Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: predictors of malignant and invasive pathology

Surveillance of subcentimeter side-branch intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: risk of invasive disease and follow-up recommendations

BACKGROUND

Side-branch intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (SB-IPMNs) are increasingly recognized with the increasing use of high-fidelity cross-sectional imaging, particularly subcentimeter (<1 cm) lesions. Data regarding the risk of progression in subcentimeter cysts are absent. This study aimed to define the risk associated with subcentimeter SB-IPMNs and to propose a surveillance strategy based on this cohort.

METHODS

A prospectively maintained database was queried for patients with SB-IPMN who underwent nonoperative surveillance with ≥2 cross-sectional imaging studies performed >6 months apart. Clinically relevant (CR) progression has been previously defined as the development of symptoms, worrisome/high-risk stigmata, or invasive cancer (IC). Growth of ≥5 mm in 2 years is considered CR progression, whereas size of ≥3 cm alone is not.

RESULTS

A total of 1000 patients were included in the study, of whom 291 (29.1%) had SB-IPMN of <1 cm. The median follow-up times from diagnosis were 7.1 years (IQR, 3.2-10.4) in subcentimeter cysts and 6.4 years (IQR, 2.8-10.0) in cysts of ≥1 cm (P =.090). CR progression was less common in the subcentimeter cyst group than in the larger cyst group (7.2% vs 19.0%, respectively; log-rank P <.001). Cysts that progressed did so at similar time intervals (median: 3.7 years in the subcentimeter cyst group vs 3.3 years in the larger cyst group; P =.707). The subcentimeter cyst group developed IC (1.4% in the subcentimeter cyst group vs 1.8% in the larger cyst group; log-rank; P =.608) and high-risk pathology (high-grade dysplasia [HGD]/IC) at a similar rate as the larger cyst group (P =.198). Of 547 patients with cysts that were initially stable for 5 years of surveillance, 25 (4.7%) developed high-risk pathology. This was not different by initial cyst size (log-rank P =.116). Spline curves demonstrated consistently low risk of HGD/IC across increasing cyst size despite a higher rate of CR progression. The CR progression criteria best discriminated high-risk pathology in subcentimeter cysts. The rate of size growth did not correlate with high-risk pathology (hazards ratio, 1.14; 95% CI, 0.88-1.50).

CONCLUSION

Subcentimeter SB-IPMNs develop malignant potential as frequently as their larger counterparts and do so at similar time courses. Often incidental, subcentimeter-presumed SB-IPMNs are diagnosed at arbitrary points in the disease course and require similar surveillance duration as their larger counterparts. The rate of growth is not predictive of high-risk pathology. These cysts do not develop CR progression as frequently. However, such features better discriminate high-risk pathology in subcentimeter cysts, making the development of such features more concerning when they occur.

Risk of pancreatic cancer and high-grade dysplasia in resected main-duct and mixed-type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: A prevalence meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines recommend the resection of main duct- (MD) and mixed-type (MT) intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) based on specific risk criteria to prevent or treat pancreatic cancer in selected patients. This paradigm follows high rates of malignancy observed in published surgical series. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to provide robust, pooled rates of invasive carcinoma (IC) and high-grade dysplasia (HGD) in resected MD- and MT-IPMNs of the pancreas.

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane CENTRAL databases were systematically searched. Studies that reported rates of IC or HGD, diagnosed by histopathology of surgical specimens, in MD- or MT-IPMNs were included. Pooled prevalence with 95 % confidence interval (95 % CI) was calculated using a random effects model. Galbraith plots were used to evaluate heterogeneity. Risk of bias was assessed using the National Institutes of Health Quality Assessment Tool.

RESULTS

Based on 51 studies, 59 % (95 % CI: 54 %, 64 %) of resected MD- and MT-IPMN had IC or HGD, with IC in up to 39 % (95 % CI: 33 %, 44 %) of lesions and HGD in 20 % (95 % CI: 16 %, 25 %). Most studies were deemed to be of good quality and Galbraith plots demonstrated high concordance.

CONCLUSIONS

These results confirm the rates of IC and HGD in resected MD/MT-IPMNs. However, a significant proportion of patients have benign lesions, and future research is needed to develop precise diagnostics to distinguish between patients with and without high-risk or cancerous disease.

An Overview for Clinicians on Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (IPMNs) of the Pancreas

Currently, there is no reliable method of discerning between low-risk and high-risk intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). Operative resection is utilized in an effort to resect those lesions with high-grade dysplasia (HGD) prior to the development of invasive disease. The current guidelines recommend resection for IPMN that involve the main pancreatic duct. Resecting lesions with HGD before their progression to invasive disease and the avoidance of resection in those patients with low-grade dysplasia is the optimal clinical scenario. Therefore, the importance of developing preoperative models able to discern HGD in IPMN patients cannot be overstated. Low-risk patients should be managed with nonsurgical treatment options (typically MRI surveillance), while high-risk patients would undergo resection, hopefully prior to the formation of invasive disease. Current research is evolving in multiple directions. First, there is an ongoing effort to identify reliable markers for predicting malignant transformation of IPMN, mainly focusing on genomic and transcriptomic data from blood, tissue, and cystic fluid. Also, multimodal models of combining biomarkers with clinical and radiographic data seem promising for providing robust and accurate answers of risk levels for IPMN patients.

Main pancreatic duct involved IPMN without high-risk factors: how to judge the degree of malignancy based on MPD dilation?

The aim of this study was to evaluate the cutoff value for identifying malignance in main pancreatic duct (MPD)-involved intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) with an MPD diameter ranging from 5 to 10 mm. Clinical-radiological characteristics of 142 patients, including MPD-involved IPMNs (n = 53) and branch-duct (BD)-IPMNs (n = 89) were analyzed. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the risk factors of malignant IPMNs and invasive carcinoma. ROC curves were used to identify different cutoffs in terms of preoperative MPD values to predict the presence of invasive carcinoma as well as malignant IPMNs, and the prediction performance was evaluated. For MPD-involved IPMNs (5 mm < MPD < 10 mm), MPD diameter of 7.5 mm for discriminating malignant IPMNs (area under curve [AUC] = 0.67) and 7.7 mm for discriminating invasive IPMNs (AUC = 0.56) were found to be the optimal cutoff values at receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis. MPD > 7.5 mm and carbohydrate antigen19-9 (Ca19-9) > 37 U/ml were found to be predictors of malignant IPMNs at univariate, and MPD > 7.5 mm was a predictor in multivariate analysis in MPD-involved IPMNs. The AUC of the ROC curve of MPD (7.5 mm) combined with Ca19-9 in identifying malignant IPMNs was 0.73 in MPD-involved IPMNs. MPD (7.5 mm) combined with Ca19-9 performed well in identifying malignant IPMNs in MPD-involved IPMNs.

Diagnosis and Management of Pancreatic Cysts

As pancreatic cyst incidence rises, likely due to the ubiquitous increase in cross-sectional imaging, their management presents multiple challenges for both the practitioner and patient. It is critical that all pancreatic cysts are appropriately characterized, as treatment decisions depend on an accurate diagnosis. Diagnostic modalities such as cytology, biopsy, and cyst fluid biomarkers allow for definitive diagnosis of virtually all lesions. Some cysts, such as intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms, mucinous cystic neoplasms, and cystic pancreatic endocrine neoplasms, have malignant potential and must be surveyed. Other cysts, such as serous cystadenomas and pancreatic fluid collections, do not have malignant potential. Surveillance strategies vary widely depending on cyst type and size and while multiple medical societies advocate surveillance, their published surveillance guidelines are heterogenous. Cysts with high-risk stigmata or worrisome features are usually resected, depending on the patient's surgical fitness. In patients unfit for resection, newer endoscopic ablative techniques are advocated. Controversial aspects regarding cyst management include whether surveillance can be stopped, how surveillance should be performed, and the extensive financial burden cyst management places on the health care system. Further study into the natural history of cystic lesions, including definitive determination of the rate of malignant transformation for each cyst type, is essential.

Racial disparities in rates of invasiveness of resected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms in the United States

BACKGROUND

Racial and ethnic disparities have been observed in the multidisciplinary management of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm is the most common identifiable precursor to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, where early surgical intervention before the development of an invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm improves survival. The association of race/ethnicity with the risk of identifying invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms during resection has not been previously defined.

METHODS

The American College of Surgeons National Quality Improvement Program targeted pancreatectomy database (2014-2021) was queried for patients with race/ethnicity data who underwent resection of an intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm. Backward Wald logistic regression modeling (P ≤ 0.05 for entry; P > .10 for removal) was used to identify independent predictors of invasion.

RESULTS

A total of 4,505 cases of resected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms were identified, with 923 (20.5%) demonstrating invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms. The cohort of individuals other than non-Hispanic Whites were significantly more likely to have invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (White, 19.9%; Black, 24.2%; Asian, 23.7%; Hispanic, 22.6%; P = .026). Such disparity could not be explained by greater comorbidity, as non-White patients were significantly younger (age <65 years: 41.7% vs 33.2%, P < .001) and had better physical status (American Society of Anesthesiologists score ≤2: 28.8% vs 25.2%, P = .053). After controlling for clinicodemographic variables, being an individual of race/ethnicity other than White was independently associated with higher odds of invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (odds ratio, 1.280; 95% confidence interval, 1.046-1.566; P = .017). No differences in postoperative morbidity were observed.

CONCLUSION

In a national cohort of patients with resected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms, individuals who identified as being of race/ethnicity other than White were significantly more likely to have invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms during surgical resection.

The Role of Intraoperative Pancreatoscopy in the Surgical Management of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: A Scoping Review

OBJECTIVES

Most patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are diagnosed with a solitary lesion; however, the presence of skip lesions, not appreciable on imaging, has been described. Postoperatively, these missed lesions can continue to grow and potentially become cancerous. Intraoperative pancreatoscopy (IOP) may facilitate detection of such skip lesions in the remnant gland. The aim of this scoping review was to appraise the evidence on the role of IOP in the surgical management of IPMNs.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Studies reporting on the use of IOP during IPMN surgery were identified through searches of the PubMed, Embase, and Scopus databases. Data extracted included IOP findings, surgical plan modifications, and patient outcomes. The primary outcome of interest was the utility of IOP in surgical decision making.

RESULTS

Ten studies reporting on the use of IOP for IPMNs were identified, representing 147 patients. A total of 46 skip lesions were identified by IOP. Overall, surgical plans were altered in 37% of patients who underwent IOP. No IOP-related complications were reported.

CONCLUSIONS

The current literature suggests a potential role of integration of IOP into the management of patients with IPMNs. This tool is safe and feasible and can result in changes in surgical decision making.

Towards a Simplified and Cost-Effective Diagnostic Algorithm for the Surveillance of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (IPMNs): Can We Save Contrast for Later?

The increased detection of pancreatic cysts in recent years has triggered extensive diagnostic investigations to clarify their potential risk of malignancy, resulting in a large number of patients undergoing numerous imaging follow-up studies for many years. Therefore, there is a growing need for optimization of the current surveillance protocol to reduce both healthcare costs and waiting lists, while still maintaining appropriate sensibility and specificity. Imaging is an essential tool for evaluating patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) since it can assess several predictors for malignancy and thus guide further management recommendations. Although contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) has been widely recommended by most international guidelines, recent results support the use of unenhanced abbreviated-MRI (A-MRI) protocols as a surveillance tool in patients with IPMN. In fact, A-MRI has shown high diagnostic performance in malignant detection, with high sensitivity and specificity as well as excellent interobserver agreement. The aim of this paper is, therefore, to discuss the current available evidence on whether the implementation of an abbreviated-MRI (A-MRI) protocol for cystic pancreatic lesion surveillance could improve healthcare economics and reduce waiting lists in clinical practice without significantly reducing diagnostic accuracy.

Enhancing Mural Nodules in the Main Pancreatic Duct of Main and Mixed Types of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: Does Size Matter in Malignancy Risk?

Background/Aims

Most guidelines recommend surgical resection of all main duct (MD) and mixed-type (MT) intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) in suitable patients. However, there is little evidence regarding the malignancy risk of enhancing mural nodules (EMNs) that are present only in the main pancreatic duct (MPD) in patients with MD- and MT-IPMNs. Therefore, this study aimed to identify the clinical and morphological features associated with malignancy in MD- and MT-IPMNs with EMNs only in the MPD.

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled 50 patients with MD- and MT-IPMNs with EMNs only in the MPD on contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging. We evaluated the clinical characteristics and preoperative radiologic imaging results of MPD morphology and EMN size and analyzed the risk factors associated with malignancy.

Results

Histological findings of EMNs were low-grade dysplasia (38%), malignant lesions (62%), high-grade dysplasia (34%), and invasive carcinoma (28%). On the receiver operating characteristic curve, the cutoff value of EMN size on magnetic resonance imaging for best predicting malignancy was 5 mm (sensitivity, 93.5%; specificity, 52.6%; area under the curve, 0.753). Multivariate analysis showed that only EMN >5 mm (odds ratio, 27.69; confidence interval, 2.75 to 278.73; p=0.050) was an independent risk factor for malignancy.

Conclusions

EMNs of >5 mm are associated with malignancy in patients with MD- and MT-IPMNs with EMNs that are present only in the MPD, in accordance with the international consensus guidelines.

Role of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma risk factors in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm progression

Introduction

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is lethal due to its late diagnosis and lack of successful treatments. A possible strategy to reduce its death burden is prevention. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are precursors of PDAC. It is difficult to estimate the incidence of IPMNs because they are asymptomatic. Two recent studies reported pancreatic cysts in 3% and 13% of scanned subjects. The possibility of identifying a subgroup of IPMN patients with a higher probability of progression into cancer could be instrumental in increasing the survival rate. In this study, genetic and non-genetic PDAC risk factors were tested in a group of IPMN patients under surveillance.

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted on 354 IPMN patients enrolled in two Italian centres with an average follow-up of 64 months. With the use of DNA extracted from blood, collected at IPMN diagnosis, all patients were genotyped for 30 known PDAC risk loci. The polymorphisms were analysed individually and grouped in an unweighted polygenic score (PGS) in relation to IPMN progression. The ABO blood group and non-genetic PDAC risk factors were also analysed. IPMN progression was defined based on the development of worrisome features and/or high-risk stigmata during follow-up.

Results

Two genetic variants (rs1517037 and rs10094872) showed suggestive associations with an increment of IPMN progression. After correction for multiple testing, using the Bonferroni correction, none of the variants showed a statistically significant association. However, associations were observed for the non-genetic variables, such as smoking status, comparing heavy smokers with light smokers (HR = 3.81, 95% 1.43-10.09, p = 0.007), and obesity (HR = 2.46, 95% CI 1.22-4.95, p = 0.012).

Conclusion

In conclusion, this study is the first attempt to investigate the presence of shared genetic background between PDAC risk and IPMN progression; however, the results suggest that the 30 established PDAC susceptibility polymorphisms are not associated with clinical IPMN progression in a sample of 354 patients. However, we observed indications of cigarette smoking and body mass index (BMI) involvement in IPMN progression. The biological mechanism that could link these two risk factors to progression could be chronic inflammation, of which both smoking and obesity are strong promoters.

Synchronous manifestation of colorectal cancer and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

High rates of extrapancreatic malignancies, in particular colorectal cancer (CRC), have been detected in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). So far, there is no distinct explanation in the literature for the development of secondary or synchronous malignancies in patients with IPMN. In the past few years, some data related to common genetic alterations in IPMN and other affiliated cancers have been published. This review elucidated the association between IPMN and CRC, shedding light on the most relevant genetic alterations that may explain the possible relationship between these entities. In keeping with our findings, we suggested that once the diagnosis of IPMN is made, special consideration of CRC should be undertaken. Presently, there are no specific guidelines regarding colorectal screening programs for patients with IPMN. We recommend that patients with IPMNs are at high-risk for CRC, and a more rigorous colorectal surveillance program should be implemented.

Predictors of adverse events after endoscopic ultrasound-guided through-the-needle biopsy of pancreatic cysts: a recursive partitioning analysis

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS : Endoscopic ultrasound-guided through-the-needle biopsy (TTNB) of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) is associated with a non-negligible risk for adverse events (AEs). We aimed to identify the hierarchic interaction among independent predictors for TTNB-related AEs and to generate a prognostic model using recursive partitioning analysis (RPA). PATIENTS AND METHODS : Multicenter retrospective analysis of 506 patients with PCLs who underwent TTNB. RPA of predictors for AEs was performed and the model was validated by means of bootstrap resampling. RESULTS : Mean cysts size was 36.7 mm. Most common diagnoses were intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN, 45 %), serous cystadenoma (18.8 %), and mucinous cystadenoma (12.8 %). Fifty-eight (11.5 %) AEs were observed. At multivariate analysis, age (odds ratio [OR] 1.32, 1.09-2.14; p = 0.05), number of TTNB passes (OR from 2.17, 1.32-4.34 to OR 3.16, 2.03-6.34 with the increase of the number of passes), complete aspiration of the cyst (OR 0.56, 0.31-0.95; p = 0.02), and diagnosis of IPMN (OR 4.16, 2.27-7.69; p < 0.001) were found to be independent predictors of AEs, as confirmed by logistic regression and random forest analyses. RPA identified three risk classes: high-risk (IPMN sampled with multiple microforceps passes, 28 % AEs rate), low-risk (1.4 % AE rate, including patients < 64 years with other-than-IPMN diagnosis sampled with ≤ 2 microforceps passes and with complete aspiration of the cyst) and middle-risk class (6.1 % AEs rate, including the remaining patients). CONCLUSION : TTNB should be selectively used in the evaluation of patients with IPMN. The present model could be applied during patient selection as to optimize the benefit/risk of TTNB.

Standardization of MRI Screening and Reporting in Individuals With Elevated Risk of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: Consensus Statement of the PRECEDE Consortium

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the most aggressive malignancies, with a dismal survival rate. Screening the general population for early detection of PDAC is not recommended, but because early detection improves survival, high-risk individuals, defined as those meeting criteria based on a family history of PDAC and/or the presence of known pathogenic germline variant genes with PDAC risk, are recommended to undergo screening with MRI and/or endoscopic ultrasound at regular intervals. The Pancreatic Cancer Early Detection (PRECEDE) Consortium was formed in 2018 and is composed of gastroenterologists, geneticists, pancreatic surgeons, radiologists, statisticians, and researchers from 40 sites in North America, Europe, and Asia. The overarching goal of the PRECEDE Consortium is to facilitate earlier diagnosis of PDAC for high-risk individuals to increase survival of the disease. A standardized MRI protocol and reporting template are needed to enhance the quality of screening examinations, improve consistency of clinical management, and facilitate multiinstitutional research. We present a consensus statement to standardize MRI screening and reporting for individuals with elevated risk of pancreatic cancer.

Long-term outcomes of patients with multifocal intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm following pancreatectomy

BACKGROUND

The decision to perform surgery is complicated by the presence of multifocal (MF) intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs), which are characterized by two or more cysts located in different areas of the pancreas.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to establish a suitable treatment strategy and surgical indications in patients with MF-IPMNs.

METHODS

This single-center retrospective study included patients with IPMNs who underwent pancreatic resection from 2006 to 2020. Patients with distant metastasis and patients with IPMNs of the main pancreatic duct were excluded from the analysis.

RESULTS

After excluding 22 patients, 194 patients were included. One hundred thirteen patients (58.2%) had unifocal IPMNs, while 81 patients (41.8%) had MF-IPMNs. There were no significant differences in the 5-year disease-specific survival (DSS) rate (92.3% vs. 92.4%, p = 0.976) and the 5-year disease-free survival rate (88.6% vs. 86.5%, p = 0.461). The multivariate analysis identified high-risk stigmata, invasive carcinoma, and lymph node metastasis as independent predictors of DSS. The presence of cystic lesions in the pancreatic remnant was not a predictor of survival. Even in the MF-IPMN group, there were no significant differences in DSS when stratified by procedure (total pancreatectomy vs. segmental pancreatectomy, p = 0.268) or presence of cystic lesions in the pancreatic remnant (p = 0.476). The multivariate analysis identified lymph node metastasis as an independent predictor of DSS in the MF-IPMN group.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with MF-IPMNs, each cyst should be evaluated individually for the presence of features associated with malignancy.

Contemporary outcomes of pancreaticoduodenectomy for benign and precancerous cystic lesions

BACKGROUND

The decision to undertake pancreaticoduodenectomy for benign and precancerous lesions has historically relied on outcomes data from operations for cancer. We aimed to describe risks for these specific patients and identify the highest risk groups.

METHODS

The ACS-NSQIP pancreatic targeted data was queried for pancreaticoduodenectomies for benign and pre-cancerous neoplasms from 2014 to 2018. Baseline characteristics, operative techniques and outcomes were examined. Multivariate regression was performed to identify predictors of major complications.

RESULTS

748 patients underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy for (n = 541,72.3%) IPMN, (n = 87,11.6%) MCN, (n = 78,10.4%) serous cystadenoma, and (n = 42,5.6%) solid pseudopapillary neoplasm. Median LOS was 8 days. Major complications (n = 135,18.0%), non-home discharges (n = 83,11.1%) and readmissions (n = 153,20.5%) occurred frequently. In patients ≥ 80 years of age (n = 37), major complications (n = 11,29.7%) and non-home discharge (n = 9,24.3%) were quite common. 5-item modified frailty index ≥ 0.4 (OR 1.84,95%CI 1.06-3.19,p = 0.030), Male sex (OR 1.729,95%CI 1.152-2.595,p = 0.008), Age ≥ 65 (OR 1.63,95%CI 1.05-2.54,p = 0.29) and African-American race (OR 2.50,95%CI 1.22-5.16,p = 0.013) were independent predictors of major morbidity.

CONCLUSIONS

Pancreaticoduodenectomies in this setting have high rates of major complications. Morbidity extends beyond the index hospitalization, with frequent readmission and non-home discharge. Patient specific factors, rather than technical or disease factors predicted outcomes. In certain patients, particularly those older than 80, the morbidity of this operation may exceed the cancer prevention benefits.

Preneoplastic Lesions in Surgical Specimens Do Not Worsen the Prognosis of Patients Who Underwent Surgery for Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma: Post-Hoc Analysis of the PRODIGE 24-CCTG PA 6 Trial

Simple Summary

Pancreatic cancer patients who undergo curative surgery are still likely to recur. We therefore analyzed the data of the 493 patients from the PRODIGE 24-CCTG PA 6 trial, which validated the benefit of adjuvant mFOLFIRINOX regimen over gemcitabine after pancreatic adenocarcinoma resection. We investigated whether the presence of dysplasia (noninvasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm, mucinous cystic neoplasm or pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia) might decrease in disease-free survival. A preneoplastic lesion was identified in 226 patients (45.8%). In a multivariate analysis, the presence of dysplasia is not an independent predictor of diminished disease-free survival. This finding should be useful for future prospective trials and for surgeons’ decision making, as the pre-existence of a preneoplastic lesion should not preclude a plan for curative surgery.

Abstract

Objective: The prognosis of pancreatic cancer after curative surgery is burdened by frequent recurrence. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of dysplasia in the surgical specimen on disease-free survival (DFS). Methods: A post-hoc analysis of the phase III PRODIGE 24-CCTG PA 6 trial was performed. From April 2012 to October 2016, 493 patients were included in the primary study. Assessment for dysplasia in the surgical specimens was secondarily performed. Dysplasia was defined based on presence and grade of three most common pre-malignant lesions (intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN), mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN) and pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PanIN). The primary endpoint was DFS validated through multivariate analysis. Results: Two hundred twenty-six patients (45.9%) had a preneoplastic lesion. PanIN lesions were found in 193 patients (39.2%), including 100 high-grade lesions (20.6%); 43 patients had IPMN lesions (8.7%), including high-grade lesions in 32 (6.5%). Three MCN were described (0.6%). In bivariate analysis, the presence of dysplasia was not associated with poorer DFS (HR = 0.82, 95% CI [0.66; 1.03]). In multivariate analysis, risk factors for poorer DFS were poorly differentiated/undifferentiated tumor, N1 status, R1 surgical margins and perineural invasion. Conclusions: The presence of dysplasia in the surgical specimen after pancreatic cancer surgery does not worsen DFS.

Prediction of malignancy in Main duct or Mixed-type Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Surgical indications of main-duct involved intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN), especially for main pancreatic duct (MPD) of 5-9mm, remain controversial. We aimed to predict malignancy risk of main-duct involved IPMN.

METHODS

Total 258 patients with main-duct involved IPMN between 2000 and 2017 in our institute were retrospectively analyzed. Main-duct IPMN was classified into segmental and diffuse type by dilated MPD pattern. Clinicopathologic features and predictive factors for malignancy were analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 258, 47 and 211 had pure main-duct (segmental:27, diffuse-type:20) and mixed-type. Malignant IPMN presented higher in main-duct type (66.0%) compared to mixed-type (46.9%). The diffuse-type (72.2%) had more invasive carcinoma than the segmental type (40.7%). Invasive IPMN risk increased proportionally to the MPD diameter (5≤MPD <10mm vs. 10≤MPD<15mm vs. MPD≥15mm; 23.4% vs. 40.0% vs. 48.6%). Symptoms, elevated serum carbohydrate antigen, MPD ≥10mm, mural nodule, thickened wall, and distal atrophy were independent predictive factors for malignancy. Patients with MPD of 5-9mm with at least one predictive factor had 35.0% of malignancy risk.

CONCLUSIONS

The invasive IPMN risk was different according to the dilated main-duct pattern. Patients with main-duct type, diffuse-type, MPD ≥10mm, and MPD 5-9mm with at least one predictive factor should be candidates for immediate surgery.

Predictors of malignancy in main duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The International Consensus Guidelines updated in 2017 recommended surgery to all main duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (MD-IPMNs) with the main pancreatic duct (MPD) of 10 mm or more and those with mural nodules regardless of size. The aim of the present study was to identify predictors of malignancy in MD-IPMN among preoperative factors including MPD and mural nodule size.

METHODS

Twenty-six benign MD-IPMNs (7 resected and 19 nonresected) and 32 malignant MD-IPMNs (31 resected and 1 nonresected) were included in the study. MRCP, CT, EUS, and cytology were performed using pancreatic juice collected by endoscopic retrograde pancrestography (ERP). Resected IPMNs were classified as benign or malignant by histologic examination and nonresected MD-IPMNs by imaging, cytology, and observation. Cutoff values of candidate parameters were determined by receiver operating characteristic curves. Univariate and multivariate analyses by regression model were performed.

RESULTS

MPD and mural nodule size and cytology results differed significantly between benign and malignant groups. Cutoff values of MPD and mural nodule sizes were 15 mm and 10 mm with areas under the curve of .66 and .86, respectively. Mural nodules of 10 mm or more (odds ratio, 8.32; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-61.2; P = .038) and positive cytology (odds ratio, 42.5; 95% confidence interval, 4.10-439; P = .002) were shown to be independent predictors of malignancy by multivariate analysis. When MD-IPMNs with either predictor were diagnosed to be malignant, sensitivities, specificities, and overall accuracy for malignancy were 94%, 85%, and 90%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Mural nodules of 10 mm or more and positive cytology were independent predictors of malignancy in MD-IPMN.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas associated with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) versus pseudo-IPMNs: relative frequency, clinicopathologic characteristics and differential diagnosis

The literature is highly conflicted on what percentage of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDACs) arise in association with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). Some studies have claimed that even small (Sendai-negative) IPMNs frequently lead to PDAC. Recently, more refined pathologic definitions for mucin-lined cysts were provided in consensus manuscripts, but so far there is no systematic analysis regarding the frequency and clinicopathologic characteristics of IPMN-mimickers, i.e., pseudo-IPMNs. In this study, as the first step in establishing frequency, we performed a systematic review of the pathologic findings in 501 consecutive ordinary PDACs, which disclosed that 10% of PDACs had associated cysts ≥1 cm. While 31 (6.2%) of these were IPMN or mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN), 19 (3.8%) were other cyst types that mimicked IPMN (pseudo-IPMNs) per recent WHO/consensus criteria. As the second step of the study, we performed a comparative clinicopathologic analysis by also including our entire surgical pathology/consultation databases that was comprised of 60 IPMN-associated PDACs, 30 MCN-associated PDACs and 40 pseudo-IPMN-associated PDACs. We found that 84% of true IPMNs were pre-operatively recognized, whereas IPMN was considered in differential diagnosis of 33% of pseudo-IPMNs. Of the 40 pseudo-IPMNs, there were 15 secondary duct ectasias; 6 large-duct-type PDACs; 5 pseudocysts; 5 cystic tumor necrosis; 4 simple mucinous cysts; 3 groove pancreatitis-associated paraduodenal wall cysts; and 2 congenital cysts. Microscopically, pseudo-IPMNs had at least partial mucinous-lining mimicking IPMN but had smaller cystic (mean = 1.9 cm) and larger PDAC (mean = 3.8 cm) components compared to true IPMNs (cyst = 5.7 cm; PDAC = 2.0 cm). In summary, in this pathologically verified analysis that utilized refined criteria, 10% of PDACs were discovered to have cysts ≥1 cm, about two-thirds of which were IPMN/MCN but about one-third were pseudo-IPMNs. True IPMNs underlying the PDACs are often large and are already diagnosed pre-operatively as having an IPMN component, whereas only a third of the pseudo-IPMNs receive IPMN diagnosis by imaging and their cysts are smaller. At the histopathologic level, pseudo-IPMNs are highly prone to misdiagnosis as IPMN, which presumably accounts for much higher association of IPMNs with PDAC as reported in some studies. The subtle but salient characteristics of pseudo-IPMNs elucidated in this study should be combined with careful radiological/clinical correlation in order to exclude pseudo-IPMNs.

Facility Type Affects Treatment Outcomes for Patients With Mucinous Cystic Neoplasms and Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas

OBJECTIVE

Academic centers report better outcomes for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. We hypothesized that treatment outcomes for mucinous cysts differ according to institution type.

METHODS

Using the National Cancer Data Base, we analyzed data on patients with mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs) and intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs).

RESULTS

Of 3278 identified patients, 2622 (80%) had IPMNs and 656 (20%) had MCNs. While most academic/research programs (ARCPs, 84.9%) treated more than 10 patients/year, this was true for only 59% of integrated network cancer programs, 37.3% of comprehensive community cancer programs, and 0% of community cancer programs (P < 0.001). Surgery was used more often in ARCPs and for smaller tumors. The ARCPs had higher rates of margin negative resections with retrieval of 15 or more nodes with the lowest 30- and 90-day mortality rates. The median overall survival was better in ARCPs (110.3 months) than comprehensive community cancer programs (75.1 mo), community cancer programs (75.1 mo), or integrated network cancer programs (100.8 mo, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment of MCNs and IPMNs of the pancreas at academic centers is associated with a higher probability of pancreatectomy, disease identification in a noninvasive stage, and better overall survival. Centralization of care for mucinous pancreatic cysts will lead to improved outcomes.

Clinical suspicion of pancreatic cancer despite negative endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration biopsy

BACKGROUND

The early and accurate diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is vital for improving the efficacy of therapeutic interventions and to provide patients with the best chance of survival. While endoscopic ultrasound-fine needle aspiration (EUS-FNA) has been demonstrated to be a reliable and accurate diagnostic tool for solid pancreatic neoplasms, the ongoing management of patients with a high clinical suspicion for malignancy but with a negative EUS-FNA biopsy result can prove a challenge.

METHODS

We describe five patients from a single centre who presented for further work-up of a pancreatic mass and/or imaging features concerning for a periampullary malignancy.

RESULTS

All patients had at least one EUS-FNA biopsy performed which returned no malignant cells on cytology. Despite these negative cytology results, all patients underwent further invasive investigation through upfront resection (pancreaticoduodenectomy) or extra-pancreatic biopsy (laparoscopic biopsy of peritoneal nodule) due to worrisome features on imaging, biochemical factors and clinical presentation culminating in a high degree of suspicion for malignancy. The final tissue histopathological diagnosis in all patients was pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

CONCLUSION

This case series highlights the important clinical findings, imaging and biochemical features which need to be considered in patients who have high suspicion for malignancy despite having a negative EUS-FNA cytology result. In these patients with a high index of suspicion, surgical intervention through an upfront resection or further invasive investigation should not be delayed.

Management of pancreatic cysts and guidelines: what the gastroenterologist needs to know

The prevalence of pancreatic cysts has increased significantly over the last decade, partly secondary to increased quality and frequency of cross-sectional imaging. While the majority never progress to cancer, a small number will and need to be followed. The management of pancreatic cysts can be both confusing and intimidating due to the multiple guidelines with varying recommendations. Despite the differences in the specifics of the guidelines, they all agree on several high-risk features that should get the attention of any clinician when assessing a pancreatic cyst: presence of a mural nodule or solid component, dilation of the main pancreatic duct (or presence of main duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm), pancreatic cyst size ⩾3–4 cm, or positive cytology on pancreatic cyst fluid aspiration. Other important criteria to consider include rapid cyst growth (⩾5 mm/year), elevated serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels, new-onset diabetes mellitus, or acute pancreatitis thought to be related to the cystic lesion.

Imaging Features for Predicting High-Grade Dysplasia or Malignancy in Branch Duct Type Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The consensus guidelines for branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (BD-IPMN) of the pancreas are mostly based on imaging features. This study aimed to determine imaging features and their diagnostic accuracy for predicting high-grade dysplasia (HGD)/malignancy in BD-IPMN, including mixed type.

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched, and data were extracted from relevant studies. As the main diagnostic accuracy index, diagnostic odds ratios (DORs) of imaging features for diagnosing HGD/malignancy in BD-IPMNs were pooled using the random-effects model. A bivariate random-effects approach was used to construct summary receiver operating characteristic curves for sensitivity and specificity estimation.

RESULTS

The pooled DOR was the highest for the enhanced solid component/mural nodule (MN) (DOR, 12.21; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 6.14-24.27), followed by a main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter of 10 mm or greater (DOR, 7.93; 95 % CI, 3.02-20.83), solid component (DOR, 4.85; 95 % CI, 2.49-9.42), lymphadenopathy (DOR, 4.84; 95 % CI, 1.11-21.06), MN (DOR, 4.48; 95 % CI, 3.15-6.39), an MPD diameter of 5 mm or greater (DOR, 3.69; 95 % CI, 2.62-5.19), abrupt change in MPD caliber with distal pancreatic atrophy (DOR, 2.65; 95 % CI, 1.66-4.24), thickened/enhancing walls (DOR, 2.38; 95 % CI, 1.57-3.60), and cyst size of 3 cm or larger (DOR, 1.98; 95 % CI, 1.48-2.64). The largest area under the curve (0.89 and 0.95, respectively) and high specificity (0.95 and 0.98, respectively) also were found for enhanced solid component/MN and an MPD diameter of 10 mm or greater, albeit with low sensitivity (0.38 and 0.14, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The aforementioned imaging features could aid in predicting HGD/malignancy of BD-IPMN. Furthermore, enhanced solid component/MN and an MPD diameter of 10 mm or greater were the most important predictors of HGD/malignancy in BD-IPMN and should be considered as indications for surgery.

Clinical Utility and Limitation of Diagnostic Ability for Different Degrees of Dysplasia of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas Using 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose-Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography

Simple Summary

Elucidating risk factors for different degrees of dysplasia of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) of the pancreas is important in determining strategies for management. In this study, we searched for risk factors for different degrees of dysplasia of IPMNs. Our study indicated that there were no useful factors that significantly differentiated low-grade dysplasia and high-grade dysplasia; however, ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose–positron emission tomography/computed tomography is useful for differentiating between non-invasive and invasive IPMNs. Our results offer critical information that may determine surgical treatment strategies.

Abstract

The diagnostic value of ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) uptake in the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) of the pancreas remains unclear. This study aimed to assess the role of FDG uptake in the diagnosis of different degrees of dysplasia of IPMNs. We retrospectively analyzed the following three points in 84 patients with IPMNs: (1) risk factors to predict high-grade dysplasia (HGD) and invasive carcinoma (INV); (2) the relationship between FDG uptake and glucose transporter 1 (GLUT-1) expression; and (3) the relationship between FDG uptake and the presence of mural nodules. The histopathological diagnosis was low-grade dysplasia (LGD) in 43 patients, HGD in 16, and INV in 25. The maximum standardized uptake value (SUV-max) was significantly higher in INV than in LGD/HGD (p < 0.0001, p = 0.0136). The sensitivity and specificity to discriminate INV from LGD/HGD were 80.0% and 86.2%, respectively, using the receiver operator characteristic curve, when the optimal cutoff score of SUV-max was set at 4.03. Those values were not different between HGD and LGD. More than half of HGD patients had low GLUT-1 expression. Taken together, FDG-PET/CT is useful in distinguishing between non-invasive and invasive IPMN. Our results offer critical information that may determine surgical treatment strategies.

Contemporary indications for upfront total pancreatectomy

Currently, advances in surgical techniques, improvements in perioperative care, new formulations of intermediate and long-acting insulin and of modern pancreatic enzyme preparations have allowed obtaining good short and long-term results and quality of life, especially in high-volume centres in performing total pancreatectomy (TP).Thus, the surgeon's fear in performing TP is not justified and total pancreatectomy can be considered a viable option in selected patients in high-volume centres. The aim of this review was to define the current indications for this procedure, in particular for upfront TP, considering not only the pancreatic disease, but also the surgical approach (open, mini-invasive) and the relationship with vascular resection.

Utility of DNA Profiling From Main Pancreatic Duct Fluid by Endoscopic Ultrasound and Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography to Screen for Malignant Potential

OBJECTIVES

The yield of genetic testing of main pancreatic duct (MPD) fluid collected during endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) versus endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration is unclear.

METHODS

Consecutive MPD fluid samples obtained by endoscopic ultrasound/ERCP with DNA profiling were reviewed, excluding specimens designated "no amplification." Invasive disease included invasive cancer or malignant cytology.

RESULTS

One hundred ten samples from 109 patients who underwent ERCP (n = 32) or endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration (n = 78) were analyzed (2007-2018). Leading indications were dilated MPD and suspected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm. Elevated DNA quantity, KRAS, loss of heterozygosity (LOH), and GNAS mutations occurred in 61.5%, 25.5%, 16.4%, and 8.7% of samples, respectively. Elevated DNA quantity occurred more frequently in ERCP samples (84.4% vs 51.9%, P = 0.002); other mutation yields were similar (P > 0.05). Invasive pathology (P = 0.032) was associated with LOH in the subset of patients who underwent surgery (n = 44). Adverse events occurred more frequently after ERCP (28.1% vs 9.0%, P = 0.016).

CONCLUSIONS

Endoscopic MPD fluid sampling may yield genetic data to improve diagnosis and risk stratification. In our surgical cohort, LOH was the sole predictor of invasive pathology. Endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration of MPD fluid, when possible, is preferred because of superior safety profile.

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas: recommendations for Standardized Imaging and Reporting from the Society of Abdominal Radiology IPMN disease focused panel

There have been many publications detailing imaging features of malignant transformation of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN), management and recommendations for imaging follow-up of diagnosed or presumed IPMN. However, there is no consensus on several practical aspects of imaging IPMN that could serve as a clinical guide for radiologists and enable future data mining for research. These aspects include how to measure IPMN, define reporting terminology, standardize reporting and unify guidelines for surveillance. The Society of Abdominal Radiology (SAR) created multiple Disease-Focused Panels (DFP) comprised multidisciplinary panel members who focus on a particular disease, with the goal to develop ways for radiologists to improve patient care, education, and research. DFP members met to identify the current controversies and limitations of imaging pancreatic IPMN. This paper aims to provide a practical review of the key imaging characteristics of IPMN for trainees and practicing radiologists, to guide uniformity of performance and interpretation of surveillance imaging studies, and to improve communication with clinicians by providing a lexicon and reporting template based on the experience of the SAR-DFP panel members.

Predictive Features of Malignancy in Branch Duct Type Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas: A Meta-Analysis

Simple Summary

Currently, there are several guidelines that are widely used to establish the treatment strategy for branch duct type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms. Although there are some common grounds, there are discrepancies on which features they adopt, how much each feature is weighted, and how the features are combined. Furthermore, some of the features are based on lower level evidences or expert opinions. The aim of this meta-analysis was to investigate important clinical, radiological, and biochemical risk factors for malignancy and their impact as predictors. This study found symptom, size, cyst wall thickening, presence of mural nodule, change in main pancreatic duct caliber, lymphadenopathy, CA 19-9, and CEA as risk factors. Lymphadenopathy (odd ratio [OR]: 8.55), abrupt caliber change (OR: 7.41), and mural nodule (OR: 4.10) had the highest odd ratios. We expect the higher level evidences of this study to help shape better guidelines and reduce discrepancies among future guidelines.

Abstract

The current guidelines on branch duct type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (BD-IPMN) recommend various predictive features of malignancy as well as different treatment strategies. This study aimed to identify the risk factors for malignancy with higher level of evidence. A meta-analysis was performed on 40 literatures published between 2000 and 2019. These literatures included 6301 patients with pathologically proven IPMN. Malignancy was defined as high-grade dysplasia and invasive carcinoma. It was significantly associated with symptoms (odds ratio [OR] 1.35, confidence interval [CI] 1.01–1.79), size ≥ 3 cm (OR 1.90, CI 1.51–2.40), cystic wall thickening (OR 2.53, CI 1.50–4.27), mural nodule (OR 4.10, CI 3.38–4.97), main pancreatic duct dilatation (OR 2.98, CI 2.11–4.21), abrupt caliber change of the pancreatic duct (OR 7.41, CI 2.49–22.06), lymphadenopathy (OR 8.55, CI 3.25–22.51), elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (OR 4.01, CI 2.55–6.28), and elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (OR 2.04, CI 1.60–2.61). Multilocular cysts and multiple cysts did not show a significant association with malignancy. This study examined the clinical, radiological, and biochemical features of BD-IPMN, often used as malignancy predictors according to the widely used guidelines. The results confirmed that all the features currently being used are valid.

RNF43 Mutations in IPMN Cases: A Potential Prognostic Factor

An intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is a common pancreatic precursor lesion, and it often harbors mutations in KRAS, GNAS, and RNF43. To clarify the molecular profiles of IPMNs, we conducted mutation analysis of KRAS, GNAS, and RNF43 in 61 IPMN formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded (FFPE) specimens. The mutation rates of codons 12, 13, and 61 in KRAS and codon 201 in GNAS were detected by Sanger sequencing. Next-generation sequencing was performed on RNF43, and the results were further verified by Sanger sequencing. We identified KRAS and GNAS mutations in 35 (57%) and 40 (66%) IPMN cases, respectively. GNAS mutations were significantly correlated with the morphologic subtype (P < 0.001) and were more prevalent in the intestinal subtype (93%) than in the gastric (55%) and pancreatobiliary subtypes (44%) but were absent in the oncocytic subtype. RNF43 mutations were found in 5 cases (8%), all of which occurred in high-grade dysplasia and invasive lesions (2/5 and 3/5). All 5 cases harboring RNF43 mutations also exhibited GNAS mutations. RNF43 mutations were associated with a worse prognosis in invasive IPMN patients (P = 0.002), while KRAS and GNAS mutations did not affect the prognosis of patients.

Surgical Decisions Based on a Balance between Malignancy Probability and Surgical Risk in Patients with Branch and Mixed-Type Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm

OBJECTIVE

To propose a decision tool considering both malignancy probability and surgical risk for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). Background Data Summary: Surgical risk and malignancy probability are both critical factors in making decisions about surgical resection of IPMN.

METHODS

We included 800 patients who underwent pancreatic resection for branch duct and mixed-type IPMN (April 1995 to June 2018). A nomogram was used to obtain the malignancy probability (MP-N). The surgical risks were estimated as the postoperative complication rate and serious complication from the ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator (SC-ACS NSQIP). The risk-benefit analysis was conducted in two ways: calculation of the cutoff value of MP-N using the complication rate and directly comparing the MP-N and SC-ACS NSQIP results.

RESULTS

The optimal cutoff value of MP-N was 32% and 21% in the pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) and distal pancreatectomy (DP) groups, respectively, when using the major complication rate (Clavien grades III over). When we applied the optimal cutoff value to the two surgical methods, surgery was reduced by 51.7% in the PD group and 56% in the DP group, and the AUC value of the malignant predictions were 0.7126 and 0.7615, respectively. According to the direct comparison of MP-N and SC-ACS NSQIP, surgery was reduced by 31.7%, and the AUC value of malignant prediction was 0.6588.

CONCLUSION

Our risk-benefit analysis model considering both malignancy probability and surgical risk is relatively acceptable, and it may help surgeons and patients make treatment decisions for a disease with a broad spectrum of malignancy rates.

Pearls and pitfalls of imaging features of pancreatic cystic lesions: a case-based approach with imaging-pathologic correlation

A variety of neoplastic and non-neoplastic lesions of the pancreas can present with a predominantly cystic architecture. These lesions are increasingly being detected as incidental findings on routine cross-sectional imaging following technological advances in these techniques and their widespread use. The different histopathological behaviors show various common and uncommon imaging findings, and some cases show similar appearance in spite of different histopathology. Each lesion requires specific management because of the differing risk of progression to malignancy, and an accurate imaging diagnosis is crucial. The typical imaging characteristics that differentiate pancreatic cystic lesions have been well described and fully summarized. However, in addition to a small percentage of cases that shows uncommon imaging findings, a substantial percentage of cystic lesions shows overlapping imaging findings that can lead to radiological misdiagnosis. For appropriate diagnosis and optimal treatment strategy, it is important to know the uncommon and overlapping imaging findings of these lesions, in addition to familiarity with the typical aspects. In this article, we reconfirm the well-known characteristic imaging features of pancreatic cystic lesions and present several diagnostically challenging cases, focusing on the uncommon and overlapping imaging findings.

Side-branch intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas: outcome of MR imaging surveillance over a 10 years follow-up

Purpose

To evaluate the outcome of a MR imaging procotol in assessing the evolution of individuals with branch duct - intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) without worrisome features (WF) and/or high risk stigmata (HRS) at the time of the diagnosis in a follow-up period of at least 10 years.

Material and methods

A retrospective revision of a prospectively collected radiological database including a total number of 600 patients who were investigated and diagnosed with "presumed" diagnosis of BD-IPMN at MRI/MRCP at our Department since 2008 was performed. Inclusion criteria were: 1) absence of worrisome features and/or high-risk stigmata at the time of diagnosis (baseline); 2) a radiological follow-up with abdominal MRI/MRCP of at least 10 years. Changes in cysts size, development of WF, HRS and pancreatic cancer, and any other modification during the follow-up were retrospectively analysed by two observers in consensus.

Results

Sixty-nine patients fulfilled all the inclusion criteria. During surveillance, the cysts remained dimensionally unchanged or slightly reduced in size in 26.2% and 4.3% of cases respectively, whereas cyst enlargement was demonstrated in 69.5% of cases. Median annual growth rate was of 0.97 ± 0.87 mm/yr (range 0.13-5.0). WF and HRS developed in 10/69 (14.5%) and 3/69 (4.3%) cases, respectively. The incidence of pancreatic cancer in patients with BD-IPMN was 2.9%.

Conclusion

Our data confirm the low risk of pancreatic cancer development in patients with BD-IPMN, thus justifying an imaging follow-up. Worrisome features and high-risk stigmata were promptly identified during the follow-up, supporting the utility of our surveillance MR imaging protocol.

[Quality of indications in cystic lesions of the pancreas]

Cystic tumors of the pancreas (PCN) have increasingly gained importance in the clinical routine as they are frequently diagnosed as an incidental finding due to the continuous improvement in cross-sectional imaging. A differentiation is made between non-neoplastic and neoplastic cysts, whereby the latter has a tendency to malignant transformation to a varying extent. Therefore, they can be considered as precursor lesions of pancreatic cancer (PDAC). In addition to a detailed patient history and examination, imaging modalities, such as computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) with fine needle aspiration (FNA) are used for the differential diagnosis. The indications for surgical resection of these lesions are based on the current European guidelines from 2018; however, the content is not evidence-based but relies on knowledge and recommendations from experts. According to these consensus recommendations asymptomatic serous cystic neoplasms (SCN) are serous lesions with a low tendency for malignant transformation and can be monitored. In contrast resection is warranted for all mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN) >4 cm and all solid pseudopapillary neoplasms (SPN). Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN), which are differentiated into main duct (MD-IPMN) and branch duct type (BD-IPMN) IPMN based on the position in the pancreatic duct system, should be resected as MD-IPMN and mixed type (MT)-IPMN. The risk of malignant transformation in BD-IPMN is variable and depends on risk factors, which are defined clinically and by imaging morphology. The treatment management is therefore carried out on an individual basis following risk estimation. In order to quantify the quality of indications in PCN and thereby also contributing to optimized medical care, prospective long-term studies are urgently needed.

Possibility of detecting intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms using metabolite biomarkers for pancreatic cancer

Aim: The aim of this study was to identify whether metabolite biomarker candidates for pancreatic cancer (PC) could aid detection of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN), recognized as high-risk factors for PC. Materials & methods: The 12 metabolite biomarker candidates, which were found to be useful to detect PC in our previous study, were evaluated for plasma samples from patients with PC (n = 44) or IPMN (n = 24) or healthy volunteers (n = 46). Results: Regarding the performance of individual biomarkers of PC and PC high-risk IPMN, lysine exhibited the best performance (sensitivity: 67.8%; specificity: 86.9%). The multiple logistic regression analysis-based detection model displayed high sensitivity and specificity values of 92.5 and 90.6%, respectively. Conclusion: Metabolite biomarker candidates for PC are useful for detecting high-risk IPMN, which can progress to PC.

Can contrast-enhanced harmonic endoscopic ultrasonography accurately diagnose main pancreatic duct involvement in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms?

BACKGROUND

Main pancreatic duct (MPD) involvement in branch duct-type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) is a high risk finding for malignant IPMNs. However, discrepancies exist in the identification of MPD involvement between imaging findings and pathological diagnosis. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of preoperative assessment of MPD involvement in IPMNs using contrast-enhanced harmonic endoscopic ultrasound (CH-EUS).

METHODS

This study involved 166 consecutive patients with BD-IPMNs who underwent surgical resection. CH-EUS was used to evaluate the MPD involvement according to the presence of mural nodules (MN) that advanced into the MPD or involved the MPD. The CH-EUS findings were compared with the pathological findings. Additionally, we analyzed the risk factors for malignant BD-IPMNs using multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 77, 51, and 38 patients were pathologically diagnosed with low-grade or intermediate-grade dysplasia, high-grade dysplasia and invasive IPMNs, respectively. MPD involvement was diagnosed using CH-EUS (MPD-inv.-EUS) in 90 (54.2%) patients with a sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of 83.5%, 87.0% and 84.9%, respectively. The malignancy rate in patients with MPD-inv.-EUS was 71.6% (63/90). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that MPD-inv.-EUS (OR, 3.61; 95% CI:1.45-8.98), age (OR, 5.70; 95% CI: 1.47-22.2), cyst size (OR, 2.45; 95% CI:1.04-5.78) and MN size (OR, 7.05; 95% CI:2.48-20.0) were significant for malignant BD-IPMNs.

CONCLUSIONS

MPD-inv.-EUS accurately represents the pathological involvement of IPMN and may be a useful predictor of malignant BD-IPMNs.

[Indications for the Surgical Management of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions]

A steady improvement in modern imaging as well as increasing age in society have led to an increasing number of cystic pancreatic tumours being detected. Pancreatic cysts are a clinically challenging entity because they span a broad biological spectrum and their differentiation is often difficult, especially in small tumours. Therefore, they require a differentiated indication for indication of surgery. To determine recommendations for the surgical indication in cystic tumours of the pancreas, a quality committee for pancreatic diseases of the German Society for General and Visceral Surgery performed a systematic literature search and created this review. Based on the current evidence, signs of malignancy and high-risk criteria (icterus due to cystic pancreatic duct obstruction in the bile duct, enhancing mural nodules ≥ 5 mm or solid components in the cyst or pancreatic duct ≥ 10 mm), as well as symptoms, are a surgical indication, independently of the cyst entity (except pseudocysts). If the entity of the pancreatic cyst is detectable by diagnostic imaging, all main duct IPMN and IPMN of the mixed type, all MCN > 4 cm and all SPN should be resected. SCN and branch-duct IPMN without worrisome features do not constitute an indication for surgery. The indication of operation in branch-duct IPMN with relative risk criteria and MCN < 4 cm is the subject of current discussions and should be individualised. By defining indication recommendations, the present work aims to improve the indication quality in cystic pancreatic tumours. However, the surgical indication should always be individualised, taking into account age, comorbidities and the patient's wishes.

Surgical exploration without resection in pancreatic and periampullary tumors: Report from a national database

Background and objective:

Pancreatic and periampullary cancers are sometimes found to have a too advanced disease during surgery to allow resection. The aim was to describe characteristics, treatment, outcome, and time trends for patients that were planned for pancreatic surgery but found unresectable during surgery.

Methods:

Data from the Swedish National Pancreatic and Periampullary Cancer Registry were used. All patients registered between January 2010 and August 2018 were included. The patient cohort was divided in two halves based on year of diagnosis.

Results:

In total, 12,377 patients were included in the registry and finally 4568 patients were scheduled for surgery. During surgical exploration, 3879 (84.9%) patients underwent pancreatic resection, 658 (14.4%) patients were found unresectable, and 31 (0.7%) had no pancreatic resection due to other reasons (e.g. benign lesion, comorbidity). More patients underwent surgical exploration and resection during the second time period, but exploration without resection was unchanged (15.7% vs 13.7%; p = 0.062). Survival rates were lower among the unresectable patients with pancreatic and periampullary tumors compared to the resectable patients, including 30-day mortality (n = 17 (3.5%) vs n = 39 (1.6%), p = 0.004) and 90-day mortality (n = 72 (15.0%) vs n = 70 (2.8%), p < 0.001). Palliative surgery became less common during the second half of the time period (p < 0.001).

Conclusions:

Unresectability is associated with an unfavorable prognosis. The frequency did not decrease during the study period, but palliative surgical procedures became less common.

Diagnosis and Surveillance of Incidental Pancreatic Cystic Lesions: 2017 Consensus Recommendations of the Korean Society of Abdominal Radiology

The occurrence of incidentally detected pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) is continuously increasing. Radiologic examinations including computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging with magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography have been widely used as the main diagnostic and surveillance methods for patients with incidental PCLs. Although most incidentally detected PCLs are considered benign, they have the potential to become malignant. Currently, we have several guidelines for the management of incidental PCLs. However, there is still debate over proper management, in terms of accurate diagnosis, optimal follow-up interval, and imaging tools. Because imaging studies play a crucial role in the management of incidental PCLs, the 2017 consensus recommendations of the Korean Society of Abdominal Radiology for the diagnosis and surveillance of incidental PCLs approved 11 out of 16 recommendations. Although several challenges remain in terms of optimization and standardization, these consensus recommendations might serve as useful tools to provide a more standardized approach and to optimize care of patients with incidental PCLs.

Surgical strategy for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

The current treatment strategy for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs), based on the international consensus guideline, has been accepted widely. However, reported outcomes after surgical resection for IPMN show that once the tumor progresses to invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma (IPMC), recurrence is not uncommon. The surgical treatment for IPMN is invasive and sometimes followed by complications. Therefore, the best timing for resection might be at the point when high-grade dysplasia (HGD) is evident. According to previous reports, main duct type IPMN has a high malignant potential and its surgical resection is universally accepted, whereas, the incidence of HGD/invasive IPMC in branch duct and mixed type IPMNs is thought to be lower. In addition to mural nodules and a dilated main pancreatic duct, cytology and measurement of the carcinoembryonic antigen level in the pancreatic juice might be useful to differentiate HGD/invasive IPMC from low-grade dysplasia. The nomogram proposed recently to predict the risk of HGD/invasive IPMC in IPMN patients might help surgeons decide on the best treatment strategy, depending on the patient's age and general condition. Second resection for high-risk lesions in the remnant pancreas might improve the survival of IPMN patients.

Pancreatic Cysts in the Elderly

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Incidental pancreatic cysts are common, and management strategies continue to evolve. This review summarizes diagnostic and management recommendations in older patients with these lesions based on guidelines and best clinical evidence.

RECENT FINDINGS

Diagnosis of cyst type has been enhanced with improved imaging and cyst fluid analysis and visualization. Recent outcome studies indicate that certain cyst types should be followed independent of patient age as long as certain criteria which are reviewed are met. Differentiation of pancreatic cyst type is important as this dictates the need for long-term follow-up. Because most cyst-related neoplasia occurs in older patients, surveillance should continue within certain guidelines.

Main duct and mixed type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms without enhancing mural nodules: Duct diameter of less than 10 mm and segmental dilatation of main pancreatic duct are findings support surveillance rather than immediate surgery

OBJECTIVE

The guidelines for pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) recommend surgical resection of all main-duct (MD) and mixed-type IPMNs in surgically fit patients. We conducted this study to identify the rates of high-grade dysplasia (HGD) and invasive carcinoma according to the morphological features of the main pancreatic duct (MPD) in patients with MD and mixed IPMN.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study of 259 patients with histologically proven MD and mixed-type IPMNs who underwent surgery at six academic institutions.

RESULTS

The rate of HGD and invasive carcinoma was 11.1% (24/216) in patients without enhancing mural nodules (MNs) and 69.8% (30/43) in patients with MNs. Multivariate analysis showed that MPD diameter of ≥10 mm [odds ratio (OR), 2.5; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.155-5.505; P = 0.02], diffuse MPD dilatation (OR, 3.2; 95% CI, 1.152-8.998; P = 0.02), and presence of enhancing MNs in MPD (OR, 9.6; 95% CI, 3.928-23.833, P < 0.0001) were significant predictors of HGD and invasive carcinoma. Of the 216 patients without enhancing MNs, 79 patients (36.6%) having both segmental MPD dilatation and MPD diameter of <10 mm showed significantly lower rates of HGD and invasive carcinoma (3/79, 3.8%) than patients having both diffuse MPD dilatation and MPD diameter ≥10 mm (9/36, 25%, P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

MD and mixed-type IPMNs having segmental MPD dilatation with MPD dilation <10 mm and no enhancing MNs on imaging showed a significantly lower rate of HGD and invasive carcinoma, and watchful follow-up instead of immediate surgical resection might be possible in these patients.

Subtype of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas is important to the development of metachronous high-risk lesions after pancreatectomy

Backgrounds/Aims

Although intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) has showed a favorable prognosis compared to pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, its recurrence patterns have somewhat questionable in detail. After partial pancreatectomy for IPMN, the evaluation for risk of metachronous occurrence of high-risk lesions (HRL) in the residual pancreas is important to establish a postoperative surveillance modality and duration of follow-up. This study aimed to evaluate the factors that may predict the metachronous occurrence of HRL in the remnant pancreas after surgery of the IPMN.

Methods

From 2005 to 2016, clinicopathologic and surveillance data for 346 consecutive patients who underwent surgical resection for IPMN were reviewed retrospectively. Histologic subtype was classified as gastric, intestinal, pancreato-biliary, or oncocytic type.

Results

All of IPMN were classified as main duct (n=64, 18.5%), branch duct (n=171, 49.4%), and mixed type (n=111, 32.1%). Forty-eight patients (13.9%) experienced recurrence during follow-up. Among these, 9 patients (2.6%) were identified to metachronous development of HRL in the remnant pancreas. After multivariate analysis, high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or invasive carcinoma (IC) compared to low- or intermediate dysplasia was only independent risk factor for recurrence (HR 3.688, 95% CI 2.124– 12.524, p=0.009). The independent risk factors for metachronous development were HGD/IC (HR 8.414, 95% CI 4.310– 16.426, p=0.001), and intestinal/pancreato-biliary subtype compared to gastric subtype (HR 7.874, 95% CI 3.650– 27.027, p=0.010).

Conclusions

Patients with high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma, and with intestinal or pancreatobiliary subtype should undergo close, long-term surveillance of the remnant pancreas after initial resection.

Diagnosis and management of pancreatic cystic neoplasms: current evidence and guidelines

Pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCN) are a heterogeneous group of pancreatic cysts that include intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms, mucinous cystic neoplasms, serous cystic neoplasms and other rare cystic lesions, all with different biological behaviours and variable risk of progression to malignancy. As more pancreatic cysts are incidentally discovered on routine cross-sectional imaging, optimal surveillance for patients with PCN is becoming an increasingly common clinical problem, highlighting the need to balance cancer prevention with the risk of (surgical) overtreatment. This Review summarizes the latest developments in the diagnosis and management of PCN, including the quality of available evidence. Also discussed are the most important differences between the PCN guidelines from the American Gastroenterological Association, the International Association of Pancreatology and the European Study Group on Cystic Tumours of the Pancreas, including diagnostic and follow-up strategies and indications for surgery. Finally, new developments in the management of patients with PCN are addressed.

Elevating pancreatic cystic lesion stratification: Current and future pancreatic cancer biomarker(s)

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is an incredibly deadly disease with a 5-year survival rate of 9%. The presence of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) confers an increased likelihood of future pancreatic cancer in patients placing them in a high-risk category. Discerning concurrent malignancy and risk of future PCL progression to cancer must be carefully and accurately determined to improve survival outcomes and avoid unnecessary morbidity of pancreatic resection. Unfortunately, current image-based guidelines are inadequate to distinguish benign from malignant lesions. There continues to be a need for accurate molecular and imaging biomarker(s) capable of identifying malignant PCLs and predicting the malignant potential of PCLs to enable risk stratification and effective intervention management. This review provides an update on the current status of biomarkers from pancreatic cystic fluid, pancreatic juice, and seromic molecular analyses and discusses the potential of radiomics for differentiating PCLs harboring cancer from those that do not.

From somatic mutation to early detection: insights from molecular characterization of pancreatic cancer precursor lesions

Pancreatic cancer arises from noninvasive precursor lesions, including pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PanIN), intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN), and mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN), which are curable if detected early enough. Recently, these types of precursor lesions have been extensively characterized at the molecular level, defining the timing of critical genetic alterations in tumorigenesis pathways. The results of these studies deepen our understanding of tumorigenesis in the pancreas, providing novel insights into tumor initiation and progression. Perhaps more importantly, they also provide a rational foundation for early detection approaches that could allow clinical intervention prior to malignant transformation. In this review, we summarize the results of comprehensive molecular characterization of PanINs, IPMNs, and MCNs and discuss the implications for cancer biology as well as early detection. Copyright © 2018 Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Pancreatic sphincterotomy improves pain symptoms due to branch-duct intrapapillary mucinous neoplasia without worrisome features: a multicenter study

Introduction Branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) require follow-up to detect worrisome features (WF). Data are missing about endoscopic pancreatic sphincterotomy (PS) for symptomatic IPMN.

Patients and methods This was a retrospective multicenter study in four expert centers. Patients treated with endoscopic PS for symptomatic (painful) BD-IPMN without WF were included. Age, sex, follow-up time, characteristics of IPMNs and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatographies (ERCPs), and indications for surgery were recorded.

Results In total, 21 patients were included (median age 68 years, range 45 – 87 years). The median number of cysts was 2 (range 1 – 10), located in the head (59 %), body/tail (17 %), or multifocal (24 %). ERCP including PS was completed in all of the cases, with biliary sphincterotomy in 33 %. Clinical efficacy after one session was 81 % (17/21). Among the failures, one had a second successful PS and three were operated. The final efficacy was 86 % (18/21). Seven patients were operated after a mean of 19 months: four for WF, three for pain. The histopathology showed four low grade dysplasia, one high grade dysplasia, and two no dysplasia. No adenocarcinoma occurred during a follow-up of 99 months (range 14 – 276 months).

Conclusions Endoscopic PS for symptomatic IPMN without WF is effective in more than 80 % of cases, without increasing the risk for adenocarcinoma.

Follow-up of Incidentally Detected Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasms: Do Baseline MRI and CT Features Predict Cyst Growth?

Background Incidental detection of pancreatic cystic neoplasm (PCN) has increased. Since a small percentage of PCNs possess malignant potential, management is challenging. The recently revised American College of Radiology (ACR) recommendations define PCN measurement and growth for different categories based on baseline cyst size. However, no data are available regarding PCN growth rate under the ACR-defined size categories. Purpose To assess growth of incidentally detected PCNs on long-term imaging follow-up using revised ACR recommendations and to evaluate the association between baseline imaging features and growth. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included PCNs with baseline imaging performed between January 2002 and May 2017, with two or more cross-sectional imaging studies performed at least 12 months apart. PCN assessment was based on ACR 2017 recommendations. Cyst features, including location, septations, and mural nodules and multiplicity, were noted. Time to cyst progression (growth by ACR criteria) was examined by using baseline PCN size, among other factors. Results A total of 646 cysts in 390 patients were followed up for a median of 50 months (range, 12-186 months). A total of 184 (28.5%) cysts increased in size, 52 (8.1%) decreased in size, and 410 (63.4%) remained stable. For groups in which baseline PCN size was smaller than 5 mm, 5-14 mm, 15-25 mm, and larger than 25 mm, growth was noted in seven (13.2%), 106 (28.9%), 49 (32.2%), and 22 (29.7%) cysts, respectively. ACR baseline size categories (subhazard ratio: 2.8 [5-14-mm PCN group], 3.4 [15-25-mm PCN group], and 2.7 [>25 mm group], as compared with the <5 mm PCN group; P < .05 for each) demonstrated association with growth. Presence of mural nodules, septations, or lesion multiplicity failed to demonstrate association with growth. Among PCNs smaller than 5 mm at baseline, 100% of PCNs at 3-year follow-up and 94.2% of PCNs at 5-year follow-up were likely to remain stable. Conclusion American College of Radiology baseline size category of 15-25-mm pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) demonstrated the highest (3.1 times) likelihood of growth, as compared with the category of PCNs smaller than 5 mm. PCNs smaller than 5 mm at baseline did not demonstrate growth at 3-year imaging follow-up. © RSNA, 2019 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

The CT fish mouth ampulla sign: a highly specific finding in main duct and mixed intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

OBJECTIVE

Main duct and mixed intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) are pre-malignant cystic pancreatic neoplasms associated with pancreatic duct dilatation. Distinguishing these from benign causes of pancreatic duct dilatation is important in order to allow appropriate surveillance or surgery. A patulous duodenal papilla with extrusion of mucus at endoscopic evaluation, the endoscopic fish mouth ampulla (E-FMA) sign, is reported in main duct and mixed IPMN. We aimed to establish whether a CT correlate (CT-FMA) of this sign exists and whether this was associated with the presence of invasion or high-grade dysplasia. We defined the CT-FMA sign as an uninterrupted column of water attenuation material running from the pancreatic duct to the duodenal lumen.

METHODS

A retrospective, blinded review of 44 patients with histologically confirmed IPMN and 87 age-matched controls with pancreatic duct dilatation on CT was undertaken. A case-control series matched for the degree of pancreatic duct dilatation was used to compare the rates of invasion or high-grade dysplasia between main duct and mixed IPMN patients, with and without a CT-FMA sign.

RESULTS

The CT-FMA sign could be identified in 18.5% patients with main duct/mixed IPMN with specificity 100%, positive predictive value 100% and negative predictive value 79.8%. A significant association was found between CT-FMA in main duct/mixed IPMN compared to controls, but not with the presence of high-grade dysplasia or invasion.

CONCLUSIONS

The CT-FMA sign is a newly reported, highly specific sign of MD and mixed IPMN.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

If a fish mouth ampulla is identified at CT, a diagnosis of main duct or mixed IPMN is highly likely.