Machine Learning for Predictive Modeling of 90-day Readmission, Major Medical Complication, and Discharge to a Facility in Patients Undergoing Long Segment Posterior Lumbar Spine Fusion

Current Applications and Future Implications of Artificial Intelligence in Spine Surgery and Research: A Narrative Review and Commentary

STUDY DESIGN

Narrative review.

OBJECTIVES

Artificial intelligence (AI) is being increasingly applied to the domain of spine surgery. We present a review of AI in spine surgery, including its use across all stages of the perioperative process and applications for research. We also provide commentary regarding future ethical considerations of AI use and how it may affect surgeon-industry relations.

METHODS

We conducted a comprehensive literature review of peer-reviewed articles that examined applications of AI during the pre-, intra-, or postoperative spine surgery process. We also discussed the relationship among AI, spine industry partners, and surgeons.

RESULTS

Preoperatively, AI has been mainly applied to image analysis, patient diagnosis and stratification, decision-making. Intraoperatively, AI has been used to aid image guidance and navigation. Postoperatively, AI has been used for outcomes prediction and analysis. AI can enable curation and analysis of huge datasets that can enhance research efforts. Large amounts of data are being accrued by industry sources for use by their AI platforms, though the inner workings of these datasets or algorithms are not well known.

CONCLUSIONS

AI has found numerous uses in the pre-, intra-, or postoperative spine surgery process, and the applications of AI continue to grow. The clinical applications and benefits of AI will continue to be more fully realized, but so will certain ethical considerations. Making industry-sponsored databases open source, or at least somehow available to the public, will help alleviate potential biases and obscurities between surgeons and industry and will benefit patient care.

Clinical validation of artificial intelligence-based preoperative virtual reduction for Neer 3- or 4-part proximal humerus fractures

BACKGROUND

If reduction images of fractures can be provided in advance with artificial-intelligence (AI)-based technology, it can assist with preoperative surgical planning. Recently, we developed the AI-based preoperative virtual reduction model for orthopedic trauma, which can provide an automatic segmentation and reduction of fractured fragments. The purpose of this study was to validate a quality of reduction model of Neer 3- or 4-part proximal humerus fractures established by AI-based technology.

METHODS

To develop the AI-based preoperative virtual reduction model, deep learning performed the segmentation of fracture fragments, and a Monte Carlo simulation completed the virtual reduction to determine the best model. A total of 20 pre/postoperative three-dimensional computed tomography (CT) scans of proximal humerus fracture were prepared. The preoperative CT scans were employed as the input of AI-based automated reduction (AI-R) to deduce the reduction models of fracture fragments, meanwhile, the manual reduction (MR) was conducted using the same CT images. Dice similarity coefficient (DSC) and intersection over union (IoU) between the reduction model from the AI-R/MR and postoperative CT scans were evaluated. Working times were compared between the two groups. Clinical validity agreement (CVA) and reduction quality score (RQS) were investigated for clinical validation outcomes by 20 orthopedic surgeons.

RESULTS

The mean DSC and IoU were better when using AI-R that when using MR (0.78 ± 0.13 vs. 0.69 ± 0.16, p < 0.001 and 0.65 ± 0.16 vs. 0.55 ± 0.18, p < 0.001, respectively). The working time of AI-R was, on average, 1.41% of that of MR. The mean CVA of all cases was 81%±14.7% (AI-R, 82.25%±14.27%; MR, 76.75%±14.17%, p = 0.06). The mean RQS was significantly higher when AI-R compared with MR was used (91.47 ± 1.12 vs. 89.30 ± 1.62, p = 0.045).

CONCLUSION

The AI-based preoperative virtual reduction model showed good performance in the reduction model in proximal humerus fractures with faster working times. Beyond diagnosis, classification, and outcome prediction, the AI-based technology can change the paradigm of preoperative surgical planning in orthopedic surgery.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level IV.

Utility of Machine Learning, Natural Language Processing, and Artificial Intelligence in Predicting Hospital Readmissions After Orthopaedic Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Numerous applications and strategies have been utilized to help assess the trends and patterns of readmissions after orthopaedic surgery in an attempt to extrapolate possible risk factors and causative agents. The aim of this work is to systematically summarize the available literature on the extent to which natural language processing, machine learning, and artificial intelligence (AI) can help improve the predictability of hospital readmissions after orthopaedic and spine surgeries.

METHODS

This is a systematic review and meta-analysis. PubMed, Embase and Google Scholar were searched, up until August 30, 2023, for studies that explore the use of AI, natural language processing, and machine learning tools for the prediction of readmission rates after orthopedic procedures. Data regarding surgery type, patient population, readmission outcomes, advanced models utilized, comparison methods, predictor sets, the inclusion of perioperative predictors, validation method, size of training and testing sample, accuracy, and receiver operating characteristics (C-statistic), among other factors, were extracted and assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 26 studies were included in our final dataset. The overall summary C-statistic showed a mean of 0.71 across all models, indicating a reasonable level of predictiveness. A total of 15 articles (57%) were attributed to the spine, making it the most commonly explored orthopaedic field in our study. When comparing accuracy of prediction models between different fields, models predicting readmissions after hip/knee arthroplasty procedures had a higher prediction accuracy (mean C-statistic = 0.79) than spine (mean C-statistic = 0.7) and shoulder (mean C-statistic = 0.67). In addition, models that used single institution data, and those that included intraoperative and/or postoperative outcomes, had a higher mean C-statistic than those utilizing other data sources, and that include only preoperative predictors. According to the Prediction model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool, the majority of the articles in our study had a high risk of bias.

CONCLUSION

AI tools perform reasonably well in predicting readmissions after orthopaedic procedures. Future work should focus on standardizing study methodologies and designs, and improving the data analysis process, in an attempt to produce more reliable and tangible results.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

A machine learning-based approach for individualized prediction of short-term outcomes after anterior cervical corpectomy

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective machine learning (ML) classification study for prognostic modeling after anterior cervical corpectomy (ACC).

PURPOSE

To evaluate the effectiveness of ML in predicting ACC outcomes and develop an accessible, user-friendly tool for this purpose.

OVERVIEW OF LITERATURE

Based on our literature review, no study has examined the capability of ML algorithms to predict major shortterm ACC outcomes, such as prolonged length of hospital stay (LOS), non-home discharge, and major complications.

METHODS

The American College of Surgeons' National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was used to identify patients who underwent ACC. Prolonged LOS, non-home discharges, and major complications were assessed as the outcomes of interest. ML models were developed with the TabPFN algorithm and integrated into an open-access website to predict these outcomes.

RESULTS

The models for predicting prolonged LOS, non-home discharges, and major complications demonstrated mean areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.802, 0.816, and 0.702, respectively. These findings highlight the discriminatory capacities of the models: fair (AUROC >0.7) for differentiating patients with major complications from those without, and good (AUROC >0.8) for distinguishing between those with and without prolonged LOS and non-home discharges. According to the SHapley Additive Explanations analysis, single- versus multiple-level surgery, age, body mass index, preoperative hematocrit, and American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status repetitively emerged as the most important variables for each outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

This study has considerably enhanced the prediction of postoperative results after ACC surgery by implementing advanced ML techniques. A major contribution is the creation of an accessible web application, highlighting the practical value of the developed models. Our findings imply that ML can serve as an invaluable supplementary tool to stratify patient risk for this procedure and can predict diverse postoperative adverse outcomes.

Predicting osteoporotic fractures post-vertebroplasty: a machine learning approach with a web-based calculator

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model for predicting the risk of new osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture (OVCF) in patients who underwent percutaneous vertebroplasty (PVP) and to create a user-friendly web-based calculator for clinical use.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of patients undergoing percutaneous vertebroplasty: A retrospective analysis of patients treated with PVP between June 2016 and June 2018 at Liuzhou People's Hospital was performed. The independent variables of the model were screened using Boruta and modelled using 9 algorithms. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC_AUC), and clinical utility was assessed by clinical decision curve analysis (DCA). The best models were analysed for interpretability using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and the models were deployed visually using a web calculator.

RESULTS

Training and test groups were split using time. The SVM model performed best in both the training group tenfold cross-validation (CV) and validation group AUC, with an AUC of 0.77. DCA showed that the model was beneficial to patients in both the training and test sets. A network calculator developed based on the SHAP-based SVM model can be used for clinical risk assessment ( https://nicolazhang.shinyapps.io/refracture_shap/ ).

CONCLUSIONS

The SVM-based ML model was effective in predicting the risk of new-onset OVCF after PVP, and the network calculator provides a practical tool for clinical decision-making. This study contributes to personalised care in spinal surgery.

Enabling Personalized Medicine in Orthopaedic Surgery Through Artificial Intelligence: A Critical Analysis Review

» The application of artificial intelligence (AI) in the field of orthopaedic surgery holds potential for revolutionizing health care delivery across 3 crucial domains: (I) personalized prediction of clinical outcomes and adverse events, which may optimize patient selection, surgical planning, and enhance patient safety and outcomes; (II) diagnostic automated and semiautomated imaging analyses, which may reduce time burden and facilitate precise and timely diagnoses; and (III) forecasting of resource utilization, which may reduce health care costs and increase value for patients and institutions.» Computer vision is one of the most highly studied areas of AI within orthopaedics, with applications pertaining to fracture classification, identification of the manufacturer and model of prosthetic implants, and surveillance of prosthesis loosening and failure.» Prognostic applications of AI within orthopaedics include identifying patients who will likely benefit from a specified treatment, predicting prosthetic implant size, postoperative length of stay, discharge disposition, and surgical complications. Not only may these applications be beneficial to patients but also to institutions and payors because they may inform potential cost expenditure, improve overall hospital efficiency, and help anticipate resource utilization.» AI infrastructure development requires institutional financial commitment and a team of clinicians and data scientists with expertise in AI that can complement skill sets and knowledge. Once a team is established and a goal is determined, teams (1) obtain, curate, and label data; (2) establish a reference standard; (3) develop an AI model; (4) evaluate the performance of the AI model; (5) externally validate the model, and (6) reinforce, improve, and evaluate the model's performance until clinical implementation is possible.» Understanding the implications of AI in orthopaedics may eventually lead to wide-ranging improvements in patient care. However, AI, while holding tremendous promise, is not without methodological and ethical limitations that are essential to address. First, it is important to ensure external validity of programs before their use in a clinical setting. Investigators should maintain high quality data records and registry surveillance, exercise caution when evaluating others' reported AI applications, and increase transparency of the methodological conduct of current models to improve external validity and avoid propagating bias. By addressing these challenges and responsibly embracing the potential of AI, the medical field may eventually be able to harness its power to improve patient care and outcomes.

Development and external validation of a predictive model for prolonged length of hospital stay in elderly patients undergoing lumbar fusion surgery: comparison of three predictive models

PURPOSE

This study aimed to develop a predictive model for prolonged length of hospital stay (pLOS) in elderly patients undergoing lumbar fusion surgery, utilizing multivariate logistic regression, single classification and regression tree (hereafter, "classification tree") and random forest machine-learning algorithms.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective review of a prospective Geriatric Lumbar Disease Database. The primary outcome measure was pLOS, which was defined as the LOS greater than the 75th percentile. All patients were grouped as pLOS group and non-pLOS. Three models (including logistic regression, single-classification tree and random forest algorithms) for predicting pLOS were developed using training dataset and internal validation using testing dataset. Finally, online tool based on our model was developed to assess its validity in the clinical setting (external validation).

RESULTS

The development set included 1025 patients (mean [SD] age, 72.8 [5.6] years; 632 [61.7%] female), and the external validation set included 175 patients (73.2 [5.9] years; 97[55.4%] female). Multivariate logistic analyses revealed that older age (odds ratio [OR] 1.06, p < 0.001), higher BMI (OR 1.08, p = 0.002), number of fused segments (OR 1.41, p < 0.001), longer operative time (OR 1.02, p < 0.001), and diabetes (OR 1.05, p = 0.046) were independent risk factors for pLOS in elderly patients undergoing lumbar fusion surgery. The single-classification tree revealed that operative time ≥ 232 min, delayed ambulation, and BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 as particularly influential predictors for pLOS. A random forest model was developed using the remaining 14 variables. Intraoperative EBL, operative time, delayed ambulation, age, number of fused segments, BMI, and RBC count were the most significant variables in the final model. The predictive ability of our three models was comparable, with no significant differences in AUC (0.73 vs. 0.71 vs. 0.70, respectively). The logistic regression model had a higher net benefit for clinical intervention than the other models. The nomogram was developed, and the C-index of external validation for PLOS was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.65-0.76).

CONCLUSION

This investigation produced three predictive models for pLOS in elderly patients undergoing lumbar fusion surgery. The predictive ability of our three models was comparable. Logistic regression model had a higher net benefit for clinical intervention than the other models. Our predictive model could inform physicians about elderly patients with a high risk of pLOS after surgery.

Development and external validation of a nomogram for predicting postoperative adverse events in elderly patients undergoing lumbar fusion surgery: comparison of three predictive models

BACKGROUND

The burden of lumbar degenerative diseases (LDD) has increased substantially with the unprecedented aging population. Identifying elderly patients with high risk of postoperative adverse events (AEs) and establishing individualized perioperative management is critical to mitigate added costs and optimize cost-effectiveness to the healthcare system. We aimed to develop a predictive tool for AEs in elderly patients with transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (TLIF), utilizing multivariate logistic regression, single classification and regression tree (hereafter, "classification tree"), and random forest machine learning algorithms.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective review of a prospective Geriatric Lumbar Disease Database (age ≥ 65). Our outcome measure was postoperative AEs, including prolonged hospital stays, postoperative complications, readmission, and reoperation within 90 days. Patients were grouped as either having at least one adverse event (AEs group) or not (No-AEs group). Three models for predicting postoperative AEs were developed using training dataset and internal validation using testing dataset. Finally, online tool was developed to assess its validity in the clinical setting (external validation).

RESULTS

The development set included 1025 patients (mean [SD] age, 72.8 [5.6] years; 632 [61.7%] female), and the external validation set included 175 patients (73.2 [5.9] years; 97 [55.4%] female). The predictive ability of our three models was comparable, with no significant differences in AUC (0.73 vs. 0.72 vs. 0.70, respectively). The logistic regression model had a higher net benefit for clinical intervention than the other models. A nomogram based on logistic regression was developed, and the C-index of external validation for AEs was 0.69 (95% CI 0.65-0.76).

CONCLUSION

The predictive ability of our three models was comparable. Logistic regression model had a higher net benefit for clinical intervention than the other models. Our nomogram and online tool ( https://xuanwumodel.shinyapps.io/Model_for_AEs/ ) could inform physicians about elderly patients with a high risk of AEs within the 90 days after TLIF surgery.

Machine Learning in Spine Surgery: A Narrative Review

Artificial intelligence and machine learning (ML) can offer revolutionary advances in their application to the field of spine surgery. Within the past 5 years, novel applications of ML have assisted in surgical decision-making, intraoperative imaging and navigation, and optimization of clinical outcomes. ML has the capacity to address many different clinical needs and improve diagnostic and surgical techniques. This review will discuss current applications of ML in the context of spine surgery by breaking down its implementation preoperatively, intraoperatively, and postoperatively. Ethical considerations to ML and challenges in ML implementation must be addressed to maximally benefit patients, spine surgeons, and the healthcare system. Areas for future research in augmented reality and mixed reality, along with limitations in generalizability and bias, will also be highlighted.

Limitations in Evaluating Machine Learning Models for Imbalanced Binary Outcome Classification in Spine Surgery: A Systematic Review

Clinical prediction models for spine surgery applications are on the rise, with an increasing reliance on machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL). Many of the predicted outcomes are uncommon; therefore, to ensure the models' effectiveness in clinical practice it is crucial to properly evaluate them. This systematic review aims to identify and evaluate current research-based ML and DL models applied for spine surgery, specifically those predicting binary outcomes with a focus on their evaluation metrics. Overall, 60 papers were included, and the findings were reported according to the PRISMA guidelines. A total of 13 papers focused on lengths of stay (LOS), 12 on readmissions, 12 on non-home discharge, 6 on mortality, and 5 on reoperations. The target outcomes exhibited data imbalances ranging from 0.44% to 42.4%. A total of 59 papers reported the model's area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC), 28 mentioned accuracies, 33 provided sensitivity, 29 discussed specificity, 28 addressed positive predictive value (PPV), 24 included the negative predictive value (NPV), 25 indicated the Brier score with 10 providing a null model Brier, and 8 detailed the F1 score. Additionally, data visualization varied among the included papers. This review discusses the use of appropriate evaluation schemes in ML and identifies several common errors and potential bias sources in the literature. Embracing these recommendations as the field advances may facilitate the integration of reliable and effective ML models in clinical settings.

Accounting for age in prediction of discharge destination following elective lumbar fusion: a supervised machine learning approach

BACKGROUND CONTEXT

The number of elective spinal fusion procedures performed each year continues to grow, making risk factors for post-operative complications following this procedure increasingly clinically relevant. Nonhome discharge (NHD) is of particular interest due to its associations with increased costs of care and rates of complications. Notably, increased age has been found to influence rates of NHD.

PURPOSE

To identify aged-adjusted risk factors for nonhome discharge following elective lumbar fusion through the utilization of Machine Learning-generated predictions within stratified age groupings.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective Database Study.

PATIENT SAMPLE

The American College of Surgeons National Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database years 2008 to 2018.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Postoperative discharge destination.

METHODS

ACS-NSQIP was queried to identify adult patients undergoing elective lumbar spinal fusion from 2008 to 2018. Patients were then stratified into the following age ranges: 30 to 44 years, 45 to 64 years, and ≥65 years. These groups were then analyzed by eight ML algorithms, each tasked with predicting post-operative discharge destination.

RESULTS

Prediction of NHD was performed with average AUCs of 0.591, 0.681, and 0.693 for those aged 30 to 44, 45 to 64, and ≥65 years respectively. In patients aged 30 to 44, operative time (p<.001), African American/Black race (p=.003), female sex (p=.002), ASA class three designation (p=.002), and preoperative hematocrit (p=.002) were predictive of NHD. In ages 45 to 64, predictive variables included operative time, age, preoperative hematocrit, ASA class two or class three designation, insulin-dependent diabetes, female sex, BMI, and African American/Black race all with p<.001. In patients ≥65 years, operative time, adult spinal deformity, BMI, insulin-dependent diabetes, female sex, ASA class four designation, inpatient status, age, African American/Black race, and preoperative hematocrit were predictive of NHD with p<.001. Several variables were distinguished as predictive for only one age group including ASA Class two designation in ages 45 to 64 and adult spinal deformity, ASA class four designation, and inpatient status for patients ≥65 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Application of ML algorithms to the ACS-NSQIP dataset identified a number of highly predictive and age-adjusted variables for NHD. As age is a risk factor for NHD following spinal fusion, our findings may be useful in both guiding perioperative decision-making and recognizing unique predictors of NHD among specific age groups.

Predicting Mechanical Complications After Adult Spinal Deformity Operation Using a Machine Learning Based on Modified Global Alignment and Proportion Scoring With Body Mass Index and Bone Mineral Density

Objective: This study aimed to create an ideal machine learning model to predict mechanical complications in adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery based on GAPB (modified global alignment and proportion scoring with body mass index and bone mineral density) factors.Methods: Between January 2009 and December 2018, 238 consecutive patients with ASD, who received at least 4-level fusions and were followed-up for ≥ 2 years, were included in the study. The data were stratified into training (n = 167, 70%) and test (n = 71, 30%) sets and input to machine learning algorithms, including logistic regression, random forest gradient boosting system, and deep neural network.Results: Body mass index, bone mineral density, the relative pelvic version score, the relative lumbar lordosis score, and the relative sagittal alignment score of the global alignment and proportion score were significantly different in the training and test sets (p < 0.05) between the complication and no complication groups. In the training set, the area under receiver operating characteristics (AUROCs) for logistic regression, gradient boosting, random forest, and deep neural network were 0.871 (0.817–0.925), 0.942 (0.911–0.974), 1.000 (1.000–1.000), and 0.947 (0.915–0.980), respectively, and the accuracies were 0.784 (0.722–0.847), 0.868 (0.817–0.920), 1.000 (1.000–1.000), and 0.856 (0.803–0.909), respectively. In the test set, the AUROCs were 0.785 (0.678–0.893), 0.808 (0.702–0.914), 0.810 (0.710–0.910), and 0.730 (0.610–0.850), respectively, and the accuracies were 0.732 (0.629–0.835), 0.718 (0.614–0.823), 0.732 (0.629–0.835), and 0.620 (0.507–0.733), respectively. The random forest achieved the best predictive performance on the training and test dataset.Conclusion: This study created a comprehensive model to predict mechanical complications after ASD surgery. The best prediction accuracy was 73.2% for predicting mechanical complications after ASD surgery.

External validation of a predictive algorithm for in-hospital and ninety-day mortality after spinal epidural abscess

BACKGROUND CONTEXT

Mortality in patients with spinal epidural abscess (SEA) remains high. Accurate prediction of patient-specific prognosis in SEA can improve patient counseling as well as guide management decisions. There are no externally validated studies predicting short-term mortality in patients with SEA.

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to externally validate the Skeletal Oncology Research Group (SORG) stochastic gradient boosting algorithm for prediction of in-hospital and 90-day postdischarge mortality in SEA.

STUDY DESIGN/SETTING

Retrospective, case-control study at a tertiary care academic medical center from 2003 to 2021.

PATIENT SAMPLE

Adult patients admitted for radiologically confirmed diagnosis of SEA who did not initiate treatment at an outside institution.

OUTCOME MEASURES

In-hospital and 90-day postdischarge mortality.

METHODS

We tested the SORG stochastic gradient boosting algorithm on an independent validation cohort. We assessed its performance with discrimination, calibration, decision curve analysis, and overall performance.

RESULTS

A total of 212 patients met inclusion criteria, with a short-term mortality rate of 10.4%. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the SORG algorithm when tested on the full validation cohort was 0.82, the calibration intercept was -0.08, the calibration slope was 0.96, and the Brier score was 0.09.

CONCLUSIONS

With a contemporaneous and geographically distinct independent cohort, we report successful external validation of a machine learning algorithm for prediction of in-hospital and 90-day postdischarge mortality in SEA.

A Scoping Review of the Use of Machine Learning in Health Economics and Outcomes Research: Part 2-Data From Nonwearables

OBJECTIVES

Despite the increasing interest in applying machine learning (ML) methods in health economics and outcomes research (HEOR), stakeholders face uncertainties in when and how ML can be used. We reviewed the recent applications of ML in HEOR.

METHODS

We searched PubMed for studies published between January 2020 and March 2021 and randomly chose 20% of the identified studies for the sake of manageability. Studies that were in HEOR and applied an ML technique were included. Studies related to wearable devices were excluded. We abstracted information on the ML applications, data types, and ML methods and analyzed it using descriptive statistics.

RESULTS

We retrieved 805 articles, of which 161 (20%) were randomly chosen. Ninety-two of the random sample met the eligibility criteria. We found that ML was primarily used for predicting future events (86%) rather than current events (14%). The most common response variables were clinical events or disease incidence (42%) and treatment outcomes (22%). ML was less used to predict economic outcomes such as health resource utilization (16%) or costs (3%). Although electronic medical records (35%) were frequently used for model development, claims data were used less frequently (9%). Tree-based methods (eg, random forests and boosting) were the most commonly used ML methods (31%).

CONCLUSIONS

The use of ML techniques in HEOR is growing rapidly, but there remain opportunities to apply them to predict economic outcomes, especially using claims databases, which could inform the development of cost-effectiveness models.

Current Applications of Machine Learning in Spine: From Clinical View

STUDY DESIGN

Narrative review.

OBJECTIVES

This review aims to present current applications of machine learning (ML) in spine domain to clinicians.

METHODS

We conducted a comprehensive PubMed search of peer-reviewed articles that were published between 2006 and 2020 using terms (spine, spinal, lumbar, cervical, thoracic, machine learning) to examine ML in spine. Then exclude research of other domain, case report, review or meta-analysis, and which without available abstract or full text.

RESULTS

Total 1738 articles were retrieved from database, and 292 studies were finally included. Key findings of current applications were compiled and summarized in this review. Main clinical applications of those techniques including image processing, diagnosis, decision supporting, operative assistance, rehabilitation, surgery outcomes, complications, hospitalization and cost.

CONCLUSIONS

ML had achieved excellent performance and hold immense potential in spine. ML could help clinical staff to improve medical level, enhance work efficiency, and reduce adverse events. However more randomized controlled trials and improvement of interpretability are essential to clinicians accepting models' assistance in real work.

A Risk Calculator for the Prediction of C5 Nerve Root Palsy After Instrumented Cervical Fusion

BACKGROUND

C5 palsy is a common postoperative complication after cervical fusion and is associated with increased health care costs and diminished quality of life. Accurate prediction of C5 palsy may allow for appropriate preoperative counseling and risk stratification. We primarily aim to develop an algorithm for the prediction of C5 palsy after instrumented cervical fusion and identify novel features for risk prediction. Additionally, we aim to build a risk calculator to provide the risk of C5 palsy.

METHODS

We identified adult patients who underwent instrumented cervical fusion at a tertiary care medical center between 2013 and 2020. The primary outcome was postoperative C5 palsy. We developed ensemble machine learning, standard machine learning, and logistic regression models predicting the risk of C5 palsy-assessing discrimination and calibration. Additionally, a web-based risk calculator was built with the best-performing model.

RESULTS

A total of 1024 patients were included, with 52 cases of C5 palsy. The ensemble model was well-calibrated and demonstrated excellent discrimination with an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of 0.773. The following features were the most important for ensemble model performance: diabetes mellitus, bipolar disorder, C5 or C4 level, surgical approach, preoperative non-motor neurologic symptoms, degenerative disease, number of fused levels, and age.

CONCLUSIONS

We report a risk calculator that generates patient-specific C5 palsy risk after instrumented cervical fusion. Individualized risk prediction for patients may facilitate improved preoperative patient counseling and risk stratification as well as potential intraoperative mitigating measures. This tool may also aid in addressing potentially modifiable risk factors such as diabetes and obesity.

Machine Learning for the Orthopaedic Surgeon: Uses and Limitations

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Machine learning is a subset of artificial intelligence in which computer algorithms are trained to make classifications and predictions based on patterns in data. The utilization of these techniques is rapidly expanding in the field of orthopaedic research.

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There are several domains in which machine learning has application to orthopaedics, including radiographic diagnosis, gait analysis, implant identification, and patient outcome prediction.

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Several limitations prevent the widespread use of machine learning in the daily clinical environment. However, future work can overcome these issues and enable machine learning tools to be a useful adjunct for orthopaedic surgeons in their clinical decision-making.

Artificial intelligence in spine care: current applications and future utility

PURPOSE

The field of artificial intelligence is ever growing and the applications of machine learning in spine care are continuously advancing. Given the advent of the intelligence-based spine care model, understanding the evolution of computation as it applies to diagnosis, treatment, and adverse event prediction is of great importance. Therefore, the current review sought to synthesize findings from the literature at the interface of artificial intelligence and spine research.

METHODS

A narrative review was performed based on the literature of three databases (MEDLINE, CINAHL, and Scopus) from January 2015 to March 2021 that examined historical and recent advancements in the understanding of artificial intelligence and machine learning in spine research. Studies were appraised for their role in, or description of, advancements within image recognition and predictive modeling for spinal research. Only English articles that fulfilled inclusion criteria were ultimately incorporated in this review.

RESULTS

This review briefly summarizes the history and applications of artificial intelligence and machine learning in spine. Three basic machine learning training paradigms: supervised learning, unsupervised learning, and reinforced learning are also discussed. Artificial intelligence and machine learning have been utilized in almost every facet of spine ranging from localization and segmentation techniques in spinal imaging to pathology specific algorithms which include but not limited to; preoperative risk assessment of postoperative complications, screening algorithms for patients at risk of osteoporosis and clustering analysis to identify subgroups within adolescent idiopathic scoliosis. The future of artificial intelligence and machine learning in spine surgery is also discussed with focusing on novel algorithms, data collection techniques and increased utilization of automated systems.

CONCLUSION

Improvements to modern-day computing and accessibility to various imaging modalities allow for innovative discoveries that may arise, for example, from management. Given the imminent future of AI in spine surgery, it is of great importance that practitioners continue to inform themselves regarding AI, its goals, use, and progression. In the future, it will be critical for the spine specialist to be able to discern the utility of novel AI research, particularly as it continues to pervade facets of everyday spine surgery.

Translating Data Analytics Into Improved Spine Surgery Outcomes: A Roadmap for Biomedical Informatics Research in 2021

STUDY DESIGN

Narrative review.

OBJECTIVES

There is growing interest in the use of biomedical informatics and data analytics tools in spine surgery. Yet despite the rapid growth in research on these topics, few analytic tools have been implemented in routine spine practice. The purpose of this review is to provide a health information technology (HIT) roadmap to help translate data assets and analytics tools into measurable advances in spine surgical care.

METHODS

We conducted a narrative review of PubMed and Google Scholar to identify publications discussing data assets, analytical approaches, and implementation strategies relevant to spine surgery practice.

RESULTS

A variety of data assets are available for spine research, ranging from commonly used datasets, such as administrative billing data, to emerging resources, such as mobile health and biobanks. Both regression and machine learning techniques are valuable for analyzing these assets, and researchers should recognize the particular strengths and weaknesses of each approach. Few studies have focused on the implementation of HIT, and a variety of methods exist to help translate analytic tools into clinically useful interventions. Finally, a number of HIT-related challenges must be recognized and addressed, including stakeholder acceptance, regulatory oversight, and ethical considerations.

CONCLUSIONS

Biomedical informatics has the potential to support the development of new HIT that can improve spine surgery quality and outcomes. By understanding the development life-cycle that includes identifying an appropriate data asset, selecting an analytic approach, and leveraging an effective implementation strategy, spine researchers can translate this potential into measurable advances in patient care.

Predictors of hospital readmission within 30 days after surgery for thoracolumbar fractures: A mixed approach

BACKGROUND

Readmission followed by surgery to treat spinal fractures has a substantial impact on patient care costs and reflects a hospital's quality standards. This article analyzes the factors associated with hospital readmission followed by surgery to treat spinal fractures.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study with time-series analysis. For prediction analysis, we used Cox proportional hazards and machine-learning models, using data from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project, Inpatient Database from Florida (USA).

RESULTS

The sample comprised 215,999 patients, 8.8% of whom were readmitted within 30 days. The factors associated with a risk of readmission were male sex (1.1 [95% confidence interval 1.06-1.13]) and >60 years of age (1.74 [95% CI: 1.69-1.8]). Surgeons with a higher annual patient volume presented a lower risk of readmission (0.61 [95% CI: 0.59-0.63]) and hospitals with an annual volume >393 presented a lower risk (0.92 [95% CI: 0.89-0.95]).

CONCLUSION

Surgical procedures and other selected predictors and machine-learning models can be used to reduce 30-day readmissions after spinal surgery. Identification of patients at higher risk for readmission and complications is the first step to reducing unplanned readmissions.

Artificial Intelligence in Adult Spinal Deformity

Artificial Intelligence is gaining traction in medicine for its ease of use and advancements in technology. This study evaluates the current literature on the use of artificial intelligence in adult spinal deformity.

Prediction of Major Complications and Readmission After Lumbar Spinal Fusion: A Machine Learning-Driven Approach

BACKGROUND

Given the significant cost and morbidity of patients undergoing lumbar fusion, accurate preoperative risk-stratification would be of great utility. We aim to develop a machine learning model for prediction of major complications and readmission after lumbar fusion. We also aim to identify the factors most important to performance of each tested model.

METHODS

We identified 38,788 adult patients who underwent lumbar fusion at any California hospital between 2015 and 2017. The primary outcome was major perioperative complication or readmission within 30 days. We build logistic regression and advanced machine learning models: XGBoost, AdaBoost, Gradient Boosting, and Random Forest. Discrimination and calibration were assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and Brier score, respectively.

RESULTS

There were 4470 major complications (11.5%). The XGBoost algorithm demonstrates the highest discrimination of the machine learning models, outperforming regression. The variables most important to XGBoost performance include angina pectoris, metastatic cancer, teaching hospital status, history of concussion, comorbidity burden, and workers' compensation insurance. Teaching hospital status and concussion history were not found to be important for regression.

CONCLUSIONS

We report a machine learning algorithm for prediction of major complications and readmission after lumbar fusion that outperforms logistic regression. Notably, the predictors most important for XGBoost differed from those for regression. The superior performance of XGBoost may be due to the ability of advanced machine learning methods to capture relationships between variables that regression is unable to detect. This tool may identify and address potentially modifiable risk factors, helping risk-stratify patients and decrease complication rates.