Comparisons between tumor burden and other prognostic factors that influence survival of patients with non-small cell lung cancer treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors

Prognostic significance of initial tumor shrinkage in patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer treated with durvalumab following chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Baseline tumor size (BTS) is one of the prognostic factors of advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with immunotherapy. However, its prognostic value in patients with locally advanced NSCLC receiving durvalumab maintenance therapy remains unclear.

METHODS

The present study retrospectively reviewed 136 patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC who underwent CRT and durvalumab at two institutions in Japan. The maximum diameter of the target lesion (max BTS) before CRT was measured, the best response to CRT before durvalumab was evaluated, and the impact of the response on durvalumab was explored. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were defined as the time from the day of starting durvalumab.

RESULTS

Of the total cohort, 133 (97.8%) patients had at least one measurable lesion. The best response to CRT resulting in CR, PR, and SD was seen in 0 (0%), 69 (51.9%), and 64 (48.1%) patients, respectively. PFS was significantly longer in the patients with PR than in those with SD after CRT (median not reached vs. 20.0 months; HR: 0.51; P = 0.023). Moreover, the absence of a massive lesion (max BTS < 50 mm) was associated with a superior CRT response (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The best response to induction CRT was associated with better PFS in patients with stage III NSCLC receiving durvalumab following chemoradiotherapy. Although the absence of a massive lesion was associated with a better response to induction CRT in this cohort, this was not translated into PFS and OS benefit.

Prognostic Value of the Glasgow Prognostic Score in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients Receiving Immunotherapy: A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) has proven to be a good biomarker for lung cancer prognosis. However, its usefulness in lung cancer patients receiving checkpoint inhibitor immunotherapy remains controversial. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis to explore the prognostic value of the GPS in non-small cell lung cancer patients receiving immunotherapy.

METHODS

PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and Embase were systematically searched for relevant studies up to May 31, 2023, and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were merged to investigate the prognostic value of the GPS for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

Seven studies comprising 833 patients were included in the primary analysis, and the pooled results indicated that a higher baseline GPS was associated with poorer OS and PFS in non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) (OS: HR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.47-2.58, p < 0.01; PFS: HR = 1.63, 95% CI: 1.26-2.11, p < 0.01). These findings were robust after subgroup and sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

The GPS can serve as a biomarker in non-small cell lung cancer patients receiving immunotherapy with significant prognostic value; however, these findings require more prospective evidence for validation.

Circulating neutrophil extracellular trap (NET)-forming 'rogue' neutrophil subset, immunotype [DEspR + CD11b +], mediate multi-organ failure in COVID-19-an observational study

Background

Cumulative research show association of neutrophils and neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) with poor outcomes in severe COVID-19. However, to date, there is no curative intent therapy able to block neutrophil/NETs-mediated progression of multi-organ dysfunction. Because of emerging neutrophil heterogeneity, the study of subsets of circulating NET-forming neutrophils [NET + Ns] as mediators of multi-organ failure progression among patients with COVID-19 is critical to identification of therapeutic targets.

Methods

We conducted a prospective observational study of circulating levels of CD11b + [NET + N] immunotyped for dual endothelin-1/signal peptide receptor (DEspR ±) expression by quantitative immunofluorescence-cytology and causal mediation analysis. In 36 consented adults hospitalized with mod-severe COVID-19, May to September 2020, we measured acute multi-organ failure via SOFA-scores and respiratory failure via SaO2/FiO2 (SF)-ratio at time points t1 (average 5.5 days from ICU/hospital admission) and t2 (the day before ICU-discharge or death), and ICU-free days at day28 (ICUFD). Circulating absolute neutrophil counts (ANC) and [NET + N] subset-specific counts were measured at t1. Spearman correlation and causal mediation analyses were conducted.

Results

Spearman correlation analyses showed correlations of t1-SOFA with t2-SOFA (rho r S  = 0.80) and ICUFD (r S  = -0.76); circulating DEspR + [NET + Ns] with t1-SOFA (r S  = 0.71), t2-SOFA (r S  = 0.62), and ICUFD (r S  = -0.63), and ANC with t1-SOFA (r S  = 0.71), and t2-SOFA (r S  = 0.61).Causal mediation analysis identified DEspR + [NET + Ns] as mediator of 44.1% [95% CI:16.5,110.6] of the causal path between t1-SOFA (exposure) and t2-SOFA (outcome), with 46.9% [15.8,124.6] eliminated when DEspR + [NET + Ns] were theoretically reduced to zero. Concordantly, DEspR + [NET + Ns] mediated 47.1% [22.0,72.3%] of the t1-SOFA to ICUFD causal path, with 51.1% [22.8,80.4%] eliminated if DEspR + [NET + Ns] were reduced to zero. In patients with t1-SOFA > 1, the indirect effect of a hypothetical treatment eliminating DEspR + [NET + Ns] projected a reduction of t2-SOFA by 0.98 [0.29,2.06] points and ICUFD by 3.0 [0.85,7.09] days. In contrast, there was no significant mediation of SF-ratio through DEspR + [NET + Ns], and no significant mediation of SOFA-score through ANC.

Conclusions

Despite equivalent correlations, DEspR + [NET + Ns], but not ANC, mediated progression of multi-organ failure in acute COVID-19, and its hypothetical reduction is projected to improve ICUFD. These translational findings warrant further studies of DEspR + [NET + Ns] as potential patient-stratifier and actionable therapeutic target for multi-organ failure in COVID-19.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s41231-023-00143-x.

Circulating neutrophil extracellular trap (NET)-forming 'rogue' neutrophil subset, immunotype [DEspR+CD11b+], mediate multi-organ failure in COVID-19 - an observational study

Background: Cumulative research show association of neutrophils and neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) with poor outcomes in severe COVID-19. However, to date, no curative intent therapy has been identified to block neutrophil/NETs-mediated progression of multi-organ dysfunction. Because of emerging neutrophil heterogeneity, the study of subsets of circulating neutrophil-extracellular trap (NET)-forming neutrophils [NET+Ns] as mediators of multi-organ failure progression among patients with COVID-19 is critical to identification of therapeutic targets. Methods: We conducted a prospective observational study of circulating levels of CD11b+[NET+N] immunotyped for dual endothelin-1/signal peptide receptor, (DEspR±) expression by quantitative immunofluorescence-cytology and causal mediation analysis. In 36 consented adults hospitalized with mod-severe COVID-19, May to September 2020, we measured acute multi-organ failure via SOFA-scores and respiratory failure via SaO2/FiO2 (SF)ratio at time points t1 (average 5.5 days from ICU/hospital admission) and t2 (the day before ICU-discharge or death), and ICU-free days at day28 (ICUFD). Circulating absolute neutrophil counts (ANC) and [NET+N] subset-specific counts were measured at t1. Spearman correlation and causal mediation analyses were conducted. Results: Spearman correlation analyses showed correlations of t1-SOFA with t2-SOFA ( rho r _S =0.80) and ICUFD ( r _S =-0.76); circulating DEspR+[NET+Ns] with t1-SOFA ( r _S = 0.71), t2-SOFA ( r _S =0.62), and ICUFD ( r _S =-0.63), and ANC with t1-SOFA ( r _S =0.71), and t2-SOFA ( r _S =0.61). Causal mediation analysis identified DEspR+[NET+Ns] as mediator of 44.1% [95% CI:16.5,110.6] of the causal path between t1-SOFA (exposure) and t2-SOFA (outcome), with 46.9% [15.8,124.6] eliminated when DEspR+[NET+Ns] were theoretically reduced to zero. Concordantly, DEspR+[NET+Ns] mediated 47.1% [22.0,72.3%] of the t1-SOFA to ICUFD causal path, with 51.1% [22.8,80.4%] eliminated if DEspR+[NET+Ns] were reduced to zero. In patients with t1-SOFA >1, the indirect effect of a hypothetical treatment eliminating DEspR+[NET+Ns] projected a reduction of t2-SOFA by 0.98 [0.29,2.06] points and ICUFD by 3.0 [0.85,7.09] days. In contrast, there was no significant mediation of SF-ratio through DEspR+[NET+Ns], and no significant mediation of SOFA-score through ANC. Conclusions: Despite equivalent correlations, DEspR+[NET+Ns], but not ANC, mediated progression of multi-organ failure in acute COVID-19, and its hypothetical reduction is projected to improve ICUFD. These translational findings warrant further studies of DEspR+[NET+Ns] as potential patient-stratifier and actionable therapeutic target for multi-organ failure in COVID-19.

High tumor burden in non-small-cell lung cancer: A review of the literature

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death worldwide and the majority of the patients have advanced/metastatic disease on presentation. In clinical practice, several biomarkers and clinical factors are taken into account when choosing the best treatment option in advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). One potential marker may be tumor burden (TB). However, this concept is not specifically defined in NSCLC, and usually, it is used as a synonymous for aggressive disease.

METHODS

A non-systematic literature review was conducted. We searched for eligible randomized controlled trials from PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials with a cutoff at February 2021. The keywords included non-small-cell lung cancer, tumor burden, aggressive disease, prognosis biomarker, predictive biomarker, and immunotherapy.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

This review addresses the definition of TB in advanced NSCLC, the pathophysiology of high TB lesions, and the role of TB as a prognosis biomarker.

RELEVANCE FOR PATIENTS

The concept of aggressive disease, as high tumor burden definition, remains poorly defined and rarely considered in clinical research or clinical practice in oncology. The identification of this subgroup of patients could be interesting for defining and optimizing a more aggressive treatment strategy.

Imaging to predict checkpoint inhibitor outcomes in cancer. A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Checkpoint inhibition has radically improved the perspective for patients with metastatic cancer, but predicting who will not respond with high certainty remains difficult. Imaging-derived biomarkers may be able to provide additional insights into the heterogeneity in tumour response between patients. In this systematic review, we aimed to summarise and qualitatively assess the current evidence on imaging biomarkers that predict response and survival in patients treated with checkpoint inhibitors in all cancer types.

METHODS

PubMed and Embase were searched from database inception to 29th November 2021. Articles eligible for inclusion described baseline imaging predictive factors, radiomics and/or imaging machine learning models for predicting response and survival in patients with any kind of malignancy treated with checkpoint inhibitors. Risk of bias was assessed using the QUIPS and PROBAST tools and data was extracted.

RESULTS

In total, 119 studies including 15,580 patients were selected. Of these studies, 73 investigated simple imaging factors. 45 studies investigated radiomic features or deep learning models. Predictors of worse survival were (i) higher tumour burden, (ii) presence of liver metastases, (iii) less subcutaneous adipose tissue, (iv) less dense muscle and (v) presence of symptomatic brain metastases. Hazard rate ratios did not exceed 2.00 for any predictor in the larger and higher quality studies. The added value of baseline fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography parameters in predicting response to treatment was limited. Pilot studies of radioactive drug tracer imaging showed promising results. Reports on radiomics were almost unanimously positive, but numerous methodological concerns exist.

CONCLUSIONS

There is well-supported evidence for several imaging biomarkers that can be used in clinical decision making. Further research, however, is needed into biomarkers that can more accurately identify which patients who will not benefit from checkpoint inhibition. Radiomics and radioactive drug labelling appear to be promising approaches for this purpose.

The Predictive Value of Pretreatment Lactate Dehydrogenase and Derived Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients Treated With PD-1/PD-L1 Inhibitors: A Meta-Analysis

Background

The Lung Immune Prognostic Index (LIPI) combines the lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level and the derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (dNLR). A lot of studies have shown that LDH and dNLR are associated with the prognosis of advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in patients treated with programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) or programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitors. However, previous results were inconsistent, and the conclusions remain unclear. This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the predictive value of pretreatment LDH and dNLR for NSCLC progression in patients treated with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors.

Methods

PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched by two researchers independently for related literature before March 2020. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were extracted to assess the predictive value of LDH and dNLR. STATA 15. 0 was used to perform the meta-analysis.

Results

A total of 3,429 patients from 26 studies were included in this meta-analysis. The results revealed that high pretreatment LDH was related to poor OS (HR = 1.19, 95%CI = 1.11–1.24, p < 0.001), but not closely related to poor PFS (HR = 1.02, 95%CI = 1.00–1.04, p = 0.023 < 0.05). The pooled results for dNLR suggested that high pretreatment dNLR was related to poor OS (HR = 1.55, 95%CI = 1.33–1.80, p < 0.001) and PFS (HR = 1.33, 95%CI = 1.16–1.54, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Both pretreatment LDH and dNLR have the potential to serve as peripheral blood biomarkers for patients with advanced NSCLC treated with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors. However, more studies on LDH are needed to evaluate its predictive value for PFS in patients with NSCLC.

Baseline tumour size is an independent prognostic factor for overall survival in PD-L1 ≥ 50% non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with first-line pembrolizumab

BACKGROUND

Advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with a PD-L1 tumour proportion score ≥ 50% can be treated with pembrolizumab alone. Our aim was to assess the impact of baseline tumour size (BTS) on overall survival (OS) in NSCLC patients treated with pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy.

METHODS

This retrospective, multicentre study included all patients with untreated advanced NSCLC receiving either pembrolizumab (PD-L1 ≥ 50%) or platinum-based chemotherapy (any PD-L1). The primary endpoint was the impact of BTS (defined as the sum of the dimensions of baseline target lesions according to RECIST v1.1 criteria) on OS.

RESULTS

Between 09-2016 and 06-2020, 188 patients were included, 96 in the pembrolizumab (P-group) and 92 in the chemotherapy group (CT-group). The median follow-up was 26.9 months (range 0.13-37.91) and 44.4 months (range 0.23-48.62), respectively, while the median BTS was similar, 85.5 mm (IQR 57.2-113.2) and 86.0 mm (IQR 53.0-108.5), respectively (p = 0.42). The median P-group OS was 18.2 months [95% CI 12.2-not reached (NR)] for BTS > 86 mm versus NR (95% CI 27.2-NR) for BTS ≤ 86 mm (p = 0.0026). A high BTS was associated with a shorter OS in univariate analyses (p = 0.009) as well as after adjustment on confounding factors (HR 2.16, [95% CI 1.01-4.65], p = 0.048). The CT-group OS was not statistically different between low and high BTS patients, in univariate and multivariate analyses (p = 0.411).

CONCLUSIONS

After adjustment on major baseline clinical prognostic factors, BTS was an independent prognostic factor for OS in PD-L1 ≥ 50% advanced NSCLC patients treated first-line with pembrolizumab.

Total tumor burden in lymphoma - an evolving strong prognostic parameter

Total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV), a new parameter extracted from baseline FDG-PET/CT, has been recently proposed by several groups as a prognosticator in lymphomas before first-line treatment. TMTV, the sum of the metabolic volume of each lesion, is an index of the metabolically most active part of the tumor and highly correlates with the total tumor burden. TMTV measurement is obtained from PET images processed with different software and techniques, many being now freely available. In the various lymphoma subtypes where it has been measured, such as diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, Hodgkin lymphoma, Follicular Lymphoma, and Peripheral T-cell lymphoma, TMTV has been reported as a strong predictor of outcome (progression-free survival and overall survival) often outperforming the clinical scores, molecular predictors, and results of interim PET. Combined with these scores, TMTV improves the stratification of the populations into risk groups with different outcomes. TMTV cut-off separating the high-risk from the low-risk population impacts the outcome whatever the technique used for its measurement and an international harmonization is ongoing. TMTV is a unique and easy tool that could replace the surrogate of tumor burden included in the prognostic indexes used in lymphoma and help tailor therapy. Other parameters extracted from the baseline PET may give an information on the dissemination of this total tumor volume such as the maximum distance between the lesions. Trials based on TMTV would probably demonstrate its predictive value.

Role of pleural and peritoneal metastasis in immune checkpoint inhibitors efficacy patients with non-small cell lung cancer: real-world data from a large cohort in France

BACKGROUND

Checkpoint inhibitors (CKI) targeting PD-1 or PD-L1 are major therapies for the treatment of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Despite numerous studies of biological biomarkers, we currently lack a marker to predict CKI primary resistance. The aim of this study was to isolate clinical markers associated with the absence of efficacy of CKI used as monotherapy in NSCLC.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of 172 patients treated with anti-PD1 or anti-PDL1 monoclonal antibodies (mAb) for advanced NSCLC at the Dijon Cancer Center. Baseline characteristics were compared using the Chi squared test between responders and non-responders. Survival curves were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the Log-rank test for univariate analysis. Cox regression models were used to determine hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Among 172 patients included, 149 (86.5%) received CKI after platinum chemotherapy. Response rate (RR) was 16%, median progression-free survival (PFS) was 2.5 months (95% CI 0.7-30 months) and median overall survival (OS) was 10 months (95% CI 0.7-46.8 months). By univariate analysis, WHO performance status ≥ 1, presence of bone, liver and pleuroperitoneal metastasis were associated with poor PFS and OS. Multivariate analysis showed that only pleuroperitoneal metastasis was independently associated with PFS and OS. Patients with pleuroperitoneal metastasis and WHO performance status ≥ 1 had a < 10% chance of yielding a benefit from CKI.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data support the hypothesis that pleuroperitoneal metastasis is a major predictive factor affecting CKI efficacy in NSCLC patients and may be used to avoid CKI monotherapy for such patients.

Potential of FDG-PET as Prognostic Significance after anti-PD-1 Antibody against Patients with Previously Treated Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

It remains unclear whether the accumulation of 2-deoxy-2-[¹⁸F]fluoro-d-glucose (¹⁸F-FDG) before the initiation of anti-programmed death-1 (PD-1) antibody can predict the outcome after its treatment. The aim of this study is to retrospectively examine the prognostic significance of ¹⁸F-FDG uptake as a predictive marker of anti-PD-1 antibody. Eighty-five patients with previously treated non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who underwent ¹⁸F-FDG-positron emission tomography (PET) just before administration of nivolumab or pembrolizumab monotherapy were eligible in our study, and metabolic tumor volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG) and the maximum of standardized under value (SUV_max) on ¹⁸F-FDG uptake were assessed. Objective response rate, median progression-free survival and median overall survival were 36.6%, 161 days and 716 days, respectively. The frequency of any immune-related adverse events was significantly higher in patients with low ¹⁸F-FDG uptake on PET than in those with high uptake. By multivariate analysis, the tumor metabolic activity by TLG and MTV was identified as an independent prognostic factor for predicting outcome after anti-PD-1 antibody therapy, but not SUV_max, predominantly in patients with adenocarcinoma. Metabolic tumor indices as TLG and MTV on ¹⁸F-FDG uptake could predict the prognosis after anti-PD-1 antibodies in patients with previously treated NSCLC.

Factors related to rapid progression of non-small cell lung cancer in Chinese patients treated using single-agent immune checkpoint inhibitor treatment

Background

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized the treatment of non‐small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). While rapid progression (RP) has been proposed as a non‐negligible pattern of response to ICIs, its definition and related factors remain unclear. This study aimed to develop a clinical definition of RP and to identify related factors.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated Chinese patients who had received an ICI as second‐line or later treatment for locally advanced or metastatic NSCLC at a single center. We defined RP as radiological progression at the first response assessment (<2 months after starting the ICI), as well as confirmation of progressive disease or cancer‐related death occurring at <3 months. The clinical outcomes were compared for patients with RP or non‐RP to identify prognostic factors.

Results

The study evaluated 74 eligible patients with detailed records regarding their ICI therapy, including 25 patients (33.8%) who had experienced RP. Relative to patients with non‐RP, patients with RP had significantly shorter median progression‐free survival (1.7 months [95% CI: 1.4–2.0 months] vs. 6.3 months [95% CI 5.2–7.3 months], P < 0.001; hazard ratio: 0.14, 95% CI: 0.08–0.25) and significantly shorter median overall survival (8.2 months [95% CI 3.0–13.4 months] vs. 22.6 months [95% CI 17.0–28.1 months], P < 0.001; hazard ratio: 0.27, 95% CI: 0.15–0.49). Multivariate analysis revealed that RP was independently predicted by the presence of ≥3 metastatic sites (P = 0.039) and a neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio of ≥3 (P = 0.044).

Conclusions

Among NSCLC patients, RP was a common response to ICI monotherapy and was associated with dramatically reduced progression‐free and overall survival. Care is needed when selecting ICI monotherapy for these patients, especially if they have ≥3 metastatic sites or a neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio of ≥3.

Key points

Significant findings of the study: Patients with rapid progression after immune checkpoint inhibitor monotherapy had poor survival outcomes. The number of metastatic sites and the neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio may independently predict treatment response in this setting.What this study adds: This is the first study to evaluate rapid progression after second‐line or later single‐agent immunotherapy in a Chinese population. Our findings may help establish effective immunotherapy strategies for NSCLC.