Validation of the pretreatment neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio as a predictor of overall survival in a cohort of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Epigenetic regulation of the tumor microenvironment: A leading force driving pancreatic cancer

Dysregulation of the epigenomic landscape of tumor cells has been implicated in the pathogenesis of pancreatic cancer. However, these alterations are not only restricted to neoplastic cells. The behavior of other cell populations in the tumor stroma such as cancer-associated fibroblasts, immune cells, and others are mostly regulated by epigenetic pathways. Here, we present an overview of the main cellular and acellular components of the pancreatic cancer tumor microenvironment and discuss how the epigenetic mechanisms operate at different levels in the stroma to establish a differential gene expression to regulate distinct cellular phenotypes contributing to pancreatic tumorigenesis.

Prognostic value of diffuse reduction of spleen density on postoperative survival of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: A retrospective study

PURPOSE

It is difficult to predict the prognosis of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) before radical operation. The purpose of this study was to explore the connection between the diffuse reduction of spleen density on computed tomography (DROSD) and the postoperative prognosis of patients with PDAC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 160 patients with PDAC who underwent radical surgery in the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University were enrolled. Cox regression analysis was used to cast the overall survival (OS) and evaluate the prognostic factors. Nomogram was used to forecast the possibility of 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS. The prediction accuracy and clinical net benefit are performed by concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (tdROC), and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

In multivariable Cox analysis, DROSD is independently related to OS. Advanced age, TNM stage, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, and severe complications were also independent prognostic factors. The calibration curves of nomogram showed optimal agreement between prediction and observation. The C-index of nomogram is 0.662 (95%CI, 0.606-0.754). The area under tdROC curve for a 3-year OS of nomogram is 0.770.

CONCLUSION

DROSD is an independent risk factor for an OS of PDAC. We developed a nomogram that combined imaging features, clinicopathological factors, and systemic inflammatory response to provide a personalized risk assessment for patients with PDAC.

Derivation and validation of a preoperative prognostic model for resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains poor even after radical pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). The study aimed to develop and validate a novel preoperative prognostic model to accurately predict the long-term survival of patients with PDAC.

METHODS

Patients with PDAC of pancreatic head from Chinese PLA General Hospital were included. The preoperative PDAC model with contour plots was developed using a non-linear model in the training cohort and then tested in the validation cohort.

RESULTS

Of 421 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 280 were in the training cohort and 141 in the validation cohort. Contour plots for preoperative PDAC model were established to visually predict the survival probabilities of these patients, based on preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9, preoperative fibrinogen to albumin ratio and pain symptoms. This model stratified patients into low- and high-risk groups with distinctly different long-term survival in the training cohort [median overall survival (OS) 32.1 vs. 17.5 months; median recurrence-free survival (RFS) 19.3 vs. 10.0 months, both P < 0.001] and the validation cohort (median OS 28.3 vs. 19.0 months; median RFS 17.5 vs. 11.2 months, both P < 0.001). Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic and decision curve analyses revealed that the model provided higher diagnostic accuracy and superior net benefit compared to other staging systems.

CONCLUSIONS

This study constructed and validated a novel preoperative prognostic model that can accurately and conveniently predict the long-term survival of patients with resectable PDAC of pancreatic head. Besides, the model can screen high-risk patients with poor prognosis, which may provide references for personal treatment strategies in the future.

Prognostic significance of the systemic immune inflammation index in patients with metastatic and unresectable pancreatic cancer

Purpose

Systemic inflammatory markers may be predictors of the survival rate of patients with pancreatic cancer (PC). The aim of this work was to investigate the prognostic value of markers, mainly the systemic immune inflammation index (SII), in patients with metastatic and unresectable PC and to explore the relationship between markers and liver metastasis.

Methods

Records of patients with metastatic and unresectable PC at the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University from January 2000 to December 2019 and who were followed until December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Clinical data and laboratory indexes were collected, and cut-off values for inflammatory markers were determined using median values. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to analyze the prognostic value of the markers through univariate and multivariate survival analysis.

Results

All 253 patients met the inclusion criteria, and 102 (42.0%) patients had liver metastasis. The patients were divided into a high SII group and a low SII group, and the cut-off value was 533. In the multivariate analysis, high SII (HR = 2.151; p &lt; 0.001), chemotherapy (HR = 0.546; p &lt; 0.001), lymph node metastasis (HR = 4.053; p &lt; 0.001), and distant metastasis (HR = 1.725; p = 0.001) were independent risk markers of overall survival (OS). The level of markers, mainly SII, PLR and NLR, were higher in patients with liver metastasis.

Conclusions

A high level of SII is an independent risk factor for short overall survival of patients with metastatic and unresectable PC. Patients with a high level of the inflammatory markers SII, PLR, and NLR, may be more prone to early liver metastasis.

Preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts healing time for postoperative pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy

PURPOSE

Postoperative pancreatic fistula is a serious complication of distal pancreatectomy. Although many studies have described the incidence and risk factors associated with postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF), few have focused on the healing time. This study investigated the healing time and potential factors associated with the healing time of POPF after distal pancreatectomy (DP).

METHODS

Among 114 patients that underwent DP in our hospital from January 2010 to December 2020, we included 88 that developed POPF. The healing time for a postoperative pancreatic fistula was defined as the interval between the completion of DP and the removal of all drains related to the treatment for POPF. Based on the definition, three cases who required additional treatment after removal of all drains were excluded from this study. Clinical factors associated with the fistula healing times were investigated in the 85 patients.

RESULTS

The average POPF healing time was 11 ± 10 days (median: 6 days, range: 3-57). We found that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, a marker of inflammatory and nutritional status, was the only factor independently associated with the POPF healing time; the mean healing time was significantly shorter in patients with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≤2.1 (8 ± 6 days) than in those with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio >2.1 (13 ± 12 days; P = .0139).

CONCLUSION

We demonstrated that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio could independently predict the POPF healing time after DP. These findings suggested that improving the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio might shorten the healing times for POPF after DP.

Predicting the Overall Survival in Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Cancer by Calculating L3 Skeletal Muscle Index Derived from CT

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer is mostly diagnosed in advanced stages, and treatment results are not satisfactory. L3 skeletal muscle index (SMI) has emerged as a prognostic factor in pancreatic cancer patients. We aimed to assess the association between sarcopenia and overall survival in patients with pancreatic cancer in this study.

METHODS

Patients who were admitted to the Department of Oncology between March 2012 and December 2019 and diagnosed with pancreatic cancer were evaluated. The computerized tomography images and laboratory parameters of a total of 115 patients were included in this retrospective singlecenter study. We defined sarcopenia as an SMI <43,56 cm²/m² for females and <56,44 cm²/m² for males using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve in the study population. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed by using Cox-regression modelling, and survival curves were constructed by using Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

70% of the patients were male, and the mean age was 64.9±9.9 years (mean ± SD). 70.6% of female patients and 67.9% of male patients were diagnosed with stage 4 cancer. The prevalence of sarcopenia in the whole patient group was 29.6%. By multivariate analysis, SMI (p=0.009) and advanced stage (p=0.003) were found as poor prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was statistically significantly higher in sarcopenic patients than in nonsarcopenic patients (p=0.031).

CONCLUSION

Patients having sarcopenia at the time of diagnosis may demonstrate poorer overall survival of pancreatic cancer, and SMI may be considered as a potential prognostic factor.

Are Circulating Immune Cells a Determinant of Pancreatic Cancer Risk? A Prospective Study Using Epigenetic Cell Count Measures

BACKGROUND

Evidence is accumulating that immune cells play a prominent role in pancreatic cancer etiology but prospective investigations are missing.

METHODS

We conducted a nested case-control study within the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) study with 502 pairs of incident pancreatic cancer cases and matched controls. Relative counts of circulating immune cells (neutrophils and lymphocyte sublineages: total CD3+, CD8+, CD4+, and FOXP3+ regulatory T cells (Tregs) relative to nucleated cells, (white blood cells) were measured by qRT-PCR. ORs with 95% confidence intervals were estimated using logistic regressions, modeling relative counts of immune cells on a continuous scale.

RESULTS

Neither relative counts of immune cell types taken individually, nor mutually adjusted for each other were associated with pancreatic cancer risks. However, in subgroup analyses by strata of lag-time, higher relative counts of Tregs and lower relative counts of CD8+ were significantly associated with an increased pancreatic cancer risks in participants diagnosed within the first 5 years of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

These results might reflect reverse causation, due to higher relative counts of Tregs and lower counts of CD8+ cells among individuals with more advanced stages of latent pancreatic cancer, who are closer to the point of developing clinical manifest disease.

IMPACT

We have shown, for the first time, that increased relative counts of regulatory T cells and lower relative counts of CD8+, cytotoxic T cells may be associated with pancreatic cancer risk or relatively late-stage tumor development.See related commentary by Michaud and Kelsey, p. 2176.

Inflammatory and nutritional biomarkers as predictors of non-resectability and early recurrence in pancreatic and periampullary cancer

BACKGROUND

Some pancreatic tumors considered resectable on the preoperative staging are unresectable during surgical exploration. Moreover, some patients subjected to tumor resection have an early recurrence.

METHODS

Patients with pancreatic or periampullary carcinoma diagnosed between January 2005 and August 2017 in Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca were retrospectively analyzed. Biochemical and radiological inflammatory biomarkers were compared according to disease staging at diagnosis, intraoperative staging and early recurrence (<6 months).

RESULTS

391 patients were included. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-tomonocyte ratio, C-reactive-protein-to-albuminemia ratio (CRP/ALB), Prognostic Nutritional Index, modified Glasgow Prognostic Score and CA19-9 were associated with metastatic disease at diagnosis. NLR, CRP/ALB, mGPS and CA19-9 were independent predictors of disease staging at diagnosis on multivariate analysis. 108 patients underwent surgery, of which 23,8% were found to have unresectable disease at intra-operative staging. 26,9% had early disease recurrence. CRP/ALB and CA19-9 were significantly higher in patients with evidence of disease at 6 months postoperatively. Computed tomography sarcopenia index HUAC was significantly lower in patients with evidence of disease at 6 months postoperatively. When adjusted for histology, none of the biomarkers were independent predictors of unresectable disease or early recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR, CRP/ALB, mGPS and CA19-9 at diagnosis were predictors of disease staging with low performance. Preoperative inflammatory biomarkers were not predictors of unresectable disease or early recurrence.

The diagnostic and prognostic values of inflammatory markers in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is an broad-spectrum disease from benign to malignant. Inflammatory markers are known as prognostic predictors in various diseases. The purpose of this study was to determine the predictive value of inflammatory markers for prognosis in IPMN.

METHODS

From April 1995 to December 2016, patients who underwent pancreatectomy with pathologically confirmed IPMN at four tertiary centers were enrolled. Patients with a history of pancreatitis or cholangitis, and other malignancies were excluded. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) were calculated.

RESULTS

Of all, ninety-eight patients (26.8%) were diagnosed as invasive IPMN. The NLR and PLR were significantly elevated in invasive IPMN than in non-invasive disease (2.0 vs 1.8, p = 0.004; 117.1 vs 107.4, p = 0.009, respectively). ALI was significantly higher in non-invasive IPMN than in invasive disease (58.1 vs 45.9, p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, only NLR showed significant association among the inflammatory markers studied (p = 0.044). In invasive IPMN, the five-year recurrence-free survival rate for NLR less than 3.5 was superior to the rest (59.1 vs 42.2, p = 0.023).

CONCLUSION

NLR may help to rightly select IPMN patients who will require surgery and may serve as a useful prognostic factor.

Impact of preoperative nutritional support and rehabilitation therapy in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia is closely associated with morbidity after pancreatic surgery. We investigated the impact of preoperative nutritional support and rehabilitation on patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of 101 patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy. Skeletal muscle (SM) loss was defined using the SM index (cutoff level: 42 cm²/m² in men and 38 cm²/m² in women). A total of 33 and 30 patients received preoperative nutrition and prehabilitation, respectively. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) values were calculated during the first visit and immediately before surgery.

RESULTS

SM loss was present in 65 of 101 patients and was significantly correlated with female sex, older age, lower body mass index, and low PNI. Preoperative nutritional support and prehabilitation prevented the decrease in PNI values in patients with SM loss. The NLR significantly improved in patients with SM loss who received nutritional support and prehabilitation. In patients with SM loss, the lack of preoperative nutrition and prehabilitation was an independent risk factor for postoperative pancreatic fistula.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative nutritional support and prehabilitation may reduce the incidence of pancreatic fistula in patients with SM loss and improve the surgical outcomes of patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy.

The Neutrophil-to-Monocyte Ratio and Platelet-to-White Blood Cell Ratio Represent Novel Prognostic Markers in Patients with Pancreatic Cancer

Background

Inflammation plays an important role in the development of tumors. Several serum based-markers and ratios have been investigated for their prognostic value in pancreatic cancer. However, the prognostic value of the neutrophil-to-monocyte ratio (NMR) and platelet-to-white blood cell ratio (PWR) for patients with pancreatic cancer has scarcely been investigated.

Methods

From October 2013 to November 2018, a retrospective cohort study was performed on 269 pancreatic cancer patients without treatment. Receiver operating characteristic curves were generated, and areas under the curve were compared for the evaluation of the discriminatory ability of inflammation-based prognostic scoring systems. Kaplan-Meier curves and the Cox proportional hazard model were employed to analyze the relationships among NMR, PWR, and overall survival (OS).

Results

The optimal cutoff values of NMR and PWR were 48 and 6, respectively. In univariate analysis, the survival time of NMR > 48 and PWR ≤ 6 was shorter than that of NMR ≤ 48 and PWR > 6 in patients with pancreatic cancer (P < 0.001). In Cox univariate and multivariate analyses, NMR (hazard ratio (HR), 9.095; 95% confidence interval (CI), 3.64-22.72; P < 0.001) and PWR (HR, 8.230; 95% CI, 3.32-20.43; P < 0.001) were significantly correlated with OS.

Conclusions

The current study demonstrated that NMR and PWR may serve as novel and promising inflammatory prognostic scores for patients with pancreatic cancer. Elevated NMR (>48) and depressed PWR (<6) were independently associated with poor prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Cohort Analysis of ADAM8 Expression in the PDAC Tumor Stroma

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a cancer type with one of the highest mortalities. The metalloprotease-disintegrin ADAM8 is highly expressed in pancreatic cancer cells and is correlated with an unfavorable patient prognosis. However, no information is available on ADAM8 expression in cells of the tumor microenvironment. We used immunohistochemistry (IHC) to describe the stromal cell types expressing ADAM8 in PDAC patients using a cohort of 72 PDAC patients. We found ADAM8 expressed significantly in macrophages (6%), natural killer cells (40%), and neutrophils (63%), which showed the highest percentage of ADAM8 expressing stromal cells. We quantified the amount of ADAM8⁺ neutrophils in post-capillary venules in PDAC sections by IHC. Notably, the amount of ADAM8⁺ neutrophils could be correlated with post-operative patient survival times. In contrast, neither the total neutrophil count in peripheral blood nor the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio showed a comparable correlation. We conclude from our data that ADAM8 is, in addition to high expression levels in tumor cells, present in tumor-associated stromal macrophages, NK cells, and neutrophils and, in addition to functional implications, the ADAM8-expressing neutrophil density in post-capillary venules is a diagnostic parameter for PDAC patients when the numbers of ADAM8⁺ neutrophils are quantified.

The Values of Several Inflammatory Markers, Including the Neutrophil/Lymphocyte Ratio, in Patients With Pancreatic Cancer Treated by Curative Resection Followed by Adjuvant Chemotherapy

The aim of this study was to determine the relationship between the values of several systemic inflammatory markers and the prognosis in pancreatic cancer patients treated by curative resection followed by adjuvant chemotherapy. A total of 110 pancreatic cancer patients treated by curative resection followed by adjuvant chemotherapy were reviewed for this study. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the clinicopathologic factors influencing the overall survival, including the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR), Glasgow prognostic score (GPS), and the direction of change of the NLR (increase or decrease) after 1 cycle of adjuvant chemotherapy, compared to the value recorded prior to the start of the chemotherapy. A multivariate analysis identified only the direction of change of the NLR after the first cycle of adjuvant chemotherapy as an independent risk factor for the overall survival (NLR decrease versus NLR increase, hazard ratio = 1.925; P = 0.044). The NLR, PLR and GPS were not identified as significant predictors of the overall survival. The direction of change of the NLR after the first cycle of adjuvant chemotherapy may help in predicting the effect of chemotherapy in pancreatic cancer patients treated by curative resection followed by adjuvant chemotherapy.

The Immune Microenvironment in Pancreatic Cancer

The biology of solid tumors is strongly determined by the interactions of cancer cells with their surrounding microenvironment. In this regard, pancreatic cancer (pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, PDAC) represents a paradigmatic example for the multitude of possible tumor-stroma interactions. PDAC has proven particularly refractory to novel immunotherapies, which is a fact that is mediated by a unique assemblage of various immune cells creating a strongly immunosuppressive environment in which this cancer type thrives. In this review, we outline currently available knowledge on the cross-talk between tumor cells and the cellular immune microenvironment, highlighting the physiological and pathological cellular interactions, as well as the resulting therapeutic approaches derived thereof. Hopefully a better understanding of the complex tumor-stroma interactions will one day lead to a significant advancement in patient care.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram to predict survival in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer receiving second-line palliative chemotherapy

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Given that a wide variation in tumor response rates and survival times suggests heterogeneity among the patients with advanced pancreatic cancer (APC) who underwent second-line (L2) chemotherapy, it is a challenge in clinical practice to identify patients who will receive the most benefit from L2 treatment.

METHODS

We selected 183 APC patients who received L2 palliative chemotherapy between 2010 and 2016 from a medical center as the development cohort. A Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify the prognostic factors and construct the nomogram. An independent cohort of 166 patients from three other hospitals was selected for external validation.

RESULTS

The nomogram was based on eight independent prognostic factors from the multivariate Cox model: sex, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, reason for first-line treatment discontinuation, duration of first-line treatment, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, tumor stage, body mass index, and serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels at the beginning of L2 treatment. The model exhibited good discrimination ability, with a C-index of 0.733 (95% confidence interval, 0.681-0.785) and 0.724 (95% confidence interval, 0.661-0.787) in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration plots of the development and validation cohorts showed optimal agreement between model prediction and actual observation in predicting survival probability at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years.

CONCLUSIONS

This study developed and externally validated a prognostic model that accurately predicts the survival outcome of APC patients before L2 palliative chemotherapy, which could assist in clinical decision-making, counseling for treatment, and most importantly, prognostic stratification of patients.

Effects of different levels of TGF-β expression and tumor cell necrosis rates in osteosarcoma on the chemotherapy resistance of osteosarcoma

Purpose

The clinical significance of transforming growth factor β (TGF-β) and tumor cell necrosis rate (TCNR) in the expression of osteosarcoma and its effects of chemotherapy resistance on osteosarcoma were explored.

Patients and methods

94 cases of neoadjuvant chemotherapy osteosarcoma patients at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University between January 2014 and January 2019 were collected. Samples tested for TGF-β were collected before chemotherapy, the tumor cell necrosis rate of pathological samples before and after chemotherapy was determined. Others analyzed covariates included 12 prognostic factors that may be associated with chemotherapy resistance in previous studies: age, BMI, initial diagnosis time (The time from symptom onset to first medical attention), KPS score, initial tumor size, lymphocytes/leukocytes rate (LWR), neutrophils/lymphocytes rate (NLR), albumin, aspartate transaminase (AST), low density lipoprotein (LDL), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), the endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), response evaluation criteria in solid tumours by RECIST guideline (version 1.1).

Result

1. A total of 94 cases were examined for expression of TGF-β in pathological specimens, 45 cases were TGF-β high expression (47.9%) and 49 cases were TGF-β low expression (52.1%); 2. The BMI, LDL, ALP, NLR in TGF-β high expression group was significantly increased compared to TGF-β low expression group; the Initial diagnosis time, KPS in TGF-β high expression group was significantly decreased compared to TGF-β low expression group, all P < 0.05; 3. Effect of chemotherapy was positively with positive cell rate (P < 0.01 r = 0.337) and TGF-β total score (P < 0.0001 r = 0.635), while effect of chemotherapy was no correlation with degree of dyeing score (P > 0.05); there was significant difference in change from baseline after chemotherapy between TGF-β high expression group and TGF-β low expression group (P = 0.045); 4. Median OS 61.4 months in the TGF-β high expression group, median OS 68.1 months in the TGF-β low expression group, one-year survival rate, there was statistically significant difference in two groups (P = 0.045); median PFS 44.8 months in the TGF-β high expression group, median PFS 56.2 months in the TGF-β low expression group, There was no statistically significant difference in two groups (P > 0.05); 5. A total of 92 cases were examined for TCNR after chemotherapy, 62 were TCNR ≤ 90% (67.4%), 30 were TCNR > 90% (32.6%); 6. the Initial diagnosis time, KPS, in TCNR > 90% group was significantly increased compared to TCNR ≤ 90% group; the initial tumor size, BUN, ALP in TCNR > 90% group was significantly decreased compared to TCNR ≤ 90% group, all P < 0.05; 7. TCNR was negatively correlated with the change from baseline after chemotherapy (P < 0.001 r = −0.411); there was no statistically significant difference between TCNR > 90% group and TCNR ≤ 90% group in change from baseline after chemotherapy (P > 0.05); 8. Median OS 67.8 months in the TCNR > 90% group, median OS 61.7 months in the TCNR ≤ 90% group, there was statistically significant difference between two groups (P = 0.040); median PFS 57.4 months in the TCNR > 90% group, median PFS 40.5 months in the TCNR ≤ 90% group, there was statistically significant difference between two groups (P = 0.036); 9. TGF-β total score was negatively correlated with TCNR (P < 0.001 r = −0.571).

Conclusion

The results of this study suggested that the higher expression of TGF-β, the lower expression of TCNR, which more likely to induce chemotherapy resistance among patients with osteosarcoma and lead to poor prognosis.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio as a Predictor of Invasive Carcinoma in Patients With Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas

OBJECTIVES

Preoperative determination of the grade of dysplasia in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) is necessary for optimal management. Previous data have suggested that serum neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) can predict invasive disease in patients with IPMN.

METHODS

A prospectively maintained database was queried for consecutive patients who underwent resection of IPMN. Exclusion criteria included recent diagnosis of cancer, immunosuppression, and infection or jaundice within 1 month of operation. A complete blood count with differential within 30 days of operation was used to calculate NLR.

RESULTS

Within the study period, 446 patients underwent resection for IPMN, and 348 patients (78%) met the inclusion criteria. Low-grade dysplasia was present in 60 patients (17%), 137 patients (39%) had intermediate-grade dysplasia, 76 (22%) had high-grade dysplasia, and 75 (22%) had invasive carcinoma. A higher NLR was associated with invasive carcinoma as compared with noninvasive disease (3.00 vs 2.68, P = 0.039). There was no difference in NLR between patients with high-risk (invasive and high-grade) and low-risk (low-grade and intermediate-grade) lesions (2.80 vs 2.71, P > 0.95).

CONCLUSIONS

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio was significantly higher in patients with IPMN-associated invasive carcinoma as compared with patients with noninvasive disease; however, NLR was not helpful in differentiating between high- and low-grade lesions.

Relationship Between the Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio and Parathyroid Adenoma Size in Patients With Primary Hyperparathyroidism

The aim of our study was to evaluate the relationship between neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and adenoma size in parathyroidectomized patients who underwent a parathyroidectomy. The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio has recently become popular as a biomarker for malignant diseases or for estimating tumor size preoperatively. This study aimed to estimate the relationship between adenoma size and NLR. Furthermore, we assessed whether a higher level of NLR is correlated with the presence of parathyroid carcinoma. A retrospective chart review was performed for patients with parathyroid adenoma who underwent parathyroidectomy between January 2012 and August 2014. Data related to age, sex, NLR, parathyroid hormone level (PTH), preoperative calcium, phosphorus, adenoma size, and pathology reports were collected. The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio was significantly correlated with calcium levels, PTH levels, parathyroid adenoma size, and the presence of cancer. However, there was no correlation between NLR and age, sex, and phosphorus levels. This study is the first to document a positive correlation between NLR and parathyroid adenoma size, as well as the presence of cancer, in patients who underwent surgery as a result of primary hyperparathyroidism.

Prognostic Factors for Advanced Pancreatic Cancer Treated with Gemcitabine Plus S-1: Retrospective Analysis and Development of a Prognostic Model

Gemcitabine plus S-1 (GS) is commonly used to treat advanced pancreatic cancer (APC) in Asia. Few clinical experiments have demonstrated the clinical efficacy of GS in routine clinical practice. We aimed to identify the prognostic factors and develop a prognostic model for survival prediction in patients with APC, treated with GS. Records of 111 patients with newly diagnosed APC who received first-line palliative GS chemotherapy during 2010⁻2016 in Taiwan were analyzed retrospectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed for the identification of prognostic factors. A prognostic model using prognosticators from the multivariate analysis was developed for survival prediction. The median overall survival (OS) for the cohort was 9.3 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 8.0⁻10.6). The prognostic model was constructed based on four independent prognosticators: performance status, tumor stage, pre-treatment albumin level, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. Patients were categorized by tertiles into good, intermediate, and poor prognostic groups. The median OS values for each of these groups were 21.1 (95% CI, 8.2⁻33.9), 9.2 (95% CI, 8.3⁻10.1), and 5.8 months (95% CI, 4.4⁻7.1; log-rank p < 0.001), respectively. The bootstrapped corrected C-index of this model was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.71⁻0.89). The developed model was robust and could accurately predict survival in this population, and can assist clinicians and patients in survival discrimination and the determination of appropriate medical care goals. Additional research is needed to externally validate the model's performance.

Anergic natural killer cells educated by tumor cells are associated with a poor prognosis in patients with advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Natural killer cells (NK) are often believed to play a positive role in the antitumor immune response. However, this is not the case for patients with advanced pancreatic cancer. This study was performed to determine the unique subtype of "educated" NK cells and their prognostic value in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

We divided 378 eligible patients into a derivation cohort (September 2010 to December 2014, n = 239) and a validation cohort (January 2015 to April 2016, n = 139). Flow cytometry was performed to analyze NK cells. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to detect interleukin-2 (IL-2), interferon gamma (IFN-γ) and tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α) production. The Kaplan-Meier method and the Cox proportional hazards model were used.

RESULTS

Survival analysis showed that a high density of NK cells accompanied by a high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio was associated with reduced overall survival in both the derivation and validation cohorts. Multivariable analysis also showed that high NK infiltration (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.79, p = 0.001) was an independent prognostic factor. In these patients, high NK infiltration was associated with reduced levels of IL-2, IFN-γ and TNF-α, although only IFN-γ reached statistical significance, which accounted for this unique phenomenon.

DISCUSSION

Natural killer cells in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer are a unique subtype with anergic features. A high density of NKs predicts poor survival in these patients, possibly because an active inflammatory response and reduced secretion of IL-2, IFN-γ and TNF-α inhibit NK activation.

Severe Neutropenia is Associated with Better Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Cancer Who Receive Modified FOLFIRINOX Therapy

While modified FOLFIRINOX therapy is effective for treating advanced pancreatic cancer, it frequently causes severe neutropenia. The present study investigated the effect of severe neutropenia on clinical outcomes in advanced pancreatic cancer patients who received modified FOLFIRINOX. The study subjects were 51 patients (30 males and 21 females) with advanced pancreatic cancer who received modified FOLFIRINOX (2h bolus injection of oxaliplatin at 85 mg/m², 2 h bolus injection of L-leucovorin at 200 mg/m², 90min bolus injection of irinotecan at 150 mg/m², followed by continuous infusion of 5-fluorouracil for 46 h at 2400 mg/m² without bolus 5-fluorouracil) during the period from January 2014 to May 2018. No patients had prior history of chemotherapy. Adverse events, including neutropenia, were graded according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events, version 4.0. Median overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint, while median time to treatment failure (TTF), overall response rate (ORR), and the incidence of other adverse events were secondary endpoints. Severe neutropenia (grade ≥3) occurred in 39 patients (76.4%), and Cox proportional hazard analysis identified high total bilirubin level as a significant risk factor. Median duration of OS was significantly longer in patients with severe neutropenia than in those without it (21.3 months versus 8.9 months, p = 0.020). Moreover, there was a significant correlation between OS and the grade of neutropenia (r = 0.306, p = 0.029). ORR tended to be higher, though not significantly, in patients with severe neutropenia. In contrast, the incidence rates of other adverse events were not different between the two groups. Severe neutropenia is an independent predictor of prognosis in advanced pancreatic cancer patients received modified FOLFIRINOX therapy.

The Prognostic Value of Preoperative Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Resected Patients with Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE

This research aims to analyze neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients and reveal its predictive value.

METHODS

We enrolled 389 pancreatic adenocarcinoma patients who had undergone curative surgery between January 1, 2008 and August 15, 2015 in Jiangsu Provincial People's Hospital, and they were followed up until December 20, 2016. Among them, 219 patients had definite recurrence record in our hospital. The appropriate cutoff value for the NLR was obtained from X-tile software. The association between qualitative variables and NLR was analyzed by Chi-square test or Fisher's exact test, and for quantitative values, the association was analyzed by independent Student's t test. Additionally, survival analysis was performed by Kaplan-Meier plots. Independent prognostic factors were found according to Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Based on univariate analysis, the elevated preoperative NLR had an important influence on the decreased recurrence-free survival (RFS) (8.2 vs. 14.9 months) and overall survival (OS) (13.7 vs. 22 months), and this result also counted in the multivariate analysis. Regarding OS, both patients with or without postoperative chemotherapy can obtain benefits from low NLR according to subgroup analysis. Stage I and II pancreatic adenocarcinoma patients can get longer OS and RFS from low NLR, while patients with stage III cancer cannot. Regarding recurrence site, high NLR level was also related to distant metastasis (P = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative NLR level could be a useful prognostic indication for resectable pancreatic adenocarcinoma patients.

Serum Marker Score Based on Prognostic Nutrition Index, Carcinoembryonic Antigen, and Carbohydrate Antigen 19-9 Is Associated With Recurrence for Patients Undergoing Surgery for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVES

The prognostic value of the prognostic nutrition index (PNI) in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is still controversial. This study aimed to assess the correlation between PNI and the outcome for PDAC patients and to generate a new score from PNI and serum markers.

METHODS

This study investigated 151 patients who underwent pancreatic resection for PDAC between April 2002 and June 2012. Disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival, and clinicopathological parameters were analyzed according to the PNI value.

RESULTS

The low PNI patients had poorer 5-year DFS rate than high-PNI patients (10.7% and 34.8%, respectively). Multivariate analyses revealed that independent risk factors for poor DFS were high carcinoembryonic antigen (hazard ratio [HR], 1.53; P = 0.038), high carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (HR, 1.67; P = 0.017), positive lymph node metastasis (HR, 1.98; P = 0.017), R1 or 2 resection (HR, 3.50; P < 0.001), and low PNI (HR, 0.37 [high/low]; P = 0.029]. Scoring based on the formula -0.49 × (PNI) + 0.41 × (carcinoembryonic antigen) + 0.67 × (carbohydrate antigen 19-9) was significantly associated with poor DFS (P < 0.001) and overall survival (P = 0.0019).

CONCLUSIONS

Low PNI and serum marker score are significantly associated with poor DFS.

Prognostic Value of Preoperative Nutritional and Immunological Factors in Patients with Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Preoperative nutritional and immunological patient factors have been found to be associated with prognostic outcomes of malignant tumors; however, the clinical significance of these factors in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains controversial.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of nutritional and immunological factors in predicting survival of patients with PDAC.

METHODS

Retrospective studies of 329 patients who underwent surgical resection for PDAC and 95 patients who underwent palliative surgery were separately conducted to investigate the prognostic impact of tumor-related factors and patient-related factors, including Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified GPS, Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet/lymphocyte ratio, and lymphocyte/monocyte ratio.

RESULTS

In multivariate analysis for patients with surgical resection for PDAC, PNI was an independent factor for overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival. The median OS of patients with PNI ≤ 45 was significantly shorter than that of patients with PNI > 45 (17.5 and 36.2 months, respectively; p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis for patients undergoing palliative surgery for PDAC, only NLR was an independent prognosis factor. The median OS of patients with NLR > 5 was significantly shorter than that of patients with NLR ≤ 5 (2.7 and 8.9 months, respectively; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

PNI in patients with surgical resection and NLR in patients with palliative surgery for PDAC may be useful prognostic factors.

NARCA: A novel prognostic scoring system using neutrophil-albumin ratio and Ca19-9 to predict overall survival in palliative pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Several serum based-markers and ratios have been investigated for their prognostic value in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). This cohort study aimed to combine these into a novel prognostic scoring system.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed on 145 patients with unresectable histologically-confirmed PDAC. Based on the existing literature the following markers were investigated: neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), neutrophil-albumin ratio (NAR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), fibrinogen, and Ca19-9. These values were dichotomized about their medians for Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

Univariate Cox regression revealed statistically significant prognostic value for: NLR, NAR, PLR, fibrinogen, and Ca19-9. When combining these using Cox regression analysis adjusting for other prognostic indicators, only NAR (hazard ratios [HR] = 3.174, P = 0.022) and Ca19-9 (HR = 2.697, P = 0.031) were independent predictors of survival. Combining NAR and Ca19-9 we split the cohort into three "NARCA" groups: NARCA0 = NAR ≤ 0.13 and Ca19-9 ≤ 770, NARCA1 = either NAR > 0.13 or Ca19-9 >770, NARCA2 = NAR > 0.13 and Ca19-9 > 770. Median survival was 20.5, 9.7 and 4.1 months in NARCA0, 1, and 2 respectively ( P < 0.0005, log-rank test). A separate validation cohort confirmed the prognostic significance of the score ( P = 0.048).

CONCLUSIONS

Combining NAR and Ca19-9 into a prognostic score allows stratification of unresectable PDAC patients into groups with significantly different overall survival.

Prognostic Roles of Inflammatory Markers in Pancreatic Cancer: Comparison between the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio

Background/Objectives

This meta-analysis is aimed at investigating the prognostic roles of the inflammatory markers neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Methods

The correlations between high inflammatory marker expression levels and prognosis in 7105 patients with pancreatic cancer from 34 eligible studies were investigated. Additionally, subgroup analyses based on study location, tumor stage, treatment, and value cutoffs were performed.

Results

High NLR and PLR values were considered to be 2.0–5.0 and 150–200, respectively. Using a random-effects model, the estimated rates of high NLR and PLR were 0.379 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.310–0.454) and 0.490 (95% CI 0.438–0.543), respectively. High NLRs were frequently found in patients with lower tumor stages and in those who underwent surgery. There were significant correlations between high NLR and PLR and poor survival rates (hazard ratio [HR] 1.737, 95% CI 1.502–2.009 and HR 1.143, 95% CI 1.037–1.259, resp.). Interestingly, the NLR and PLR had no prognostic value in patients who underwent chemoradiotherapy.

Conclusion

Taken together, our results showed that inflammatory markers are useful for predicting prognosis in patients with pancreatic cancer. The NLR is a more suitable parameter for predicting prognosis regardless of the patient's condition.

A meta-analysis of the utility of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in predicting survival after pancreatic cancer resection

BACKGROUND

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is thought to reflect cancer disease burden. To assess the prognostic ability of the NLR on overall survival in patients with resectable, pancreatic cancer a meta-analysis of published literature was undertaken.

METHOD

A systematic review was performed independently by two authors using PubMed, Ovid MEDLINE and Embase databases. Included studies detailed the pre-operative NLR and overall survival of pancreatic cancer patients.

RESULTS

Of the 214 studies retrieved using the search strategy, 8 studies involving 1519 patients were included in the meta-analysis. Only one study did not find a statistically significant association between a high NLR and OS. The pooled Hazard Ratio was 1.77 (95% CI [1.45-2.15]; p < 0.01). The NLR cut-off values ranged from 2 to 5. There was low to moderate inter-study heterogeneity (I² = 31%; p = 0.17), a low risk of intra-study bias, and potentially 3 unpublished (negative) studies.

CONCLUSIONS

A high pre-operative NLR indicates a worse prognosis than in patients with a low NLR. There is potential to use the NLR to direct therapies. A specific cut-off value has not been established from this study and so further research is required.

Locally Advanced or Metastatic Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma: Easily Available Factors of Predictive Prolonged Survival Under Gemcitabine

BACKGROUND

Prognosis of patients with locally advanced or metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma is poor. In this study, we assessed the predictive value of easily available baseline factors for prolonged survival.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study on patients who received gemcitabine between 1999 and 2010 for locally advanced or metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma. The primary end-point was the 12-month survival rate.

RESULTS

We included 195 patients. The median age was 62.9 years; the performance status was 0-1 in 80 and 2-3 in 92 patients. The median number of metastatic sites was one. A total of 73 patients (37.4%) were alive 12 months after beginning chemotherapy. In multivariate analysis, no liver metastasis, CA19-9 level <250 IU/ml and localized or locally advanced cancer at diagnosis were good prognostic factors. According to a clinical score based on these features, overall survival was 7.7, 13.5, 19.7 and 21.0 months, respectively (p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

We identified easily available prognostic factors for prolonged survival in patients treated with gemcitabine.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as prognostic indicator in gastrointestinal cancers: a systematic review and meta-analysis

An accurate, time efficient, and inexpensive prognostic indicator is needed to reduce cost and assist with clinical decision making for cancer management. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), which is derived from common serum testing, has been explored in a variety of cancers. We sought to determine its prognostic value in gastrointestinal cancers and performed a meta-analysis of published studies using the Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in Epidemiology guidelines. Included were randomized control trials and observational studies that analyzed humans with gastrointestinal cancers that included NLR and hazard ratios (HR) with overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), progression-free survival (PFS), and/or cancer-specific survival (CSS).

We analyzed 144 studies comprising 45,905 patients, two-thirds of which were published after 2014. The mean, median, and mode cutoffs for NLR reporting OS from multivariate models were 3.4, 3.0, 5.0 (±IQR 2.5-5.0), respectively. Overall, NLR greater than the cutoff was associated with a HR for OS of 1.63 (95% CI, 1.53-1.73; P < 0.001). This association was observed in all subgroups based on tumor site, stage, and geographic region. HR for elevated NLR for DFS, PFS, and CSS were 1.70 (95% CI, 1.52-1.91, P < 0.001), 1.64 (95% CI, 1.36-1.97, P < 0.001), and 1.83 (95% CI, 1.50-2.23, P < 0.001), respectively.

Available evidence suggests that NLR greater than the cutoff reduces OS, independent of geographic location, gastrointestinal cancer type, or stage of cancer. Furthermore, DFS, PFS, and CSS also have worse outcomes with elevated NLR.

The role of the systemic inflammatory response in predicting outcomes in patients with operable cancer: Systematic review and meta-analysis

Cancer remains a leading causes of death worldwide and an elevated systemic inflammatory response (SIR) is associated with reduced survival in patients with operable cancer. This review aims to examine the evidence for the role of systemic inflammation based prognostic scores in patients with operable cancers. A wide-ranging literature review using targeted medical subject headings for human studies in English was carried out in the MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CDSR databases until the end of 2016. The SIR has independent prognostic value, across tumour types and geographical locations. In particular neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (n = 158), platelet lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (n = 68), lymphocyte monocyte ratio (LMR) (n = 21) and Glasgow Prognostic Score/ modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS/mGPS) (n = 60) were consistently validated. On meta-analysis there was a significant relationship between elevated NLR and overall survival (OS) (p < 0.00001)/ cancer specific survival (CSS) (p < 0.00001), between elevated LMR and OS (p < 0.00001)/CSS (p < 0.00001), and elevated PLR and OS (p < 0.00001)/CSS (p = 0.005). There was also a significant relationship between elevated GPS/mGPS and OS (p < 0.00001)/CSS (p < 0.00001). These results consolidate the prognostic value of the NLR, PLR, LMR and GPS/mGPS in patients with resectable cancers. This is particularly true for the NLR/GPS/mGPS which should form part of the routine preoperative and postoperative workup.

C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio and Prognostic Nutritional Index Are Strong Prognostic Indicators of Survival in Resected Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

Purpose: We evaluated the clinical importance, such as the occurrence of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) or prognosis, of preoperative serum markers of chronic inflammation, nutrition, and immunity, as well as that of serum tumor markers after curative resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs). Methods: Between 2006 and 2015, 43 patients with PDACs underwent curative resection at Tottori Prefectural Central Hospital. We analyzed which preoperative indicators (i.e., C-reactive protein/albumin ratio [CAR], neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio [NLR], prognostic nutritional index [PNI], carcinoembryonic antigen [CEA], and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 [CA 19-9]) were the most relevant risk factors for occurrence of POPF and poor patient survival. Results: POPF was detected in 8/43 (18.6%) patients. One patient died of pancreatic fistula at 2 months postoperatively. Among nine candidate factors (operative procedure, operation time, tumor stage, preoperative serum amylase, preoperative CAR, NLR, PNI, CEA, and CA 19-9), we did not identify any significant risk factor for the occurrence of POPF. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate of the 43 patients was 22.4%, and the overall median survival time was 21 months. The multivariate OS analysis demonstrated that high CAR and low PNI were strong preoperative markers of poor prognosis independently of tumor stage. Conclusions: Preoperative CAR and PNI are useful prognostic markers for patients with operable PDACs.

A nomogram based on preoperative inflammatory markers predicting the overall survival of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Developing a preoperative prediction model for estimating the risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients before pancreaticoduodenectomy is a difficult task. The purpose of current study was to develop a prognostic nomogram based on inflammatory markers for PDAC patients.

METHODS

Cox regression analysis was performed to calculate the overall survival (OS) and assess the prognostic factors based on 265 PDAC patients undergone surgery. The nomogram was built to estimate the probability of 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS. The predictive accuracy of nomogram was determined by concordance index, calibration curve, and time dependent receiver operating characteristics.

RESULTS

In multivariable Cox analysis, vascular invasion, Tumor Grade, TNM stage, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and albumin/globulin ratio were significantly associated with OS, which were all assembled into nomogram. The calibration curves for probability of survival showed optimal agreement between nomogram prediction and actual observation. The concordance index for 1-year, 3-year and 5-year OS prediction were 0.860 (95% confidence intervals (CI): 0.837-0.885), 0.837 (95%CI: 0.819-0.856), and 0.809 (95%CI: 0.787-0.829), respectively. The area under time dependent receiver operating characteristics curve of 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS prediction were 0.938 (95%CI: 0.886-0.989), 0.844 (95%CI: 0.782-0.906), and 0.884 (95%CI: 0.792-0.976), suggesting high discriminative ability of nomogram. It allowed significant distinction survival outcomes by grouping the patients evenly into three subgroups after sorting by total points.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on clinicopathology characteristics and inflammatory markers, we developed a nomogram providing an individualized risk estimate for PDAC patients.

Actual long-term outcome of T1 and T2 pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma after surgical resection

BACKGROUND

The prognosis for patients with pancreatic cancer is extremely poor. The diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma at an early stage is uncommon. The purpose of this study was to analyze the clinicopathological characteristics of patients with pathologically proven pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma following surgical resection and their actual 5 year survival rates, especially for those with T1 and T2 early stage cancer.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis was performed for 433 patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma who underwent resection at Samsung medical center between May 1995 and December 2010. The actual 5 year survival rates and prognostic factors were analyzed.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis showed that positive resection margin, poor differentiation, large tumor size, large amount of blood loss, and T3/T4 were independent prognostic factors on overall survival. The median survival for T1/T2 stage was 71.7 months compared to 16.1 months for those with T3/T4 stage. The actual 5 year survival rates for T1/T2 and T3/T4 stages were 66.7% and 18.4%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

T stage is one of the strongest independent prognostic factor for overall survival of patients with pancreatic cancer. T1/T2 pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma showed good survival outcome. Therefore, additional efforts are needed to improve the screening for early detection.

Prognostic role of lymphocyte to monocyte ratio for patients with pancreatic cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) was recently reported as a prognostic factor of pancreatic cancer (PC). However, the prognostic role of LMR in PC remains inconsistent and inconclusive. The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of LMR in patients with PC through meta-analysis.

METHODS

Eligible studies inquiring into the connection between LMR and survival of patients with PC were collected and extracted by searching PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science up to May 9, 2017. Pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and the 95% CIs were calculated to assess the prognostic value of LMR on overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival/recurrence-free survival/time to progression (DFS/RFS/TTP).

RESULTS

A total of 1,795 patients with PC from 8 studies were included in the meta-analysis. Pooled analysis indicated that elevated LMR predicted a favorable OS (HR =0.56, 95% CI: 0.38-0.83, P=0.004) and DFS/RFS/TTP in PC patients (HR =0.38, 95% CI: 0.15-0.95, P=0.04). Prognostic values of LMR on OS were observed in subgroups with all ethnicities, treatment with surgery, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage of III-IV, and LMR cut-off value ≥3. In addition, low LMR was significantly connected with gender and AJCC stage.

CONCLUSION

An elevated LMR is associated with favorable survival in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Performance status and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio are important prognostic factors in elderly patients with unresectable pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

The usefulness of various prognostic factors for pancreatic cancer (PC) has been reported, but the number of elderly patients in these studies is disproportionately fewer compared with those in everyday practice. The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic factors for unresectable PC in elderly patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 67 elderly (age ≥75 years) patients with unresectable PC who underwent chemotherapy between January 2006 and December 2014 at our hospital. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were applied to investigate independent prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis revealed that an increased neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) [hazard ratio (HR) 1.91, P=0.03] and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) 2 (HR 2.74, P=0.01) were independent negative prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

The two prognostic factors identified herein are useful in the identification of patients with a poor prognosis and subsequent administration of supportive care alone, which may help avoid the unnecessary adverse effects and complications of systemic chemotherapy.

Additive value of pre-operative and one-month post-operative lymphocyte count for death-risk stratification in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer: a multicentric study

Background

Pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) incidence is increasing worldwide. Several studies have shown that lymphopenia was correlated with a poor prognosis but the potential interest to measure lymphopenia in the pre and post-operative setting as well as its added value among conventional prognostic factors was never investigated.

Methods

Data from two independent cohorts in whom patients underwent resection for pancreatic carcinoma were retrospectively recorded. We examined the association between perioperative findings, pre and post-operative lymphocyte counts and overall survival (OS) in univariate and multivariate analyses. Performance assessment and internal validation of the final model were evaluated with Harrell’s C-index, calibration plot and bootstrap sample procedures.

Results

Three hundred ninety patients were included in the analysis between 2000 and 2011. Pre and post-operative lymphocyte counts were independent prognostic factors associated with OS in multivariate analysis (p = 0.0128 and p = 0.0764, respectively). The addition of lymphocyte count variable to the conventional parameters identified in multivariate analysis (metastatic lymph node ratio, veinous emboli and adjuvant chemotherapy) significantly improved the model discrimination capacity (bootstrap mean difference = 0.04; 95 % CI, 0.01–0.06). The use of a threshold and combining the categorical (≥1000; <1000) information in pre and post lymphocyte counts permitted the identification of 4 subgroups of patients with different prognosis (p < 0.0001). Finally, the description of patients in long-term remission showed that only 3 of 65 (4.6 %) patients with post-operative lymphocyte count under 1000/mm³ were alive 4 years after surgery contrary to 54 of 236 (22.8 %) patients with a post-operative lymphocyte count above 1000/mm³.

Conclusion

Pre and post-operative lymphopenia are independent prognostic factors for OS and they have an additive value regarding conventional prognostic factors for death-risk stratification and to predict long-term survival. Lymphopenia should be included as stratification factors in future clinical trial assessing overall survival in pancreatic cancer patients.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12885-016-2860-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Preoperative Neutrophil-Lymphocyte and Lymphocyte-Monocyte Ratios Reflect Immune Cell Population Rearrangement in Resectable Pancreatic Cancer

BACKGROUND

Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR) may serve as a simple index of the immune function. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance of NLR, PLR, and LMR in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and to verify whether such biomarkers are associated with changes in populations of lymphoid cells.

METHODS

The prognostic implications of blood count parameters were evaluated in a retrospective cohort of 442 subjects undergoing pancreatic resections for PDAC. Subpopulations of lymphocytes and monocytes in peripheral blood were identified by FACS in a prospective cohort of 54 patients.

RESULTS

In the univariate analysis, NLR < 5 and LMR ≥ 3 were associated with significantly longer median survival of 25.7 vs 12.6 months and 29.2 vs 13.1 months, respectively. PLR did not influence survival. The Cox proportional hazards model showed that high NLR (HR 1.66, 95 % CI 1.12 to 2.46, P = 0.012) and low LMR (HR 1.65, 95 % CI 1.06 to 2.58, P = 0.026) were independent predictors of poor prognosis. NLR ≥ 5 and LMR < 3 correlated with an approximately twofold decrease in counts of helper and cytotoxic T cells, B cells, and NK cells. High NLR was also accompanied with increased neutrophil counts, while low LMR showed increased numbers of monocytes, mostly classical.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR and LMR may carry important prognostic information for patients with resected PDAC. The unfavorable prognosis likely correlates with reduced numbers of immune cells effective against the tumor and increased populations of cells involved in immune suppression.

The combination of systemic inflammation-based marker NLR and circulating regulatory T cells predicts the prognosis of resectable pancreatic cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The systemic inflammation response and immune impairment are closely related to the development and progression of various tumours, such as pancreatic cancer. In this study, we evaluated circulating inflammation factors and circulating regulatory T cells (Tregs) as markers of immunosuppression in a cohort of Chinese patients with resectable pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Samples were retrospectively collected from a series of 195 pathological stage I/II pancreatic cancer patients who underwent potentially curative surgery between June 2010 and April 2014. To examine the prognostic factors, circulating systemic inflammation-based markers and Tregs, detected by flow cytometry, were analysed.

RESULTS

Univariate analyses revealed that the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), TNM stage, differentiation, chemotherapy, CA19-9 levels and presence of Tregs are significantly associated with overall survival in patients with resectable pancreatic cancers. NLR (p = 0.001, HR = 0.538), TNM stage (p = 0.004, HR = 0.593), differentiation (p = 0.011, HR = 0.46), chemotherapy (p = 0.006, HR = 0.516) and Tregs (p = 0.001, HR = 0.558) are identified as independent prognostic markers by multivariate analyses. Interestingly, we also found that high NLR levels combined with a high proportion of Tregs (p < 0.001, HR = 3.521) correlate strongly with worse survival, with a greater than 3.5-fold increased risk of death compared with those with concurrent low levels of NLR and Tregs.

CONCLUSIONS

The preoperative NLR and circulating regulatory T cells are potentially independent prognostic factors for overall survival in resectable pancreatic cancer patients. High NLR levels combined with poor immune state before surgery, as measured by Tregs, are associated with an extremely poor prognosis.

Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio as a Prognostic Marker for Lung Adenocarcinoma After Complete Resection

BACKGROUNDS

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a simple and low-cost index that may be a benchmark for systemic inflammatory response and antitumor immunity. The goal of the study was to investigate the prognostic value of preoperative NLR in patients with lung adenocarcinoma after complete resection.

METHODS

The subjects were 361 consecutive patients with lung adenocarcinoma who underwent complete resection between 2000 and 2009. Perioperative clinical and laboratory data were evaluated retrospectively. The cohort was divided using the cut-off value for preoperative NLR identified in receiver operating characteristic analysis. Correlations of NLR with clinicopathological characteristics and prognosis were examined.

RESULTS

A high NLR was significantly correlated with a smoking history >10 pack-years (p = 0.023), pathological stage II or III (p < 0.001), lymphatic invasion (p = 0.003), and pleural invasion (p = 0.039). In univariate analysis, the high NLR group had significantly lower 5-year overall survival (86.0 vs. 77.1 %, p < 0.001) and 5-year recurrence-free survival (75.1 vs. 59.9 %, p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that NLR was an independent prognostic factor (hazard ratio 1.822, 95 % confidence interval 1.133-2.931, p = 0.013).

CONCLUSION

These results show that preoperative NLR is an independent prognostic factor in patients with lung adenocarcinoma after complete resection. NLR may reflect host immunity and systemic inflammation that facilitates tumor growth.

Intraoperative acidosis is a new predictor for postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Early diagnosis of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is important for proper interventions. The preoperative, intraoperative and early postoperative biochemical markers have predictive value of POPF. The present study was to evaluate several simple biochemical parameters in the prediction of POPF.

METHODS

Patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy in our center between 2006 and 2015 were reviewed retrospectively. Preoperative and early postoperative biochemical parameters were evaluated. Additionally, the relationship between POPF and pH and lactate level at the end of surgery were analyzed, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and red cell distribution width-to-platelet ratio (RPR) were calculated for postoperative days (PODs) 1 and 3. Diagnosis and grading of POPF were performed according to the standards of the International Study Group on Pancreatic Fistula. The patients were divided into two groups: Group 1 with no fistula or grade-A fistula; group 2 with grade-B or -C fistula. These simple biochemical markers were then compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

Serum amylase level was significantly higher at POD3, and pH level was significantly lower at the end of operation in group 2 compared with those in group 1. However, the serum amylase was below the upper limit of normal serum level and therefore, the difference was not significant in clinical practice. Receiver operating charecteristic curve analysis showed that pH level was a reliable predictor of POPF (area under the curve: 0.713; 95% CI: 0.573-0.853).

CONCLUSIONS

A low pH level at the end of pancreaticoduodenectomy was a risk factor of POPF. NLR, PLR, and RPR had no predictive value of POPF after pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Prognostic role of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in pancreatic cancer: a meta-analysis

The relationship between the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and tumours as a prognostic factor has been reported in many studies. In this meta-analysis, we evaluated the prognostic role of the NLR in pancreatic cancer (PC). A systematic search was performed in PubMed and Embase for relevant studies. Data from and characteristics of each study were extracted. A meta-analysis was performed to analyse the prognostic role of the NLR using the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). As a result, a total of 2035 patients in 9 cohorts were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled HR of 1.587 (95% CI: 1.411-1.785, p < 0.01) showed that patients with an elevated NLR were expected to have shorter overall survival (OS) after treatment. This meta-analysis suggests that an elevated NLR can be used as a predictor of survival in patients with pancreatic cancer.