Earth's biggest 'whodunnit': unravelling the clues in the case of the end-Permian mass extinction

Impacts of Low Oxygen on Marine Life: Neglected, but a Crucial Priority for Research

AbstractGlobal ocean O₂ content has varied significantly across the eons, both shaping and being shaped by the evolutionary history of life on planet Earth. Indeed, past O₂ fluctuations have been associated with major extinctions and the reorganization of marine biota. Moreover, its most recent iteration-now anthropogenically driven-represents one of the most prominent challenges for both marine ecosystems and human societies, with ocean deoxygenation being regarded as one of the main drivers of global biodiversity loss. Yet ocean deoxygenation has received far less attention than concurrent environmental variables of marine climate change, namely, ocean warming and acidification, particularly in the field of experimental marine ecology. Together with the lack of consistent criteria defining gradual and acute changes in O₂ content, a general lack of multifactorial studies featuring all three drivers and their interactions prevents an adequate interpretation of the potential effects of extreme and gradual deoxygenation. We present a comprehensive overview of the interplay between O₂ and marine life across space and time and discuss the current knowledge gaps and future steps for deoxygenation research. This work may also contribute to the ongoing call for an integrative perspective on the combined effects of these three drivers of change for marine organisms and ecosystems worldwide.

Anthropic shadow: observation selection effects and human extinction risks

We describe a significant practical consequence of taking anthropic biases into account in deriving predictions for rare stochastic catastrophic events. The risks associated with catastrophes such as asteroidal/cometary impacts, supervolcanic episodes, and explosions of supernovae/gamma-ray bursts are based on their observed frequencies. As a result, the frequencies of catastrophes that destroy or are otherwise incompatible with the existence of observers are systematically underestimated. We describe the consequences of this anthropic bias for estimation of catastrophic risks, and suggest some directions for future work.

Did the ancient crenarchaeal viruses from the dawn of life survive exceptionally well the eons of meteorite bombardment?

The viruses of Crenarchaeota are unexpectedly diverse in their morphologies, and most have no, or few, genes related to bacterial, eukaryal, euryarchaeal, or other crenarchaeal viruses. Though several different virus morphotypes have been discovered in enrichment cultures of microbial communities collected from geothermally heated environments around the world, the origins of such differences are unknown. We present a model that combines consideration of Earth's geological history, the early emergence of hyperthermophiles, and the early formation of viruses from primordial genes with the intent to explain this vast diversity of crenarchaeal viruses. Several meteorite- or flood basalt-induced extinction events in the past resulted in a reduction in the numbers of cellular organisms. Acidophilic hyperthermophiles survived the global thermal rises and, therefore, still host a wide variety of ancient virus morphotypes. In contrast, other, more "recent" cellular lineages have lost the majority of their original viruses, as they have been separated geologically and genetically, and have gone through several near-extinction-level episodes of decimation. This view suggests that, among crenarchaeal viruses, the direct descendants of very early genetic elements are well preserved; thus, their examination would improve our understanding as to how life actually evolved from its origins to the complex cellular systems we see today. We also present a hypothesis that describes the role of viral armadas and extinctions during evolution, as extinctions may have episodically eliminated most of the abusive parasites.

A long-term association between global temperature and biodiversity, origination and extinction in the fossil record

The past relationship between global temperature and levels of biological diversity is of increasing concern due to anthropogenic climate warming. However, no consistent link between these variables has yet been demonstrated. We analysed the fossil record for the last 520 Myr against estimates of low latitude sea surface temperature for the same period. We found that global biodiversity (the richness of families and genera) is related to temperature and has been relatively low during warm 'greenhouse' phases, while during the same phases extinction and origination rates of taxonomic lineages have been relatively high. These findings are consistent for terrestrial and marine environments and are robust to a number of alternative assumptions and potential biases. Our results provide the first clear evidence that global climate may explain substantial variation in the fossil record in a simple and consistent manner. Our findings may have implications for extinction and biodiversity change under future climate warming.

Phreatomagmatic eruptions on the Ontong Java Plateau: chemical and isotopic relationship to Ontong Java Plateau basalts

The compositions of glass clasts in volcaniclastic rocks recovered from drilling at Site 1184 on the eastern salient of the Ontong Java Plateau (OJP) are investigated using microbeam analytical methods for major, minor and trace elements. These data are compared with whole-rock elemental and isotopic data for bulk tuff samples, and with data from basalts on the high plateau of the OJP. Three subunits of Hole 1184A contain blocky glass clasts, thought to represent the juvenile magmatic component of the phreatomagmatic eruptions that generated the volcaniclastic rocks. The glass clasts have unaltered centres, and are all basaltic low-K tholeiites, with flat chondrite-normalized rare earth element (REE) patterns. Their elemental compositions are very similar to the Kwaimbaita-type and Kroenke-type basalts sampled on the high plateau. Each subunit has a distinct glass composition and there is no intermixing of glass compositions between subunits, indicating that each subunit is the result of one eruptive phase, and that the volcaniclastic sequence has not experienced reworking. The relative heterogeneity preserved at Site 1184 contrasts with the uniformity of compositions recovered from individual sites on the high plateau, and suggests that the eastern salient of the OJP had a different type of magma plumbing system. Our data support the hypothesis that the voluminous subaerially erupted volcaniclastic rocks at Site 1184 belong to the same magmatic event as the construction of the main Ontong Java Plateau. Thus, the OJP would have been responsible for volatile fluxes into the atmosphere in addition to chemical fluxes into the oceans, and these factors may have influenced the contemporaneous oceanic anoxic event.