Twitter Health Surveillance (THS) System

JUE Insight: The geographic spread of COVID-19 correlates with the structure of social networks as measured by Facebook

We use aggregated data from Facebook to show that COVID-19 is more likely to spread between regions with stronger social network connections. Areas with more social ties to two early COVID-19 "hotspots" (Westchester County, NY, in the U.S. and Lodi province in Italy) generally had more confirmed COVID-19 cases by the end of March. These relationships hold after controlling for geographic distance to the hotspots as well as the population density and demographics of the regions. As the pandemic progressed in the U.S., a county's social proximity to recent COVID-19 cases and deaths predicts future outbreaks over and above physical proximity and demographics. In part due to its broad coverage, social connectedness data provides additional predictive power to measures based on smartphone location or online search data. These results suggest that data from online social networks can be useful to epidemiologists and others hoping to forecast the spread of communicable diseases such as COVID-19.

Evolutionary clustering and community detection algorithms for social media health surveillance

The prominent rise of social networks within the past decade have become a gold mine for data mining operations seeking to model the real world through these virtual worlds. One of the most important applications that has been proposed is utilizing information generated from social networks as a supplemental health surveillance system to monitor disease epidemics. At the time this research was conducted in 2020, the COVID-19 virus had evolved into a global pandemic, forcing many countries to implement preventative measures to halt its expanse. Health surveillance has been a powerful tool in placing further preventative measures, however it is not a perfect system, and slowly collected, misidentified information can prove detrimental to these efforts. This research proposes a new potential surveillance avenue through unsupervised machine learning using dynamic, evolutionary variants of clustering algorithms DBSCAN and the Louvain method to allow for community detection in temporal networks. This technique is paired with geographical data collected directly from the social media Twitter, to create an effective and accurate health surveillance system that grows as time passes. The experimental results show that the proposed system is promising and has the potential to be an advancement on current machine learning health surveillance techniques.

COVID-19 in the Twitterverse, from epidemic to pandemic: information-sharing behavior and Twitter as an information carrier

In this study, we defined a Twitter network as an information channel that includes information sources containing embedded messages. We conducted stage-based comparative analyses of Twitter networks during three periods: the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic, the period when the epidemic was becoming a global phenomenon, and the beginning of the pandemic. We also analyzed the characteristics of scientific information sources and content on Twitter during the sample period. At the beginning of the epidemic, Twitter users largely shared trustworthy news information sources about the novel coronavirus. Widely shared scientific information focused on clinical investigations and case studies of the new coronavirus as the disease became a pandemic while non-scientific information sources and messages illustrated the social and political aspects of the global outbreak, often including emotional elements. Multiple suspicious, bot-like Twitter accounts were identified as a great connector of the COVID-19 Twitterverse, particularly in the beginning of the global crisis. Our findings suggest that the information carriers, which are information channels, sources, and messages were coherently interlocked, forming an information organism. The study results can help public health organizations design communication strategies, which often require prompt decision-making to manage urgent needs under the circumstances of an epidemic.

Social Media- and Internet-Based Disease Surveillance for Public Health

Disease surveillance systems are a cornerstone of public health tracking and prevention. This review addresses the use, promise, perils, and ethics of social media- and Internet-based data collection for public health surveillance. Our review highlights untapped opportunities for integrating digital surveillance in public health and current applications that could be improved through better integration, validation, and clarity on rules surrounding ethical considerations. Promising developments include hybrid systems that couple traditional surveillance data with data from search queries, social media posts, and crowdsourcing. In the future, it will be important to identify opportunities for public and private partnerships, train public health experts in data science, reduce biases related to digital data (gathered from Internet use, wearable devices, etc.), and address privacy. We are on the precipice of an unprecedented opportunity to track, predict, and prevent global disease burdens in the population using digital data.