Adaptive experimental design produces superior and more efficient estimates of predator functional response

Ecological dynamics are strongly influenced by the relationship between prey density and predator feeding behavior-that is, the predatory functional response. A useful understanding of this relationship requires us to distinguish between competing models of the functional response, and to robustly estimate the model parameters. Recent advances in this topic have revealed bias in model comparison, as well as in model parameter estimation in functional response studies, mainly attributed to the quality of data. Here, we propose that an adaptive experimental design framework can mitigate these challenges. We then present the first practical demonstration of the improvements it offers over standard experimental design. Our results reveal that adaptive design can efficiently identify the preferred functional response model among the competing models, and can produce much more precise posterior distributions for the estimated functional response parameters. By increasing the efficiency of experimentation, adaptive experimental design will lead to reduced logistical burden.

Neoptile feathers contribute to outline concealment of precocial chicks

Camouflage is a widespread strategy to increase survival. The cryptic plumage colouration of precocial chicks improves camouflage often through disruptive colouration. Here, we examine whether and how fringed neoptile feathers conceal the outline of chicks. We first conducted a digital experiment to test two potential mechanisms for outline concealment through appendages: (1) reduction of edge intensity and (2) luminance transition. Local Edge Intensity Analysis showed that appendages decreased edge intensity whereas a mean luminance comparison revealed that the appendages created an intermediate transition zone to conceal the object's outline. For edge intensity, the outline diffusion was strongest for a vision system with low spatial acuity, which is characteristic of many mammalian chick predators. We then analysed photographs of young snowy plover (Charadrius nivosus) chicks to examine whether feathers increase outline concealment in a natural setting. Consistent with better camouflage, the outline of digitally cropped chicks with protruding feathers showed lower edge intensities than the outline of chicks without those feathers. However, the observed mean luminance changes did not indicate better concealment. Taken together, our results suggest that thin skin appendages such as neoptile feathers improve camouflage. As skin appendages are widespread, this mechanism may apply to many organisms.

Derivation of Predator Functional Responses Using a Mechanistic Approach in a Natural System

The functional response is at the core of any predator-prey interactions as it establishes the link between trophic levels. The use of inaccurate functional response can profoundly affect the outcomes of population and community models. Yet most functional responses are evaluated using phenomenological models which often fail to discriminate among functional response shapes and cannot identify the proximate mechanisms regulating predator acquisition rates. Using a combination of behavioral, demographic, and experimental data collected over 20 years, we develop a mechanistic model based on species traits and behavior to assess the functional response of a generalist mammalian predator, the arctic fox (Vulpes lagopus), to various tundra prey species (lemmings and the nests of geese, passerines, and sandpipers). Predator acquisition rates derived from the mechanistic model were consistent with field observations. Although acquisition rates slightly decrease at high goose nest and lemming densities, none of our simulations resulted in a saturating response in all prey species. Our results highlight the importance of predator searching components in predator-prey interactions, especially predator speed, while predator acquisition rates were not limited by handling processes. By combining theory with field observations, our study provides support that the predator acquisition rate is not systematically limited at the highest prey densities observed in a natural system. Our study also illustrates how mechanistic models based on empirical estimates of the main components of predation can generate functional response shapes specific to the range of prey densities observed in the wild. Such models are needed to fully untangle proximate drivers of predator-prey population dynamics and to improve our understanding of predator-mediated interactions in natural communities.