Association between intra-operative cardiac arrest and country Human Development Index status: a systematic review with meta-regression analysis and meta-analysis of observational studies. Anaesthesia 2021;76:1259-1273. [PMID: 33512708 DOI: 10.1111/anae.15374]

Development and validation of the Ex-Care BR model: a multicentre initiative for identifying Brazilian surgical patients at risk of 30-day in-hospital mortality

BACKGROUND

Surgical risk stratification is crucial for enhancing perioperative assistance and allocating resources efficiently. However, existing models may not capture the complexity of surgical care in Brazil. Using data from various healthcare settings nationwide, we developed a new risk model for 30-day in-hospital mortality (the Ex-Care BR model).

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted in 10 hospitals from different geographic regions in Brazil. Data were analysed using multilevel logistic regression models. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), Brier score, and calibration plots. Derivation and validation cohorts were randomly assigned.

RESULTS

A total of 107,372 patients were included, and 30-day in-hospital mortality was 2.1% (n=2261). The final risk model comprised four predictors related to the patient and surgery (age, ASA physical status classification, surgical urgency, and surgical size), and the random effect related to hospitals. The model showed excellent discrimination (AUROC=0.93, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.93-0.94), calibration, and overall performance (Brier score=0.017) in the derivation cohort (n=75,094). Similar results were observed in the validation cohort (n=32,278) (AUROC=0.93, 95% CI, 0.92-0.93).

CONCLUSIONS

The Ex-Care BR is the first model to consider regional and organisational peculiarities of the Brazilian surgical scene, in addition to patient and surgical factors. It is particularly useful for identifying high-risk surgical patients in situations demanding efficient allocation of limited resources. However, a thorough exploration of mortality variations among hospitals is essential for a comprehensive understanding of risk.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT05796024.

Global neonatal perioperative mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis

STUDY OBJECTIVE

There are large differences in health care among countries. A higher perioperative mortality rate (POMR) in neonates than in older children and adults has been recognized worldwide. The aim of this study was to provide a systematic review of published 24-h and 30-day POMRs in neonates from 2011 to 2022 in countries with different Human Development Index (HDI) levels.

DESIGN AND SETTING

A systematic review with a meta-analysis of studies that reported 24-h and 30-day POMRs in neonates was performed. We searched the databases from January 2011 to July 30, 2022.

MEASUREMENTS

The POMRs (per 10,000 procedures under anesthesia) were analyzed according to country HDI. The HDI levels ranged from 0 to 1, representing the lowest and highest levels, respectively (very-high-HDI: ≥ 0.800, high-HDI: 0.700-0.799, medium-HDI: 0.550-0.699, and low-HDI: < 0.550). The magnitude of the POMRs by country HDI was studied using meta-analysis.

MAIN RESULTS

Eighteen studies from 45 countries were included. The 24-h (n = 96 deaths) and 30-day (n = 459 deaths) POMRs were analyzed from 33,729 anesthetic procedures. The odds ratios (ORs) of the 24-h POMR in low-HDI countries were higher than those in very-high- (OR 8.4, 95% CI 1.7-40.4; p = 0.008), high- (OR 7.3, 95% CI 2.2-24.4; p = 0.001) and medium-HDI countries (OR 7.7, 95% CI 3.1-18.7; p < 0.0001) but with no odds differences between very-high- and high-HDI countries (p = 0.879), very-high- and medium-HDI countries (p = 0.915) and high- and medium-HDI countries (p = 0.689). The odds of a 30-day POMR in low-HDI countries were higher than those in very-high-HDI countries (OR 6.9, 95% CI 1.9-24.6; p = 0.002) but not in high-HDI countries (OR 1.4, 95% CI 0.6-3.0; p = 0.396).

CONCLUSIONS

The review demonstrated very high global POMRs in a surgical population of neonates independent of the country HDI level. We identified differences in 24-h and 30-day POMRs between low-HDI countries and other countries with higher HDI levels.

An update on the mechanisms and risk factors for anesthesia-related cardiac arrest in children: a narrative review

The relation between surgery and anesthesia safety in children and a country's Human Development Index (HDI) value has been described previously. The aim of this narrative review was to provide an update on the mechanisms and risk factors of Anesthesia-Related Cardiac Arrest (ARCA) in pediatric surgical patients in countries with different HDI values and over time (pre-2001 vs. 2001‒2024). Electronic databases were searched up to March 2024 for studies reporting ARCA events in children. HDI values range from 0 to 1 (very-high-HDI countries: ≥ 0.800, high-HDI countries: 0.700‒0.799, medium-HDI countries: 0.550‒0.699, and low-HDI countries: < 0.550). Independent of time, the proportion of children who suffered perioperative Cardiac Arrest (CA) attributed to anesthesia-related causes was higher in very-high-HDI countries (50%) than in countries with HDI values less than 0.8 (15‒36%), but ARCA rates were higher in countries with HDI values less than 0.8 than in very-high-HDI countries. Regardless of the HDI value, medication-related factors were the most common mechanism causing ARCA before 2001, while cardiovascular-related factors, mainly hypovolemia, and respiratory-related factors, including difficulty maintaining patent airways and adequate ventilation, were the major mechanisms in the present century. Independent of HDI value and time, a higher number of ARCA events occurred in children with heart disease and/or a history of cardiac surgery, those aged younger than one year, those with ASA physical status III‒V, and those who underwent emergency surgery. Many ARCA events were determined to be preventable. The implementation of specialized pediatric anesthesiology and training programs is crucial for anesthesia safety in children.

Global anaesthesia-related cardiac arrest rates in children: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Neonates and infants have a higher perioperative risk of cardiac arrest and mortality than adults. The Human Development Index (HDI) ranges from 0 to 1, representing the lowest and highest levels of development, respectively. The relation between anaesthesia safety and country HDI has been described previously. We examined the relationship among the anaesthesia-related cardiac arrest rate (ARCAR), country HDI, and time in a mixed paediatric patient population.

METHODS

Electronic databases were searched up to July 2022 for studies reporting 24-h postoperative ARCARs in children. ARCARs (per 10,000 anaesthetic procedures) were analysed in low-HDI (HDI<0.8) vs high-HDI countries (HDI≥0.8) and over time (pre-2001 vs 2001-22). The magnitude of these associations was studied using systematic review methods with meta-regression analysis and meta-analysis.

RESULTS

We included 38 studies with 5,493,489 anaesthetic procedures and 1001 anaesthesia-related cardiac arrests. ARCARs were inversely correlated with country HDI (P<0.0001) but were not correlated with time (P=0.82). ARCARs did not change between the periods in either high-HDI or low-HDI countries (P=0.71 and P=0.62, respectively), but were higher in low-HDI countries than in high-HDI countries (9.6 vs 2.0; P<0.0001) in 2001-22. ARCARs were higher in children aged <1 yr than in those ≥1 yr in high-HDI (10.69 vs 1.48; odds ratio [OR] 8.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.96-10.81; P<0.0001) and low-HDI countries (36.02 vs 2.86; OR 7.32, 95% CI 3.48-15.39; P<0.0001) in 2001-22.

CONCLUSIONS

The high and alarming anaesthesia-related cardiac arrest rates among children younger than 1 yr of age in high-HDI and low-HDI countries, respectively, reflect an ongoing challenge for anaesthesiologists.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW PROTOCOL

PROSPERO CRD42021229919.

Characteristics and neurological survival following intraoperative cardiac arrest in a Swiss University Hospital: a 7-year retrospective observational cohort study

Introduction

Little is known about intraoperative cardiac arrest during anesthesia care. In particular, data on characteristics of cardiac arrest and neurological survival are scarce.

Methods

We conducted a single-center retrospective observational study evaluating anesthetic procedures from January 2015 until December 2021. We included patients with an intraoperative cardiac arrest and excluded cardiac arrest outside of the operating room. The primary outcome was the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). Secondary outcomes were sustained ROSC over 20 min, 30-day survival, and favorable neurological outcome according to Clinical Performance Category (CPC) 1 and 2.

Results

We screened 228,712 anesthetic procedures, 195 of which met inclusion criteria and were analyzed. The incidence of intraoperative cardiac arrest was 90 (CI 95% 78-103) in 100,000 procedures. The median age was 70.5 [60.0; 79.4] years, and two-thirds of patients (n = 135; 69.2%) were male. Most of these patients with cardiac arrest had ASA physical status IV (n = 83; 42.6%) or V (n = 47; 24.1%). Cardiac arrest occurred more frequently (n = 104; 53.1%) during emergency procedures than elective ones (n = 92; 46.9%). Initial rhythm was pre-dominantly non-shockable with pulseless electrical activity mostly. Most patients (n = 163/195, 83.6%; CI 95 77.6-88.5%) had at least one instance of ROSC. Sustained ROSC over 20 min was achieved in most patients with ROSC (n = 147/163; 90.2%). Of the 163 patients with ROSC, 111 (68.1%, CI 95 60.4-75.2%) remained alive after 30 days, and most (n = 90/111; 84.9%) had favorable neurological survival (CPC 1 and 2).

Conclusion

Intraoperative cardiac arrest is rare but is more likely in older patients, patients with ASA physical status ≥IV, cardiac and vascular surgery, and emergency procedures. Patients often present with pulseless electrical activity as the initial rhythm. ROSC can be achieved in most patients. Over half of the patients are alive after 30 days, most with favorable neurological outcomes, if treated immediately.

A correlation between anaesthesia-related cardiac arrest outcomes and country human development index: A narrative review

Studies have demonstrated gaps between developed and developing countries in the quality of surgical and anaesthesia care. The aim of this review was to provide a critical overview of documented outcomes from the 2010s of anaesthesia-related cardiac arrest events in countries with largely differing Human Development Indexes (HDIs). The HDI ranges from 0 to 1, representing the lowest and highest levels of development, respectively. Most related studies conducted between 2011 and 2020 showed low rates (from 0 to 215 per million anaesthetics) of anaesthesia-related mortality up to the 30th postoperative day in very high-HDI countries (HDI ≥ 0.800) and higher rates (from 0 to 915.4 per million anaesthetics) in high-HDI countries (HDI: 0.700-0.799). Low-HDI countries (HDI < 0.550) showed higher anaesthesia-related mortality rates, which were greater than 1500 per million anaesthetics. The anaesthesia-related mortality rates per quartile demonstrated a gap in the anaesthesia-related safety between very high- and high-HDI countries, and especially between very high- and low-HDI countries. Anaesthesia-related cardiac arrest showed similarly high survival proportions in very high-HDI countries (45.9% to 100%) and high-HDI countries (62.9% to 100%), while in a low-HDI country, the anaesthesia-related cardiac arrest survival was lower (22.2%). Our review demonstrates large gaps among countries with largely differing HDIs regarding anaesthesia-related cardiac arrest outcomes in the last decade. This finding highlights the need to improve patient safety care in low-HDI countries. Anaesthesia patient safety has improved in high-HDI countries, but there is still a persistent gap in the health care systems of these countries and those of very high-HDI countries. Our review also found a consistent improvement in anaesthesia patient safety in very high-HDI countries.