Evaluation of Risk Factors for Venous Thromboembolism in Chinese Women With Epithelial Ovarian Cancer

Deep Learning-Based Dynamic Risk Prediction of Venous Thromboembolism for Patients With Ovarian Cancer in Real-World Settings From Electronic Health Records

PURPOSE

Patients with epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) have an elevated risk for venous thromboembolism (VTE). To assess the risk of VTE, models were developed by statistical or machine learning algorithms. However, few models have accommodated deep learning (DL) algorithms in realistic clinical settings. We aimed to develop a predictive DL model, exploiting rich information from electronic health records (EHRs), including dynamic clinical features and the presence of competing risks.

METHODS

We extracted EHRs of 1,268 patients diagnosed with EOC from January 2007 through December 2017 at the National Cancer Center, Korea. DL survival networks using fully connected layers, temporal attention, and recurrent neural networks were adopted and compared with multi-perceptron-based classification models. Prediction accuracy was independently validated in the data set of 423 patients newly diagnosed with EOC from January 2018 to December 2019. Personalized risk plots displaying the individual interval risk were developed.

RESULTS

DL-based survival networks achieved a superior area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) between 0.95 and 0.98 while the AUROC of classification models was between 0.85 and 0.90. As clinical information benefits the prediction accuracy, the proposed dynamic survival network outperformed other survival networks for the test and validation data set with the highest time-dependent concordance index (0.974, 0.975) and lowest Brier score (0.051, 0.049) at 6 months after a cancer diagnosis. Our visualization showed that the interval risk fluctuating along with the changes in longitudinal clinical features.

CONCLUSION

Adaption of dynamic patient clinical features and accounting for competing risks from EHRs into the DL algorithms demonstrated VTE risk prediction with high accuracy. Our results show that this novel dynamic survival network can provide personalized risk prediction with the potential to assist risk-based clinical intervention to prevent VTE among patients with EOC.

Prevention of symptomatic pulmonary embolism for gynecologic malignancies with preoperative asymptomatic venous thromboembolism: GOTIC-VTE trial

OBJECTIVE

In Japan, perioperative prophylaxis of pulmonary embolism (PE) in gynecologic cancer patients with preoperative asymptomatic venous thromboembolism (VTE) has not been well established yet. The GOTIC-VTE trial was a prospective, multi-center, single-arm clinical trial to investigate the prevention of postoperative symptomatic PE onset by seamless anticoagulant therapy from the preoperative period to 4 weeks after surgery instead of using intermittent pneumatic compression.

METHODS

Anticoagulant therapy was started immediately after asymptomatic VTE diagnosis and stopped preoperatively according to the rules of each institution. Unfractionated heparin administration was resumed within 12 hours postoperatively, and this was followed by the switch to low-molecular-weight heparin and subsequently, edoxaban; this cycle was continued for 28 days. Primary outcome was the occurrence of symptomatic PE in 28 days postoperatively. Secondary outcomes were the incidence of VTE-related events in 28 days and 6 months postoperatively and protocol-related adverse events.

RESULTS

Between February 2018 and September 2020, 99 patients were enrolled; of these, 82 patients were assessed as the full analysis set, including 58 for ovarian cancer, fallopian tube, or peritoneal cancer; 21 for endometrial cancer; and 3 for cervical cancer. No symptomatic PE was observed within 28 days postoperatively; two patients had bleeding events (major bleeding and clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding) and three had grade 3 adverse events (increased alanine transaminase, aspartate aminotransferase, or gamma-glutamyl transferase).

CONCLUSION

The multifaceted perioperative management for gynecologic malignancies with asymptomatic VTE effectively prevented postoperative symptomatic PE.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

JRCT Identifier: jRCTs031180124.

Circulating Blood Biomarkers and Risk of Venous Thromboembolism in Cancer Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

 Cancer patients have an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Currently, the availability of highly discriminatory prediction models for VTE in cancer patients is limited. The implementation of biomarkers in prediction models might lead to refined VTE risk prediction. In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we aimed to evaluate candidate biomarkers and their association with cancer-associated VTE.

METHODS

 We searched Medline, EMBASE, and Cochrane Central for studies that evaluated biomarkers in adult cancer patients from inception to September 2022. We included studies reporting on VTE after a cancer diagnosis with biomarker measurements performed at a defined time point. Median/mean differences (for continuous measures) and odds ratios (for dichotomous measures) with 95% confidence intervals were estimated and pooled using random-effects models.

RESULTS

 We included 113 studies in the systematic review. Of these, 50 studies were included in the meta-analysis. We identified two biomarkers at cancer diagnosis (factor VIII and time to peak thrombin), three biomarkers pre-chemotherapy (D-dimer, fibrinogen, and mean platelet volume), and one biomarker preoperatively (platelet count) that had significant median or mean differences. Additionally, we found that hemoglobin <100 g/L and white blood count >11 × 109/L were significantly associated with future VTE risk only when measured at cancer diagnosis. Pre-chemotherapy neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥3 and preoperative platelet count ≥400 × 109/L were also found to be associated with future VTE risk.

CONCLUSION

 In conclusion, this study identified nine candidate blood biomarkers that may help in optimizing VTE prediction in cancer patients that should be further explored in future studies.

Platelet Parameters as Biomarkers for Thrombosis Risk in Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) is a major cause of both morbidity and mortality in cancer patients. Platelet count has been investigated as a predictor of CAT in various settings while knowledge on platelet activation parameters is sparse. This report provides a systematic review and meta-analysis on available literature on associations between platelet count and/or function and arterial and venous thrombosis in adult cancer patients. The review was performed according to the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) statement. PubMed and Embase were searched up to March 2022. The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's tools were used for quality assessment. In total, 100 studies were included which investigated the association between CAT and platelet count (n = 90), platelet indices (n = 19), and platelet function/activation markers (n = 13) in patients with solid cancers (n = 61), hematological cancers (n = 17), or mixed cancer types (n = 22). Eighty-one studies had venous thrombosis as their outcome measure, while 4 had arterial thrombosis and 15 studies had both. We found significantly elevated odds ratio of 1.50 (95% confidence interval: 1.19-1.88) for thrombosis with higher platelet counts. We saw a tendency toward an association between markers of platelet activation in forms of mean platelet volume and soluble P selectin and both arterial and venous thrombosis. Only one study investigated dynamic platelet function using flow cytometry. In conclusion, platelet count is associated with CAT across different cancer types and settings. Platelet function or activation marker analysis may be valuable in assisting thrombosis risk assessment in cancer patients but is sparsely investigated so far.

Venous Thromboembolism in Patients Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Advanced Ovarian Cancer and Impact on Survival

OBJECTIVE

To determine the incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with ovarian cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT), identify risk factors for VTE, and assess the effect of VTE on treatment trajectory and overall survival.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with ovarian, fallopian tube, or primary peritoneal cancer treated with NACT between 2013 to 2016 in Alberta, Canada. The primary outcome was incidence of VTE during NACT. Secondary outcomes were risk factors for VTE and overall survival. Data related to patient demographics, cancer treatment, and incidence of VTE were collected. Statistical analyses included Kaplan-Meier estimates and univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 284 patients were included in this study. Average age at diagnosis was 63.8 years. The incidence of VTE during NACT was 13.3%. Patients with VTE were less likely to undergo interval debulking surgery (58.3%) than patients without VTE (78.6%). Kaplan-Meier estimates demonstrated a decrease in overall survival in patients who had VTE during NACT (15.0 mo; 95% CI 14.5-16.5) compared with patients who did not (26.8 mo; 95% CI 22.8-30.9) (P < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis identified albumin <35 g/L, BMI >30 kg/m², and non-serous histology as risk factors for VTE.

CONCLUSION

The risk of VTE in this cohort was 13.3%, which was associated with decreased overall survival. These findings suggest that thromboprophylaxis may have a role in this patient population.

The prevalence, risk factors, and prognostic value of venous thromboembolism in ovarian cancer patients receiving chemotherapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) in ovarian cancer (OC) patients has been widely investigated, but our knowledge on the role of VTE in OC patients receiving chemotherapy is limited. The aim of our study was to investigate the prevalence, risk factors, and prognostic value of chemotherapy-associated VTE in OC.

METHODS

Three databases (PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library) were systematically searched from inception to October 14, 2020. The primary outcome was the prevalence of VTE in OC patients receiving chemotherapy. The risk factors and prognostic value of VTE were the secondary outcomes. The pooled prevalence of VTE was estimated using the generic inverse-variance method. The statistical heterogeneity was evaluated with Cochran's Q test and I² statistic. Funnel plot, Begg's test, and Egger's test were used to assess the potential publication bias in the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

A total of eleven observational studies with 4759 OC patients were included. The pooled prevalence of VTE was 9% (95% CI, 0.06-0.12) in OC patients receiving chemotherapy. The results of subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis were basically consistent with the overall pooled estimate. Multiple significant risk factors associated with VTE were also identified including advanced age, D-dimer > 0.5 mg/mL, and tumor diameter > 10 cm. Only two included studies reported the prognostic value of VTE in OC patients receiving chemotherapy, but with inconsistent results. Funnel plot showed that there existed potential publication bias, which was further verified by statistical test, but the results of the trim-and-fill method showed the pooled estimate kept stable after adding two "missing" studies.

CONCLUSIONS

This current study revealed that the pooled prevalence of chemotherapy-related VTE in OC was approximately 9% in OC patients. Risk factors for chemotherapy-related VTE were also identified which may contribute to targeting potentially preventative measures for VTE in OC.

Meta-Analysis of VTE Risk: Ovarian Cancer Patients by Stage, Histology, Cytoreduction, and Ascites at Diagnosis

Venous thromboembolisms (VTEs) have been a leading secondary cause of death among ovarian cancer patients, prompting multiple studies of risk factors. The objective of this meta-analysis is to quantify the associations between VTE and the most commonly reported risk factors among ovarian cancer patients. PubMed, Embase, and Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL) were used to identify observational studies. Two reviewers independently abstracted data and assessed quality via the Newcastle–Ottawa tool. A random effects model was used to calculate the pooled odds ratios for VTE with each of the following exposures: advanced cancer stage, clear cell histology, serous histology, ascites at diagnosis, and complete cytoreduction. The I² and Q tests were used to evaluate heterogeneity. Twenty cohort studies with 6,324 total ovarian cancer patients, 769 of whom experienced a VTE, were included. The odds of VTE in ovarian cancer patients were higher among patients with cancer stage III/IV (versus cancer stage I/II, pooled odds ratio (OR) 2.73; 95% CI 1.84–4.06; I²= 64%), clear cell (versus nonclear cell) histology (OR 2.11; 95% CI 1.55–2.89; I² = 6%), and ascites (versus no ascites) at diagnosis (OR 2.12; 95% CI 1.51–2.96; I² = 32%). Serous (versus nonserous) histology (OR 1.26; 95% CI 0.91–1.75; I² = 42%) and complete (versus incomplete) cytoreduction (OR 1.05; 95% CI 0.27–4.11; I² = 88%) were not associated with VTE. This meta-analysis quantifies the significantly elevated odds of VTE in ovarian cancer patients with advanced stage at diagnosis, clear cell histology, and ascites at diagnosis. Further studies are needed to account for confounders and inform clinical decision-making tools.

Efficiency and safety evaluation of prophylaxes for venous thrombosis after gynecological surgery

BACKGROUND

In this study, we investigate the incidence of venous thrombosis (VT), and evaluate the effectiveness and safety of 3 major thromboprophylaxes and the potential risk factors for VT in women undergoing surgery for a gynecological malignancy.

METHODS

We performed a randomized controlled trial of 307 patients undergoing laparoscopic surgery for gynecological malignancies at a single institution from January 2016 to October 2017. Patients were divided into 3 groups: one receiving a half dose of low-molecular-weight heparin sodium injection (FLUXUM, Alfa Wassermann, Italy) delivered by injection, one receiving a full dose of FLUXUM, and a third group receiving an Argatroban injection.

RESULTS

None of the patients in our study developed a pulmonary embolism, bleeding, or infectious complications. There were no statistical differences in the rate of deep venous thrombosis (DVT) (0%, 0%, and 2.38%) and the superficial venous thromboembolism (SVT) (15.66%, 8.97%, and 18.6%) among the 3 groups. None of the patients developed symptomatic VT. The effect of treatment on alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase differed between the groups, with a minimal effect in the Argatroban group, and all 3 methods resulted in minimal impairment of renal function. Decreased hemoglobin, elevated levels of D-dimer, and prothrombin time were closely related to thrombogenesis.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, the incidence of postoperative thrombosis in gynecological malignancy among these Chinese people is not as low as we had originally presumed. Argatroban is not more effective than Parnaparin as a direct thrombin inhibitor, but it has less influence on liver function, which is beneficial for patients undergoing chemotherapy. Hemoglobin, D-dimer, and prothrombin time may be used to predict or detect thrombogenesis.

Prevalence of venous thromboembolism at pretreatment screening and associated risk factors in 2086 patients with gynecological cancer

AIM

Postoperative pulmonary embolism can be a fatal surgical complication and is thought to occur secondary to asymptomatic venous thromboembolism (VTE) that exists preoperatively in some patients. The purpose of this study was to clarify the frequency and risk factors of pretreatment VTE in gynecological cancer patients.

METHODS

This study investigated 2086 patients with gynecological cancer (cervix, n = 754; endometrium, n = 862; ovary, n = 470) who underwent initial treatment between 2004 and 2017. Pretreatment VTE screening was performed with D-dimer (DD) levels in these patients. Based on this, the associated risk factors were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

Pretreatment VTE was discovered in 7.3% of patients with cervical cancer, 11.5% of those with endometrial cancer and 27.0% of those with ovarian cancer. Significant independent risk factors were: age greater than or equal to 60 years and tumor long diameter greater than or equal to 40 mm for cervical cancer; age greater than or equal to 60 years, stage III/IV advanced disease, clear cell carcinoma and tumor long diameter greater than or equal to 60 mm for endometrial cancer; and age greater than or equal to 60 years, clear cell carcinoma and massive ascites for ovarian cancer.

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment asymptomatic VTE is very frequent in gynecological cancer patients. It may be beneficial to consider measuring DD or performing venous ultrasonography in patients with the above risk factors.

Clinical significance of plasma D-dimer in ovarian cancer: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

D-dimer has been widely used for the diagnosis and prognosis of ovarian cancer, but there is still controversy on its prediction value of ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVES

To explore the clinical significance of plasma D-dimer level on ovarian cancer systematically.

METHODS

Using PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science libraries, all the relevant studies for the diagnostic and prognostic value of plasma D-dimer for ovarian cancer and the relationship between elevated D-dimer level and venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk of ovarian cancer were searched till May 30, 2016. Standardized mean difference (SMD), odds ratio (OR), hazard ratio (HR), and 95% confidence interval (CI) were appropriately pooled.

RESULTS

A total of 15 eligible studies involving a total of 1437 cancer patients were included. No significant association was found between high D-dimer level and overall survival of patients with ovarian cancer (HR 1.32, 95% CI: 0.90-1.95, P  =  .044). However, subgroup analysis indicated that the sample sizes could explain the heterogeneity between studies. And elevated D-dimer could predict increased risk of mortality when the sample sizes were >100 (HR 1.800, 95% CI: 1.283-2.523, P  =  .845). Besides, plasma D-dimer level was significantly higher in malignant ovarian cancer patients compared with benign controls (SMD 0.774, 95% CI: 0.597-0.951, P  =  .39), higher in advanced ovarian cancer patients (International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics [FIGO] classification III and IV) than in early stage ovarian cancer patients (FIGO classification I and II, SMD 0.611, 95% CI: 0.373-0.849, P  =  .442). And high D-dimer level indicated high VTE risk (OR 4.068, 95% CI: 2.423-6.829, P  =  .629) of ovarian cancer patients.

CONCLUSION

The plasma D-dimer level in ovarian cancer patients can predict the changes that correlated with disease progression and the VTE risk. But its predictive value for the prognosis of ovarian cancer was significantly dependent on the sample sizes. More well-designed studies with large sample sizes are needed to validate and update the findings of present study.

Association between Level of Tumor Markers and Development of VTE in Patients with Pancreatic, Colorectal and Ovarian Ca: Retrospective Case- Control Study in Two Community Hospitals

The risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is increased in patients with cancer. However, the role of tumor markers as potential indicators of increased risk of VTE is still undetermined. In this retrospective observational case control study, levels of the tumor markers CEA, CA 19-9 and CA 125 in patients with colorectal, pancreatic, and ovarian cancer respectively, who were admitted to two community hospitals between January 2001 and December 2011, were compared between patients who were VTE positive and those who were VTE negative. The primary goal of this study was to determine whether VTE positive cancer patients had higher tumor marker levels compared to VTE negative cancer patients. In our study, 66.7% (48/72) of patients who were positive for VTE had elevated tumor markers while 65.3% (66/101) of patients who were negative for VTE had low (normal) tumor markers, indicating an association of high tumor marker levels with the diagnosis of VTE. This was statistically significant with an odds ratio of 3.77 and p-value of <0.0001 (95% CI of 1.99-7.14). When the VTE group was further divided into DVT and PE groups, 70.2% (40/57) of patients in the DVT positive group had high tumor markers with a p value of <0.0001 and an odds ratio of 3.99 (95% CI of 2.02 to 7.89) while 57.9% (11/19) of patients in pulmonary embolism positive group had high tumor markers; this was, however, not statistically significant (p-value of 0.35 and a CI of 0.59 to 4.10). In this retrospective study of 173 individuals with a diagnosis of either colorectal, pancreatic, or ovarian Cancer, higher tumor marker levels (CEA, CA 19-9, and CA 125 respectively) were associated with an increased risk of VTE, either DVT or PE. However, when further divided into either DVT or PE groups, the association remained statistically significant only for DVT but not for PE.

Reciprocal links between venous thromboembolism, coagulation factors and ovarian cancer progression

Ovarian cancer is the most lethal gynecological malignancy, which is due to late presentation. Treating advanced stage ovarian cancer is difficult, and tumor recurrence and chemoresistance frequently occur. In addition, early detection remains a major challenge as there are no early warning signs and no appropriate biomarkers. To reduce mortality rates of ovarian cancer patients, novel drug targets and biomarkers are needed. We postulate that hemostatic keyplayers are of importance when combatting ovarian cancer. The majority of ovarian cancer patients have abnormal hemostatic blood serum marker levels, which indicate an activated coagulation system. This makes patients more prone to experiencing venous thromboembolism (VTE), and the occurrence of VTE in ovarian cancer patients adversely affects survival. Coagulation activation also promotes tumor progression as it influences tumor biology at several stages and the decreased survival rates associated with ovarian cancer-associated thrombosis are more likely due to cancer metastasis rather than to fatal thromboembolic events. In this review, we will discuss; (1) Population studies that address the bidirectional relationship between VTE and ovarian cancer, and the most important risk factors involved; (2) The mechanisms of coagulation factors and platelets that are critically involved in the development of VTE, and the progression of ovarian cancer; (3) Roles and future directions of coagulation factors in ovarian cancer therapy, and in diagnosis and prognosis of ovarian cancer as biomarkers.

D-Dimer elevation and adverse outcomes

d-Dimer is a biomarker of fibrin formation and degradation. While a d-dimer within normal limits is used to rule out the diagnosis of deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism among patients with a low clinical probability of venous thromboembolism (VTE), the prognostic association of an elevated d-dimer with adverse outcomes has received far less emphasis. An elevated d-dimer is independently associated with an increased risk for incident VTE, recurrent VTE, and mortality. An elevated d-dimer is an independent correlate of increased mortality and subsequent VTE across a broad variety of disease states. Therefore, medically ill subjects in whom the d-dimer is elevated constitute a high risk subgroup in which the prospective evaluation of the efficacy and safety of antithrombotic therapy is warranted.