Early assessment of pancreatic infections and overall prognosis in severe acute pancreatitis by procalcitonin (PCT): a prospective international multicenter study

Risk factors for peripancreatic and pancreatic infection of acute pancreatitis and the development of a clinical prediction model

Infected necrotizing pancreatitis (INP) is a serious complication that can increase the length of hospital stay and the cost of treatment, and is the leading cause of death in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). This article aimed to predict the possibility of pancreatic and peripancreatic infections by early clinical indicators of AP and construct a clinical prediction model. We retrospectively studied consecutive patients admitted to the Nankai Hospital for moderate severe AP and severe AP, which developed within 2 weeks. Logistic regression was used to evaluate potential factors that could lead to INP and to develop clinical prediction model. Persistent organ failure, pancreatic necrosis area, and procalcitonin account were risk factors for INP. A prediction model was constructed based on the risk factors. The results showed that the model had good predictive performance. We developed a clinical prediction model with good predictive results that can be helpful for clinicians to identify and prevent the development of INP at an early stage.

Procalcitonin and C-Reactive Protein as Diagnostic Biomarkers for Bacterial Gastroenteritis: A Retrospective Analysis

Background/Aim: Bacterial and viral gastroenteritis present with overlapping symptoms, including vomiting, diarrhea, and abdominal pain. Stool tests have been used to differentiate between them; however, stool cultures are time-consuming and stool polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests are expensive. The role of the clinical value of procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) as diagnostic markers of bacterial gastroenteritis remains to be investigated. This study evaluated the diagnostic value of PCT for the early diagnosis of bacterial gastroenteritis. Methods: The medical records of patients diagnosed with gastroenteritis by the emergency department with positive stool PCR results confirming the diagnosis between 1 January 2020 and 31 July 2024 were retrospectively reviewed. Demographic characteristics and laboratory findings, including PCT and CRP levels, were analyzed. The area under the curve (AUC) for the diagnosis of bacterial gastroenteritis was assessed to determine the diagnostic potential of PCT and CRP. Results: Among the 1882 cases identified, 1435 met the inclusion criteria. CRP exhibited a sensitivity of 79.0% and specificity of 78.6% (AUC: 0.848, 95% CI: 0.815-0.881) in diagnosing bacterial gastroenteritis. In comparison, PCT showed lower sensitivity (60.3%) and specificity (62.6%) (AUC: 0.660, 95% CI: 0.614-0.706). However, in patients aged >17 years with fever (≥38 °C), PCT demonstrated an improved AUC of 0.767 (95% CI: 0.603-0.932; p = 0.019). Conclusions: CRP demonstrated moderate sensitivity in predicting bacterial gastroenteritis; however, its false-negative rate suggests limitations in clinical decision-making. While PCT may assist clinicians in identifying bacterial gastroenteritis in febrile adult patients, its diagnostic accuracy remains suboptimal, necessitating further validation through larger studies.

Diffusion weighted MRI and neutrophil lymphocyte ratio non-invasively predict infection in pancreatic necrosis: a pilot study

BACKGROUND

Infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is a major determinant of mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP). Non-invasive diagnosis of IPN could guide the intervention in AP. We aimed to investigate the role of non-invasive methods like diffusion weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI) and clinico-laboratory parameters as predictors of IPN.

METHODS

Prospective evaluation for predictors of IPN by diffusion restriction (DR) on DW-MRI and clinico-laboratory parameters was performed.

RESULTS

Out of 39 patients included, 31 were analysed after exclusion. Twenty-six (83.8%) patients had moderately severe AP, and the rest had severe disease. They were categorized into Group A: patients with documented infection after intervention (n = 17) and Group B: successfully managed without intervention or negative culture after intervention (n = 14). On univariate analysis, Group A had significantly more incidence of fever (P = 0.020), persistent unwellness (P = 0.003), elevated neutrophil count (P = 0.007), lymphocyte count (P = 0.007), neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (P = 0.028), DR on DW-MRI (P = 0.001) and low apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) (P = 0.086). Multivariate analysis revealed DR on DW-MRI (P = 0.004) and NLR (P = 0.035) as significant predictors of IPN, among other factors. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of DW-MRI were 94.1%, 78.6%, 91.66%, and 84.21%, respectively. The area under curve of NLR on the ROC plot was 0.85 and the best cutoff was >3.5, with sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of 70.6%, 78.6%, 80%, and 68.7% respectively.

CONCLUSION

DW-MRI and NLR are promising non-invasive tools for accurate prediction of IPN and hence can guide the need for intervention in acute pancreatitis.

Practical approach to acute pancreatitis: from diagnosis to the management of complications

The purpose of this review is to provide a practical guide for the clinical care of patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) from the management of the early phases of disease to the treatment of local complications. AP is one of the most frequent causes of gastroenterological admission in emergency departments. It is characterized by a dynamic and unpredictable course and in its most severe forms, is associated with organ dysfunction and/or local complications, requiring intensive care with significant morbidity and mortality. Initial therapy includes adequate fluid resuscitation, nutrition, analgesia, and when necessary critical care support. In recent years, the development of minimally invasive tailored treatments for local complications, such as endoscopic drainage, has improved patients' acceptance and outcomes. Despite this, the management of AP remains a challenge for clinicians. The present review was conducted by the authors, who formulated specific questions addressing the most critical and current aspects of the clinical course of AP with the aim of providing key messages.

C-reactive protein/lymphocyte ratio as a prognostic biomarker in acute pancreatitis: a cross-sectional study assessing disease severity

BACKGROUND

The C-reactive protein/lymphocyte ratio (CLR) is a prognostic biomarker of various diseases. However, its significance in acute pancreatitis (AP) remains unknown. The main aim of this study was to investigate the association between the CLR and disease severity in patients with AP.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included 476 AP patients [mild acute pancreatitis (MAP), n =176; moderately severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP) and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), n =300]. The primary exposure of interest was the baseline CLR. The primary outcome was the incidence of moderate to severe AP. Multivariate logistic regression and restricted cubic spline analyses were performed to evaluate the association between the CLR and the incidence of moderate to severe AP. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was conducted to assess the predictive efficacy, sensitivity, and specificity of CLR in predicting the incidence of moderate to severe AP.

RESULTS

The mean age of the patients was 44±13.2 years, and 76.5% were male. The distribution of CLR was 31.6 (interquartile range, 4.5, 101.7). Moderate to severe AP occurred in 300 cases (63.0%). After multiple adjustments, CLR was independently associated with the incidence of moderate to severe AP (odds ratio, 1.04; 95% CI: 1.03-1.05; P < 0.001). A nonlinear relationship was found between CLR and the incidence of moderate to severe AP, with a threshold of approximately 45. The effect size and CI below and above the threshold value were 1.061 (1.033-1.089) and 1.014 (0.997-1.031), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) for CLR was 87.577% (95% CI: 84.443- 90.710%) with an optimal cut-off value of 30.835, resulting in a sensitivity of 73.7% and a specificity of 88.6%.

CONCLUSIONS

There was a nonlinear relationship with a saturation effect between the CLR and the incidence of moderate to severe AP. The CLR measured within 24 h of admission may serve as a promising biomarker for predicting the emergence of moderate to severe AP, thereby providing a more scientifically grounded basis for preventing such cases. Nonetheless, further research is warranted to validate and strengthen these findings.

Infected pancreatic necrosis-Current trends in management

Acute necrotizing pancreatitis is a common gastrointestinal disease requiring hospitalization and multiple interventions resulting in higher morbidity and mortality. Development of infection in such necrotic tissue is one of the sentinel events in natural history of necrotizing pancreatitis. Infected necrosis develops in around 1/3rd of patients with necrotizing pancreatitis resulting in higher mortality. So, timely diagnosis of infected necrosis using clinical, laboratory and radiological parameters is of utmost importance. Though initial conservative management with antibiotics and organ support system is effective in some patients, a majority of patients still requires drainage of the collection by various modalities. Mode of drainage of infected pancreatic necrosis depends on various factors such as the clinical status of the patient, location and characteristics of collection and availability of the expertise and includes endoscopic, percutaneous and minimally invasive or open surgical approaches. Endoscopic drainage has proved to be a game changer in the management of infected pancreatic necrosis in the last decade with rapid evolution in procedure techniques, development of novel metal stent and dedicated necrosectomy devices for better clinical outcome. Despite widespread adoption of endoscopic transluminal drainage of pancreatic necrosis with excellent clinical outcomes, peripheral collections are still not amenable for endoscopic drainage and in such scenario, the role of percutaneous catheter drainage or minimally invasive surgical necrosectomy cannot be understated. In a nutshell, the management of patients with infected pancreatic necrosis involves a multi-disciplinary team including a gastroenterologist, an intensivist, an interventional radiologist and a surgeon for optimum clinical outcomes.

Metagenomic next-generation sequencing, instead of procalcitonin, could guide antibiotic usage in patients with febrile acute necrotizing pancreatitis: a multicenter, prospective cohort study

BACKGROUNDS

The effectiveness of procalcitonin-based algorithms in guiding antibiotic usage for febrile acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) remains controversial. Metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS) has been applied to diagnose infectious diseases. The authors aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of blood mNGS in guiding antibiotic stewardship for febrile ANP.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The prospective multicenter clinical trial was conducted at seven hospitals in China. Blood samples were collected during fever (T ≥38.5°C) from ANP patients. The effectiveness of blood mNGS, procalcitonin, and blood culture in diagnosing pancreatic infection was evaluated and compared. Additionally, the real-world utilization of antibiotics and the potential mNGS-guided antimicrobial strategy in febrile ANP were also analyzed.

RESULTS

From May 2023 to October 2023, a total of 78 patients with febrile ANP were enrolled and 30 patients (38.5%) were confirmed infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN). Compared with procalcitonin and blood culture, mNGS showed a significantly higher sensitivity rate (86.7% vs. 56.7% vs. 26.7%, P <0.001). Moreover, mNGS outperformed procalcitonin (89.5 vs. 61.4%, P <0.01) and blood culture (89.5 vs. 69.0%, P <0.01) in terms of negative predictive value. Blood mNGS exhibited the highest accuracy (85.7%) in diagnosing IPN and sterile pancreatic necrosis, significantly superior to both procalcitonin (65.7%) and blood culture (61.4%). In the multivariate analysis, positive blood mNGS (OR=60.2, P <0.001) and lower fibrinogen level (OR=2.0, P <0.05) were identified as independent predictors associated with IPN, whereas procalcitonin was not associated with IPN, but with increased mortality (Odds ratio=11.7, P =0.006). Overall, the rate of correct use of antibiotics in the cohort was only 18.6% (13/70) and would be improved to 81.4% (57/70) if adjusted according to the mNGS results.

CONCLUSION

Blood mNGS represents important progress in the early diagnosis of IPN, with particular importance in guiding antibiotic usage for patients with febrile ANP.

Advances of presepsin in sepsis-associated ARDS

This article reviews the correlation between presepsin and sepsis and the resulting acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). ARDS is a severe complication of sepsis. Despite the successful application of protective mechanical ventilation, restrictive fluid therapy, and neuromuscular blockade, which have effectively reduced the morbidity and mortality associated with ARDS, the mortality rate among patients with sepsis-associated ARDS remains notably high. The challenge lies in the prediction of ARDS onset and the timely implementation of intervention strategies. Recent studies have demonstrated significant variations in presepsin (PSEP) levels between patients with sepsis and those without, particularly in the context of ARDS. Moreover, these studies have revealed substantially elevated PSEP levels in patients with sepsis-associated ARDS compared to those with nonsepsis-associated ARDS. Consequently, PSEP emerges as a valuable biomarker for identifying patients with an increased risk of sepsis-associated ARDS and to predict in-hospital mortality.

Early prediction and prevention of infected pancreatic necrosis

Approximately 20%-30% of patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis develop infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN), a highly morbid and potentially lethal complication. Early identification of patients at high risk of IPN may facilitate appropriate preventive measures to improve clinical outcomes. In the past two decades, several markers and predictive tools have been proposed and evaluated for this purpose. Conventional biomarkers like C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, lymphocyte count, interleukin-6, and interleukin-8, and newly developed biomarkers like angiopoietin-2 all showed significant association with IPN. On the other hand, scoring systems like the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II and Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System have also been tested, and the results showed that they may provide better accuracy. For early prevention of IPN, several new therapies were tested, including early enteral nutrition, antibiotics, probiotics, immune enhancement, etc., but the results varied. Taken together, several evidence-supported predictive markers and scoring systems are readily available for predicting IPN. However, effective treatments to reduce the incidence of IPN are still lacking apart from early enteral nutrition. In this editorial, we summarize evidence concerning early prediction and prevention of IPN, providing insights into future practice and study design. A more homogeneous patient population with reliable risk-stratification tools may help find effective treatments to reduce the risk of IPN, thereby achieving individualized treatment.

Relevance of Procalcitonin Levels as a Marker of Severity and Predictor of Mortality, Initiation and Duration of Antibiotics in Patients Admitted with Acute Pancreatitis: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Introduction

Procalcitonin levels have been studied to predict the benefit of adding antibiotics in a patient with acute pancreatitis. Through this study, we are searching for any possible correlation between serum procalcitonin levels and the severity of acute pancreatitis (included acute on chronic cases) to determine whether procalcitonin levels can predict a benefit from antibiotic therapy in acute pancreatitis.

Methods

This is a retrospective cohort study involving patients with acute pancreatitis and acute on chronic pancreatitis. We included all hospitalized patients admitted to Kern Medical from January 2020 to October 2022 with a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis in a consecutive manner. The primary outcome studied was mortality related to the pancreatitis episode. Logistic regression was used to control numerous confounders.

Results

Based on univariate analysis of procalcitonin, we found starting antibiotics on the day of admission statistically significant. We also found the median differences in mortality to be mildly significant (difference = 0.79, p = 0.0640) based on procalcitonin values. In a multivariate analysis of ln(procalcitonin), we found lipase (p = 0.0249), duration of antibiotics (p = 0.0009), multi-organ failure (p = 0.0045) to be statistically significant, and lactate being mildly significant in the multivariate model (p = 0.0643).

Conclusion

The procalcitonin level can predict the initiation of antibiotics, duration of antibiotics, multi-organ failure, and mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Effect of early antibiotic treatment strategy on prognosis of acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Antibiotic use in the early stages of acute pancreatitis is controversial. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of early antibiotic application on the prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Clinical data of patients with primary AP admitted to our emergency ward within 72 hours of onset were retrospectively collected from January 2016 to December 2020. We classified patients with acute pancreatitis according to etiology and disease severity, and compared the differences in hospital stay, laparotomy rate, and in-hospital mortality among AP patients who received different antibiotic treatment strategies within 72 hours of onset.

RESULTS

A total of 1134 cases were included, with 681 (60.1%) receiving early antibiotic treatment and 453 (39.9%) not receiving it. There were no significant differences in baseline values and outcomes between the two groups. In subgroup analysis, patients with biliary severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) who received early antibiotics had lower rates of laparotomy and invasive mechanical ventilation, as well as shorter hospital stays compared to those who did not receive antibiotics. In logistic regression analysis, the early administration of carbapenem antibiotics in biliary SAP patients was associated with a lower in-hospital mortality rate. Early antibiotic use in biliary moderate-severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP) reduced hospital stays and in-hospital mortality. Quinolone combined with metronidazole treatment in biliary mild acute pancreatitis (MAP) shortened hospital stays. Early antibiotic use does not benefit patients with non-biliary AP.

CONCLUSION

Strategies for antibiotic use in the early stages of AP need to be stratified according to cause and disease severity.

Early prediction of acute respiratory distress syndrome complicated by acute pancreatitis based on four machine learning models

BACKGROUND

Acute Respiratory Distress syndrome (ARDS) is a common complication of Acute Pancreatitis (AP) and is associated with high mortality. This study used Machine Learning (ML) to predict ARDS in patients with AP at admission.

METHODS

The authors retrospectively analyzed the data from patients with AP from January 2017 to August 2022. Clinical and laboratory parameters with significant differences between patients with and without ARDS were screened by univariate analysis. Then, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Ensembles of Decision Trees (EDTs), Bayesian Classifier (BC), and nomogram models were constructed and optimized after feature screening based on these parameters. Five-fold cross-validation was used to train each model. A test set was used to evaluate the predictive performance of the four models.

RESULTS

A total of 83 (18.04%) of 460 patients with AP developed ARDS. Thirty-one features with significant differences between the groups with and without ARDS in the training set were used for modeling. The Partial Pressure of Oxygen (PaO₂), C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, lactic acid, Ca²⁺, the neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio, white blood cell count, and amylase were identified as the optimal subset of features. The BC algorithm had the best predictive performance with the highest AUC value (0.891) than SVM (0.870), EDTs (0.813), and the nomogram (0.874) in the test set. The EDT algorithm achieved the highest accuracy (0.891), precision (0.800), and F1 score (0.615), but the lowest FDR (0.200) and the second-highest NPV (0.902).

CONCLUSIONS

A predictive model of ARDS complicated by AP was successfully developed based on ML. Predictive performance was evaluated by a test set, for which BC showed superior predictive performance and EDTs could be a more promising prediction tool for larger samples.

Dynamics of Serum Procalcitonin Can Predict Outcome in Patients of Infected Pancreatic Necrosis: A Prospective Analysis

BACKGROUND

Timely intervention can alter outcome in patients of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) but lacks adequate biomarker. Role of serum procalcitonin (PCT) in the management of IPN is understudied, and hence, this study was planned.

METHODOLOGY

All patients of acute pancreatitis with IPN without prior intervention were included. Baseline demographic, radiological and laboratory parameters were documented. PCT was measured at baseline, prior to intervention, and thereafter every 72 h. Patients were grouped into those having baseline PCT < 1.0 ng/mL and those with PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL and various outcome measures were compared.

RESULTS

Of the 242 patients screened, 103 cases (66 males; 64.1%) with IPN were grouped into 2: PCT < 1.0 ng/mL (n = 29) and PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL (n = 74). Patients with baseline PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL had significantly more severe disease scores. 16 out of 19 patients with rise in PCT on day-7 post-intervention expired. PCT ≥ 1.0 ng/mL group had higher need for ICU (p = 0.001) and mortality (p = 0.044). PCT > 2.25 ng/mL (aOR 22.56; p = 0.013) at baseline and failure in reduction of PCT levels to < 60% of baseline at day-7 post-intervention (aOR 53.76; p = 0.001) were significant mortality predictors.

CONCLUSION

Baseline PCT > 1.0 ng/mL is associated with poor outcome. PCT > 2.25 ng/mL and failure in reduction of PCT levels to < 60% of its baseline at day-7 post-intervention can identify high-mortality risk patients.

Moderate level platelet count might be a good prognostic indicator for intra-abdominal infection in acute pancreatitis: A retrospective cohort study of 1,363 patients

BACKGROUND

Early recognition of the risk factors is important for acute pancreatitis management. The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between platelet count and clinical outcomes in patients with acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

The data are collected from a university-affiliated hospital between January 2013 and December 2020. A generalized additive model and a two-piecewise linear regression model are used to estimate the association between platelet count and the risks of intra-abdominal infection, surgical intervention, in-hospital mortality, and length of hospital stay.

RESULTS

Among the 1,363 patients, 99 (7.3%) patients suffered intra-abdominal infection, 190 (13.9%) patients underwent surgical intervention, and 38 (2.8%) patients died in the hospital. The median length of hospital stay is 21 days. Generalized additive model and two-piecewise linear regression analysis show that the risk of intra-abdominal infection decreases as the platelet count increases to 160 × 109/L (OR: 0.991, 95% CI: 0.984-0.998, p = 0.015) and then increases as the platelet count levels up (OR: 1.007, 95% CI: 1.004-1.010, p < 0.001). The trend is similar to the risk of surgical intervention and length of hospital stay. Even though there seems a declining trend in mortality, no significant association is found after adjustment for potential confounders. Further analysis shows that changes in platelet count within the first 3 days after admission have no obvious association with clinical outcomes.

CONCLUSION

A platelet count of approximately 160 × 109/L on admission is associated with the lowest risk of intra-abdominal infection, surgical intervention, and shortest hospital stay in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Fibrinogen-like Protein 1 as a Predictive Marker for the Incidence of Severe Acute Pancreatitis and Infectious Pancreatic Necrosis

Background and Objectives: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is defined as an acute inflammatory disorder of the pancreas and is a common gastrointestinal disease. Since currently used indicators lack specifics and cannot accurately reflect the phase of disease, better diagnostic approaches need to be explored. Fibrinogen-like protein 1 (FGL-1) is a reactant in acute inflammatory diseases and is increased in the plasma of AP patients. In the current study, we aim to investigate the clinical benefits of FGL-1 in predicting the severity of AP and infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN), which can improve the diagnostic efficiency of AP. Materials and Methods: In this study, 63 patients diagnosed with AP from December 2018 to September 2019 were enrolled. Regarding the severity of AP, patients were separated into severe acute pancreatitis (SAP, n = 12) and No-SAP groups (n = 51). On the basis of infective conditions, patients were divided into IPN (n = 9) and No-IPN (n = 54) groups. The demographic data (sex and age) and blood parameters (WBC, HCT, glucose, calcium, FIB, APTT, PCT, CRP, and FGL-1) were retrospectively analyzed. Results: The plasma FGL-1 levels were increased in both SAP (p < 0.01) and IPN (p < 0.05) subgroups compared to the healthy control group. Multivariate analysis showed that elevated plasma FGL-1 (p < 0.01) and PCT levels (p < 0.05) within 72 h after the onset of AP were positively correlated with the severity of AP, while increased plasma FGL-1 (p < 0.01) and CRP (p < 0.05) levels were positively correlated with the occurrence of IPN. The combination of FGL-1 and PCT showed superiority to both individual markers in SAP prediction. However, the combination of FGL-1 and CRP showed no diagnostic advantage over CRP in IPN prediction. Conclusions: Plasma FGL-1 within 72 h after the onset could be used for the stratification of AP and its infectious complications. The combination of PCT and FGL-1 presents an enormous advantage for the early identification of SAP.

Correlation between serum levels of PTX-3, SIL-2R, inflammatory markers, and APACHE II scores in patients with severe acute pancreatitis

To investigate the correlation of serum pentraxin 3 (PTX-3), soluble interleukin-2 receptor (SIL-2R), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT) levels, and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) scores in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). A total of 30 patients with SAP from October 2020 to October 2021 were selected as the SAP group, and 42 patients with mild acute pancreatitis (MAP) or moderate-severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP) was selected as the control group. The serum levels of PTX-3, SIL-2R, CRP, PCT, and APACHE II scores were evaluated. The serum levels of PTX-3, SIL-2R, CRP, PCT, and APACHE II scores at admission in the SAP group were significantly higher than those in the control group (all P < .05). Spearman analysis showed that serum PTX-3, SIL-2R, CRP, and PCT levels were positively correlated with APACHE II scores (all P < .05). The mortality rate within 28 days was 26.7% in the SAP group; moreover, the serum PTX-3, SIL-2R, CRP, and PCT levels and APACHE II scores at admission in the death group were significantly higher than those in the survival group (all P < .05). The receiver operating curve showed that the combined prediction value of all indicators (PTX-3 + SIL-2R + CRP + PCT + APACHE II) was superior to the single indicators, and the diagnostic sensitivity and specificity were 90.9% and 84.2%, respectively. Serum PTX-3, SIL-2R, CRP, and PCT levels and APACHE II scores have high guiding significance in early diagnosis and prognostic evaluation of SAP patients.

Guidelines for the management of patients with severe acute pancreatitis, 2021

OBJECTIVE

To provide guidelines for the management of the intensive care patient with severe acute pancreatitis.

DESIGN

A consensus committee of 22 experts was convened. A formal conflict-of-interest (COI) policy was developed at the beginning of the process and enforced throughout. The entire guideline construction process was conducted independently of any industrial funding (i.e. pharmaceutical, medical devices). The authors were required to follow the rules of the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE®) system to guide assessment of quality of evidence. The potential drawbacks of making strong recommendations in the presence of low-quality evidence were emphasised.

METHODS

The most recent SFAR and SNFGE guidelines on the management of the patient with severe pancreatitis were published in 2001. The literature now is sufficient for an update. The committee studied 14 questions within 3 fields. Each question was formulated in a PICO (Patients Intervention Comparison Outcome) format and the relevant evidence profiles were produced. The literature review and recommendations were made according to the GRADE® methodology.

RESULTS

The experts' synthesis work and their application of the GRADE® method resulted in 24 recommendations. Among the formalised recommendations, 8 have high levels of evidence (GRADE 1+/-) and 12 have moderate levels of evidence (GRADE 2+/-). For 4 recommendations, the GRADE method could not be applied, resulting in expert opinions. Four questions did not find any response in the literature. After one round of scoring, strong agreement was reached for all the recommendations.

CONCLUSIONS

There was strong agreement among experts for 24 recommendations to improve practices for the management of intensive care patients with severe acute pancreatitis.

The role of procalcitonin as a prognostic factor for acute cholangitis and infections in acute pancreatitis: a prospective cohort study from a European single center

BACKGROUND

Infection in acute pancreatitis will worsen the disease prognosis. The aim of our study was to analyze the role of procalcitonin as a prognostic biomarker for infections and clinical severity.

METHOD

A prospective single-cohort observational study of patients diagnosed of acute pancreatitis (n = 152) was designed. PCT determination was tested on admission (first 72 h). Infections (biliary, extrapancreatic and infected pancreatic necrosis), need for antibiotics, urgent ERCP and severity scores for acute pancreatitis was assessed. ROC curves were designed and the area under the curve was calculated. Logistic regression for multivariate analysis was performed to evaluate the association between procalcitonin optimal cut-off level and major complications.

RESULTS

PCT >0.68 mg/dL had higher incidence of global infection, acute cholangitis, bacteraemia, infected pancreatic necrosis, use of antibiotics in general, and need for urgent ERCP. In the multivariate regressions analysis, PCT >0.68 mg/dL at admission demonstrated to be a strong risk factor for complications in acute pancreatitis.

DISCUSSION

PCT levels can be used as a reliable laboratory test to predict infections and the clinical severity of acute pancreatitis. High levels of PCT predict antibiotics prescription as well as the need for urgent ERCP in patients with concomitant clinically severe cholangitis.

Clinico-bacterial and prognostic factors in patients with suspected blood stream infection and elevated serum procalcitonin levels

This study determined prognostic factors by comparing clinico-bacterial factors based on significant elevated serum procalcitonin levels in patients with suspected bloodstream infection (BSI). We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of 1,052 patients (age ≥16 years) with fever (temperature ≥38°C) and serum procalcitonin levels of ≥2.0 ng/mL, and blood culture results. The optimal cutoff value of the significant elevation of procalcitonin was determined using the minimum P-value approach. Clinico-bacterial factors were analyzed per the procalcitonin levels, and significant independent factors for short-term survival were investigated in 445 patients with BSI. Patients with suspected BSI were aged, on average, 72.3 ± 15.1 years, and the incidence of positive blood culture was 42.3%; and the 14-day survival was 83.4%. Procalcitonin ≥100 ng/mL was the most significant predictor for survival. Multivariate analysis in patients with suspected BSI showed that estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <30 mL/min/1.73 m² and procalcitonin ≥100 ng/mL were significant independent unfavorable prognostic factors. Microorganisms were similar between patients with procalcitonin level 2-99 ng/mL (n=359) and those with ≥100 ng/mL (n=86). Multivariate analysis in patients with BSI showed that eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m², procalcitonin ≥100 ng/mL, and primary infectious foci were significant independent prognostic factors. Patients with foci in the gastrointestinal tract and respiratory system had unfavorable 14-day survival. In conclusions, eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m² and procalcitonin ≥100 ng/mL were significant independent unfavorable prognostic factors for suspected BSI. Primary infectious foci (gastrointestinal tract and respiratory system) were associated with unfavorable short-term survival in patients with positive blood culture.

Risk factors for concomitant infectious pancreatic necrosis in patients with severe acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a self-limiting disease. However, 20-30% of patients will develop into severe AP (SAP), and infectious pancreatic necrosis in the late course of SAP is the leading cause of death for such patients. This review aims to provide a comprehensive and systematic report of the currently published risk factors for complicated infectious pancreatic necrosis in patients with severe acute pancreatitis by meta-analysis of published retrospective case-control studies.

METHODS

Five electronic database systems were selected to search for articles on risk factors of infectious pancreatic necrosis in patients with severe acute pancreatitis. According to the heterogeneity among studies, the standardized mean difference (SMD), odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were calculated by applying a random-effects model or fixed-effects model, respectively.

RESULTS

As of 2nd Jun, 2021, a total of 1408 articles were searched, but only 21 articles were finally included in this meta-analysis. The results found that patients with severe acute pancreatitis complicated by infected pancreatic necrosis had higher APACHE II scores and higher levels of lipase (LPS), C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) compared to patients with severe acute pancreatitis alone. The differences were statistically significant (APACHE II: SMD = 0.86, 95%CI: 0.55, 1.18; LPS: SMD = 1.52, 95%CI: 1.13, 1.92; CRP: SMD = 1.42, 95%CI: 1.05, 1.79; PCT: SMD = 1.82, 95%CI: 1.36, 2.28).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with patients with severe acute pancreatitis alone, high levels of LPS, CRP, PCT and high APACHE II score were risk factors for infectious pancreatic necrosis in patients with severe acute pancreatitis.

Mining of a Clinical Database: The Interpretation of Intense Serial Procalcitonin in the Prediction for Bloodstream Infection

Background: Procalcitonin (PCT) is a promising biomarker for predicting infection. Bloodstream infection (BSI) is usually a deteriorating stage of sepsis. The purpose of this study was to explore the predictive value of intense serial PCT assays for BSI in the intensive care unit (ICU). Methods: This study was a retrospective study based on a clinical database. We analyzed the data of critically ill patients from February 2016 to May 2020. The patients who received PCT assays and blood cultures (BCs) were classified into four groups according to the BCs: (i) BC negative, (ii) bacteria positive, (iii) fungi-positive, and (iv) combined-positive, and the patients with bacteremia were further subdivided into Gram+ and Gram- bacteremia. Results: The database included 11,219 patients. There were 3,593 patients who met the criteria for the analysis. The PCT concentration differed significantly across BC groups (p < 0.0001). The fluctuation of PCT significantly increased in the BC positive groups (p < 0.0001). According to the receiver operating characteristic (ROC), the optimum cutoff of the fluctuation of PCT was around 8 ng/ml for predicting BSI. Conclusion: Our study indicated that the fluctuation of PCT could be an indicator for screening BSI, but less accurate for Gram-positive infections. With a fluctuation of PCT less than 8 ng/ml, BSI should not be a rational cause for sepsis exacerbating.

Acute necrotising pancreatitis: measurements of necrosis volume and mean CT attenuation help early prediction of organ failure and need for intervention

OBJECTIVES

This study explored the early predictive value of volume and mean CT density of necrosis for adverse outcomes in patients with acute necrotising pancreatitis (ANP).

METHODS

A total of 155 patients with ANP who underwent CECT within 7 days of symptom onset were included. The necrosis volume, mean CT density, and modified CT severity index (mCTSI) were calculated. C-reactive protein (CRP) and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) levels both 48 h after symptom onset were reviewed. Adverse outcomes were recorded. The predictive value of each indicator was assessed using ROC curve analysis.

RESULTS

There were significant associations between necrosis volume and mean CT density and organ failure (OF), persistent OF (POF), and need for intervention (p < 0.001 for all). For predicting OF, the area under the curve (AUC) was significantly higher for necrosis volume than for mCTSI and BUN (AUC: 0.84 vs 0.67, p = 0.0011; 0.84 vs 0.71, p = 0.0193, respectively). For predicting POF and need for intervention, the AUCs for necrosis volume were significantly higher than those for mCTSI (AUC: 0.79 vs 0.66, p = 0.0045; 0.77 vs 0.61, p = 0.0019, respectively), but did not significantly differ from those for CRP and BUN. For predicting OF, a significantly better predictive value was achieved with mean CT density than with mCTSI (AUC: 0.79 vs 0.67, p = 0.0163). There were no significant differences in predictive value between mean CT density, CRP, and BUN.

CONCLUSIONS

The volume and mean CT density of necrosis based on CECT can provide early prediction of OF, POF, and need for intervention.

KEY POINTS

• Compared to mCTSI, necrosis volume might be used to more accurately diagnose organ failure and persistent organ failure and might be better associated with the need for intervention. • Necrosis volume and mean CT density based on CECT are reliable quantitative predictors for organ failure, persistent organ failure, and intervention in acute pancreatitis.

Predictors of the Failure of Noninvasive Ventilation in Patients With Acute Respiratory Failure Caused by Severe Acute Pancreatitis: A Prospective Observational Study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to identify risk factors associated with the failure of noninvasive ventilation (NIV) in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

METHODS

Patients who received NIV as a first-line therapy because of acute respiratory failure caused by SAP were enrolled.

RESULTS

A total of 133 patients were enrolled. Of the patients, 32 (24%) experienced NIV failure. Male sex (odds ratio [OR], 4.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.48-12.22), older age (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.08), a higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.03-1.36), and a procalcitonin level greater than 3.8 ng/mL (OR, 6.28; 95% CI, 2.04-19.31) were independently associated with NIV failure. The receiver operating characteristic curves for predicting NIV failure were 0.67, 0.72, and 0.76 tested by age, procalcitonin, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, respectively. From initiation to 24 hours, the patients in the NIV failure group had a higher proportion of Glasgow Coma Scale scores of 14 or less, a higher proportion of pH ≤7.35, and higher respiratory rates than ones in the successful NIV group.

CONCLUSIONS

One of 4 SAP patients experience NIV failure. Age, sex, disease severity, level of inflammation, and vital signs can be used to predict NIV failure.

Ranson score to stratify severity in Acute Pancreatitis remains valid - Old is gold

Introduction: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common gastrointestinal disease with a wide spectrum of severity and morbidity. Developed in 1974, the Ranson score was the first scoring system to prognosticate AP. Over the past decades, while the Ranson score remains widely used, it was identified to have certain limitations, such as having low predictive power. It has also been criticized for its 48-hour requirement for computation of the final score, which has been argued to potentially delay management. With advancements in our understanding of AP, is the Ranson score still relevant as an effective prognostication system for AP?Areas covered: This review summarizes the available evidence comparing Ranson score with other conventional and novel scoring systems, in terms of prognostic accuracy, benefits, limitations and clinical applicability. It also evaluates the effectiveness of Ranson score with regard to the Revised Atlanta Classification.Expert opinion: The Ranson score consistently exhibits comparable prognostic accuracy to other newer scoring systems, and the 48-hour timeframe for computing the full Ranson score is an inherent strength, not a weakness. These aspects, coupled with relative ease of use, practicality and universality of the score, advocate for the continued relevance of the Ranson score in modern clinical practice.

Combined detection of procalcitonin, heparin-binding protein, and interleukin-6 is a promising assay to diagnose and predict acute pancreatitis

Background

Acute pancreatitis (AP), one of the most common clinical emergencies, is characterized by variable clinical features and inadequate diagnostic methods. At present, the commonly used indicators do not have high specificity and do not necessarily reflect disease severity. We therefore aimed to investigate diagnostic and prognostic value of plasma procalcitonin, heparin‐binding protein, and interleukin‐6 for acute pancreatitis by separate detection and joint detection.

Methods

The study involved 451 participants, including 343 AP patients and 108 healthy controls. We analyzed the association of the three biomarkers with the severity and prognosis of AP.

Results

A statistically significant increase in the mean plasma analyte levels was detected in the study group compared to the control group. Multivariate comparison showed that plasma levels of PCT, HBP, and IL‐6 were all significantly different among the three groups at different sampling times (1st, 3rd, 7th, and 10th day of admission) (p < 0.01). The combination of the three indicators had significantly higher diagnostic value than either the individual markers or pairwise combinations (p < 0.001). The levels of the three were all significantly higher in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) patients than in non‐SAP patients (p < 0.001); meanwhile, patients with high levels had a worse prognosis than those with low levels (p < 0.05). In multivariate analysis adjusted for age and sex, high levels of PCT, HBP, and IL‐6 were found to be independently associated with the development of AP.

Conclusions

It dramatically improved the diagnostic power of AP when PCT, HBP, and IL‐6 were combined; high PCT, HBP, and IL‐6 levels within 3 days of admission may be the potentially useful indicators for predicting SAP.

Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute pancreatitis in China (2021)

Abstract

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common acute abdominal condition of the digestive system. In recent years, treatment concepts, methods, and strategies for the diagnosis of AP have advanced, and this has played an important role in promoting the standardization of AP diagnosis and treatment and improving the treatment quality of AP patients. On the basis of previous guidelines and expert consensus, this guideline adopts an evidence-based, problem-based expression; synthesizes important clinical research data at home and abroad in the most recent 5 years; and forms 29 recommendations through multidisciplinary expert discussion, including diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up. It is expected to provide evidence support for the treatment of AP in the clinical setting in China.

Continuous elevation of procalcitonin in cirrhosis combined with hepatic carcinoma: a case report

BACKGROUND

Serum levels of procalcitonin (PCT) are considered a useful biomarker for the diagnosis of bacterial infection or inflammation. There are few reports of high PCT levels in end-stage liver disease regardless of bacterial infection. Here, we present a case of extremely high PCT levels (> 100 ng/mL) in a patient with severe cirrhosis combined with hepatic carcinoma.

CASE PRESENTATION

A 65-year-old man developed end-stage cirrhosis with hepatic carcinoma. Radiographic imaging showed a massive hepatocellular carcinoma with multiple loci lack of indications of resection. Hence, transcatheter hepatic arterial chemoembolization was performed three times over a period of 4 months. Before and after interventional therapies, the biochemistry laboratory results were only slightly abnormal except for persistently high PCT concentrations (> 100 ng/mL), irrespective of the evidence for bacterial infection or sepsis.

CONCLUSIONS

This case suggests that continuously high levels of PCT (> 100 ng/mL) may be present in advanced liver disease, particularly in complex situations such as decompensated cirrhosis and liver cancer, in the absence of severe infection or sepsis. This knowledge could expand the significance of PCT in liver disease.

Procalcitonin as an Early Predictor of Intra-abdominal Infections Following Gastric Cancer Resection

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of postoperative procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) for their ability to detect Intra-abdominal infections (IAIs) in patients after GC surgery.

METHODS

Patients who underwent elective gastrectomy for primary GC were retrospectively enrolled between October 2018 and October 2019. The PCT and CRP levels and white blood cell (WBC) count were measured before surgery and on postoperative days (POD) 1, 3, 5, and 7. The differences in serum PCT, CRP, and WBC levels between IAIs and non-IAIs groups were compared. Diagnostic accuracy was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses identified independent clinical factors that predicted postoperative IAIs.

RESULTS

A total of 155 patients who underwent GC surgery were enrolled. IAIs were observed in 12 patients (7.74%). The postoperative CRP and PCT values in the IAI group were higher than those in the non-IAI group. PCT had superior diagnostic accuracy on POD 3 (area under the curve 0.769) with an optimal cutoff value of 2.03 ng/mL, yielding 75% sensitivity, 87.4% specificity, and 97.6% negative predictive value. Multivariate analysis identified a PCT level of 2.03 mg/mL or greater on POD 3 as a significant predictive factor for IAIs after gastrectomy (odds ratio: 21.447, 95% confidence interval: 5.081-91.672).

CONCLUSIONS

PCT values less than 2.03 ng/mL on POD 3 is an excellent negative predictor of IAIs, which may ensure a safe early discharge after gastric cancer surgery.

Overview and prospect of serum markers for early prediction of severity of acute pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is one of the most common and potentially fatal emergencies of the digestive system. Aseptic inflammation of the pancreas caused by self-digestion of trypsin is considered to be the main pathogenesis of AP. The clinical course and prognosis of AP with different degrees of severity vary greatly, so early prediction of the severity of AP is of great significance to the diagnosis and treatment of this disease. In recent years, great progress has been made in the early risk assessment and severity stratification of AP patients with serum markers. This article gives an overview and discuss the prospects of serum markers for early prediction of the severity of AP.

Diagnostic value of plasma and peritoneal fluid procalcitonin concentrations in horses with strangulating intestinal lesions

OBJECTIVE

To assess the diagnostic value of plasma and peritoneal fluid procalcitonin concentrations for identification of horses with strangulating intestinal lesions.

ANIMALS

65 horses with signs of colic of intestinal origin and 10 healthy (control) horses.

PROCEDURES

For each horse, plasma and peritoneal fluid samples were obtained for a CBC and determination of total protein, procalcitonin, and lactate concentrations. Signalment and clinicopathologic findings were compared among control horses and horses with strangulating and nonstrangulating intestinal lesions.

RESULTS

Mean ± SD plasma (274.9 ± 150.8 pg/mL) and peritoneal fluid (277 ± 50.6 pg/mL) procalcitonin concentrations for horses with colic were significantly greater than the mean ± SD plasma (175.5 ± 46.0 pg/mL) and peritoneal fluid (218.8 ± 48.7 pg/mL) procalcitonin concentrations for control horses. Mean procalcitonin concentration in peritoneal fluid, but not plasma, differed significantly between horses with strangulating lesions and those with nonstrangulating lesions. A peritoneal fluid procalcitonin concentration ≥ 281.7 pg/mL had a sensitivity of 81%, specificity of 69%, positive predictive value of 56.7%, and negative predictive value of 87.9% for detection of strangulating lesions.

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Results suggested that peritoneal fluid procalcitonin concentration, when evaluated in conjunction with other clinicopathologic results, might be a sensitive indicator of intestinal ischemia and facilitate early identification of horses that require surgery to address a strangulating lesion.

[Procalcitonin in the intensive care unit : Differential diagnostic and differential therapeutic possibilities]

Prokalzitonin (PCT) wird bei systemischen Inflammationszuständen IL6-, IL8- und TNF-α-vermittelt in multiplen Organen und Strukturen des Körpers gebildet. Dabei werden insbesondere bei der Sepsis deutlich erhöhte Werte gemessen. Die Höhe des PCT korreliert dabei gut mit der Krankheitsschwere, ein signifikanter Abfall unter Therapie mit der Prognose. In der differenzialdiagnostischen Abklärung kann die PCT-Bestimmung zwischen bakteriellen und viralen Infektionen unterscheiden. Nichtinfektiösbedingte inflammatorische Reaktionen können jedoch moderat erhöhte PCT-Werte zeigen. Cut-off-Werte sind abhängig von der renalen und hepatischen Funktion. Ein Therapiealgorithmus zur Antibiotikadauer mit PCT-Verlaufsbestimmungen kann den Antibiotikagebrauch reduzieren. In dieser Arbeit sollen die differenzialdiagnostischen und differenzialtherapeutischen Möglichkeiten einer Prokalzitoninbestimmung bei kritisch kranken Patienten erörtert werden.

Initially elevated arterial lactate as an independent predictor of poor outcomes in severe acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

The present study aimed to investigate the relationships between arterial lactate levels and outcomes in severe acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

The study retrospectively analyzed the medical data of 329 patients with severe acute pancreatitis from January 2014 to February 2019. We compared baseline characteristics, laboratory data, severity scores, types of persistent organ failure, and primary and secondary outcomes of patients with and without elevated arterial lactate levels at admission. A multivariate logistic regression analysis model and receiver operating characteristic curve were adopted to evaluate the value of arterial lactate ≥4 mmol/L for identifying high-risk patients. Trends in arterial lactate levels were compared between patients in the survivor and nonsurvivor groups over a period of 7 days.

RESULTS

Compared to normal arterial lactate levels, patients with elevated arterial lactate levels show significantly higher incidences of multiple persistent organ failure (3% vs 30%, P < 0.01), death (2% vs 11%, P < 0.01), septic shock (4% vs 24%, P < 0.01), pancreatic infection (12% vs 37%, P < 0.01), abdominal compartment syndrome (3% vs 20%, P < 0.01), pancreatic necrosis (41% vs 63%, P < 0.01), and a need for ventilator support (26% vs 54%, P < 0.01). For predicting mortality, arterial lactate levels ≥4 mmol/L had a high hazard ratio (10, 95% CI; 3.7-27; P < 0.01) and the highest area under the curve (0.78).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that initially elevated arterial lactate is independently associated with poor outcomes and death in patients with severe acute pancreatitis and may serve as an early high-risk stratification indicator.

Presepsin values as markers of severity of sepsis

OBJECTIVES

Biomarkers are widely used for rapid diagnosis of sepsis. This study evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of presepsin, procalcitonin (PCT), and C-reactive protein (CRP) in differentiating sepsis severity as well as their association with Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score.

METHODS

One hundred septic patients from two university clinical centers were enrolled in the study during two time periods. New Sepsis-3 definitions were used for sepsis stratification. Biomarkers and SOFA score were evaluated four times during the illness. A sandwich ELISA kit was used for presepsin measurement. Generalized linear mixed effects model was used to test the changes in biomarkers concentrations and SOFA score values during the illness and to estimate the differences between severity groups. Multivariate analysis was used to test the association of biomarkers with SOFA score.

RESULTS

Presepsin concentrations were significantly higher on admission in patients with septic shock (n = 34) compared to patients with sepsis (n = 66), mean ± SD: 128.5 ± 47.6 ng/mL vs. 88.6 ± 65.6 ng/mL, respectively (p < 0.001). The same was not observed for PCT and CRP; their concentrations did not differ significantly between severity groups. A strong correlation of presepsin with SOFA score was also found (p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Presepsin had a good diagnostic ability to differentiate septic shock from sepsis in the study groups. PCT and CRP failed in differentiating sepsis severity.

Classification, Severity Assessment, and Prevention of Recurrences in Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis is a common disease, the incidence of which is 75-100/100,000/year in Finland. The worldwide incidence of acute pancreatitis is increasing. The identified mildcases usually show rapid recovery with conservative treatment allowing early discharge. Severe cases need early intensive care to reduce the risk of serious complications such as multi-organ failure. The revised Atlanta classification of acute pancreatitis was introduced in 2012-2013. A recurrent acute pancreatitis is defined as two or more well-documented separate attacks of acute pancreatitis with complete resolution in between. Alcoholic pancreatitis is the most common recurrent acute pancreatitis type.

METHODS

In this review current severity classifications and literature on the prevention of recurrent acute pancreatitis are analyzed.

RESULTS

The severity of the disease is classified as mild, moderately severe, and severe acute pancreatitis. Novel entities include acute peripancreatic fluid collections in mild acute pancreatitis and acute necrotic collections in necrotizing acute pancreatitis lesser than 4 weeks after the onset and pancreatic pseudocyst in mild acute pancreatitis and walled-off necrosis in necrotizing acute pancreatitis more than 4 weeks after the onset of the disease. After the first attack of alcohol-induced acute pancreatitis, 46% of the patients develop at least one recurrence within 10- to 20-year follow-up. With repeated intervention against alcohol consumption, it is possible to reduce the recurrences. Removing the gall bladder after biliary pancreatitis is the key preventing recurrences. In mild cases, even during the index admission; in severe cases, it is recommended to wait until the inflammatory changes have resolved. Of total, 59% of the idiopathic pancreatitis had sludge of stones in the gall bladder. In other etiologies, addressing the etiological factor may prevent recurrent acute pancreatitis.

CONCLUSIONS

This review describes current use of novel severity classifications and also different possibilities to prevent recurrent acute pancreatitis with different etiologies including idiopathic.

Early Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome Duration Predicts Infected Pancreatic Necrosis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) was considered to play an important role in the progress of acute pancreatitis, but its specific relation with infected pancreatic necrosis remains largely unclear. We aimed to investigate the correlation between SIRS duration and infected pancreatic necrosis, and its application in prediction of infected pancreatic necrosis.

METHODS

A prospective observational cohort study of 2130 patients with acute pancreatitis from 2012 to 2017. The SIRS duration at the first week was registered daily, and demographic, radiology, and all clinical laboratory data were prospectively collected and retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

A significant upward tendency of infected pancreatic necrosis incidence was observed with increased SIRS duration. In multivariate logistic regression, SIRS duration (odds ratio, 1.305; 95% CI, 1.161-1.468) was independently associated with infected pancreatic necrosis. ROC analysis demonstrated that the areas under curves of SIRS duration for predicting persistent multi-organ failure, pancreatic infection, and mortality were 0.97 (95% CI, 0.96-0.98), 0.92 (95% CI, 0.91-0.94), and 0.86 (95% CI, 0.83-0.90), respectively, which were comparable to, or even greater than, the area under curves of APACHE II and CT severity index scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Early SIRS duration was strongly associated with infected pancreatic necrosis and could serve as an easy bedside indicator to predict pancreatic infection.

Antibacterial and Antifungal Therapy for Patients with Acute Pancreatitis at High Risk of Pancreatogenic Sepsis (Review)

Controlling infection is crucial in treating patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). The infectious process in AP often predisposes to subsequent sepsis by damaging not only the pancreas, but retroperitoneal tissues as well. Among other AP-associated factors, are the rapidly developing immune imbalance, the poor penetration of antimicrobial agents into necrotic tissue, and the impossibility of a single surgical debridement. Antibacterial and antifungal therapy for patients with infected necrosis and AP-associated extra-pancreatic infections remains a complex and largely unresolved problem, partially due to the high occurrence of multiresistant pathogens. The preventive use of antimicrobial agents has been discussed in the literature; however, the lack of consistent results makes it difficult to develop a unified strategy and clinical guidelines on this specific issue. Recent meta-analyses provide no conclusive evidence that antibacterial prophylaxis reduces the infection rate, mortality, or the need for surgical treatment in patients with necrotizing pancreatitis. We found only two studies indicating the benefits of using carbapenems for prophylactic purposes and one meta-analysis indicating a reduction in mortality under antibiotic treatment started no later than 72 h after the onset of the attack. Selective bowel decontamination is considered as one of the preventive anti-infection measures, although the available data may not be fully reliable. The main indications for antibacterial therapy in patients with AP are confirmed infected necrosis or extra-pancreatic infection, as well as clinical symptoms of suspected infection. Intra-arterial administration or local treatment with antibiotics can increase the efficacy of antibacterial therapy. No randomized studies on antifungal prophylaxis in AP are available; some reports though recommend using such therapy among patients at high risk of invasive candidiasis.

Procalcitonin, C-Reactive Protein, and Neutrophil Ratio Contribute to the Diagnosis and Prognosis of Severe Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

We aimed to explore the significance of procalcitonin (PCT), C-reactive protein (CRP) and neutrophil ratio (N%) in the early diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

METHODS

A total of 104 patients with SAP (SAP group) and 101 patients with mild acute pancreatitis (MAP) (MAP group) admitted to Affiliated Hospital of Jining Medical University, Jining, China were enrolled. The PCT and CRP in serum were detected by a full-automatic biochemical analyzer, and N% in peripheral blood was measured by a hemocyte analyzer.

RESULTS

The peripheral blood PCT, CRP, and N% in the SAP group were significantly higher than those in the MAP group (P<0.001). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, Ranson score, PCT, CRP, and N% were independent risk factors for SAP. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve showed that the area under curve (AUC) of PCT, CRP, and N% in diagnosing SAP were 0.906, 0.840, and 0.834 respectively, while that of combined detection was 0.972. The AUC of PCT, CRP, and N% in diagnosing SAP death were 0.907, 0.900, and 0.894, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Peripheral blood PCT, CRP, and N% contribute to the diagnosis and prognosis of SAP.

Plasma D-Dimer Level Is an Early Predictor of Severity of Acute Pancreatitis Based on 2012 Atlanta Classification

Background

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common digestive disorder. Its management depends on the severity; therefore, it is essential to stratify AP patients early. D-dimer, a coagulation indicator, appears to be associated with the pathogenesis of AP. The aim of this study was to evaluate D-dimer as an early predictor of the severity of AP.

Material/Methods

This was a single-center retrospective study of 1260 patients diagnosed based on the revised Atlanta classification. Only patients hospitalized within 24 h of onset were included, and 334 patients were enrolled. Blood was collected at admission and 3 times within 48 h of admission. Values at admission and average of the 3 blood samples were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses. Furthermore, the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to estimate the validity of the predictor and to define optimal cut-off points for prediction.

Results

We found that 53.3% of the patients had mild AP (MAP), 24.3% had moderately severe AP (MSAP), and 22.4% had severe AP (SAP). D-dimer at admission and the average D-dimer could distinguish MAP patients from MSAP and SAP patients, with cut-off values of 3.355 mg/L and 4.868 mg/L, respectively. No difference in the parameters at admission was observed in multivariate analysis in distinguishing SAP from MSAP, but the average D-dimer level was significantly different with a cut-off value of 7.268 mg/L by comparing Ranson score, APACHE II score, and D-dimer level.

Conclusions

The average value of D-dimer levels could be used as a predictor of severity of AP. In general, patients with an average D-dimer level <4.868 could be diagnosed with MAP, >7.268 would develop into SAP, and between 4.868 and 7.268 would be MSAP.

Role of procalcitonin, Il-6 and C- reactive protein in suspected cases of sepsis

OBJECTIVES

To study the role of serum procalcitonin as a diagnostic biomarker in sepsis and to compare it with other sepsis markers (IL-6, CRP) in patients of suspected sepsis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 80 patients were included in this study from ICU and each patient was investigated for serum Procalcitonin, Interleukin-6 and C-reactive protein levels by ELISA along with blood cultures by BacT/Alert system.

RESULT

Procalcitonin along with CRP is a better diagnostic tool for sepsis.

PROCalcitonin-based algorithm for antibiotic use in Acute Pancreatitis (PROCAP): study protocol for a randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Differentiating infection from inflammation in acute pancreatitis is difficult, leading to overuse of antibiotics. Procalcitonin (PCT) measurement is a means of distinguishing infection from inflammation as levels rise rapidly in response to a pro-inflammatory stimulus of bacterial origin and normally fall after successful treatment. Algorithms based on PCT measurement can differentiate bacterial sepsis from a systemic inflammatory response. The PROCalcitonin-based algorithm for antibiotic use in Acute Pancreatitis (PROCAP) trial tests the hypothesis that a PCT-based algorithm to guide initiation, continuation and discontinuation of antibiotics will lead to reduced antibiotic use in patients with acute pancreatitis and without an adverse effect on outcome.

METHODS

This is a single-centre, randomised, controlled, single-blind, two-arm pragmatic clinical and cost-effectiveness trial. Patients with a clinical diagnosis of acute pancreatitis will be allocated on a 1:1 basis to intervention or standard care. Intervention will involve the use of a PCT-based algorithm to guide antibiotic use. The primary outcome measure will be the binary outcome of antibiotic use during index admission. Secondary outcome measures include: safety non-inferiority endpoint all-cause mortality; days of antibiotic use; clinical infections; new isolates of multiresistant bacteria; duration of inpatient stay; episode-related mortality and cause; quality of life (EuroQol EQ-5D); and cost analysis. A 20% absolute change in antibiotic use would be a clinically important difference. A study with 80% power and 5% significance (two-sided) would require 97 patients in each arm (194 patients in total): the study will aim to recruit 200 patients. Analysis will follow intention-to-treat principles.

DISCUSSION

When complete, PROCAP will be the largest randomised trial of the use of a PCT algorithm to guide initiation, continuation and cessation of antibiotics in acute pancreatitis. PROCAP is the only randomised trial to date to compare standard care of acute pancreatitis as defined by the International Association of Pancreatology/American Pancreatic Association guidelines to patients having standard care but with all antibiotic prescribing decisions based on PCT measurement.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Number, ISRCTN50584992. Registered on 7 February 2018.

Elevated arterial lactate level as an independent risk factor for pancreatic infection in moderately severe acute pancreatitis

PURPOSE

The present study aimed to research the relationships between arterial lactate levels and pancreatic infection in moderately severe acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed data from 503 patients with moderately severe acute pancreatitis from January 1, 2013, to March 31, 2018. The baseline characteristics on admission were compared between patients with and without elevated arterial lactate levels. The parameters and laboratory data were compared between patients with and without pancreatic infections at admission. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to assess the value of elevated arterial lactate levels for identifying high-risk patients. P ≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

A total of 49 (9.2%) patients were diagnosed with pancreatic infections. Compared with patients without pancreatic infections, pancreatic infection patients had significantly increased arterial lactate levels at admission (1.5 ± 0.7 vs. 2.5 ± 0.9; P < 0.01). Multivariate logic analysis still showed that higher arterial lactate levels in moderately severe acute pancreatitis was an independent risk factor for developing pancreatic infections (hazard ratio: 6.31, 95% CI 3.01-13.24; P < 0.01). Arterial lactate level ≥2.1 mmol/L and procalcitonin level ≥0.5 ng/mL at admission had area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.83 and 0.72, with sensitivity of 67.2% and 87%, and specificity of 82.0% and 60%, respectively, for the prediction of pancreatic infection in moderately severe acute pancreatitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicate that a higher arterial lactate level is independently associated with pancreatic infection in patients with moderately severe acute pancreatitis and may be used as a tool to identify high-risk patients.

Combination of S100B and procalcitonin improves prognostic performance compared to either alone in patients with cardiac arrest: A prospective observational study

This study aimed to determine whether the combination of procalcitonin (PCT) and S100B improves prognostic performance compared to either alone in cardiac arrest (CA) patients treated with targeted temperature management (TTM).We performed a prospective cohort study of CA patients treated with TTM. PCT and S100B levels were obtained at 0, 24, 48, and 72 hours after return of spontaneous circulation. The prognostic performance was analyzed using each marker and the combination of the 2 markers for predicting poor neurological outcome at 3 months and mortality at 14 days and 3 months.A total of 97 patients were enrolled, of which 67 (69.1%) had poor neurological outcome. S100B showed a better prognostic performance (area under the curve [AUC], 0.934; sensitivity, 77.6%; and specificity, 100%) than PCT (AUC, 0.861; sensitivity, 70.2%; and specificity, 83.3%) with the highest prognostic value at 24 hours. The combination of 24-hour PCT and S100B values (S100B ≥0.2 μg/L or PCT ≥6.6 ng/mL) improved sensitivity (85.07%) compared with S100B alone. In multivariate analysis, PCT was associated with mortality at 14 days (odds ratio [OR]: 1.064, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.014-1.118), whereas S100B was associated with neurological outcomes at 3 months (OR: 9.849, 95% CI: 2.089-46.431).The combination of PCT and S100B improved prognostic performance compared to the use of either biomarker alone in CA patient treated with TTM. Further studies that will identify the optimal cutoff values for these biomarkers must be conducted.

New Risk Factors for Infected Pancreatic Necrosis Secondary to Severe Acute Pancreatitis: The Role of Initial Contrast-Enhanced Computed Tomography

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Pancreatic necrosis is a risk factor for poor prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP). However, the associations between the findings on initial contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) of the pancreas and infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) are unclear.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study. Patients with severe AP (SAP) from January 2014 to December 2016 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University were enrolled and assigned to an IPN group and a non-IPN group. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were sequentially performed to assess the associations between the variables and IPN development. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated for the qualified independent risk factor.

RESULTS

Forty-two patients with IPN were compared with 100 patients without IPN. Contrast-enhanced CT was performed 7 (range 3-10) days after AP onset. Multivariate stepwise logistic regression analyses showed that the number of acute peripancreatic fluid collections (APFCs) (OR 1.328, P = 0.006), presence of peripancreatic and pancreatic parenchymal necrosis (OR 4.001, P = 0.001), and gastrointestinal wall thickening (OR 3.353, P = 0.006) were independent risk factors for IPN secondary to SAP. The area under an ROC curve for the number of APFCs was 0.714, the sensitivity was 78.60%, and the specificity was 57.30% at a cutoff value of 4.5.

CONCLUSIONS

The number of APFCs, presence of peripancreatic and pancreatic parenchymal necrosis, and gastrointestinal wall thickening were independent risk factors associated with IPN. As initial contrast-enhanced CT (about 7 days from AP onset) plays an important role in predicting IPN, it is important for clinicians to consider initial imaging of the pancreas.

Procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy: an expert consensus

Background:

Procalcitonin (PCT) is a useful biomarker of bacterial infection and its use is associated to reduced duration of antibiotic therapy in the setting of intensive care medicine. To address the need of practical guidance for the use of PCT in various clinical settings, a group of experts was invited to participate at a consensus process with the aims of defining the rationale for appropriate use of PCT and for improving the management of critically ill patients with sepsis.

Methods:

A group of 14 experts from anesthesiology and critical care, infectious diseases, internal medicine, pulmonology, clinical microbiology, laboratory medicine, clinical pharmacology and methodology provided expert opinion through a modified Delphi process, after a comprehensive literature review.

Results:

The appropriateness of use of PCT in terms of diagnosis, prognosis and antimicrobial stewardship was assessed for different scenarios or settings such us management of infection in the emergency department, regular wards, surgical wards or in the intensive care unit. Similarly, appropriateness and timing of PCT measurement were evaluated. All the process consisted in three Delphi rounds.

Conclusions:

PCT use is appropriate in algorithms for antibiotic de-escalation and discontinuation. In this case, reproducible, high sensitive assays should be used. However, initiation or escalation of antibiotic therapy in specific scenarios, including acute respiratory infections, should not be based solely on PCT serum levels. Clinical and radiological findings, evaluation of severity of illness and of patient’s characteristics should be taken into proper account in order to correctly interpret PCT results.

Serum procalcitonin levels in incisional surgical site infections requiring a secondary suture after cesarean sections

Purpose: Surgical site infections (SSIs) after cesarean section cause maternal morbidity and economic and emotional burdens on society. Our aim is to measure procalcitonin (PCT) levels in patients who developed incisional SSIs after cesarean section while also comparing PCT concentrations between patients who underwent a secondary suture and who did not require a secondary suture.Methods: Ninety-four patients who developed incisional SSI after cesarean section were enrolled in our study. At the time of admission, serum PCT, C-reactive protein (CRP), and white blood cell (WBC) counts were measured. The study population was grouped into two, based on the need of a secondary suture and the patients baseline blood tests were compared.Results: The mean serum CRP level was not significant among the groups; however, the median serum PCT level was significantly higher in patients who required a secondary suture (0.21 vs. 0.05 ng/ml, p ≤ .0001). Serum PCT levels were positively correlated with the length of hospital stay (r = 0.72, p = .0001). Area under the curve (AUC) for PCT in predicting the need of a secondary suture was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.772-0.922) and the cutoff point was 0.142 ng/ml with a sensitivity of 75% and specificity of 97.8% (p = .0001).Conclusion: Serum PCT is a promising marker for both diagnosing and predicting the severity of SSIs after cesarean sections.Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03223233.

Correlation of Procalcitonin and C-Reactive Protein with Intra-Abdominal Hypertension in Intra-Abdominal Infections: Their Predictive Role in the Progress of the Disease

AIM

To analyse the correlation of procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) values with increased intra-abdominal pressure and to evaluate their predictive role in the progression of Intra-abdominal infections.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A non-randomized prospective study conducted in the group of 80 patients. We have measured the PCT, CRP and intra-abdominal pressure (IAP).

RESULTS

According to IAH grades (G), there was a significant difference of PCT values: G I 3.6 ± 5.1 ng/ml, G II 10.9 ± 22.6 ng/ml, G III 15.2 ± 30.2 ng/ml (p = 0.045) until: CRP values were increased in all IAH groups but without distinction between the groups: GI 183 ± 64.5, GII 196 ± 90.2, GIII 224 ± 96.3 (p = 0.17). According to the severity of the infection, we yielded increased values of PCT, IAP and CRP in septic shock, severe sepsis and SIRS/sepsis resulting in significant differences of PCT and IAP.

CONCLUSION

Based on the results of our research, we conclude that the correlation of PCT values with IAH grades is quite significant while the CRP results remain high in IAH but without significant difference between the different grades of IAH.