Linear-noise approximation and the chemical master equation agree up to second-order moments for a class of chemical systems

Regulation of stem cell dynamics through volume exclusion

The maintenance and regeneration of adult tissues rely on the self-renewal of stem cells. Regeneration without over-proliferation requires precise regulation of the stem cell proliferation and differentiation rates. The nature of such regulatory mechanisms in different tissues, and how to incorporate them in models of stem cell population dynamics, is incompletely understood. The critical birth-death (CBD) process is widely used to model stem cell populations, capturing key phenomena, such as scaling laws in clone size distributions. However, the CBD process neglects regulatory mechanisms. Here, we propose the birth-death process with volume exclusion (vBD), a variation of the birth-death process that considers crowding effects, such as may arise due to limited space in a stem cell niche. While the deterministic rate equations predict a single non-trivial attracting steady state, the master equation predicts extinction and transient distributions of stem cell numbers with three possible behaviours: long-lived quasi-steady state (QSS), and short-lived bimodal or unimodal distributions. In all cases, we approximate solutions to the vBD master equation using a renormalized system-size expansion, QSS approximation and the Wentzel–Kramers–Brillouin method. Our study suggests that the size distribution of a stem cell population bears signatures that are useful to detect negative feedback mediated via volume exclusion.

Bayesian inference of kinetic schemes for ion channels by Kalman filtering

Inferring adequate kinetic schemes for ion channel gating from ensemble currents is a daunting task due to limited information in the data. We address this problem by using a parallelized Bayesian filter to specify hidden Markov models for current and fluorescence data. We demonstrate the flexibility of this algorithm by including different noise distributions. Our generalized Kalman filter outperforms both a classical Kalman filter and a rate equation approach when applied to patch-clamp data exhibiting realistic open-channel noise. The derived generalization also enables inclusion of orthogonal fluorescence data, making unidentifiable parameters identifiable and increasing the accuracy of the parameter estimates by an order of magnitude. By using Bayesian highest credibility volumes, we found that our approach, in contrast to the rate equation approach, yields a realistic uncertainty quantification. Furthermore, the Bayesian filter delivers negligibly biased estimates for a wider range of data quality. For some data sets, it identifies more parameters than the rate equation approach. These results also demonstrate the power of assessing the validity of algorithms by Bayesian credibility volumes in general. Finally, we show that our Bayesian filter is more robust against errors induced by either analog filtering before analog-to-digital conversion or by limited time resolution of fluorescence data than a rate equation approach.

Pathway-resolved decomposition demonstrates correlation and noise dependencies of redundant information processing in recurrent feed-forward topologies

In a biochemical assay that converts fan-in networks into feed-forward loops (FFLs), we show that the inter-regulator redundant information about the output gene product can be decomposed into finer components, mediated by the constituent pathways. Variance-based information within the linear noise regime facilitates quantifying these submodular redundancies. Contrary to the conventional wisdom on information decomposition, we report that information redundancy depends nontrivially on inter-regulator correlation. For the type-1 coherent (C1) and incoherent (I1) FFLs, the direct regulatory path-mediated redundancy is certainly correlation independent. However, components induced by the indirect regulatory path and interpathway interference are correlation dependent in (non)linear fashion. The trade-off between information redundancy and similarly decomposable extrinsic noise from input to output node has been demonstrated for the pathways and full motifs. Our analyses suggest that the interpathway cross redundancy positively and negatively influences the superposition of elementary redundancies in the C1- and I1-FFLs, respectively. Their corresponding total extrinsic noise is produced by the weighted sum and difference of the pathway-specific components. We find that the I1-FFL is able to manufacture more varied redundancy and extrinsic noise responses compared to the C1-FFL. Underlying the differing characteristics of the composite metrics across FFL variants, there exist uniformly behaving pathway-dependent elements. The decomposition framework has been meticulously explored in biologically rational parametric realizations through analytical estimates and stochastic simulations.

Improved estimations of stochastic chemical kinetics by finite-state expansion

Stochastic reaction networks are a fundamental model to describe interactions between species where random fluctuations are relevant. The master equation provides the evolution of the probability distribution across the discrete state space consisting of vectors of population counts for each species. However, since its exact solution is often elusive, several analytical approximations have been proposed. The deterministic rate equation (DRE) gives a macroscopic approximation as a compact system of differential equations that estimate the average populations for each species, but it may be inaccurate in the case of nonlinear interaction dynamics. Here we propose finite-state expansion (FSE), an analytical method mediating between the microscopic and the macroscopic interpretations of a stochastic reaction network by coupling the master equation dynamics of a chosen subset of the discrete state space with the mean population dynamics of the DRE. An algorithm translates a network into an expanded one where each discrete state is represented as a further distinct species. This translation exactly preserves the stochastic dynamics, but the DRE of the expanded network can be interpreted as a correction to the original one. The effectiveness of FSE is demonstrated in models that challenge state-of-the-art techniques due to intrinsic noise, multi-scale populations and multi-stability.

Extrinsic noise of the target gene governs abundance pattern of feed-forward loop motifs

Feed-forward loop (FFL) is found to be a recurrent structure in bacterial and yeast gene transcription regulatory networks. In a generic FFL, transcription factor (TF) S regulates production of another TF X while both of these TFs regulate production of final gene-product Y. Depending upon the regulatory programs (activation or repression), FFLs are grouped into two broad classes: coherent (C) and incoherent (I), each class containing four distinct types (C1-C4 and I1-I4). These FFL types are experimentally observed to occur with varied frequencies, C1 and I1 being the abundant ones. Here we present a stochastic framework singling out the absolute value of the normalized covariance of X and Y to be the determining factor behind the abundance of FFLs while considering differential promoter activities of X and Y. Our theoretical construct employs two possible signal integration mechanisms (additive and multiplicative) to synthesize Y while steady-state population level of S remains fixed or becomes tunable reflecting two possible environmental signaling scenarios. Our model categorically points out that abundant FFLs exhibit higher amount of the designated metric which has a biophysical connotation of extrinsic noise for the target gene Y. Our predictions emanating from an overarching analytical expression utilizing biologically plausible parametric conditions are substantiated by stochastic simulation.

Role of integrated noise in pathway-specific signal propagation in feed-forward loops

Cells impose optimal noise control mechanism in diverse situations to cope with distinct environmental cues. Sometimes, it is desirable for the cell to utilize fluctuations for noise-driven processes. In other cases, noise can be harmful to the cell to show optimal fitness. It is, therefore, important to unravel the noise propagation mechanism inside the cell. Such noise controlling mechanism is accomplished by using gene transcription regulatory networks. One such gene regulatory network is feed-forward loop, having three regulatory nodes S, X and Y. Here, we consider the most abundant type 1 of coherent and incoherent feed-forward loops with both OR and AND logic functions, forming four different architectures. In OR logic function, the functions representing S and X act additively for the regulation of Y, while in AND logic function, the same functions (S and X) act multiplicatively for the regulation of Y. Measurement of susceptibility of the signal at output Y is done using elasticity of each regulation in FFLs. Using susceptibility, we demonstrate the nature of pathway integration by which one-step and two-step pathways get overlapped. The integration type is competitive for motifs having OR gate, while it is noncompetitive for the same with AND gate. The pathway integration property explains the output noise behavior of the motifs properly but cannot infer about the mechanism by which the upstream noise propagates to output. To account this, the total output noise is decomposed, which results in integrated noise as an additional noise source along with pathway-specific noise components. The integrated noise is found to appear as a consequence of integration between the pathways and has different functional characteristics explaining noise amplification and noise attenuation property of coherent and incoherent feed-forward loops, respectively. The noise decomposition also quantifies the contribution of different noise sources toward total noise. Finally, the noise propagation is being tuned as a function of input signal noise and its time scale of fluctuations, which shows considerable intrinsic noise strength and relatively slow relaxation time scale causes a higher degree of noise propagation in FFLs.

Coupled membrane transporters reduce noise

Molecular systems are inherently probabilistic and operate in a noisy environment, yet, despite all these uncertainties, molecular functions are surprisingly reliable and robust. The principles used by natural systems to deal with noise are still not well understood, especially in a nonhomogeneous environment where molecules can diffuse across different compartments. In this paper we show that membrane transport mechanisms have very effective properties of noise reduction. In particular, we show that active transport mechanisms (those that can transport against a gradient of concentration by using energy or by means of the concentration gradient of other substances), such as symporters and antiporters, have surprising efficiency in noise reduction, which outperforms passive diffusion mechanisms and are well below Poisson levels. We link our results to the coupled transport of potassium, sodium, and glucose to show that the noise in internal glucose level can be greatly reduced. Our results show that compartmentalization can be a highly effective mechanism of noise reduction and suggests that membrane transport could give this extra benefit, contributing to the emergence of complex compartmentalization in eukaryotes.

Filtering and inference for stochastic oscillators with distributed delays

Motivation

The time evolution of molecular species involved in biochemical reaction networks often arises from complex stochastic processes involving many species and reaction events. Inference for such systems is profoundly challenged by the relative sparseness of experimental data, as measurements are often limited to a small subset of the participating species measured at discrete time points. The need for model reduction can be realistically achieved for oscillatory dynamics resulting from negative translational and transcriptional feedback loops by the introduction of probabilistic time-delays. Although this approach yields a simplified model, inference is challenging and subject to ongoing research. The linear noise approximation (LNA) has recently been proposed to address such systems in stochastic form and will be exploited here.

Results

We develop a novel filtering approach for the LNA in stochastic systems with distributed delays, which allows the parameter values and unobserved states of a stochastic negative feedback model to be inferred from univariate time-series data. The performance of the methods is tested for simulated data. Results are obtained for real data when the model is fitted to imaging data on Cry1, a key gene involved in the mammalian central circadian clock, observed via a luciferase reporter construct in a mouse suprachiasmatic nucleus.

Availability and implementation

Programmes are written in MATLAB and Statistics Toolbox Release 2016 b, The MathWorks, Inc., Natick, Massachusetts, USA. Sample code and Cry1 data are available on GitHub https://github.com/scalderazzo/FLNADD.

Supplementary information

Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

Stochastic or Not? Method To Predict and Quantify the Stochastic Effects on the Association Reaction Equilibria in Nanoscopic Systems

The stochastic nature of chemical reaction and impact of the stochasticity on their evolution is soundly documented. Both theoretical predictions and emerging experimental evidence indicate the influence of stochastic effects on the equilibrium state of association reaction. In this work simple mathematical formulas are introduced to estimate these effects. First, the dependence of the ratio of observed reactants (apparent association constant, equivalent of macroscopic association constant in stochastic analysis) on the volume and the number of molecules of reagents is discussed and the limiting factors of this effect are shown. Next, the apparent association constant is approximated for nanoscale systems by closed-form formulas derived for this purpose. Finally, an estimation for the macroscopic constant value from the apparent one is provided and validated on the published experimental data. This work was inspired by chemical reactions occurring in biological compartments, but the results can be used for all systems belonging to the stochastic regime of chemical reactions.

Phase separation provides a mechanism to reduce noise in cells

Expression of proteins inside cells is noisy, causing variability in protein concentration among identical cells. A central problem in cellular control is how cells cope with this inherent noise. Compartmentalization of proteins through phase separation has been suggested as a potential mechanism to reduce noise, but systematic studies to support this idea have been missing. In this study, we used a physical model that links noise in protein concentration to theory of phase separation to show that liquid droplets can effectively reduce noise. We provide experimental support for noise reduction by phase separation using engineered proteins that form liquid-like compartments in mammalian cells. Thus, phase separation can play an important role in biological signal processing and control.

Deciphering noise amplification and reduction in open chemical reaction networks

The impact of fluctuations on the dynamical behaviour of complex biological systems is a longstanding issue, whose understanding would elucidate how evolutionary pressure tends to modulate intrinsic noise. Using the Itō stochastic differential equation formalism, we performed analytic and numerical analyses of model systems containing different molecular species in contact with the environment and interacting with each other through mass-action kinetics. For networks of zero deficiency, which admit a detailed- or complex-balanced steady state, all molecular species are uncorrelated and their Fano factors are Poissonian. Systems of higher deficiency have non-equilibrium steady states and non-zero reaction fluxes flowing between the complexes. When they model homo-oligomerization, the noise on each species is reduced when the flux flows from the oligomers of lowest to highest degree, and amplified otherwise. In the case of hetero-oligomerization systems, only the noise on the highest-degree species shows this behaviour.

Investigation of chemical noise in multisite phosphorylation chain using linear noise approximation

Quantitative and qualitative nature of chemical noise propagation in biochemical reaction networks depend crucially on the topology of the networks. Multisite reversible phosphorylation-dephosphorylation of target proteins is one such recurrently found topology that regulates host of key functions in living cells. Here we analytically calculated the stochasticity in multistep reversible chemical reactions by determining variance of phosphorylated species at the steady state using linear noise approximation to investigate the effect of mass action and Michaelis-Menten kinetics on the noise of phosphorylated species. We probed the dependence of noise on the number of phosphorylation sites and the equilibrium constants of the reaction equilibria to investigate the chemical noise propagation in the multisite phosphorylation chain.

Restricted information in a two-step cascade

A cell must sense extracellular and intracellular fluctuations and respond appropriately to survive for optimal cellular functioning. Accordingly, a cell builds up biochemical networks which can transduce information of extracellular and intracellular fluctuations accurately. We consider a generic two-step cascade as a model gene regulatory network containing three regulatory proteins S, X, and Y connected as S→X→Y. The intermediate node X is a stochastic variable, acts as an obstacle, and impedes the information flow from S to Y. We quantify the information that is restricted by X using the tools of information theory and term this as restricted information. In this context, we further propose two measurable quantities, restricted efficiency and information transfer efficiency. The former determines how efficiently X restricts the upstream information coming from S, while the latter computes the efficiency of X to pass the upstream information toward Y. We also quantify the information that is being uniquely transferred from X to Y, which determines the extent of the ability of X to act as a source of information. Our analysis shows that when the signal strength (or mean population of S, 〈s〉) is low, the intermediate X can carry forward the upstream information reliably as well, as it acts as a better source of information, thereby increasing the fidelity of the network. But at the high signal strength, X restricts most of the upstream information, and its ability to act as a source of information gets reduced. This leads to a loss of fidelity of the network.

The Linear Noise Approximation for Spatially Dependent Biochemical Networks

An algorithm for computing the linear noise approximation (LNA) of the reaction-diffusion master equation (RDME) is developed and tested. The RDME is often used as a model for biochemical reaction networks. The LNA is derived for a general discretization of the spatial domain of the problem. If M is the number of chemical species in the network and N is the number of nodes in the discretization in space, then the computational work to determine approximations of the mean and the covariances of the probability distributions is proportional to [Formula: see text] in a straightforward implementation. In our LNA algorithm, the work is proportional to [Formula: see text]. Since N usually is larger than M, this is a significant reduction. The accuracy of the approximation in the algorithm is estimated analytically and evaluated in numerical experiments.

Multivariate information processing characterizes fitness of a cascaded gene-transcription machinery

We report that a genetic two-step activation cascade processes diverse flavors of information, e.g., synergy, redundancy, and unique information. Our computations measuring reduction in Shannon entropies and reduction in variances produce differently behaving absolute magnitudes of these informational flavors. We find that similarity can be brought in if these terms are evaluated in fractions with respect to corresponding total information. Each of the input signal and final gene-product is found to generate common or redundant information fractions (mostly) to predict each other, whereas they also complement one another to harness synergistic information fraction, predicting the intermediate biochemical species. For an optimally growing signal to maintain fixed steady-state abundance of activated downstream gene-products, the interaction information fractions for this cascade module shift from net-redundancy to information-independence.

Extending the linear-noise approximation to biochemical systems influenced by intrinsic noise and slow lognormally distributed extrinsic noise

It is well known that the kinetics of an intracellular biochemical network is stochastic. This is due to intrinsic noise arising from the random timing of biochemical reactions in the network as well as due to extrinsic noise stemming from the interaction of unknown molecular components with the network and from the cell's changing environment. While there are many methods to study the effect of intrinsic noise on the system dynamics, few exist to study the influence of both types of noise. Here we show how one can extend the conventional linear-noise approximation to allow for the rapid evaluation of the molecule numbers statistics of a biochemical network influenced by intrinsic noise and by slow lognormally distributed extrinsic noise. The theory is applied to simple models of gene regulatory networks and its validity confirmed by comparison with exact stochastic simulations. In particular, we consider three important biological examples. First, we investigate how extrinsic noise modifies the dependence of the variance of the molecule number fluctuations on the rate constants. Second, we show how the mutual information between input and output of a network motif is affected by extrinsic noise. And third, we study the robustness of the ubiquitously found feed-forward loop motifs when subjected to extrinsic noise.

Chemical Kinetics Roots and Methods to Obtain the Probability Distribution Function Evolution of Reactants and Products in Chemical Networks Governed by a Master Equation

In this paper first, we review the physical root bases of chemical reaction networks as a Markov process in multidimensional vector space. Then we study the chemical reactions from a microscopic point of view, to obtain the expression for the propensities for the different reactions that can happen in the network. These chemical propensities, at a given time, depend on the system state at that time, and do not depend on the state at an earlier time indicating that we are dealing with Markov processes. Then the Chemical Master Equation (CME) is deduced for an arbitrary chemical network from a probability balance and it is expressed in terms of the reaction propensities. This CME governs the dynamics of the chemical system. Due to the difficulty to solve this equation two methods are studied, the first one is the probability generating function method or z-transform, which permits to obtain the evolution of the factorial moment of the system with time in an easiest way or after some manipulation the evolution of the polynomial moments. The second method studied is the expansion of the CME in terms of an order parameter (system volume). In this case we study first the expansion of the CME using the propensities obtained previously and splitting the molecular concentration into a deterministic part and a random part. An expression in terms of multinomial coefficients is obtained for the evolution of the probability of the random part. Then we study how to reconstruct the probability distribution from the moments using the maximum entropy principle. Finally, the previous methods are applied to simple chemical networks and the consistency of these methods is studied.

An algebraic method to calculate parameter regions for constrained steady-state distribution in stochastic reaction networks

Steady state is an essential concept in reaction networks. Its stability reflects fundamental characteristics of several biological phenomena such as cellular signal transduction and gene expression. Because biochemical reactions occur at the cellular level, they are affected by unavoidable fluctuations. Although several methods have been proposed to detect and analyze the stability of steady states for deterministic models, these methods cannot be applied to stochastic reaction networks. In this paper, we propose an algorithm based on algebraic computations to calculate parameter regions for constrained steady-state distribution of stochastic reaction networks, in which the means and variances satisfy some given inequality constraints. To evaluate our proposed method, we perform computer simulations for three typical chemical reactions and demonstrate that the results obtained with our method are consistent with the simulation results.

Interplay of synergy and redundancy in diamond motif

The formalism of partial information decomposition provides a number of independent components which altogether constitute the total information provided by the source variable(s) about the target variable(s). These non-overlapping terms are recognized as unique information, synergistic information, and redundant information. The metric of net synergy conceived as the difference between synergistic and redundant information is capable of detecting effective synergy, effective redundancy, and information independence among stochastic variables. The net synergy can be quantified using appropriate combinations of different Shannon mutual information terms. The utilization of the net synergy in network motifs with the nodes representing different biochemical species, involved in information sharing, uncovers rich store for exciting results. In the current study, we use this formalism to obtain a comprehensive understanding of the relative information processing mechanism in a diamond motif and two of its sub-motifs, namely, bifurcation and integration motif embedded within the diamond motif. The emerging patterns of effective synergy and effective redundancy and their contribution toward ensuring high fidelity information transmission are duly compared in the sub-motifs. Investigation on the metric of net synergy in independent bifurcation and integration motifs are also executed. In all of these computations, the crucial roles played by various systemic time scales, activation coefficients, and signal integration mechanisms at the output of the network topologies are especially emphasized. Following this plan of action, we become confident that the origin of effective synergy and effective redundancy can be architecturally justified by decomposing a diamond motif into bifurcation and integration motif. According to our conjecture, the presence of a common source of fluctuations creates effective redundancy. Our calculations reveal that effective redundancy empowers signal fidelity. Moreover, to achieve this, input signaling species avoids strong interaction with downstream intermediates. This strategy is capable of making the diamond motif noise-tolerant. Apart from the topological features, our study also puts forward the active contribution of additive and multiplicative signal integration mechanisms to nurture effective redundancy and effective synergy.

Efficient and flexible implementation of Langevin simulation for gene burst production

Gene expression involves bursts of production of both mRNA and protein, and the fluctuations in their number are increased due to such bursts. The Langevin equation is an efficient and versatile means to simulate such number fluctuation. However, how to include these mRNA and protein bursts in the Langevin equation is not intuitively clear. In this work, we estimated the variance in burst production from a general gene expression model and introduced such variation in the Langevin equation. Our approach offers different Langevin expressions for either or both transcriptional and translational bursts considered and saves computer time by including many production events at once in a short burst time. The errors can be controlled to be rather precise (<2%) for the mean and <10% for the standard deviation of the steady-state distribution. Our scheme allows for high-quality stochastic simulations with the Langevin equation for gene expression, which is useful in analysis of biological networks.

The Interplay between Feedback and Buffering in Cellular Homeostasis

Buffering, the use of reservoirs of molecules to maintain concentrations of key molecular species, and negative feedback are the primary known mechanisms for robust homeostatic regulation. To our knowledge, however, the fundamental principles behind their combined effect have not been elucidated. Here, we study the interplay between buffering and negative feedback in the context of cellular homeostasis. We show that negative feedback counteracts slow-changing disturbances, whereas buffering counteracts fast-changing disturbances. Furthermore, feedback and buffering have limitations that create trade-offs for regulation: instability in the case of feedback and molecular noise in the case of buffering. However, because buffering stabilizes feedback and feedback attenuates noise from slower-acting buffering, their combined effect on homeostasis can be synergistic. These effects can be explained within a traditional control theory framework and are consistent with experimental observations of both ATP homeostasis and pH regulation in vivo. These principles are critical for studying robustness and homeostasis in biology and biotechnology.

Analytical approximations for spatial stochastic gene expression in single cells and tissues

Gene expression occurs in an environment in which both stochastic and diffusive effects are significant. Spatial stochastic simulations are computationally expensive compared with their deterministic counterparts, and hence little is currently known of the significance of intrinsic noise in a spatial setting. Starting from the reaction–diffusion master equation (RDME) describing stochastic reaction–diffusion processes, we here derive expressions for the approximate steady-state mean concentrations which are explicit functions of the dimensionality of space, rate constants and diffusion coefficients. The expressions have a simple closed form when the system consists of one effective species. These formulae show that, even for spatially homogeneous systems, mean concentrations can depend on diffusion coefficients: this contradicts the predictions of deterministic reaction–diffusion processes, thus highlighting the importance of intrinsic noise. We confirm our theory by comparison with stochastic simulations, using the RDME and Brownian dynamics, of two models of stochastic and spatial gene expression in single cells and tissues.

Stochastic Kuramoto oscillators with discrete phase states

We present a generalization of the Kuramoto phase oscillator model in which phases advance in discrete phase increments through Poisson processes, rendering both intrinsic oscillations and coupling inherently stochastic. We study the effects of phase discretization on the synchronization and precision properties of the coupled system both analytically and numerically. Remarkably, many key observables such as the steady-state synchrony and the quality of oscillations show distinct extrema while converging to the classical Kuramoto model in the limit of a continuous phase. The phase-discretized model provides a general framework for coupled oscillations in a Markov chain setting.

Inference for Stochastic Chemical Kinetics Using Moment Equations and System Size Expansion

Quantitative mechanistic models are valuable tools for disentangling biochemical pathways and for achieving a comprehensive understanding of biological systems. However, to be quantitative the parameters of these models have to be estimated from experimental data. In the presence of significant stochastic fluctuations this is a challenging task as stochastic simulations are usually too time-consuming and a macroscopic description using reaction rate equations (RREs) is no longer accurate. In this manuscript, we therefore consider moment-closure approximation (MA) and the system size expansion (SSE), which approximate the statistical moments of stochastic processes and tend to be more precise than macroscopic descriptions. We introduce gradient-based parameter optimization methods and uncertainty analysis methods for MA and SSE. Efficiency and reliability of the methods are assessed using simulation examples as well as by an application to data for Epo-induced JAK/STAT signaling. The application revealed that even if merely population-average data are available, MA and SSE improve parameter identifiability in comparison to RRE. Furthermore, the simulation examples revealed that the resulting estimates are more reliable for an intermediate volume regime. In this regime the estimation error is reduced and we propose methods to determine the regime boundaries. These results illustrate that inference using MA and SSE is feasible and possesses a high sensitivity.

In this manuscript, we introduce efficient methods for parameter estimation for stochastic processes. The stochasticity of chemical reactions can influence the average behavior of the considered system. For some biological systems, a microscopic, stochastic description is computationally intractable but a macroscopic, deterministic description too inaccurate. This inaccuracy manifests itself in an error in parameter estimates, which impede the predictive power of the proposed model. Until now, no rigorous analysis on the magnitude of the estimation error exists. We show by means of two simulation examples that using mesoscopic descriptions based on the system size expansions and moment-closure approximations can reduce this estimation error compared to inference using a macroscopic description. This reduction is most pronounced in an intermediate volume regime where the influence of stochasticity on the average behavior is moderately strong. For the JAK/STAT pathway where experimental data is available, we show that one parameter that was not structurally identifiable when using a macroscopic description becomes structurally identifiable when using a mesoscopic description for parameter estimation.

Redundancy in information transmission in a two-step cascade

We present a stochastic framework to study signal transmission in a generic two-step cascade S→X→Y. Starting from a set of Langevin equations obeying Gaussian noise processes we calculate the variance and covariance while considering both linear and nonlinear production terms for different biochemical species of the cascade. These quantities are then used to calculate the net synergy within the purview of partial information decomposition. We show that redundancy in information transmission is essentially an important consequence of Markovian property of the two-step cascade motif. We also show that redundancy increases fidelity of the signaling pathway.

Promoters Architecture-Based Mechanism for Noise-Induced Oscillations in a Single-Gene Circuit

It is well known that single-gene circuits with negative feedback loop can lead to oscillatory gene expression when they operate with time delay. In order to generate these oscillations many processes can contribute to properly timing such delay. Here we show that the time delay coming from the transitions between internal states of the cis-regulatory system (CRS) can drive sustained oscillations in an auto-repressive single-gene circuit operating in a small volume like a cell. We found that the cooperative binding of repressor molecules is not mandatory for a oscillatory behavior if there are enough binding sites in the CRS. These oscillations depend on an adequate balance between the CRS kinetic, and the synthesis/degradation rates of repressor molecules. This finding suggest that the multi-site CRS architecture can play a key role for oscillatory behavior of gene expression. Finally, our results can also help to synthetic biologists on the design of the promoters architecture for new genetic oscillatory circuits.

CERENA: ChEmical REaction Network Analyzer--A Toolbox for the Simulation and Analysis of Stochastic Chemical Kinetics

Gene expression, signal transduction and many other cellular processes are subject to stochastic fluctuations. The analysis of these stochastic chemical kinetics is important for understanding cell-to-cell variability and its functional implications, but it is also challenging. A multitude of exact and approximate descriptions of stochastic chemical kinetics have been developed, however, tools to automatically generate the descriptions and compare their accuracy and computational efficiency are missing. In this manuscript we introduced CERENA, a toolbox for the analysis of stochastic chemical kinetics using Approximations of the Chemical Master Equation solution statistics. CERENA implements stochastic simulation algorithms and the finite state projection for microscopic descriptions of processes, the system size expansion and moment equations for meso- and macroscopic descriptions, as well as the novel conditional moment equations for a hybrid description. This unique collection of descriptions in a single toolbox facilitates the selection of appropriate modeling approaches. Unlike other software packages, the implementation of CERENA is completely general and allows, e.g., for time-dependent propensities and non-mass action kinetics. By providing SBML import, symbolic model generation and simulation using MEX-files, CERENA is user-friendly and computationally efficient. The availability of forward and adjoint sensitivity analyses allows for further studies such as parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis. The MATLAB code implementing CERENA is freely available from http://cerenadevelopers.github.io/CERENA/.

Universal Poisson Statistics of mRNAs with Complex Decay Pathways

Messenger RNA (mRNA) dynamics in single cells are often modeled as a memoryless birth-death process with a constant probability per unit time that an mRNA molecule is synthesized or degraded. This predicts a Poisson steady-state distribution of mRNA number, in close agreement with experiments. This is surprising, since mRNA decay is known to be a complex process. The paradox is resolved by realizing that the Poisson steady state generalizes to arbitrary mRNA lifetime distributions. A mapping between mRNA dynamics and queueing theory highlights an identifiability problem: a measured Poisson steady state is consistent with a large variety of microscopic models. Here, I provide a rigorous and intuitive explanation for the universality of the Poisson steady state. I show that the mRNA birth-death process and its complex decay variants all take the form of the familiar Poisson law of rare events, under a nonlinear rescaling of time. As a corollary, not only steady-states but also transients are Poisson distributed. Deviations from the Poisson form occur only under two conditions, promoter fluctuations leading to transcriptional bursts or nonindependent degradation of mRNA molecules. These results place severe limits on the power of single-cell experiments to probe microscopic mechanisms, and they highlight the need for single-molecule measurements.