An Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) Grade-based Prognostic Model For Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Within Milan Criteria

Pseudo-capsulated Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Hepatic Arterial Infusion Chemotherapy Versus Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

The effectiveness and safety of hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for cases with single pseudo-capsuled hepatocellular carcinoma (pHCC), as well as their survival outcomes, were investigated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 196 cases with single pHCC (diameter >5 cm) receiving initial HAIC (n = 92) and TACE (n = 104) were enrolled. The propensity score match (PSM) approach based on Cox models was employed to tune any possible imbalance in treatment assignment. The overall survival (OS), objective response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS), and partial response rate (PRR) of the subjects were investigated using the log-rank test. The independent risk factors for outcomes were investigated by univariate and multivariate analyses, and the results were analyzed using the Cox regression model.

RESULTS

The median follow-up of the subjects was 22.3 months. After PSM, no significant difference was found in the OS of the HAIC and TACE groups (OS, 12.0 vs. 16.8 months; P = .267), while the median PFS of the TACE group was prolonged compared with the HAIC group (PFS, 5.7 vs. 2.8 months; P = .003). Moreover, PRR and ORR of the TACE group were prolonged compared with the HAIC group (PRR, 34.6% vs. 21.7%; P = .046; ORR, 35.6% vs. 21.7%; P = .033). The nomogram model showed high predictive accuracy and significant discrimination.

CONCLUSION

TACE therapy could delay tumor progression compared with HAIC for cases with a single pHCC.

The relationship between the efficacy of thermal ablation and inflammatory response and immune status in early hepatocellular carcinoma and the progress of postoperative adjuvant therapy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly heterogeneous disease. Thermal ablation has the advantages of being equivalent to surgical resection, minimally invasive, low cost and significantly reducing hospital stay. Therefore, it is recommended as one of the first-line radical treatment for early HCC. However, with the deepening of research on early HCC, more and more studies have found that not all patients with early HCC can obtain similar efficacy after radical thermal ablation, which may be related to the heterogeneity of HCC. Previous studies have shown that inflammation and immunity play an extremely important role in the prognostic heterogeneity of patients with HCC. Therefore, the inflammatory response and immune status of patients may be closely related to the efficacy of early HCC after curative thermal ablation. This article elaborates the mechanism of high inflammatory response and poor immune status in the poor prognosis after radical thermal ablation of early HCC, and clarifies the population who may benefit from adjuvant therapy after radical thermal ablation in patients with early HCC, which provides a new idea for the precise adjuvant treatment after radical ablation of early HCC in the future.

Prognostic Significance of Serum Albumin Level and Albumin-Based Mono- and Combination Biomarkers in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the predominant form of primary liver cancer. Although many surgical and nonsurgical therapeutic options have been established for treating HCC, the overall prognosis for HCC patients receiving different treatment modalities remains inadequate, which causes HCC to remain among the most life-threatening human cancers worldwide. Therefore, it is vitally important and urgently needed to develop valuable and independent prognostic biomarkers for the early prediction of poor prognosis in HCC patients, allowing more time for more timely and appropriate treatment to improve the survival of patients. As the most abundant protein in plasma, human serum albumin (ALB) is predominantly expressed by the liver and exhibits a wide variety of essential biological functions. It has been well recognized that serum ALB level is a significant independent biomarker for a broad spectrum of human diseases including cancer. Moreover, ALB has been commonly used as a potent biomaterial and therapeutic agent in clinical settings for the treatment of various human diseases. This review provides a comprehensive summary of the evidence from the up-to-date published literature to underscore the prognostic significance of serum ALB level and various ALB-based mono- and combination biomarkers in the prediction of the prognosis of HCC patients after treatment with different surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies.

Tumor burden score as a new prognostic surrogate in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing radiofrequency ablation: role of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade vs easy ALBI grade

INTRODUCTION

Tumor burden score (TBS) was proposed to represent tumor burden in solid tumors, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The prognostic role of TBS in HCC patients in relation to recently introduced liver reserve markers, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, and easy (EZ)-ALBI grade, is unclear. We aimed to investigate the feasibility of TBS in HCC patients undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA).

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A total of 576 treatment-naïve patients with HCC undergoing RFA were analyzed. The multivariate Cox analysis was used to identify independent predictors associated with tumor recurrence and long-term survival.

RESULTS

Patients with high TBS had increased risk of tumor recurrence and mortality compared with those with low TBS. The Cox analysis showed that serum ɑ-fetoprotein (AFP) level >20 ng/mL, medium and high TBS, ALBI grade 2 and grade 3, EZ-ALBI grade 2 and grade 3 were associated with tumor recurrence and decreased patient survival (all p <0.05). In addition, TBS can reliably stratify tumor recurrence and overall survival in different ALBI and EZ-ALBI grade groups.

CONCLUSIONS

TBS is a simple and feasible prognostic surrogate to predict tumor recurrence and survival in HCC patients undergoing RFA. Its prognostic ability remains stable in patients with variable liver functional reserve.

Dual hepatitis B and C-associated hepatocellular carcinoma: clinical characteristics, outcome, and prognostic role of albumin-bilirubin grade

BACKGROUND

Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade is used to evaluate the outcome of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) which is often associated with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. This study aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics, outcome, and prognostic role of ALBI grade in dual HBV/HCV-related HCC.

METHODS

A total 3341 HCC patients with viral etiology were prospectively enrolled and retrospectively analyzed. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify independent prognostic predictors.

RESULTS

Of all patients, 2083 (62%), 1068 (32%), and 190 (6%) patients had HBV, HCV, and dual HBV/HCV infection, respectively. The mean age of HBV, HCV, and dual virus group was 60, 68, and 64 years (p < 0.001), respectively. There was no significant survival difference between HBV, HCV, and dual HBV/HCV-related HCC group (p = 0.712). Multivariate Cox analysis in dual HBV/HCV-related HCC showed that multiple tumors [hazard ratio (HR): 1.537, p = 0.044], tumor size >3 cm (HR 2.014, p = 0.044), total tumor volume (TTV) >50 cm³ (HR 3.050, p < 0.001), vascular invasion (HR 3.258, p < 0.001), performance status 2-4 (HR 2.232, p < 0.001), ALBI grade 2-3 (HR 2.177, p < 0.001), and BCLC stage B-D (HR 2.479, p < 0.001) were independent predictors of poor survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Dual viral infection does not accelerate the development of HCC in HBV carriers. Patient survival is similar between dual HBV/HCV-related HCC and single HBV- or HCV-related HCC group. The ALBI grade is a robust prognostic model in dual virus-related HCC to discriminate patient long-term survival.

A Novel Blood Index-Based Model to Predict Hepatitis B Virus-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence After Curative Hepatectomy: Guidance on Adjuvant Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization Choice

Background

Postoperative recurrence is a significant obstacle in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment. This study aimed to construct a blood index-based model to predict hepatitis B virus-associated HCC (HBV-HCC) recurrence after curative hepatectomy.

Methods

A total of 370 patients who received initially curative hepatectomy for HBV-HCC were included in this study. A novel blood index signature (BIS) was identified and systematically analyzed for its recurrence predictive value. Following this, multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to build a blood index-based nomogram.

Results

A BIS based on the aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index and a systemic inflammatory response index was used to construct a nomogram. The model showed good clinical applicability and reliability. Notably, the patients in the high recurrence risk group tended to benefit from adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Conclusion

A reliable model was constructed to predict the HBV-HCC recurrence after curative hepatectomy. This model can guide the surgeons in selecting patients with high recurrence risk patients who may benefit from adjuvant TACE.

Model to Predict Overall Survival in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Hepatectomy

Background

The prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains difficult to accurately predict. The purpose of this study was to establish a prognostic model for HCC based on a novel scoring system.

Methods

Five hundred and sixty patients who underwent a curative hepatectomy for treatment of HCC at our hospital between January 2007 and January 2014 were included in this study. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to screen for prognostic risk factors. The nomogram construction was based on Cox proportional hazard regression models, and the development of the new scoring model was analyzed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and then compared with other clinical indexes. The novel scoring system was then validated with an external dataset from a different medical institution.

Results

Multivariate analysis showed that tumor size, portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT), invasion of adjacent tissues, microvascular invasion, and levels of fibrinogen and total bilirubin were independent prognostic factors. The new scoring model had higher area under the curve (AUC) values compared to other systems, and the C-index of the nomogram was highly consistent for evaluating the survival of HCC patients in the validation and training datasets, as well as the external validation dataset.

Conclusions

Based on serum markers and other clinical indicators, a precise model to predict the prognosis of patients with HCC was developed. This novel scoring system can be an effective tool for both surgeons and patients.

Single-nodule hepatitis B virus-associated hepatocellular carcinoma smaller than 3 cm: two phenotypes defined by cluster analysis and their association with the outcome of ablation as the first-line therapy

OBJECTIVES

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a heterogeneous disease. This study aimed to identify the heterogeneity related to the prognosis of ablation in patients with single-nodule hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated HCC ≤3 cm.

METHODS

A total of 359 patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC ≤3 cm treated with curative thermal ablation were retrospectively investigated. Hierarchical cluster analysis was applied to obtain more homogeneous patient clusters concerning demographic and physiological characteristics. Discriminant analysis was performed to identify the relatively important variables for cluster analysis. Multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) was used to clarify the relationship between clusters and categorical variables. Overall survival (OS) was compared among clusters using the Kaplan-Meier model.

RESULTS

A two-cluster model was identified. Cluster 1 (n = 85) showed a higher percentage of female and older patients, higher inflammation response (higher prognostic nutritional index [PNI] and Glasgow prognostic score [GPS]), worse liver function (higher albumin-bilirubin grade and Child-Pugh grade), and relatively poorer immune status (higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio [NLR]) than cluster 2 (n = 274). NLR and GPS were the two most influential variables for cluster analysis (p < .0001). Cluster 2 had a significantly better prognosis than cluster 1. MCA revealed a clear negative correlation between inflammation status and liver function. Compared with cluster 1, the hazard ratios for OS of cluster 2 were 0.47 and 0.52 before and after adjusting for age, respectively (p < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified two sub-phenotypes of patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC ≤3 cm and their association with the outcome of thermal ablation alone as the first-line therapy. Key points Thermal ablation alone as the first-line therapy is not suitable for all patients with single-nodule hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) ≤3 cm. Patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC ≤3 cm can be identified as two sub-phenotypes associated with the outcome of thermal ablation alone as the first-line therapy, based on key preoperative clinical characteristics, especially inflammatory response and immune status. Patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC ≤3 cm characterized by late-onset disease, worse liver function, poorer immune status, and higher inflammatory response (with higher inflammatory response being the most important factor) are not suitable for thermal ablation alone as the first-line therapy. In contrast, patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC ≤3 cm characterized by early-onset disease, better liver function, lower inflammatory response, and good immune status (with lower inflammatory response being the most important factor) are particularly suitable for thermal ablation alone. Implications for patient care In the treatment of patients with single-nodule HBV-associated HCC ≤3 cm, thermal ablation alone as the first-line therapy should be carefully considered after recognizing the key clinical characteristics, among which inflammatory response and immune status are the two most important factors involved in clinical heterogeneity, and inflammatory response is closely related to the prognosis of thermal ablation alone as the first-line therapy for these patients.

Preoperative Albumin-Bilirubin Grade With Prognostic Nutritional Index Predicts the Outcome of Patients With Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Percutaneous Radiofrequency Ablation

Background: Prognostic nutritional index (PNI) that was designed to assess the nutritional and immunological status of patients and albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) grades can be used as an assessment tool for hepatic function. Both nutritional and immunological statuses have been reported to be independent prognostic factors of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to investigate whether PNI together with ALBI could be a better predictor in patients with early-stage HCC undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA).

Method: The information of 110 patients with newly diagnosed HCC within the Milan criteria receiving RFA as the initial therapy between 2014 and 2015 was retrospectively collected. Pretreatment PNI, ALBI, and PNI-ALBI grades were calculated. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were estimated by the Kaplan–Meier method, and multivariate analysis was used to identify prognostic factors.

Result: The 1-, 3-, and 5-years OS rates of patients were 80.0, 30.9, and 23.9%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that the tumor size [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.966, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.091–3.545, P = 0.025], PNI grade (H = 2.558, 95% CI = 1.289–5.078, P = 0.007), and PNI-ALBI grade (HR = 3.876, 95% CI = 1.729–8.690, P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for OS, whereas only the elevated α-fetoprotein (HR = 1.732, 95% CI = 1.003–2.991, P = 0.049) and the size of the tumor (HR = 1.640, 95% CI = 1.015–2.647, P = 0.43) were independent predictors for better RFS.

Conclusion: This study demonstrates that preoperative PNI-ALBI grade is a simple and useful predictor for OS in patients with early-stage HCC after RFA.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and albumin bilirubin grade in hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a frequent cause of cancer related death globally. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and albumin bilirubin (ALBI) grade are emerging prognostic indicators in HCC.

AIM

To study published literature of NLR and ALBI over the last five years, and to validate NLR and ALBI locally in our centre as indicators of HCC survival.

METHODS

A systematic review of the published literature on PubMed of NLR and ALBI in HCC over the last five years. The search followed the guidelines of the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Additionally, we also investigated HCC cases between December 2013 and December 2018 in our centre.

RESULTS

There were 54 studies describing the relation between HCC and NLR and 95 studies describing the relation between HCC and ALBI grade over the last five years. Our local cohort of patients showed NLR to have a significant negative relationship to survival (P = 0.011). There was also significant inverse relationship between the size of the largest HCC nodule and survival (P = 0.009). Median survival with alpha fetoprotein (AFP) < 10 KU/L was 20 mo and with AFP > 10 KU/L was 5 mo. We found that AFP was inversely related to survival, this relationship was not statically significant (P = 0.132). Mean survival for ALBI grade 1 was 37.7 mo, ALBI grade 2 was 13.4 months and ALBI grade 3 was 4.5 mo. ALBI grades performed better than Child Turcotte Pugh score in detecting death from HCC.

CONCLUSION

NLR and ALBI grade in HCC predict survival better than the conventional alpha fetoprotein. ALBI grade performs better than Child Turcotte Pugh score. These markers are done as part of routine clinical care and in cases of normal alpha fetoprotein, these markers could give a better understanding of the patient disease progression. NLR and ALBI grade could have a role in modified easier to learn staging and prognostic systems for HCC.

Development and Validation of a Clinicopathological-Based Nomogram to Predict the Survival Outcome of Patients with Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Hepatectomy Who Underwent Microwave Ablation

Aim

To develop and validate a nomogram for predicting the overall survival (OS) in patients with recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy who underwent microwave ablation (MWA).

Methods

The training cohort included 299 patients with recurrent HCCs after hepatectomy who met the Milan criteria and received MWA from April 2007 to December 2017. Baseline characteristics were collected to identify risk factors for the determination of death after MWA. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model based on significant risk factors was used to develop the nomogram, which was then assessed for its predictive accuracy using Harrell’s C-index and the area under the curve (AUC). The nomogram was validated by internal (n = 240) and external cohorts (n = 205) from another hospital.

Results

After a median follow-up of 32.3 months, 38.8% (116/299) of patients had died. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses showed that comorbid disease, early recurrence, and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grades 2–3 were independent prognostic factors for poor OS. This nomogram accurately stratified patients into subgroups with low or high risk. The 1-, 3- and 5-year OS rates in the low-risk subgroup were 99.4%, 97.2%, and 86.1%, respectively, and they were 92.8%, 70.3%, and 45.8% in the high-risk subgroup (P < 0.001). The nomogram predicted OS in the training cohort with a C-index score of 0.801 (95% CI 0.761–0.841). The nomogram was validated by internal and external cohorts, with C-index scores of 0.792 (95% CI 0.738–0.846) and 0.744 (95% CI 0.703–0.785), respectively.

Conclusion

The nomogram provides individualized risk estimates for long-term OS for patients with recurrent HCC after hepatectomy who underwent MWA.