Development and Validation of a Multi-institutional Preoperative Nomogram for Predicting Grade of Dysplasia in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (IPMNs) of the Pancreas: A Report from The Pancreatic Surgery Consortium

Diagnosis and Management of Pancreatic Cysts

As pancreatic cyst incidence rises, likely due to the ubiquitous increase in cross-sectional imaging, their management presents multiple challenges for both the practitioner and patient. It is critical that all pancreatic cysts are appropriately characterized, as treatment decisions depend on an accurate diagnosis. Diagnostic modalities such as cytology, biopsy, and cyst fluid biomarkers allow for definitive diagnosis of virtually all lesions. Some cysts, such as intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms, mucinous cystic neoplasms, and cystic pancreatic endocrine neoplasms, have malignant potential and must be surveyed. Other cysts, such as serous cystadenomas and pancreatic fluid collections, do not have malignant potential. Surveillance strategies vary widely depending on cyst type and size and while multiple medical societies advocate surveillance, their published surveillance guidelines are heterogenous. Cysts with high-risk stigmata or worrisome features are usually resected, depending on the patient's surgical fitness. In patients unfit for resection, newer endoscopic ablative techniques are advocated. Controversial aspects regarding cyst management include whether surveillance can be stopped, how surveillance should be performed, and the extensive financial burden cyst management places on the health care system. Further study into the natural history of cystic lesions, including definitive determination of the rate of malignant transformation for each cyst type, is essential.

Progress of single-cell RNA sequencing combined with spatial transcriptomics in tumour microenvironment and treatment of pancreatic cancer

In recent years, single-cell analyses have revealed the heterogeneity of the tumour microenvironment (TME) at the genomic, transcriptomic, and proteomic levels, further improving our understanding of the mechanisms of tumour development. Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) technology allow analysis of the transcriptome at the single-cell level and have unprecedented potential for exploration of the characteristics involved in tumour development and progression. These techniques allow analysis of transcript sequences at higher resolution, thereby increasing our understanding of the diversity of cells found in the tumour microenvironment and how these cells interact in complex tumour tissue. Although scRNA-seq has emerged as an important tool for studying the tumour microenvironment in recent years, it cannot be used to analyse spatial information for cells. In this regard, spatial transcriptomics (ST) approaches allow researchers to understand the functions of individual cells in complex multicellular organisms by understanding their physical location in tissue sections. In particular, in related research on tumour heterogeneity, ST is an excellent complementary approach to scRNA-seq, constituting a new method for further exploration of tumour heterogeneity, and this approach can also provide unprecedented insight into the development of treatments for pancreatic cancer (PC). In this review, based on the methods of scRNA-seq and ST analyses, research progress on the tumour microenvironment and treatment of pancreatic cancer is further explained.

[The Value of Clinical Characteristics and Hematological Parameters for Prognostic Assessment of Pancreatic Cancer Patients Undergoing Radical Resection]

Objective

To explore the relationship between baseline clinical characteristics and hematological parameters of patients undergoing radical resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and their prognosis, and to provide references for stratifying the patients' clinical risks.

Methods

We retrospectively collected clinical data from 445 patients who underwent radical surgical treatment for PDAC at West China Hospital, Sichuan University between January 2010 and February 2019. Then, we conducted retrospective clinical analysis with the collected data. Data on patients' basic clinical characteristics, routine blood test results, and tumor indicators were collected to explore their effects on the postoperative overall survival (OS) of PDAC patients. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify factors affecting OS. Statistical analysis was performed using the SPSS 23.0 software package.

Results

The postoperative median overall survival (mOS) was 17.0 months (95% CI: 15.0-19.0). The 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5-year survival rates of the patients included in the study were 60.6%, 33.4%, 19.1%, 12.7%, and 9.6%, respectively. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model analysis demonstrated that a number of factors independently affect postoperative survival in PDAC patients. These factors include tumor location (hazards ratio [HR]=1.574, 95% CI: 1.233-2.011), degree of tumor cell differentiation (HR=0.687, 95% CI: 0.542-0.870), presence of neural invasion (HR=0.686, 95% CI: 0.538-0.876), TNM staging (HR=1.572, 95% CI: 1.252-1.974), postoperative adjuvant therapy (HR=1.799, 95% CI: 1.390-2.328), preoperative drinking history (HR=0.744, 95% CI: 0.588-0.943), and high serum CA199 levels prior to the surgery (HR=0.742, 95% CI: 0.563-0.977).

Conclusion

In PDAC patients, having tumors located in the head of the pancreas, moderate and high degrees of differentiated, being free from local neurovascular invasion, being in TNM stage Ⅰ, undergoing postoperative adjuvant therapy, no history of alcohol consumption prior to the surgery, and preoperative serum CA199 being less than or equal to 37 U/mL are significantly associated with a better prognosis.

Systematic review on surveillance for non-resected branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

BACKGROUND

The management of branch-duct type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) varies in existing guidelines. This study investigated the optimal surveillance protocol and safe discontinuation of surveillance considering natural history in non-resected IPMN, by systematically reviewing the published literature.

METHODS

This review was guided by PRISMA. Research questions were framed in PICO format "CQ1-1: Is size criteria helpful to determine surveillance period? CQ1-2: How often should surveillance be carried out? CQ1-3: When should surveillance be discontinued? CQ1-4: Is nomogram predicting malignancy useful during surveillance?". PubMed was searched from January-April 2022.

RESULTS

The search generated 2373 citations. After screening, 83 articles were included. Among them, 33 studies were identified for CQ1-1, 19 for CQ1-2, 26 for CQ1-3 and 12 for CQ1-4. Cysts <1.5 or 2 cm without worrisome features (WF) were described as more indolent, and most studies advised an initial period of surveillance. The median growth rate of cysts <2 cm ranged from 0.23 to 0.6 mm/year. Patients with cysts <2 cm showing no morphological changes and no WF after 5-years of surveillance have minimal malignancy risk of 0-2%. Two nomograms created with over 1000 patients had AUCs of around 0.8 and appear to be feasible in a real-world practice.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with suspected BD-IPMN <2 cm and no other WF, less frequent surveillance is recommended. Surveillance may be discontinued for cysts that remain stable during 5-year surveillance, with consideration of patient condition and life expectancy. With this updated surveillance strategy, patients with non-worrisome BD-IPMN should expect more streamlined management and decreased healthcare utilization.

New avenues for the treatment of immunotherapy-resistant pancreatic cancer

Pancreatic cancer (PC) is characterized by its extremely aggressive nature and ranks 14th in the number of new cancer cases worldwide. However, due to its complexity, it ranks 7th in the list of the most lethal cancers worldwide. The pathogenesis of PC involves several complex processes, including familial genetic factors associated with risk factors such as obesity, diabetes mellitus, chronic pancreatitis, and smoking. Mutations in genes such as KRAS, TP53, and SMAD4 are linked to the appearance of malignant cells that generate pancreatic lesions and, consequently, cancer. In this context, some therapies are used for PC, one of which is immunotherapy, which is extremely promising in various other types of cancer but has shown little response in the treatment of PC due to various resistance mechanisms that contribute to a drop in immunotherapy efficiency. It is therefore clear that the tumor microenvironment (TME) has a huge impact on the resistance process, since cellular and non-cellular elements create an immunosuppressive environment, characterized by a dense desmoplastic stroma with cancer-associated fibroblasts, pancreatic stellate cells, extracellular matrix, and immunosuppressive cells. Linked to this are genetic mutations in TP53 and immunosuppressive factors that act on T cells, resulting in a shortage of CD8+ T cells and limited expression of activation markers such as interferon-gamma. In this way, finding new strategies that make it possible to manipulate resistance mechanisms is necessary. Thus, techniques such as the use of TME modulators that block receptors and stromal molecules that generate resistance, the use of genetic manipulation in specific regions, such as microRNAs, the modulation of extrinsic and intrinsic factors associated with T cells, and, above all, therapeutic models that combine these modulation techniques constitute the promising future of PC therapy. Thus, this study aims to elucidate the main mechanisms of resistance to immunotherapy in PC and new ways of manipulating this process, resulting in a more efficient therapy for cancer patients and, consequently, a reduction in the lethality of this aggressive cancer.

A novel nomogram to predict futile recanalization in patients with acute ischemic stroke undergoing mechanical thrombectomy

Background and objective

Futile recanalization (FR) is defined as patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) due to large vessel occlusion who still exhibits functional dependence although undergoing successful mechanical thrombectomy (MT). We aimed to develop and validate a simple nomogram for predicting the probability of FR after MT treatment in AIS patients.

Methods

Clinical data of AIS patients in the Jrecan clinical trial in China from March 2018 to June 2019 were collected as the derivation set (n = 162). Meanwhile, clinical data of AIS patients who underwent MT in Baotou Central Hospital and Ningbo No.2 Hospital from 2019 to 2021 were collected as the validation set (n = 170). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed for all variables that had p < 0.2 in the univariate analysis in the derivation set. The independent risk factors of FR were further screened out and a nomogram was constructed. The performance of the nomogram was analyzed in the derivation and validation set using C-index, calibration plots, and decision curves.

Results

No significant difference in FR rate was detected between the derivation set and the validation set [88/162 (54.32%) and 82/170 (48.23%), p = 0.267]. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age ≥ 65 years old (OR = 2.096, 95%CI 1.024-4.289, p = 0.043), systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥ 180 mmHg (OR = 5.624, 95%CI 1.141-27.717, p = 0.034), onset to recanalization time (OTR) ≥ 453 min (OR = 2.759, 95%CI 1.323-5.754, p = 0.007), 24 h intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH; OR = 4.029, 95%CI 1.844 ~ 8.803, p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for FR. The C-index of the nomogram of the derivation set and the verification set were 0.739 (95%CI 0.662~0.816) and 0.703 (95%CI 0.621~0.785), respectively.

Conclusion

The nomogram composed of age, SBP, OTR, and 24 h ICH can effectively predict the probability of FR after MT in AIS patients.

International evidence-based Kyoto guidelines for the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas

This study group aimed to revise the 2017 international consensus guidelines for the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas, and mainly focused on five topics; the revision of high-risk stigmata (HRS) and worrisome features (WF), surveillance of non-resected IPMN, surveillance after resection of IPMN, revision of pathological aspects, and investigation of molecular markers in cyst fluid. A new development from the prior guidelines is that systematic reviews were performed for each one of these topics, and published separately to provide evidence-based recommendations. One of the highlights of these new "evidence-based guidelines" is to propose a new management algorithm, and one major revision is to include into the assessment of HRS and WF the imaging findings from endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and the results of cytological analysis from EUS-guided fine needle aspiration technique, when this is performed. Another key element of the current guidelines is to clarify whether lifetime surveillance for small IPMNs is required, and recommends two options, "stop surveillance" or "continue surveillance for possible development of concomitant pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma", for small unchanged BD-IPMN after 5 years surveillance. Several other points are also discussed, including identifying high-risk features for recurrence in patients who underwent resection of non-invasive IPMN with negative surgical margin, summaries of the recent observations in the pathology of IPMN. In addition, the emerging role of cyst fluid markers that can aid in distinguishing IPMN from other pancreatic cysts and identify those IPMNs that harbor high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma is discussed.

Serum elastase-1 predicts malignancy in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas

BACKGROUND

The indication for surgical resection of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) is defined by imaging features, such as mural nodules. Although carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 was selected as a parameter for worrisome features, no serum biomarkers were considered when deciding on surgical indications in the latest international consensus guideline. In this study, we assessed whether clinical factors, imaging findings, and serum biomarkers are useful in predicting malignant IPMNs.

METHODS

A total of 234 resected IPMN cases in Chiba University Hospital from July 2005 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

Among the 234 patients with resected IPMNs diagnosed by preoperative imaging, 117 were diagnosed with malignant pathologies (high-grade dysplasia and invasive IPMNs) according to the histological classification. In the multivariate analysis, cyst diameter ≥30 mm; p = 0.035), enhancing mural nodules on multidetector computed tomography (≥5 mm; p = 0.018), and high serum elastase-1 (≥230 ng/dl; p = 0.0007) were identified as independent malignant predictors, while CA19-9 was not. Furthermore, based on the receiver operator characteristic curve analyses, elastase-1 was superior to CA19-9 for predicting malignant IPMNs. Additionally, high serum elastase-1 levels (≥230 ng/dl; p = 0.0093) were identified as independent predictors of malignant IPMNs in patients without mural nodules on multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) in multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

The serum elastase-1 level was found to be a potentially useful biomarker for predicting malignant IPMNs.

Association of high-risk stigmata and worrisome features with advanced neoplasia in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN): A systematic review

BACKGROUND

This systematic review aimed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the International Consensus Fukuoka Guidelines (ICG2017) in identifying high-risk lesions of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (IPMNs).

METHODS

The ICG2017 revision committee conducted a comprehensive literature review to establish evidence-based statements on IPMNs. The review focused on articles examining the diagnostic value of imaging features (e.g., cyst or main pancreatic duct diameter), clinical symptoms associated with IPMN, and serum biomarkers. Five clinical questions regarding high-risk stigmata (HRS) and worrisome features (WF) in the ICG2017 guidelines were addressed.

RESULTS

A total of 210 articles were reviewed. The findings revealed a significant association between the presence of mural nodules ≥5 mm in diameter or solid components with contrast enhancement and the diagnosis of high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma. Contrast-enhanced diagnostic tools, such as CT, MRI, or EUS, demonstrated the highest prediction rate and were recommended. Positive cytology was identified as an HRS, while symptoms like acute pancreatitis and cyst diameter growth ≥2.5 mm per year were considered WFs. The use of nomograms and multiple diagnostic factors was recommended for optimal IPMN management.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review provides evidence supporting the improved diagnostic accuracy of ICG2017 in identifying high-risk lesions of IPMN. The multidisciplinary incorporation of HRS and WF based on imaging findings and clinical symptoms is crucial. These findings should inform the revision of ICG2017, enhancing the evaluation and management of IPMN patients. By implementing these recommendations, clinicians can make more informed decisions, leading to better diagnosis and treatment outcomes for high-risk IPMN cases.

Combined the surgery, radiation, and chemotherapy for predicting overall survival in patients with gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors

BACKGROUND

Over the last few decades, the annual global incidence of gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NETs) has steadily increased. Because of the complex and inconsistent treatment of GEP-NETs, the prognosis of patients with GEP-NETs is still difficult to assess. The study aimed to construct and validate the nomograms included treatment data for prediction overall survival (OS) in GEP-NETs patients.

METHODS

GEP-NETs patients determined from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-13 registry database (1992-2018) and with additional treatment data from the SEER-18 registry database (1975-2016). In order to select independent prognostic factors that contribute significantly to patient survival and can be included in the nomogram, multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed using the minimum value of Akaike information criterion (AIC) and we analyzed the relationship of variables with OS by calculating hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. In addition, we also comprehensively compared the nomogram using to predict OS with the current 7th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system.

RESULTS

From 2004 to 2015, a total of 42,662 patients at diagnosis years with GEP-NETs were determined from the SEER database. The results indicated that the increasing incidence of GEP-NETs per year and the highest incidence is in patients aged 50-54. After removing cases lacking adequate clinicopathologic characteristics, the remaining eligible patients (n=7,564) were randomly divided into training (3,782 patients) and testing sets (3,782 patients). In the univariate analysis, sex, age, race, tumor location, SEER historic stage, pathology type, TNM, stage, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, and CS tumor size were found to be significantly related to OS. Ultimately, the key factors for predicting OS were determined, involving sex, age, race, tumor location, SEER historic stage, M, N, grade, surgery, radiation, and chemotherapy. For internal validation, the C-index of the nomogram used to estimate OS in the training set was 0.816 (0.804-0.828). For external validation, the concordance index (C-index) of the nomogram used to predict OS was 0.822 (0.812-0.832). In the training and testing sets, our nomogram produced minimum AIC values and C-index of OS compared with AJCC stage. Decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated that the nomogram was better than the AJCC staging system because more clinical net benefits were obtained within a wider threshold probability range.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram combined treatment data may be better discrimination in predicting overall survival than AJCC staging system. We highly recommend to use our nomogram to evaluate individual risks based on different clinical features of GEP-NETs, which can improve the diagnosis and treatment outcomes of GEP-NETs patients and improve their quality of life.

The role of intraoperative pancreatoscopy in the surgical management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas: a systematic scoping review

BACKGROUND

The type and the extent of surgery is still debatable for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). Intraoperative pancreatoscopy (IOP) allows the visualization of the main pancreatic duct (MPD) in its entire length and could help determine the extent of MPD involvement and the type and extent of pancreatic resection. However, current guidelines do not advise its routine use as there is a lack of evidence supporting its safety and feasibility. The present study aims to perform a scoping review of published evidence on the safety and feasibility of IOP in IPMN surgical management.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, Cochrane, Medline and EMbase to identify studies reporting the use of IOP in IPMN surgical management. The research was completed in June 2023. Data extracted included patient selection criteria, demographics, safety of the procedure, intraoperative findings, impact on surgical strategy, histology results and postoperative outcomes.

RESULTS

Four retrospective and one prospective study were included in this scoping review. A total of 142 patients had IOP. The selection criteria for inclusion were heterogenous, with one out of five studies including branch duct (BD), main duct (MD) and mixed type IPMN. Indications for IOP and surgical resection were only reported in two studies. A median of seven outcomes (range 5-8) was described, including the type of surgical resection, additional lesions and change of surgical plan, and complications after IOP. IOP showed additional lesions in 48 patients (34%) and a change of surgical plan in 48(34%). No IOP-related complications were reported.

CONCLUSIONS

This scoping review suggests IOP is safe and identifies additional lesions impacting the surgical strategy for IPMN. However, the included studies were small and heterogeneous regarding IPMN definition and indications for surgery and IOP. There is a need for a large multi-centre prospective study to determine the role of IOP and its impact on surgical strategy for IPMN.

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of pancreas: Clinicopathological features and long-term survival after surgical resection

INTRODUCTION

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas can progress from low-grade dysplasia to high-grade dysplasia and invasive carcinoma.

METHODS

In this single-center retrospective series, we analyze the clinicopathological features and long-term follow up of patients who underwent pancreatic resection for IPMN, from January 2009 to December 2019.

RESULTS

31 patients were diagnosed with IPMN: 9 males and 22 females. Mean age was 67 years. Twenty-seven patients (87%) were symptomatic. Seven patients had main duct IPMN, 11 branch-type IPMN and 13 mixed-type IPMN. High-risk stigmata were found in 20 patients (64.5%) and worrisome features in 10 patients (32.2%). Thirteen patients (41.9%) had an associated invasive carcinoma, 4 (12.9%) high-grade dysplasia and 14 (45.2%) low-grade dysplasia. The follow-up was from 2 to 12 years. Median survival for patients with IPMN and associated invasive carcinoma was 45.8 months, and disease-free survival was 40.8 months.

CONCLUSIONS

IPMN had a higher prevalence in females, mostly symptomatic and high incidence of associated invasive carcinoma with branch type. The 5-year survival was good even with associated invasive carcinoma.

The Influence of Patient Preference on Surgeons' Treatment Recommendations in the Management of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine whether surgeon variation in management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) is driven by differences in risk perception and quantify surgeons' risk threshold for changing their recommendations.

BACKGROUND

Surgeons vary widely in management of IPMN.

METHODS

We conducted a survey of members of the Americas HepatoPancreatoBiliary Association, presented participants with 2 detailed clinical vignettes and asked them to choose between surgical resection and surveillance. We also asked them to judge the likelihood that the IPMN harbors cancer and that the patient would have a serious complication if surgery was performed. Finally, we asked surgeons to rate the level of cancer risk at which they would change their treatment recommendation. We examined the association between surgeons' treatment recommendations and their risk perception and risk threshold.

RESULTS

One hundred and fifty surgeons participated in the study. Surgeons varied in their recommendations for surgery [19% for vignette 1 (V1) and 12% for V2] and in their perception of the cancer risk (interquartile range: 2%-10% for V1 and V2) and risk of surgical complications (V1 interquartile range: 10%-20%, V2 20%-30%). After adjusting for surgeon characteristics, surgeons who were above the median in cancer risk perception were 22 percentage points (27% vs. 5%) more likely to recommend resection than those who were below the median (95% CI: 11.34%; P <0.001). The median risk threshold at which surgeons would change their recommendation was 15% (V1 and V2). Surgeons who recommended surgery had a lower risk threshold for changing their recommendation than those who recommended surveillance (V1: 10.0 vs. 15.0, P =0.06; V2: 7.0 vs. 15.0, P =0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The treatment that patients receive for IPMNs depends greatly on how their surgeons perceive the risk of cancer in the lesion. Efforts to improve cancer risk prediction for IPMNs may lead to decreased variations in care.

Risk Perceptions and Risk Thresholds Among Surgeons in the Management of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to determine whether surgeon variation in management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is driven by differences in risk perception and quantify surgeons' risk threshold for changing their recommendations.

BACKGROUND

Surgeons vary widely in management of IPMN.

METHODS

We conducted a survey of members of the Americas HepatoPancreatoBiliary Association, presented participants with 2 detailed clinical vignettes and asked them to choose between surgical resection and surveillance. We also asked them to judge the likelihood that the IPMN harbors cancer and that the patient would have a serious complication if surgery was performed. Finally, we asked surgeons to rate the level of cancer risk at which they would change their treatment recommendation. We examined the association between surgeons' treatment recommendations and their risk perception and risk threshold.

RESULTS

One hundred fifty surgeons participated in the study. Surgeons varied in their recommendations for surgery [19% for vignette 1 (V1) and 12% for V2] and in their perception of the cancer risk (interquartile range: 2%-10% for V1 and V2) and risk of surgical complications (V1 interquartile range: 10%-20%, V2 20-30%). After adjusting for surgeon characteristics, surgeons who were above the median in cancer risk perception were 22 percentage points (27% vs 5%) more likely to recommend resection than those who were below the median (95% CI: 11%-4%; P <0.001). The median risk threshold at which surgeons would change their recommendation was 15% (V1 and V2). Surgeons who recommended surgery had a lower risk threshold for changing their recommendation than those who recommended surveillance (V1: 10.0 vs 15.0, P =0.06; V2: 7.0 vs 15.0, P =0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The treatment that patients receive for IPMNs depends greatly on how their surgeons perceive the risk of cancer in the lesion. Efforts to improve cancer risk prediction for IPMNs may lead to decreased variations in care.

Surveillance for Presumed BD-IPMN of the Pancreas: Stability, Size, and Age Identify Targets for Discontinuation

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Currently, most patients with branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) are offered indefinite surveillance, resulting in health care costs with questionable benefits regarding cancer prevention. This study sought to identify patients in whom the risk of cancer is equivalent to an age-matched population, thereby justifying discontinuation of surveillance.

METHODS

International multicenter study involving presumed BD-IPMN without worrisome features (WFs) or high-risk stigmata (HRS) at diagnosis who underwent surveillance. Clusters of individuals at risk for cancer development were defined according to cyst size and stability for at least 5 years, and age-matched controls were used for comparison using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for pancreatic cancer.

RESULTS

Of 3844 patients with presumed BD-IPMN, 775 (20.2%) developed WFs and 68 (1.8%) HRS after a median surveillance of 53 (interquartile range 53) months. Some 164 patients (4.3%) underwent surgery. Of the overall cohort, 1617 patients (42%) remained stable without developing WFs or HRS for at least 5 years. In patients 75 years or older, the SIR was 1.12 (95% CI, 0.23-3.39), and in patients 65 years or older with stable lesions smaller than 15 mm in diameter after 5 years, the SIR was 0.95 (95% CI, 0.11-3.42). The all-cause mortality for patients who did not develop WFs or HRS for at least 5 years was 4.9% (n = 79), and the disease-specific mortality was 0.3% (n = 5).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of developing pancreatic malignancy in presumed BD-IPMN without WFs or HRS after 5 years of surveillance is comparable to that of the general population depending on cyst size and patient age. Surveillance discontinuation could be justified after 5 years of stability in patients older than 75 years with cysts <30 mm, and in patients 65 years or older who have cysts ≤15 mm.

Prediction of malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm: A nomogram based on clinical information and radiological outcomes

OBJECTIVE

Clinical practitioners face a significant challenge in maintaining a healthy balance between overtreatment and missed diagnosis in the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). The current study aimed to identify significant risk factors of malignant IPMN from a series of clinical and radiological parameters that are widely available and noninvasive and develop a method to individually predict the risk of malignant IPMN to improve its management.

METHODS

We retrospectively investigated 168 patients who were pathologically diagnosed with IPMN after individualized pancreatic resection between June, 2012 and December, 2020. Independent predictors determined using both univariate and multivariate analyses to construct a predictive model. The discriminatory power of the nomogram was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Decision curve analysis was performed to demonstrate the clinical usefulness of the nomogram. Internal cross validation was performed to assess the validity of the predictive model.

RESULTS

In the multivariate analysis, five significant independent risk factors were identified: increased serum CA19-9 level, low prognostic nutritional index (PNI), cyst size, enhancing mural nodule, and main pancreatic duct diameter. The nomogram based on the parameters mentioned above had outstanding performance in distinguishing malignancy, with an AUC of 0.907 (95% confidence interval: 0.859-0.956, p < 0.05), which remained 0.875 after internal cross-validation, and showed good clinical usefulness.

CONCLUSION

A novel nomogram for predicting malignant IPMN first introducing PNI was developed, which may aid in improving IPMN management. Nevertheless, external validation is required to confirm its efficacy.

Functional reprogramming of peripheral blood monocytes by soluble mediators in patients with pancreatic cancer and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

Background

Monocytes and monocyte-derived tumor infiltrating cells have been implicated in the immunosuppression and immune evasion associated with pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Yet, precisely how monocytes in the periphery and tumor microenvironment in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN), a precursor lesion to PDAC, change during disease progression has not been defined. Here we functionally profiled the peripheral immune system and characterized the tumor microenvironment of patients with both IPMN and PDAC. We also tested if sera from patients with IPMN and PDAC functionally reprogram monocytes relative to that of healthy donors.

Methods

Pancreatic tissue and peripheral blood were collected at the time of resection from 16 patients with IPMN and 32 patients with PDAC. Peripheral blood and pancreatic tissue/tumor were immunophenotyped using flow cytometry. Whole blood was plated and incubated with R848 (a TLR 7/8 agonist) or LPS (a TLR4 agonist) for 6 hours and TNF expression in monocytes was measured by flow cytometry to measure monocyte activation. To test if TLR sensitivity is determined by factors in patient sera, we preconditioned healthy donor monocytes in serum from PDAC (n=23), IPMN (n=15), or age-matched healthy donors (n=10) followed by in vitro stimulation with R848 or LPS and multiplex cytokine measurements in the supernatant.

Results

TNF expression in R848-stimulated peripheral blood monocytes was higher in patients with low grade vs high grade IPMN (65% vs 32%, p = 0.03) and stage 1 vs stage 2/3 PDAC (58% vs 42%, p = 0.03), this was not observed after LPS stimulation. TLR activation correlated with increasing grade of dysplasia from low grade IPMN to high grade IPMN. Serum from patients with IPMN and PDAC recapitulated suppression of TNF induction after R848 stimulation in naïve, healthy donor monocytes.

Conclusion

Peripheral blood monocyte TNF secretion inversely correlates with the degree of dysplasia in IPMN and cancer stage in PDAC, suggesting innate immune reprogramming as IPMNs progress to invasive disease. These effects are, at least in part, mediated by soluble mediators in sera.

Risk Models for Pancreatic Cyst Diagnosis

The overall prevalence of pancreatic cysts (PCs) is high in the general population. In clinical practice PCs are often incidentally discovered and are classified into benign, premalignant, and malignant lesions according to the World Health Organization. For this reason, in the absence of reliable biomarkers, to date clinical decision-making relies mostly on risk models based on morphological features. The aim of this narrative review is to present the current knowledge regarding PC's morphologic features with related estimated risk of malignancy and discuss available diagnostic tools to minimize clinically relevant diagnostic errors.

Long-term (10-year) outcomes and prognostic factors in resected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm tumors in Finland: A nationwide retrospective study

BACKGROUND

The degree of dysplasia is the most important prognostic factor for patients with resected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms are predominantly premalignant conditions; in most cases, surveillance is an adequate treatment. If worrisome features are present, surgery should be considered. However, there is limited data on the long-term prognosis of resected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms. We aimed to ascertain the nationwide survival of patients with resected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms and identify factors associated with survival.

METHODS

This is a retrospective nationwide cohort study. All intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms operated on in Finland between 2000 and 2008 were identified. Patient records were evaluated, and original radiologic data and histologic samples were re-evaluated. Survival data were collected after a 10-year follow-up period.

RESULTS

Out of 2,024 pancreatic resections, 88 were performed for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm. The median age of the patients was 65 years. Histologic diagnoses were main duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm 47/88 (53,4%), mixed-type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm 27/88 (30.7%), and branchduct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm 14/88 (15.9%). Of the tumors, 40/88 (45.5%) were low-grade dysplasia, 9/88 (10.2%) high-grade, and 39/88 (44.3%) were invasive cancer. The median survival was 121 (range 0-252) months. Ten-year survival was 72.5%, 66.7%, and 23.1% in the low-grade dysplasia, high-grade dysplasia, invasive cancer groups, respectively. Ten-year mortality for pancreatic cancer was 5%, 9.1%, and 71.8% in the low-grade dysplasia, high-grade dysplasia, invasive cancer groups, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Overall, 44.3% of the patients had a malignant tumor, and three-quarters (74.5%) of the main duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms were malignant or high-grade dysplasia at the time of surgery. Ten-year survival was significantly better in patients operated on at the stage of a premalignant tumor (low-grade dysplasia + high-grade dysplasia) than in patients operated on at the stage of a malignant tumor.

Branch duct-intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs): an MRI-based radiomic model to determine the malignant degeneration potential

BACKGROUND

Branch duct-intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) are the most common pancreatic cystic tumors and have a low risk of malignant transformation. Features able to early identify high-risk BD-IPMNs are lacking, and guidelines currently rely on the occurrence of worrisome features (WF) and high-risk stigmata (HRS).

AIM

In our study, we aimed to use a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomic model to identify features linked to a higher risk of malignant degeneration, and whether these appear before the occurrence of WF and HRS.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated adult patients with a known BD-IPMN who had had at least two contrast-enhanced MRI studies at our center and a 24-month minimum follow-up time. MRI acquisition protocol for the two examinations included pre- and post-contrast phases and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI)/apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) map. Patients were divided into two groups according to the development of WF or HRS at the end of the follow-up (Group 0 = no WF or HRS; Group 1 = WF or HRS). We segmented the MRI images and quantitative features were extracted and compared between the two groups. Features that showed significant differences (SF) were then included in a LASSO regression method to build a radiomic-based predictive model.

RESULTS

We included 50 patients: 31 in Group 0 and 19 in Group 1. No patients in this cohort developed HRS. At baseline, 47, 67, 38, and 68 SF were identified for pre-contrast T1-weighted (T1-W) sequence, post-contrast T1-W sequence, T2-weighted (T2- W) sequence, and ADC map, respectively. At the end of follow-up, we found 69, 78, 53, and 91 SF, respectively. The radiomic-based predictive model identified 16 SF: more particularly, 5 SF for pre-contrast T1-W sequence, 6 for post-contrast T1-W sequence, 3 for T2-W sequence, and 2 for ADC.

CONCLUSION

We identified radiomic features that correlate significantly with WF in patients with BD-IPMNs undergoing contrast-enhanced MRI. Our MRI-based radiomic model can predict the occurrence of WF.

Circulating cytokines allow for identification of malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are the precursor lesions of pancreatic cancers, requiring active surgical intervention during cancer development. However, the current criteria for predicting malignant IPMNs remain challenging and limited. Hence, this study aimed to assess the discriminatory performance of circulating cytokines, including TNF-α, IL-2R, IL-6, and IL-8, then build a novel predictive model to improve the diagnostic accuracy.

METHOD

A total of 131 retrospective (from March 2016 to December 2019) and 53 prospective (from March 2020 to January 2021) patients who were histologically confirmed as IPMNs were consecutively collected and analyzed.

RESULT

The circulating levels of TNF-α, IL-2R, IL-6, and IL-8 were significantly elevated in malignant IPMNs, and were verified as independent factors for malignant IPMNs (p < 0.05). Then, a novel score, the circulating cytokine score (CCS), was calculated and demonstrated as an independent predictive indicator with a higher area under the curve (AUC) than each cytokine alone (p < 0.001). Besides the CCS, two high-risk stigmata features, the presence of solid component (PSC), and main pancreatic duct (MPD) dilation ≥10 mm were also demonstrated as independent indicators for predicting malignant IPMNs. Finally, a novel nomogram incorporating the CCS and these two high-risk stigmata features presented a remarkable diagnostic performance, both in the training and validation cohorts with AUCs of 0.928 and 0.873, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The CCS can be considered a novel independent predictive indicator for malignant IPMNs. Additionally, the formulated nomogram model integrating the CCS, PSC, and MPD ≥10 mm can be a valuable and promising tool for predicting the malignant transformation of IPMNs during long-term follow-ups to assist in timely and accurate surgical decisions.

Comparison of Clinical and Imaginal Features According to the Pathological Grades of Dysplasia in Branch-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm (BD-IPMN) for Personalized Medicine

Background: In patients with BD-IPMN, surgical indications have been focused on finding malignant lesions (HGD, high-grade dysplasia/IC, invasive carcinoma). The aim of this study was to compare the preoperative factors that distinguish HGD from LGD (low-grade dysplasia) and HGD from IC to find the optimal pathologic target for surgery according to individuals, considering surgical risks and outcomes. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 232 patients with BD-IPMN diagnosed based on pathology after surgery and preoperative images. The primary outcome was identifying preoperative factors distinguishing HGD from LGD, and HGD from IC. Results: In patients with LGD/HGD, a solid component or an enhancing mural nodule ≥ 5 mm (OR = 9.29; 95% CI: 3.3−54.12; p < 0.000) and thickened/enhancing cyst walls (OR = 6.95; 95% CI: 1.68−33.13; p = 0.008) were associated with HGD. In patients with malignant lesions (HGD/IC), increased serum CA 19-9 (OR = 12.59; 95% CI: 1.81−87.44; p = 0.006) was associated with IC. Conclusions: The predictive factors for HGD were the presence of a solid component or an enhancing mural nodule ≥ 5 mm and thickened/enhancing cyst walls compared with LGD, and if accompanied by increased CA 19-9, it might be necessary to urgently evaluate the lesion due to the possibility of progression to IC. Based on this finding, we need to find HGD as the optimal pathologic target for surgery to improve survival in low-surgical-risk patients, and IC could be assumed to be the optimal pathologic target for surgery in high-surgical-risk patients because of high morbidity and mortality associated with surgery.

Development, validation, and comparison of a nomogram based on radiologic findings for predicting malignancy in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas: An international multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Although we previously proposed a nomogram to predict malignancy in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) and validated it in an external cohort, its application is challenging without data on tumor markers. Moreover, existing nomograms have not been compared. This study aimed to develop a nomogram based on radiologic findings and to compare its performance with previously proposed American and Korean/Japanese nomograms.

METHODS

We recruited 3708 patients who underwent surgical resection at 31 tertiary institutions in eight countries, and patients with main pancreatic duct >10 mm were excluded. To construct the nomogram, 2606 patients were randomly allocated 1:1 into training and internal validation sets, and area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) was calculated using 10-fold cross validation by exhaustive search. This nomogram was then validated and compared to the American and Korean/Japanese nomograms using 1102 patients.

RESULTS

Among the 2606 patients, 90 had main-duct type, 900 had branch-duct type, and 1616 had mixed-type IPMN. Pathologic results revealed 1628 low-grade dysplasia, 476 high-grade dysplasia, and 502 invasive carcinoma. Location, cyst size, duct dilatation, and mural nodule were selected to construct the nomogram. AUC of this nomogram was higher than the American nomogram (0.691 vs 0.664, P = .014) and comparable with the Korean/Japanese nomogram (0.659 vs 0.653, P = .255).

CONCLUSIONS

A novel nomogram based on radiologic findings of IPMN is competitive for predicting risk of malignancy. This nomogram would be clinically helpful in circumstances where tumor markers are not available. The nomogram is freely available at http://statgen.snu.ac.kr/software/nomogramIPMN.

A Nomogram for Predicting Unplanned Intraoperative Hypothermia in Patients With Colorectal Cancer Undergoing Laparoscopic Colorectal Procedures

Unplanned intraoperative hypothermia is a complication that can lead to a variety of negative outcomes, such as cardiovascular events. We aimed to develop and validate an intraoperative hypothermia risk prediction nomogram for patients with colorectal cancer undergoing laparoscopic colorectal procedures. We conducted a prospective cohort study with 1,091 patients (ie, 765 in the training cohort, 326 in the validation cohort) from October 2020 to November 2021. We included six predictors in the nomogram model: body mass index, diabetes diagnosis, ambient temperature, ambient humidity, duration of surgery, and use of a forced-air warmer. The model performed well, and the area under the curve was 0.855. These results, together with an external validation value, mean that health care professionals can use the nomogram to calculate the intraoperative hypothermia risk for patients undergoing laparoscopic colorectal procedures and make clinical decisions based on the results.

Predictors of adverse events after endoscopic ultrasound-guided through-the-needle biopsy of pancreatic cysts: a recursive partitioning analysis

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS : Endoscopic ultrasound-guided through-the-needle biopsy (TTNB) of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) is associated with a non-negligible risk for adverse events (AEs). We aimed to identify the hierarchic interaction among independent predictors for TTNB-related AEs and to generate a prognostic model using recursive partitioning analysis (RPA). PATIENTS AND METHODS : Multicenter retrospective analysis of 506 patients with PCLs who underwent TTNB. RPA of predictors for AEs was performed and the model was validated by means of bootstrap resampling. RESULTS : Mean cysts size was 36.7 mm. Most common diagnoses were intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN, 45 %), serous cystadenoma (18.8 %), and mucinous cystadenoma (12.8 %). Fifty-eight (11.5 %) AEs were observed. At multivariate analysis, age (odds ratio [OR] 1.32, 1.09-2.14; p = 0.05), number of TTNB passes (OR from 2.17, 1.32-4.34 to OR 3.16, 2.03-6.34 with the increase of the number of passes), complete aspiration of the cyst (OR 0.56, 0.31-0.95; p = 0.02), and diagnosis of IPMN (OR 4.16, 2.27-7.69; p < 0.001) were found to be independent predictors of AEs, as confirmed by logistic regression and random forest analyses. RPA identified three risk classes: high-risk (IPMN sampled with multiple microforceps passes, 28 % AEs rate), low-risk (1.4 % AE rate, including patients < 64 years with other-than-IPMN diagnosis sampled with ≤ 2 microforceps passes and with complete aspiration of the cyst) and middle-risk class (6.1 % AEs rate, including the remaining patients). CONCLUSION : TTNB should be selectively used in the evaluation of patients with IPMN. The present model could be applied during patient selection as to optimize the benefit/risk of TTNB.

Multidimensional Immunophenotyping of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms Reveals Novel T Cell and Macrophage Signature

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) are the only radiographically identifiable precursor to pancreatic adenocarcinoma, yet little is known about how these lesions progress to cancer. Inflammation has been associated with dysplastic progression; however, the cause and composition of this inflammation remains poorly characterized. We sought to comprehensively profile immune cell infiltration using parallel spatial transcriptomic and flow cytometric techniques.

METHODS

Twelve patients with resected IPMN exhibiting both high-grade dysplasia (HGD) and low-grade dysplasia (LGD) were selected for spatial transcriptomics (NanoString GeoMx). Immune (CD45⁺), epithelial (PanCK⁺), and stromal (SMA⁺) compartments were analyzed separately using the GeoMx NGS Pipeline. An additional 11 patients resected for IPMN of varying degrees of dysplasia underwent immunophenotyping using flow cytometry (DURAClone IM).

RESULTS

Spatial transcriptomics revealed that T cells represent the dominant immune cell within IPMN stroma, which was confirmed by flow cytometry (56%). Spatial profiling found that the T-cell infiltrate was significantly higher in regions of LGD compared with HGD (62% vs. 50%, p = 0.038). Macrophages were the only other immune cell type with > 10% abundance, yet conversely, were generally more abundant in regions of HGD compared to LGD (19% vs. 11%, p = 0.058). Correspondingly, immune cells within regions of HGD demonstrated transcriptional upregulation of genes associated with macrophage activity including secretion (CXCL1) and phagocytosis (C1QA, C1S, C4B).

CONCLUSIONS

IPMN immune infiltrate is primarily composed of T cells and macrophages. Regions of HGD appear to be relatively deplete of T cells and show a trend toward macrophage enrichment compared with regions of LGD.

Online calculator for predicting the risk of malignancy in patients with pancreatic cystic neoplasms: A multicenter, retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Efficient and practical methods for predicting the risk of malignancy in patients with pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) are lacking.

AIM

To establish a nomogram-based online calculator for predicting the risk of malignancy in patients with PCNs.

METHODS

In this study, the clinicopathological data of target patients in three medical centers were analyzed. The independent sample t-test, Mann–Whitney U test or chi-squared test were used as appropriate for statistical analysis. After univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis, five independent factors were screened and incorporated to develop a calculator for predicting the risk of malignancy. Finally, the concordance index (C-index), calibration, area under the curve, decision curve analysis and clinical impact curves were used to evaluate the performance of the calculator.

RESULTS

Enhanced mural nodules [odds ratio (OR): 4.314; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.618–11.503, P = 0.003], tumor diameter ≥ 40 mm (OR: 3.514; 95%CI: 1.138–10.849, P = 0.029), main pancreatic duct dilatation (OR: 3.267; 95%CI: 1.230–8.678, P = 0.018), preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥ 2.288 (OR: 2.702; 95%CI: 1.008–7.244, P = 0.048], and preoperative serum CA19-9 concentration ≥ 34 U/mL (OR: 3.267; 95%CI: 1.274–13.007, P = 0.018) were independent risk factors for a high risk of malignancy in patients with PCNs. In the training cohort, the nomogram achieved a C-index of 0.824 for predicting the risk of malignancy. The predictive ability of the model was then validated in an external cohort (C-index: 0.893). Compared with the risk factors identified in the relevant guidelines, the current model showed better predictive performance and clinical utility.

CONCLUSION

The calculator demonstrates optimal predictive performance for identifying the risk of malignancy, potentially yielding a personalized method for patient selection and decision-making in clinical practice.

Peak density of immature nerve cells occurs with high-grade dysplasia in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

The development of neural structures within tumors is now considered vital for carcinogenesis. However, the time course of this development in human pre-invasive neoplasia has been incompletely described. Therefore, we performed a detailed analysis of nerves across the neoplastic spectrum in resected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) of the pancreas. Histology and multiplexed immunochemistry demonstrated that nerve density increased from low-grade (LG) to high-grade dysplasia (HG) but did not further increase once invasive IPMN (INV IPMN) was present. Higher nerve density correlated with increasing expression of nerve growth factor (NGF) by the tumor cells. Intra-tumoral nerves were immature and lacked markers of sympathetic, parasympathetic, and sensory lineages. Here, we show for the first time the presence of neural precursor cells (NPCs) within the stroma of pancreatic tumors. The density of these doublecortin (DCX)-positive NPCs increased from LG to HG, but not from HG to INV IPMN. We conclude that peak neural density of tumors is reached in high-grade dysplasia (often termed carcinoma in situ) rather than after invasion. These findings suggest that nerve-tumor interactions are important in IPMN progression and may serve as the basis for future mechanistic studies and novel therapeutic modalities. © 2022 The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.

Giant Pancreatic Myoepithelial Hamartoma in a Patient With Familial Insulin-Dependent Diabetes Mellitus

ABSTRACT

Pancreatic myoepithelial hamartoma is a rare, benign solid and cystic lesion of the pancreas. We present the first case of an adult with a giant myoepithelial hamartoma extending throughout the pancreas in a patient with diabetes in 4 immediate family members. The patient is a 46-year-old man presented with recurrent acute pancreatitis. Computed tomographic imaging showed that the head and body of the pancreas were replaced by a solid-cystic mass with focal calcification. Medical history includes insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) diagnosed at age 30. Endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration showed pancreatic acinar tissue and smooth muscle without evidence of malignancy. Total pancreatectomy was performed because of the diffuse nature of the cystic disease and preexisting IDDM. The histopathologic diagnosis was consistent with myoepithelial hamartoma. In addition, there was a family history of IDDM and hamartomatous cyst resection in the paternal grandmother. We report the first case of diffuse pancreatic myoepithelial hamartoma with near total replacement of the entire pancreatic parenchyma, and the first reported case associated with a family history of heritable IDDM. Improved knowledge of the genetics, development, and malignant potential of such rare diseases is critical to determine appropriate management for patients.

MRI-Based Pancreatic Atrophy Is Associated With Malignancy or Invasive Carcinoma in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm

Background

Abrupt change in the caliber of the main pancreatic duct (MPD) with distal pancreatic atrophy (PA) was considered as one of worrisome features in the International Association of Pancreatology guideline and American College of Gastroenterology guideline for the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). However, this feature was not included in other guidelines. Moreover, the association between PA alone and malignancy in IPMNs has not been fully evaluated. In the present study, we investigated the role of image-based PA in identifying malignant IPMNs or invasive carcinoma.

Methods

A total of 186 patients with IPMNs were included for analysis. The tumor size, location, MPD diameter, presence of a mural nodule (MN), and PA were evaluated using magnetic resonance imaging. Demographic information and serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels were also collected. IPMNs with high-grade dysplasia and associated invasive carcinoma were regarded as malignant IPMNs.

Results

PA was observed in 34 cases (18.3%). The occurrence of malignant IPMNs or invasive carcinoma in patients with PA were significantly higher than in those without PA (52.9% vs. 22.3%; 44.1% vs. 8.9%, all P < 0.01). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that PA was an independently associated factor for malignant IPMNs [odds ratio (OR) = 2.69, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07-6.78] or invasive carcinoma (OR = 7.78, 95%CI: 2.62-23.10) after modified with confounders. Subgroup analysis in MPD-involved IPMNs also indicated that PA was an independently associated factor for invasive carcinoma (OR = 9.72, 95%CI: 2.43-38.88). PA had a similar performance with MPD plus MN [the area under the curve (AUC) was both 0.71] in identifying malignancy. PA had a higher performance in identifying invasive carcinoma in MPD-involved IPMNs than MN (AUC = 0.71 vs. 0.65, P = 0.02).

Conclusion

Our data showed that imaging-based PA was associated with malignancy or invasive carcinoma regardless of abrupt change in the caliber of MPD in IPMNs. PA had an acceptable performance in identifying malignant IPMNs.

Development and external validation of a nomogram with inflammatory markers for predicting invasiveness of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of pancreas

ABSTRACT

Recent studies have reported that inflammatory markers, such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and advanced lung cancer inflammation index, are associated with invasiveness of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). This study aimed to develop and validate a new nomogram that includes inflammatory markers for predicting the invasiveness of IPMN.The data of 365 patients who underwent surgical resection for IPMN at 4 centers between 1995 and 2016 were retrospectively reviewed to develop a new nomogram. For external validation, a separate patient cohort was used. The predictive ability of the nomogram was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.The new nomogram was developed using the following variables which were identified as risk factors for invasive IPMN: body mass index, preoperative serum bilirubin level, carbohydrate antigen 19-9, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, advanced lung cancer inflammation index, main duct type, presence of solid portion, and tumor size. After external validation, the area under the curve value was 0.649 (95% CI: 0.578-0.720, P < .001).To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to predict and externally validate the invasiveness in IPMN using inflammatory markers. Further research is necessary to improve predictability of the model for selecting patients for surgical resection.

Updates in the Diagnosis of Intraductal Neoplasms of the Pancreas

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the deadliest types of cancer worldwide. There are many reasons for this dismal prognosis, including the advanced stage at the time of diagnosis and the lack of effective therapeutic approaches. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) represent detectable and treatable precursor lesions of PDAC. Our understanding of the pathology of IPMNs has evolved over the past few decades, and new advances in diagnostic tools have emerged. The new World Health Organization (WHO) classification scheme now recognizes the previously considered variants of IPMNs, such as intraductal oncocytic papillary neoplasms (IOPNs) and intraductal tubulopapillary neoplasms (ITPNs), as distinct neoplasms. New imaging and molecular diagnostic tests are being developed to recognize these PDAC precursor lesions better. Here, we review the advances in diagnostic tools for IPMNs, IOPNs, and ITPNs, emphasizing the new (5th edition, 2019) WHO classification for pathological diagnosis, molecular markers, new laboratory tests, and imaging tools.

Timeline of Development of Pancreatic Cancer and Implications for Successful Early Detection in High-Risk Individuals

BACKGROUND & AIMS

To successfully implement imaging-based pancreatic cancer (PC) surveillance, understanding the timeline and morphologic features of neoplastic progression is key. We aimed to investigate the progression to neoplasia from serial prediagnostic pancreatic imaging tests in high-risk individuals and identify factors associated with successful early detection.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined the development of pancreatic abnormalities in high-risk individuals who were diagnosed with PC or underwent pancreatic surgery, or both, in 16 international surveillance programs.

RESULTS

Of 2552 high-risk individuals under surveillance, 28 (1%) developed neoplastic progression to PC or high-grade dysplasia during a median follow-up of 29 months after baseline (interquartile range [IQR], 40 months). Of these, 13 of 28 (46%) presented with a new lesion (median size, 15 mm; range 7-57 mm), a median of 11 months (IQR, 8; range 3-17 months) after a prior examination, by which time 10 of 13 (77%) had progressed beyond the pancreas. The remaining 15 of 28 (54%) had neoplastic progression in a previously detected lesion (12 originally cystic, 2 indeterminate, 1 solid), and 11 (73%) had PC progressed beyond the pancreas. The 12 patients with cysts had been monitored for 21 months (IQR, 15 months) and had a median growth of 5 mm/y (IQR, 8 mm/y). Successful early detection (as high-grade dysplasia or PC confined to the pancreas) was associated with resection of cystic lesions (vs solid or indeterminate lesions (odds ratio, 5.388; 95% confidence interval, 1.525-19.029) and small lesions (odds ratio, 0.890/mm; 95% confidence interval 0.812-0.976/mm).

CONCLUSIONS

In nearly half of high-risk individuals developing high-grade dysplasia or PC, no prior lesions are detected by imaging, yet they present at an advanced stage. Progression can occur before the next scheduled annual examination. More sensitive diagnostic tools or a different management strategy for rapidly growing cysts are needed.

International external validation of a stratification tool to identify branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms at lowest risk of progression

Background

Identifying branch‐duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD‐IPMNs) at lowest risk of progression may allow for a reduced intensity of surveillance.

Objective

We aimed to externally validate the previously developed Dutch‐American Risk stratification Tool (DART‐1; https://rtools.mayo.edu/DART/), which identifies cysts at low risk of developing worrisome features (WFs) or high‐risk stigmata (HRS).

Methods

Three prospective cohorts of individuals under surveillance for BD‐IPMNs were combined, independent from the original development cohort. We assessed the performance (discrimination and calibration) of DART‐1, a multivariable Cox‐proportional logistic regression model with five predictors for the development of WFs or HRS.

Results

Of 832 individuals (mean age 77 years, SD 11.5) under surveillance for a median of 40 months (IQR 44), 163 (20%) developed WFs or HRS. DART‐1's discriminative ability (C‐statistic 0.68) was similar to that in the development cohort (0.64–0.72) and showed moderate calibration. DART‐1 adequately estimated the risk for patients in the middle risk quintile, and slightly underestimated it in the lowest quintiles. Their range of predicted versus observed 3‐year risk was 0%–0% versus 0%–3.7% for Q1; 0.3%–0.4% versus 3%–11% for Q2; and 2.6%–3% versus 2.4%–9.8% for Q3. The development of WFs or HRS was associated with pancreatic cancer (p < 0.001). Vice versa, in absence of WFs or HRS, the risk of malignancy was low (0.3%).

Conclusions

The performance of DART‐1 to predict the development of WFs or HRS in BD‐IPMN was validated in an external international cohort, with a discriminative ability equal as in the development cohort. Risk estimations were most accurate for patients with BD‐IPMNs in the middle risk quintile and slightly underestimated in the lowest quintiles.

Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: Have IAP Consensus Guidelines Changed our Approach?: Results from a Multi-institutional Study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the influence of consensus guidelines on the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) and the subsequent changes in pathologic outcomes.

BACKGROUND

Over time, multiple guidelines have been developed to identify high-risk IPMN. We hypothesized that the development and implementation of guidelines should have increased the percentage of resected IPMN with high-risk disease.

METHODS

Memorial Sloan-Kettering (MSK), Johns Hopkins (JH), and Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) databases were queried for resected IPMN (2000-2015). Patients were categorized into main-duct (MD-IPMN) versus branch-duct (BD-IPMN). Guideline-specific radiographic/endoscopic features were recorded. High-risk disease was defined as high-grade dysplasia/carcinoma. Fisher's exact test was used to detect differences between institutions. Logistic regression evaluated differences between time-points [preguidelines (pre-GL, before 2006), Sendai (SCG, 2006-2012), Fukuoka (FCG, after 2012)].

RESULTS

The study included 1210 patients. The percentage of BD-IPMN with ≥1 high-risk radiographic feature differed between centers (MSK 69%, JH 60%, MGH 45%; P < 0.001). In MD-IPMN cohort, the presence of radiographic features such as solid component and main pancreatic duct diameter ≥10 mm also differed (solid component: MSK 38%, JH 30%, MGH 18%; P < 0.001; duct ≥10 mm: MSK 49%, JH 32%, MGH 44%; P < 0.001). The percentage of high-risk disease on pathology, however, was similar between institutions (BD-IPMN: P = 0.36, MD-IPMN: P = 0.48). During the study period, the percentage of BD-IPMN resected with ≥1 high-risk feature increased (52% pre-GL vs 67% FCG; P = 0.005), whereas the percentage of high-risk disease decreased (pre-GL vs FCG: 30% vs 20%). For MD-IPMN, there was not a clear trend towards guideline adherence, and the rate of high-risk disease was similar over the time (pre-GL vs FCG: 69% vs 67%; P = 0.63).

CONCLUSION

Surgical management of IPMN based on radiographic criteria is variable between institutions, with similar percentages of high-risk disease. Over the 15-year study period, the rate of BD-IPMN resected with high-risk radiographic features increased; however, the rate of high-risk disease decreased. Better predictors are needed.

Multi-institutional Validation Study of Cyst Fluid Protein Biomarkers in Patients With Cystic Lesions of the Pancreas

OBJECTIVE

Prospective evaluation of 2 clinical-molecular models in patients with unknown pathology who underwent endoscopic ultrasound with fine-needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) for a cystic lesion of the pancreas.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Preoperative prediction of histologic subtype (mucinous vs nonmucinous) and grade of dysplasia in patients with pancreatic cystic neoplasms is challenging. Our group has previously published 2 clinical-molecular nomograms for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) that incorporated both clinical/radiographic features and cyst fluid protein markers (sFASL, CA72-4, MMP9, IL-4).

METHODS

This multiinstitutional study enrolled patients who underwent EUS-FNA for a cystic lesion of the pancreas. Treatment recommendations regarding resection were based on standard clinical, radiographic, and endoscopic features. Predicted probabilities of high-risk IPMN (high-grade dysplasia/invasive cancer) were calculated using the previously developed clinical-molecular nomograms.

RESULTS

Cyst fluid was obtained from 100 patients who underwent diagnostic EUS-FNA. Within this group there were 35 patients who underwent resection, and 65 were monitored radiographically. Within the group that underwent resection, 26 had low-risk IPMN or benign non-IPMN lesions, and 9 had high-risk IPMN. Within the surveillance group, no patient progressed to resection or developed cancer after a median follow-up of 12 months (range: 0.5-38). Using the clinical/radiographic nomogram alone, 2 out of 9 patients with high-risk IPMN had a predicted probability >0.5. In the clinical-molecular models, 6 of 9 patients in model 1, and 6 of 9 in model 2, had scores >0.5.

CONCLUSIONS

This prospective study of patients with unknown cyst pathology further demonstrates the importance of cyst fluid protein analysis in the preoperative identification of patients with high-risk IPMN. Longer follow-up is necessary to determine if this model will be useful in clinical practice.

State-of-the-art surgical treatment of IPMNs

Background

A “pandemic” of incidentally discovered pancreatic cyst neoplasms (PCNs) is ongoing. Among PCNs, intraductal papillary mucinous cystic neoplasms (IPMNs) are the most common and with their complex biology could represent a precursor lesion of pancreatic cancer. Although multiple guidelines exist to guide their treatment, there are still many “gray areas” on indications for surgery for IPMNs.

Methods

The current indications for surgery of IPMNs were reappraised, considering potential discrepancies between available evidence and guidelines policies. The practice at a high-volume center for the diagnosis and treatment of PCN was presented and discussed.

Results

Most IPMNs do not and will never require surgery, as they won’t progress to malignancy. The current literature is solid in identifying high-grade dysplasia (HGD) as the right and timely target for IPMN resection, but how to precisely assess its presence remains controversial and guidelines lack of accuracy in this regard. Multiple tumorigenic pathways of progression of IPMNs exist, and their knowledge will likely lead to more accurate tests for malignancy prediction in the future.

Conclusions

The surgical management of IPMNs still is a matter of debate. Indication for resection should be considered only in highly selected cases with the ideal target of HGD. Clinicians should critically interpret the guidelines’ indications, refer to a multidisciplinary team discussion, and always consider the outcome of an adequate counselling with the patient.

Computed tomography nomogram to predict a high-risk intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas

OBJECTIVE

The intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas is regarded as a precursor to pancreatic cancer; this study aimed to develop and validate a model based on CT characteristics for the non-invasive prediction of the high-risk IPMN of the pancreas.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this retrospective study, all patients underwent multidetector CT and surgical resection. A prediction model was developed based on a training set consisting of 136 patients with low-risk IPMN and 85 patients with high-risk IPMN between October 2012 and April 2019, and a multivariable logistic regression model was adopted to establish a nomogram. The nomogram performance was determined by its discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness. The model was validated in 80 consecutive patients between May 2019 and April 2020, of which 47 and 33 patients had low-risk and high-risk IPMNs, respectively.

RESULTS

The multivariable logistic regression model of CT characteristics included the enhancing mural nodule size, the main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter, the abrupt change in caliber of the MPD with distal pancreatic atrophy, cyst size, thickened enhancing cyst wall, and the presence of lymphadenopathy. The individualized prediction nomogram using these predictors of the high-risk IPMN achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.92 (95% CI 0.88-0.95) in the training set and 0.87 (95% CI 0.79-0.95) in the validation set. The decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful.

CONCLUSION

The CT nomogram, which is a non-invasive predictive tool, can preoperatively predict the risk of malignant IPMN and help identify patients who require a surgical procedure.

Clinical suspicion of pancreatic cancer despite negative endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration biopsy

BACKGROUND

The early and accurate diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is vital for improving the efficacy of therapeutic interventions and to provide patients with the best chance of survival. While endoscopic ultrasound-fine needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) has been demonstrated to be a reliable and accurate diagnostic tool for solid pancreatic neoplasms, the ongoing management of patients with a high clinical suspicion for malignancy but with a negative EUS-FNA biopsy result can prove a challenge.

METHODS

We describe five patients from a single centre who presented for further work-up of a pancreatic mass and/or imaging features concerning for a periampullary malignancy.

RESULTS

All patients had at least one EUS-FNA biopsy performed which returned no malignant cells on cytology. Despite these negative cytology results, all patients underwent further invasive investigation through upfront resection (pancreaticoduodenectomy) or extra-pancreatic biopsy (laparoscopic biopsy of peritoneal nodule) due to worrisome features on imaging, biochemical factors and clinical presentation culminating in a high degree of suspicion for malignancy. The final tissue histopathological diagnosis in all patients was pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

CONCLUSION

This case series highlights the important clinical findings, imaging and biochemical features which need to be considered in patients who have high suspicion for malignancy despite having a negative EUS-FNA cytology result. In these patients with a high index of suspicion, surgical intervention through an upfront resection or further invasive investigation should not be delayed.

The diagnostic and prognostic values of inflammatory markers in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is an broad-spectrum disease from benign to malignant. Inflammatory markers are known as prognostic predictors in various diseases. The purpose of this study was to determine the predictive value of inflammatory markers for prognosis in IPMN.

METHODS

From April 1995 to December 2016, patients who underwent pancreatectomy with pathologically confirmed IPMN at four tertiary centers were enrolled. Patients with a history of pancreatitis or cholangitis, and other malignancies were excluded. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) were calculated.

RESULTS

Of all, ninety-eight patients (26.8%) were diagnosed as invasive IPMN. The NLR and PLR were significantly elevated in invasive IPMN than in non-invasive disease (2.0 vs 1.8, p = 0.004; 117.1 vs 107.4, p = 0.009, respectively). ALI was significantly higher in non-invasive IPMN than in invasive disease (58.1 vs 45.9, p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, only NLR showed significant association among the inflammatory markers studied (p = 0.044). In invasive IPMN, the five-year recurrence-free survival rate for NLR less than 3.5 was superior to the rest (59.1 vs 42.2, p = 0.023).

CONCLUSION

NLR may help to rightly select IPMN patients who will require surgery and may serve as a useful prognostic factor.

Imaging Features for Predicting High-Grade Dysplasia or Malignancy in Branch Duct Type Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The consensus guidelines for branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (BD-IPMN) of the pancreas are mostly based on imaging features. This study aimed to determine imaging features and their diagnostic accuracy for predicting high-grade dysplasia (HGD)/malignancy in BD-IPMN, including mixed type.

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched, and data were extracted from relevant studies. As the main diagnostic accuracy index, diagnostic odds ratios (DORs) of imaging features for diagnosing HGD/malignancy in BD-IPMNs were pooled using the random-effects model. A bivariate random-effects approach was used to construct summary receiver operating characteristic curves for sensitivity and specificity estimation.

RESULTS

The pooled DOR was the highest for the enhanced solid component/mural nodule (MN) (DOR, 12.21; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 6.14-24.27), followed by a main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter of 10 mm or greater (DOR, 7.93; 95 % CI, 3.02-20.83), solid component (DOR, 4.85; 95 % CI, 2.49-9.42), lymphadenopathy (DOR, 4.84; 95 % CI, 1.11-21.06), MN (DOR, 4.48; 95 % CI, 3.15-6.39), an MPD diameter of 5 mm or greater (DOR, 3.69; 95 % CI, 2.62-5.19), abrupt change in MPD caliber with distal pancreatic atrophy (DOR, 2.65; 95 % CI, 1.66-4.24), thickened/enhancing walls (DOR, 2.38; 95 % CI, 1.57-3.60), and cyst size of 3 cm or larger (DOR, 1.98; 95 % CI, 1.48-2.64). The largest area under the curve (0.89 and 0.95, respectively) and high specificity (0.95 and 0.98, respectively) also were found for enhanced solid component/MN and an MPD diameter of 10 mm or greater, albeit with low sensitivity (0.38 and 0.14, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The aforementioned imaging features could aid in predicting HGD/malignancy of BD-IPMN. Furthermore, enhanced solid component/MN and an MPD diameter of 10 mm or greater were the most important predictors of HGD/malignancy in BD-IPMN and should be considered as indications for surgery.

Risk of the Watch-and-Wait Concept in Surgical Treatment of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm

Importance

The natural history of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) remains uncertain. The inconsistencies among published guidelines preclude accurate decision-making. The outcomes and potential risks of a conservative watch-and-wait approach vs a surgical approach must be compared.

Objective

To provide an overview of the surgical management of IPMNs, focusing on the time of resection.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study was conducted in a single referral center; all patients with pathologically proven IPMN who received a pancreatic resection at the institution between October 2001 and December 2019 were analyzed. Preoperatively obtained images and the medical history were scrutinized for signs of progression and/or malignant features. The timeliness of resection was stratified into too early (adenoma and low-grade dysplasia), timely (intermediate-grade dysplasia and in situ carcinoma), and too late (invasive cancer). The perioperative characteristics and outcomes were compared between these groups.

Exposures

Timeliness of resection according to the final pathological findings.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The risk of malignant transformation at the final pathology.

Results

Of 1439 patients, 438 (30.4%) were assigned to the too early group, 504 (35.1%) to the timely group, and 497 (34.5%) to the too late group. Radiological criteria for malignant conditions were detected in 53 of 382 patients (13.9%), 149 of 432 patients (34.5%), and 341 of 385 patients (88.6%) in the too early, timely, and too late groups, respectively (P < .001). Patients in the too early group underwent more parenchyma-sparing resections (too early group, 123 of 438 [28.1%]; timely group, 40 of 504 [7.9%]; too late group, 5 of 497 [1.0%]; P < .001), while morbidity (too early group, 112 of 438 [25.6%]; timely group, 117 of 504 [23.2%]; too late group, 158 of 497 [31.8%]; P = .002) and mortality (too early group, 4 patients [0.9%]; timely, 4 [0.8%]; too late, 13 [2.6%]; P = .03) were highest in the too late group. Of the 497 patients in the too late group, 124 (24.9%) had a previous history of watch-and-wait care.

Conclusions and Relevance

Until the biology and progression patterns of IPMN are clarified and accurate guidelines established, a watch-and-wait policy should be applied with caution, especially in IPMN bearing a main-duct component. One-third of IPMNs reach the cancer stage before resection. At specialized referral centers, the risks of surgical morbidity and mortality are justifiable.

A prediction model for postoperative urinary retention after thoracic surgery

Background

Urinary retention remains a frequent postoperative complication, associated with patient discomfort and delayed discharge following general thoracic surgery (GTS). We aimed to develop and prospectively validate a predictive model of postoperative urinary retention (POUR) among GTS patients.

Methods

We retrospectively developed a predictive model using data from the Society of Thoracic Surgeons GTS Database at our institution. The patient study cohort included adults undergoing elective in-patient surgical procedures without a history of renal failure or Foley catheter on entry to the recovery suite (August 2013 to March 2017). Multivariable logistic regression models identified factors associated with urinary retention, and a nomogram to aid medical decision making was developed. The predictive model was validated in a cohort of GTS patients between April 2017 and November 2018 using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis.

Results

The predictive model was developed from 1484 GTS patients, 284 of whom (19%) experienced postoperative urinary retention within 24 hours of the operation. Risk factors for POUR included older age, male sex, higher preoperative creatinine, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, primary diagnosis, primary procedure, and use of postoperative patient-controlled analgesia. A logistic nomogram for estimating the risk of POUR was created and validated in 646 patients, 65 of whom (10%) had urinary retention. The ROC curves of development and validation models had similar favorable c-statistics (0.77 vs 0.72; P > .05).

Conclusions

Postoperative urinary retention occurs in nearly 20% of patients undergoing major GTS. Using a validated predictive model may help by targeting certain patients with prophylactic measures to prevent this complication.

High-Risk Characteristics Associated with Advanced Pancreatic Cystic Lesions: Results from a Retrospective Surgical Cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The management of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) remains controversial. We performed a retrospective study to determine characteristics associated with advanced PCLs (A-PCLs) and whether these characteristics vary in different pathological types of PCLs. The additional diagnostic value of endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) was also evaluated.

METHODS

Patients who underwent surgical resection for an identified PCLs by imaging modalities were included. A logistic regression model was developed to identify significant characteristics for A-PCLs. EUS data was assessed separately.

RESULTS

Three hundred and fifty-three patients were included, and 125 patients (35.4%) were A-PCLs. The presence of main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter ≥ 10 mm (odds ratio [OR], 11.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.53-89.2; P = 0.018), mural nodules ≥ 5 mm (OR, 11.67; 95% CI, 2.3-59.05; P = 0.003), solid components within cysts (OR, 30.87; 95% CI, 7.23-131.7; P < 0.0001) and high serum CA19-9 levels (OR, 1.006; 95% CI, 1.001-1.011; P = 0.02) were independently associated with the presence of A-PCLs. The presence of septa was independently associated with the presence of non-A-PCLs (OR, 0.147; 95% CI, 0.04-0.6; P = 0.008). Males who had a history of tobacco abuse (P < 0.0001) and had a greatly dilated MPD (P < 0.0001) were more common in advanced intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMC) patients. Solid pseudopapillary neoplasm (SPT) often occurred in young women (P < 0.0001), mostly asymptomatically (P < 0.0001) and with lower serum CA19-9 levels (P < 0.0001). In the 124 patients who underwent EUS-guided fine-needle aspiration (EUS-FNA), five additional characteristics (4 mural nodules and 1 MPD involvement) were identified by EUS imaging and 17 patients were identified with abnormal cytological results (13 atypical cells and 4 suspicious for malignancy cells) by EUS-FNA.

CONCLUSION

On the basis of a retrospective study with large sample size, the presence of MPD ≥ 10 mm, mural nodules, solid components, and high serum CA19-9 levels were independently associated with the presence of A-PCLs. The high-risk characteristics may vary across different types of A-PCLs. EUS and EUS-FNA could provide additional diagnostic information for PCLs.

Pathology of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) represent a unique opportunity to treat and prevent a curable neoplasm before it has the chance to progress to incurable cancer. This prospect, however, has to be balanced with the real risk of over treating patients with lesions that would, in fact, never progress during the life of the patient.

PURPOSE

Informed clinical decisions in the treatment of IPMNs are first and foremost based on a deep understanding of the pathology of these lesions.

CONCLUSIONS

Here we review the pathology of IPMNs, with an emphasis on the clinical relevance of the important features that characterize these lesions.