Clinical predictors of bloodstream infections and mortality in hospitalized Malawian children

Prevalence, distribution and antimicrobial susceptibility pattern of bacterial isolates from a tertiary Hospital in Malawi

Background

Bacterial infections are a significant cause of sickness and death in sub-Saharan Africa. This study aimed at establishing the prevalence, distribution and antimicrobial susceptibility pattern of major bacterial isolates from patients accessing medical care at a tertiary hospital in Malawi.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed bacteria culture and antimicrobial susceptibility records for 4617 patients from 2002 to 2014 at Mzuzu Central Hospital (MCH). No inclusion and exclusion criteria were followed. Data was analysed using excel (Microsoft office, USA) and GraphPad prism 7 software programs.

Results

The most prevalent isolates were S. aureus (34.7%, n = 783), Klebsiella species (17.4%, n = 393) and Proteus species (11.4%, n = 256). Most microorganisms were isolated from adults (88.3%, n = 3889) and pus was the main source (69.3%, n = 1224). S. pneumoniae was predominantly isolated from cerebrospinal fluid (60.3%, n = 44) largely collected from children (88.2%, n = 64). Overall, most bacteria exhibited high resistance to all regularly used antimicrobials excluding ciprofloxacin.

Conclusions

Our report demonstrates an increase in bacterial infection burden in sites other than blood stream and subsequent increase in prevalence of antimicrobial resistance for all major isolates. Creating an epidemiological survey unit at MCH will be essential to help inform better treatment and management options for patients with bacterial infections.

The Prevalence of Risk Factors for the Development of Bacteraemia in Children

AIM:

The objective of this study was to evaluate the frequency of risk factors for bacteremia in children less than 15 years of age was determined in Bahrami Hospital during 2013-2016.

METHODS:

This study conducted on 84 children aged 3 months’ to15 years old, who hospitalised in the pediatrics ward and the PICU in Bahrami Hospital from 2012 to 2016. Our study consisted of 46 boys (54.2%) and 38 girls. Moreover, 24.1% of subjects (20 patients) were entered in the study as young as three months old, followed by three months to three years (49.4 %; 41 subjects), and 3 to 15 years of age (26.5%; 22 individuals).

RESULTS:

The average hospitalization duration was determined to be 15.30 ± 8.75 days. Moreover, our results revealed that a history of blood transfusion in 11.2% of patients. On the other hand, 35.7% of cases were determined to be positive for blood cultures. The microorganisms reported from positive blood cultures include Enterobacter (81.48%), Escherichia coli (11.11%) and Klebsiella (3.70%). Also, 50% of patients were hospitalised in the internal ward, 12% received immunosuppressive drugs, and 96.4% of the patients had a history of vaccination.

CONCLUSION:

Pediatric severe sepsis remains a burdensome public health problem, with prevalence, morbidity, and mortality rates similar to those reported in critically ill adult populations. International clinical trials targeting children with severe sepsis are warranted.

Bloodstream infections at a tertiary level paediatric hospital in South Africa

Background

Bloodstream infection (BSI) in children causes significant morbidity and mortality. There are few studies describing the epidemiology of BSI in South African children.

Methods

A retrospective descriptive cohort study was conducted at a paediatric referral hospital in Cape Town, South Africa. The National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS) microbiology database was accessed to identify positive blood culture specimens during the period 2011–2012. Demographic and clinical details, antimicrobial management and patient outcome information were extracted from medical and laboratory records. Antibiotic susceptibility results of identified organisms were obtained from the NHLS database.

Results

Of the 693 unique bacterial and fungal BSI episodes identified during the study period, 248 (35.8%) were community-acquired (CA), 371 (53.5%) hospital-acquired (HA) and 74 (10.7%) healthcare-associated (HCA). The overall risk was 6.7 BSI episodes per 1000 admissions. Escherichia coli, Staphylococcus aureus and Streptococcus pneumoniae were the most frequent causes of CA-BSI and Klebsiella pneumoniae, Acinetobacter baumanii and S.aureus were most commonly isolated in HA-BSI. On multivariable analysis, severe underweight, severe anaemia at the time of BSI, admission in the ICU at the time of BSI, and requiring ICU admission after BSI was diagnosed were significantly associated with 14-day mortality.

Conclusion

This study adds to the limited literature describing BSI in children in Africa. Further studies are required to understand the impact that BSI has on the paediatric population in sub-Saharan Africa.

Significance of nutrition in pulmonary tuberculosis

Malnutrition and tuberculosis are both problems mostly of the developing countries. Tuberculosis can lead to malnutrition and malnutrition may predispose to tuberculosis. Poor nutrition leads to protein-energy malnutrition and micronutrients deficiencies which lead to immunodeficiency. This secondary immunodeficiency increases the host's susceptibility to infection and hence increase the risk for developing tuberculosis. Tuberculosis itself leads to reduction in appetite, nutrient malabsorption, micronutrient malabsorption, and altered metabolism leading to wasting and poor nutritional status. Nutritional status and dietary intake and hence nutritional status of patients get improved during antituberculosis treatment.

Community-acquired bacterial bloodstream infections in HIV-infected patients: a systematic review

Information on community-acquired bacterial bloodstream infections (BSIs) in individuals infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is limited. We conducted a systematic literature review. The case fraction of community-acquired bacterial BSIs in hospitalized patients is 20% and 30% in adults and children, respectively, compared to 9% in HIV-negative adults and children. Worldwide, the main pathogens of community-acquired BSI are nontyphoid salmonellae (NTS), Streptococcus pneumoniae, Escherichia coli, and Staphylococcus aureus, but regional differences are apparent, especially for S. pneumoniae. Compared to HIV-negative populations, HIV patients are particularly at risk to develop NTS bacteremia. Bacteremia incidence is related to immunosuppression, and antiretroviral therapy reduces the incidence of BSI in HIV patients (rate ratios, 0.63-0.02). Mortality rates varied between 7% and 46%. These results suggest that bacterial BSI is more likely to be found in HIV-positive than in HIV-negative patients upon hospitalization, and that causative pathogens vary by region.

Causal inference regarding infectious aetiology of chronic conditions: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

The global burden of disease has shifted from communicable diseases in children to chronic diseases in adults. This epidemiologic shift varies greatly by region, but in Europe, chronic conditions account for 86% of all deaths, 77% of the disease burden, and up to 80% of health care expenditures. A number of risk factors have been implicated in chronic diseases, such as exposure to infectious agents. A number of associations have been well established while others remain uncertain.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We assessed the body of evidence regarding the infectious aetiology of chronic diseases in the peer-reviewed literature over the last decade. Causality was assessed with three different criteria: First, the total number of associations documented in the literature between each infectious agent and chronic condition; second, the epidemiologic study design (quality of the study); third, evidence for the number of Hill's criteria and Koch's postulates that linked the pathogen with the chronic condition. We identified 3136 publications, of which 148 were included in the analysis. There were a total of 75 different infectious agents and 122 chronic conditions. The evidence was strong for five pathogens, based on study type, strength and number of associations; they accounted for 60% of the associations documented in the literature. They were human immunodeficiency virus, hepatitis C virus, Helicobacter pylori, hepatitis B virus, and Chlamydia pneumoniae and were collectively implicated in the aetiology of 37 different chronic conditions. Other pathogens examined were only associated with very few chronic conditions (≤ 3) and when applying the three different criteria of evidence the strength of the causality was weak.

CONCLUSIONS

Prevention and treatment of these five pathogens lend themselves as effective public health intervention entry points. By concentrating research efforts on these promising areas, the human, economic, and societal burden arising from chronic conditions can be reduced.

Antibiotics as part of the management of severe acute malnutrition

BACKGROUND

Severe acute malnutrition contributes to 1 million deaths among children annually. Adding routine antibiotic agents to nutritional therapy may increase recovery rates and decrease mortality among children with severe acute malnutrition treated in the community.

METHODS

In this randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, we randomly assigned Malawian children, 6 to 59 months of age, with severe acute malnutrition to receive amoxicillin, cefdinir, or placebo for 7 days in addition to ready-to-use therapeutic food for the outpatient treatment of uncomplicated severe acute malnutrition. The primary outcomes were the rate of nutritional recovery and the mortality rate.

RESULTS

A total of 2767 children with severe acute malnutrition were enrolled. In the amoxicillin, cefdinir, and placebo groups, 88.7%, 90.9%, and 85.1% of the children recovered, respectively (relative risk of treatment failure with placebo vs. amoxicillin, 1.32; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04 to 1.68; relative risk with placebo vs. cefdinir, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.27 to 2.11). The mortality rates for the three groups were 4.8%, 4.1%, and 7.4%, respectively (relative risk of death with placebo vs. amoxicillin, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.07 to 2.24; relative risk with placebo vs. cefdinir, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.22 to 2.64). Among children who recovered, the rate of weight gain was increased among those who received antibiotics. No interaction between type of severe acute malnutrition and intervention group was observed for either the rate of nutritional recovery or the mortality rate.

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of antibiotics to therapeutic regimens for uncomplicated severe acute malnutrition was associated with a significant improvement in recovery and mortality rates. (Funded by the Hickey Family Foundation and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01000298.).

Bacterial infections in Lilongwe, Malawi: aetiology and antibiotic resistance

Background

Life-threatening infections present major challenges for health systems in Malawi and the developing world because routine microbiologic culture and sensitivity testing are not performed due to lack of capacity. Use of empirical antimicrobial therapy without regular microbiologic surveillance is unable to provide adequate treatment in the face of emerging antimicrobial resistance. This study was conducted to determine antimicrobial susceptibility patterns in order to inform treatment choices and generate hospital-wide baseline data.

Methods

Culture and susceptibility testing was performed on various specimens from patients presenting with possible infectious diseases at Kamuzu Central Hospital, Lilongwe, Malawi.

Results

Between July 2006 and December 2007 3104 specimens from 2458 patients were evaluated, with 60.1% from the adult medical service. Common presentations were sepsis, meningitis, pneumonia and abscess. An etiologic agent was detected in 13% of patients. The most common organisms detected from blood cultures were Staphylococcus aureus, Escherichia coli, Salmonella species and Streptococcus pneumoniae, whereas Streptococcus pneumoniae and Cryptococcus neoformans were most frequently detected from cerebrospinal fluid. Haemophilus influenzae was rarely isolated. Resistance to commonly used antibiotics was observed in up to 80% of the isolates while antibiotics that were not commonly in use maintained susceptibility.

Conclusions

There is widespread resistance to almost all of the antibiotics that are empirically used in Malawi. Antibiotics that have not been widely introduced in Malawi show better laboratory performance. Choices for empirical therapy in Malawi should be revised accordingly. A microbiologic surveillance system should be established and prudent use of antimicrobials promoted to improve patient care.

[Influence of malnutrition on childhood mortality in a rural hospital in Rwanda]

BACKGROUND

Recent estimates of the role of malnutrition on childhood mortality have led to a call for action by decision makers in the fight against child malnutrition. Further evaluation is needed to assess the burden of malnutrition in terms of morbidity and mortality, as well as to assess the impact of various interventions. The objective of this study is to determine the effect of malnutrition on mortality in a pediatric service of a rural hospital in Rwanda.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study included children aged 6-59 months coming from the catchment area of the hospital and admitted to the pediatric ward between January 2008 and June 2009. Anthropometric, clinical and biological data were gathered at the time of admission. The effect of malnutrition at the time of admission on mortality during hospitalization was analyzed by using logistic regression.

RESULTS

At the time of admission, the prevalences of wasting, underweight and stunting among children was 14.2%, 37.5% and 57.3% respectively. Fifty-six children died during hospitalization. The period mortality rate was 6.9%. After adjustment for age, sex, malaria thick smear and breathing with chest retractions, death was associated with underweight and stunting with adjusted odds rations of 4.6 (IC95% 2.5-8.4) and 4.0 (IC95% 2.0-8.2) respectively.

CONCLUSION

The study confirmed the influence of malnutrition on child mortality in pediatrics wards. These results can be of great help for improving the awareness of the community decision-makers in the fight to prevent malnutrition.

Community-acquired bloodstream infections in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Data on the prevalence and causes of community-acquired bloodstream infections in Africa are scarce. We searched three databases for studies that prospectively studied patients admitted to hospital with at least a blood culture, and found 22 eligible studies describing 58 296 patients, of whom 2051 (13.5%) of 15 166 adults and 3527 (8.2%) of 43 130 children had bloodstream infections. 1643 (29.1%) non-malaria bloodstream infections were due to Salmonella enterica (58.4% of these non-typhoidal Salmonella), the most prevalent isolate overall and in adults, and 1031 (18.3% overall) were due to Streptococcus pneumoniae, the most common isolate in children. Other common isolates included Staphylococcus aureus (531 infections; 9.5%) and Escherichia coli (412; 7.3%). Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex accounted for 166 (30.7%) of 539 isolates in seven studies that used mycobacterial culture techniques. HIV infection was associated with any bloodstream infection, particularly with S enterica and M tuberculosis complex bacteraemia. Where recorded, patients with bloodstream infections had an in-hospital case fatality of 18.1%. Our results show that bloodstream infections are common and associated with high mortality. Improved clinical microbiology services and reassessment of empirical treatment guidelines that account for the epidemiology of bloodstream infections might contribute to better outcomes.

Predictors of bacteremia in infants with diarrhea and systemic inflammatory response syndrome attending an urban diarrheal treatment center in a developing country

OBJECTIVES

To identify clinical and laboratory predictors of bacteremia in infants with diarrhea and systemic inflammatory response syndrome and to analyze their outcome.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective, case-control study.

SETTING

The Special Care Ward of the Dhaka Hospital of the International Centre for Diarrheal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.

PATIENTS

All the infants (n = 90) admitted to the Special Care Ward between May 2005 and April 2006 who had a blood culture, full peripheral blood count, and serum C-reactive protein performed were included in the study. Infant with systemic inflammatory response syndrome with confirmed bacteremia (n = 18) constituted cases, and those with systemic inflammatory response syndrome but negative blood culture (n = 72) constituted the controls.

RESULTS

The following features were analyzed by comparing the two groups: absent or uncountable peripheral pulses, hypothermia, sclerema, altered mental status, white blood cell count, serum C-reactive protein, total protein concentrations, and outcome. The case-fatality rate was significantly higher among bacteremic infants compared with those without bacteremia (33% vs. 6%, p < .01). In the univariate model, sclerema (56% vs. 28%, p = .05), hyperglycemia (28% vs. 6%, p < .01), immature neutrophils [3.5 (00, 6.5) vs. 0.0 (0.0, 3.25); p = .02], higher C-reactive protein [2.7 (1.2, 7.4) vs. 1.8 (0.5, 4.2); p = .02], and lower serum total protein (51.1 +/- 14.1 vs. 57.6 +/- 12.2; p = .05) were identified as potential predictors of bacteremia. However, in the logistic regression analysis, after adjusting for confounders, only hypothermia (odds ratio = 6.4, 95% confidence Interval, 1.6-25.9; p = .01) and absent or uncountable peripheral pulse (odds ratio, 12.4, 95% confidence interval, 1.9-83.4; p < .01) remained significant independent predictors of bacteremia.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest that, in infants presenting with diarrhea and systemic inflammatory response syndrome, coexistence of hypothermia and absent or uncountable peripheral pulse is strongly associated with bacteremia. Bacteremia in this patient group is associated with high case-fatality rates.

Severe malaria and concomitant bacteraemia in children admitted to a rural Mozambican hospital

OBJECTIVES

To describe the prevalence, aetiology and prognostic implications of coexisting invasive bacterial disease in children admitted with severe malaria in a rural Mozambican Hospital.

METHODS

Retrospective study of data systematically collected from June 2003 to May 2007 in a rural Mozambican hospital, from all children younger than 5 years admitted with severe malaria.

RESULTS

Seven thousand and forty-three children were admitted with a diagnosis of malaria. 25.2% fulfilled the criteria for severe malaria. 5.4% of the children with severe malaria and valid blood culture results had a concomitant bacteraemia. Case fatality rates of severe malaria cases rose steeply when bacteraemia was also present (from 4.0% to 22.0%, P < 0.0001), and bacteraemia was an independent risk factor for death among severe malaria patients (adjusted OR 6.2, 95% CI 2.8-13.7, P = 0.0001). Streptococcus pneumoniae, Gram-negative bacteria, Staphilococcus aureus and non-typhoid Salmonella (NTS) were the most frequently isolated microorganisms among severe malaria cases. Their frequency and associated case fatality rates (CFR) varied according to age and to syndromic presentation. Streptococcus pneumoniae had a relatively low CFR, but was consistently associated with severe malaria syndromes, or anaemia severity groups. No clear-cut relationship between malarial anaemia and NTS bacteraemia was found.

CONCLUSIONS

The coexistence of malaria and invasive bacterial infections is a frequent and life-threatening condition in many endemic African settings. In Mozambique, S. pneumoniae is the leading pathogen in this interaction, possibly as a consequence of the high HIV prevalence in the area. Measures directed at reducing the burden of both those infections are urgently needed to reduce child mortality in Africa.

Community-acquired bacteremia among children admitted to a rural hospital in Mozambique

BACKGROUND

Although community-acquired bacteremia is an important cause of childhood mortality in Africa, recognition of disease burden and potential impact of bacterial vaccines is limited.

METHODS

Blood cultures for bacterial pathogens were conducted systematically among children <15 years of age admitted to Manhiça District Hospital, from 2001 to 2006.

RESULTS

Blood-stream infections were identified in 8% (1550/19,896) of pediatric hospital admissions. Nontyphoidal Salmonella (NTS) and Pneumococcus were the most prevalent pathogens isolated (26% and 25% of 1550 cases, respectively). Until 28 days of life, Staphylococcus aureus (39%) and group B Streptococcus (20%) predominated. Incidence of community-acquired bacteremia per 100,000 child-years was 1730/10 in children <1 year old, 782/10 in 1-4 year oldd, and 49/10 in children 5 years and older. Case-fatality of bacteremia was 12%. Community-acquired bacteremia associated mortality accounted for 21% (162/788) of hospital deaths. Resistance to antibiotics commonly used in Mozambique was high among invasive isolates of Haemophilus influenzae, Escherichia coli, and NTS.

CONCLUSIONS

Community-acquired bacteremia is an important cause of pediatric hospital admission and death in rural African hospitals. The high burden of disease, mortality, and pattern of antibiotic resistance associated with bacteremia underscore the need for prevention in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Antimicrobial resistance predicts death in Tanzanian children with bloodstream infections: a prospective cohort study

Background

Bloodstream infection is a common cause of hospitalization, morbidity and death in children. The impact of antimicrobial resistance and HIV infection on outcome is not firmly established.

Methods

We assessed the incidence of bloodstream infection and risk factors for fatal outcome in a prospective cohort study of 1828 consecutive admissions of children aged zero to seven years with signs of systemic infection. Blood was obtained for culture, malaria microscopy, HIV antibody test and, when necessary, HIV PCR. We recorded data on clinical features, underlying diseases, antimicrobial drug use and patients' outcome.

Results

The incidence of laboratory-confirmed bloodstream infection was 13.9% (255/1828) of admissions, despite two thirds of the study population having received antimicrobial therapy prior to blood culture. The most frequent isolates were klebsiella, salmonellae, Escherichia coli, enterococci and Staphylococcus aureus. Furthermore, 21.6% had malaria and 16.8% HIV infection. One third (34.9%) of the children with laboratory-confirmed bloodstream infection died. The mortality rate from Gram-negative bloodstream infection (43.5%) was more than double that of malaria (20.2%) and Gram-positive bloodstream infection (16.7%). Significant risk factors for death by logistic regression modeling were inappropriate treatment due to antimicrobial resistance, HIV infection, other underlying infectious diseases, malnutrition and bloodstream infection caused by Enterobacteriaceae, other Gram-negatives and candida.

Conclusion

Bloodstream infection was less common than malaria, but caused more deaths. The frequent use of antimicrobials prior to blood culture may have hampered the detection of organisms susceptible to commonly used antimicrobials, including pneumococci, and thus the study probably underestimates the incidence of bloodstream infection. The finding that antimicrobial resistance, HIV-infection and malnutrition predict fatal outcome calls for renewed efforts to curb the further emergence of resistance, improve HIV care and nutrition for children.

Bacteraemia in severely malnourished children in an HIV-endemic setting

BACKGROUND

HIV infection predisposes children with malnutrition to recurrent bacterial infections and a high risk of bacteraemia.

METHODS

A cross-sectional descriptive study to determine the prevalence, causative organisms, antibiotic sensitivity and factors associated with bacteraemia in malnourished children was undertaken at Mulago Hospital, Kampala. The prevalence of HIV infection was also determined. A total of 134 children aged 6-59 months with severe malnutrition were recruited.

RESULTS

Sixty-one (45.5%) had oedematous malnutrition and 73 (54.5%) had severe wasting. Fifty-nine (44.0%) were HIV-infected. The prevalence of bacteraemia was 22%. The predominant organisms isolated were gram-negative enteric bacilli (77%) with Salmonella species and E. coli contributing 67% of the isolates. Hypoglycaemia was significantly associated with bacteraemia (p=0.007). Most organisms were resistant to cotrimaxazole (93.3%), ampicillin (76.7%), gentamicin (66.7%) and chloramphenicol (60%). All isolates were sensitive to ceftriaxone. Sensitivity to ciprofloxacin was 97%. There was no strong association between HIV infection and bacteraemia. The relative risk of death in malnourished children with bacteraemia was ten times higher than in those without bacteraemia.

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly a quarter (22%) of children admitted with severe malnutrition had bacteraemia and gram-negative organisms were the predominant cause. Forty-four per cent were HIV-infected. Most of the bacteria were sensitive to ceftriaxone and ciprofloxacin and resistant to commonly used antibiotics. In the absence of culture and sensitivity, ciprofloxacin or ceftriaxone should be considered as first-line antibiotics for severely malnourished children.

Contribution of bacterial sepsis to morbidity in infants born to HIV-infected Haitian mothers

BACKGROUND

Haiti is a country with a heavy burden of HIV infection in childbearing women. Previous studies have shown that early infant deaths are common in children of HIV-infected women. This study was designed to define the rates of and risk factors for systemic bacterial and mycobacterial infection in such children and to identify the causative agents.

METHODS

A cohort of 120 children born to HIV-infected mothers between May 2001 and December 2003 were prospectively observed to 15 months of age. They received comprehensive pediatric care at the GHESKIO Centers. Children were assigned to being HIV-infected by serology, RNA detection, and/or defining clinical illnesses. Blood cultures were obtained before giving antibiotics in children who were febrile or chronically ill. Blood cultures also were obtained at selected visits on well children.

RESULTS

The mortality rate in the first 15 months was high, 22 of 106 (207/1,000 live births) in these children. Sixteen (70%) deaths were within 6 months of birth. Fourty-eight blood cultures had clinically significant organisms of which 38 were Staphylococcus aureus. Blood cultures were more likely to be positive in symptomatic and in HIV-infected children.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite perinatal HIV treatment, mortality in children born to HIV-infected mothers remained high. Bacteremia, particularly with Staphylococcus aureus, is a partial explanation for excess illness.

Bacteraemia among severely malnourished children infected and uninfected with the human immunodeficiency virus-1 in Kampala, Uganda

BACKGROUND

To establish the magnitude of bacteraemia in severely malnourished children, and describe the types of bacteria and antimicrobial sensitivity by HIV status.

METHOD

Isolates were recovered from 76 blood specimens. Antibiotic susceptibility tests were performed using commercial antibiotic disks and demographic and clinical findings were recorded.

RESULTS

Of the 450 children 63% were male; median age 17.0 months (inter quartile range, IQR 12-24) and 57% had oedema. 151 (36.7 %) of 411 tested HIV-positive; 76 (17.1%) of 445 blood specimens grew bacterial isolates; 58% were Gram negative - S. typhimurium (27.6%) and S. enteriditis (11.8%). Staph. aureus (26.3%) and Strep. pneumoniae (13.2%) were the main Gram positive organisms. There was no difference in the risk of bacteraemia by HIV status, age < 24 months, male sex, or oedema, except for oral thrush (OR 2.3 CI 1.0-5.1) and hypoalbuminaemia (OR 3.5 CI 1.0-12.1). Isolates from severely immuno-suppressed children (CD4% <15%) were more likely to grow Salmonella enteriditis (OR 5.4; CI 1.6 - 17.4). The isolates were susceptible (> or = 80%) to ciprofloxacin, ceftriaxone and gentamicin; with low susceptibility to chlorampenicol, ampicillin (< 50%) and co-trimoxazole (<25%). Suspicion of bacteraemia had 95.9% sensitivity and 99.2% specificity. Among bacteraemic children, mortality was higher (43.5% vs 20.5%) in the HIV-positive; OR 3.0 (95%CI 1.0, 8.6).

CONCLUSION

Bacteraemia affects 1 in every 6 severely malnourished children and carries high mortality especially among the HIV-positive. Given the high level of resistance to common antibiotics, there is need for clinical trials to determine the best combinations of antibiotics for management of bacteraemia in severely malnourished children.

[Simplified prognostic model of overall intrahospital mortality of children in central Africa]

OBJECTIVES

To find a simple mortality prediction model based on nutritional and infection indicators for the assessment of the care of children admitted to hospital in central Africa.

METHOD

Cohort study of 414 children admitted at Goma Hospital between 1.4.2003 and 31.3.2004. We conducted univariate analysis and logistic regression, computed adjusted odds ratios and constructed a prognostic score from the coefficients of logistic regression. The performance of logistic model and score were evaluated by the calculation of areas under the ROC curves.

RESULTS

The intrahospital mortality rate reached 15.9%. In univariate analysis, age, WAZ, arm circumference, neurological status (Blantyre coma score), stiff neck, subcostal indrawning, and infection were significantly associated with mortality. Logistic regression model analysis and adjusted odds ratios (AOR) confirmed higher risks of death for young (AOR 3.4 (1.4-8.8) and underweight children (WAZ -2->-3 and WAZ < or = -3, AOR 3.2 (1.4-7.6) and AOR 4.4 (1.7-11.2)), for children with arm circumference under 115 mm (AOR 3.4 (1.5-7.3)), impaired consciousness (AOR 9.6 (3.1-29.9)) and bloodstream infections (AOR 6.6 (2.1-21.1)). The area under the ROC curve of the prognostic model is 0.83 (0.78-0.88), that of the prognostic score, 0.80 (0.75-0.86).

CONCLUSION

This study provides a simple mortality prediction model for hospitalised children in central Africa, based on age, weight for age or arm circumference, neurological status (Blantyre coma score), and infection. This model and scoring system can be used to evaluate programs set up to reduce intrahospital mortality in this region.

Incidence of clinically significant bacteraemia in children who present to hospital in Kenya: community-based observational study

BACKGROUND

Estimates of the burden of invasive bacterial disease in sub-Saharan Africa have previously relied on selected groups of patients, such as inpatients; they are, therefore, probably underestimated, potentially hampering vaccine implementation. Our aim was to assess the incidence of bacteraemia in all children presenting to a hospital in Kenya, irrespective of clinical presentation or decision to admit.

METHODS

We did a community-based observational study for which we cultured blood from 1093 children who visited a Kenyan hospital outpatient department. We estimated bacteraemia incidence with a Demographic Surveillance System, and investigated the clinical significance of bacteraemia and the capacity of clinical signs to identify cases.

RESULTS

The yearly incidence of bacteraemia per 100,000 children aged younger than 2 years and younger than 5 years was 2440 (95% CI 1307-3573) and 1192 (692-1693), respectively. Incidence of pneumococcal bacteraemia was 597 (416-778) per 100,000 person-years of observation in children younger than age 5 years. Three-quarters of episodes had a clinical focus or required admission, or both; one in six was fatal. After exclusion of children with occult bacteraemia, the incidence of clinically significant bacteraemia per 100,000 children younger than age 2 years or 5 years fell to 1741 (790-2692) and 909 (475-1343), respectively, and the yearly incidence of clinically significant pneumococcal bacteraemia was 436 (132-739) per 100,000 children younger than 5 years old. Clinical signs identified bacteraemia poorly.

INTERPRETATION

Clinically significant bacteraemia in children in Kilifi is twice as common, and pneumococcal bacteraemia four times as common, as previously estimated. Our data support the introduction of pneumococcal vaccine in sub-Saharan Africa.