Association of Frailty, Organ Support, and Long-Term Survival in Critically Ill Patients With COVID-19

Impact of frailty on long-term survival in patients discharged alive from hospital after an ICU admission with COVID-19

Objective

Though frailty is associated with mortality, its impact on long-term survival after an ICU admission with COVID-19 is unclear. We aimed to investigate the association between frailty and long-term survival in patients after an ICU admission with COVID-19.

Design Setting and Participants

This registry-based multicentre, retrospective, cohort study included all patients ≥16 years discharged alive from the hospital following an ICU admission with COVID-19 and documented clinical frailty scale (CFS). Data from 118 ICUs between 01/01/2020 through 31/12/2020 in New Zealand and 31/12/2021 in Australia were reported in the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Adult Patient Database. The patients were categorised as 'not frail' (CFS 1-3), 'mildly frail' (CFS 4-5) and 'moderately-to-severely frail' (CFS 6-8).

Main Outcome Measures

The primary outcome was survival time up to two years, which we analysed using Cox regression models.

Results

We included 4028 patients with COVID-19 in the final analysis. 'Moderately-to-severely frail' patients were older (66.6 [56.3-75.8] vs. 69.9 [60.3-78.1]; p < 0.001) than those without frailty (median [interquartile range] 53.0 [40.1-64.6]), had higher sequential organ failure assessment scores (p < 0.001), and less likely to receive mechanical ventilation (p < 0.001) than patients without frailty or mild frailty. After adjusting for confounders, patients with mild frailty (adjusted hazards ratio: 2.31, 95%-CI: 1.75-3.05) and moderate-to-severe frailty (adjusted hazards ratio: 2.54, 95%-CI: 1.89-3.42) had higher mortality rates than those without frailty.

Conclusions

Frailty was independently associated with shorter survival times to two years in patients with severe COVID-19 in ANZ following hospital discharge. Recognising frailty provides individualised patient intervention in those with frailty admitted to ICUs with severe COVID-19.

Clinical trial registration

Not applicable.

The impact of body mass index on long-term survival after ICU admission due to COVID-19: A retrospective multicentre study

Objective

The impact of obesity on long-term survival after intensive care unit (ICU) admission with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is unclear. We aimed to quantify the impact of obesity on time to death up to two years in patients admitted to Australian and New Zealand ICUs.

Design

Retrospective multicentre study.

Setting

92 ICUs between 1st January 2020 through to 31st December 2020 in New Zealand and 31st March 2022 in Australia with COVID-19, reported in the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society adult patient database.

Participants

All patients with documented height and weight to estimate the body mass index (BMI) were included. Obesity was classified patients according to the World Health Organization recommendations.

Interventions and main outcome measures

The primary outcome was survival time up to two years after ICU admission. The effect of obesity on time to death was assessed using a Cox proportional hazards model. Confounders were acute illness severity, sex, frailty, hospital type and jurisdiction for all patients.

Results

We examined 2,931 patients; the median BMI was 30.2 (IQR 25.6-36.0) kg/m2. Patients with a BMI ≥30 kg/m2 were younger (median [IQR] age 57.7 [46.2-69.0] vs. 63.0 [50.0-73.6]; p < 0.001) than those with a BMI <30 kg/m2. Most patients (76.6%; 2,244/2,931) were discharged alive after ICU admission. The mortality at two years was highest for BMI categories <18.5 kg/m2 (35.4%) and 18.5-24.9 kg/m2 (31.1%), while lowest for BMI ≥40 kg/m2 (14.5%). After adjusting for confounders and with BMI 18.5-24.9 kg/m2 category as a reference, only the BMI ≥40 kg/m2 category patients had improved survival up to 2 years (hazard ratio = 0.51; 95%CI: 0.34-0.76).

Conclusions

The obesity paradox appears to exist beyond hospital discharge in critically ill patients with COVID-19 admitted in Australian and New Zealand ICUs. A BMI ≥40 kg/m2 was associated with a higher survival time of up to two years.

Prevalence of physical frailty, including risk factors, up to 1 year after hospitalisation for COVID-19 in the UK: a multicentre, longitudinal cohort study

Background

The scale of COVID-19 and its well documented long-term sequelae support a need to understand long-term outcomes including frailty.

Methods

This prospective cohort study recruited adults who had survived hospitalisation with clinically diagnosed COVID-19 across 35 sites in the UK (PHOSP-COVID). The burden of frailty was objectively measured using Fried's Frailty Phenotype (FFP). The primary outcome was the prevalence of each FFP group-robust (no FFP criteria), pre-frail (one or two FFP criteria) and frail (three or more FFP criteria)-at 5 months and 1 year after discharge from hospital. For inclusion in the primary analysis, participants required complete outcome data for three of the five FFP criteria. Longitudinal changes across frailty domains are reported at 5 months and 1 year post-hospitalisation, along with risk factors for frailty status. Patient-perceived recovery and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) were retrospectively rated for pre-COVID-19 and prospectively rated at the 5 month and 1 year visits. This study is registered with ISRCTN, number ISRCTN10980107.

Findings

Between March 5, 2020, and March 31, 2021, 2419 participants were enrolled with FFP data. Mean age was 57.9 (SD 12.6) years, 933 (38.6%) were female, and 429 (17.7%) had received invasive mechanical ventilation. 1785 had measures at both timepoints, of which 240 (13.4%), 1138 (63.8%) and 407 (22.8%) were frail, pre-frail and robust, respectively, at 5 months compared with 123 (6.9%), 1046 (58.6%) and 616 (34.5%) at 1 year. Factors associated with pre-frailty or frailty were invasive mechanical ventilation, older age, female sex, and greater social deprivation. Frail participants had a larger reduction in HRQoL compared with before their COVID-19 illness and were less likely to describe themselves as recovered.

Interpretation

Physical frailty and pre-frailty are common following hospitalisation with COVID-19. Improvement in frailty was seen between 5 and 12 months although two-thirds of the population remained pre-frail or frail. This suggests comprehensive assessment and interventions targeting pre-frailty and frailty beyond the initial illness are required.

Funding

UK Research and Innovation and National Institute for Health Research.

Twelve Months and Counting: Following Clinical Outcomes in Critical COVID-19 Survivors

Rationale: Recent reports suggest that patients with severe coronavirus disease (COVID-19) often experience long-term consequences of the infection. However, studies on intensive care unit (ICU) survivors are underrepresented. Objectives: We aimed to explore 12-month clinical outcomes after critical COVID-19, describing the longitudinal progress of disabilities, frailty status, frequency of cognitive impairment, and clinical events (rehospitalization, institutionalization, and falls). Methods: We performed a prospective cohort study of survivors of COVID-19 ICU admissions in Sao Paulo, Brazil. We assessed patients every 3 months for 1 year after hospital discharge and obtained information on 15 activities of daily living (basic, instrumental, and mobility activities), frailty, cognition, and clinical events. Results: We included 428 patients (mean age of 64 yr, 61% required invasive mechanical ventilation during ICU stay). The number of disabilities peaked at 3 months compared with the pre-COVID-19 period (mean difference, 2.46; 99% confidence interval, 1.94-2.99) and then decreased at 12 months (mean difference, 0.67; 99% confidence interval, 0.28-1.07). At 12-month follow-up, 12% of patients were frail, but half of them presented frailty only after COVID-19. The prevalence of cognitive symptoms was 17% at 3 months and progressively decreased to 12.1% (P = 0.012 for trend) at the end of 1 year. Clinical events occurred in all assessments. Conclusions: Although a higher burden of disabilities and cognitive symptoms occurred 3 months after hospital discharge of critical COVID-19 survivors, a significant improvement occurred during the 1-year follow-up. However, one-third of the patients remained in worse conditions than their pre-COVID-19 status.

Risk Factors of Severe COVID-19: A Review of Host, Viral and Environmental Factors

The clinical course and outcome of COVID-19 are highly variable, ranging from asymptomatic infections to severe disease and death. Understanding the risk factors of severe COVID-19 is relevant both in the clinical setting and at the epidemiological level. Here, we provide an overview of host, viral and environmental factors that have been shown or (in some cases) hypothesized to be associated with severe clinical outcomes. The factors considered in detail include the age and frailty, genetic polymorphisms, biological sex (and pregnancy), co- and superinfections, non-communicable comorbidities, immunological history, microbiota, and lifestyle of the patient; viral genetic variation and infecting dose; socioeconomic factors; and air pollution. For each category, we compile (sometimes conflicting) evidence for the association of the factor with COVID-19 outcomes (including the strength of the effect) and outline possible action mechanisms. We also discuss the complex interactions between the various risk factors.

Calculating Route: Functional Trajectories and Long-Term Outcomes in Survivors of Severe COVID-19

OBJECTIVES

We investigated functional trajectories after severe COVID-19 and estimated their associations with adverse outcomes (falls, rehospitalizations, institutionalization, or death), cognition and post COVID-19 condition within 1-year of hospital discharge.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

A large academic medical center in Sao Paulo, Brazil.

PARTICIPANTS

Survivors of COVID-19 admissions to an intensive care unit.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS

We evaluated participants' disability status before hospital admission and three, six, nine, and twelve months after discharge using 15 activities of daily living. During follow-up, cognition and post COVID-19 condition (defined as persistent symptoms with duration ≥2 months) were assessed. A latent class growth analysis was performed to investigate functional trajectories after discharge.

RESULTS

We included 422 participants (median age 63 years, 13.5% were frail before COVID-19). Four distinct functional trajectories could be identified: "minimal disability trajectory" (37.4% of participants), "mild disability trajectory" (37.9%), "moderate disability trajectory" (16.8%), and "severe disability trajectory" (7.8%). Compared with minimal disability trajectory, the odds ratios (95% confidence interval) for 1-year adverse outcomes were 2.28 (1.38-3.76) for minor disability trajectory; 4.21 (2.10-8.42) for moderate disability trajectory; and 4.16 (1.51-11.46) for severe disability trajectory, even after adjustments. The occurrence of post COVID-19 condition was 67.5% and associated with functional trajectories (p=0.004). Cognition was also associated with functional trajectories.

CONCLUSION

Severe COVID-19 survivors can experience diverse functional trajectories, with those presenting higher levels of disability at increased risk for long-term adverse outcomes. Further investigations are essential to confirm our findings and assess the effectiveness of rehabilitation interventions, aiming to improve health outcomes in those who survived severe COVID-19 and other causes of sepsis.