CEA - a predictor for pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant therapy for rectal cancer

Predictive value of flexible proctosigmoidoscopy and laboratory findings for complete clinical responses after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with locally advanced primary rectal cancer: a retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE

Colorectal cancer is the second leading cause of cancer death worldwide. Standard treatments for locally advanced rectal cancer include neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and total mesorectal excision (TME), which are associated with significant morbidity. After neoadjuvant therapy, one-third of patients achieve a pathological complete response (pCR) and are eligible for a watch-and-wait approach without TME. The purpose of this study was to determine the potential predictors of pCR before surgery.

METHODS

The demographic, clinical, and endoscopic data of 119 patients with primary locally advanced rectal cancer without distant metastasis who underwent restaging endoscopy and TME 6-8 weeks after the end of neoadjuvant therapy were collected. The absence of tumor cells in the histological examination of the TME specimen after neoadjuvant therapy was considered pCR. Binary logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curves were utilized for analysis.

RESULTS

According to the multivariate logistic regression analysis, flattening of marginal tumor swelling (p value < 0.001, odds ratio = 100.605) emerged as an independent predictor of pCR in rectal cancer patients. Additionally, receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that lower preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen and erythrocyte sedimentation rate levels predict pCR, with cutoffs of 2.15 ng/ml and 19.0 mm/h, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Carcinoembryonic antigen and erythrocyte sedimentation rate, along with the presence of flattening of marginal tumor swelling, can predict pCR after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with primary rectal cancer. These factors offer a potential method for selecting candidates for conservative treatment based on endoscopic and laboratory findings.

Predictive Value of Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes and Ki-67 for Pathological Response to Total Neoadjuvant Therapy in Rectal Cancer

PURPOSE

Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) who underwent total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) showed an increase in the percentage of complete pathological response (pCR). The purpose of this study was to determine the correlation between Ki-67, tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL), and TNT in LARC patients.

METHOD

In total, one hundred fifty-nine patients with LARC were included in this prospective study. The international working group was used to categorize the TIL into three groups based on the percentage and density of staining: group 0 (0-10%), group 1 (11-59%), and group 2 (≥ 60%). Ki-67 expression was classified as low (≤ 50%) or high (> 50%).

RESULT

Most patients had tumor grade III (74.2%) and T2-T3 (78.6%). Lymph node involvement (48.7%) and tumor size ≥ 3 cm were detected in approximately half of the patients. Forty-four percent of patients had a high Ki-67 index; 15.7% of patients belonged to group 1, and 21.4% belonged to group 2. pCR was detected in 18.2% of the patients. TIL and Ki-67 levels were significantly correlated with pCR (p = 0.001 and 0.003 for multivariate analysis and 0.001 and 0.03 for univariate analysis, respectively).

CONCLUSION

There was a statistically significant correlation between Ki-67, TIL, and pCR following TNT protocol, which may help maximize the therapeutic outcome.

Analysis of risk characteristics for early progression and late progression in locally advanced rectal cancer patients: a large population-based and validated study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The current study aimed to explore the factors influencing early progression (EP) and late progression (LP) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients.

METHODS

The patients were classified into EP and LP groups using one year as a cutoff. The random survival forest model was utilized to calculate the probability of time-to-progression. Besides, inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) analysis and the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) were conducted to validate our results.

RESULTS

Our study revealed that PNI, CEA level, and pathological stage were independent prognostic factors for PFS both in EP group and LP group. For EP group patients, Group 1 had the highest probability of progression at the 9th month of follow-up, while Group 2 exhibited the highest probability at the 6th month. Group 3, on the other hand, showed two peaks of progression at the 4th and 8th months of follow-up. As for LP group patients, Groups 4, 5, and 6 all exhibited peaks of progression between the 18th and 24th months of follow-up. Furthermore, our results suggested that PNI was also an independent prognostic factor affecting OS in both EP group and LP group. Finally, the analysis of IPTW and SEER database further confirmed our findings.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicated a significant correlation between immune and nutritional status with PFS and OS in both EP and LP groups. These insights can aid healthcare professionals in effectively identifying and evaluating patients' nutritional status, enabling them to develop tailored nutrition plans and interventions.

Construction and Evaluation of Nomogram for Hematological Indicators to Predict Pathological Response after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

OBJECTIVE

A retrospective study was conducted by developing prediction models to evaluate the association between hematological indexes, their changes during neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT), and tumor pathological response in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

METHODS

The clinical data of 202 patients who received NCRT and radical surgery in Sichuan Cancer Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and logistic multivariate regression analyses were used to identify hematological indexes with predictive significance. The independent risk factors were imported into the R software, and a nomogram prediction model was developed. The bootstrap method and ROC curve were used to evaluate the discriminative degree of the model.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis demonstrated age, tumor diameter, preoperative T, distance from tumor to the anal verge, CEA before NCRT, preoperative CEA, lymphocyte changes, platelet changes, and pathology of rectal cancer after NCRT were associated. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that age, tumor distance from the anus, preoperative CEA, lymphocyte changes, and platelet changes were independent risk factors. The independent risk factors were imported into the R software to construct a nomogram model. The area under the ROC was 0.76, and the slope of the calibration curve of the nomogram was close to 1.

CONCLUSION

A low preoperative CEA level, a young age, a high tumor from the anal verge, the maintenance of circulating lymphocyte level, and a decreased platelet level after NCRT are important factors for favorable outcomes after NCRT. Developing a nomogram prediction model with good discrimination and consistency can provide some guidance for predicting pathological responses after NCRT.

Is It Really Gone? Assessing Response to Neoadjuvant Therapy in Rectal Cancer

PURPOSE

Non-operative management of rectal cancer is a feasible and appealing treatment option for patients who develop a complete response after neoadjuvant therapy. However, identifying patients who are complete responders is often a challenge. This review aims to present and discuss current evidence and recommendations regarding the assessment of treatment response in rectal cancer.

METHODS

A review of the current literature on rectal cancer restaging was performed. Studies included in this review explored the optimal interval between the end of neoadjuvant therapy and restaging, as well as modalities of assessment and their diagnostic performance.

RESULTS

The current standard for restaging rectal cancer is a multimodal assessment with the digital rectal examination, endoscopy, and T2-weighted MRI with diffusion-weighted imaging. Other diagnostic procedures under investigation are PET/MRI, radiomics, confocal laser endomicroscopy, artificial intelligence-assisted endoscopy, cell-free DNA, and prediction models incorporating one or more of the above-mentioned exams.

CONCLUSION

Non-operative management of rectal cancer requires a multidisciplinary approach. Understanding of the robustness and limitations of each exam is critical to inform patient selection for that treatment strategy.

Relationship Between Baseline Rectal Tumor Length and Magnetic Resonance Tumor Regression Grade Response to Chemoradiotherapy: A Subanalysis of the TRIGGER Feasibility Study

BACKGROUND

It is widely believed that small rectal tumors are more likely to have a good response to neoadjuvant treatment, which may influence the selection of patients for a 'watch and wait' strategy.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate whether there is a relationship between baseline tumor length on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and response to chemoradiotherapy.

METHOD

The 96 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer randomised (2:1-intervention:control) in the TRIGGER feasibility study where eligible. Baseline tumor length was defined as the maximal cranio-caudal length on baseline MRI (mm) and was recorded prospectively at study registration. Magnetic resonance tumor regression grade (mrTRG) assessment was performed on the post-chemoradiotherapy (CRT) MRI 4-6 weeks (no later than 10 weeks) post completion of CRT. This was routinely reported for patients in the intervention (mrTRG-directed management) arm and reported for the purposes of this study by the central radiologist in the control arm patients. Those with an mrTRG I/II response were defined as 'good responders' and those with an mrTRG III-V response were defined as 'poor responders'.

RESULTS

Overall, 94 patients had a post-CRT MRI performed and were included. Forty-three (46%) patients had a good response (mrTRG I/II) and 51 (54%) patients had a poor response (mrTRG III/IV). The median tumor length of good responders was 43 mm versus 50 mm (p < 0.001), with considerable overlap in tumor lengths between groups.

CONCLUSION

Baseline tumor length on MRI is not a clinically useful biomarker to predict mrTRG tumor response to CRT and therefore patient suitability for a deferral of surgery trial.

A multi-class classification algorithm based on hematoxylin-eosin staining for neoadjuvant therapy in rectal cancer: a retrospective study

Neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) is a major treatment option for locally advanced rectal cancer. With recent advancement of machine/deep learning algorithms, predicting the treatment response of NAT has become possible using radiological and/or pathological images. However, programs reported thus far are limited to binary classifications, and they can only distinguish the pathological complete response (pCR). In the clinical setting, the pathological NAT responses are classified as four classes: (TRG0-3), with 0 as pCR, 1 as moderate response, 2 as minimal response and 3 as poor response. Therefore, the actual clinical need for risk stratification remains unmet. By using ResNet (Residual Neural Network), we developed a multi-class classifier based on Hematoxylin-Eosin (HE) images to divide the response to three groups (TRG0, TRG1/2, and TRG3). Overall, the model achieved the AUC 0.97 at 40× magnification and AUC 0.89 at 10× magnification. For TRG0, the model under 40× magnification achieved a precision of 0.67, a sensitivity of 0.67, and a specificity of 0.95. For TRG1/2, a precision of 0.92, a sensitivity of 0.86, and a specificity of 0.89 were achieved. For TRG3, the model obtained a precision of 0.71, a sensitivity of 0.83, and a specificity of 0.88. To find the relationship between the treatment response and pathological images, we constructed a visual heat map of tiles using Class Activation Mapping (CAM). Notably, we found that tumor nuclei and tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes appeared to be potential features of the algorithm. Taken together, this multi-class classifier represents the first of its kind to predict different NAT responses in rectal cancer.

External validation and comparison of MR-based radiomics models for predicting pathological complete response in locally advanced rectal cancer: a two-centre, multi-vendor study

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was two-fold: (1) to develop and externally validate a multiparameter MR-based machine learning model to predict the pathological complete response (pCR) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT), and (2) to compare different classifiers' discriminative performance for pCR prediction.

METHODS

This retrospective study includes 151 LARC patients divided into internal (centre A, n = 100) and external validation set (centre B, n = 51). The clinical and MR radiomics features were derived to construct clinical, radiomics, and clinical-radiomics model. Random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression (LR), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), naive Bayes (NB), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) were used as classifiers. The predictive performance was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

Eleven radiomics and four clinical features were chosen as pCR-related signatures. In the radiomics model, the RF algorithm achieved 74.0% accuracy (an AUC of 0.863) and 84.4% (an AUC of 0.829) in the internal and external validation sets. In the clinical-radiomics model, RF algorithm exhibited high and stable predictive performance in the internal and external validation datasets with an AUC of 0.906 (87.3% sensitivity, 73.7% specificity, 76.0% accuracy) and 0.872 (77.3% sensitivity, 88.2% specificity, 86.3% accuracy), respectively. RF showed a better predictive performance than the other classifiers in the external validation datasets of three models.

CONCLUSIONS

The multiparametric clinical-radiomics model combined with RF algorithm is optimal for predicting pCR in the internal and external sets, and might help improve clinical stratifying management of LARC patients.

KEY POINTS

• A two-centre study showed that radiomics analysis of pre- and post-nCRT multiparameter MR images could predict pCR in patients with LARC. • The combined model was superior to the clinical and radiomics model in predicting pCR in locally advanced rectal cancer. • The RF classifier performed best in the current study.

Risk model and factors for prediction of response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with advanced gastric cancer-a two-center cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Due to inconsistency in neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) response in advanced gastric cancer (GC), the indications remain the source of controversy. This study focused on identifying factors related to NACT chemosensitivity and providing the best treatment for GC cases.

METHODS

Clinical data in 867 GC cases treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy were downloaded from two medical centers between January 2014 and December 2020, and analyzed by logistic regression and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) for identifying potential factors that predicted NACT response and might be incorporated in constructing the prediction nomogram.

RESULTS

After the inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied, totally 460 cases were enrolled, among which, 307 were males (66.74%) whereas 153 were females (33.26%), with the age of 24-77 (average, 59.37 ± 10.60) years. Consistent with RECIST standard, 242 patients were classified into effective group (PR or CR) while 218 were into ineffective group (PD or SD), with the effective rate of 52.61%. In training set, LASSO and logistic regression analysis showed that five risk factors were significantly associated with NACT effectiveness, including tumor location, Smoking history, T and N stages, and differentiation. In terms of our prediction model, its C-index was 0.842. Moreover, calibration curve showed that the model-predicted results were in good consistence with actual results. Validation based on internal and external validation sets exhibited consistency between training set results and ours.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified five risk factors which were significantly associated with NACT response, including smoking history, clinical T stage, clinical N stage, tumor location and differentiation. The prediction model that exhibited satisfying ability to predict NACT effectiveness was constructed, which may be adopted for identifying the best therapeutic strategy for advanced GC by gastrointestinal surgeons.

A Predictive Model to Evaluate Pathologic Complete Response in Rectal Adenocarcinoma

Introduction: Neoadjuvant chemo-radiotherapy (nCRT) before surgery was a standard treatment strategy for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between the predictive factors and pathological complete response (pCR) in rectal cancer patients, especially in ultra-low ones. Method: A total of 402 patients were involved in this retrospective study. The logistic regression analyses were used to compare the different subgroups in univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis was performed to determine the independent predictive factors of pCR by using a logistic regression model. Results: A total of 402 patients received preoperative CRT. In all patients, multivariate analysis revealed that circumferential tumor extent rate (CER) (≤ 2/3cycle vs >2/3 cycle, P < .001, OR = 4.834, 95% CI: 2.309-10.121), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level (both ≤ 5 vs pre > 5 and post ≤ 5 vs both > 5, P = .033, OR = 1.537, 95% CI: 1.035-2.281), and interval time between the end of CRT and surgery (P = .031, OR = 2.412, 95% CI: 1.086-5.358) were predictive factors for pCR. The area under the curve (AUC) of the predictive model was 0.709 (95% CI: 0.649-0.769), which was significantly higher than the CER (0.646, 95% CI: 0.584-0.709), interval time (0.563, 95% CI: 0.495-0.631) and CEA level (0.586, 95% CI: 0.518-0.655). In ultra-low rectal patients, multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that CER (≤ 2/3 cycle vs > 2/3 cycle, P = .003, OR = 7.203, 95% CI: 1.934-26.823) and mismatch repair (MMR) status (pMMR vs dMMR, P = .016, OR = 0.173, 95% CI: 0.041-0.720) were predictive factors for pCR. The AUC of the predictive model was 0.653 (95% CI: 0.474-0.832). Conclusion: New predictive models were varied by the histologic types and MMR statuses to evaluate the trend of tumor response to nCRT in all RC cases and ultra-low RC patients, which may be used to individualize stratify for selected LARC patients.

Associations between Response to Commonly Used Neo-Adjuvant Schedules in Rectal Cancer and Routinely Collected Clinical and Imaging Parameters

Complete pathological response (pCR) is achieved in 10−20% of rectal cancers when treated with short-course radiotherapy (scRT) or long-course chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and in 28% with total neoadjuvant therapy (scRT/CRT + CTX). pCR is associated with better outcomes and a “watch-and-wait” strategy (W&W). The aim of this study was to identify baseline clinical or imaging factors predicting pCR. All patients with preoperative treatment and delays to surgery in Uppsala-Dalarna (n = 359) and Stockholm (n = 635) were included. Comparison of pCR versus non-pCR was performed with binary logistic regression models. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) models for predicting pCR were built using factors with p < 0.10 in multivariate analyses. A pCR was achieved in 12% of the 994 patients (scRT 8% [33/435], CRT 13% [48/358], scRT/CRT + CTX 21% [43/201]). In univariate and multivariate analyses, choice of CRT (OR 2.62; 95%CI 1.34−5.14, scRT reference) or scRT/CRT + CTX (4.70; 2.23−9.93), cT1−2 (3.37; 1.30−8.78; cT4 reference), tumour length ≤ 3.5 cm (2.27; 1.24−4.18), and CEA ≤ 5 µg/L (1.73; 1.04−2.90) demonstrated significant associations with achievement of pCR. Age < 70 years, time from radiotherapy to surgery > 11 weeks, leucocytes ≤ 109/L, and thrombocytes ≤ 4009/L were significant only in univariate analyses. The associations were not fundamentally different between treatments. A model including T-stage, tumour length, CEA, and leucocytes (with scores of 0, 0.5, or 1 for each factor, maximum 4 points) showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.66 (95%CI 0.60−0.71) for all patients, and 0.65−0.73 for the three treatments separately. The choice of neoadjuvant treatment in combination with low CEA, short tumour length, low cT-stage, and normal leucocytes provide support in predicting pCR and, thus, could offer guidance for selecting patients for organ preservation.

Predicting Factors of Complete Pathological Response in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Background: Current treatment of choice for locally advanced rectal cancer is neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (neo-CRT) followed by surgical resection and adjuvant chemotherapy. Some patients may experience complete pathological response (cPR) after the neoadjuvant treatment. However, the predicting factors are still debated. Methods: In this registry-based retrospective cohort study, 258 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer were included. Patients were categorized into two groups with or without cPR. Logistic regression analysis was recruited to investigate the odds ratio for all independent variables, and those with significant results were included in multivariate regression analysis. Results: Achievement of cPR was 21.3%. The odds ratio of cPR was significantly lower when the tumor distance from the anal verge was>10 centimeters (OR=0.24, P=0.040). Also, the odds of cPR with N1 involvement in comparison with N0 involvement decreased for 0.41 (P=0.043). It was also true for patients with N2 involvement in comparison with N0 involvement (OR=0.31, P=0.031). Higher odds ratio of cPR was observed in patients who underwent surgery in>12 weeks after neo-CRT (OR=2.9, P=0.022). Furthermore, the odds of cPR decreased for 0.9 with increasing in carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level (P=0.044). Conclusion: Patients with rectal cancer in clinical stage II or lower, without the involvement of the lymphatic system at diagnosis, and with tumors located in the lower parts of the rectum, with lower levels of CEA, and longer duration between neo-CRT and surgery were more likely to achieve cPR after neo-CRT. With the current knowledge, the "wait and watch policy" is still debated and needs to be defined more precisely by upcoming studies.

Obesity may not be related to pathologic response in locally advanced rectal cancer following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

Background

The aim of this study is to evaluate the correlation between body mass index (BMI) and body fat composition (measured with radiological fat parameters (RFP)) and pathological response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer patients. The secondary aim of the study was to assess the role of BMI and RFP on major surgical complications, overall survival (OS), and disease-free survival (DFS).

Methods

All patients who underwent surgical resection following nCRT between 2005 and 2017 for mid-low rectal cancer were retrospectively collected. Visceral fat area (VFA), superficial fat area (SFA), visceral/superficial fat area ratio (V/S), perinephric fat thickness (PNF), and waist circumference (WC) were estimated by baseline CT scan. Predictors of pathologic response and postoperative complications were investigated using logistic regression analysis. The correlations between BMI and radiologic fat parameters and survival were investigated using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test.

Results

Out of 144 patients included, a complete (TRG1) and major (TRG1+2) pathologic response was reported in 32 (22%) and 60 (45.5%) cases, respectively. A statistically significant correlation between BMI and all the RFP was found. At a median follow-up of 60 (35-103) months, no differences in terms of OS and DFS were found considering BMI and radiologic fat parameters. At univariable analysis, neither BMI nor radiologic fat parameters were predictors of complete or major pathologic response; nevertheless, VFA, V/S>1, and BMI were predictors of postoperative major complications.

Conclusions

We found no associations between BMI and body fat composition and pathological response to nCRT, although VFA, V/S, and BMI were predictors of major complications. BMI and RFP are not related to worse long-term OS and DFS.

Predicting response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer: from biomarkers to tumor models

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a major contributor to cancer-associated morbidity worldwide and over one-third of CRC is located in the rectum. Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) followed by surgical resection is commonly applied to treat locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). In this review, we summarize current and novel concepts of neoadjuvant therapy for LARC such as total neoadjuvant therapy and describe how these developments impact treatment response. Moreover, as response to nCRT is highly divergent in rectal cancers, we discuss the role of potential predictive biomarkers. We review recent advances in biomarker discovery, from a clinical as well as a histopathological and molecular perspective. Furthermore, the role of emerging predictive biomarkers derived from the tumor environment such as immune cell composition and gut microbiome is presented. Finally, we describe how different tumor models such as patient-derived cancer organoids are used to identify novel predictive biomarkers for chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in rectal cancer.

Effect of comorbidities on long-term outcomes of colorectal cancer patients

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this work is to evaluate the association of comorbidities with various outcomes in patients diagnosed with colon or rectal cancer.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with colon or rectal cancer who underwent surgery. Data were gathered on sociodemographic, clinical characteristics, disease course, and the EuroQol EQ-5D and EORTC QLQ-C30 scores, up to 5 years after surgery. The main outcomes of the study were mortality, complications, readmissions, reoperations, and changes in PROMs up to 5 years. Multivariable multilevel logistic regression models were used in the analyses.

RESULTS

Mortality at some point during the 5-year follow-up was related to cardiocerebrovascular, hemiplegia and/or stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), diabetes, cancer, and dementia. Similarly, complications were related to cardiovascular disease, COPD, diabetes, hepatitis, hepatic or renal pathologies, and dementia; readmissions to cardiovascular disease, COPD, and hepatic pathologies; and reoperations to cerebrovascular and diabetes. Finally, changes in EQ-5D scores at some point during follow-up were related to cardiocerebrovascular disease, COPD, diabetes, pre-existing cancer, hepatic and gastrointestinal pathologies, and changes in EORTC QLQ-C30 scores to cardiovascular disease, COPD, diabetes, and hepatic and gastrointestinal pathologies.

CONCLUSIONS

Optimising the management of the comorbidities most strongly related to adverse outcomes may help to reduce those events in these patients.

Predictive value of serum alpha-fetoprotein for tumor regression after preoperative chemotherapy for rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Preoperative therapy is widely used in locally advanced rectal cancer. It can improve local control of rectal cancer. However, there are few indicators that can predict the effect of preoperative chemotherapy accurately.

AIM

To investigate whether the increase in serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) can predict better efficacy of preoperative chemotherapy.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study. We analyzed 125 patients admitted between 2017 and 2019 with locally advanced rectal cancer. All patients received six cycles of preoperative chemotherapy (mFOLFOX6 every 2 wk). Serum AFP of 26 patients rose slightly after three or four cycles of chemotherapy, and fell to normal again within 2 mo. The other 99 patients had a normal level of serum AFP during chemotherapy. Patients were divided into two groups (AFP risen and AFP normal). According to postoperative pathology, we compared tumor regression and complete response rate between the two groups. The primary outcome measure was the tumor regression grade (TRG) after chemotherapy. The difference in pathological complete response between the two groups was also investigated.

RESULTS

There were no tumor progression and distant metastasis in both groups during preoperative chemotherapy. Patients in the AFP risen group achieved better TRG 0/1 than those in the AFP normal group (61.5% vs 39.4%). The increase in AFP was a significant predictor for better tumor regression [χ² = 4.144, odds ratio (OR) = 2.666, P = 0.04]. In the AFP risen group, the complete response rate was 30.8%, which was higher than in the AFP normal group (30.8% vs 12.1%, χ² = 4.542, OR = 3.251, P = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

Patients with a slight increase in serum AFP can achieve better tumor regression during preoperative chemotherapy, and are more likely to achieve pathological complete response.

Optimized tools and timing of response reassessment after neoadjuvant chemoradiation in rectal cancer

PURPOSE

Reassessment tools of response to long-course neoadjuvant chemoradiation treatment (nCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) are important in predicting complete response (CR) and thus deciding whether a wait-and-watch strategy can be implemented in these patients. Choosing which routine reassessment tools are optimal and when to use them is still unclear and will be researched in the study.

METHODS

Altogether, 250 patients with LARC who received nCRT from 2013 to 2021 and were followed up were retrospectively reviewed. Common reassessment tools of response included digital rectal examination (DRE), clinical examination and symptoms, endoscopy, biopsy, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and blood biomarkers.

RESULTS

Overall, 27.20% (68/250) patients had a complete response and 72.80% (182/250) did not. The combination of MRI, endoscopy, and biopsy showed the best performance in terms of accuracy of 74% and area under the curve (AUC, 0.714, 95% CI 0.546-0.882). Reassessing through DRE and presence of symptoms failed to improve the efficacy of response reassessment. After 100 days, biopsy as an assessment tool would obtain a substantial rise in accuracy from 51.28 to 100% (p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

The combination of MRI, endoscopy, and biopsy is suitable as the reassessment tool of response for applying a wait-and-watch strategy after long-course nCRT in patients with LARC. The accuracy of biopsy as reassessment tools would be improved if they were used over 100 days after nCRT in patients with rectal cancer.

Circulating miRNA Signature Predicts Response to Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) are recommended to receive preoperative chemoradiotherapy (PCRT) followed by surgery. Response to PCRT varies widely: 60%-70% of patients with LARC do not derive therapeutic benefit from PCRT, whereas 15%-20% of patients achieve pathologic complete response (pCR). We sought to develop a liquid biopsy assay for identifying response to PCRT in patients with LARC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We analyzed two genome-wide microRNA (miRNA) expression profiling data sets from tumor tissue samples for in silico discovery (GSE68204) and validation (GSE29298). We prioritized biomarkers in pretreatment plasma specimens from clinical training (n = 41; 15 responders and 26 nonresponders) and validation (n = 65; 29 responders and 36 nonresponders) cohorts of patients with LARC. We developed an integrated miRNA panel and established a risk assessment model, which was combined with the miRNA panel and carcinoembryonic antigen levels.

RESULTS

Our comprehensive discovery effort identified an 8-miRNA panel that robustly predicted response to PCRT, with an excellent accuracy in the discovery (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.95) and validation (AUC = 0.92) cohorts. We successfully established a circulating miRNA panel with remarkable diagnostic accuracy in the clinical training (AUC = 0.82) and validation (AUC = 0.81) cohorts. Moreover, the predictive accuracy of the panel was significantly superior to conventional clinical factors in both cohorts (P < .01) and the risk assessment model was superior (AUC = 0.83). Finally, we applied our model to detect patients with pathologic complete response and showed that it was dramatically superior to currently used pathologic features (AUC = 0.92).

CONCLUSION

Our novel risk assessment signature for predicting response to PCRT has a potential for clinical translation as a liquid biopsy assay in patients with LARC.

Clinical outcome of neoadjuvant chemoradiation in rectal cancer treatment

To determine the clinical and pathological outcome of locally advanced rectal cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation (chemoradiotherapy [CRT]) followed by curative surgery and to identify predictive factors of pathological complete response (pCR).Locally advanced rectal cancer patients undergoing CRT followed by curative surgery from January 2012 to December 2017 were included. Patient's demographic data, pretreatment tumor characteristics, type of CRT regimens, type of surgery, postoperative complications, pathological reports and follow up records were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were applied to identify predictive factors for pCR. Five-year disease free and overall survival were estimated by Kaplan-Meier method and compared between pCR and non-pCR groups.A total of 85 patients were analyzed. Eighteen patients (21.1%) achieved pCR. The sphincter-saving surgery rate was 57.6%. After univariate analyses, tumor length >4 cm (P = .007) and positive lymph nodes (P = .040) were significantly associated with decreased rate of pCR. Complete clinical response was significantly associated with higher rate of pCR (P = .015). Multivariate analyses demonstrated that tumor length >4 cm (P = .010) was significantly associated with decreased rate of pCR. After a median follow-up of 65 months (IQR 34-79), the calculated 5-year overall survival and disease-free survival rates were 81.4% and 69.7%, respectively. Patients who achieved pCR tend to had longer 5-year disease-free survival (P = .355) and overall survival (P = .361) than those who did not.Tumor length >4 cm was associated with decreased rate of pCR in locally advanced rectal cancer who had CRT followed by surgery. Longer waiting time or more intense adjuvant treatment may be considered to improved pCR and oncological outcomes.

Can Elevated Pretreatment Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen Levels Serve as a Potential Biomarker Guiding Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Rectal Cancer Patients With ypTis-3N0 After Neoadjuvant Radiotherapy and Surgery?

Survival benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) remained controversial in patients with stage II/III rectal cancer (RC) who received neoadjuvant therapy and surgery. This study aimed to investigate the guiding role of elevated pretreatment serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels for receiving ACT in yield pathological Tis-3N0 (ypTis-3N0) RC patients after neoadjuvant radiotherapy and surgery. Between 2004 and 2015, 10,973 RC patients with ypTis-3N0 who received neoadjuvant radiotherapy and radical surgery were retrospectively analyzed using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Compared with CEA-normal group, elevated-CEA patients had worse 5-year CSS rate (90.1 vs 83.5%). The 5-year CSS rates were 86.3 and 87.4% for ypTis-3N0M0 patients with or without ACT, respectively. Patients receiving ACT had a comparable 5-year CSS rate compared to those who did not regardless of CEA levels in ypTis-3N0M0 RC patients (CEA elevation group: 76.4 vs. 83.5%, P = 0.305; CEA normal group: 90.0 vs. 90.1%, P = 0.943). Intriguingly, ypT3N0M0 RC patients with elevated CEA levels may benefit from ACT (5-year CSS: 69.1 vs. 82.9%, P = 0.045), while those with normal CEA levels did not (5-year CSS: 89.3 vs. 89.3%, P = 0.885). Multivariate Cox analysis demonstrated that ACT tended to be a protective factor in elevated-CEA ypT3N0M0 RC patients (HR = 0.633, 95% CI = 0.344–1.164, P = 0.141), while ACT was not associated with improved CSS in normal-CEA ypT3N0M0 RC patients (HR = 1.035, 95% CI = 0.487–2.202, P = 0.928). Elevated pretreatment serum CEA levels may serve as a promising biomarker guiding ACT in rectal cancer patients with ypT3N0M0.

Organ Sparing for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant Treatment Followed by Electrochemotherapy

Simple Summary

This is a Phase II randomized controlled trial conducted with the aim of investigating whether the use of Electrochemotherapy after neoadjuvant therapy (ECT) and before surgery in patients with major clinical response allows for a more conservative surgical approach in patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer (LARC) in comparison with the control group that will not receive ECT. The treatment response, in both the control arm and in the treatment arm, will be assessed using the histopathological tumor regression grade on tissue specimens after local excision.

Abstract

Background: Currently, 45–55% of rectal cancer patients receive preoperative chemo- radio-therapy for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer (LARC). The idea of our study is to use Electrochemotherapy (ECT) before surgery, in patients with major clinical response after neoadjuvant therapy, to allow for a more conservative surgical approach. Objective: To evaluate the increase of the complete response rate after neoadjuvant treatment in LARC and to spare organ function due to total mesorectal excision (TME). Patients and Methods: This is a Phase II randomized controlled trial enrolling 70 patients that will be developed in two stages. In the first step, 28 patients will be enrolled: 14 of these will receive ECT for four weeks after neo-adjuvant treatment and then local excision (treatment group) and 14 patients will receive neo-adjuvant treatment and then local excision (control group). If an increase of response rate is observed in the first stage, and/or feasibility/safety is demonstrated, the second stage of the trial will be performed, enrolling an additional 42 patients. The treatment response. in both the control arm and the treatment arm, will be assessed using the histopathological tumor regression grade on tissue specimens after local excision.

Association Between Pathological Complete Response and Tumor Location in Patients with Rectal Cancer After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy, a Prospective Cohort Study

Background: Colorectal cancers are the third common malignancies after lung and breast neoplasms. Some contributing factors for pathological complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant therapy of rectal cancer have been defined. Despite various studies in this era, there are few studies on the location of tumors. Objectives: Regarding the high prevalence of colorectal cancer in Iran and the importance of neoadjuvant chemoradiation for survival and morbidity, this study was carried out to determine the association between pathologic complete response and tumor location in patients with rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. Methods: In this prospective cohort, 100 cases with rectal adenocarcinoma from 2017 to 2019 were enrolled. Distance between anal verge and tumor was measured by clinical examination, colonoscopy, endo-sonography, and MRI. Tumors were defined as distal (less than 5 cm from the anal verge) and none distal (more than 5 cm from the anal verge). Another subdivision was inferior (0 - 4.99 cm), middle (5 - 9.99 cm), and superior (10 - 15 cm). The pathological response was compared across the groups. Results: In this study, the pCR was seen in 30%. In univariate analysis body mass index (BMI), grade, N-stage, and distance from anal verge were related to pCR. In cases with BMI over 25 kg/m2 and in tumors with low to medium grade N0/N1, and distance less than 5 cm from the anal verge (low lying tumors) the pCR to neoadjuvant treatment was higher. In multivariate analysis tumor grade, N stage, and distance from anal verge were still related to pCR. Conclusions: According to the obtained results in this study, there may be some association between rectal tumor location and pathologic complete response.

Can normalized carcinoembryonic antigen following neoadjuvant chemoradiation predict tumour recurrence after curative resection for locally advanced rectal cancer?

AIM

The aim of this work was to evaluate whether normalized carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) following neoadjuvant chemoradiation predicts the prognosis following curative resection in locally advanced rectal cancer.

METHOD

Patients who underwent neoadjuvant chemoradiation and curative resection for locally advanced rectal cancer between 2010 and 2015 were divided into three groups: Group A (n = 119, normal-to-normal): normal CEA before and after neoadjuvant chemoradiation; Group B (n = 37, high-to-normal): elevated CEA before and normal CEA after neoadjuvant chemoradiation; Group C (n = 36, high-to-high): elevated CEA before and after neoadjuvant chemoradiation. Overall and disease-free survival were compared. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified potential predictors for recurrence.

RESULTS

One hundred and ninety two patients [median age 59 years (range 31-87), 65.1% male] were identified: 54.7% had low rectal cancer: 12.5% were clinical stage T4 and 70.3% were clinically node positive; 21.9% achieved complete pathological response; 24.5% had abdominoperineal resection (APR); and 70.3% underwent adjuvant chemotherapy following curative resection. Significantly more patients in Group C underwent APR (p = 0.0209), had advanced pathological T stage (P = 0.0065) and a higher prevalence of perineural invasion (p = 0.0042). Overall and disease-free survival were significantly higher for Group A than for Group C [hazard ratio (HR) = 4.32, 95% CI = 1.66-11.21, p = 0.0026 and HR=2.68, 95% CI = 1.33-5.40, p = 0.0057, respectively]. No significant difference was noted between Groups A and B for overall (p = 0.0591) or disease-free (p = 0.2834) survival. Another risk factor associated with recurrence and death was clinical T4 stage; nodal positivity was a risk factor only for recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Elevated CEA after neoadjuvant chemoradiation and clinical stage T4 disease were unfavourable predictors for overall and disease-free survival. Normalized CEA during neoadjuvant chemoradiation may serve as a prognosticator, although pretreatment CEA may significantly affect survival.

Can Pre-Treatment Inflammatory Parameters Predict the Probability of Sphincter-Preserving Surgery in Patients with Locally Advanced Low-Lying Rectal Cancer?

There is evidence suggesting that pre-treatment clinical parameters can predict the probability of sphincter-preserving surgery in rectal cancer; however, to date, data on the predictive role of inflammatory parameters on the sphincter-preservation rate are not available. The aim of the present cohort study was to investigate the association between inflammation-based parameters and the sphincter-preserving surgery rate in patients with low-lying locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). A total of 848 patients with LARC undergoing radiotherapy from 2004 to 2019 were retrospectively reviewed in order to identify patients with rectal cancer localized ≤6 cm from the anal verge, treated with neo-adjuvant radiochemotherapy (nRCT) and subsequent surgery. Univariable and multivariable analyses were used to investigate the role of pre-treatment inflammatory parameters, including the C-reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) for the prediction of sphincter preservation. A total of 363 patients met the inclusion criteria; among them, 210 patients (57.9%) underwent sphincter-preserving surgery, and in 153 patients (42.1%), an abdominoperineal rectum resection was performed. Univariable analysis showed a significant association of the pre-treatment CRP value (OR = 2.548, 95% CI: 1.584–4.097, p < 0.001) with sphincter preservation, whereas the pre-treatment NLR (OR = 1.098, 95% CI: 0.976–1.235, p = 0.120) and PLR (OR = 1.002, 95% CI: 1.000–1.005, p = 0.062) were not significantly associated with the type of surgery. In multivariable analysis, the pre-treatment CRP value (OR = 2.544; 95% CI: 1.314–4.926; p = 0.006) was identified as an independent predictive factor for sphincter-preserving surgery. The findings of the present study suggest that the pre-treatment CRP value represents an independent parameter predicting the probability of sphincter-preserving surgery in patients with low-lying LARC.

Predictive Factors for Pathologic Complete Response Following Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Rectal Cancer

Background:

An accurate assessment of potential pathologic complete response(pCR) following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy(NCRT) is important for the appropriate treatment of rectal cancer. However, the factors that predict the response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy have not been well defined. Therefore, this study analyzed the predictive factors on the development of pCR after neoadjuvant chemoradiation for rectal cancer.

Methods:

From January 2008 to January 2018, a total of 432 consecutive patients from a single institution patients who underwent a long-course neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy were reviewed in this study. The clinicopathological features were analyzed to identify predictive factors for pathologic complete response in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiation.

Results:

The rate of pathologic complete response in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiation was 20.8%, patients were divided into the pCR and non-pCR groups. The two groups were well balanced in terms of age, gender, body mass index, ASA score, tumor stage, tumor differentiation, tumor location, surgical procedure, chemotherapy regimen and radiation dose. The multivariate analysis revealed that a pretreatment carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level of ≤5 ng/mL and an interval of ≥8 weeks between the completion of chemoradiation and surgical resection were independent risk factors of an increased rate of pCR.

Conclusions:

Pretreatment carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level of ≤5 ng/mL and an interval of ≥8 weeks between the completion of chemoradiation and surgical resection are predictive factors for pathologic complete response in rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiation. Using these predictive factors, we can predict the prognosis of patients and develop adaptive treatment strategies. A wait-and-see policy might be possible in highly selective cases.

Predicting pathological response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer: a systematic review

Introduction: Pathological complete response (pCR) rates of approximately 20% following neoadjuvant long-course chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer have given rise to non-operative or watch-and-wait (W&W) management. To improve outcomes there has been significant research into predictors of response. The goal is to optimize selection for W&W, avoid chemoradiotherapy in those who won't benefit and improve treatment to maximize the clinical complete response (cCR) rate and the number of patients who can be considered for W&W.Areas covered: A systematic review of articles published 2008-2018 and indexed in PubMed, Embase or Medline was performed to identify predictors of pathological response (including pCR and recognized tumor regression grades) to fluoropyrimidine-based chemoradiotherapy in patients who underwent total mesorectal excision for rectal cancer. Evidence for clinical, biomarker and radiological predictors is discussed as well as potential future directions.Expert opinion: Our current ability to predict the response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer is very limited. cCR of 40% has been achieved with total neoadjuvant therapy. If neoadjuvant treatment for rectal cancer continues to improve it is possible that the treatment for rectal cancer may eventually parallel that of anal squamous cell carcinoma, with surgery reserved for the minority of patients who don't respond to chemoradiotherapy.

A Comprehensive Evaluation of Associations Between Routinely Collected Staging Information and The Response to (Chemo)Radiotherapy in Rectal Cancer

Simple Summary

Rectal cancer patients are often treated with radiotherapy, either alone or combined with chemotherapy, prior to surgery to enable radical surgery on a non-resectable tumor or to lower the recurrence risk. For some patients, the tumor disappears completely after preoperative treatment, while others experience little or no benefit. Accurate prediction of therapy response before treatment is of great importance for a personalized treatment approach and intentional organ preservation. We performed a comprehensive evaluation of the predictive capacity of all routinely collected staging information at diagnosis in a population-based, completely staged patient material of 383 patients representing a real-life clinical situation. Size or stage of the rectal tumor were independent predictors of excellent response irrespective of preoperative treatment, with small/early-stage tumors being significantly more likely to reach a complete response. Levels of the tumor marker carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) above upper normal limit halved the chance of response.

Abstract

Radiotherapy (RT) or chemoradiotherapy (CRT) are frequently used in rectal cancer, sometimes resulting in complete tumor remission (CR). The predictive capacity of all clinical factors, laboratory values and magnetic resonance imaging parameters performed in routine staging was evaluated to understand what determines an excellent response to RT/CRT. A population-based cohort of 383 patients treated with short-course RT (5 × 5 Gy in one week, scRT), CRT, or scRT with chemotherapy (scRT+CT) and having either had a delay to surgery or been entered into a watch-and-wait program were included. Complete staging according to guidelines was performed and associations between investigated variables and CR rates were analyzed in univariate and multivariate analyses. In total, 17% achieved pathological or clinical CR, more often after scRT+CT and CRT than after scRT (27%, 18% and 8%, respectively, p < 0.001). Factors independently associated with CR included clinical tumor stage, small tumor size (<3 cm), tumor level, and low CEA-value (<3.8 μg/L). Size or stage of the rectal tumor were associated with excellent response in all therapy groups, with small or early stage tumors being significantly more likely to reach CR (p = 0.01 (scRT), p = 0.01 (CRT) and p = 0.02 (scRT+CT). Elevated level of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) halved the chance of response. Extramural vascular invasion (EMVI) and mucinous character may indicate less response to RT alone.

Preoperative concurrent chemoradiotherapy MRI characteristics favouring pathologic complete response in patients with rectal cancer: Usefulness of MR T2-stage as an ancillary finding for predicting pathologic complete response

INTRODUCTION

This study sought to assess preoperative concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based findings according to a structured MRI report template for primary staging of rectal cancer, and to evaluate the prognostic relevance of the pre-CRT MRI-based findings in patients with rectal cancer after CRT.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated pre- and post-CRT MRI data of patients with pathologically proven rectal adenocarcinoma, between January 2008 and October 2019. Image interpretation was performed independently by two radiologists and each reviewer assessed the cancer characteristics on MRI, based on the structured MRI report for primary staging. MRI-based findings associated with pathologic complete tumour regression grade (TRG) after CRT were analysed by univariate and multivariate analysis. Significant factors from pre-CRT MRI were weighted to score mrTRG in post-CRT MRI.

RESULTS

On univariate analysis, MR T-stage, tumour infiltration, mesorectal fascia involvement, extramural vascular invasion and serum carcinoembryonic antigen level correlated significantly with pathologic complete response (pCR). Multivariate analysis identified that only MR T-stage was independently associated with pCR (odds ratio, 3.89, 95% confidence interval, 1.18-12.84; P = 0.0278). Adding MRI-based T2-stage as an ancillary finding to mrTRG statistically significantly improved the sensitivity as compared to using only mrTRG for considering a CR. T2_mrTRG was significantly different in terms of the time to tumour progression between the CR and non-CR group.

CONCLUSIONS

The MR T2-stage was independently associated with pCR after CRT in patients with rectal cancer and was helpful as ancillary predictive factor, adding to mrTRG for prediction of pCR.

Prognostic value of changes in serum carcinoembryonic antigen levels for preoperative chemoradiotherapy response in locally advanced rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is a standard treatment modality for locally advanced rectal cancer. However, CRT alone cannot improve overall survival. Approximately 20% of patients with CRT-resistant tumors show disease progression. Therefore, predictive factors for treatment response are needed to identify patients who will benefit from CRT. We theorized that the prognosis may vary if patients are classified according to pre- to post-CRT changes in carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels.

AIM

To identify patients with locally advanced rectal cancer for preoperative chemoradiotherapy based on carcinoembryonic antigen levels.

METHODS

We retrospectively included locally advanced rectal cancer patients who underwent preoperative CRT and curative resection between 2011 and 2017. Patients were assigned to groups A, B, and C based on pre- and post-CRT serum CEA levels: Both > 5; pre > 5 and post ≤ 5; and both ≤ 5 ng/mL, respectively. We compared the response to CRT based on changes in serum CEA levels. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to determine optimal cutoff for neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio and platelet–lymphocyte ratio. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the prognostic factors for pathologic complete response (pCR)/good response.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 145 patients; of them, 27, 43, and 65 belonged to groups A, B, and C, respectively, according to changes in serum CEA levels before and after CRT. Pre- (P < 0.001) and post-CRT (P < 0.001) CEA levels and the ratio of down-staging (P = 0.013) were higher in Groups B and C than in Group A. The ratio of pathologic tumor regression grade 0/1 significantly differed among the groups (P = 0.003). Group C had the highest number of patients showing pCR (P < 0.001). Most patients with pCR showed pre- and post-CRT CEA levels < 5 ng/mL (P < 0.001, P = 0.008). Pre- and post-CRT CEA levels were important risk factors for pCR (OR = 18.71; 95%CI: 4.62–129.51, P < 0.001) and good response (OR = 5.07; 95%CI: 1.92–14.83, P = 0.002), respectively. Pre-CRT neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio and post-CRT T ≥ 3 stage were also prognostic factors for pCR or good response.

CONCLUSION

Pre- and post-CRT CEA levels, as well as change in CEA levels, were prognostic markers for treatment response to CRT and may facilitate treatment individualization for rectal cancer.

Combining Radiomics and Blood Test Biomarkers to Predict the Response of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer to Chemoradiation

BACKGROUND/AIM

A noninvasive method for predicting a patient's response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) for locally advanced rectal cancer would be useful because this would help determine the subsequent treatment strategy. Two types of noninvasive biomarkers have previously been studied, based on radiomics and based on blood test parameters. We hypothesized that a combination of both types would provide a better predictive power, and this has not previously been investigated.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data from 135 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who underwent nCRT were retrospectively allocated into training and validation cohorts in a 2:1 ratio. Sixty-five radiomics features were extracted from tumors segmented on T2-weighted magnetic resonance images. An elastic net was applied to generate four models for discerning the patients with good responses to nCRT based on radiomics features (model R), blood biomarkers (model B), both (model RB), and a linear combination of models R and B (model R+B).

RESULTS

Among 65 radiomics features, 17 were selected as robust features for model development. The AUC values of model R, model B, model RB, and model R+B achieved 0.751, 0.627, 0.785, and 0.711 in the training cohort (n=90), and 0.705, 0.603, 0.679, and 0.705 in validation cohort (n=45), respectively. In the entire cohort, models RB and R+B demonstrated a significantly better performance than model B but not R. There was no correlation between the scores of models R and B (p=0.76). Radiomics features had a greater influence than blood biomarkers on models RB and R+B.

CONCLUSION

A non-redundancy between radiomics features and blood-based biomarkers was observed. Furthermore, radiomics features are more valuable in terms of predicting response to nCRT. The importance of combining non-invasive biomarkers in future investigations is highlighted.

γ-H2AX as a potential indicator of radiosensitivity in colorectal cancer cells

Preoperative radiotherapy improves local disease control and disease-free survival in patients with advanced rectal cancer; however, a reliable predictive biomarker for the effectiveness of irradiation has yet to be elucidated. Phosphorylation of H2A histone family member X (H2AX) to γ-H2AX is induced by DNA double-strand breaks and is associated with the development of colorectal cancer (CRC). The current study aimed to clarify the relationship between γ-H2AX expression and CRC radiosensitivity in vitro and in vivo. H2AX levels were analyzed in datasets obtained from cohort studies and γ-H2AX expression was investigated by performing immunohistochemistry and western blotting using clinical CRC samples from patients without any preoperative therapy. In addition, the CRC cell lines WiDr and DLD-1 were subjected to irradiation and/or small interfering RNA-H2AX, after which the protein levels of γ-H2AX were examined in samples obtained from patients undergoing preoperative chemoradiotherapy. To quantify the observable effect of treatment on cancer cells, outcomes were graded as follows: 1, mild; 2, moderate; and 3, marked, with defined signatures of cellular response. Datasets obtained from cohort studies demonstrated that H2AX mRNA levels were significantly upregulated and associated with distal metastasis and microsatellite instability in CRC tissues, in contrast to that of normal tissues. In addition, γ-H2AX was overexpressed in clinical samples. In vitro, following irradiation, γ-H2AX expression levels increased and cell viability decreased in a time-dependent manner. Combined irradiation and γ-H2AX knockdown reduced the viability of each cell line when compared with irradiation or γ-H2AX knockdown alone. Furthermore, among clinical CRC samples from patients undergoing preoperative chemoradiotherapy, levels of γ-H2AX in the grade 1 group were significantly higher than those in grade 2 or grade 3. In conclusion, γ-H2AX may serve as a novel predictive marker and target for preoperative radiotherapy effectiveness in patients with CRC.

The impact of circumferential tumour location on the clinical outcome of rectal cancer patients managed with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by total mesorectal excision

AIM

To investigate the impact of circumferential tumour location on neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) response and its prognostic value for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients after CRT and surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective study was performed on 486 patients with LARC who received neoadjuvant CRT and surgical treatment. The rate of pathological complete response (pCR) and survival among patients with anteriorly, laterally, and posteriorly located tumours were compared. Logistic regression was performed to identify pCR predictors.

RESULTS

The anterior tumours exhibited the highest pCR rate of 26.7%, which was slightly higher than the 20.0% and 12.3% for lateral and posterior tumours, respectively (P = 0.006). The 5-year Overall survival (OS) rates after CRT were similar among the anterior, lateral, and posterior groups (anterior vs lateral vs posterior: 81.1% vs 89.9% vs 84.1%, P = 0.6368). Multivariate analysis revealed that the circumferential tumour location, post-CRT serum CEA and post-CRT tumour thickness measured by MRI were independently correlated with achieving pCR.

CONCLUSION

This study is the first, to the best of our knowledge, to show that anterior LARC exhibited the highest pCR rate after neoadjuvant CRT. Patients with anterior rectal cancers do not have different prognoses from those with non-anterior cancers if they undergo neoadjuvant CRT.

Nomogram for predicting pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with advanced gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

Survival benefit of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for advanced gastric cancer (AGC) is a debatable issue. Studies have shown that the survival benefit of NAC is dependent on the pathological response to chemotherapy drugs. For those who achieve pathological complete response (pCR), NAC significantly prolonged prolapsed-free survival and overall survival. For those with poor response, NAC yielded no survival benefit, only toxicity and increased risk for tumor progression during chemotherapy, which may hinder surgical resection. Thus, predicting pCR to NAC is of great clinical significance and can help achieve individualized treatment in AGC patients.

AIM

To establish a nomogram for predicting pCR to NAC for AGC patients.

METHODS

Two-hundred and eight patients diagnosed with AGC who received NAC followed by resection surgery from March 2012 to July 2019 were enrolled in this study. Their clinical data were retrospectively analyzed by logistic regression analysis to determine the possible predictors for pCR. Based on these predictors, a nomogram model was developed and internally validated using the bootstrap method.

RESULTS

pCR was confirmed in 27 patients (27/208, 13.0%). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that higher carcinoembryonic antigen level, lymphocyte ratio, lower monocyte count and tumor differentiation grade were associated with higher pCR. Concordance statistic of the established nomogram was 0.767.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram predicting pCR to NAC was established. Since this nomogram exhibited satisfactory predictive power despite utilizing easily available pretreatment parameters, it can be inferred that this nomogram is practical for the development of personalized treatment strategy for AGC patients.

Clinical parameters predictive for sphincter-preserving surgery and prognostic outcome in patients with locally advanced low rectal cancer

Background

Although controversial, there are data suggesting that clinical parameters can predict the probability of sphincter preserving procedures in rectal cancer. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association between clinical parameters and the sphincter-preserving surgery rate in patients who had undergone neoadjuvant combination therapy for advanced low rectal cancer.

Methods

In this single center study, the charts of 540 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who had been treated with induction chemotherapy-and/or neoadjuvant concomitant radiochemotherapy (nRCT) over an 11-year period were reviewed in order to identify patients with rectal cancer ≤6 cm from the anal verge, who had received the prescribed nRCT only. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify pretreatment patient- and tumor associated parameters correlating with sphincter preservation. Survival rates were calculated using Kaplan-Meier analyses.

Results

Two hundred eighty of the 540 patients met the selection criteria. Of the 280 patients included in the study, 158 (56.4%) underwent sphincter-preserving surgery. One hundred sixty-four of 280 patients (58.6%) had a downsizing of the primary tumor (ypT < cT) and 39 (23.8%) of these showed a complete histopathological response (ypT0 ypN0). In univariate analysis, age prior to treatment, Karnofsky performance status, clinical T-size, relative lymphocyte value, CRP value, and interval between nRCT and surgery, were significantly associated with sphincter-preserving surgery. In multivariate analysis, age (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.05, CI95%: 1.02–1.09, p = 0.003), relative lymphocyte value (HR = 0.94, CI95%: 0.89–0.99, p = 0.029), and interval between nRCT and surgery (HR = 2.39, CI95%: 1.17–4.88, p = 0.016) remained as independent predictive parameters.

Conclusions

These clinical parameters can be considered in the prognostication of sphincter-preserving surgery in case of low rectal adenocarcinoma. More future research is required in this area.

Impact of delaying surgery after chemoradiation in rectal cancer: outcomes from a tertiary cancer centre in India

Background

Delaying surgery after chemoradiation is one of the strategies for increasing tumor regression in rectal cancer. Tumour regression and PCR are known to have positive impact on survival.

Methods

It's a retrospective study of 161 patients undergoing surgery after neoadjuvant chemoradiation (NCRT) for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Patients were divided into three categories based on the gap between NCRT and surgery, i.e., <8, 8-12 and >12 weeks. Tumor regression grades (TRG), sphincter preservation, post-operative morbidity-mortality and survival were evaluated.

Results

Sphincter preservation was significantly less in >12 weeks group compared to the other two groups (P=0.003). Intraoperative blood loss was significantly higher in >12 weeks group compared to 8-12 weeks group (P=0.001).There was no difference in major postoperative morbidity and hospital stay among the groups. There was no significant correlation between delay and TRG (P=0.644). At Median follow up of 49.5 months the projected 3-year overall survival (OS) and disease free survival (DFS) were not significantly different among the 3 groups (OS: 79.5% vs. 83.3% vs. 76.5%; P=0.849 and DFS 50.4% vs. 70.6% vs. 62%; P=0.270 respectively).

Conclusions

Delaying surgery by more than 12 weeks causes more blood loss but no change in morbidity or hospital stay. Increased time interval between radiation and surgery does not improve tumor regression and has no effect on survival.

Predictive Value of FOLFOX-Based Regimen, Long Interval, Hemoglobin Levels and Clinical Negative Nodal Status, and Postchemoradiotherapy CEA Levels for Pathological Complete Response in Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

We aimed to identify predictors of a pathological complete response (pCR) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) following a multimodality therapy. We retrospectively reviewed 236 patients with LARC treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by radical resection from January 2011 to December 2017. Patients were administered CRT, which comprised radiotherapy and chemotherapy with an oxaliplatin plus 5-fluorouracil- or fluoropyrimidine-based regimen. Clinical factors were correlated with treatment response. The multivariate logistic regression revealed that a negative nodal stage (odds ratio (OR) = 3.2, P=0.0135), a high hemoglobin level (>10 g/dL) during neoadjuvant CRT (OR = 3.067, P=0.0125), an oxaliplatin-containing neoadjuvant CRT (OR = 5.385, P=0.0044), a long interval (>8 weeks) between radiotherapy and surgery (OR = 1.135, P=0.0469), and a post-CRT CEA ≤2 ng/mL (OR = 2.891, P=0.0233) were the independent predictors of increased pCR rates. The prediction nomogram was developed according to the above independent variables. The concordance index was 0.74, and the calibration curve showed good agreement. In summary, negative nodal stages, high hemoglobin levels during treatment, oxaliplatin-containing neoadjuvant therapy, a long radiotherapy-surgery interval (>8 weeks), and post-CRT CEA levels ≤2 ng/mL were favorable predictors of a pCR. This prediction nomogram might be crucial for patients with LARC undergoing a multimodality therapy.

Predictive value of serum and tissue carcinoembryonic antigens for radiologic response and oncologic outcome of rectal cancer

PURPOSE

The clinical importance of tissue CEA levels for predicting tumor response to preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for rectal cancer has not been studied.

METHODS

Serum CEA levels and tissue CEA expressions for 117 patients who underwent preoperative CRT for rectal cancer, were prospectively collected and analyzed at a tertiary university hospital RESULTS: The median follow-up time was 49 months (range, 3-61 months), and the 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) rate was 68.3 %. In multivariate analysis, serum CEA (log-transformed value) [odds ratio (OR) = 0.741, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.588-40.422, P =  0.021], tissue CEA/GAPDH ratio (OR = 3.673, 95 % CI 1.316-12.081, P =  0.019), and tumor circumferentiality (OR = 2.960, 955 CI, 1.101-8.999, P =  0.040) were the independent predictors for good tumor response to CRT. Serum CEA level was significant prognostic factor for DFS (P =  0.004) in multivariate analysis. However, tissue CEA was not associated with DFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Both serum and tissue CEA were significant factors for predicting good tumor response following preoperative CRT. However, tissue CEA was not associated with the oncologic outcome. The possibility of radiologic resistance of high CEA tumors is expected to be investigated through further studies.

A Case with Rectal Cancer Relapses After Clinical Complete Remission Following Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

Despite advancements in diagnosis and therapy, relapse of rectal cancer after clinical complete remission (cCR) remains a frequent event. The key factors influencing the treatment strategy for the management of patients achieving cCR following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (Neo-CRT) remain to be identified. We present the case of a 64-year-old man with rectal cancer. The patient was initially admitted to the hospital in September 2011 with a 3-month history of change in his stools. Following his re-hospitalization in November 2011, a biopsy specimen of the neoplasm suggested the presence of rectal adenocarcinoma; laboratory investigations also revealed elevated levels of carcinoembryonic antigens (CEA; carbohydrate antigen 199) in the serum. Subsequently, the patient received Neo-CRT, as well as symptomatic and supportive treatment. The level of serum CEA returned to normal, without signs of swollen lymph nodes in the pelvic cavity. The patient was diagnosed with rectal cancer based on the elevated level of serum CEA, colonoscopy, and contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging. He relapsed 4 months after cCR following Neo-CRT and underwent laparoscopic Miles’ surgery in April 2013. The relapse may have been mainly attributed to residual tumor cells. This case report and literature review may contribute to the clinical recognition of treatment for patients with rectal cancer achieving cCR following Neo-CRT.

Radiomics features on radiotherapy treatment planning CT can predict patient survival in locally advanced rectal cancer patients

This retrospective study was to investigate whether radiomics feature come from radiotherapy treatment planning CT can predict prognosis in locally advanced rectal cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation followed by surgery. Four-hundred-eleven locally advanced rectal cancer patients which were treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation enrolled in this study. All patients’ radiotherapy treatment planning CTs were collected. Tumor was delineated on these CTs by physicians. An in-house radiomics software was used to calculate 271 radiomics features. The results of test-retest and contour-recontour studies were used to filter stable radiomics (Spearman correlation coefficient > 0.7). Twenty-one radiomics features were final enrolled. The performance of prediction model with the radiomics or clinical features were calculated. The clinical outcomes include local control, distant control, disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Model performance C-index was evaluated by C-index. Patients are divided into two groups by cluster results. The results of chi-square test revealed that the radiomics feature cluster is independent of clinical features. Patients have significant differences in OS (p = 0.032, log rank test) for these two groups. By supervised modeling, radiomics features can improve the prediction power of OS from 0.672 [0.617 0.728] with clinical features only to 0.730 [0.658 0.801]. In conclusion, the radiomics features from radiotherapy CT can potentially predict OS for locally advanced rectal cancer patients with neoadjuvant chemoradiation treatment.

Developing a prediction model based on MRI for pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to build an appropriate diagnostic model for predicting pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), by combining magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) parameters with clinical factors.

METHODS

Eighty-four patients with LARC who underwent MR examination before and after nCRT were enrolled in this study. MRI parameters including cylindrical approximated tumor volume (CATV) and relative signal intensity of tumor (rT2wSI) were measured; corresponding reduction rates (RR) were calculated; and MR tumor regression grade (mrTRG) and other conventional MRI parameters were assessed. Logistic regression with lasso regularization was performed and the appropriate prediction model for pCR was built up. An external cohort of thirty-six patients was used as the validation group for testing the model. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess the diagnostic performance.

RESULTS

In the development and the validation group, 17 patients (20.2%) and 11 patients (30.6%), respectively, achieved pCR. Two CATV-related parameters (CATVpost, which is the CATV measured after nCRT and CATVRR), one rT2wSI-related parameter (rT2wSIRR), and mrTRG were the most important parameters for predicting pCR and were retained in the diagnostic model. In the development group, the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) for predicting pCR is 0.88 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.78-0.97, p < 0.001], with a sensitivity of 82.4% and a specificity of 83.6%. In the validation group, the AUC is 0.84 (95% CI 0.70-0.98, p = 0.001), with a sensitivity of 81.8% and a specificity of 76.0%.

CONCLUSION

A diagnostic model including CATVpost, CATVRR, rT2wSIRR, and mrTRG was useful for predicting pCR after nCRT in patients with LARC and may be used as an effective organ-preservation strategy.

Predictors and Risk Factors of Pathologic Complete Response Following Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Rectal Cancer: A Population-Based Analysis

Background: Patients with rectal cancer who achieve pathologic complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) may have a better prognosis and may be eligible for non-operative management. The aim of this research was to identify variables for predicting pCR in rectal cancer patients after nCRT and to define clinical risk factors for poor outcome after pCR to nCRT and radical resection in rectal cancer patients. Methods: A retrospective review was performed using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2004 to 2013. Non-metastatic rectal cancer patients who received radical resection after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy were included in this study. Multivariate analysis of the association between clinicopathological characteristics and pCR was performed, and a logistic regression model was used to identify independent predictors for pCR. A nomogram based on the multivariate logistics regression was built with decision curve analyses to evaluate the clinical usefulness. Results: A total of 6,555 patients were included in this study. The proportion of patients with pCR was 20.5% (n = 1,342). The nomogram based on multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that clinical T4 and N2 stages were the most significant independent clinical predictors for not achieving pCR, followed by mucinous adenocarcinoma and positive pre-treatment serum CEA results. The 3-year overall survival rate was 92.4% for those with pCR and 88.2% for those without pCR. Among all the pCR patients, mucinous adenocarcinoma patients had the worst survival, with a 3-year overall survival rate of 67.5%, whereas patients with common adenocarcinoma had an overall survival rate of 93.8% (P < 0.001). Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that histology and clinical N2 stage were independent risk factors. Conclusion: Mucinous adenocarcinoma, positive pre-treatment serum CEA results, and clinical T4 and N2 stages may impart difficulty for patients to achieve pCR. Mucinous adenocarcinoma and clinical N2 stage might be indicative of a prognostically unfavorable biological tumor profile with a greater propensity for local or distant recurrence and decreased survival.

Molecular Predictors of Response to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation for Rectal Cancer

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether the expression of specific molecular markers in the rectal cancer biopsies prior to treatment, can correlate with complete tumor response to chemoradiotherapy (CRT) as determined by the pathology of the surgical specimen.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined pretreatment rectal biopsies of patients aged 18 years or older with locally advanced rectal cancer who had been treated with neoadjuvant CRT and surgical resection in our tertiary-care, university-affiliated medical center, between January 2001 and December 2011. Samples were analyzed for expression of B-cell lymphoma 2, P53, Ki67, epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), vascular endothelial growth factor receptor, and the tumor regression grade after CRT and radical surgery.

RESULTS

Forty-seven patients were included in the final analysis. Main outcome measures were the correlation between the expression of the molecular markers tested in the pretreatment biopsy, and complete tumor response. Complete pathologic response after CRT was attained in 27% of the patients. Percentage of cells expressing EGFR in the pretreated biopsies of patients having complete pathologic response after CRT and surgery was 33.08±7.87% compared to 19±15.36% (P=0.38), 6.66±2.83% (P<0.003), and 12.5±4.93% (P=0.033) in patients with partial response and tumor regression grades of 2, 3, and 4, respectively. The other molecular markers tested in the pretreatment biopsy did not corresponded with complete pathologic response.

CONCLUSIONS

EGFR expression pattern in the pretreatment biopsies of rectal tumors can assist in identifying patients who will benefit from neoadjuvant CRT.

Is the Pathologic Response of T3 Rectal Cancer to High-Dose-Rate Endorectal Brachytherapy Comparable to External Beam Radiotherapy?

BACKGROUND

Endorectal brachytherapy is an attractive option in the neoadjuvant setting for locally advanced rectal cancer, but it is not considered standard of care.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to compare pathologic outcomes of patients with clinical T3 rectal cancer who underwent high-dose-rate endorectal brachytherapy with those who underwent conventional external beam radiotherapy.

DESIGN

This study is a retrospective chart review.

SETTINGS

This study was conducted in a single large tertiary academic colorectal surgery practice in Canada.

PATIENTS

Adult patients with MRI-staged T3 rectal adenocarcinoma treated with neoadjuvant radiotherapy followed by total mesorectal excision from 2007 to 2016 were included.

INTERVENTIONS

Neoadjuvant radiotherapy was delivered by high-dose-rate endorectal brachytherapy or conventional external beam radiotherapy.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary outcome was pathologic complete response, defined as ypT0N0. Secondary outcomes included tumor (T stage) and lymph node (N stage) downstaging and tumor regression grade.

RESULTS

Ninety-nine patients were identified as having clinical T3 rectal cancer based on blinded pretreatment MRI review. Mean age was 66.2 years (± 6.2) and 59 patients (59.6%) were male. Thirty-three patients were clinically node negative (33.3%), 45 had c-N1 disease (45.5%), and 21 had c-N2 disease (21.2%). Sixty-four patients (64.6%) underwent high-dose-rate endorectal brachytherapy and 35 (35.4%) underwent external beam radiotherapy. The high-dose-rate endorectal brachytherapy group had a lower median mesorectal depth of invasion (4 mm vs 5 mm, p = 0.010); all other preoperative tumor characteristics were similar in both groups. Eighteen patients (18.2%) achieved pathologic complete response: 12 in the high-dose-rate endorectal brachytherapy group and 6 in the conventional external beam radiotherapy group (18.8% vs 17.1%, p = 0.84). High-dose-rate endorectal brachytherapy was superior to conventional radiotherapy for tumor (T stage) downstaging (59.4% vs 28.6%, p = 0.0030) but not for lymph node (N stage) downstaging (35.9% vs 51.4%, p = 0.14).

LIMITATIONS

This study was limited by its retrospective nature and modest sample size.

CONCLUSIONS

Neoadjuvant treatment of T3 rectal cancer with high-dose-rate endorectal brachytherapy appears to achieve equivalent rates of pathologic complete response and superior T-stage downstaging compared with conventional external beam radiotherapy. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A905.

Nomograms for predicting pathological response to neoadjuvant treatments in patients with rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

In recent decades, neoadjuvant therapy (NT) has been the standardized treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Approximately 8%-35% of patients with LARC who received NT were reported to have achieved a complete pathological response (pCR). If the pathological response (PR) can be accurately predicted, these patients may not need surgery. In addition, no response after NT implies that the tumor is destructive, resistant to both chemotherapy and radiotherapy, and prone to having a high metastatic potential. Therefore, developing accurate models to predict PR has great clinical significance and can help achieve individualized treatment in LARC patients.

AIM

To establish nomograms for predicting PR to different NT regimens based on pretreatment parameters for patients with LARC.

METHODS

Rectal cancer patients were identified from the database of The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University from January 2012 to December 2016. Logistic regression and nomograms were developed to predict the probability of pCR and good downstaging to ypT0-2N0M0 (ypTNM 0-I), respectively, based on pretreatment parameters for all LARC patients. Nomograms were also developed for three NT regimens (capecitabine/deGramont-RT, mFOLFOX6, and mFOLFOX6-RT) to predict pCR probability.

RESULTS

Four hundred and three patients were included in this study; 72 (17.9%) had pCR at the final pathology report, and 177 (43.9%) achieved good downstaging to ypT0-2N0M0 (ypTNM 0-I). The nomogram for predicting pCR probability showed that NT regimens, tumor differentiation, mesorectal fascia (MRF) status, and tumor length significantly influenced pCR probability. When predicting the probability of good downstaging, tumor differentiation, MRF status, and clinical T stage were the significant factors. Nomograms were developed based on NT regimens. For the capecitabine/de Gramont-RT group, the multivariate analysis showed that the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was the only significant factor, thus we could not develop a nomogram for this regimen. For the mFOLFOX6-RT group, the analysis showed that the significant factors were tumor length and MRF status; and for the mFOLFOX6 group, the significant factors were tumor length and tumor differentiation.

CONCLUSION

We established accurate nomograms for predicting the PR to preoperative NT regimens based on pretreatment parameters for LARC patients.

CEA clearance pattern as a predictor of tumor response to neoadjuvant treatment in rectal cancer: a post-hoc analysis of FOWARC trial

BACKGROUND

The clinical factors that accurately predict the response to preoperative treatment in rectal cancer were yet unknown. The carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) clearance pattern during neoadjuvant treatment has been developed and the predictive value explored in rectal cancer patients with elevated CEA levels (> 5 ng/mL).

METHODS

The training cohort was derived from the FOWARC prospective phase III trial, and 71/483 eligible patients were included. The validation cohort consisted of 75/587 consecutive rectal cancer patients from Xiangya Hospital between 2014 and 2015. The kinetic changes in serum CEA were measured at different time points during the neoadjuvant treatment. An exponential trend line was drawn using the CEA values. The patients were categorized into two groups based on the R² value of the trend line, which indicates the correlation coefficient between the exponential graph and measured CEA values: exponential decrease group (0.9 < R² ≤ 1.0) and non-exponential decrease group (R² ≤ 0.9).

RESULTS

In multivariate analysis, the patients in the CEA exponential decrease group had significantly high adequate rate of downstaging (ypT0-2N0M0), and pathologic complete response (pCR) rates after neoadjuvant treatment in the training cohort. The predictive values of the CEA clearance pattern for tumor downstaging and pCR were further confirmed in an independent validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The CEA clearance pattern was an independent predictor of tumor response to neoadjuvant treatment in patients with rectal cancer. It might serve as an adjunct in the assessment of complete clinical response and guide individualized treatment strategies.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT01211210.

Predictive value of carcinoembryonic antigen and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 related to downstaging to stage 0-I after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

Objective

To explore the value of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) in predicting downstaging to stage 0–I cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in locally advanced rectal cancer.

Materials and methods

We respectively investigated pretreatment CEA, pretreatment CA19-9, posttreatment CEA, posttreatment CA19-9, pre–post-CA19-9 ratio, and pre–post-CEA ratio in 674 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer receiving nCRT and determined the patients’ thresholds by using the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The association between downstaging (stage 0–I after nCRT), pathological complete response, and clinicopathological parameters was evaluated using the Pearson χ2 test. The clinicopathological parameters which were found to be significantly associated with downstaging were analyzed by logistic regression models and were incorporated into a scoring system.

Results

Multivariate analysis showed that pretreatment CA19-9 level, posttreatment CEA level, pre–post-CEA ratio, and pre–post-CA19-9 ratio were significantly correlated with downstaging. Area under the curve of the scoring system was higher than that of parameters alone.

Conclusion

The 4-factor scoring system with CA19-9 level, posttreatment CEA level, pre– post-CEA ratio, and pre–post-CA19-9 ratio is of more value in predicting downstaging to stage 0–I patients with locally advanced rectal cancer after nCRT than using the parameters alone.

Carcinoembryonic antigen as a marker of radioresistance in colorectal cancer: a potential role of macrophages

Background

We sought to identify the carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) as a marker of radioresistance in rectal cancer.

Methods

From July 1997 to January 2008, 104 patients with stage II or III rectal cancer who were treated with post-operative radiotherapy (PORT) were included in this study. The doses of radiotherapy ranged from 45 to 54.6 Gy. The CEA levels were measured before surgery. We analyzed the actuarial rates of overall survival (OS), distant metastasis (DM), and local recurrence (LR) using Kaplan-Meier curves. Multivariate analyses were performed with Cox regression models. We used THP-1 monocyte cell lines for macrophage differentiation (M0, M1 or M2). The RNA extracted from the macrophages was analyzed via a genomic method in the core laboratory. The radiosensitivities of CEA-rich LS1034 cells were compared between cells with and without the conditioned media from CEA-stimulated macrophages.

Results

Preoperative CEA levels ≥10 ng/mL were independent predictive factors for OS (p = 0.005), DM (p = 0.026), and LR (p = 0.004). The OS rates among the patients with pretreatment CEA levels < 10 ng/mL and ≥10 ng/mL were 64.5% and 35.9% (p = 0.004), respectively. The corresponding rates of DM were 40.6% and 73.1% (p = 0.024). The corresponding rates of LR were 6.6% and 33.9% (p = 0.002). In the M0 macrophages, exogenous CEA elicited a dose-response relationship with M2 differentiation. In the CEA-stimulated M0 cells, some mRNAs were upregulated by as much as 5-fold, including MMP12, GDF15, and JAG1. In the CEA-stimulated M2 cells, a 4-fold up-regulation of GADD45G mRNA was noted. The conditioned media from the CEA-stimulated M2 cells elicited an increase in the numbers of LS180, SW620, and LS1034 cells after irradiation. CEA caused the M2 differentiation of the macrophages.

Conclusion

Pretreatment CEA levels ≥10 ng/mL are a significant risk factor for OS, DM, and LR following PORT for rectal cancer. CEA causes radioresistance in the presence of M2 macrophages. More comprehensive examinations prior to surgery and intensive adjuvant therapy are suggested for patients with CEA levels ≥10 ng/mL. Further studies of these mechanisms are needed.

Pretreatment identification of patients likely to have pathologic complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer

PURPOSE

In selected patients, a wait-and-see strategy after chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer might be feasible provided that the probability of pathologic complete response (pCR) is high. This study aimed to identify clinical parameters associated with pCR. Furthermore, we attempted to identify subgroups with increased probability of pCR that might aid in clinical decision making.

METHODS

A total of 6444 patients that underwent surgical resection of a single primary carcinoma of the rectum after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) between January 2009 and December 2016 in the Netherlands were included in the study. Data on the outcome variable, pCR, and potential covariates were retrieved from a nationwide database. The variables included in the analysis were selected based on previous studies and were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

pCR was observed in 1010 patients (15.7%). Pretreatment clinical tumor stage and signs of obstruction were independently associated with pCR. Nodal stage and presence of metastatic disease decreased chances of pCR significantly. The best response rate was observed in patients diagnosed with a non-obstructive, well-/moderately differentiated adenocarcinoma of the lower rectum with no clinical apparent nodal or distant metastatic disease (pCR ratio 18.8%). The percentage of patients demonstrating pCR decreased in case of symptoms of pretreatment obstruction or poorly differentiated tumors (pCR ratio of 11.8 and 6.7%, respectively).

CONCLUSION

This nationwide study confirms several of the previously reported clinical predictors of pCR.