Are autopsy findings still relevant to the management of critically ill patients in the modern era?

Clinical vs. autopsy diagnostic discrepancies in the intensive care unit: a systematic review and meta-analysis of autopsy series

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to assess whether there is a discrepancy between clinical and autopsy-based diagnoses in adult intensive care unit (ICU) patients.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of cohort studies reporting on conventional autopsy-confirmed missed diagnoses. The discrepancy rate was per study calculated by dividing the number of patients with a missed diagnosis by the number of autopsies. Missed diagnoses were classified according to the Goldman classification as 'major' and 'minor' with major missed diagnoses further differentiated into Class I missed diagnoses (i.e., diagnoses that may have altered therapy or survival) and Class II missed diagnoses (i.e., diagnoses that would not have altered therapy or survival). Class I missed diagnoses constitute the primary outcome of interest. Pooled estimates for discrepancy rates (95% confidence intervals) were calculated using a mixed-effects logistic regression model with 'study' as random effect. Meta-regression was used to assess relationships between major discrepancy rates and autopsy rates, start year of study, and ICU type.

RESULTS

Forty-two studies were identified totaling 6305 analyzed autopsies and 1759 patients with missed diagnoses. The pooled discrepancy rates for Class I and major missed diagnoses were 6.5% (5-8.5) and 19.3% (15.3-24), respectively. Meta-regression analysis revealed that autopsy rate was inversely associated with discrepancy rate. Class I discrepancy rates did not change over time. Burn and trauma ICUs had lower discrepancy rates as compared to medical ICUs, possibly because of higher autopsy rates.

CONCLUSIONS

Missed diagnoses remain common in ICUs. A higher autopsy rate does not reveal more major diagnostic errors. These data support a clinically driven autopsy policy rather than a systematic autopsy policy.

Assessment of misdiagnosis in small animal intensive care patients using the Modified Goldman criteria

The postmortem examination can be used as a means of quality control for clinical diagnoses. A retrospective study on 300 dogs and cats that had been admitted to a small animal intensive care unit was performed comparing the clinical and postmortem findings, using the Modified Goldman criteria. All patient files were reevaluated for clinical diagnoses and all postmortem material was reevaluated for pathological diagnoses. After this, the Modified Goldman criteria were applied to score the discrepancies between them, and factors associated with the occurrence of an undiagnosed major unexpected finding were analyzed. The postmortem examination revealed additional findings in 65% of the cases. Major discrepancies, defined as those affecting treatment and possibly outcome of the patient, were present in 21.3% of the cases. The most frequently missed diagnoses detected at necropsy were pneumonia of various etiologies, meningitis/meningoencephalitis, myocarditis and generalized vasculitis. A shorter ICU stay was associated with increased odds of a major discrepancy. Conditions affecting the urinary or gastrointestinal system were negatively associated with major discrepancy.

Diagnostic Error in the Critically Ill: A Hidden Epidemic?

Epidemiologic studies of diagnostic error in the intensive care unit (ICU) consist mostly of descriptive autopsy series. In these studies, rates of diagnostic errors are approximately 5% to 10%. Recently validated methods for retrospectively measuring error have expanded our understanding of the scope of the problem. These alternative measurement strategies have yielded similar estimates for the frequency of diagnostic error in the ICU. Although there is a fair understanding of the frequency of errors, further research is needed to better define the risk factors for diagnostic error in the ICU.

AGREEMENT BETWEEN CLINICAL AND ANATOMOPATHOLOGICAL DIAGNOSES IN PEDIATRIC INTENSIVE CARE

Objective:

Although autopsy is deemed the gold standard for diagnosis, its performance has been decreasing while adverse events have been increasing, of which 17% consist in diagnostic errors. The purpose of this study was to estimate the prevalence of diagnostic errors based on anatomopathological diagnosis in a Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU).

Methods:

This is a cross-sectional, retrospective study on 31 patients who died between 2004 and 2014. Diagnoses were compared in order to assess whether there was agreement between clinical major diagnosis (CMD) and the cause of death as described in the autopsy record (CDAR), which were classified according to the Goldman Criteria.

Results:

Of 3,117 patients, 263 died (8.4%). Autopsy was conducted in 38 cases (14.4%), and 31 were included in the study. There was a 67% decrease in the number of autopsies over the last 10 years. Absolute agreement between the diagnoses (class V) was observed in 18 cases (58.0%), and disagreement (class I), in 11 (35.4%). There was greater difficulty in diagnosing acute diseases and diseases of rapid fatal evolution such as myocarditis. Seven patients were admitted in critical health conditions and died within the first 24 hours of hospitalization.

Conclusions:

Autopsy not only enables to identify diagnostic errors, but also provides the opportunity to learn from mistakes. The results emphasize the relevance of the autopsy examination for diagnostic elucidation and the creation of an information database concerning the main diagnoses of patients who rapidly progress to death in PICU, increasing the index of clinical suspicion of the team working at this unit.

Comparison of antemortem clinical diagnosis and post-mortem findings in intensive care unit patients

Autopsy is an important quality assurance indicator and a tool to advance medical knowledge. This study aims to compare the premortem clinical and postmortem pathology findings in patients who died in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU), to analyze if there are any discrepancies between them, and to compare the results to two similar studies performed in our institution in 2004 and 2007. Between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2018, 888 patients died in the ICU and 473 underwent post-mortem examination (PME) of whom 437 were included in the present study. Autopsies revealed discrepancies between clinical diagnosis and pathologic findings according to in 101 cases (23.1%) according to Goldman classification. Forty-eight major discrepancies (class I and class II) were identified in 44 cases and the most frequent identified discrepancies were pulmonary embolism (3/12) as class I and malignancies (13/35) as class II. They were more frequent in patients hospitalized for less than 10 days then in the group with more than 10 days of hospitalization (13.8% vs 4.5%; p = 0.002). No statistical difference has been noticed concerning age, gender, and ICU stay. We observed an increase of performed autopsies and a total discrepancy rate similar to the studies performed in the same institution in 2004 (22.5%) and 2007 (21%). In conclusion, discrepancies between clinical and PME diagnoses persist despite the medical progress. Secondly, the autopsy after a short hospital stay may reveal unexpected findings whose diagnosis is challenging even if it may be suspected by the intensivist.

Post-Mortem Examination as a Quality Improvement Instrument

BACKGROUND

Autopsies are considered an important quality assurance instrument in medicine, yet autopsy rates in many countries have been declining for many years. The proper role of the post-mortem examination in modern medicine is a matter deserving of study.

METHODS

This review is based on a selective search of the literature for publications on the role of autopsies as a quality assurance instrument.

RESULTS

Multiple studies have revealed substantial rates of discrepancy between pre- and post-mortem diagnoses, with reported rates lying in the range of 10% to 40%. The frequen- cy of so-called Goldman I erroneous diagnoses, i.e., those that are determined at autopsy and might have influenced the patient's survival, ranges from 2.4% to 10.7%. It can be as- sumed that the rate of serious diagnostic errors revealed by autopsy would fall if autopsy rates were to rise. Independently of the above-mentioned studies, a large-scale study of data from the period 1988-2008 revealed a decline in the rate of Goldman I erroneous diagnoses by more than half. The qualitative effects of autopsies, however, are difficult to measure. At present, imaging studies and minimally invasive or endoscopic diagnostic procedures can be performed post mortem as well, but the available studies show that these methods do not yet suffice to enable a coherent pathogenetic classification of disease processes.

CONCLUSION

Autopsies should still be performed in the interest of quality assurance in medicine. Uniform standards in the performance and reporting of autopsies could lead to im- provement in the use of the data acquired through them.

Reliability of police reports when assessing health information at the forensic post-mortem examination-using schizophrenia as a model

Autopsies continue to be the most reliable source of mortality statistics; however, more and more death certificates are based on the post-mortem external examination (PME) alone. Forensic PMEs differ from clinical PMEs, because the forensic pathologist usually has no preceding knowledge of the health of the decedent and must rely on information from authorities in the form of the police report. It is useful at the forensic PME to know whether the decedent suffered from a mental illness; however, it is unknown how valid such a diagnosis is, when based upon information in the police report alone. This study compared tentative diagnoses of schizophrenia from 500 forensic PMEs with a reference database based on the Danish National Patient Registry. We found that 19.3% of schizophrenia cases were missed, and 9.1 % of identified cases were false positives. Overall, 11.4% of all assessments were incorrect. Subgroup analysis showed that marital status as 'single' and the finding of illegal substances at the scene were predictors for both correctly identified and overlooked schizophrenia cases. The most reliable source of information was the decedent's general practitioner, whereas friends and neighbors were the most unreliable. Future studies should be aware of the risk of assigning a wrong diagnosis and use as many sources of information as possible. Taking the decedent's social history and observations about the scene into account may add to the diagnostic accuracy.

Discrepancies Between Clinical Diagnoses and Autopsy Findings in Critically Ill Children: A Prospective Study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the discrepancies between clinical and autopsy diagnoses in patients who died in the pediatric intensive care units (PICUs) of a tertiary care university hospital.

METHODS

A prospective study of all consecutive autopsies discussed at monthly mortality conferences over 5 years. Discrepancies between premortem and autopsy diagnoses were classified according to modified Goldman et al criteria.

RESULTS

From January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2015, a total of 2,679 children were admitted to the two PICUs of our hospital; 257 (9.6%) died, 150 (58.4%) underwent autopsy, and 123 were included. Complete concordance between clinical and postmortem diagnoses was observed in 86 (69.9%) patients; 20 (16.3%) had a class I discrepancy, and eight (6.5%) had a class II discrepancy. Comparing 2011 and 2015, the rate of major discrepancies decreased from 31.6% to 15%.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results emphasize the importance of autopsy to clarify the cause of death and its potential contribution to improvement of team performance and quality of care.

Septic shock with no diagnosis at 24 hours: a pragmatic multicenter prospective cohort study

Background

The lack of a patent source of infection after 24 hours of management of shock considered septic is a common and disturbing scenario. We aimed to determine the prevalence and the causes of shock with no diagnosis 24 hours after its onset, and to compare the outcomes of patients with early-confirmed septic shock to those of others.

Methods

We conducted a pragmatic, prospective, multicenter observational cohort study in ten intensive care units (ICU) in France. We included all consecutive patients admitted to the ICU with suspected septic shock defined by clinical suspicion of infection leading to antibiotic prescription plus acute circulatory failure requiring vasopressor support.

Results

A total of 508 patients were admitted with suspected septic shock. Among them, 374 (74 %) had early-confirmed septic shock, while the 134 others (26 %) had no source of infection identified nor microbiological documentation retrieved 24 hours after shock onset. Among these, 37/134 (28 %) had late-confirmed septic shock diagnosed after 24 hours, 59/134 (44 %) had a condition mimicking septic (septic shock mimicker, mainly related to adverse drug reactions, acute mesenteric ischemia and malignancies) and 38/134 (28 %) had shock of unknown origin by the end of the ICU stay. There were no differences between patients with early-confirmed septic shock and the remainder in ICU mortality and the median duration of ICU stay, of tracheal intubation and of vasopressor support. The multivariable Cox model showed that the risk of day-60 mortality did not differ between patients with or without early-confirmed septic shock. A sensitivity analysis was performed in the subgroup (n = 369/508) of patients meeting the Sepsis-3 definition criteria and displayed consistent results.

Conclusions

One quarter of the patients admitted in the ICU with suspected septic shock had no infection identified 24 hours after its onset and almost half of them were eventually diagnosed with a septic shock mimicker. Outcome did not differ between patients with early-confirmed septic shock and other patients.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13054-016-1537-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Autopsy and critical care

An autopsy is a medical procedure consisting of the thorough examination of the body and internal organs after death, to evaluate disease or injury and to determine the cause and manner of a person's death. In the intensive care setting, autopsies are usually performed to determine the cause of death or further medical knowledge. Early evidence that showed an alarmingly high rate of medical misdiagnosis found at autopsy is being called into question; the role of the procedure itself is being scrutinised. Furthermore, there has been a marked decline in the number of autopsies being performed both in the UK and across Europe. We examine the role of autopsies in modern health care for critically ill patients.

The impact of antemortem computed tomographic scanning on postmortem examination rate and frequency of missed diagnosis: A retrospective analysis of postmortem examination data

PURPOSE

The present study was conducted to explore the impact of computed tomographic (CT) scanning on the diagnostic discrepancy rate.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This single-center, retrospective study reviewed postmortem examination results, clinical diagnoses, and radiologic imaging data for patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) in 2008 to 2013. The Goldman criteria were used to classify diagnostic discrepancies.

RESULTS

The data of 577 patients who died during their ICU stay were retrieved. The postmortem examination rate was 42.9% (n=248). Significant diagnostic discrepancies (Goldman I and II) were recorded in 24 cases (9.7%). The postmortem examination rate decreased significantly from the first half (n=143; 51.1%) to the second half (n=105; 35.4%) of the study period (P<.0001). Among those with postmortem examinations, the use of antemortem body CT scans increased significantly from the first half (n=59; 41.3%) to the second half (n=64; 51.0%; P=.002) of the study period. The significant diagnostic discrepancy rate did not change with time (8.4% vs 11.4%, respectively; P=.424).

CONCLUSION

The postmortem examination rate has decreased, whereas antemortem CT scans has increased.

The value of autopsies in the era of high-tech medicine: discrepant findings persist

AIMS

Although the autopsy is still the gold standard for quality assessment of clinical diagnoses, autopsy rates have been declining over the last decades to <10%. The aim of this study was to investigate the value of autopsies in the high-tech medicine era by determining the frequency of discrepancies between clinical and autopsy diagnoses.

METHODS

We classified all adult autopsy cases (n=460), performed at Symbiant, Pathology Expert Centre, in 2007 and 2012/2013, as having major, or minor discrepancy or total concordance. The roles of possible contributory factors were analysed. Finally, we assessed the role of microscopic examination in identifying cause of death.

RESULTS

Major and minor discrepancies were found in 23.5% and 32.6% of the classifiable autopsies, respectively. Most commonly observed major discrepancies were myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism and pneumonia. Improper imaging and discontinuation of active treatment were significantly associated with a higher and a lower frequency of major discrepancies, respectively. Comparing 2007 and 2012/2013, the frequency of minor discrepancies significantly increased from 26.8% to 39.3%. Final admission length of >2 days was significantly associated with a lower frequency of class III minor discrepancies. Microscopic examination contributed to establishing cause of death in 19.6% of the cases.

CONCLUSIONS

Discrepant findings persist at autopsy, even in the era of high-tech medicine. Therefore, autopsies still should serve as a very important part of quality control in clinical diagnosis and treatment. Learning from individual and system-related diagnostic errors can aid in improving patient safety.