with unfavorable outcomes in HBV-DC patients, suggesting its potential utility as an effective biomarker for assessment of prognosis in these patients.

Predictors of relapsing disease course following index event in myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD)

BACKGROUND

Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) is an autoimmune disease that can present as a monophasic or relapsing disease course. Here, we investigate the predictors of developing relapsing disease with a focus on the index event.

METHODS

MOGAD patients followed at Massachusetts General Hospital and Brigham and Women's Hospital were included. Data on demographic, clinical, and laboratory features were collected. Time-to-event survival analysis was performed using a Cox proportional hazards model. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

We included 124 patients with a diagnosis of MOGAD of which 62.1% (n = 77) were female. The median (IQR) onset age and follow-up time were 31 (16, 45), and 4.08 (2.2, 7.9) years respectively. In total, 40.3% (n = 50) of patients remained monophasic and, 59.7% (n = 74) developed a relapsing course. The median (IQR) time between the index event and the second attack was 3(2, 13.7) months. Starting maintenance therapy following the index event was associated with decreased risk of relapsing disease (HR:0.26; 95%CI: 0.12, 0.54; P < 0.001). Maintenance therapy with intravenous immunoglobulin (HR:0.1; 95% CI:0.01, 0.78, P = 0.02), rituximab (HR: 0.21; 95%CI: 0.08, 0.55; P = 0.001), and mycophenolate mofetil (HR: 0.27; 95%CI: 0.09, 0.77; P = 0.01) was associated with a decreased risk of relapsing disease course. A polyphasic first attack (HR:2.4; 95%CI:1.31, 4.4; P = 0.004) and high CSF protein (HR:2.06; 95%CI: 1.01, 4.16; P = 0.04) were associated with a relapsing course.

CONCLUSIONS

In MOGAD patients, starting maintenance therapy following the index event reduces the risk of relapsing disease regardless of age, sex, and onset phenotype, while polyphasic first attack, and elevated CSF protein predict relapsing disease course.

Predictors and moderators of outcome of ICBT for loneliness with guidance or automated messages - A secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial

Internet-based cognitive behavioral therapy (ICBT) is promising in alleviating loneliness in adults. Identifying individuals who benefit from ICBT for loneliness is pivotal to offering this intervention in a more targeted way and improving the intervention for those who do not benefit. This secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial (RCT) aimed to identify predictors and moderators of outcome of an ICBT with guidance or automated messages for loneliness. In the RCT, 243 participants suffering from loneliness were randomly assigned to an ICBT with guidance (n = 98), automated messages (n = 97), or a waitlist-control condition (n = 48). In total, 180 participants completed the post-assessment (i.e., 10 weeks post-randomization). Outcomes were treatment outcome assessed with the UCLA-9 Loneliness Scale at post-assessment and treatment response, i.e., reliable improvement on the UCLA-9 from pre- to post. The relationship between a wide range of patient characteristics (grouped into socio-demographic, clinical, loneliness-specific, and treatment-related variables) and outcome was analyzed using multiple linear and logistic regressions. Feeling less burdened by loneliness resulted in higher odds of reliable improvement in guided ICBT compared to the waitlist-control condition. No treatment outcome or response moderators were identified for ICBT with automated messages compared to the waitlist-control group. Across active intervention groups, loneliness at baseline, age and fit between the tasks and goals of the intervention and participants' need predicted treatment outcome. Predictors of treatment response for ICBT with guidance and automated messages were not identified, and no variables differentially predicted the effects of ICBT with guidance or automated messages on the outcomes. In conclusion, individuals less burdened by their feelings of loneliness benefited more from guided ICBT. Lower baseline loneliness scores, younger age, and a better match between tasks and goals of the intervention and participants' needs also predicted a more favorable treatment outcome for both ICBT with guidance and automated messages.

Early left ventricular systolic function is a more sensitive predictor of adverse events after heart transplant

BACKGROUND

First-phase ejection fraction (EF1) is a novel measure of early changes in left ventricular systolic function. This study was to investigate the prognostic value of EF1 in heart transplant recipients.

METHODS

Heart transplant recipients were prospectively recruited at the Union Hospital, Wuhan, China between January 2015 and December 2019. All patients underwent clinical examination, biochemistry measures [brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and creatinine] and transthoracic echocardiography. The primary endpoint was a combined event of all-cause mortality and graft rejection.

RESULTS

In 277 patients (aged 48.6 ± 12.5 years) followed for a median of 38.7 [26.8-45.0] months, there were 35 (12.6%) patients had adverse events including 20 deaths and 15 rejections. EF1 was negatively associated with BNP (β = -0.220, p < 0.001) and was significantly lower in patients with events compared to those without. EF1 had the largest area under the curve in ROC analysis compared to other measures. An optimal cut-off value of 25.8% for EF1 had a sensitivity of 96.3% and a specificity of 97.1% for prediction of events. EF1 was the most powerful predictor of events with hazard ratio per 1% change in EF1: 0.628 (95%CI: 0.555-0.710, p < 0.001) after adjustment for left ventricular ejection fraction and global longitudinal strain.

CONCLUSIONS

Early left ventricular systolic function as measured by EF1 is a powerful predictor of adverse outcomes after heart transplant. EF1 may be useful in risk stratification and management of heart transplant recipients.

Diagnostic significance of peripheral blood indices for eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis in Chinese adults

OBJECTIVE

Eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis (eCRS) is a refractory subtype of CRS. This study aimed to compare the differences in clinical features and peripheral blood indices between eCRS and non-eCRS Chinese patients and identify the predictive factors for eCRS.

METHODS

In this study, a total of 1352 patients with CRS were enrolled and divided into eCRS and non-eCRS groups based on the degree of eosinophilic infiltration in histopathology, and their demographic and clinical characteristics, as well as peripheral blood indices, were compared. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify the factors associated with eCRS, and the optimal cut-off values of predictors were determined using subject working curves.

RESULTS

As compared to those in the non-eCRS group patients, the proportion of males, age, proportion of smokers, peripheral blood eosinophil count, and erythrocyte count were significantly higher, while the peripheral blood neutrophil count, platelet count, neutrophil/lymphocyte count ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte count ratio (PLR), and neutrophil × platelet/lymphocyte count ratio (SII index) were significantly lower in the eCRS group patients. Logistic regression analysis showed that age, peripheral blood neutrophil count, eosinophil count, and platelet count were independent predictors of eCRS, and eosinophil count > 2.05 × 108/L could be used as a diagnostic marker for eCRS with a sensitivity and specificity of 87.1% and 78.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

There were significant differences in the clinical features of eCRS and non-eCRS patients. Peripheral blood eosinophil count could early and more accurately predict eCRS.

Factors affecting stress shielding and osteolysis after reverse shoulder arthroplasty: A multicenter study in a Japanese population

BACKGROUND

Stress shielding and osteolysis around the humeral stem after reverse shoulder arthroplasty causes loosening and periprosthetic fractures and reduces bone stock during revision surgery. In Japanese patients, who have relatively small bodies, different characteristics may exist regarding the occurrence of these changes compared with the characteristics of Westerners, who have relatively larger frames. The purpose of this multicenter study was to investigate the incidence and clarify the predictors of stress shielding and osteolysis in Japanese individuals who underwent reverse shoulder arthroplasty.

METHODS

The occurrence of stress shielding and osteolysis was investigated in 135 shoulders that had undergone reverse shoulder arthroplasty at least 2 years prior in five Japanese hospitals. During post-surgical follow-up, which was conducted every 3 months, the locations of the stress shielding occurrences, such as cortical thinning and osteopenia (which primarily occurred in zones 1, 2, and 7, where 1 is the greater tuberosity and 7 is the calcar part), spot weld, and condensation lines, were recorded. Cases without any abnormal findings on radiographs obtained up to ≥2 years after surgery were regarded as having no abnormalities. Finally, the predictors of cortical thinning and proximal humeral osteolysis were assessed using univariate and multivariate regression analyses.

RESULTS

Cortical thinning and osteopenia occurred in 68 shoulders, a condensation line occurred in 37 shoulders, and spot weld occurred in 23 shoulders. In particular, greater tuberosity and calcar osteolysis occurred in 40 and 47 shoulders, respectively. Long stem, cementless stem, and a larger proximal filling ratio were independent predictors of cortical thinning and osteopenia, whereas a cementless stem, larger metaphysis diameter, and a larger proximal filling ratio were associated with proximal humeral osteolysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The predictors of stress shielding and osteolysis included the use of long stems, cementless stems, larger proximal filling ratios, and larger metaphysis diameters.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

retrospective comparative study (Level III).

Predictors of azathioprine and mycophenolate mofetil response in patients with neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder: A cohort study

BACKGROUND

Relapse rates of 47 % have been reported in patients with neuromyelitis optica (NMOSD) using Azathioprine (AZA) and mycophenolate mofetil (MMF). Prediction of non-responders could help determine which patients are most likely to benefit from newer monoclonal antibody treatments from the outset.

OBJECTIVES

To identify predictors of AZA and MMF treatment response in NMOSD.

METHODS

Multicenter cohort study of NMOSD patients from Brazil and the United Kingdom, treated with AZA and MMF. An unsatisfactory response was defined as one severe or two non-severe attacks in a year. Cox regression was used to identify predictive factors of unsatisfactory response to AZA and MMF.

RESULTS

103 NMOSD patients, mean age 38 years, 83% female, and 65% of Black ethnic group were included. An unsatisfactory IS response was observed in 42% of patients over 2.5 years (IQR 1.0-8.8) years. A severe preceding attack was more common in non-responders (31.1% x 76.7%, p = <0.001). In multivariable analysis, severe attack (RR 3.13; 95 % CI 1.37-7.18, p = 0.007) or higher annualized relapse rate (RR 4.84; 95 % CI 2.01-11.65, p = < 0.001) predicted an unsatisfactory response. Interestingly, Black NMOSD patients had a lower risk of poor response (RR 0.39, 95 % CI 0.17-0.85, p = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

Severe attack and a higher annualized relapse rate before AZA or MMF initiation were associated with an unsatisfactory IS response. In patients with these characteristics, treatment with higher-efficacy drugs should be considered from the outset.

Ferritin as an Effective Predictor of Neurological Outcomes in Children With Acute Necrotizing Encephalopathy

BACKGROUND

Acute necrotizing encephalopathy (ANE) is a fulminant disease with poor prognosis. Cytokine storm is the important phenomenon of ANE that affects the brain and multiple organs. The study aimed to identify whether hyperferritinemia was associated with poor prognosis in patients with ANE.

METHODS

All patients with ANE had multiple symmetric lesions located in the bilateral thalami and other regions such as brainstem tegmentum, cerebral white matter, and cerebellum. Neurological outcome at discharge was evaluated by pediatric neurologists using the Pediatric Cerebral Performance Category Scale. All risk factors associated with poor prognosis were further analyzed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine patients with ANE were enrolled in the current study. Nine (31%) patients achieved a favorable neurological outcome, and 20 (69%) patients had poor neurological outcomes. results The group of poor neurological outcome had significantly higher proportion of shock on admission and brainstem involvement. Based on multivariate logistic regression analysis, ferritin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), and ANE severity score (ANE-SS) were the predictors associated with outcomes. The appropriate cutoff value for predicting neurological outcomes in patients with ANE was 1823 ng/mL for ferritin, 78 U/L for AST, and 4.5 for ANE-SS. Besides, comparison analyses showed that higher level of ferritin and ANE-SS were significantly correlated with brainstem involvement (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Ferritin may potentially be a prognostic factor in patients with ANE. Hyperferritinemia is associated with poor neurological outcomes in patients with ANE and ferritin levels more than 1823 ng/mL have about eightfold increased risk of poor neurological outcome.

Electrocardiographic predictors of atrial mechanical sensing in leadless pacemakers

BACKGROUND

Leadless pacemakers (LPs) capable of VDD pacing allow for atrioventricular synchrony through mechanical sensing of atrial contraction. However, mechanical sensing is less reliable and less predictable than electrical sensing.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate P-wave amplitude during sinus rhythm from preoperative 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs) as a predictor for atrial mechanical sensing in patients undergoing VDD LP implantation.

METHODS

Consecutive patients undergoing VDD LP implantation were included in this 2-center prospective cohort study. ECG parameters were evaluated separately and in combination for association with the signal amplitude of atrial mechanical contraction (A4).

RESULTS

Eighty patients (median age 82 years; female 55%; mean body mass index [BMI] 25.8 kg/m2) were included in the study and 61 patients in the A4 signal analysis (19 patients in VVI mode during follow-up). Absolute (aVL, aVF, V1, V2) and BMI-adjusted (I, II, aVL, aVF, aVR, V1, V2) P-wave amplitudes from baseline ECGs demonstrated a statistically significant positive correlation with A4 signal amplitude (all P <.05). A combined P-wave signal amplitude of at least 0.2 mV in V1 and aVL was predictive, with specificity of 83% (95% confidence interval 67%-100%) for A4 signal ≥1 m/s2. We found a significant correlation of A4 signal amplitude and overall atrioventricular synchrony (P = .013).

CONCLUSION

P-wave amplitudes in ECG leads aVL and V1 can predict A4 signal amplitude in patients with VDD LP and therefore the probability of successful AV synchronous pacing.

Prognostic value of high-sensitive troponin T in patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing valve replacement surgery

Background

Aortic stenosis (AS) is a well-known cause of mortality. We aimed to assess the prognostic value of high-sensitive troponin T (hs-TnT) in symptomatic patients with severe AS and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) after surgical aortic valve replacement (AVR).

Patients and methods

The study recruited patients with severe symptomatic AS fulfilling the inclusion criteria in the period between April 2020 and February 2022. Comprehensive echocardiography was done. The following parameters were assessed: AS severity, LV mass index (LVMI), left atrium volume index (LAVI), and LVEF. E/e' and LVEF were calculated using the biplane method of Simpsons. Global longitudinal strain (GLS) was assessed by speckle tracking echocardiography. Peripheral blood samples were collected for hs-TnT measurement. All patients underwent surgical AVR. The patients were followed for the following 6 months for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). MACE was defined as cardiac death, re-admission for congestive heart failure (CHF) and fatal arrhythmia.

Results

One hundred and eight patients (mean age = 58.7 ± 7.68 years) with severe AS were recruited. Seventeen patients presented with MACE including 8 cardiac deaths. We divided the patients into two groups based on the normal hs-TnT values. The Kaplan-Meier curve revealed a statistically significant difference in MACE rate among troponin groups (log-rank test = 5.06, p = 0.025). There was significant difference between both groups regarding GLS with smaller GLS in negative hs-TnT group. In multivariate analysis, GLS and hs-TnT were significantly associated with MACE (p = 0.022 and < 0.01 respectively). The cutoff value of hs-TnT of 238.25 had a sensitivity of 70% and a specificity of 81% for predicting future MACE. There was a significant correlation between GLS and troponin (p < 0.001).

Conclusions

hs-TnT is associated with bad short-term prognosis after AVR. hs-TnT and GLS could be significant predictors for future MACE in patients with severe symptomatic AS and preserved LVEF who underwent AVR. Elevated hs-TnT and impaired GLS could set an indication of early intervention in asymptomatic severe AS.

Survival benefits after radical nephrectomy and IVC thrombectomy of renal cell carcinoma patients with inferior vena cava thrombus

Objective

The role of tumor thrombus as a predictor of survival in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is controversial. This study aims to evaluate surgical and oncological outcomes after surgery in RCC with inferior vena cava (IVC) tumor thrombus patients.

Materials and methods

A total of 58 patients (2002-2019) underwent radical nephrectomy and IVC thrombectomy at our institute, were retrospectively reviewed. Kaplan-Meier analysis was utilized to compare survival benefits between cohorts and Cox-regression to evaluate potential predictors of patient survival.

Results

There were 5(8.6%), 21(36.2%), 23(39.7%) and 9 (15.5%) patients with tumor thrombus level I, II, III and IV respectively. The major complications (Clavien 3-5) were observed in 15 patients (25.8%) and 12 patients (80%) were patients with high thrombus level (III-IV). There was 9%mortality (5patients): 2 intraoperatively and 3 postoperatively. Median follow-up was 15 months (IQR:5-41). Two-year overall survival (OS) was 80% and 75% in all patients and pN0M0 cohort, respectively. There was significant difference in OS among each IVC thrombus level cohort (p < 0.02). Two-year OS of metastatic RCC patients was 67% and not significantly different when compared to non-metastatic cohort (p = 0.12). On multivariate analysis, only sarcomatoid dedifferentiation was associated with OS(p = 0.04). Disease-free survival was not significantly different among thrombus-level cohorts (p = 0.65).

Conclusions

Our study suggested that surgical treatment for RCC with IVC thrombus provided substantial OS outcomes. Although survival was significantly reduced with higher IVC thrombus level cohort, the level of thrombus itself was not an independent factor. Only sarcomatoid dedifferentiation was a predictor for reduced OS after radical nephrectomy and tumor thrombectomy. Meticulous patient selection and prompt counselling are substantial step for the operation.

Development of a clinical nomogram for prediction of response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with advanced gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in advanced gastric cancer (GC) is still a controversial issue.

AIM

To find factors associated with chemosensitivity to NAC treatment and to provide the optimal therapeutic strategies for GC patients receiving NAC.

METHODS

The clinical information was collected from 230 GC patients who received NAC treatment at the Central South University Xiangya School of Medicine Affiliated Haikou Hospital from January 2016 to December 2020. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression analysis was used to find the possible predictors. A nomogram model was employed to predict the response to NAC.

RESULTS

In total 230 patients were finally included in this study, including 154 males (67.0%) and 76 females (33.0%). The mean age was (59.37 ± 10.60) years, ranging from 24 years to 80 years. According to the tumor regression grade standard, there were 95 cases in the obvious response group (grade 0 or grade 1) and 135 cases in the poor response group (grade 2 or grade 3). The obvious response rate was 41.3%. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis showed that four risk factors significantly related to the efficacy of NAC were tumor location (P < 0.001), histological differentiation (P = 0.001), clinical T stage (P = 0.008), and carbohydrate antigen 724 (P = 0.008). The C-index for the prediction nomogram was 0.806. The calibration curve revealed that the predicted value exhibited good agreement with the actual value. Decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram had a good value in clinical application.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram combining tumor location, histological differentiation, clinical T stage, and carbohydrate antigen 724 showed satisfactory predictive power to the response of NAC and can be used by gastrointestinal surgeons to determine the optimal treatment strategies for advanced GC patients.

Epidemiological and Clinical Characteristics Associated with COVID-19 Severity Among Hospitalized Patients in the United Arab Emirates: A Retrospective Multicentre Study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the clinical and epidemiological factors associated with severe COVID-19 cases in hospitalized patients across two emirates within the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

METHODS

A retrospective observational analytical study analysed data from 738 medical records and conducted 573 in-depth interviews with patients hospitalized across multiple healthcare centers in the UAE, between 29 January 2020 and 14 October 2021. Regression analysis predicted risk factors for COVID-19 severity.

RESULTS

Main risk factors identified were crowding (aOR 1.919; 95%CI 1.144, 3.221), obesity (aOR 2.383; 95%CI 1.332, 4.263), diabetes (aOR 11.14; 95%CI 2.653-46.797), severe dehydration (aOR 3.219; 95%CI 2.161, 4.795), cough or sore throat (aOR 1.607; 95%CI 1.032, 2.502), shortness of breath (aOR 1.921; 95%CI 1.294, 2.853), increased days from symptom onset to admission (aOR 1.055; 95%CI 1.006, 1.105), elevated ANC (aOR 1.263, 95%CI 1.121, 1.424), and AST/SGOT (aOR 1.055, 95% CI 1.016, 1.095). Protective factors included smoking (aOR 0.367; 95%CI 0.182, 0.740), first dose of COVID-19 vaccination (aOR 0.595; 95%CI 0.377, 0.93), higher oxygen saturation (aOR 0.853; 95%CI: 0.801, 0.907) and elevated ALC (aOR 0.540; 95%CI 0.323, 0.905).

CONCLUSION

Identifying risk factors is crucial for high-risk individuals who may require closer monitoring to improve their outcomes. This can provide guidance for surveillance systems and early detection strategies to mitigate the impact of future outbreaks.

[Predictive factors for HBsAg-negative seroconversion in chronic hepatitis B after antiviral therapy]

Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) negative seroconversion (HBsAg < 0.05 IU/ml) is research hotspot in the field of hepatitis at this stage, and patients who achieve HBsAg negative seroconversion have significantly fewer liver-related complications. Presently, there are many studies with regard to HBsAg-negative seroconversion, but there are still relatively few indicators used in clinical practice to predict HBsAg-negative seroconversion. Low baseline HBsAg quantification and dynamic decline during treatment are currently recognized as the best indicators for predicting HBsAg-negative seroconversion. However, other factors such as viral genotype, elevated transaminases during treatment course, immune cell function and cytokine levels, and host factors can all influence HBsAg-negative seroconversion. This article reviews the relevant indicators and potential predictive factors for HBsAg-negative seroconversion.

Dysmenorrhea pattern in adolescences informing adult endometriosis

BACKGROUND

Endometriosis (EMs) is a chronic and progressive disease that, if diagnosed late, can lead to infertility and deep infiltrating endometriosis (DIE). Dysmenorrhea is the most prominent symptom of EMs. However, limited research exists on the specific correlation between dysmenorrhea patterns and EMs. Early prevention of EMs is essential to effectively manage the progression of the disease, and is best detected during adolescence. Our objective was to associate the development of EMs with dysmenorrhea patterns during adolescence and quantify the risk of adult EMs for adolescent girls, with the aim of supporting primary intervention strategy planning.

METHODS

This case-control study examined predictors for adult EMs based on dysmenorrhea patterns in adolescents. We collected 1,287 cases of 641 EMs and 646 healthy females regarding their basic demographic information, adolescent menstrual characteristics, adolescent dysmenorrheal patterns, and adolescent lifestyles. Age-matching (1-to-1) was employed to control for the confounding effect of age between the groups. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) and logistic regression models were utilized to identify predictors for adult EMs. The predictive value of the model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the C-index, while Hosmer-Lemeshow Test assessed the goodness of fit of the model. Data from one additional cohort in Shenzhen hospitalized with EMs were used to external validation were analyzed.

RESULTS

Individuals who always experienced dysmenorrhea had a risk of adult endometriosis 18.874 (OR = 18.874; 95%CI = 10.309-34.555) times higher than those occasional dysmenorrhea, The risk of developing EMs was 5.257 times higher in those who experienced dysmenorrhea more than 12 months after menarche than in those who experienced dysmenorrhea less than 6 months after menarche (OR = 5.257, 95% CI = 3.343-8.266), AUC in the external validation cohort was 0.794(95%CI: 0.741-0.847). We further found that high-intensity physical activity and sun-sensitive skin of burning were influential factors in high-frequency dysmenorrhea. The AUC value for the internal evaluation of the model was 0.812 and the AUC value for the external validation was 0.794.

CONCLUSION

Our findings revealed that the frequency of dysmenorrhea during adolescence contributed to the development of adult endometriosis. The frequency and onset of dysmenorrhea in adolescence were promising predictors for adult EMs. Both internal and external validation proved the model's good predictive ability.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

http://www.chictr.org.cn/ , TRN: ChicTR2200060429, date of registration: 2022/06/01, retrospectively registered.

Telemedicine in Arthroplasty Patients: Which Factors Are Associated With High Satisfaction?

Background

During the initial coronavirus pandemic lockdown period, remote hip and knee arthroplasty care was heavily employed out of necessity. However, data on patient satisfaction with telemedicine specific to hip and knee arthroplasty patients remains unknown.

Methods

All patients who had a telemedicine visit in the hip and knee arthroplasty department and completed a telemedicine satisfaction survey at a specialty hospital from April 1, 2020, to December 31, 2020, were identified. Patient satisfaction with telemedicine, gauged through a series of questions, were analyzed and evaluated over time. Independent factors associated with high satisfaction, defined as the "Top Box" response to the survey question "Likelihood of your recommending our video visit service to others," were identified.

Results

Overall, 29,003 patients who had an in-person or telemedicine visit in the hip and knee arthroplasty department during the study period were identified. During the initial coronavirus pandemic lockdown period, defined as April 1, 2020-May 31, 2020, rate of overall telemedicine utilization was approximately 84%. After the initial lockdown period, the rate of overall telemedicine utilization was approximately 8% of all visits per month. Average satisfaction scores for a series of 14 questions were consistently above 4.5 out of 5. Multivariable regression revealed younger age, particularly 18-64 years old, to be the only independent factor associated with high satisfaction with telemedicine. The rate of high satisfaction remained statistically similar throughout the study period (P > .05).

Conclusions

Patient satisfaction with telemedicine was consistently high in various domains and remained high throughout the study period, regardless of loosened pandemic restrictions. This technology will most likely continue to be utilized, but perhaps it should be targeted at patients younger than 65 years of age.

Impact of medical checkup parameters on major adverse cardiovascular events in the general Japanese population

Medical checkups play a role in the identification of individuals at increased cardiovascular risk. However, the impact of each medical examination parameter on the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) has not been intensively studied. Here we assessed the predictors of MACE among parameters examined during medical checkups in the general Japanese population. A total of 13,522 individuals (mean age, 52.8 ± 12.3 years) who participated in our medical checkup program from 2008 to 2015 were followed up for a median of 1,827 days with the endpoint of MACE. MACE included cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, angina, decompensated heart failure, stroke, and other cardiovascular events requiring hospitalization. Possible associations between MACE and baseline clinical test parameters were investigated. During follow-up, MACE occurred in 196 participants. Participants with hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, or metabolic syndrome were at increased risk of MACE on the univariate analysis. Multivariate Cox hazard analysis demonstrated that male sex, age, systolic blood pressure, and baseline B-type natriuretic peptide level were independently correlated with future MACE after the adjustment for confounders; the impact of B-type natriuretic peptide was most prominent among the investigated variables. These results suggest that B-type natriuretic peptide level obtained during a medical checkup examination is an independent and strong predictor of MACE. The inclusion of BNP as part of medical checkup parameters may improve the ability to identify individuals at increased cardiovascular risk and prevent cardiovascular disease among them.

The effect of high-power short-duration pulmonary vein isolation on PWPT-a predictor of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The P wave peak time (PWPT) is a predictor of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF). High-power short-duration ablation has been associated with improved durability of circumferential pulmonary vein electrical isolation (PVI). We investigated the effect of high-power short-duration PVI on PWPT in patients with PAF.

METHODS

Out of 111 patients with PAF, 91 received radiofrequency ablation (ablation group) and 20 received medication treatment (control group). A VIZIGO sheath and an STSF catheter (Biosense Webster, CA, USA) were used together for high-power short-duration circumferential PVI at ablation index values of 500 and 400 for the anterior and posterior walls, respectively. The patients were followed up for 12 months.

RESULTS

The preoperative PWPT in the ablation group was similar to that in the control group: PWPT II = 54.38 ± 6.18 ms vs. 54.35 ± 6.12 ms (p > 0.05), PWPT V1 = 54.19 ± 6.21 ms vs. 54.31 ± 6.08 ms (p > 0.05), respectively. Circumferential PVI was achieved for all patients in the ablation group during the operation. At the 12-month follow-up, there were seven cases of AF recurrence. The PWPT in the ablation group 12 months postoperatively was shorter than the preoperative value: PWPT II = 49.39 ± 7.11 ms vs. 54.38 ± 6.18 ms (p < 0.001), PWPT V1 = 47.69 ± 7.01 ms vs. 54.19 ± 6.21 ms (p < 0.001). The PWPT in the patients with AF recurrence was significantly longer than that in the non-recurrence patients: PWPT II = 50.48 ± 7.12 ms vs. 47.33 ± 6.21 ms (p < 0.001), PWPT V1 = 50.84 ± 7.05 ms vs. 47.19 ± 6.27 ms, (p < 0.001). The PWPT of the control group at the 12-month follow-up was similar to the baseline level: PWPT II = 54.32 ± 6.20 ms vs. 54.35 ± 6.12 ms (p > 0.05), PWPT V1 = 53.89 ± 6.01 ms vs. 54.31 ± 6.08 ms (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The results showed that high-power short-duration PVI had a positive effect on PWPT, which is a predictor of PAF.

Ultrasound-guided hydrodilatation for adhesive capsulitis: capsule-preserving versus capsule-rupturing technique

OBJECTIVE

To compare the clinical efficacy of capsule-rupturing versus capsule-preserving ultrasound-guided hydrodilatation in patients with shoulder adhesive capsulitis (AC). To determine potential factors affecting the outcome over a 6-month follow-up.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Within a 2-year period, 149 consecutive patients with AC were prospectively enrolled and allocated into (i) group-CR, including 39 patients receiving hydrodilatation of the glenohumeral joint (GHJ) with capsular rupture and (ii) group-CP, including 110 patients treated with GHJ hydrodilatation with capsular preservation. Demographics, affected shoulder, and AC grade were recorded. Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder and Hand (DASH) questionnaire and visual analog scale (VAS) were used for clinical assessment at baseline/1/3/6 months. Comparisons were performed with Mann-Whitney U test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Linear regression was used to identify predictors of outcome. P value < 0.05 defined significance.

RESULTS

DASH and VAS scores in both groups improved significantly compared to baseline (P < 0.001) and were significantly lower in the CP compared to CR group at all time-points following intervention (P < 0.001). Capsule rupture was a significant predictor of DASH score at all time-points (P < 0.001). DASH scores correlated to initial DASH score at all time-points (P < 0.001). DASH/VAS scores at 1 month were correlated to the AC grade (P = 0.025/0.02).

CONCLUSION

GHJ hydrodilatation results in pain elimination and functional improvement till the mid-term in patients with AC, with improved outcome when adopting the capsule-preserving compared to the capsule-rupturing technique. Higher initial DASH score is predictive of impaired functionality in the mid-term.

Microbiological persistence in patients with Mycobacterium abscessus complex lung disease: The prevalence, predictors, and the impact on progression

OBJECTIVES

Persistent growth of Mycobacterium abscessus complex (MABC) in the respiratory system is not uncommon and may indicate continuous infection of MABC lung disease (MABC-LD), but its prevalence, risk factors, and clinical impact have not been investigated.

METHODS

The present study was conducted in two medical centers in northern Taiwan. We enrolled patients with MABC-LD and investigated the prevalence and predictors of persistent culture positivity (MABC-PP). Furthermore, we analyzed the association between MABC-PP and radiographic or clinical progression.

RESULTS

Among 189 patients with MABC-LD, 58 were in the MABC-PP group. Independent predictors for MABC-PP included an increasing radiographic score and highest acid-fast stain (AFS) of strong positivity (3-4+) at initial diagnosis (compared with negative AFS). MABC-PP and highest AFS were independently associated with MABC-LD progression by the multivariable analysis model. The adjusted hazard ratio increased to 3.56 when the two independent factors existed.

CONCLUSIONS

MABC-PP accounted for 30.7% and was predicted by initial AFS grade and radiographic score. Patients with MABC-PP, and highest AFS grade might have disease progression.

Predictor role of heart rate variability in subarachnoid hemorrhage: A systematic review

Background- Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is one of the most devastating diseases with a high rate of morbidity and mortality. The heart rate variability (HRV) is a non-invasive method of monitoring various components of the autonomic nervous system activity that can be utilized to delineate autonomic dysfunctions associated with various physiological and pathological conditions. The reliability of HRV as a predictor of clinical outcome in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is not yet well investigated in literature. Methods- A systematic review and in depth analysis of 10 articles on early HRV changes in SAH patients was performed. Results- This systematic review demonstrates a correlation between early changes in HRV indices (time and frequency domain) and the development of neuro-cardiogenic complications and poor neurologic outcome in patients with SAH. Conclusions- A correlation between absolute values or changes of the LF/HF ratio and neurologic and cardiovascular complications was found in multiple studies. Because of significant limitations of included studies, a large prospective study with proper handling of confounders is needed to generate high-quality recommendations regarding HRV as a predictor of post SAH complications and poor neurologic outcome.

Early treatment response as predictor of long-term outcome in a clinical cohort of children with ADHD

This study investigates early onset of treatment response as predictor of symptomatic and functional outcome 3 years after initiation of methylphenidate (MPH) administration in a naturalistic, clinical cohort of children and adolescents with ADHD. Children were followed across an initial 12-week MPH treatment trial and after 3 years, with ratings of symptoms and impairment. Associations between a clinically significant MPH treatment response in week 3 (defined as ≥ 20% reduction in clinician-rated symptoms) and in week 12 (defined as ≥ 40% reduction), and 3-year outcome were tested in multivariate linear regression models, adjusting for sex, age, comorbidity, IQ, maternal education, parental psychiatric disorder, and baseline symptoms and function. We did not have information on treatment adherence or the nature of treatments beyond 12 weeks. 148 children, mean age 12.4 years (range 10-16 years), 77% males, participated in the follow-up. We found a significant decrease in symptom score from baseline [M = 41.9 (SD = 13.2)] to 3-year follow-up [M = 27.5 (SD = 12.7), p < 0.001, and in impairment score from baseline (M = 41.6 (SD = 19.4)] to 3-year follow-up [M = 35.6 (SD = 20.2), p = 0.005]. Treatment responses in week 3 and week 12 were significant predictors of the long-term outcome of symptoms, but not of impairment at 3-year follow-up, when adjusting for other well-known predictors. Early treatment response predicts long-term outcome over and above other well-known predictors. Clinicians should follow-up patients carefully, during the first months of treatment, and detect non-responders, since there might be a window of opportunity to alter the outcome, by changing the treatment strategy.Clinical trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, registration number NCT04366609, April 28, 2020 retrospectively registered.

Tumor margin irregularity degree is an important preoperative predictor of adverse pathology for clinical T1/2 renal cell carcinoma and the construction of predictive model

PURPOSE

To explore the critical role of the tumor margin irregularity degree (TMID) of renal tumors in predicting adverse pathology of patients with clinical T1/2 (cT1/2) renal cell carcinoma (RCC).

METHODS

A total of 821 patients with cT1/2 RCC undergoing nephrectomy in the Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University between January 2017 and December 2020 were reviewed. The tumor margin irregularity (TMI) was classified into renal mass with locally raised protrusion and smooth margin called 'lobular', sharply and unsmooth nodular margin called 'spiculation', blurred margins between tumor and renal parenchyma or a completely irregular and non-elliptical shape. The ratio between the number of irregular cross-sections (X) and the number of total cross-sections from top to bottom occupied (Y) was defined as TMID (X/Y). The logistic regression was performed to determine the independent predictors of adverse pathology, and the Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test were used to analyze the survival outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 821 cT1/2 RCC patients, 245 (29.8%) had adverse pathology. The results of the univariate and multivariate logistic regressions showed that the age, tumor size, hemoglobin, and TMID were the independent predictors of adverse pathology. Incorporation of TMID could increase the discrimination of the predictive model with the area under curve (AUC) of ROC curves increasing from 0.725 to 0.808. Patients with adverse pathology or higher TMID both had significantly shorter recurrence-free survival (RFS).

CONCLUSION

The nomogram model incorporated with TMID for predicting adverse pathology could increase its discrimination, calibration, and clinical application values, compared with the models without TMID.

A retrospective study investigating the clinical significance of body mass index in acute pancreatitis

Background

Acute pancreatitis is an unpredictable and potentially fatal condition for which no definitive cure is currently available. Our research focused on exploring the connection between body mass index, a frequently overlooked risk factor, and both the onset and progression of acute pancreatitis.

Material/Methods

A total of 247 patients with acute pancreatitis admitted to Jiangsu Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine from January 2021 to February 2023 were retrospectively reviewed. After screening, 117 patients with complete height and body weight data were selected for detailed assessment. Additionally, 85 individuals who underwent physical examinations at our hospital during this period were compiled to create a control group. The study received ethical approval from the ethics committee of Jiangsu Province Hospital of Chinese Medicine (Ref: No.2022NL-114-02) and was conducted in accordance with the China Good Clinical Practice in Research guidelines.

Results

A significant difference in body mass index (BMI) was observed between the healthy group and acute pancreatitis (AP) patients (p < 0.05), with a more pronounced disparity noted in cases of hyperlipidemic acute pancreatitis (p < 0.01). A potential risk for AP was identified at a BMI greater than 23.56 kg/m2 (AUC = 0.6086, p < 0.05). Being in the obese stage I (95%CI, [1.11-1.84]) or having a BMI below 25.4 kg/m2 (95%CI, [1.82-6.48]) are identified as risk factors for adverse AP progression. Moreover, BMI effectively predicts the onset of acute edematous pancreatitis and acute necrotizing pancreatitis (AUC = 0.7893, p < 0.001, cut-off value = 25.88 kg/m2). A higher BMI correlates with increased recurrence rates within a short timeframe (r = 0.7532, p < 0.01).

Conclusions

Elevated BMI is a risk factor for both the occurrence and progression of AP, and underweight status may similarly contribute to poor disease outcomes. BMI is crucial for risk prediction and stratification in AP and warrants ongoing monitoring and consideration.

Computed tomography-based nomogram of Siewert type II/III adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction to predict response to docetaxel, oxaliplatin and S-1

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has become the standard care for advanced adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction (AEG), although a part of the patients cannot benefit from NAC. There are no models based on baseline computed tomography (CT) to predict response of Siewert type II or III AEG to NAC with docetaxel, oxaliplatin and S-1 (DOS).

AIM

To develop a CT-based nomogram to predict response of Siewert type II/III AEG to NAC with DOS.

METHODS

One hundred and twenty-eight consecutive patients with confirmed Siewert type II/III AEG underwent CT before and after three cycles of NAC with DOS, and were randomly and consecutively assigned to the training cohort (TC) (n = 94) and the validation cohort (VC) (n = 34). Therapeutic effect was assessed by disease-control rate and progressive disease according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (version 1.1) criteria. Possible prognostic factors associated with responses after DOS treatment including Siewert classification, gross tumor volume (GTV), and cT and cN stages were evaluated using pretherapeutic CT data in addition to sex and age. Univariate and multivariate analyses of CT and clinical features in the TC were performed to determine independent factors associated with response to DOS. A nomogram was established based on independent factors to predict the response. The predictive performance of the nomogram was evaluated by Concordance index (C-index), calibration and receiver operating characteristics curve in the TC and VC.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis showed that Siewert type (52/55 vs 29/39, P = 0.005), pretherapeutic cT stage (57/62 vs 24/32, P = 0.028), GTV (47.3 ± 27.4 vs 73.2 ± 54.3, P = 0.040) were significantly associated with response to DOS in the TC. Multivariate analysis of the TC also showed that the pretherapeutic cT stage, GTV and Siewert type were independent predictive factors related to response to DOS (odds ratio = 4.631, 1.027 and 7.639, respectively; all P < 0.05). The nomogram developed with these independent factors showed an excellent performance to predict response to DOS in the TC and VC (C-index: 0.838 and 0.824), with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.838 and 0.824, respectively. The calibration curves showed that the practical and predicted response to DOS effectively coincided.

CONCLUSION

A novel nomogram developed with pretherapeutic cT stage, GTV and Siewert type predicted the response of Siewert type II/III AEG to NAC with DOS.

The impact of an increased Fibrosis-4 index and the severity of hepatic steatosis on mortality in individuals living with diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Data on the effects of liver fibrosis and hepatic steatosis on outcomes in individuals living with diabetes are limited. Therefore, we investigated the predictive value of the fibrosis and the severity of hepatic steatosis for all-cause mortality in individuals living with diabetes.

METHODS

A total of 1903 patients with diabetes from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) dataset were enrolled. Presumed hepatic fibrosis was evaluated with Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). The mortality risk and corresponding hazard ratio (HR) were analyzed with the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 19.4 years, all-cause deaths occurred in 69.6%. FIB-4 ≥ 1.3 was an independent predictor of mortality in individuals living with diabetes (HR 1.219, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.067-1.392, p = 0.004). Overall, FIB-4 ≥ 1.3 without moderate-severe steatosis increased the mortality risk (HR 1.365; 95%CI 1.147-1.623, p < 0.001). The similar results were found in individuals living with diabetes with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) (HR 1.499; 95%CI 1.065-2.110, p = 0.020), metabolic syndrome (MetS) (HR 1.397; 95%CI 1.086-1.796, p = 0.009) or abdominal obesity (HR 1.370; 95%CI 1.077-1.742, p = 0.010).

CONCLUSIONS

Liver fibrosis, as estimated by FIB-4, may serve as a more reliable prognostic indicator for individuals living with diabetes than hepatic steatosis. Individuals living with diabetes with FIB-4 ≥ 1.3 without moderate-severe steatosis had a significantly increased all-cause mortality risk. These findings highlight the importance of identifying and monitoring those individuals, as they may benefit from further evaluation and risk stratification.

Circulating palmitoyl sphingomyelin levels predict the 10-year increased risk of cardiovascular disease death in Chinese adults: findings from the Da Qing Diabetes Study

BACKGROUND

Higher levels of palmitoyl sphingomyelin (PSM, synonymous with sphingomyelin 16:0) are associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in people with diabetes. Whether circulating PSM levels can practically predict the long-term risk of CVD and all-cause death remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate whether circulating PSM is a real predictor of CVD death in Chinese adults with or without diabetes.

METHODS

A total of 286 and 219 individuals with and without diabetes, respectively, from the original Da Qing Diabetes Study were enrolled. Blood samples collected in 2009 were used as a baseline to assess circulating PSM levels. The outcomes of CVD and all-cause death were followed up from 2009 to 2020, and 178 participants died, including 87 deaths due to CVD. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate HRs and their 95% CIs for the outcomes.

RESULTS

Fractional polynomial regression analysis showed a linear association between baseline circulating PSM concentration (log-2 transformed) and the risk of all-cause and CVD death (p < 0.001), but not non-CVD death (p > 0.05), in all participants after adjustment for confounders. When the participants were stratified by PSM-tertile, the highest tertile, regardless of diabetes, had a higher incidence of CVD death (41.5 vs. 14.7 and 22.2 vs. 2.9 per 1000 person-years in patients with and without diabetes, respectively, all log-rank p < 0.01). Individuals with diabetes in the highest tertile group had a higher risk of CVD death than those in the lowest tertile (HR = 2.73; 95%CI, 1.20-6.22).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated PSM levels are significantly associated with a higher 10-year risk of CVD death, but not non-CVD death, in Chinese adults with diabetes. These findings suggest that PSM is a potentially useful long-term predictor of CVD death in individuals with diabetes.

MSCAN: multi-scale self- and cross-attention network for RNA methylation site prediction

BACKGROUND

Epi-transcriptome regulation through post-transcriptional RNA modifications is essential for all RNA types. Precise recognition of RNA modifications is critical for understanding their functions and regulatory mechanisms. However, wet experimental methods are often costly and time-consuming, limiting their wide range of applications. Therefore, recent research has focused on developing computational methods, particularly deep learning (DL). Bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM), convolutional neural network (CNN), and the transformer have demonstrated achievements in modification site prediction. However, BiLSTM cannot achieve parallel computation, leading to a long training time, CNN cannot learn the dependencies of the long distance of the sequence, and the Transformer lacks information interaction with sequences at different scales. This insight underscores the necessity for continued research and development in natural language processing (NLP) and DL to devise an enhanced prediction framework that can effectively address the challenges presented.

RESULTS

This study presents a multi-scale self- and cross-attention network (MSCAN) to identify the RNA methylation site using an NLP and DL way. Experiment results on twelve RNA modification sites (m6A, m1A, m5C, m5U, m6Am, m7G, Ψ, I, Am, Cm, Gm, and Um) reveal that the area under the receiver operating characteristic of MSCAN obtains respectively 98.34%, 85.41%, 97.29%, 96.74%, 99.04%, 79.94%, 76.22%, 65.69%, 92.92%, 92.03%, 95.77%, 89.66%, which is better than the state-of-the-art prediction model. This indicates that the model has strong generalization capabilities. Furthermore, MSCAN reveals a strong association among different types of RNA modifications from an experimental perspective. A user-friendly web server for predicting twelve widely occurring human RNA modification sites (m6A, m1A, m5C, m5U, m6Am, m7G, Ψ, I, Am, Cm, Gm, and Um) is available at http://47.242.23.141/MSCAN/index.php .

CONCLUSIONS

A predictor framework has been developed through binary classification to predict RNA methylation sites.

Delayed complete remission of hemifacial spasms following microvascular decompression and the implications for optimal time of revision surgery

BACKGROUND

Microvascular decompression (MVD) is an effective method for directly treating hemifacial spasms (HFS). The timing for the consideration of failed MVD and reoperation has been paradoxical.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the delayed complete remission of HFS in terms of prevalence rate, duration between surgery and delayed complete remission, and predictive factors.

METHODS

A hundred patients with HFS who underwent MVD from 2012-2021 were enrolled in the study. All HFS occurred as a result of compression of the facial nerve by adjacent blood vessels. Clinical information, intraoperative findings, and surgical outcomes were incorporated for data analysis.

RESULTS

In the first week after MVD, 67 of 100 patients achieved complete remission of HFS, while the remaining 33 had incomplete remission. In long-term follow-up, 26 individuals gradually developed delayed complete remission with a median duration of 9.1 months. Finally, 86 of 100 patients achieved complete long-term remission. Recurrent HFS and incomplete remission were found in 7 and 7 patients, respectively. Factors associated with postoperative complete remission in the first week were a severe degree of facial nerve compression (p = 0.047, OR 2.75, 95% CI 1.01-7.40), with long-term complete remission was left-sided HFS (p = 0.012, OR 5.73, 95% CI 1.47-22.36), and with the appearance of delayed complete remission was the prolonged duration of HFS at least 3 years before MVD (p = 0.046, OR 3.75, 95% CI 1.03-13.76). Transient facial paresis was found in 11% of the patients. Of them, facial nerve function recovered completely in all cases.

CONCLUSIONS

A delayed complete remission of HFS could be expected in long-term follow-up after MVD and is probably related to a longer duration of HFS before surgery. Unnecessary reoperation should be avoided in the early years following the first surgery.

Heterogeneously elevated branched-chain/aromatic amino acids among new-onset type-2 diabetes mellitus patients are potentially skewed diabetes predictors

BACKGROUND

The lack of specific predictors for type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) severely impacts early intervention/prevention efforts. Elevated branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs: Isoleucine, leucine, valine) and aromatic amino acids (AAAs: Tyrosine, tryptophan, phenylalanine)) show high sensitivity and specificity in predicting diabetes in animals and predict T2DM 10-19 years before T2DM onset in clinical studies. However, improvement is needed to support its clinical utility.

AIM

To evaluate the effects of body mass index (BMI) and sex on BCAAs/AAAs in new-onset T2DM individuals with varying body weight.

METHODS

Ninety-seven new-onset T2DM patients (< 12 mo) differing in BMI [normal weight (NW), n = 33, BMI = 22.23 ± 1.60; overweight, n = 42, BMI = 25.9 ± 1.07; obesity (OB), n = 22, BMI = 31.23 ± 2.31] from the First People's Hospital of Yunnan Province, Kunming, China, were studied. One-way and 2-way ANOVAs were conducted to determine the effects of BMI and sex on BCAAs/AAAs.

RESULTS

Fasting serum AAAs, BCAAs, glutamate, and alanine were greater and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) was lower (P < 0.05, each) in OB-T2DM patients than in NW-T2DM patients, especially in male OB-T2DM patients. Arginine, histidine, leucine, methionine, and lysine were greater in male patients than in female patients. Moreover, histidine, alanine, glutamate, lysine, valine, methionine, leucine, isoleucine, tyrosine, phenylalanine, and tryptophan were significantly correlated with abdominal adiposity, body weight and BMI, whereas isoleucine, leucine and phenylalanine were negatively correlated with HDL.

CONCLUSION

Heterogeneously elevated amino acids, especially BCAAs/AAAs, across new-onset T2DM patients in differing BMI categories revealed a potentially skewed prediction of T2DM development. The higher BCAA/AAA levels in obese T2DM patients would support T2DM prediction in obese individuals, whereas the lower levels of BCAAs/AAAs in NW-T2DM individuals may underestimate T2DM risk in NW individuals. This potentially skewed T2DM prediction should be considered when BCAAs/AAAs are to be used as the T2DM predictor.