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Puig X, Ginebra J. Mapping life expectancy loss in Barcelona in 2020. AM STAT 2023. [DOI: 10.1080/00031305.2023.2197022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/05/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Xavier Puig
- Departament of Statistics and O.R., Polytechnic University of Catalonia, Avgda. Diagonal 647, 6a Planta, 08028 Barcelona, Spain
| | - Josep Ginebra
- Departament of Statistics and O.R., Polytechnic University of Catalonia, Avgda. Diagonal 647, 6a Planta, 08028 Barcelona, Spain
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2
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Biglan A, Prinz RJ, Fishbein D. Prevention Science and Health Equity: A Comprehensive Framework for Preventing Health Inequities and Disparities Associated with Race, Ethnicity, and Social Class. PREVENTION SCIENCE : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE SOCIETY FOR PREVENTION RESEARCH 2023; 24:602-612. [PMID: 36757658 DOI: 10.1007/s11121-022-01482-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/14/2022] [Indexed: 02/10/2023]
Abstract
The ultimate goal of our public health system is to reduce the incidence of disability and premature death. Evidence suggests that, by this standard, the USA falls behind most other developed countries largely as a function of disparities in health outcomes among significant portions of the US population. We present a framework for addressing these disparities that attributes them, not simply to differences in the behavioral and physical risk factors, but to social, environmental, and structural inequities such as poverty, discrimination, toxic physical setting, and the marketing of harmful products. These inequities result from de facto and instituted public policies. An analysis of the NIH research portfolio indicates a relative lack of investment in experimental evaluations of preventive interventions-especially studies targeting disadvantaged populations. Moreover, experimental research on reducing social inequities is almost entirely lacking. A line of research focusing on the drivers of inequities and their dissolution must include experimental evaluation of strategies for getting policies adopted that will reduce inequities. In conclusion, a summary is provided of the types of research that are needed and the challenges involved in conducting the experimental research that is essential for reducing inequities and disparities and, in turn, prolonging life.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anthony Biglan
- Oregon Research Institute, 2324 West 28th Avenue, Eugene, Eugene, OR, 97405, USA. .,National Prevention Science Coalition to Improve Lives, Pennsylvania, USA.
| | - Ronald J Prinz
- University of South Carolina, Columbia, USA.,National Prevention Science Coalition to Improve Lives, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Diana Fishbein
- University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, USA.,The Pennsylvania State University, Pennsylvania, USA.,National Prevention Science Coalition to Improve Lives, Pennsylvania, USA
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Aburto JM, Tilstra AM, Floridi G, Dowd JB. Significant impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on race/ethnic differences in US mortality. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2022; 119:e2205813119. [PMID: 35998219 PMCID: PMC9436308 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2205813119] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/02/2022] [Accepted: 06/20/2022] [Indexed: 11/28/2022] Open
Abstract
The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic triggered global declines in life expectancy. The United States was hit particularly hard among high-income countries. Early data from the United States showed that these losses varied greatly by race/ethnicity in 2020, with Hispanic and Black Americans suffering much larger losses in life expectancy compared with White people. We add to this research by examining trends in lifespan inequality, average years of life lost, and the contribution of specific causes of death and ages to race/ethnic life-expectancy disparities in the United States from 2010 to 2020. We find that life expectancy in 2020 fell more for Hispanic and Black males (4.5 and 3.6 y, respectively) compared with White males (1.5 y). These drops nearly eliminated the previous life-expectancy advantage for the Hispanic compared with the White population, while dramatically increasing the already large gap in life expectancy between Black and White people. While the drops in life expectancy for the Hispanic population were largely attributable to official COVID-19 deaths, Black Americans saw increases in cardiovascular diseases and "deaths of despair" over this period. In 2020, lifespan inequality increased slightly for Hispanic and White populations but decreased for Black people, reflecting the younger age pattern of COVID-19 deaths for Hispanic people. Overall, the mortality burden of the COVID-19 pandemic hit race/ethnic minorities particularly hard in the United States, underscoring the importance of the social determinants of health during a public health crisis.
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Affiliation(s)
- José Manuel Aburto
- Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Department of Sociology, and Nuffield College, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 1JD, United Kingdom
- Department of Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, United Kingdom
- Interdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics, University of Southern Denmark; Odense 5000, Denmark
| | - Andrea M. Tilstra
- Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Department of Sociology, and Nuffield College, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 1JD, United Kingdom
- University of Colorado Population Center, Institute of Behavioral Science, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO 80302
| | - Ginevra Floridi
- Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Department of Sociology, and Nuffield College, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 1JD, United Kingdom
| | - Jennifer Beam Dowd
- Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Department of Sociology, and Nuffield College, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 1JD, United Kingdom
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Goldman N, Andrasfay T. Life Expectancy Loss among Native Americans During the COVID-19 Pandemic. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2022:2022.03.15.22272448. [PMID: 35313582 PMCID: PMC8936100 DOI: 10.1101/2022.03.15.22272448] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There has been little systematic research on the mortality impact of COVID-19 in the Native American population. OBJECTIVE We provide estimates of loss of life expectancy in 2020 and 2021 for the Native American population. METHODS We use data on age-specific all-cause mortality rates from CDC WONDER and the 2019 life table recently released by the National Vital Statistics System for Native Americans to calculate life tables for the Native American population in 2020 and 2021 and obtain estimates of life expectancy reductions during the COVID-19 pandemic. RESULTS The pandemic has set Native Americans further behind other major racial/ethnic groups in terms of life expectancy: the estimated loss in life expectancy at birth for Native Americans is 4.5 years in 2020 and 6.4 years in 2021. CONCLUSIONS These results underscore the disproportionate share of deaths experienced by Native Americans: a loss in life expectancy at birth in 2020 that is more than three years larger than that for Whites and about 1.5 years greater than the losses for the Black and Latino populations. Despite a successful vaccination campaign among Native Americans, the estimated loss in life expectancy at birth in 2021 unexpectedly exceeds that in 2020. Contribution: The increased loss in life expectancy in 2021, despite higher vaccination rates than in other racial/ethnic groups, highlights the huge challenges faced by Native Americans in their efforts to control the deleterious consequences of the pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Noreen Goldman
- Office of Population Research School of Public and International Affairs Princeton University
| | - Theresa Andrasfay
- Leonard Davis School of Gerontology University of Southern California
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Castro MC, Gurzenda S, Turra CM, Kim S, Andrasfay T, Goldman N. COVID-19 is not an Independent Cause of Death. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2022:2022.06.01.22275878. [PMID: 35677081 PMCID: PMC9176661 DOI: 10.1101/2022.06.01.22275878] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has had overwhelming global impacts with deleterious social, economic, and health consequences. To assess the COVID-19 death toll researchers have estimated declines in 2020 life expectancy at birth. Because data are often available only for COVID-19 deaths, the risks of dying from COVID-19 are assumed to be independent of those from other causes. We explore the soundness of this assumption based on data from the US and Brazil, the countries with the largest number of reported COVID-19 deaths. We use three methods. One estimates the difference between 2019 and 2020 life tables and therefore does not require the assumption of independence. The other two assume independence to simulate scenarios in which COVID-19 mortality is added to 2019 death rates or is eliminated from 2020 rates. Our results reveal that COVID-19 is not independent of other causes of death. The assumption of independence can lead to either an overestimate (Brazil) or an underestimate (US) of the decline in e 0 , depending on how the number of other reported causes of death changed in 2020.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Susie Gurzenda
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA
| | - Cassio M Turra
- Demography Department, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG 31270-901, Brazil
| | - Sun Kim
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA
| | - Theresa Andrasfay
- Leonard Davis School of Gerontology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089, USA
| | - Noreen Goldman
- Office of Population Research and Princeton School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA
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Siegel A, Schug JF, Rieger MA. Social Determinants of Remaining Life Expectancy at Age 60: A District-Level Analysis in Germany. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:1530. [PMID: 35162553 PMCID: PMC8835464 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19031530] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/30/2021] [Revised: 01/21/2022] [Accepted: 01/26/2022] [Indexed: 02/01/2023]
Abstract
Remaining life expectancy at age 60 (in short: RLE) is an important indicator of the health status of a population's elders. Until now, RLE has not been thoroughly investigated at the district level in Germany. In this study we analyzed, based on recent publicly available data (2015-2017), and for men and women separately, how large the RLE differences were in Germany across the 401 districts. Furthermore, we examined a wide range of potential social determinants in terms of their bivariate and multivariate (i.e., partial) impact on men's and women's RLE. Men's district-level RLE ranged between 19.89 and 24.32 years, women's district-level RLE between 23.67 and 27.16 years. The best single predictor both for men's and women's RLE at district level was 'proportion of employees with academic degree' with standardized partial regression coefficients of 0.42 (men) and 0.51 (women). Second and third in rank were classic economic predictors, such as 'household income' (men), 'proportion of elder with financial elder support' (women), and 'unemployment' (men and women). Indicators expressing the availability of medical services and staffing levels of nursing homes and services had at best a marginal partial impact. This study contributes to the growing body of evidence that a population's educational level is a decisive determinant of population health resp. life expectancy in contemporary industrialized societies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Achim Siegel
- Institute of Occupational and Social Medicine and Health Services Research, University Hospital Tübingen, Wilhelmstr. 27, 72074 Tübingen, Germany
| | - Jonas F Schug
- Institute of Occupational and Social Medicine and Health Services Research, University Hospital Tübingen, Wilhelmstr. 27, 72074 Tübingen, Germany
| | - Monika A Rieger
- Institute of Occupational and Social Medicine and Health Services Research, University Hospital Tübingen, Wilhelmstr. 27, 72074 Tübingen, Germany
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Abstract
BACKGROUND There has been little systematic research on the mortality impact of COVID-19 in the Native American population. OBJECTIVE We provide estimates of loss of life expectancy in 2020 and 2021 relative to 2019 for the Native American population. METHODS We use data on age-specific all-cause mortality rates from CDC WONDER and the 2019 life table recently released by the National Vital Statistics System for Native Americans to calculate life tables for the Native American population in 2020 and 2021 and to obtain estimates of life expectancy reductions during the COVID-19 pandemic. RESULTS The pandemic has set Native Americans further behind other major racial/ethnic groups in terms of life expectancy. The estimated loss in life expectancy at birth for Native Americans is 4.5 years in 2020 and 6.4 years in 2021 relative to 2019. CONCLUSIONS These results underscore the disproportionate share of deaths experienced by Native Americans: a loss in life expectancy at birth in 2020 that is more than three years above that for Whites and about 1.5 years above the losses for the Black and Latino populations. Despite a successful vaccination campaign among Native Americans, the estimated loss in life expectancy at birth in 2021 unexpectedly exceeds that in 2020. CONTRIBUTION The increased loss in life expectancy in 2021, despite higher vaccination rates than in other racial/ethnic groups, highlights the huge challenges faced by Native Americans in their efforts to control the deleterious consequences of the pandemic.
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Castillo J, Fremion E, Morrison-Jacobus M, Bolin R, Perez A, Acosta E, Timmons K, Castillo H. Think globally, act locally: Quality improvement as a catalyst for COVID-19 related care during the transitional years. J Pediatr Rehabil Med 2021; 14:691-697. [PMID: 34864703 DOI: 10.3233/prm-210119] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has posed distinctive challenges to adolescents and young adults living with spina bifida, especially those from ethic minority populations. With this public health challenge in mind, developing a customized electronic health record to leverage registry data to promote and quantify COVID-19 vaccination uptake among this population is feasible. We provide a brief description of our activities in customizing an electronic health record to track vaccination uptake among adolescents and young adults with spina bifida (AYASB); and the lessons learned, in hopeful support of those scaling-up vaccination delivery across the globe for AYASB as they transition to adult-centered care. Thus, as providers think globally and act locally, COVID-19 immunization efforts can be implemented while providing culturally appropriate transition policies and services for individuals with neurodevelopmental disabilities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jonathan Castillo
- Meyer Center for Developmental Pediatrics, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Ellen Fremion
- Spina Bifida Transition Clinic, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, TX, USA.,Department of Internal Medicine, Transition Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Melissa Morrison-Jacobus
- Meyer Center for Developmental Pediatrics, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA.,Spina Bifida Transition Clinic, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Rhonda Bolin
- Meyer Center for Developmental Pediatrics, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Ana Perez
- Meyer Center for Developmental Pediatrics, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Eva Acosta
- Meyer Center for Developmental Pediatrics, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
| | - Kelly Timmons
- Population Health, Texas Children's Hospital, Houston TX, USA
| | - Heidi Castillo
- Meyer Center for Developmental Pediatrics, Department of Pediatrics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, USA
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