Acute pancreatitis in the elderly: a cause for increased concern?

The Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes of Acute Pancreatitis Are Different in Elderly Patients: A Single-Center Study over a 6-Year Period

Objectives: This study aims to analyze the clinical characteristics of elderly patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) and investigate the effects of age on the clinical outcomes of AP. Methods: Patients aged ≥ 18 years with AP admitted within 72 h from 1 September 2013 to 31 August 2019 were included. Patients were divided into elderly (≥60 years) and non-elderly (<60 years) groups. Clinical data and outcomes were compared. Results: A total of 756 elderly and 4896 non-elderly patients with AP were included. The elderly patients had different etiological distributions and more severe clinical markers and scores. Age was an independent risk factor for mortality [odds ratio (OR): 2.911, 95% CI: 1.801-4.706, p < 0.001], intensive care unit admission (OR: 1.739, 95% CI: 1.126-2.685, p = 0.013), persistent organ failure (OR: 1.623, 95% CI: 1.326-1.987, p < 0.001), multiple organ failure (OR: 1.757, 95% CI: 1.186-2.604, p = 0.005), and infection (OR: 2.451, 95% CI: 1.994-3.013, p < 0.001). Adjusted multiple logistic regression and trend analysis confirmed the risk of the age for the outcomes. The deaths of elderly patients showed a biphasic pattern with peaks in the first and fifth weeks, in contrast to the single peak in the first week in the non-elderly patients. Conclusions: Elderly patients with AP were associated with worse clinical outcomes. It is crucial to devote considerable attention to the optimization of therapeutic approaches to reduce late mortality in this group of patients.

Risk Factors and Prediction of 28-Day-All Cause Mortality Among Critically Ill Patients with Acute Pancreatitis Using Machine Learning Techniques: A Retrospective Analysis of Multi-Institutions

Objective

This study aimed to identify the risk factors and construct a reliable prediction model of 28-day all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) using machine learning techniques.

Methods

A total of 534 patients from three different institutions were included. Thirty-eight possible variables were collected from the Intensive care unit (ICU) admission for investigation. Patients were split into a training cohort (n = 400) and test cohort (n = 134) according to their source of hospital. The synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) was introduced to handle the inherent class imbalance. Six machine learning algorithms were applied in this study. The optimal machine learning model was chosen after patients in the test cohort were selected to validate the models. SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) analysis was performed to rank the importance of variable. The predictive performance of the models was evaluated by the calibration curve, area under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROC), and decision clinical analysis.

Results

About 13.5% (72/534) of all patients eventually died of all-cause within 28 days of ICU admission. Eight important variables were screened out, including white blood cell count, platelets, body temperature, age, blood urea nitrogen, red blood cell distribution width, SpO2, and hemoglobin. The support vector machine (SVM) algorithm performed best in predicting 28-d all-cause death. Its AUROC reached 0.877 (95% CI: 0.809 to 0.927, p < 0.001), the Youden index was 0.634 (95% CI: 0.459 to 0.717). Based on the risk stratification system, the difference between the high-risk and low-risk groups was significantly different.

Conclusion

In conclusion, this study developed and validated SVM model, which better predicted 28-d all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AP. In the future, we will continue to include patients from more institutions to conduct validation in different contexts and countries.

Analysis of immune cell infiltration characteristics in severe acute pancreatitis through integrated bioinformatics

The etiopathogenesis of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) remains poorly understood. We aim to investigate the role of immune cells Infiltration Characteristics during SAP progression. Gene expression profiles of the GSE194331 dataset were retrieved from the GEO. Lasso regression and random forest algorithms were employed to select feature genes from genes related to SAP progression and immune responses. CIBERSORT was utilized to estimate differences in immune cell types and proportions and the relationship between immune cells and gene expression. We performed pathway enrichment analysis using GSEA to examine disparities in KEGG signaling pathways when comparing the two groups. Additionally, CMap analysis was executed to identify prospective small molecular compounds. The three hub genes (CBLB, JADE2, RNF144A) were identified that can predict SAP progression. Analysis of CIBERSORT and TISIDB databases has shown that there are significant differences in immune cell expression levels between the normal and SAP groups, and three hub genes (CBLB, JADE2, RNF144A) were highly correlated with multiple immune cells, regulating the characteristics of immune cell infiltration in the microenvironment. Finally, drug prediction through the Connectivity Map database suggested that compounds such as Entecavir, KU-0063794, Y-27632, and Antipyrine have certain effects as potential targeted drugs for the treatment of SAP. CBLB, JADE2, and RNF144A are hub genes in SAP, potentially playing important roles in SAP progression. This finding further broadens the understanding of the etiopathogenesis of SAP and provides a feasible basis for future research on diagnostic and immunotherapeutic targets for SAP.

Hospital mortality rate and predictors in acute pancreatitis in Poland: A single-center experience

BACKGROUND

Despite advances in medicine, acute pancreatitis remains a disorder that is associated with a high mortality rate. The objective of this study was to analyze in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalized with acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

A prospective analysis of patients hospitalized with acute pancreatitis in a single surgical center was performed. Etiological factors, concomitant diseases, age, and intensive care unit treatment status were assessed to determine their impact on the cause and time of patient death. In addition, conventional laboratory tests performed in the emergency ward were evaluated for their potential as predictors of mortality.

RESULTS

The study included 476 (n) patients hospitalized with acute pancreatitis in a single surgical center. The presentations included mild disease in 261 (54.8%) patients, moderate disease in 132 (27.7%) patients, and severe disease in 83 (17.5%) patients. The overall mortality rate was 7.14% (n = 34), including 41% in the severe disease group. The mean and median hospitalization times for these patients were 13.9 and 7 days, respectively. Respiratory failure is the main cause of patient death.

CONCLUSIONS

Acute pancreatitis remains one of the most common gastroenterological diseases that may lead to death. Acute pancreatitis-related respiratory failure is the most common cause of death among patients with alcohol etiology of the disease. Moreover, the mortality rate was higher among older patients. Therefore, actions should be taken to discover prognostic factors of the severe form and initiate appropriate treatment.

Epidemiology and risk factors for mortality in critically ill patients with pancreatic infection

Background

The AbSeS-classification defines specific phenotypes of patients with intra-abdominal infection based on the (1) setting of infection onset (community-acquired, early onset, or late-onset hospital-acquired), (2) presence or absence of either localized or diffuse peritonitis, and (3) severity of disease expression (infection, sepsis, or septic shock). This classification system demonstrated reliable risk stratification in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with intra-abdominal infection. This study aimed to describe the epidemiology of ICU patients with pancreatic infection and assess the relationship between the components of the AbSeS-classification and mortality.

Methods

This was a secondary analysis of an international observational study ("AbSeS") investigating ICU patients with intra-abdominal infection. Only patients with pancreatic infection were included in this analysis (n=165). Mortality was defined as ICU mortality within 28 days of observation for patients discharged earlier from the ICU. Relationships with mortality were assessed using logistic regression analysis and reported as odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI).

Results

The overall mortality was 35.2% (n=58). The independent risk factors for mortality included older age (OR=1.03, 95% CI: 1.0 to 1.1 P=0.023), localized peritonitis (OR=4.4, 95% CI: 1.4 to 13.9 P=0.011), and persistent signs of inflammation at day 7 (OR=9.5, 95% CI: 3.8 to 23.9, P<0.001) or after the implementation of additional source control interventions within the first week (OR=4.0, 95% CI: 1.3 to 12.2, P=0.013). Gram-negative bacteria were most frequently isolated (n=58, 49.2%) without clinically relevant differences in microbial etiology between survivors and non-survivors.

Conclusions

In pancreatic infection, a challenging source/damage control and ongoing pancreatic inflammation appear to be the strongest contributors to an unfavorable short-term outcome. In this limited series, essentials of the AbSeS-classification, such as the setting of infection onset, diffuse peritonitis, and severity of disease expression, were not associated with an increased mortality risk.ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT03270345.

There Is No Such Thing as Too Soon: Long-Term Outcomes of Early Cholecystectomy for Frail Geriatric Patients with Acute Biliary Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Early cholecystectomy (CCY) for acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) is recommended but there is a paucity of data assessing this approach in frail geriatric patients. This study compares outcomes of frail geriatric ABP patients undergoing index admission CCY vs nonoperative management (NOM) with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP).

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of the Nationwide Readmissions Database (2017). All frail geriatric (65 years or older) patients with ABP were included. Patients were grouped by treatment at index admission: CCY vs NOM with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography. Propensity score matching was performed in a 1:2 ratio. Primary outcomes were 6-month readmissions, mortality, and length of stay. Secondary outcomes were 6-month failure of NOM defined as readmission for recurrent ABP, unplanned pancreas-related procedures, or unplanned CCY. Subanalysis was performed to compare outcomes of unplanned CCY vs early CCY.

RESULTS

A total of 29,130 frail geriatric patients with ABP were identified and 7,941 were matched (CCY 5,294; NOM 2,647). Patients in the CCY group had lower 6-month rates of readmission for pancreas-related complications, unplanned readmissions for pancreas-related procedures, overall readmissions, and mortality, as well as fewer hospitalized days (p < 0.05). NOM failed in 12% of patients and 7% of NOM patients were readmitted within 6 months to undergo CCY, of which 56% were unplanned. Patients who underwent unplanned CCY had higher complication rates and hospital costs, longer hospital lengths of stay, and increased mortality compared with early CCY (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

For frail geriatric patients with ABP, early CCY was associated with lower 6-month rates of complications, readmissions, mortality, and fewer hospitalized days. NOM was unsuccessful in nearly 1 of 7 within 6 months; of these, one-third required unplanned CCY. Early CCY should be prioritized for frail geriatric ABP patients when feasible.

Clinical evaluation of the severity of acute pancreatitis in elderly patients

Background and study aims

Acute pancreatitis incidence in geriatric patients has increased in recent years. The aim of this study is to compare the clinical outcomes, laboratory findings of acute pancreatitis among patients aged 65-74 years, 75-84 years and ≥85 years.

Patients and methods

This retrospective study analyzed 500 patients aged 65 years and above, who were diagnosed with acute pancreatitis between 2012 and 2022. They were categorized into three groups based on their age: 65-74 years, 75-84 years, and ≥85 years. The primary outcome of the study focused on comparing the hospital mortality rates among the three age groups. The secondary outcomes involved comparing the length of hospital stay, intensive care unit admission, rates of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), and cholecystectomy requirement among the three age groups.

Results

The study's primary outcome is the significantly higher mortality rate in the oldest age group (p=0.002). In addition, patients with a Bedside index score ≥3, severe pancreatitis according to the revised Atlanta criteria, necrotizing pancreatitis, and drug-induced pancreatitis had significantly higher mortality rates. Hospitalized patients in the intensive care unit also showed a statistically significant increase in mortality rates. Interestingly, the rate of cholecystectomy operations was significantly lower in the group with higher mortality (p=0.030). When evaluated in terms of secondary outcomes, no significant difference was found in all three age groups.

Conclusions

The findings of this study indicate that the oldest age group had a significantly higher mortality rate compared to the other age groups. As a result, early diagnosis and prompt treatment are of utmost importance to enhance outcomes in this vulnerable population.

The Clinical Characteristics and Outcome of Elderly Patients With Acute Pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to identify the risk factors for the progression of acute pancreatitis (AP) to severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and death in elderly patients.

METHODS

This was a single-center retrospective study conducted in a tertiary teaching hospital. Data on patient demographics, comorbidities, duration of hospitalization, complications, interventions, and mortality rates were collected.

RESULTS

Between January 2010 and January 2021, 2084 elderly patients with AP were included in this study. The mean age of the patients was 70.0 years (standard deviation, 7.1 years). Among them, 324 (15.5%) had SAP and 105 died (5.0%). The 90-day mortality rate in the SAP group was significantly higher than that in the AP group (P < 0.0001). Multivariate regression analysis revealed that trauma, hypertension, and smoking were risk factors for SAP. After multivariate adjustment, acute respiratory distress syndrome, acute kidney injury, sepsis, organ perforation, and abdominal hemorrhage were associated with higher 90-day mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Traumatic pancreatitis, hypertension, and smoking are independent risk factors for SAP in elderly patients. Acute respiratory distress syndrome, acute kidney injury, sepsis, organ perforation, and abdominal hemorrhage are independent risk factors for death in elderly patients with AP.

65 yaş üstü hastalarda puanlama sistemlerinin şiddetli akut pankreatiti ve mortaliteyi erken öngörme açısından değerlendirilmesi

Purpose: The aim of this study is to investigate the power of disease severity scores to predict the development of Severe Acute Pancreatitis (SAP) and mortality in the early period over 65 years old diagnosed with acute pancreatitis in the emergency department. Materials and Methods: We calculated RANSON (on admission) and Computed Tomography Severity Index (CTSI) in addition to Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) score on admission to the emergency department. Results: One hundred and sixty patients (46.9% over 80 years of age) were included in the study. We observed statistically higher length of hospitalization, longer duration of stay in the intensive care unit, SAP and higher mortality in patients over 80 years of age. When we examined the ROC curve, we determined that the AUC values of the BISAP score were highest in both SAP and mortality estimation (AUC: 0.911, 95% CI 0.861-0.962; AUC: 0.918, 95% CI 0.864-0.9722, respectively). Binary logistic analysis indicated a 4.7-fold increased risk for SAP and a 12.3-fold increased mortality for each unit increase in BISAP score value. Conclusion: BISAP may be a good predictor for SAP and mortality estimation on admission to the emergency department in patients over 65 years of age with acute pancreatitis.

Diabetes is an independent predictor of severe acute pancreatitis

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to determine the effect of diabetes mellitus (DM) on the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) and whether diabetes is a predictor of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

METHODS

A total of 181 patients diagnosed with a first attack of AP in our hospital were retrospectively evaluated. AP severity was evaluated and compared between diabetic and non-diabetic patients. Independent factors predicting SAP were identified with a binary logistic regression model.

RESULTS

Of the 164 patients [108 (65.9%) women, 56 (34.1%) men] enrolled in the study, 35 patients (21.3%) had been diagnosed with DM, while 129 (78.7%) did not have DM. SAP, necrotizing pancreatitis, and local complications were observed to be more common among diabetic patients compared to non-diabetic patients (all P<0.001), while the incidences of systemic complications and transient or persistent organ failure were similar between the groups. The incidences of DM and cancer were higher in the SAP group (P<0.001 and P=0.033, respectively). The presence of DM (OR: 3.246, 95% CI: 1.278-8.244, P=0.013), high (≥3) Ranson score (OR: 3.529, 95% CI: 1.342-9.280, P=0.011), and high maximum C-reactive protein level (OR: 1.005, 95% CI: 1.001-1.010, P=0.046) were independent risk factors predicting SAP.

CONCLUSION

DM is both a risk factor for SAP and an independent predictor of SAP. Evaluation of the presence of DM at the time of diagnosis can help predict SAP in a considerably early phase.

Prognostic factors associated with development of infected necrosis in patients with acute necrotizing or severe pancreatitis-A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Acute pancreatitis is a potentially life-threatening condition with a wide spectrum of clinical presentation and illness severity. An infection of pancreatic necrosis (IPN) results in a more than twofold increase in mortality risk as compared with patients with sterile necrosis. We sought to identify prognostic factors for the development of IPN among adult patients with severe or necrotizing pancreatitis.

METHODS

We conducted this prognostic review in accordance with systematic review methodology guidelines. We searched six databases from inception through March 21, 2021. We included English language studies describing prognostic factors associated with the development of IPN. We pooled unadjusted odds ratio (uOR) and adjusted odds ratios (aOR) for prognostic factors using a random-effects model. We assessed risk of bias using the Quality in Prognosis Studies tool and certainty of evidence using the GRADE approach.

RESULTS

We included 31 observational studies involving 5,210 patients. Factors with moderate or higher certainty of association with increased IPN risk include older age (uOR, 2.19; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.39-3.45, moderate certainty), gallstone etiology (aOR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.36-4.04, high certainty), greater than 50% necrosis of the pancreas (aOR, 3.61; 95% CI, 2.15-6.04, high certainty), delayed enteral nutrition (aOR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.26-3.47, moderate certainty), multiple or persistent organ failure (aOR, 11.71; 95% CI, 4.97-27.56, high certainty), and invasive mechanical ventilation (uOR, 12.24; 95% CI, 2.28-65.67, high certainty).

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis confirms the association between several clinical early prognostic factors and the risk of IPN development among patients with severe or necrotizing pancreatitis. These findings provide the foundation for the development of an IPN risk stratification tool to guide more targeted clinical trials for prevention or early intervention strategies.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Systematic review and meta-analysis, Level IV.

Association Between Ascites and Clinical Findings in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis: A Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND Complications are the most important outcome determinants for acute pancreatitis (AP). We designed this single-center retrospective study to evaluate the clinical findings (complications, disease severity, and outcomes) of 218 patients with AP and to identify variables associated with ascites. MATERIAL AND METHODS We extracted clinical data from consecutive patients with AP and divided them into 2 groups based on presence or absence of ascites. We compared disease severity, complications, and outcomes between groups. RESULTS We analyzed data from 218 patients with AP (43 with ascites and 175 without it). The patients with ascites had a more severe disease (higher incidence of pancreatic inflammation [90.70% vs 68.57%; P=0.003], higher modified computed tomography severity index score [2.00 (0.00-2.00) vs 4.00 (4.00-6.00); P<0.001], higher incidence of moderate/severe AP [53.49% vs 13.14%; P<0.001]) and poorer outcomes (higher incidence of ventilation [6.98% vs 0.57%; P=0.025] and vasopressor use [4.65% vs 0%; P=0.038], and longer hospital stays [10.00 (7.00-13.00) vs 8.00 (5.00-10.00); P=0.007]) than those without ascites. Moreover, patients with ascites also displayed a higher risk for pancreatic fluid collection (odds ratio [OR]=9.206; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.613-32.447; P<0.001), renal failure (OR=5.732; 95% CI, 1.025-32.041; P=0.024), respiratory failure (OR=6.242; 95% CI, 1.034-37.654; P=0.029), and pleural effusion (OR=5.186; 95% CI, 1.381-19.483; P<0.001) than those without ascites. CONCLUSIONS The findings from the experience of a single center of patients with AP showed that pancreatic fluid collections, renal failure, respiratory failure, and pleural effusion were associated with the development of ascites.

Monitoring Approach of Fatality Risk Factors for Patients with Severe Acute Pancreatitis Admitted to the Intensive Care Unit. A Retrospective, Monocentric Study

Acute pancreatitis is an unpredictable disease affecting the pancreas and it is characterized by a wide range of symptoms and modified lab tests, thus there is a continuing struggle to classify this disease and to find risk factors associated with a worse outcome. The main objective of this study was to identify the risk factors associated with the fatal outcome of the intensive care unit’s patients diagnosed and admitted for severe acute pancreatitis, the secondary objective was to investigate the prediction value for the death of different inflammatory markers at the time of their admission to the hospital. This retrospective study included all the patients with a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis admitted to the Intensive Care Unit of the Emergency County Hospital Timisoara between 1 January 2016 and 31 May 2021. The study included 53 patients diagnosed with severe acute pancreatitis, out of which 21 (39.6%) survived and 32 (60.4%) died. For the neutrophils/lymphocytes ratio, a cut-off value of 12.4 was found. When analyzing age, we found out that age above 52 years old can predict mortality, and for the platelets/lymphocytes ratio, a cut-off value of 127 was found. Combining the three factors we get a new model for predicting mortality, with an increased performance, AUROC = 0.95, p < 0.001. Multiple persistent organ failure, age over 50, higher values of C reactive protein, and surgery were risk factors for death in the patients with severe acute pancreatitis admitted to the intensive care unit. The model design from the neutrophils/lymphocytes ratio, platelets/lymphocytes ratio, and age proved to be the best in predicting mortality in severe acute pancreatitis.

The role of the BISAP score in predicting acute pancreatitis severity according to the revised Atlanta classification: a single tertiary care unit experience from Turkey

BACKGROUND/AIMS

In this study, we examine the utility of Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP), which is an increasingly more commonly used simple and practical novel scoring system for predicting the prognosis and severity of the disease at presentation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Consecutive patients diagnosed with AP between January 2013 and December 2020 were evaluated retrospectively. The AP severity was assessed using the revised Atlanta classification (RAC). BISAP score, demographic characteristics, pancreatitis etiology, pancreatitis history, duration of hospital stay, and mortality rates of the patients were recorded.

RESULTS

A total of 1000 adult patients were included, of whom 589 (58.9%) were female and 411 (41.1%) were male. The mean age in female and male patients was 62.15 ± 17.79 and 58.1 ± 16.33 years, respectively (p >0.05). The most common etiological factor was biliary AP (55.8%), followed by idiopathic AP (23%). Based on RAC, 389 (38.9%), 418 (41.8%), and 193 (19.3%) patients had mild, moderate, and severe AP. Of the 1000 patients, 42 (4.2%) died. Significant predictors of mortality included advanced age (>65 y) (p=0.003), hypertension (p=0.007), and ischemic heart disease (p=0.001). A BISAP score of ≥3 had a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 79.79%, 91.57%, 69.37%, and 94.99%, respectively, for determining SAP patients according to RAC.

CONCLUSION

BISAP is an effective scoring system with a high NPV in predicting the severity of AP in the early course of the disease in a Turkish population.

Comparative analysis of epidemiology, etiology, and outcomes between elderly and young and middle-aged acute pancreatitis patients: a retrospective, single-center study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to analyze the etiology and epidemiology of the patients with first-attack acute pancreatitis of two-age groups.

METHODS

This is a retrospective comparative study of 2965 patients aged 18 years and older with first-attack acute pancreatitis between 2013 and 2018 in the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University. Patients divided into the elderly group (age > or = 60 years) and the young and middle-aged group (age <60 years). The etiology tendency and clinical characteristics were analyzed.

RESULTS

In the elderly group, the proportions of women to men was higher compared with the young and middle-aged group (1.48 vs. 0.69, P < 0.001). The primary etiology of acute pancreatitis in two groups were biliary tract diseases. The main etiology of the young and middle-aged group among men was alcohol and among women was biliary disease. Comparing with the young and middle-aged group, the elderly patients had a higher proportion of hypertension, ischemic heart disease, and cerebrovascular disease (P < 0.001). Meanwhile, the proportions of system inflammatory reaction syndrome, multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS), and shock were also higher in the elderly group (P < 0.001). Mortality in the elderly group and the young and middle-aged group was 1.69 and 0.72%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Biliary tract diseases were the predominant etiological factor in two groups. The two groups had different etiological proportions according to gender, complications, comorbidities, and outcomes. Furthermore, elderly patients are more likely to with complications, comorbidities, and highly mortality rate. We should pay more attention to realize the characteristics of acute pancreatitis at different ages.

Acute pancreatitis in the older patient: Is a new risk score required?

INTRODUCTION

The average age of the surgical patient in the UK is increasing. Frailty and cognitive impairment have been shown to be important risk factors in elderly patients with surgical pathology. Limited work has previously assessed the outcomes of acute pancreatitis in the elderly population and the usefulness of current severity scoring methods. We aimed to assess the mortality rates in this cohort and identify any factors that may influence patient outcome.

METHODS

All patients ≥ 80 years admitted with acute pancreatitis between 1 January 2014 and 31 May 2018 were retrospectively identified. Disease severity scores were measured by a modified Ranson score, and patients' co-morbidities were quantified with the Charlson Comorbidity Index. Primary endpoint was whether the patient was alive at discharge; multilevel logistic regression was used to identify any independent risk factors for patient outcomes.

RESULTS

Eighty-seven patients were included, with an average age of 86 years. The most common aetiology was gallstones. Nine patients died during admission, and ITU admission was the only predictor of mortality (p = 0.027). Twenty-three patients had died by one year. Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography was more common in patients with gallstone disease who were alive at one year (p = 0.029).

DISCUSSION

Risk severity and co-morbidity scores are not predictive of outcomes in elderly patients with acute pancreatitis. The use of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography should be considered in elderly patients with acute gallstone pancreatitis where suitable. Further work is needed to identify improved mortality prediction tools in the elderly with acute pancreatitis and optimal management strategies.

Pleural Effusion Is Associated with Severe Renal Dysfunction in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND Renal dysfunction is a leading cause of death in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) and often occurs later than respiratory complications. Whether respiratory complications can predict renal impairment remains unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between pleural effusion and renal dysfunction in AP. MATERIAL AND METHODS Medical records were reviewed from individuals who were hospitalized with AP from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2019. The patients were divided into 2 groups, based on the presence or absence of pleural effusion on admission. Disease severity, renal function parameters, and outcomes were compared between the 2 groups. RESULTS A total of 222 patients were enrolled, 25 of whom had pleural effusion on admission and 197 who did not. Patients with AP who had pleural effusion had more serious illness (higher incidences of pancreatic inflammation, pancreatic fluid collection, and moderate-to-severe AP; worse Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis score; and a higher modified computed tomography severity index [all P<0.05]) plus worse outcomes (higher incidences of ventilation and vasopressor use [both P<0.05]). Moreover, patients with pleural effusion had a higher level of blood urea nitrogen and lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (both P<0.05). After adjustment for potential confounders, pleural effusion was a risk factor for renal failure in patients with AP (odds ratio 6.32, 95% confidence interval 1.08-36.78, P=0.040). CONCLUSIONS Pleural effusion is associated with severe renal dysfunction in AP. Therefore, efforts should be made to improve early recognition and timely treatment of renal failure by closely monitoring renal function in patients with AP and pleural effusion on admission.

Factors predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis in elderly patients

BACKGROUND

Moderately severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP) and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) are associated with organ failure (OF), which can be lethal.

AIMS

This study determined the factors that predict the severity of AP at admission in elderly patients.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, the data from elderly patients (> 60 years of age) admitted within 72 h of onset of symptoms without OF were collected. These data at admission were analyzed and correlated with the severity of AP. To identify the factors associated with more serious AP (i.e. MSAP and SAP), patients were divided into mild acute pancreatitis (MAP) and MSAP + SAP groups.

RESULTS

A total of 198 patients [MAP group (n = 135) and MSAP + SAP group (n = 63)] were included. Biliary disease was the most common etiology. Respiratory failure was the most common OF. Logistic regression analyses indicated that idiopathic etiology (odds ratio [OR]: 3.029, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.017-9.022, p = 0.047), pre-existing pulmonary disease (OR: 7.104, CI 1.750-28.84, p = 0.006), increased hematocrit level (OR: 3.717, 95%CI 1.372-10.070, p = 0.010), serum calcium (OR: 0.023, 95%CI 0.001-0.371, p = 0.008), serum glucose (OR: 1.157, 95%CI 1.031-1.299, p = 0.013), arterial partial pressure of oxygen (PaO₂) (OR: 0.914, 95%CI 0.874-0.956, p < 0.001), and pleural effusion (OR: 4.979, 95%CI 1.863-13.303, p = 0.001) were independent predictors of more serious AP.

CONCLUSION

This study found that idiopathic etiology, pre-existing pulmonary diseases, increased hematocrit level or pleural effusion, higher serum glucose, and lower serum calcium or PaO₂ at the time of admission independently correlated with more serious AP in the elderly patients.

Clinical outcomes of acute pancreatitis in elderly patients: An experience of single tertiary center

BACKGROUND

Although well understanding the course of diseases in geriatric population is of paramount importance in order to provide the optimal treatment, there is only a few studies with controversial results that have been conducted about the course and outcomes of acute pancreatitis (AP) in elderly. We aimed to compare clinical outcomes of AP disease in geriatric age group and to evaluate the risk factors affecting outcomes.

METHODS

A total of 336 patients diagnosed with AP, hospitalized and followed-up in our hospital between July/2013-February/2019 were included in this study. Patients aged 65 years and over were assessed as elderly population. Patients' demographic data, comorbidities, duration of hospitalization, local systemic complications, and mortality rates were documented.

RESULTS

196(58.3%) of the patients were female with a mean age of 54.1 ± 17.9 years. The number of patients was 114(33.9%) in the elderly group and 222(66.1%) in the non-elderly group. Although there was no significant difference between both groups in terms of abscess, pseudocyst and necrosis, pancreatic necrosis and systemic complications were higher in the elderly group (p < 0.05). The durations of oral intake and hospitalization were longer, the mortality rate and severity of AP according to the Ranson and Atlanta criteria were significantly higher in the geriatric population (p < 0.05). In addition, age and severity of AP were found to be independent predictive factors of developing complications.

CONCLUSIONS

Early recognition of AP is important in the geriatric population. Clinical and laboratory investigations, and early diagnosis in severe patients will be largely helpful in providing close follow-up and the optimal treatment.

Outcomes of Venovenous Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation When Stratified by Age: How Old Is Too Old?

The purpose of this study was to evaluate survival to hospital discharge for patients on venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV ECMO) when stratified by age. We performed a retrospective study at single, academic, tertiary care center intensive care unit for VV ECMO. All patients, older than 17 years of age, on VV ECMO admitted to a specialized intensive care unit for the management of VV ECMO between August 2014 and May 2018 were included in the study. Trauma and bridge-to-lung transplant patients were excluded for this analysis. Demographics, pre-ECMO and ECMO data were collected. Primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge when stratified by age. Secondary outcomes included time on VV ECMO and hospital length of stay (HLOS). One hundred eighty-two patients were included. Median P/F ratio at time of cannulation was 69 [56-85], and respiratory ECMO survival prediction (RESP) score was 3 [1-5]. Median time on ECMO was 319 [180-567] hours. Overall survival to hospital discharge was 75.8%. Lowess and cubic spline curves demonstrated an inflection point associated with increased mortality at age >45 years. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated significantly greater survival in patients <45 years of age (p = 0.0001). Survival to hospital discharge for those Collapse

Key Words Collapse

MESH Headings

• Adult
• Age Factors
• Aged
• Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation/mortality
• Female
• Hospital Mortality
• Humans
• Kaplan-Meier Estimate
• Length of Stay/statistics & numerical data
• Male
• Middle Aged
• Respiratory Insufficiency/therapy
• Retrospective Studies

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Affiliation(s)

Kristopher B Deatrick From the Department of Surgery, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
Michael A Mazzeffi Department of Anesthesia, Program in Trauma, R Adams Cowley Shock Trauma Center, Baltimore, Maryland
Samuel M Galvagno Department of Anesthesia, Program in Trauma, R Adams Cowley Shock Trauma Center, Baltimore, Maryland
Ronald B Tesoriero From the Department of Surgery, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
David J Kaczoroswki From the Department of Surgery, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
Daniel L Herr From the Department of Surgery, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
Katelyn Dolly University of Maryland Medical Center, Baltimore, Maryland
Ronald P Rabinowitz Department of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
Thomas M Scalea From the Department of Surgery, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland
Jay Menaker From the Department of Surgery, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland

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Infectious Complications in Severe Acute Pancreatitis: Pathogens, Drug Resistance, and Status of Nosocomial Infection in a University-Affiliated Teaching Hospital

BACKGROUND

Secondary infection is an important factor affecting mortality and quality of life in patients with severe acute pancreatitis. The characteristics of secondary infection, which are well known to clinicians, need to be re-examined in detail, and their understanding among clinicians needs to be updated accordingly.

AIM

This study aims to investigate the characteristics and drug resistance of pathogens causing severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) secondary infection, to objectively present infection situation, and to provide reference for improved clinical management.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on 55 consecutive patients with SAP who developed secondary infection with an accurate evidence of bacterial/fungal culture from 2016 to 2018. The statistics included the spectrum and distribution of pathogens, the drug resistance of main pathogens, and associations between multiple infectious parameters and mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 181 strains of pathogens were isolated from (peri)pancreas; bloodstream; and respiratory, urinary, and biliary systems in 55 patients. The strains included 98 g-negative bacteria, 58 g-positive bacteria, and 25 fungi. Bloodstream infection (36.5%) was the most frequent infectious complication, followed by (peri)pancreatic infection (32.0%). Acinetobacter baumannii, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Escherichia coli, and Stenotrophomonas maltophilia were predominant among gram-negative bacteria. Gram-positive bacterial infections were mainly caused by Enterococcus faecium and Staphylococcus spp. Fungal infections were predominantly caused by Candida spp. The drug resistance of pathogens causing SAP secondary infection was generally higher than the surveillance level. Patients in the death group were older (55 ± 13 years vs. 46 ± 14 years; p = 0.039) and had longer intensive care unit (ICU) stay (14 vs. 8; p = 0.026) than those in the survival group. A. baumannii infection (68.4% vs. 33%; p = 0.013), number of pathogens ≥ 4 (10 vs. 6; p = 0.005), pancreatic infection (14 vs. 15, p = 0.024), and urinary infection (8 vs. 5; p = 0.019) were significantly associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

Gram-negative bacteria are the main pathogens causing SAP secondary infection, in which nosocomial infections play a major role. The drug resistance profile of gram-negative bacteria is seriously threatening, and the commonly used antibiotics in SAP are gradually losing their effectiveness. Much attention should be paid to the rational use of antibiotics, and strategies should be established for infection prevention in SAP.

The characteristics of acute necrotizing pancreatitis in different age stages: An MRI study

PURPOSE

To study the characteristics of acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) in different age stages and their correlations with the clinical outcomes using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

METHOD

MRI of 716 patients with acute pancreatitis was retrospectively reviewed to assess the incidence and characteristics of ANP. On MRI, ANP was classified into three subtypes: extrapancreatic necrosis (EPN) alone, pancreatic necrosis (PN) alone and combined necrosis. The extent of necrosis was also quantified on MRI. All patients were divided into three age groups, that is, young,middle-aged and elderly groups, and these characteristics of ANP were compared among the three age groups. The endpoints of patients' clinical outcome were compared among different age groups and different characteristics of ANP.

RESULTS

Of the 716 patients, 129(18 %) were identified as ANP on MRI. The prevalence of ANP in the elderly group was the highest (28.9 %, p < 0.05). The patients in the middle-age and the elderly groups exhibited a higher risk of combined necrosis (56.9 %, 55.8 %; respectively), and elderly patients more frequently had extensive extrapancreatic involvement compared with young patients (65.9 % vs 21.4 %; p = 0.004); however, PN alone was more common in young patients. These characteristics of ANP were significantly bound up with clinical outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Different subtypes of ANP have different outcomes. More importantly, age needs to be considered as a factor of special concern in development of ANP.

Acute Biliary Pancreatitis is Associated With Adverse Outcomes in the Elderly: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis

GOALS AND BACKGROUND

In the elderly (age, 65 y or older), acute pancreatitis is most frequently because of gallstones; however, there is a paucity of national estimates evaluating outcomes of acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP). Hence, we utilized a representative population database to evaluate the outcomes of ABP among the elderly.

STUDY

The National Readmission Database provides longitudinal follow-up of inpatients for 1 calendar-year. All adult inpatients (18 y or older) with an index primary admission for ABP between 2011 and 2014 were evaluated for clinical outcomes of mortality, severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), and 30-day readmission. Outcomes between age groups (≥65 vs. <65 y) were compared using multivariate and one-to-one propensity score-matched analyses.

RESULTS

Among 184,763 ABP admissions, 41% were elderly. Index mortality and SAP rates in the elderly were 1.96% and 21.5%, respectively. Elderly patients underwent more ERCPs (27.5% vs. 23.6%; P<0.001) and less frequent cholecystectomies (44.4% vs. 58.7%; P<0.001). Elderly patients had increased odds of mortality and SAP along with an age-dependent increase in the odds of adverse outcomes; patients aged 85 years or older demonstrated the highest odds of SAP [odds ratio (OR), 1.3; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.2, 1.4] and mortality (OR, 2.2; 95% CI: 1.7, 2.9) within in the elderly cohort. Propensity score-matched analysis substantiated that mortality (OR, 2.8; 95% CI: 2.2, 3.5) and SAP (OR, 1.2; 95% CI: 1.1, 1.3) were increased in the elderly.

CONCLUSIONS

Current national survey reveals adverse clinical outcomes among elderly patients hospitalized with ABP. Consequently, there is a need for effective management strategies for this demographic as the aging population is increasing nationally.

Organ Failure Due to Systemic Injury in Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis may be associated with both local and systemic complications. Systemic injury manifests in the form of organ failure, which is seen in approximately 20% of all cases of acute pancreatitis and defines "severe acute pancreatitis." Organ failure typically develops early in the course of acute pancreatitis, but also may develop later due to infected pancreatic necrosis-induced sepsis. Organ failure is the most important determinant of outcome in acute pancreatitis. We review here the current understanding of the risk factors, pathophysiology, timing, impact on outcome, and therapy of organ failure in acute pancreatitis. As we discuss the pathophysiology of severe systemic injury, the distinctions between markers and mediators of severity are highlighted based on evidence supporting their causality in organ failure. Emphasis is placed on clinically relevant end points of organ failure and the mechanisms underlying the pathophysiological perturbations, which offer insight into potential therapeutic targets to treat.

Acute pancreatitis in elderly patients: a single-center retrospective evaluation of clinical outcomes

Introduction: Acute pancreatitis (AP) incidence in the elderly population has increased in the last years. However, the role of age as influencing factor on the AP clinical course is still debated. Methods: We reviewed clinical records of consecutive patients admitted with diagnosis of AP. Patients were divided in elderly (≥65 years) and non-elderly  (<65 years). Primary endpoint was comparison of overall mortality. Secondary endpoint included ICU admission, in-hospital length of stay (LOS) and surgical procedures. Results: We enrolled 352 elderly and 532 non-elderly patients. A higher mortality rate (7.4% vs 1.9%; p < .001), ICU admission rate (18.9% vs 6.3%; p < .001) and prolonged length of hospital stay (9 (6-14) vs 7 (5-11.7) days; p = .01) were registered in the ≥65 years group. Multivariate analysis identified age (OR: 3.5; 95% CI:1.645-7.555; p = .001), a higher Ranson score at admission (OR: 5.52; 95% CI:1.11-27.41; p<.001) and necrotic pancreatitis (OR: 8.6; 95% CI:2.46-30.27; p = .001) as independent predictors of mortality. Conversely age and necrotic pancreatitis were independent risk factors for higher LOS and ICU admission. Conclusions: Patients with AP and age ≥65 years have a higher mortality, ICU admission and prolonged LOS. Early recognition and prompt treatment are key elements to improve outcomes in this population.

Evaluation of Laboratory Findings and Mortality in Elderly Patients with Acute Biliary Pancreatitis

Objectives:

Gallstones are the most common cause of acute biliary pancreatitis. Laboratory and imaging findings as well as age are important predictors for mortality. Hospitalization rate is also higher in elderly patients. In this study, we investigated clinical parameters and total mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis aged >65 years.

Methods:

In this study, 852 patients who entered the Gastroenterology Clinic for acute biliary pancreatitis between April 2006 and October 2013 were included. Data were retrospectively collected from the electronic record system. The patients with elevated aspartate aminotransferase levels (i.e. three times higher than normal value), cholelithiasis, cholecystectomy history, or choledocholithiasis were accepted as the patients with acute biliary pancreatitis. Patients were divided into two groups based on their age, i.e., >65 and <65 years.

Results:

In the group with patients aged <65 years, serum alanine aminotransferase, albumin, hematocrit, and amylase, and in the group with patients aged >65 years, urea, leukocyte, and C-reactive protein levels were significantly different. Median hospital stay was similar in both the groups. The rate of detection of choledocholithiasis was significantly higher in elderly patients (p<0.001). Mortality rate was significantly higher in elderly patients for 28 day (0.21% and 2.95%, p<0.001) and 90 day (1.25% and 5.63%, p<0.001). In logistic regression multivariate analysis, age (OR 2.0, 95% CI 1.54–1.36; p=0.006), elevated urea levels (OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.05–1.19; p=0.001), elevated hematocrit levels (OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.13–1.77; p=0.002), and decreased albumin levels (OR 0.05, 95% CI 0.004–0.652; p=0.022) were found predictors for 90-day mortality.

Conclusion:

Laboratory findings in elderly patients with acute pancreatitis may differ from those in younger patients. Although radiological findings are similar in both the groups, mortality is higher in the group with patients aged >65 years.