Procalcitonin as a Biomarker of Unresponsiveness to Intravenous Immunoglobulin for Kawasaki Disease

Development of an immunoinflammatory indicator-related dynamic nomogram based on machine learning for the prediction of intravenous immunoglobulin-resistant Kawasaki disease patients

BACKGROUND

Approximately 10-20% of Kawasaki disease (KD) patients suffer from intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance, placing them at higher risk of developing coronary artery aneurysms. Therefore, we aimed to construct an IVIG resistance prediction tool for children with KD in Shanghai, China.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis was conducted on data from 1271 patients diagnosed with KD and the patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set in a 2:1 ratio. Machine learning algorithms were employed to identify important predictors associated with IVIG resistance and to build a predictive model. The best-performing model was used to construct a dynamic nomogram. Moreover, receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration plots, and decision-curve analysis were utilized to measure the discriminatory power, accuracy, and clinical utility of the nomogram.

RESULTS

Six variables were identified as important predictors, including C-reactive protein, neutrophil ratio, procalcitonin, CD3 ratio, CD19 count, and IgM level. A dynamic nomogram constructed with these factors was available at https://hktk.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/. The nomogram demonstrated good diagnostic performance in the training and validation sets (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.816 and 0.800, respectively). Moreover, the calibration curves and decision curves analysis indicated that the nomogram showed good consistency between predicted and actual outcomes and had good clinical benefits.

CONCLUSION

A web-based dynamic nomogram for IVIG resistance was constructed with good predictive performance, which can be used as a practical approach for early screening to assist physicians in personalizing the treatment of KD patients in Shanghai.

Serum amyloid A as a biomarker for immunoglobulin resistance in Kawasaki disease

BACKGROUND

Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance is of prime importance in Kawasaki disease (KD). In this study, we examined the value and mechanism of serum amyloid A (SAA) level in predicting IVIG resistance in patients with KD.

METHODS

SAA levels were measured in 497 consecutive patients with KD before IVIG therapy in the training set. The patients were divided into two groups (IVIG-responsive and IVIG-resistant) according to the American Heart Association (AHA) definition of IVIG resistance. Demographic, echocardiographic, and laboratory data were also retrospectively analyzed and tabulated to predict IVIG resistance. The predictive value of SAA was validated on test sets of prospective data. Cytokine microarrays were analyzed from 4 patients with resistant to IVIG, 4 patients with responsive to IVIG and 4 healthy volunteers.

RESULTS

During the training set, 409 patients with KD were enrolled, of whom 43 (10.5%) were resistant to initial IVIG treatment and 47 (11.49%) had coronary artery lesions (CALs). Serum levels of SAA were higher in the IVIG resistant group compared to the IVIG responsive group, (380.00 [204.40-547.25] vs 230.85 [105.40-490.00] mg/L; p = .008). The values of total bilirubin, C-reactive protein, neutrophils, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, interleukin-6(IL-6), and procalcitonin were significantly higher in the IVIG-resistant group than in the IVIG-responsive group (p < .05); however, the lymphocytes, platelets, serum sodium levels, and duration of fever before IVIG therapy were significantly lower (p < .05). There was no significant difference in SAA levels between patients with KD with and without CALs. Binary logistic regression analysis showed that SAA (p = .008), neutrophils (p < .001), total bilirubin (p = .001), platelet count (p = .004), and serum sodium level (p = .019) were independent factors influencing IVIG resistance. The optimal cutoff value of SAA for IVIG resistance prediction was 252.45 mg/L, with a corresponding clinical sensitivity of 69.8% and specificity of 54.4%. Based on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses, the area under the curve (AUC) of combined detection with these five indicators was 0.800, clinical sensitivity was 69.8%, and specificity was 76.2%. In the prospective data, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of SAA for identifying IVIG resistance KD were 77.8%,69.0%, and 70.0%, respectively. Compared with IVIG- responsive group and healthy children, the levels of IL-6 was upregulated significantly in IVIG-resistant group through cytokine microarrays.

CONCLUSIONS

SAA may be a potential biomarker for predicting IVIG responsiveness to KD, Combined detection of SAA levels, total bilirubin, neutrophil count, platelet count, and serum sodium levels is superior to that of any other single indicator for predicting IVIG resistance in KD. And elevated SAA may accompany with IL-6 in KD patients, its use in clinical practice may be helpful for treatment management.

[Expression of interleukin-17A in serum of children with intravenous immunoglobulin-resistant Kawasaki disease and its clinical significance]

OBJECTIVES

To study the expression of interleukin-17A (IL-17A) in the serum of children with intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG)-resistant Kawasaki disease (KD) and its clinical significance.

METHODS

A total of 143 children with KD who were hospitalized in Wuhan Children's Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, from June 2021 to June 2022 were enrolled in this prospective study, among whom 115 had IVIG-sensitive KD and 28 had IVIG-resistant KD. After matching for sex and age, 110 children with acute respiratory infectious diseases (fever time ≥5 days but without KD) were enrolled as the control group. The enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to measure the serum level of IL-17A. The levels of white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NE), platelet count, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and C-reactive protein (CRP) were measured. The receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted to analyze the value of WBC, NE, CRP, and IL-17A in the prediction of IVIG-resistant KD. The multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the predictive factors for resistance to IVIG in children with KD.

RESULTS

Before IVIG treatment, the KD group had a significantly higher serum level of IL-17A than the control group (P<0.05), and the children with IVIG-resistant KD had a significantly higher serum level of IL-17A than those with IVIG-sensitive KD (P<0.05). The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that WBC, NE, CRP, and IL-17A had an area under the curve of 0.718, 0.741, 0.627, and 0.840, respectively, in the prediction of IVIG-resistant KD. With serum IL-17A ≥44.06 pg/mL as the cut-off value, IL-17A had a sensitivity of 84% and a specificity of 81% in the prediction of IVIG-resistant KD. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that a high serum level of IL-17A was a predictive factor for resistance to IVIG in children with KD (OR=1.161, P=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum IL-17A levels are elevated in children with IVIG-resistant KD, and serum IL-17A level (≥44.06 pg/mL) may have a predictive value for resistance to IVIG in children with KD.

Kawasaki disease without changes in inflammatory biomarkers: A case report

BACKGROUND

Kawasaki disease (KD) is diagnosed based on clinical features. Blood tests and other tests are auxiliary diagnostic tools. Since KD is a disease caused by arterial inflammation, many patients with KD have elevated levels of inflammatory biomarkers, such as C-reactive protein (CRP), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), and serum amyloid A protein (SAA) in blood tests. We report our experience of a patient with KD who did not have elevated levels of inflammatory biomarkers.

CASE SUMMARY

A 1-year-old boy presented with a 3-day history of fever. Five of the six symptoms of KD were observed, except for changes in the lips and oral cavity. Blood tests revealed no elevation in CRP, ESR, or SAA levels. Although the blood test results were atypical, the patient was diagnosed with KD based on clinical symptoms and was admitted to the hospital for treatment. The patient was administered intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) and aspirin. Despite commencing treatment, the fever persisted; therefore, additional IVIG was administered, the dosage of aspirin was increased, and ulinastatin was added. Three doses of IVIG were administered and the fever resolved on day 11 of KD symptoms started. Blood tests performed during hospitalization showed normal levels of inflammatory biomarkers. We examined leucine-rich alpha-2-glycoprotein 1 - a protein that is elevated during the acute phase of KD. The protein levels did not increase during hospitalization.

CONCLUSION

This case suggests the need to identify criteria and biomarkers for detecting KD conditions that do not require KD treatment.

[Association of liver damage with coronary artery lesion and no response to intravenous immunoglobulin in the acute stage of Kawasaki disease]

OBJECTIVES

To summarize the clinical features of liver damage in children in the acute stage of Kawasaki disease (KD), and to investigate the clinical value of liver damage in predicting coronary artery lesion and no response to intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) in children with KD.

METHODS

The medical data were collected from 925 children who were diagnosed with KD for the first time in Beijing Children's Hospital from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2017. According to the presence or absence of abnormal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level on admission, the children were divided into a liver damage group (n=284) and a non-liver damage group (n=641). A logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the clinical value of the indicators including liver damage in predicting coronary artery lesion and no response to IVIG in children with KD.

RESULTS

Compared with the non-liver damage group, the liver damage group had a significantly earlier admission time and significantly higher serum levels of inflammatory indicators (P<0.05). The liver damage group had a significantly higher incidence rate of coronary artery lesion on admission than the non-liver damage group (P=0.034). After initial IVIG therapy, the liver damage group had a significantly higher proportion of children with no response to IVIG than the non-liver damage group (P<0.001). In children with KD, coronary artery lesion was associated with the reduction in the hemoglobin level and the increases in platelet count, C-reactive protein, and ALT (P<0.05), and no response to IVIG was associated with limb changes, the reduction in the hemoglobin level, the increases in platelet count, C-reactive protein, and ALT, and coronary artery lesion (P<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with those without liver damage, the children in the early stage of KD with liver damage tend to develop clinical symptoms early and have higher levels of inflammatory indicators, and they are more likely to have coronary artery lesion and show no response to IVIG treatment.

Clinical implications of procalcitonin in Kawasaki disease: a useful candidate for differentiating from sepsis and evaluating IVIG responsiveness

OBJECTIVE

Kawasaki disease (KD) is an acute systemic vasculitis and suspected to be triggered by several potential infections in which procalcitonin (PCT) experiences an increase to some extent. However, whether PCT can serve as a useful candidate for differentiating KD from sepsis, and even for predicting incomplete KD, intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) nonresponsiveness and coronary artery abnormalities (CAAs) remains unclear.

METHODS

A total of 254 Chinese KD children were enrolled and divided into 6 subgroups, including complete KD, incomplete KD, IVIG-responsive KD, IVIG-nonresponsive KD, KD with CAAs and KD without CAAs. Blood samples were collected from all subjects within 24-h pre- and 48-h post-IVIG infusion, respectively. PCT, C-reactive protein, erythrocyte sedimentation rate and blood cell counts were detected. In addition, both 261 children with sepsis and 251 healthy children sex- and age-matched with KD children were enrolled in the same period.

RESULTS

(1) PCT experienced the highest increase in sepsis patients before antibiotic therapy, followed by acute KD patients and the healthy controls. (2) The proportion of KD patients with a PCT concentration below 0.25 ng/ml was 11 folds higher than that of sepsis patients. (3) PCT had a sensitivity of 91.7% and a specificity of 30.3% at a cutoff value of > 0.15 ng/ml to predict IVIG nonresponsiveness, and the proportion of IVIG-nonresponders with a PCT concentration of 0.25-0.50 ng/ml was 2 folds higher than that of IVIG-responders.

CONCLUSIONS

The PCT concentrations below 0.25 ng/ml may be useful for discriminating KD from sepsis, and moreover, the PCT concentrations of 0.25-0.50 ng/ml may be helpful in predicting IVIG nonresponsiveness.