Viral replication under combination antiretroviral therapy: a comparison of four different regimens

Treatment of Respiratory Viral Coinfections

With the advent of rapid multiplex PCR, physicians have been able to test for multiple viral pathogens when a patient presents with influenza-like illness. This has led to the discovery that many respiratory infections are caused by more than one virus. Antiviral treatment of viral coinfections can be complex because treatment of one virus will affect the time course of the other virus. Since effective antivirals are only available for some respiratory viruses, careful consideration needs to be given on the effect treating one virus will have on the dynamics of the other virus, which might not have available antiviral treatment. In this study, we use mathematical models of viral coinfections to assess the effect of antiviral treatment on coinfections. We examine the effect of the mechanism of action, relative growth rates of the viruses, and the assumptions underlying the interaction of the viruses. We find that high antiviral efficacy is needed to suppress both infections. If high doses of both antivirals are not achieved, then we run the risk of lengthening the duration of coinfection or even of allowing a suppressed virus to replicate to higher viral titers.

Virologic failure is uncommon after treatment initiation during acute HIV infection

OBJECTIVE

In chronic HIV infection, initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) typically induces swift HIV RNA declines and virologic suppression within 24 weeks. The objective of this study was to investigate viral dynamics and common criteria for treatment success after ART initiation during acute HIV infection (AHI).

METHODS

Participants were prospectively enrolled and offered ART during AHI from May 2009-June 2015 in Bangkok, Thailand. Regimens included tenofovir, lamivudine or emtricitabine, and efavirenz with or without raltegravir and maraviroc. Participants were monitored for several HIV RNA end points: one-log reduction at week 2; two-log reduction at week 4; less than 1000 copies/ml at week 24; and less than 200 copies/ml at week 24. Factors associated with each end point, time to suppression, and virologic blips were explored.

RESULTS

Two hundred and sixty-four Thai participants initiated ART during AHI. Their median age was 27 years and 96% were men. At 2 weeks, 6.5% had not achieved a one-log reduction in HIV RNA. At 4 weeks, 11.0% had not achieved a two-log reduction. At 24 weeks, 1.1% had not achieved HIV RNA less than 1000 copies/ml and 1.5% had not achieved HIV RNA less than 200 copies/ml. Participants who initiated ART during Fiebig I demonstrated a shorter median time to virologic suppression than did all other stages combined, [4 (interquartile range 2-8) vs. 8 (interquartile range 4-12) weeks, P < 0.001] and 7.3% had subsequent blips (16.1% in other stages, P = 0.23).

CONCLUSION

Virologic failure is uncommon in individuals who initiate ART during AHI. ART initiation during AHI is efficacious and clinicians can monitor for virologic failure after 24 weeks of therapy.

Non-linear mixed effects modeling of antiretroviral drug response after administration of lopinavir, atazanavir and efavirenz containing regimens to treatment-naïve HIV-1 infected patients

The objective of this analysis was to compare three methods of handling HIV-RNA data below the limit of quantification (LOQ) when describing the time-course of antiretroviral drug response using a drug-disease model. Treatment naïve Scandinavian HIV-positive patients (n = 242) were randomized to one of three study arms. Two nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors were administrated in combination with 400/100 mg lopinavir/ritonavir twice daily, 300/100 mg atazanavir/ritonavir once a day or 600 mg efavirenz once a day. The viral response was monitored at screening, baseline and at 1, 2, 3, 4, 12, 24, 48, 96, 120, and 144 weeks after study initiation. Data up to 400 days was fitted using a viral dynamics non-linear mixed effects drug-disease model in NONMEM. HIV-RNA data below LOQ of 50 copies/ml plasma (39%) was omitted, replaced by LOQ/2 or included in the analysis using a likelihood-based method (M3 method). Including data below LOQ using the M3 method substantially improved the model fit. The drug response parameter expressing the fractional inhibition of viral replication was on average (95% CI) estimated to 0.787 (0.721-0.864) for lopinavir and atazanavir treatment arms and 0.868 (0.796-0.923) for the efavirenz containing regimen. At 400 days after treatment initiation 90% (76-100) of the lopinavir and atazanavir treated patients were predicted to have undetectable viral levels and 96% (89-100%) for the efavirenz containing treatment. Including viral data below the LOQ rather than omitting or replacing data provides advantages such as better model predictions and less biased parameter estimates which are of importance when quantifying antiretroviral drug response.

Non-AIDS-defining events among HIV-1-infected adults receiving combination antiretroviral therapy in resource-replete versus resource-limited urban setting

OBJECTIVE

To compare incidence and distribution of non-AIDS-defining events (NADEs) among HIV-1-infected adults receiving combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) in urban sub-Saharan African versus United States settings.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort analysis of clinical trial and observational data.

METHODS

Compared crude and standardized (to US cohort by age and sex) NADE rates from two urban adult HIV-infected cART-initiating populations: a clinical trial cohort in Gaborone, Botswana (Botswana) and an observational cohort in Nashville, Tennessee (USA).

RESULTS

Crude NADE incidence rates were similar: 10.0 [95% confidence interval 6.3-15.9] per 1000 person-years in Botswana versus 12.4 [8.4-18.4] per 1000 person-years in the United States. However, after standardizing to an older, predominantly male US population, the overall NADE incidence rates were higher in Botswana [18.7 (8.3-33.1) per 1000 person-years]. Standardized rates differed most for cardiovascular events (8.4 versus 5.0 per 1000 person-years) and non-AIDS-defining malignancies (8.0 versus 0.5 per 1000 person-years) - both higher in Botswana. Conversely, hepatic NADE rates were higher in the United States (4.0 versus 0.0 per 1000 person-years), whereas renal NADE rates [3.0 per 1000 person-years (United States) versus 2.4 per 1000 person-years (Botswana)] were comparable.

CONCLUSION

Crude NADE incidence rates were similar between cART-treated patients in a US observational cohort and a sub-Saharan African clinical trial. However, when standardized to the US cohort, overall NADE rates were higher in Botswana. NADEs appear to be a significant problem in our sub-Saharan African setting, and the monitoring, prevention, and treatment of NADEs should be a critical component of care in resource-limited settings.

Cumulative viral load and virologic decay patterns after antiretroviral therapy in HIV-infected subjects influence CD4 recovery and AIDS

BACKGROUND

The impact of viral load (VL) decay and cumulative VL on CD4 recovery and AIDS after highly-active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) is unknown.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Three virologic kinetic parameters (first year and overall exponential VL decay constants, and first year VL slope) and cumulative VL during HAART were estimated for 2,278 patients who initiated HAART in the U.S. Military HIV Natural History Study. CD4 and VL trajectories were computed using linear and nonlinear Generalized Estimating Equations models. Multivariate Poisson and linear regression models were used to determine associations of VL parameters with CD4 recovery, adjusted for factors known to correlate with immune recovery. Cumulative VL higher than the sample median was independently associated with an increased risk of AIDS (relative risk 2.38, 95% confidence interval 1.56-3.62, p<0.001). Among patients with VL suppression, first year VL decay and slope were independent predictors of early CD4 recovery (p = 0.001) and overall gain (p<0.05). Despite VL suppression, those with slow decay during the first year of HAART as well as during the entire therapy period (overall), in general, gained less CD4 cells compared to the other subjects (133 vs. 195.4 cells/µL; p = 0.001) even after adjusting for potential confounders.

CONCLUSIONS

In a cohort with free access to healthcare, independent of established predictors of AIDS and CD4 recovery during HAART, cumulative VL and virologic decay patterns were associated with AIDS and distinct aspects of CD4 reconstitution.

Non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor outcomes among combination antiretroviral therapy-treated adults in Botswana

BACKGROUND

National initiatives offering non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-based combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) have expanded in sub-Saharan Africa. The Tshepo study is the first clinical trial evaluating the long-term efficacy and tolerability of efavirenz versus nevirapine-based cART among adults in Botswana.

METHODS

A 3-year randomized study (n = 650) using a 3 x 2 x 2 factorial design comparing efficacy and tolerability among: (i) zidovudine/lamivudine versus zidovudine/didanosine versus stavudine/lamivudine; (ii) efavirenz versus nevirapine; and (iii) community-based supervision versus standard adherence strategies. This paper focuses on comparison (ii).

RESULTS

There was no significant difference by assigned NNRTI in time to virological failure with resistance (log-rank P = 0.14), nevirapine versus efavirenz [risk ratio (RR) 1.54, 95% CI 0.86-2.70]. Rates of virological failure with resistance were 9.6% nevirapine-treated (95% CI 6.8-13.5) versus 6.6% efavirenz-treated (95% CI 4.2-10.0) at 3 years. Women receiving nevirapine-based cART trended towards higher virological failure rates when compared with efavirenz-treated women, Holm-corrected (log-rank P = 0.072), nevirapine versus efavirenz (RR 2.22, 95% CI 0.94-5.00). A total of 139 patients had 176 treatment-modifying toxicities, with a shorter time to event in nevirapine-treated versus efavirenz-treated patients (RR 1.85, 1.20-2.86; log-rank P = 0.0002).

CONCLUSION

Tshepo-treated patients had excellent overall immunological and virological outcomes, and no significant differences were observed by randomized NNRTI comparison. Nevirapine-treated women trended towards higher virological failure with resistance compared with efavirenz-treated women. Nevirapine-treated adults had higher treatment modifying toxicity rates when compared with those receiving efavirenz. Nevirapine-based cART can continue to be offered to women in sub-Saharan Africa if patient education concerning toxicity is emphasized, routine safety monitoring chemistries are performed and the potential risk of efavirenz-related teratogenicity is considered.

A perspective on antiviral resistance

More than 25 years after the licensure of aciclovir and then penciclovir, followed by their respective prodrugs valaciclovir and famciclovir, cases of clinically relevant resistance to these drugs in immunocompetent individuals remain very rare. The aim of this review is to focus on the mechanism of action of these anti HSV drugs and then briefly compare this favourable outcome with that of CMV, HIV, HBV and influenza. A central theme is that resistance is an epiphenomenon of failure to suppress virus replication, so that improved potency and selectivity should be prioritised when developing new drugs rather than activity against resistant strains per se.

HIV dynamics and integrase inhibitors

The integrase inhibitor (INI) raltegravir has shown promising results in clinical trials to date, reducing second phase HIV RNA levels by 70% in comparison with standard regimens. These trial results have been limited by the 50 copies/ml detection limit of the HIV RNA assay and have not investigated the effect of an INI regimen on levels of latently infected cells. Mathematical models that duplicated previous raltegravir results were extended to estimate effects of an INI regimen on HIV RNA beyond second phase and on HIV DNA levels. Depending on assumptions underlying later phase HIV RNA generation and its interaction with latently infected cells, HIV RNA in later phases can be lower or show no difference with an INI, and similarly for HIV DNA. If latent infection is maintained by differentiation of stem cells with integrated HIV DNA, then an INI regimen will eventually have no added benefit. Other hypotheses that allow ongoing replication predict continually lower HIV RNA levels with an INI regimen, but this differential effect need not translate to a reduction in latent infection. Investigation of HIV RNA and HIV DNA levels with an INI will provide better understanding of how these components are generated and maintained under antiretroviral therapy.

Antiretroviral therapy in the treatment of HIV-associated nephropathy

BACKGROUND

The effect of antiretroviral therapy (ART) on the clinical course of patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-associated nephropathy (HIVAN) is not well-established. This study was undertaken to further elucidate the potential benefit of ART in HIV-infected patients with documented HIVAN.

METHODS

A cohort of 263 consecutive HIV-infected patients referred to the Johns Hopkins renal clinic from 1995 to 2004 was examined. Patients were included if they had biopsy-proven HIVAN and did not require dialysis within 1 month of their kidney biopsy. The cumulative probability of renal survival was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox regression method.

RESULTS

Fifty-three patients among 152 biopsied patients had HIVAN. Among 36 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 26 were treated with ART (group I) and 10 patients were not (group II). Except for age, baseline demographics and clinical characteristics were similar in the two groups. Renal survival was significantly better in the group receiving ART by both univariate (P = 0.025) and multivariate analysis (overall adjusted hazard ratio = 0.30; 95% confidence interval 0.09-0.98; P < 0.05) for ART compared with no treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with biopsy-proven HIVAN treated with ART had better renal survival compared with patients who did not receive ART. HIVAN should be considered as an indication to initiate ART.

Dynamic model of HIV/AIDS population of Agra region

The Human Immunodeficiency Virus / Acquired Immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) is spreading rapidly in all regions of the world. But in India it is only 20 years old. Within this short period it has emerged as one of the most serious public health problems in the country, which greatly affect the socio-economical growth. The HIV problem is very complex and ill defined from the modeling point of view. Keeping in the view the complexities of the HIV infection and its transmission, it is difficult to make exact estimates of HIV prevalence. It is more so in the Indian context, with its typical and varied cultural characteristics, and its traditions and values with special reference to sex related risk behaviors. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a good model which will help in making exact estimates of HIV prevalence that may be used for planning HIV / AIDS prevention and control programs. In this paper Neuro-Fuzzy approach has been used to develop dynamic model of HIV population of Agra region.

Comparative potency of three antiretroviral therapy regimes in primary HIV infection

BACKGROUND

Virally mediated destruction of HIV-specific CD4+ T-cells in primary HIV infection (PHI) may be abrogated by potent antiretroviral therapy (ART) started in acute infection. To best achieve the most rapid reduction in primary viraemia we compared three different ART regimens in PHI.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

A sequential, unblinded, non-randomized prospective cohort study. The primary endpoint was time to achieve plasma viral load (pVL) < 50 copies HIV RNA/ml. One hundred and five patients identified with PHI according to the definition: HIV antibody negative with positive HIV DNA (n = 22), HIV antibody positive with a documented negative test within the previous 6 months (n = 53), low-level incident 'detuned' assay (n = 10) or an evolving HIV-antibody test (n = 20) were recruited. Ninety of 105 individuals chose to take a short course of ART at PHI whereas 15 of 105 declined therapy. Seventy-nine of 90 were included for analysis and were allocated sequentially to either three (29 of 79) or four-drug (33 of 79) or protease inhibitor-containing ART (17 of 79).

RESULTS

A mathematical model-based analysis of viral decay indicated significantly faster viral load decline in patients receiving the four-drug regimen (P = 0.01). This conclusion was supported by a non-significant on-treatment analysis of the time taken to reach pVL <50 copies HIV RNA/ml (P = 0.07) but not by the corresponding intend-to-treat analysis. This discordance was caused by greater toxicities associated with the four-drug regimen, although the differences were not significant.

CONCLUSION

Of the three treatment regimens compared, the four-drug arm enhanced the rate of decline of primary viraemia but at the cost of toxicity.

The epidemiological impact of antiretroviral use predicted by mathematical models: a review

This review summarises theoretical studies attempting to assess the population impact of antiretroviral therapy (ART) use on mortality and HIV incidence. We describe the key parameters that determine the impact of therapy, and argue that mathematical models of disease transmission are the natural framework within which to explore the interaction between antiviral use and the dynamics of an HIV epidemic. Our review focuses on the potential effects of ART in resource-poor settings. We discuss choice of model type and structure, the potential for risk behaviour change following widespread introduction of ART, the importance of the stage of HIV infection at which treatment is initiated, and the potential for spread of drug resistance. These issues are illustrated with results from models of HIV transmission. We demonstrate that HIV transmission models predicting the impact of ART use should incorporate a realistic progression through stages of HIV infection in order to capture the effect of the timing of treatment initiation on disease spread. The realism of existing models falls short of properly reproducing patterns of diagnosis timing, incorporating heterogeneity in sexual behaviour, and describing the evolution and transmission of drug resistance. The uncertainty surrounding certain effects of ART, such as changes in sexual behaviour and transmission of ART-resistant HIV strains, demands exploration of best and worst case scenarios in modelling, but this must be complemented by surveillance and behavioural surveys to quantify such effects in settings where ART is implemented.