Early Predictors of Mortality in Children with Severe Dengue Fever: A Prospective Study

Prognostic values of serum lactate-to-bicarbonate ratio and lactate for predicting 28-day in-hospital mortality in children with dengue shock syndrome

This study aimed to assess the clinical utility of blood lactate-to-bicarbonate (L/B) ratio, as a prognostic factor for 28-day in-hospital mortality in children with dengue shock syndrome (DSS), admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). This single-center retrospective study was conducted at a tertiary children hospital in southern Vietnam from 2013 to mid-2022. Prognostic models for DSS mortality were developed, using a predefined set of covariates in the first 24 hours of PICU admission. Area under the curves (AUCs), multivariable logistic and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regressions, bootstrapping and calibration slope were performed. A total of 492 children with DSS and complete clinical and biomarker data were included in the analysis, and 26 (5.3%) patients died. The predictive values for DSS mortality, regarding lactate showing AUC 0.876 (95% CI, 0.807-0.944), and that of L/B ratio 0.867 (95% CI, 0.80-0.934) (P values of both biomarkers < .001). The optimal cutoff point of the L/B ratio was 0.25, while that of lactate was 4.2 mmol/L. The multivariable model showed significant clinical predictors of DSS fatality including severe bleeding, cumulative amount of fluid infused and vasoactive-inotropic score (>30) in the first 24 hours of PICU admission. Combined with the identified clinical predictors, the L/B ratio yielded higher prognostic values (odds ratio [OR] = 8.66, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.96-38.3; P < .01) than the lactate-based model (OR = 1.35, 95% CI, 1.15-1.58; P < .001). Both the L/B and lactate models showed similarly good performances. Considering that the L/B ratio has a better prognostic value than the lactate model, it may be considered a potential prognostic biomarker in clinical use for predicting 28-day mortality in PICU-admitted children with DSS.

Pediatric Profound Dengue Shock Syndrome and Use of Point-of-Care Ultrasound During Mechanical Ventilation to Guide Treatment: Single-Center Retrospective Study, 2013-2021

OBJECTIVES

Profound dengue shock syndrome (DSS) complicated by severe respiratory failure necessitating mechanical ventilation (MV) accounts for high case fatality rates among PICU-admitted patients. A major challenge to management is the assessment of intravascular volume, which can be hampered by severe plasma leakage and the use of MV.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort, from 2013 to 2021.

PATIENTS

Sixty-seven children with profound DSS supported by MV, some of whom underwent bedside point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) for assessment and monitoring of hemodynamics and fluid administration.

SETTING

PICU of the tertiary Children's Hospital No. 2 in Vietnam.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We analyzed data clinical and laboratory data during PICU stay. In particular, during use of MV (i.e., at times 0-, 6-, and 24-hr after commencement) and fluid resuscitation. The primary study outcome was 28-day in-hospital mortality, and the secondary outcomes were associations with changes in hemodynamics, blood lactate, and vasoactive-inotrope score (VIS). Patients had a median age of 7 years (interquartile range, 4-9). Use of POCUS during fluid management (39/67), as opposed to not using (28/67), was associated with lower mortality (6/39 [15%] vs. 18/28 [64%]; difference 49 % [95% CI, 28-70%], p < 0.001). Use of POCUS was associated with lower odds of death (adjusted odds ratio 0.17 [95% CI, 0.04-0.76], p = 0.02). The utilization of POCUS, versus not, was associated with greater use of resuscitation fluid, and reductions in VIS and pediatric logistic organ dysfunction (PELOD-2) score at 24 hours after MV and PICU discharge.

CONCLUSIONS

In our experience of pediatric patients with profound DSS and undergoing MV (2013-2021), POCUS use was associated with lower odds of death, a higher volume of resuscitation fluid, and improvements in the blood lactate levels, VIS, and PELOD-2 score.

Combined Therapeutic Plasma Exchange and Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy in Children With Dengue-Associated Acute Liver Failure and Shock Syndrome: Single-Center Cohort From Vietnam

OBJECTIVES

Pediatric acute liver failure (PALF) is a fatal complication in patients with severe dengue. To date, clinical data on the combination of therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE) and continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) for managing dengue-associated PALF concomitant with shock syndrome are limited.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study (January 2013 to June 2022).

PATIENTS

Thirty-four children.

SETTING

PICU of tertiary Children's Hospital No. 2 in Vietnam.

INTERVENTIONS

We assessed a before-versus-after practice change at our center of using combined TPE and CRRT (2018 to 2022) versus CRRT alone (2013 to 2017) in managing children with dengue-associated acute liver failure and shock syndrome. Clinical and laboratory data were reviewed from PICU admission, before and 24 h after CRRT and TPE treatments. The main study outcomes were 28-day in-hospital mortality, hemodynamics, clinical hepatoencephalopathy, and liver function normalization.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

A total of 34 children with a median age of 10 years (interquartile range: 7-11 yr) underwent standard-volume TPE and/or CRRT treatments. Combined TPE and CRRT ( n = 19), versus CRRT alone ( n = 15), was associated with lower proportion of mortality 7 of 19 (37%) versus 13 of 15 (87%), difference 50% (95% CI, 22-78; p < 0.01). Use of combined TPE and CRRT was associated with substantial advancements in clinical hepatoencephalopathy, liver transaminases, coagulation profiles, and blood lactate and ammonia levels (all p values < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In our experience of children with dengue-associated PALF and shock syndrome, combined use of TPE and CRRT, versus CRRT alone, is associated with better outcomes. Such combination intervention was associated with normalization of liver function, neurological status, and biochemistry. In our center we continue to use combined TPE and CRRT rather than CRRT alone.

Changing epidemiology of dengue fever in children in South America

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Dengue is the most important arthropod-borne viral disease of public health significance. Its geographic distribution includes 128 countries worldwide, affecting 390 million people every year causing significant morbidity and mortality in children and adults everywhere.

RECENT FINDINGS

In the past, severe dengue affected mostly adults in the Americas; this scenario has changed and now cases of dengue, severe dengue, and dengue deaths have increased in children under 15 years in Brazil and in Colombia. Dengue and COVID-19 co-infections have been reported in South America, with increased hospitalization. A dengue vaccine for 9-year-old children and older children and adults who have serological evidence of previous dengue has been licensed in many countries; a different dengue vaccine trial for 4-16-year-old children has demonstrated decrease in clinical dengue and decrease in dengue hospitalizations.

SUMMARY

There is no specific treatment of dengue, and a changing climate, insecticide resistance and urban expansion have permitted the vector's spread, making the vector control almost impossible. The hope for dengue control relies on vaccine development; there is important research on this area with one vaccine already licensed and another one showing promising results.

Fluid management in children with severe dengue: a narrative review

Dengue is a mosquito-borne arboviral infection of increasing public health importance. Globally, children account for a significant proportion of infections. No pathogen-specific treatment currently exists, and the current approach to reducing disease burden is focused on preventative strategies such as vector control, epidemiological interventions, and vaccination in selected populations. Once infected, the mainstay of treatment is supportive, of which appropriate fluid management is a cornerstone. The timely provision of fluid boluses has historically been central to the management of septic shock. However, in patients with dengue shock, particular emphasis is placed on judicious fluid administration. Certain colloids such as hydroxyethyl starches and dextran, despite no longer being used routinely in intensive care units due to concerns of acute kidney injury and impairment of coagulation, are still commonly used in dengue shock syndrome. Current guidelines recommend initial crystalloid therapy, with consideration of colloids for severe or recalcitrant shock in patients with dengue. In this review, we discuss the pathophysiology of septic shock, and consider whether any differences in dengue exist that may warrant a separate approach to fluid therapy. We critically review the available evidence for fluid management in dengue, including the role of colloids. In dengue, there is increasing recognition of the importance of tailoring fluid therapy to phases of disease, with attention to the need for fluid "deresuscitation" once the critical phase of vascular leak passes.

Therapeutic plasma exchange and continuous renal replacement therapy in pediatric dengue-associated acute liver failure: A case series from Vietnam

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Paediatric dengue-associated acute liver failure (PALF) is a rare and fatal complication. To date, clinical data regarding the combination of therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE) and continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) for the treatment of dengue-associated PALF are limited.

METHODS

We conducted a single-center, retrospective study of all children with dengue-associated PALF admitted to the paediatric intensive care unit of Children Hospital No.2, Vietnam, who were treated with TPE+CRRT between January 2021 and March 2022. The main study outcomes were in-hospital survival, normalisation of hepatic function, and hepatic encephalopathy improvement.

RESULTS

Twelve patients aged from 06 to 12 years underwent TPE+CRRT procedures. Among them, three (25 %) patients died of severe sepsis and septic shock confirmed by Enterobacteriaceae spp. haemocultures (stable on maintenance treatment of COVID-19-associated MIS-C with low dose of oral steroids on hospital admission), acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), and clinically apparent intracranial haemorrhage. Nine patients (75 %) survived. The paediatric mortality risk score improved significantly at discharge compared with PICU admission (P < 0.01). Markedly, all twelve patients were diagnosed with hepatoencephalopathy of grades III and IV on PICU admission. After the combined TPE+CRRT interventions, there were substantial improvements in liver transaminases levels, coagulation profiles, and metabolic biomarkers. Normal neurological functions were observed in nine alive patients at hospital discharge. Only one patient experienced an adverse event of slightly low blood pressure, which rapidly self-resolved.

INTERPRETATION AND CONCLUSIONS

Combined TPE+CRRT significantly improved survival outcome, neurological status, and rapid normalisation of liver functions in dengue-associated PALF.

Prognostic Indicators for the Early Prediction of Severe Dengue Infection: A Retrospective Study in a University Hospital in Thailand

This study aimed to develop simple diagnostic guidelines which would be useful for the early detection of severe dengue infections. Retrospective data of patients with dengue infection were reviewed. Patients with diagnosed dengue infection were categorized in line with the International Statistical Classification of Diseases (ICD-10): A90, dengue fever; A91, dengue hemorrhagic fever; and A910, dengue hemorrhagic fever with shock. A total of 302 dengue-infected patients were enrolled, of which 136 (45%) were male and 166 (55%) were female. Multivariate analysis was conducted to determine independent diagnostic predictors of severe dengue infection and to convert simple diagnostic guidelines into a scoring system for disease severity. Coefficients for significant predictors of disease severity generated by ordinal multivariable logistic regression analysis were transformed into item scores. The derived total scores ranged from 0 to 38.6. The cut-off score for predicting dengue severity was higher than 14, with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) of 0.902. The predicted positive value (PPV) was 68.7% and the negative predictive value (NPV) was 94.1%. Our study demonstrates that several diagnostic parameters can be effectively combined into a simple score sheet with predictive value for the severity evaluation of dengue infection.