Prediction of mortality from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest is key to decrease morbidity and mortality from cardiac, neurologic, and other major organ damage*

Red blood cell distribution width for the prediction of outcomes after cardiac arrest

The red blood cell distribution width (RDW) is a routinely available blood marker that measures the variation of the size/volume of red blood cells. The aim of our study was to investigate the prognostic value of RDW in cardiac arrest patients and to assess whether RDW improves the prognostic value of three cardiac arrest-specific risk scores. Consecutive adult cardiac arrest patients admitted to the ICU of a Swiss university hospital were included. The primary outcome was poor neurological outcome at hospital discharge assessed by Cerebral Performance Category. Of 702 patients admitted to the ICU after cardiac arrest, 400 patients (57.0%) survived, of which 323 (80.8%) had a good neurological outcome. Higher mean RDW values showed an independent association with poor neurological outcomes at hospital discharge (adjusted OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.14 to 1.41; p < 0.001). Adding the maximum RDW value to the OHCA- CAHP- and PROLOGUE cardiac arrest scores improved prognostic performance. Within this cohort of cardiac arrest patients, RDW was an independent outcome predictor and slightly improved three cardiac arrest-specific risk scores. RDW may therefore support clinical decision-making.

Trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) predicts short- and long-term mortality and poor neurological outcome in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients

Objectives

Prior research found the gut microbiota-dependent and pro-atherogenic molecule trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) to be associated with cardiovascular events as well as all-cause mortality in different patient populations with cardiovascular disease. Our aim was to investigate the prognostic value of TMAO regarding clinical outcomes in patients after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA).

Methods

We included consecutive OHCA patients upon intensive care unit admission into this prospective observational study between October 2012 and May 2016. We studied associations of admission serum TMAO with in-hospital mortality (primary endpoint), 90-day mortality and neurological outcome defined by the Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) scale.

Results

We included 258 OHCA patients of which 44.6% died during hospitalization. Hospital non-survivors showed significantly higher admission TMAO levels (μmol L-1) compared to hospital survivors (median interquartile range (IQR) 13.2 (6.6-34.9) vs. 6.4 (2.9-15.9), p<0.001). After multivariate adjustment for other prognostic factors, TMAO levels were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratios (OR) 2.1, 95%CI 1.1-4.2, p=0.026). Results for secondary outcomes were similar with significant associations with 90-day mortality and neurological outcome in univariate analyses.

Conclusions

In patients after OHCA, TMAO levels were independently associated with in-hospital mortality and other adverse clinical outcomes and may help to improve prognostication for these patients in the future. Whether TMAO levels can be influenced by nutritional interventions should be addressed in future studies.

Association of Taurine with In-Hospital Mortality in Patients after Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: Results from the Prospective, Observational COMMUNICATE Study

Background: Studies have suggested that taurine may have neuro- and cardio-protective functions, but there is little research looking at taurine levels in patients after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Our aim was to evaluate the association of taurine with mortality and neurological deficits in a well-defined cohort of OHCA patients. Methods: We prospectively measured serum taurine concentration in OHCA patients upon admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) of the University Hospital Basel (Switzerland). We analyzed the association of taurine levels and in-hospital mortality (primary endpoint). We further evaluated neurological outcomes assessed by the cerebral performance category scale. We calculated logistic regression analyses and report odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). We calculated different predefined multivariable regression models including demographic variables, comorbidities, initial vital signs, initial blood markers and resuscitation measures. We assessed discrimination by means of area under the receiver operating curve (ROC). Results: Of 240 included patients, 130 (54.2%) survived until hospital discharge and 110 (45.8%) had a favorable neurological outcome. Taurine levels were significantly associated with higher in-hospital mortality (adjusted OR 4.12 (95%CI 1.22 to 13.91), p = 0.02). In addition, a significant association between taurine concentration and a poor neurological outcome was observed (adjusted OR of 3.71 (95%CI 1.13 to 12.25), p = 0.03). Area under the curve (AUC) suggested only low discrimination for both endpoints (0.57 and 0.57, respectively). Conclusion: Admission taurine levels are associated with mortality and neurological outcomes in OHCA patients and may help in the risk assessment of this vulnerable population. Further studies are needed to assess whether therapeutic modulation of taurine may improve clinical outcomes after cardiac arrest.

Association of acyl carnitines and mortality in out-of-hospital-cardiac-arrest patients: Results of a prospective observational study

PURPOSE

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a leading cause of mortality, yet the prediction of its outcome remains challenging. Serum Acyl Carnitines (ACs), a biomarker of beta-oxidation, have been associated with cardiovascular events. We evaluated the association of different AC species with mortality and neurological outcome in a cohort of OHCA patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We consecutively included OHCA patients in this prospective observational study upon admission to the intensive care unit. We studied the association of thirty-nine different ACs measured at admission and 30-day mortality (primary endpoint), as well as neurological outcome at hospital discharge (secondary endpoint) using the Cerebral Performance Category scale. Multivariate models were adjusted for age, gender, comorbidities and shock markers.

RESULTS

Of 281 included patients, 137 (48.8%) died within 30 days and of the 144 survivors (51.2%), 15 (10.4%) had poor neurological outcome. While several ACs were associated with mortality, AC C2 had the highest prognostic value for mortality (fully-adjusted odds ratio 4.85 (95%CI 1.8 to 13.06, p < .01), area under curve (AUC) 0.65) and neurological outcome (fully-adjusted odds ratio 3.96 (95%CI 1.47 to 10.66, p < .01), AUC 0.63).

CONCLUSIONS

ACs are interesting surrogate biomarkers that are associated with mortality and poor neurological outcome in patients after OHCA and may help to improve the understanding of pathophysiological mechanisms and risk stratification.

Low Plasma Sphingomyelin Levels Show a Weak Association with Poor Neurological Outcome in Cardiac Arrest Patients: Results from the Prospective, Observational COMMUNICATE Trial

There is interest in novel blood markers to improve risk stratification in patients presenting with cardiac arrest. We assessed associations of different plasma sphingomyelin concentrations and neurological outcome in patients with cardiac arrest. In this prospective observational study, adult patients with cardiac arrest were included upon admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). We studied associations of admission plasma levels of 15 different sphingomyelin species with neurological outcome at hospital discharge (primary endpoint) defined by the modified Rankin Scale by the calculation of univariable and multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for age, gender, and clinical shock markers. We included 290 patients (72% males, median age 65 years) with 162 (56%) having poor neurological outcome at hospital discharge. The three sphingomyelin species SM C24:0, SM(OH) C22:1, and SM(OH) C24:1 were significantly lower in patients with poor neurological outcome compared to patients with favorable outcome with areas under the curve (AUC) of 0.58, 0.59, and 0.59. SM(OH) C24:1 was independently associated with poor neurological outcome in a fully-adjusted regression model (adjusted odds ratio per log-transformed unit increase in SM(OH) C24:1 blood level 0.18, 95% CI 0.04 to 0.87, p = 0.033). Results were similar for 1-year mortality. Low admission sphingomyelin levels showed a weak association with poor neurological outcome in patients after cardiac arrest. If validated in future studies, a better understanding of biological sphingomyelin function during cardiac arrest may help to further advance the therapeutic approach and risk stratification in this vulnerable patient group.

Routine blood markers from different biological pathways improve early risk stratification in cardiac arrest patients: Results from the prospective, observational COMMUNICATE study

INTRODUCTION

Prognostication of cardiac arrest patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) may influence treatment decision, but remains challenging. We evaluated the incremental usefulness of routine blood markers from different biological pathways for predicting fatal outcome and neurological deficits in cardiac arrest patients.

METHODS

We prospectively included consecutive, adult cardiac arrest patients upon ICU admission. We recorded initial clinical parameters and measured blood markers of cardiac injury/stress (troponin, BNP, CK), inflammation/infection (WBC, CRP, procalcitonin) and shock (lactate, creatinine, urea). The primary and secondary endpoints were all-cause in-hospital mortality and bad neurological outcome defined by the Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) score.

RESULTS

Mortality in the 321 included patients was 49% (n = 156). Procalcitonin (adjusted odds ratio 1.84, 95%CI 1.34 to 2.53, p < 0.001; AUC 0.73) and lactate (adjusted odds ratio 7.29, 95%CI 3.05 to 17.42, p < 0.001; AUC 0.70) were identified as independent prognostic factors for mortality and significantly improved discrimination of a parsimonious clinical model including resuscitation measures (no-flow time, shockable rhythm) and initial vital signs (Glasgow coma scale, respiratory rate) from an AUC of 0.79 to 0.84 (p < 0.001). Cardiac markers did not further improve the model. Results for neurological outcome were similar with model improvements by procalcitonin and lactate from AUC 0.83 to 0.87 (p = 0.004).

CONCLUSION

Assessment of routine markers of inflammation/infection and shock provide significant improvements for prognostication of cardiac arrest patients, while cardiac markers did not further improve statistical models. Combination of blood markers and clinical parameters may help to improve initial management decisions in this vulnerable patient population.