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Wu K, Wang Y, Liu Z, Huo W, Cao J, Zhao G, Zhang FG. Prediction of potential invasion of two weeds of the genus Avena in Asia under climate change based on Maxent. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2024; 950:175192. [PMID: 39111452 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175192] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2024] [Revised: 07/29/2024] [Accepted: 07/30/2024] [Indexed: 08/12/2024]
Abstract
Avena sterilis L. (A. sterilis) and Avena ludoviciana Dur. (A. ludoviciana) are extremely invasive weeds with strong competitive ability and multiple transmission routes. Both species can invade a variety of dryland crops, including wheat, corn, and beans. Asia, as the world's major food-producing continent, will experience significant losses to agricultural production if it is invaded by these weeds on a large scale. This study used the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS to map the distribution of suitable habitats of the two species in Asia under climate change conditions. The constructed model comprised four levels, with a total of 25 index-level indicator factors used to evaluate the invasion risk of the two species. The results showed that the distribution of suitable habitats for both Avena species was highly dependent on precipitation and temperature. Under climate warming conditions, although overall the total suitable area is predicted to decrease compared to the current period, there are still moderately or highly suitable areas. Asian countries need to provide early warning for areas with significant increases in moderate and highly suitable zones for these two species of weeds under the background of climate change. If there is already an invaded area or if the suitability of the original area is increased, this should be closely monitored, and control measures should be taken to prevent further spread and deterioration.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kefan Wu
- College of Life Science, Shanxi Engineering Research Center of Microbial application technologies, Shanxi Normal University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Yongji Wang
- College of Life Science, Shanxi Engineering Research Center of Microbial application technologies, Shanxi Normal University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Zhusong Liu
- College of Life Science, Shanxi Engineering Research Center of Microbial application technologies, Shanxi Normal University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Wentao Huo
- College of Life Science, Shanxi Engineering Research Center of Microbial application technologies, Shanxi Normal University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Jiaying Cao
- College of Life Science, Shanxi Engineering Research Center of Microbial application technologies, Shanxi Normal University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Guanghua Zhao
- College of Life Science, Shanxi Engineering Research Center of Microbial application technologies, Shanxi Normal University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Fen-Guo Zhang
- College of Life Science, Shanxi Engineering Research Center of Microbial application technologies, Shanxi Normal University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China.
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Keith SA, Hobbs JP, Boström-Einarsson L, Hartley IR, Sanders NJ. Rapid resource depletion on coral reefs disrupts competitor recognition processes among butterflyfish species. Proc Biol Sci 2023; 290:20222158. [PMID: 36598015 PMCID: PMC9811634 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2022.2158] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Avoiding costly fights can help conserve energy needed to survive rapid environmental change. Competitor recognition processes help resolve contests without escalating to attack, yet we have limited understanding of how they are affected by resource depletion and potential effects on species coexistence. Using a mass coral mortality event as a natural experiment and 3770 field observations of butterflyfish encounters, we test how rapid resource depletion could disrupt recognition processes in butterflyfishes. Following resource loss, heterospecifics approached each other more closely before initiating aggression, fewer contests were resolved by signalling, and the energy invested in attacks was greater. By contrast, behaviour towards conspecifics did not change. As predicted by theory, conspecifics approached one another more closely and were more consistent in attack intensity yet, contrary to expectations, resolution of contests via signalling was more common among heterospecifics. Phylogenetic relatedness or body size did not predict these outcomes. Our results suggest that competitor recognition processes for heterospecifics became less accurate after mass coral mortality, which we hypothesize is due to altered resource overlaps following dietary shifts. Our work implies that competitor recognition is common among heterospecifics, and disruption of this system could lead to suboptimal decision-making, exacerbating sublethal impacts of food scarcity.
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Affiliation(s)
- S. A. Keith
- Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster LA1 4YQ, UK
| | - J-P.A. Hobbs
- School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD 4069, Australia
| | | | - I. R. Hartley
- Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster LA1 4YQ, UK
| | - N. J. Sanders
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
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Nicholson DJ, Knell RJ, McCrea RS, Neel LK, Curlis JD, Williams CE, Chung AK, McMillan WO, Garner TWJ, Cox CL, Logan ML. Climate anomalies and competition reduce establishment success during island colonization. Ecol Evol 2022; 12:e9402. [PMID: 36248670 PMCID: PMC9547383 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.9402] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2022] [Revised: 09/14/2022] [Accepted: 09/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Understanding the factors that facilitate or constrain establishment of populations in novel environments is crucial for conservation biology and the study of adaptive radiation. Important questions include: (1) Does the timing of colonization relative to stochastic events, such as climatic perturbations, impact the probability of successful establishment? (2) To what extent does community context (e.g., the presence of competitors) change the probability of establishment? (3) How do sources of intrapopulation variance, such as sex differences, affect success at an individual level during the process of establishment? Answers to these questions are rarely pursued in a field-experimental context or on the same time scales (months to years) as the processes of colonization and establishment. We introduced slender anole lizards (Anolis apletophallus) to eight islands in the Panama Canal and tracked them over multiple generations to investigate the factors that mediate establishment success. All islands were warmer than the mainland (ancestral) environment, and some islands had a native competitor. We transplanted half of these populations only 4 months before the onset of a severe regional drought and the other half 2 years (two generations) before the drought. We found that successful establishment depended on both the intensity of interspecific competition and the timing of colonization relative to the drought. The islands that were colonized shortly before the drought went functionally extinct by the second generation, and regardless of time before the drought, the populations on islands with interspecific competition declined continuously over the study period. Furthermore, the effect of the competitor interacted with sex, with males suffering, and females benefitting, from the presence of a native competitor. Our results reveal that community context and the timing of colonization relative to climactic events can combine to determine establishment success and that these factors can generate opposite effects on males and females.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel J. Nicholson
- Queen Mary University of LondonLondonUK,Smithsonian Tropical Research InstitutePanama CityPanama,Zoological Society of LondonLondonUK,University of Texas at ArlingtonArlingtonTexasUSA
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Michael L. Logan
- Smithsonian Tropical Research InstitutePanama CityPanama,University of NevadaRenoNevadaUSA
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Lauder GV. Robotics as a Comparative Method in Ecology and Evolutionary Biology. Integr Comp Biol 2022; 62:icac016. [PMID: 35435223 DOI: 10.1093/icb/icac016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Comparative biologists have typically used one or more of the following methods to assist in evaluating the proposed functional and performance significance of individual traits: comparative phylogenetic analysis, direct interspecific comparison among species, genetic modification, experimental alteration of morphology (for example by surgically modifying traits), and ecological manipulation where individual organisms are transplanted to a different environment. But comparing organisms as the endpoints of an evolutionary process involves the ceteris paribus assumption: that all traits other than the one(s) of interest are held constant. In a properly controlled experimental study, only the variable of interest changes among the groups being compared. The theme of this paper is that the use of robotic or mechanical models offers an additional tool in comparative biology that helps to minimize the effect of uncontrolled variables by allowing direct manipulation of the trait of interest against a constant background. The structure and movement pattern of mechanical devices can be altered in ways not possible in studies of living animals, facilitating testing hypotheses of the functional and performance significant of individual traits. Robotic models of organismal design are particularly useful in three arenas: (1) controlling variation to allow modification only of the trait of interest, (2) the direct measurement of energetic costs of individual traits, and (3) quantification of the performance landscape. Obtaining data in these three areas is extremely difficult through the study of living organisms alone, and the use of robotic models can reveal unexpected effects. Controlling for all variables except for the length of a swimming flexible object reveals substantial non-linear effects that vary with stiffness. Quantification of the swimming performance surface reveals that there are two peaks with comparable efficiency, greatly complicating the inference of performance from morphology alone. Organisms and their ecological interactions are complex, and dissecting this complexity to understand the effects of individual traits is a grand challenge in ecology and evolutionary biology. Robotics has great promise as a "comparative method," allowing better-controlled comparative studies to analyze the many interacting elements that make up complex behaviors, ecological interactions, and evolutionary histories.
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Affiliation(s)
- George V Lauder
- Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138
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Zhang Y, Tang J, Ren G, Zhao K, Wang X. Global potential distribution prediction of Xanthium italicum based on Maxent model. Sci Rep 2021; 11:16545. [PMID: 34400696 PMCID: PMC8368065 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-96041-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/13/2021] [Accepted: 07/28/2021] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Alien invasive plants pose a threat to global biodiversity and the cost of control continues to rise. Early detection and prediction of potential risk areas are essential to minimize ecological and socio-economic costs. In this study, the Maxent model was used to predict current and future climatic conditions to estimate the potential global distribution of the invasive plant Xanthium italicum. The model consists of 366 occurrence records (10 repeats, 75% for calibration and 25% for verification) and 10 climate prediction variables. According to the model forecast, the distribution of X. italicum was expected to shrink in future climate scenarios with human intervention, which may be mainly caused by the rise in global average annual temperature. The ROC curve showed that the AUC values of the training set and the test set are 0.965 and 0.906, respectively, indicating that the prediction result of this model was excellent. The contribution rates of annual mean temperature, monthly mean diurnal temperature range, standard deviation of temperature seasonal change and annual average precipitation to the geographical distribution of X. italicum were 65.3%, 11.2%, 9.0%, and 7.7%, respectively, and the total contribution rate was 93.2%. These four variables are the dominant environmental factors affecting the potential distribution of X. italicum, and the influence of temperature is greater than that of precipitation. Through our study on the potential distribution prediction of X. italicum under the future climatic conditions, it has contribution for all countries to strengthen its monitoring, prevention and control, including early warning.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yang Zhang
- College of Computer Science and Technology, Henan Institute of Technology, Henan, 453003, China. .,Institute of Data Mining and Intelligent Computing, Henan Institute of Technology, Henan, 453003, China.
| | - Jieshi Tang
- College of Life Science, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610000, China
| | - Gang Ren
- College of Computer Science and Technology, Henan Institute of Technology, Henan, 453003, China
| | - Kaixin Zhao
- College of Computer Science and Technology, Henan Institute of Technology, Henan, 453003, China
| | - Xianfang Wang
- College of Computer Science and Technology, Henan Institute of Technology, Henan, 453003, China.,Institute of Data Mining and Intelligent Computing, Henan Institute of Technology, Henan, 453003, China
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