Younger hepatocellular carcinoma patients have better prognosis after percutaneous radiofrequency ablation therapy

Retrospective Analysis of Radiofrequency Ablation in Patients with Small Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Survival Outcomes and Development of a Machine Learning Prognostic Model

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The effectiveness of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in improving long-term survival outcomes for patients with a solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) measuring 5 cm or less remains uncertain. This study was designed to elucidate the impact of RFA therapy on the survival outcomes of these patients and to construct a prognostic model for patients following RFA.

METHODS

This study was performed using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2004 to 2017, focusing on patients diagnosed with a solitary HCC lesion ≤5 cm in size. We compared the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates of these patients with those of patients who received hepatectomy, radiotherapy, or chemotherapy or who were part of a blank control group. To enhance the reliability of our findings, we employed stabilized inverse probability treatment weighting (sIPTW) and stratified analyses. Additionally, we conducted a Cox regression analysis to identify prognostic factors. XGBoost models were developed to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS. The XGBoost models were evaluated via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots, decision curve analysis (DCA) curves and so on.

RESULTS

Regardless of whether the data were unadjusted or adjusted for the use of sIPTWs, the 5-year OS (46.7%) and CSS (58.9%) rates were greater in the RFA group than in the radiotherapy (27.1%/35.8%), chemotherapy (32.9%/43.7%), and blank control (18.6%/30.7%) groups, but these rates were lower than those in the hepatectomy group (69.4%/78.9%). Stratified analysis based on age and cirrhosis status revealed that RFA and hepatectomy yielded similar OS and CSS outcomes for patients with cirrhosis aged over 65 years. Age, race, marital status, grade, cirrhosis status, tumor size, and AFP level were selected to construct the XGBoost models based on the training cohort. The areas under the curve (AUCs) for 1, 3, and 5 years in the validation cohort were 0.88, 0.81, and 0.79, respectively. Calibration plots further demonstrated the consistency between the predicted and actual values in both the training and validation cohorts.

CONCLUSION

RFA can improve the survival of patients diagnosed with a solitary HCC lesion ≤5 cm. In certain clinical scenarios, RFA achieves survival outcomes comparable to those of hepatectomy. The XGBoost models developed in this study performed admirably in predicting the CSS of patients with solitary HCC tumors smaller than 5 cm following RFA.

Impact of Thrombocytopenia on Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Updated Meta-Analysis and Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Platelets (PLT) have a role in the pathogenesis, progression, and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and could represent a readily measurable laboratory parameter to enhance the comprehensive evaluation of HCC patients.

METHODS

The PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus databases were searched with a focus on survival as well as patient and tumor-specific characteristics in correlation to reported PLT counts. Survival outcomes were analyzed with both common-effect and random-effects models. The hazard ratio (HR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI) from analyzed trials were incorporated. Studies that did not provide survival data but focused on platelet count correlation with HCC characteristics were reviewed.

RESULTS

In total, 26 studies, including a total of 9403 patients, met our criteria. The results showed that thrombocytopenia in HCC patients was associated with poor overall survival (common-effect HR = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.06-1.25; random-effect HR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.05-1.63). Moreover, three studies reveal significant correlations between PLT indices and tumor characteristics such as size, foci number, and etiology of HCC development.

CONCLUSION

Our meta-analysis confirmed that PLT count could act as a prognostic marker in HCC, especially with a PLT count cut off <100 × 103/mm3. Further prospective studies focusing on the role of PLT in clearly defined subgroups are necessary.

Beneficial Effect of Combining Radiotherapy and Transarterial Chemoembolization on Patient Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinomas and Macrovascular Invasion Treated with Sorafenib

BACKGROUND

Approximately 10-40% of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients have definite vascular invasion at the time of diagnosis. Without curative treatment options, these patients have an abysmal prognosis with a median survival of only a few months following systemic therapy. However, supportive evidence of combining multiple locoregional treatments with systemic therapy is limited. This study compared the outcomes of sorafenib alone versus multimodality therapy with sorafenib, radiotherapy (RT), and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in advanced HCC patients with macrovascular invasion (MaVI).

METHODS

The process took place over a nine-year period between March 2009 and October 2017, wherein 78 HCC patients with MaVI who underwent either sorafenib therapy alone (n = 49) or combined sorafenib/RT/TACE (n = 29) therapy were chosen for the retrospective study. We compared the overall survival (OS) between the two groups using the Cox regression hazard model and adjusted imbalances using propensity score matching (PSM).

RESULTS

At the last follow-up, 76 patients had died, with a median follow-up time of 4.8 months for all patients and 31 months for those who were alive. Patients treated with sorafenib/RT/TACE had superior OS compared to those treated with sorafenib alone, showing a median survival of 9.3 vs. 2.7 months and a one-year survival of 37.1% vs. 6.1% (p < 0.001). In the multivariable analysis, new diagnosis or recurrence of HCC and treatment modalities (sorafenib alone vs. sorafenib/RT/TACE) were independent prognostic factors for OS. Compared to patients treated with sorafenib alone, significantly better OS was further verified using PSM (p < 0.001) in patients who received multiple therapeutic modalities.

CONCLUSION

Multimodality therapy with sorafenib/RT/TACE increased OS threefold versus sorafenib therapy alone in HCC patients with MaVI. This study offers promising benefits of combined locoregional and systemic therapy for advanced HCC in current patient management and prospective clinical trials.

Association of the MARCO polymorphism rs6761637 with hepatocellular carcinoma susceptibility and clinical characteristics

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a significant health problem with a substantial genetic predisposition. The liver harbors the largest proportion of macrophages among all the solid organs. There is considerable controversy regarding the relationship between the macrophage receptor with collagenous structure (MARCO) and tumor development and progression. Accordingly, we performed this case-control study to determine whether associations exist between the MARCO single nucleotide polymorphism rs6761637 and HCC susceptibility and clinical characteristics. We successfully genotyped 586 HCC cases and 647 controls using matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry. The overall genotype distribution of rs6761637 was similar in the HCC and control groups (P = 0.143). However, the CT + CC genotypes of rs6761637 were slightly more common in the HCC group among female (P = 0.021), overweight (body mass index ≥ 24 kg/m², P = 0.003), and nonsmoking (P = 0.022) individuals. The minor C allele carriers had a 1.47-fold increased risk of developing large tumor nodules (P = 0.041). rs6761637 did not affect the recurrence-free or overall survival rate of patients with HCC (P = 0.247 and 0.304, respectively). In conclusion, this is the first report of the association between MARCO genetic variations and HCC risk. These results suggest that the MARCO rs6761637 polymorphism may play a regulatory role in HCC carcinogenesis, but it does not seem to predict prognosis.

Development of a prognostic gene signature for hepatocellular carcinoma

Accurate prediction of overall survival is important for prognosis and the assignment of appropriate personalized clinical treatment in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. The aim of the present study was to establish an optimal gene model for the independent prediction of prognosis associated with common clinical patterns. Gene expression profiles and the corresponding clinical information of the LIHC cohort were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas. Differentially expressed genes were found using the R package "limma". Subsequently, a prognostic gene signature was developed using the LASSO Cox regression model. Kaplan-Meier, log-rank, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were performed to verify the predictive accuracy of the prognostic model. Finally, a nomogram and calibration plot were created using the "rms" package. Differentially expressed genes were screened with threshold criteria (FDR < 0.01 and |log FC|>3) and 563 differentially expressed genes were obtained, including 448 downregulated and 115 upregulated genes. Using the LASSO Cox regression model, a prognostic gene signature was developed based on nine genes, IQGAP3, BIRC5, PTTG1, STC2, CDKN3, PBK, EXO1, NEIL3, and HOXD9, the expression levels of which were quantitated using RT-qPCR. According to the risk scores, patients were separated into high-risk and low-risk groups. In conclusion, the prognostic gene signature can be used as a combined biomarker for the independent prediction of overall survival in HCC patients. Moreover, we created a nomogram that can be used to infer prognosis and aid individualized decisions regarding treatment and surveillance.

Using the aMAP Risk Score to Predict Late Recurrence Following Radiofrequency Ablation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chinese Population: A Multicenter Study

Objective

This study was conducted to explore the application of age-male-ALBI-platelets (aMAP) score for predicting late recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and develop an aMAP score based-nomogram to predict prognosis in Chinese population.

Materials and Methods

HCC patients who developed late recurrence following RFA at National Cancer Center (NCC) of China, First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University and Beijing Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 2011 to December 2016 were included as a training cohort, and patients who were treated at Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University between January 2012 and December 2016 were included as an external validation cohort. The optimal cut-off value for aMAP score was determined using X-tile software to discriminate the performance of recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Results

A total of 339 eligible patients were included in this study. Patients were grouped into low-risk (aMAP score ≤64.2), medium-risk (64.3 ≤aMAP score ≤68.6) and high-risk (aMAP score ≥68.7) groups by X-tile plots. The prognostic factors that affected RFS were the number of lesions and aMAP score. A nomogram was constructed to predict the RFS with a C-index of 0.793 (95% CI: 0.744-0.842). The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (t-AUCs) of the nomogram to predict 3, 4 and 5-year RFS were 0.808, 0.820 and 0.764, respectively. The model was then tested with data from an external validation cohort. The calibration curve confirmed the optimal agreement between the predicted and observed values.

Conclusion

The aMAP score provided a well-discriminated risk stratification and is an independent prognostic factor for the late recurrence of HCC following RFA. The aMAP score-based nomogram could help to strengthen prognosis-based decision making and formulate adjuvant therapeutic and preventive strategies.

The impact of thrombocytopenia on prognosis of HBV-related small hepatocellular carcinoma: a propensity score matching analysis

Background

Thrombocytopenia was reported both detrimental and advantageous to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, there is little evidence showing clearly the clinical value of preoperative thrombocytopenia on the surgical outcome of patients with small HCC. This retrospective study aimed at elucidating the correlation between preoperative thrombocytopenia and surgical outcome of small HCC patients within Milan criteria treated with liver resection.

Methods

Data of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related small HCC patients were retrospectively analyzed, and we performed the propensity score matching (PSM) analysis to overcome the imbalance of clinicopathological features. Patients enrolled were subsequently categorized into two groups according to preoperative platelet counts: thrombocytopenia group and non-thrombocytopenia group. Survival outcomes of the patients in both groups were described with the Kaplan-Meier method, and the difference was compared with a log-rank test. Cox regression analysis was applied to identify the risk factors of surgical outcome.

Results

After PSM, the estimated 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates for small HCC patients in the thrombocytopenia group were 94.5%, 77.0%, and 57.6%, and 95.0%, 79.6%, and 68.0%, respectively, for small HCC patients in the non-thrombocytopenia group (P = 0.042). And the 1-, 3-, and 5-year estimated recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates for small HCC patients in the thrombocytopenia group were 70.4%, 51.0%, and 42.1%, and 83.8%, 63.7%, and 46.7%, respectively, for small HCC patients in the non-thrombocytopenia group (P = 0.035). Multivariate analysis indicated preoperative thrombocytopenia was a significant prognosticator of poor RFS (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.388, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.028~1.874, P = 0.033).

Conclusion

Preoperative thrombocytopenia had an undesirable impact on the recurrence of small HCC patients treated with liver resection.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12957-021-02160-2.

Safety and efficacy study: Short-term application of radiofrequency ablation and stereotactic body radiotherapy for Barcelona Clinical Liver Cancer stage 0-B1 hepatocellular carcinoma

Aim

To evaluate the safety and efficacy of the administration of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) in the short term to the same patients in Barcelona Clinical Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages 0–B1.

Methods

From April 2014 to June 2019, we retrospectively reviewed BCLC stage 0–B1 patients with fresh hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) lesions that were repeatedly treated by RFA (control group, n = 72), and by RFA and subsequent SBRT (case group, n = 26). Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to reduce the selection bias between two groups. Recurrence, survival, Child–Pugh scores and short-term side effects (fever, bleeding, skin change, abdominal pain and fatigue) were recorded and analyzed.

Results

After PSM, 21 patients remained in each group. Seventeen and 20 patients in the case and control groups experienced recurrence. For these patients, the median times to progression and follow-up were 10.7 and 35.8 months, respectively. After PSM, the 1-year progression-free survival rate in case and control groups were 66.7% and 52.4%, respectively (P = 0.313). The inter-group overall survival (OS) was comparable (3 and 5-year OS rates in case groups were 87.3% and 74.8%, while rates in control groups were 73.7% and 46.3%, respectively; P = 0.090). The short-term side effects were mild, and the incidence showed no inter-group difference. The 1-year rates of the Child–Pugh score deterioration of ≥2 in case and control groups were 23.8% and 33.3% (P > 0.05), respectively.

Conclusion

The short-term administration of RFA and SBRT to the same BCLC stage 0–B1 patients may be feasible and effective because of their good prognosis and safety.

Ability of the post-operative ALBI grade to predict the outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma after curative surgery

The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade has been validated as a significant predictor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, there is little information about the impact of postoperative ALBI grade in patients with HCC who are undergoing liver resection. We enrolled 525 HCC patients who received primary resection from April 2001 to March 2017. The impact of the pre- and post-operative ALBI grades on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were analyzed by multivariate analysis. During the follow-up period (mean, 65 months), 253 (48.1%) patients experienced recurrence, and 85 (16.2%) patients died. Multivariate analysis revealed that diabetes mellitus (DM) (p = 0.011), alpha-fetoprotein levels (AFP) (p < 0.001), low platelet count (p = 0.008), liver cirrhosis (p < 0.001), and the first year of ALBI grade after resection (p < 0.001) were independent predictors for RFS. Additionally, old age (p = 0.006), DM (p = 0.002), AFP (p = 0.027), and ALBI grade at the first year after resection (p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for poor liver-related survival. Patients with post-operative ALBI grades II/III had older age (p = 0.019), hypoalbuminemia (p = 0.038), DM (p = 0.043), and high stages of pTNM (p = 0.021). The post-operative ALBI grade is better for predicting the outcomes in HCC patients after curative hepatectomy than the pre-operative ALBI grade.

The Prediction of Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on A Four Long Non-coding RNAs Expression Signature

Prognostic stratification in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients is still challenging. Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) have been proven to play a crucial role in tumorigenesis and progression of cancers. The aim of this study is to develop a useful prognostic index based on lncRNA signature to identify patients at high risk of disease progression. We obtained lncRNA expression profiles from three publicly available datasets from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). By the risk scoring method, we built an individualized four-lncRNA signature (HCCLnc-4) to predict survival of HCC patients in the discovery set (ROC curve, AUC: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.65-1.00, P < 0.05, Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test, P < 0.01). Similar prognostic value of HCCLnc-4 has been further verified in two other independent sets. Stratified analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis suggested the independence of HCCLnc-4 for prediction of HCC patient survival from traditional clinicopathological factors. Area under curve (AUC) analysis suggested that HCCLnc-4 could compete sufficiently with, or might be even better than classical pathological staging systems to predict HCC patient prognosis in the same data sets. Functional analysis and network analysis suggested the potential implication of lncRNA biomarkers. Our study developed and validated the lncRNA prognostic index of HCC patients, warranting further clinical evaluation and preventive interventions.

Percutaneous Radiofrequency Ablation With a Multiple-Electrode Switching System for Medium-Sized Hepatocellular Carcinomas

Objective

This study aimed to retrospectively evaluate the safety and short-term therapeutic efficacy of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) with a multiple-electrode switching system (MESS) to treat medium-sized (3.1–5.0 cm) hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs).

Summary of Background Data

Conventional monopolar RFA is limited in achieving local control for tumors larger than 3 cm. Therefore, MESS-RFA was developed, and it can create a sufficiently large ablation volume, including the target tumor and a 5- to 10-mm safety margin in medium-sized tumors.

Methods

We performed a total of 168 RFAs with a MESS for 166 patients. The patients were treated under ultrasonographic guidance by a percutaneous switching system RFA with a multichannel RF generator and 2 or 3 internally cooled electrodes. Technical effectiveness, local progression, and remote recurrence of HCC were determined.

Results

For the 166 isolated HCC tumors, the complete ablation rate of MESS-RFA was 98.79% (164 of 166). Mean ablation time per procedure was 12.33 ± 3.01 minutes; mean ablation diameter was 5.79 ± 0.61 cm. The complication rate was 2.41%. During follow-up (averaging 16.54 months), local tumor progression occurred in 15 of 166 patients (9.03%) with technical effectiveness, whereas new HCCs were detected in 40 of 166 patients (24.09%). Multivariate analyses revealed that local tumor progression was only associated with serum α-fetoprotein levels above 100 ng/mL as a risk factor.

Conclusion

MESS-RFA for achieving sufficient ablation volume is safe and efficient. This method also showed relatively successful therapeutic effectiveness on short-term follow-up in the treatment of medium-sized HCCs.

Assessment in the Survival Outcome After Transarterial Chemoembolization Combined with Cryoablation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma (Diameter > 4cm) Based on the Albumin-Bilirubin Grade and Platelet-Albumin-Bilirubin ‎grade: ‎ A Preliminary Study

Objective

Based on the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) and platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grade to assess the long-term outcomes of patients with large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after transarterial chemoembolization combined with cryoablation (TACE-CRA).

Materials and Methods

We studied 86 patients with HCC nodules (up to 3 HCCs with maximum diameters of 4.1–12.0 cm) who subsequently underwent TACE-CRA from July 2007 to August 2018. The overall survival (OS) was compared between groups classified by ALBI and PALBI grade. Baseline characteristics were collected to identify the risk factors for determination of poor OS after TACE-CRA. The prognostic performances of CTP class, ALBI and PALBI grade were compared.

Results

After a median follow-up time of 33.8 months, 41 patients had died. The cumulative1-, 3- and 5-year OS rates were 74.5%, 38.0% and 29.3%, respectively. Stratified according to ALBI grade, the cumulative 3- and 5-year OS rates were 41.2% and 41.2% in grade 1, respectively, and 20.9% and 9.8% in grades 2–3, respectively (P < 0.001). Stratified according to PALBI grade, the cumulative 3- and 5-year OS rates were 41.2% and 37.5% in grade 1, respectively, and 36.3% and 21.2% in grades 2–3, respectively (P = 0.002). Multivariate analysis results showed that older age, and ALBI grade 2–3 were associated with overall mortality. ALBI grade demonstrated significantly greater area under the curve values than CTP class and PALBI in predicting 1-, 3- and 5-year OS.

Conclusion

ALBI grade offers accurate prediction of long-term outcome for patients with HCC (diameter > 4 cm) after TACE-CRA.

A nomogram to predict survival of patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma after transarterial chemoembolization combined with microwave ablation

OBJECTIVES

To develop a prognostic nomogram based on the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade for prediction of the long-term survival of patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after transarterial chemoembolization combined with microwave ablation (TACE-MWA).

METHODS

We retrospectively studied 546 consecutive patients with intermediate-stage HCC according to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer guidelines who underwent TACE-MWA between January 2000 and December 2016. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed. The predictive value of the ALBI grade was investigated. The prognostic nomogram was constructed using the independent predictors assessed by the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 35.0 months (range, 4.0-221.0 months), 380 patients had died. The median OS was 35.0 months (95% confidence interval (CI), 30.84-39.16 months), and the median PFS was 6.5 months (95% CI, 6.13-6.87 months). The ALBI grade was validated as an independent predictor of OS (p < 0.001). Multivariate analyses showed that Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status score more than 0, presence of liver cirrhosis, a-fetoprotein level above 400 ng/mL, tumor size greater than 5 cm, tumor number more than 3, advanced ALBI grade, and treatment sessions of TACE or MWA fewer than 3 were independently associated with overall mortality. The prognostic nomogram incorporating these eight predictors achieved good calibration and discriminatory abilities with a concordance index of 0.770 (95% CI, 0.746-0.795).

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic nomogram based on the ALBI grade resulted in reliable efficacy for prediction of individualized OS in patients with intermediate-stage HCC after TACE-MWA.

KEY POINTS

• TACE-MWA was associated with a median overall survival of 35.0 months for patients with intermediate-stage HCC. • A prognostic nomogram was built to predict individualized survival of patients with intermediate-stage HCC after TACE-MWA. • The prognostic nomogram incorporating eight predictors achieved good calibration and discriminatory abilities with a concordance index of 0.770.

Radiofrequency ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis of overall survival and recurrence-free survival

Background and aims

So far, no randomized trial or meta-analysis has been conducted on overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) factors in patients treated with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) alone. The purpose of this meta-analysis was to evaluate prognostic factors of OS and RFS in patients treated with RFA.

Methods

A primary analysis was planned to evaluate the clinical prognostic factor of OS. RFS was the secondary aim. Thirty-four studies published from 2003 to 2017 were analyzed. They included 11,216 hepatocellular carcinoma patients.

Results

The results showed that Child-Pugh B vs Child-Pugh A (HR =2.32; 95% CI: 2.201-2.69; P<0.0001) and albumin-bilirubin score 1 vs 0 (HR =2.69; 95% CI: 2.10-3.44; P<0.0001) were predictive of poor OS. Tumor size as a continuous variable was not predictive of OS, although it was predictive of OS when we considered the size as a cutoff value (.2 cm vs <2 cm: HR =1.41; 95% CI: 1.23-1.61; P<0.0001; >3 cm vs <3 cm: HR =1.43; 95% CI: 1.17-1.74; P<0.0001) and in presence of >1 nodule (HR =1.59; 95% CI: 1.46-1.74; P<0.0001). Alpha-fetoprotein >20 ng/mL (HR =1.46; 95% CI: 1.25-1.70; P<0.0001) was the only predictive factor of poor prognosis.

Conclusion

Our meta-analysis highlighted that the maximum benefit of RFA in terms of OS and RFS is reached in the presence of Child-Pugh A, albumin-bilirubin score 1, single-nodule tumor sized <2 cm, and alpha-fetoprotein <20 ng/mL.

The Prognosis of Single Large Hepatocellular Carcinoma Was Distinct from Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage A or B: The Role of Albumin-Bilirubin Grade

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Whether single large hepatocellular carcinoma (SLHCC) is classified as Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A or B is still controversial. We aimed to compare the clinical manifestations, treatment modalities, and prognoses among patients with SLHCC and those in BCLC stage A and B.

METHODS

We enrolled 2,285 treatment-naive hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with BCLC stage A or B from October 2007 to December 2015. Factors in terms of prognoses were analyzed by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

We enrolled 1,210, 466, and 609 patients in a BCLC-A, SLHCC, and BCLC-B group, respectively. After a median follow-up duration of 21.2 months, 898 patients had died. The cumulative 5-year survival rates were 57.0, 42.6, and 27.3% for patients in the BCLC-A, SLHCC, and BCLC-B groups, respectively, which were significantly different (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated that the following independent risk factors were associated with poor prognosis: age > 65 years, alkaline phosphatase > 100 U/L, creatinine > 1.0 mg/dL, alpha-fetoprotein > 20 mg/mL, noncurative treatment, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, and HCC staging. Subgroup analysis also confirmed that patients in the SLHCC group had a survival rate intermediate to those in the BCLC-A and BCLC-B groups. However, for patients in the SLHCC group and with ALBI grade 1, outcomes were close to those in the BCLC-A group, especially in the setting of curative treatment. For those with ALBI grades 2 or 3, the prognoses were similar to those of the SLHCC and BCLC-B groups.

CONCLUSION

Patients in the SLHCC group had an overall survival rate intermediate to those of the BCLC-A and BCLC-B groups. It is suggested that the SLHCC group could be classified as occupying a different stage from the BCLC stages A and B. The ALBI grade could help to stratify SLHCC into a different prognostic group. However, the results need to be validated externally in other regions of the world.

Clinical outcome in elderly Chinese patients with primary hepatocellular carcinoma treated with percutaneous microwave coagulation therapy (PMCT): A Strobe-compliant observational study

Percutaneous microwave ablation therapy (PMCT) has been recommended for elderly hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who cannot tolerate surgery due to their age or presence of comorbidities. Few studies have investigated efficacy and treatment outcomes for PMCT treatment in these patients, especially in China, where patients are more often diagnosed and treated early in life. This study evaluated the safety and efficacy of ultrasound-guided PMCT in treatment-naive elderly HCC patients, and analyzed risk factors associated with poor treatment outcomes.The 65 HCC patients in this retrospective study were divided into 2 groups: <65 years old or ≥65 years old. Patients received PMCT every month until tumor was unobservable and were then followed for 1 month after ablation. The primary clinical endpoint was the rate of complete tumor ablation, and secondary endpoints were progression-free survival and overall survival.Patients ≥65 years old had significantly poorer performance status than younger patients, but similar rates of complete ablation. Multiple tumors and hypertension were associated with a significantly higher risk of death, while higher postoperative alanine aminotransferase levels were associated with a significantly lower risk of death. Patients with tumor sizes >5 to ≤ 10 cm were at a significantly higher risk for disease progression than patients with tumor sizes >1 to ≤ 3 cm. Complete ablation significantly lowered the risk of disease progression.PMCT is safe and effective for patients ≥65 years of age, achieving total ablation in more than 90% of patients. Age and comorbidities did not affect clinical outcome.

Nomograms to Predict the Disease-free Survival and Overall Survival after Radiofrequency Ablation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objective The purpose of this study was to construct nomograms for the disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) of post-radiofrequency ablation (RFA) patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Furthermore, we compared the prognostic predictive ability of these nomograms for estimating per-patient outcomes with that of traditional staging systems. Methods We retrospectively enrolled 298 patients in the training set and 272 patients in the validation set who underwent RFA for HCC. The nomograms for the DFS and OS were constructed from the training set using the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. The discriminatory accuracy of the models was compared with traditional staging systems by analyzing the Harrell's C-index. Results The DFS nomogram was developed based on the tumor size, tumor number, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), albumin, age, and α-fetoprotein. The OS nomogram was developed based on the tumor size, the model for end-stage liver disease, AST, and albumin. Our DFS and OS nomograms had good calibration and discriminatory abilities in the training set, with C-indexes of 0.640 and 0.692, respectively, that were greater than those of traditional staging systems. The C-indexes of our DFS and OS nomograms were also greater than those of traditional staging systems in the validation set, with C-indexes of 0.614 and 0.657, respectively. RFA patients were stratified into low- and high-risk groups based on the median nomogram scores. High-risk patients receiving surgical resection (SR) were associated with a better DFS and OS than those undergoing RFA. However, the DFS and OS were similar between the low-risk RFA and SR groups. Conclusion We constructed reliable and useful nomograms that accurately predict the DFS and OS after RFA for early-stage HCC patients. These graphical tools are easy to use and will assist physicians during the therapeutic decision-making process.

Molecular characteristics of hepatocellular carcinomas from different age groups

While most patients in Western countries who are diagnosed with HCC are in their 50s and 60s, HCCs diagnosed at extremes of the age spectrum (i.e., < 40 years and ≥ 75 years) are less common and have been linked with distinct geographic locations and etiologies. Using multiplatform profiling, we identified differences in genetic alterations and protein expression in different age groups within a large cohort of HCC patients (N = 421). Young adult HCC patients (18-39 years' old) were more likely to be female, living in the West and Midwestern United States, and showed decreased androgen receptor, drug resistance and pro-angiogenic protein expression compared to older patients. TP53 mutations were the most frequent alteration in young adults (19%), whereas CTNNB1 mutations occurred in 30-33% of patients ≥ 40 years' old. The overall frequency of pathogenic and presumed pathogenic mutations was observed to increase significantly with advancing age. To our knowledge, these data represent one of the only studies to analyze age-specific molecular profiles in HCC, and provide a basis for further exploration and validation of these findings with respect to their clinical and therapeutic implications.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Nomograms Based on the Albumin-Bilirubin Grade to Assess the Outcomes of Radiofrequency Ablation

Purpose To construct a nomogram with the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade to assess the long-term outcomes of patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA). Materials and Methods This retrospective study was approved by the institutional review board, and informed consent was waived. We studied 622 treatment-naïve patients with HCC according to the Milan criteria who subsequently underwent RFA from 2002 to 2013. Baseline characteristics were collected to identify the risk factors for determination of poor overall survival after RFA. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model based on significant prognostic factors of overall survival was used to construct the nomogram. Results After a median follow-up time of 35.7 months, 190 patients had died. The cumulative 5- and 10-year overall survival rates were 63.1% and 48.7%, respectively. Stratified according to ALBI grade, the cumulative 5- and 10-year survival rates were 80.0% and 67.9% for patients with grade 1, respectively, and 48.6% and 35.1% for those with grades 2-3, respectively (P < .001). Multivariate analysis results showed that patient age older than 65 years, a prothrombin time international normalized ratio greater than 1.1, α-fetoprotein level greater than 20 ng/mL, multiple tumors, and ALBI grade 2 or 3 were associated with overall mortality. A nomogram was developed on the basis of these five variables. Internal validation with 200 bootstrapped sample sets had a good concordance index of 0.770 (95% confidence interval: 0.633, 0.876). Conclusion This simple nomogram based on the ALBI grade offers personalized long-term survival data for patients with early-stage HCC who undergo RFA. ^© RSNA, 2017 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

350-560 μm gelatin sponge particles combined with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization for the treatment of elderly hepatocellular carcinoma: The safety and efficacy

To retrospectively analyze the safety and efficacy of 350-560 μm gelatin sponge particles combined with single-chemotherapy drug transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (Gs-TACE) for the treatment of elderly hepatocellular carcinoma without surgical resection.Thirty elderly hepatocellular carcinoma patients without surgical resection, who received Gs-TACE in our hospital, were selected. Slowly injected gelatin sponge particles (350-560 μm)+ 10 mg lobaplatin injection into the regional embolization tumor target vessel. The Response Evaluation Criteria for Solid Tumors could be used to evaluate the tumor response after intervention surgery.Eighty-nine times of intervention TACE were conducted on the 30 patients. The average size of tumor was 8.3 cm. The median survival time was 28 months, and the 1 and 2-year survival rates were 89% and 58%, respectively. The Response Evaluation Criteria for Solid Tumors was used to evaluate the tumor response, and found that the complete response, partial response, and OR were 30%, 56.67%, and 86.67%, respectively, at 1 month after intervention surgery. The patients were divided into groups: 60 to 65 years age group (A), >65 to 75 years age group (B), and >75 years age group (C); the median survival times were 16, 32, and 33 months, respectively, and there was statistical difference between A group, B group, and C group. The analysis of prognosis factors showed that there was statistical significance in age, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, portal vein invasion, and alpha fetal protein (AFP), and age was the protective factor.Gelatin sponge particles (350-560 μm), combined with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, provide an alternative method for the treatment of elderly hepatocellular carcinoma without surgical resection.

Prognostic Impact of Indocyanine Green Plasma Disappearance Rate in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients after Radiofrequency Ablation: A Prognostic Nomogram Study

Objective Radiofrequency ablation has been used widely for the local ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma, particularly in its early stages. The study aim was to identify significant prognostic factors and develop a predictive nomogram for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who have undergone radiofrequency ablation. We also developed the formula to predict the probability of 3- and 5-year overall survival based on clinical variables. Methods We retrospectively studied 96 consecutive patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who had undergone radiofrequency ablation as a first-line treatment. Independent and significant factors affecting the overall survival were selected using a Cox proportional hazards model, and a prognostic nomogram was developed based on these factors. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was determined by Harrell's concordance index and compared with the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program score and Japan Integrated Staging score. Results A multivariate analysis revealed that age, indocyanine green plasma disappearance rate, and log (des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin) level were independent and significant factors influencing the overall survival. The nomogram was based on these three factors. The mean concordance index of the nomogram was 0.74±0.08, which was significantly better than that of conventional staging systems using the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program score (0.54±0.03) and Japan Integrated Staging score (0.59±0.07). Conclusion This study suggested that the indocyanine green plasma disappearance rate and age at radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and des-gamma-carboxy-prothrombin (DCP) are good predictors of the prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma patients after radiofrequency ablation. We successfully developed a nomogram using obtainable variables before treatment.

The impact of clinically significant portal hypertension on the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation: a propensity score matching analysis

OBJECTIVES

To assess the impact of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) on the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA).

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 280 treatment-naïve early-stage HCC patients who had Child-Pugh grade A or B and received upper gastrointestinal endoscopy at the time of HCC diagnosis. CSPH was defined as (1) a platelet count < 100,000/mm³ associated with splenomegaly and/or (2) the presence of oesophageal/gastric varices by endoscopy. Factors determining poor overall survival and recurrence after RFA were analysed by Cox proportional hazards model and propensity score matching analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 192 (68.6 %) patients had CSPH. The cumulative 5-year survival rates were 50.6 % and 76.7 % in patients with and without CSPH, respectively (p = 0.015). Based on multivariate analysis, age > 65 years (hazard ratio (HR) 1.740, p = 0.025), serum albumin levels ≤ 3.5 g/dL (HR 3.268, p < 0.001) and multiple tumours (HR 1.693, p = 0.046), but not CSPH, were independent risk factors associated with poor overall survival after RFA. Moreover, the overall survival rates were comparable between patients with and without CSPH after adjusting for confounding factors via propensity score matching analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

CSPH was not associated with poor outcomes after RFA.

KEY POINTS

• CSPH was common in HCC patients who underwent RFA therapy. • CSPH was not an independent risk factor in determining poor prognosis. • Serum albumin level was more important to determine the outcomes.

Hepatocellular carcinoma in elderly patients: challenges and solutions

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second most common cause of death by cancer in the world. Due to the delayed HCC development in hepatitis C carriers and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, the incidence of HCC in the elderly is increasing and is becoming a global health issue. Elderly patients with HCC should be assessed through proper oncologic approach, namely, screening tools for frailty (Geriatric-8 or Vulnerable Elders Survey-13) and comprehensive geriatric assessment. This review of the literature supports the same treatment options for elderly patients as for younger patients, in elderly patients selected as fit following proper oncogeriatric assessment. Unfit patients should be managed through a multidisciplinary team involving both oncological and geriatrician professionals. Specific studies and recommendations for HCC in the elderly should be encouraged.

Radiofrequency ablation plus chemoembolization versus radiofrequency ablation alone for hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

To determine whether the use of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) plus transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) is more effective than the use of RFA alone for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

A computer-based search was performed. Randomised trials comparing RFA plus TACE and RFA alone for treatment of HCC were included in this meta-analysis. The outcome of interest for our analysis was survival (recurrence-free survival and overall survival).

RESULTS

Eight trials with 648 patients were eligible for this meta-analysis. Our pooled results suggest that RFA plus TACE is associated with a significant advantage in recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR=0.58; 95% CI=0.42-0.80, P=0.001), and overall survival (OS) (HR=0.60; 95% CI=0.47-0.76, P<0.001).

CONCLUSION

TACE combined with RFA was more effective than RFA alone, especially for treatment for intermediate and large-size hepatic tumours or younger patients with HCC.

Partial liver resection results in a significantly better long-term survival than locally ablative procedures even in elderly patients

PURPOSE

The number of elderly patients with HCC will increase worldwide in the next years. Therefore, surgeons need to reassess clinical algorithms for the treatment of patients with HCC. We reevaluated a cohort of patients treated in the last 10 years at our hospital, with emphasis on long-term results and age.

METHOD

A prospectively recorded consecutive series of all patients treated in between January 1995 and December 2014 with curative intent either by partial liver resection or by ablative therapy was analysed.

RESULTS

At the time of diagnosis, 232 patients were younger than 70 years and 127 patients were aged 70 years and over. In the latter group, solitary tumours, absence of liver cirrhosis and resection therapy were more frequent compared to younger patients. Charlson index, AFP-negative tumours and CLIP score were equally distributed in both groups. Observed survival of older and younger patients was similar but after partial liver resection, younger patients had a better survival than elderly patients, whereas survival in patients treated with ablation was similar in both groups. In the univariate analysis, long-term survival of patients aged 70 years and over was influenced by treatment procedure, number of lesions, liver cirrhosis, Child's stage and CLIP score. In the multivariate analysis, only treatment procedure and CLIP score were identified as independent predictors of observed survival, and comorbidity was not.

CONCLUSION

In patients aged 70 years and over, long-term prognosis is independently influenced by CLIP score and treatment procedure and other findings have only minor influence on long-term survival.

Prognosis of Early-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma: The Clinical Implications of Substages of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer System Based on a Cohort of 1265 Patients

The prognostic implication of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) substages in Asian patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still obscure.The aim to this study is to compare the prognoses among HCC patients in different substages of the BCLC stage 0 and A.We enrolled 1265 treatment-naive HCC patients with BCLC stage 0 or A from 2007 to 2014. Factors in terms of prognoses were analyzed by multivariate analysis.There were 184, 446, 271, 92, and 272 patients in substage 0, A1, A2, A3, and A4, respectively. After a median follow-up period of 21.0 months, patients in stages 0 and A1 had comparable prognoses (P = 0.136). Both of them had significantly higher overall survival rates than those in stages A2-A4 (all P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that the factors associated with mortality were serum albumin ≤3.5 g/dL (hazard ratio [HR] 1.459), alpha-fetoprotein >20 ng/mL (HR 1.863), tumor size >3 cm (HR 1.542), BCLC stage A2-A4 (HR 1.488), and treatment modality. Surgical resection had the highest overall survival rate followed by radiofrequency ablation (RFA) (HR 1.598), transarterial chemoembolization (HR 2.224), and other treatments (HR 3.707). Verus patients receiving RFA, those who underwent resection had a higher overall survival rate and lower recurrence rate especially in BCLC stages A2-A4.The BCLC-staging system provided good prognostic stratification for early-stage HCC. Patients with a single tumor >2 cm but without portal hypertension or jaundice had similar prognosis to those in BCLC stage 0. Curative therapies-especially hepatic resection-are suggested in early-stage HCC.

The Prognostic Value of Platelet Count in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Thrombocytopenia has been acknowledged to be a crucial risk factor for cirrhosis formation and hepatocarcinogenesis in chronic liver diseases. However, to date, the association between platelet count (PLT) and the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains inconsistent and controversial. The aim of the present study was to determine whether PLT could be used as a useful predictor of survival in patients with HCC. We performed systematic review in online databases, including PubMed, EmBase, and Web of Science, from inception until 2014. Studies were included if a statistical relationship was investigated between PLT and survival for HCC, and hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for overall survival (OS) or recurrence-free survival (RFS) were provided. The quality of each included study was assessed by Newcastle-Ottawa scale score. To synthesize these studies, a random-effects model or a fixed-effects model was applied as appropriate. Then, we calculated heterogeneity, performed sensitivity analysis, tested publication bias, and did subgrouped and meta-regression analysis. Finally, we identified 33 eligible articles (published from 1998 to 2014) involved 5545 patients by retrieval. A low level of preoperative PLT was found to be significantly associated with a poor survival of HCC. Irrespective of the therapy used, the pooled HRs for OS and RFS were 1.41 (95% CI, 1.14-1.75) and 1.44 (95% CI, 1.13-1.83), respectively. Specifically, in patients who underwent liver resection, the pooled HRs for OS and RFS were 1.67 (95% CI, 1.22-2.27) and 1.44 (95% CI, 1.04-1.99), respectively. Furthermore, patients with preoperative thrombocytopenia (PLT < 100 × 10⁹/L) had a worse OS (HR: 1.73, 95% CI, 1.29-2.32) and RFS (HR: 1.57, 95% CI, 1.31-1.87) in comparison with patients without thrombocytopenia. All our findings showed no significant changes due to the removal of any study or the use of an opposite-effects model, and there was no significant publication bias. The limitations of this meat-analysis were nonuniform cut-off values of PLT, high between-study heterogeneities, potential confounders, and a bias of publication year. A low preoperative PLT level results in an unfavorable outcome in HCC. PLT is a simple, inexpensive, and useful predictor of survival in patients with HCC.

Thrombocytopenia for prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence: Systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM: To investigate the association between thrombocytopenia and relapse after treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS: We searched the PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases to obtain eligible studies. The hazard ratios (HRs) values and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were pooled by random effects model. Subsequently, we estimated the heterogeneity, performed a sensitivity analysis, determined the publication bias, and performed subgroup and meta-regression analyses. Study quality was assessed by using the Oxford Center for Evidence Based Medicine tool.

RESULTS: We identified 18 eligible studies by retrieval (published during 2000-2014). Out of the 4163 patients with HCC who were recruited, 2746 (66.0%) experienced recurrence. In general, our meta-analysis suggested that low platelet count (PLT) before therapy significantly increased the probability of postoperative recurrence (HR = 1.53, 95%CI: 1.29-1.81). PLT was also valuable in the prediction of intrahepatic distant recurrence (HR = 1.49, 95%CI: 1.25-1.77). Subgroup and meta-regression analyses identified various therapeutic modalities as the source of a high degree of heterogeneity. The pooled HR values showed no obvious change when a single study was removed, but otherwise, an opposite-effects model was used. In addition, no significant publication bias was detected.

CONCLUSION: Thrombocytopenia before treatment might be an inexpensive and useful predictor of postoperative recurrence in patients with HCC.

Management of hepatocellular carcinoma in the elderly

Mean age of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients has been progressively increasing over the last decades and ageing of these patients is becoming a real challenge in every day clinical practice. Unfortunately, international guidelines on HCC management do not address this problem exhaustively and do not provide any specific recommendation. We carried out a literature search in MEDLINE database for studies reporting on epidemiology, clinical characteristics and treatment outcome of HCC in elderly patients. Available data seem to indicate that in elderly patients the outcome of HCC is mostly influenced by liver function and tumor stage rather than by age and the latter should not influence treatment allocation. Age is not a risk for resection and older patients with resectable HCC and good liver function could gain benefit from surgery. Mild comorbidities do not seem a contraindication for surgery in aged patients. Conversely, major resection in elderly, even when performed in experienced high-volume centres, should be avoided. Both percutaneous ablation and transarterial chemoembolization are not contraindicated in aged patients and safety profile of these procedures is acceptable. Sorafenib is a viable option for advanced HCC in elderly provided that a careful evaluation of concomitant comorbidities, particularly cardiovascular ones, is taken into account. Available data seem to suggest that in either elderly and younger, treatment is a main predictor of outcome. Consequently, a nihilistic attitude of physicians towards under- or no-treatment of aged patients should not be longer justified.

Significance of platelet count and platelet-based models for hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence

AIM: To explore the effects of platelet count (PLT) and 11 platelet-based indices on postoperative recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 172 HCC patients who were treated by partial hepatectomy. Preoperative data, including laboratory biochemical results, were used to calculate the 11 indices included in the analysis. We performed receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to determine the optimal cut-off values for predicting recurrence. Cumulative rates of HCC recurrence were calculated using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and differences were analyzed by log-rank tests. Multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of recurrence, early recurrence (within one year after surgery), and late recurrence in HCC. To obtain better prognostic models, PLT-based indices were analyzed separately after being expressed as binary and continuous variables. Two platelet-unrelated, validated HCC prognostic models were included in the analyses as reference indices. Additional analyses were performed after patients were stratified based on hepatitis B virus infection status, cirrhosis, and tumor size to investigate the significance of platelets in different subgroups.

RESULTS: In the study cohort, 44.2% (76/172) of patients experienced HCC recurrence, and 50.6% (87/172) died during a median follow-up time of 46 mo. PLT and five of the 11 platelet-related models were significant predisposing factors for recurrence (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis indicated that, among the clinical parameters, presence of ascites, PLT ≥ 148 × 10⁹/L, alkaline phosphatase ≥ 116 U/L, and tumor size ≥ 5 cm were independently associated with a higher risk of HCC recurrence (P < 0.05). Independent and significant models included the aspartate aminotransferase/PLT index, fibrosis index based on the four factors, fibro-quotient, aspartate aminotransferase/PLT/γ-glutamyl transpeptidase/alpha-fetoprotein index, and the PLT/age/alkaline phosphatase/alpha-fetoprotein/aspartate aminotransferase index. There were different risk factors between early and late recurrences, and PLT and these indices were more inclined to influence late recurrence. PLT was only predictive of recurrence in non-cirrhotic HCC patients, and was not influenced by tumor size, which was a critical confounder in our study.

CONCLUSION: PLT and PLT-based noninvasive models are effective tools for predicting postoperative recurrence, especially late recurrence. Larger cohorts are needed to validate our findings.

The prognostic values of 12 cirrhosis-relative noninvasive models in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinogenesis is associated with the progression of cirrhosis, and the latter further aggravates tumor development and prognosis. The aim of the study was to investigate the prognostic values of 12 cirrhosis-relative noninvasive models in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 363 HCC patients who either underwent partial hepatectomy (PH) or received transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TCAE). Preoperative data were collected to calculate these indices using the original formulas. Diagnostic accuracy of these models in detection of cirrhosis was evaluated by area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis. Multivariate analyses were performed to assess the independent prognostic significance of the 12 indicators.

RESULTS

Aspartate aminotransferase-platelet ratio index (APRI) and Goteborg University Cirrhosis Index (GUCI) were found to be significant in discriminating cirrhotic patients from non-cirrhotic individuals. When the indices were expressed as continuous variables, multivariate analyses indicated that APRI and GUCI were independent indices to predict overall survival in patients underwent PH, with a hazard ratio (HR) value 1.04 (p = 0.005) and 1.07 (p = 0.001), respectively. In the cohort of TACE, APRI and GUCI were independently associated with survival as well.

CONCLUSION

Of the 12 indices, APRI and GUCI were relatively accurate predictors of cirrhosis status as well as outcome of HCC. As only a limited study population was enrolled in the current study, larger cohorts are needed to validate our results.

A comparison of clinical manifestations and prognoses between patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and Child-Pugh scores of 5 or 6

The objective of this work is to compare the outcomes between the Child-Pugh score 5 (A5 group) and Child-Pugh score 6 (A6 group) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Whether HCC patients with A5 and A6 groups have different prognoses is still obscure. We enrolled 2462 consecutive treatment-naive HCC patients from 2007 to 2012. Among them, 1486 patients had Child-Pugh grade A, including 1016 in the A5 group and 470 in the A6 group. Factors in the prognoses were analyzed by multivariate analysis. Compared with those in the A6 group, patients in the A5 group were younger, had higher proportions of tumors within the Milan criteria, and more of them underwent curative therapies. The cumulative survival rates at 5 years were 51.3% and 37.1% for patients in the A5 and A6 groups, respectively (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that the independent risk factors associated with poor overall survival were nonhepatitis C virus carrier, serum albumin ≤ 4 g/dL, aspartate aminotransferase > 45 U/L, α-fetoprotein > 20 ng/mL, multinodularity, tumor size > 3 cm, vascular invasion, and noncurative therapies, but not the Child-Pugh numeric score. The Child-Pugh numeric score had a significant prognostic effect only in patients who had tumors beyond the Milan criteria and received noncurative therapies. HCC patients with A5 group had a better overall survival rate than those with A6 group due to the early tumor stage and higher rate of receiving curative treatments. Tumor factors and treatment modalities were more important than the Child-Pugh numeric score.

Uncompromised treatment efficacy in elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a propensity score analysis

The number of elderly hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients is expected to rise. We analyzed the impact of age on clinical presentations, treatment allocation, and long-term survival between elderly (≥75 years) and younger (<75 years) HCC patients. In this study, a total of 812 elderly and 2270 younger HCC patients were evaluated. The baseline information and long-term survival were compared in the entire population and in different treatment groups. A propensity score matching analysis with preset caliper width was utilized to compare survival differences in different patient subgroups. Elderly HCC patients had discrete characteristics compared with younger HCC patients. Elderly patients received surgical resection (SR) less frequently, while more elderly patients underwent radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Younger patients had significantly better long-term survival than the elderly patients in all patients and in patients receiving SR (both P<0.05). However, of the entire cohort, age was not an independent predictor of poor prognosis in the Cox multivariate model. The long-term survival was similar between 2 age groups in patients receiving RFA and TACE. In the propensity model, there were no significant survival differences among patients receiving SR, RFA, or TACE (all P>0.05). Among the elderly, the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score provided the lowest Akaike information criterion value. In conclusion, advanced age is not associated with inferior treatment result in HCC patients receiving different therapeutic modalities. Elderly HCC patients should be encouraged for active treatment when indicated. The CLIP is an optimal prognostic model for outcome assessment.

Radiofrequency ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma in elderly patients fitting the Milan criteria: a single centre with 13 years experience

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the safety and outcomes of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in treating elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of 391 patients with HCC fitting the Milan criteria and treated with RFA for the first time from 1999 to 2012 at the Southwest Hospital, China. The patients were divided into two groups, an elderly group (age ≥70 years, n = 102) and a non-elderly group (age <70 years, n = 289). Long-term outcomes were assessed on all patients and survival rates were calculated.

RESULTS

The overall survival rates of the two groups differed significantly. The recurrence-free survival rates of the two groups did not differ significantly. There was no significant difference between the two groups. Excluding comorbid diseases related deaths, the overall survival rates of the two groups did not differ significantly.

CONCLUSIONS

The safety and outcomes of RFA in treating early HCC were similar among elderly and non-elderly patients. Co-morbid diseases, such as cardiovascular disease and respiratory disease, rather than HCC or liver diseases, contributed to the relatively low overall survival rate found in elderly patients.

Predicting recurrence following radiofrequency percutaneous ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma

Within 5 years after percutaneous ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma, roughly 70% of patients experience tumor recurrence. Relapses beyond curative options affected patients' survival. Ablation shares with resection common predictive factors of recurrence as size of the tumor, multinodularity and presence of vascular invasion. High serum α-fetoprotein level and markers of severity of underlying liver disease have also been found to be associated with recurrence and even survival. However, predictive values for recurrence of technical factors, histopathological and molecular tumors' features have been rarely studied. Few comparative studies have shown that ablation techniques impact recurrence rates. Moreover, although ablation does not allow analysis of the whole tumor, some reports suggest that biopsies allow histopathological and even molecular testing of the risk of recurrence.

Cause-specific mortality associated with aging in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing percutaneous radiofrequency ablation

OBJECTIVE

The number of elderly patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is expected to increase. The aim of this study is to evaluate the efficacy of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in elderly patients with HCC and to investigate cause-specific excess deaths associated with increasing number of elderly patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We enrolled 1401 naive patients with HCC who were treated initially by RFA from 1999 to 2011. Patients below 75 years of age were categorized as 'younger' and those at least 75 as 'elderly'. Differences in the demographic and laboratory data of these patients were assessed, along with Kaplan-Meier analysis of survival using the log-rank test. In addition, we assessed the causes of death, defined as liver related and liver unrelated, by competing risk analysis and risk factors for respective causes of death by a proportional subdistribution model.

RESULTS

Overall, 353 patients were categorized as elderly. Elderly patients were more likely to be women, infected with hepatitis C virus, and score better in the Child-Pugh classification. The mortality at 5 years was lower in the elderly than in the younger patients (47.3 vs. 37.1%; P<0.001). Competing risk analysis showed a significant difference in liver-unrelated death (P<0.001) between the two groups, whereas there were no significant differences in liver-related death (P=0.64). By the proportional subdistribution model, age was a significant risk factor only for liver-unrelated death.

CONCLUSION

RFA provided satisfactory 5-year survival rates in elderly patients with HCC. The elderly tended to die from liver-unrelated causes.

Trans-arterial chemo-embolization is safe and effective for elderly advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients: results from an international database

OBJECTIVE

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence among elderly patients is increasing. Trans-arterial chemo-embolization (TACE) prolongs survival in selected HCC patients. The safety and efficacy of TACE in elderly patients has not been extensively studied. The objective of this study was to assess the safety and efficacy of TACE in elderly patients (older than 75) with HCC.

DESIGN

Combined HCC registries (Spain, Italy, China and Israel) and cohort design analysis of patients who underwent TACE for HCC.

RESULTS

Five hundred and forty-eight patients diagnosed and treated between 1988 and 2010 were included in the analysis (China 197, Italy 155, Israel 102 and Spain 94,). There were 120 patients (22%) older than 75 years and 47 patients (8.6%) older than 80. Median (95% CI) survival estimates were 23 (17-28), 21 (17-26) and 19 (15-23) months (P=0.14) among patients aged younger than 65, 65-75 and older than 75 respectively. An age above 75 years at diagnosis was not associated with worse prognosis, hazard ratio of 1.05 (95% CI 0.75-1.5), controlling for disease stage, sex, diagnosis year, HBV status and stratifying per database. No differences in complication rates were found between the age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

TACE is safe for patients older than 75 years. Results were similar over different eras and geographical locations. Though selection bias is inherent, the results suggest overall adequate selection of patients, given the similar outcomes among the different age groups.

Transcatheter arterial chemoembolization for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma: clinical outcome and safety in elderly patients

AIM

The aim of our study was to compare clinical outcomes between elderly patients aged ≥75 years (elderly group, n=66) with intermediate hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) and younger patients aged <75 years (control group, n=84) with intermediate HCC undergoing TACE.

METHODS

Clinical outcomes, including overall survival (OS) and tumor response rate at initial therapy, were compared between these two groups.

RESULTS

The median survival time and the 1- and 3-year cumulative OS rates were 2.90 years and 84.1% and 48.0%, respectively, in the elderly group and 2.44 years and 78.2% and 39.3%, respectively, in the control group (p=0.887). The objective response rate in the elderly group was 81.8% (54/66 patients), while that in the control group was 78.6% (66/84 patients) (p=0.227).

CONCLUSION

Elderly patients with intermediate HCC undergoing TACE had a prognosis comparable with that of younger patients with intermediate HCC undergoing TACE.

The efficacy of radiofrequency ablation combined with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization for primary hepatocellular carcinoma in a cohort of 487 patients

Although diagnostic methods, surgical techniques, and perioperative care have undergone significant advancement over the past decades, the prognosis of primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains discouraged because of the high postoperative recurrence rate and high cancer mortality. Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) combined with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a recently developed means for the treatment of HCC. In this study, we analyzed the efficacy of RFA plus TACE in 487 cases of HCC in our institution. We observed that the 1-, 2-, 3-, 4- and 5-year rates of overall survival rates after RFA and TACE treatment were 97.5% (475/487), 89.4% (277/310), 84.2% (181/215), 80.4% (150/186) and 78.7% (141/177), respectively. We did not find that age or tumor location (the caudate group or non-caudate group) plays a role in this cohort. However, we have identified that tumor recurrent status, the number of tumors, albumin (ALB), prothrombin time (PT) and platelet count (PLT) were significantly associated with poor overall survival in HCC patients receiving RFA combined with TACE. Interestingly, tumor size did not significantly impact overall survival, indicating that RFA combined with TACE for HCC treatment has the same efficiency for different sizes of tumors. Our results provide evidence for the rationale for using combined RFA and TACE in the treatment of primary HCC.

Treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma in elderly patients: a literature review

An aging society means that the number of elderly patients with cancer is predicted to rise in the future. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) usually develops in patients with hepatitis B virus infection, hepatitis C virus infection, or alcoholic liver disease. The risk of developing HCC is also known to be age-dependent and elderly patients sometimes present with HCC. The increased longevity of the population thus means that more elderly HCC patients are to be expected in the coming years. In general, many elderly patients are not receiving optimal therapy for malignancies, because it is often withheld from them because of perceived minimal survival advantage and the fear of potential toxicity. Comprehensive data with regard to treatment of elderly patients with HCC are currently limited. Furthermore, current guidelines for the management of HCC do not satisfy strategies according to age. Thus, there is urgent need for investigation of safety and clinical outcomes in elderly patients who receive therapy for HCC. In this review, we primarily refer to current knowledge of clinical characteristics and outcome in elderly patients with HCC who underwent different treatment approaches (i.e., surgical resection, liver transplantation, locoregional therapies, and molecular-targeting therapy).

Milan criteria, multi-nodularity, and microvascular invasion predict the recurrence patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma after resection

AIMS

This study aims to evaluate the risk factors for tumor recurrence beyond the Milan criteria (MC) for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after surgical resection (SR) in which salvage liver transplantation is relatively contraindicated.

METHODS

A total of 447 patients who underwent SR for HCC were enrolled consecutively. Among them, 248 and 199 patients were within the Milan criteria and beyond the Milan criteria (BMC group), respectively. Overall survival, recurrence, and disease-free survival were analyzed by multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 34.4 months, 130 patients died. Microvascular invasion, higher Edmondson stage of tumor cell differentiation, BMC group, and no anti-viral therapy were associated with poor overall survival. Multi-nodularity, higher Edmondson stage, BMC group, and no anti-viral therapy were independent risk factors for tumor recurrence, while BMC group and no anti-viral therapy were independent risk factors for disease-free survival. The Milan criteria, multi-nodularity, and microvascular invasion were used to stratify the patients into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups for tumor recurrence outside the MC and showed statistical significance (low vs. medium, p = 0.011; low vs. high, p < 0.001; medium vs. high, p = 0.009).

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of the MC, multi-nodularity, and microvascular invasion predict the post-operative recurrence of HCC and may provide a roadmap for further treatment.

Prognostic significance of computed tomography scan-derived splenic volume in hepatocellular carcinoma treated with radiofrequency ablation

GOALS

To evaluate the clinical implication of splenic volume measured by computed tomography (CT) scan in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA).

BACKGROUND

Splenomegaly is an important sign of portal hypertension and poor liver function in patients with advanced liver disease. But whether it could predict the prognosis of patients with HCC is still obscure.

STUDY

We enrolled 161 treatment-naive HCC patients. Splenomegaly was defined as splenic volume >300 mL by CT scan and its impact on prognosis was analyzed. Moreover, noninvasive serum markers were validated to predict splenomegaly.

RESULTS

A total of 78 patients were with splenomegaly, while the remaining 83 patients had normal splenic volume at the time of receiving RFA. After a median follow-up of 38.1±20.8 months, 41 patients died. The cumulative 5-year survival rates were 54.8% and 77.8% in patients with splenomegaly and in those with normal splenic volume, respectively (P=0.003). By multivariate analysis, age 65 years and older, serum albumin levels ≤3.5 g/dL, and splenic volume >300 mL were independent risk factors associated with poor overall survival after RFA. For predicting splenomegaly by noninvasive serum markers, platelet count yielded the highest area under the curve from corresponding receiver operating curves with a level of 0.868 at a cut-off value of 11,7000/mm(3).

CONCLUSIONS

HCC patients with splenomegaly measured by CT scan have relatively poorer liver functional reserve than those with normal splenic volume. Splenomegaly is an independent risk factor predicting overall survival for patients with small HCC undergoing RFA.