Predictive model of mortality in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

LINAS-Score: prognostic model for mortality assessment in patients with cirrhotic liver and infected ascites

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Patients with liver cirrhosis often face a grave threat from infected ascites (IA). However, a well-established prognostic model for this complication has not been established in routine clinical practice. Therefore, we aimed to assess mortality risk in patients with liver cirrhosis and IA.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study across three tertiary hospitals, enrolling 534 adult patients with cirrhotic liver and IA, comprising 465 with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), 34 with bacterascites (BA), and 35 with secondary peritonitis (SP). To determine the attributable mortality risk linked to IA, these patients were matched with 122 patients with hydropic decompensated liver cirrhosis but without IA. Clinical, laboratory, and microbiological parameters were assessed for their relation to mortality using univariable analyses and a multivariable random forest model (RFM). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression model was used to establish an easy-to-use mortality prediction score.

RESULTS

The in-hospital mortality risk was highest for SP (39.0%), followed by SBP (26.0%) and BA (25.0%). Besides illness severity markers, microbiological parameters, such as Candida spp., were identified as the most significant indicators for mortality. The Lasso model determined 15 parameters with corresponding scores, yielding good discriminatory power (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve = 0.89). Counting from 0 to 83, scores of 20, 40, 60, and 80 corresponded to in-hospital mortalities of 3.3%, 30.8%, 85.2%, and 98.7%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

We developed a promising mortality prediction score for IA, highlighting the importance of microbiological parameters in conjunction with illness severity for assessing patient outcomes.

Clinical features, microbial spectrum, and antibiotic susceptibility patterns of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in cirrhotic patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The microbial spectrum and antimicrobial resistance patterns change over time and vary across regions in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP). There is an urgent need to clarify the factors associated with in-hospital mortality in these patients.

METHODS

In this study, 377 patients with SBP and 794 patients with bacterascites were analyzed for the microbial spectrum, antimicrobial resistance profiles, and laboratory findings.

RESULTS

The most common pathogens were Escherichia coli (96, 25.5%), Staphylococcus epidermidis (55, 14.6%), and Enterococcus faecium (42, 11.1%). Multidrug-resistant (MDR) bacteria comprised 49.7% of gram-positive bacteria (GPB) and 48.8% of gram-negative bacteria (GNB). The most sensitive antibiotics were amikacin (91.5%), meropenem (89.8%) and piperacillin/tazobactam (87.6%). Extensively drug-resistant (XDR) (OR=51.457, p < 0.001), neutrophil count (OR=1.088, p < 0.001), and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (OR=1.124, p < 0.001) were independent predictive factors of in-hospital mortality in patients with SBP.

CONCLUSION

MDR represented nearly half of the bacteria isolated from patients with SBP, of which the high prevalence of extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing and Carbapenem-resistant bacteria is concerning. The presence of XDR, higher MELD score, and neutrophil count were independent predictive factors associated with higher in-hospital mortality in patients with SBP, indicating that intensive care should be provided to these patients.

Initial treatment response and short-term mortality of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

This study aimed to investigate the initial treatment response and short-term mortality of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) compared with those without HCC. A total of 245 patients with liver cirrhosis diagnosed with SBP between January 2004 and December 2020 were included. Of these, 107 (43.7%) were diagnosed with HCC. Overall, the rates of initial treatment failure, 7-day and 30-day mortality were 91 (37.1%), 42 (17.1%), and 89 (36.3%), respectively. While the baseline CTP score, MELD score, culture-positive rate, and rates of antibiotic resistance did not differ between both groups, patients with HCC had a higher rate of initial treatment failure than those without HCC patients (52.3% vs. 25.4%, P < 0.001). Similarly, 30-day mortality was also significantly higher in patients with HCC (53.3% vs. 23.2%, P < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, HCC, renal impairment, CTP grade C, and antibiotic resistance were independent factors for initial treatment failure. Furthermore, HCC, hepatic encephalopathy, MELD score, and initial treatment failure were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality, with statistically significant poor survival outcomes in patients with HCC (P < 0.001). In conclusion, HCC is an independent risk factor for initial treatment failure and high short-term mortality in patients with cirrhosis with SBP. It has been suggested that more attentive therapeutic strategies are required to improve the prognosis of patients with HCC and SBP.

Retrospective Investigation of Factors Affecting Mortality in Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis

Background

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is an important reason for mortality in cirrhosis. This study aimed to identify the factors associated with mortality in SBP.

Materials and methods

A total of 69 patients with cirrhosis and 74 with SBP attacks that occurred in this group were assessed. Demographic data, symptoms at admission, comorbidities, laboratory parameters, treatment protocols, causes of cirrhosis, scoring characteristics, cirrhosis complications, and mortality were analyzed.

Results

Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD; p = 0.001), sodium-MELD (p = 0.001), and Child-Pugh-Turcotte (CTP) (p < 0.001) scores were correlated with mortality in patients with SBP episodes. Hepatorenal syndrome (p = 0.001) and esophageal variceal bleeding (p < 0.001) related to mortality. Serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (p = 0.007), serum leukocyte (p = 0.017), and serum hemoglobin (p = 0.010) values had a statistically significant effect on mortality in multivariate regression analysis.

Discussion

The mortality rate can be reduced by identifying factors influencing death in patients with SBP episodes.

How to cite this article

Ocak T, Gülten M. Retrospective Investigation of Factors Affecting Mortality in Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis. Euroasian J Hepato-Gastroenterol 2023;13(1):5-9.

A potential novel inflammation biomarker for predicting the prognosis of decompensated liver cirrhosis

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore the prognostic value of the lymphocyte (LYM)-to-white blood cell (WBC) ratio (LWR) in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC).

METHODS

This study was conducted by recruiting 214 patients with DLC with different aetiologies (development cohort). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were used to assess the predictive accuracy of the LWR, and Youden's index was used to determine the optimal cut-off values of the LWR based on the ROC curve. Next, patients were divided into high- and low-LWR groups according to the cut-off values. Multivariate logistic analyses were performed to determine the independent predictors for the 1-, 3- and 6-month mortality. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was used to determine and visualize the association between LWR and the risk of death. We verified the predictive ability of LWR in the validation cohort of 139 patients.

RESULTS

In the development cohort, there were 16 (7.5%), 22 (10.3%) and 30 patients (14.0%) who died at 1, 3 and 6 months, respectively. The LWR was significantly lower in non-survivors than in survivors and was an independent predictor of poor outcomes. The ROC analyses with the Delong test showed that the LWR had comparable predictive power with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, neutrophil-to-LYM ratio (NLR) and Chronic Liver Failure consortium score for acute decompensated (CLIF-C ADs). RCS showed a non-linear relationship between the LWR and the risk of death at 1 and 3 months, whereas a linear relationship was observed between the LWR and the risk of death at 6 months. We verified that the decreased LWR was an independent predictor of adverse outcomes at 3-, and 6-month follow-up endpoints in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that a lower LWR is an independent factor for unfavourable outcomes and may serve as a potential novel prognostic predictor in patients with DLC.KEY MESSAGESThis study is the first report on the prognostic value of the lymphocyte (LYM)-to-white blood cell (WBC) ratio (LWR) in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC).Decreased LWR is an independent factor for adverse outcomes in patients with DLC.

Early readmissions of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in the USA: Insights into an emerging challenge

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Early readmissions of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) are often associated with poor outcomes. We compared characteristics and outcomes for index and 30-day readmissions of SBP in the USA.

METHODS

We analyzed the Nationwide Readmissions Database for 2018 to identify all adult (≥ 18 years) 30-day readmissions of SBP in the USA. Hospitalization characteristics and outcomes for index and 30-day readmissions of SBP were compared. Independent predictors of 30-day readmissions were also identified.

RESULTS

In 2018, of the 5,797 index admissions for SBP, 30% (1726) were readmitted within 30 day. At the time of readmission, the most common admitting diagnosis was alcoholic cirrhosis of the liver with ascites (11.8%) followed by sepsis due to an unspecified organism (9.2%). SBP as an admitting diagnosis was identified for only 8.3% of these 30-day readmissions. Compared with index admissions, 30-day readmissions of SBP had a lower mean age (56.1 vs 58.6 years, P < 0.001) without a statistically significant difference for gender. Furthermore, 30-day readmissions of SBP were associated with significantly higher odds of inpatient mortality (10% vs 4.9%, OR: 2.15, 95% CI: 1.66-2.79, P < 0.001), and mean total hospital charge ($85,031 vs $56,000, mean difference: 29,032, 95% CI: 12,867-45,197, P < 0.001) compared with index admissions. The presence of chronic pulmonary disease, liver failure, inpatient dialysis, and discharge against medical advice were identified as independent predictors for increased 30-day readmissions of SBP.

CONCLUSION

The 30-day readmission rate of SBP was 30% and these readmissions were associated with higher odds of inpatient mortality compared with index admissions.

Chi-square automatic interaction detector decision tree analysis model: Predicting cefmetazole response in intra-abdominal infection

BACKGROUND

Cefmetazole is used as the first-line treatment for intra-abdominal infections. However, only a few studies have investigated the risk factors for cefmetazole treatment failure.

AIMS

This study aimed to develop a decision tree-based predictive model to assess the effectiveness of cefmetazole in initial intra-abdominal infection treatment to improve the clinical treatment strategies.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included adult patients who were unexpectedly hospitalized due to intra-abdominal infections between 2003 and 2020 and initially treated with cefmetazole. The primary outcome was clinical intra-abdominal infection improvement. The chi-square automatic interaction detector decision tree analysis was used to create a predictive model for clinical improvement after cefmetazole treatment.

RESULTS

Among 2,194 patients, 1,807 (82.4%) showed clinical improvement post-treatment; their mean age was 48.7 (standard deviation: 18.8) years, and 1,213 (55.3%) patients were men. The intra-abdomせinal infections were appendicitis (n = 1,186, 54.1%), diverticulitis (n = 334, 15.2%), and pancreatitis (n = 285, 13.0%). The chi-square automatic interaction detector decision tree analysis identified the intra-abdominal infection type, C-reactive protein level, heart rate, and body temperature as predictive factors by categorizing patients into seven groups. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.71 (95% confidence interval: 0.68-0.73).

CONCLUSION

This predictive model is easily understandable visually and may be applied in clinical practice.

MCP1, CRP and Procalcitonin as Novel Diagnostic Markers in Cirrhotic Patients with Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis

Background & Aims:

The aim of the study was to evaluate serum c-reactive protein (CRP), ascitic procalcitonin (PCT) and monocyte chemotactic protein-1 (MCP-1) in the diagnosis of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) in cirrhotic patients.

Methods:

A cross-sectional analytic study that included 199 patients with decompensated cirrhosis (101 with SBP and 98 without SBP). Patients were classified according to Child-Pugh criteria. Ascitic PCT and MCP-1 were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Serum CRP, liver and renal functions were assessed.

Results:

Three markers are significantly elevated in SBP patients than those without ascites. Using the ROC curve at AUC 0.883 and a cut-off value of >186 ng/ml, the diagnostic performance of ascitic MCP-1 level was higher than CRP (AUC 0.562) and ascitic fluid procalcitonin (AUC 0.751) in the diagnosis of SBP. The sensitivity and specificity were 86.15% and 79.59% at the cutoff of 186 ng/ml for MCP-1, 65.4 and 75.5 at ≥ 1 ng/ml for PCT, and 52.5 and 64.3, respectively for at 11.2 mg/dl CRP.

Conclusion:

Ascitic MCP-1 has a better diagnostic value with higher sensitivity and specificity in diagnosis SBP compared to CRP and procalcitonin which has higher diagnostic accuracy than CRP. Further studies with a large number will be necessary to evaluate the usefulness of these markers in diagnosis, follow-up and relation to morbidity and mortality of SBP patients.

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis: a prospective Greek multicenter study of its epidemiology, microbiology, and outcomes

Background

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is an ominous complication of decompensated cirrhosis. This study aimed to assess several epidemiological, clinical, microbiological and outcome characteristics in Greek patients with SBP, as no solid representative nationwide data of this type was available.

Methods

During a 3-year period, 77 consecutive patients with SBP (61 male; median age: 67 years; model for end-stage liver disease [MELD] score: 20), diagnosed and followed in 5 tertiary liver units, were prospectively recruited and studied. Various prognostic factors for disease outcome were studied.

Results

Thirty-eight patients had alcohol-related cirrhosis, 17 viral hepatitis, 6 non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, 6 autoimmune liver diseases, and 10 cryptogenic cirrhosis. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was present in 23 (29.9%), whereas 10 (13%) had portal vein thrombosis. The first SBP episode at baseline was community-acquired in 53 (68.8%), while in 24 (31.1%) was hospital-acquired, with predominant symptoms abdominal pain and encephalopathy. A positive ascitic culture was documented in 36% of patients in the initial episode, with almost equal gram (+) and gram (-) pathogens, including 3 multidrug-resistant pathogens. Significant factors for 6-month survival were: higher MELD score, previous b-blocker use, lower serum albumin, higher lactate on admission and need for vasopressors, while factors for 12-month survival were MELD score and lactate. For overall survival, higher MELD score and lactate along with HCC presence were negative predictive factors.

Conclusions

MELD score, lactate, albumin, HCC and treatment with vasopressors were predictive of survival in SBP patients. In hospital-acquired SBP the prevalence of difficult-to-treat pathogens was higher.

Predictors of Short-Term Mortality Following First Episode of Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis in Hospitalized Cirrhotic Patients

Background and aims

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is an important cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with cirrhosis. This study aimed to identify the factors impacting morbidity and short-term mortality in a cohort of patients with cirrhosis following an index episode of SBP.

Methods

In a retrospective study of hospitalized cirrhotic cohort, 333 patient records were reviewed. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory, as well as radiological characteristics of the patient population were analyzed on day 1 of admission. The diagnosis of cirrhosis was based on the combination of laboratory, clinical, and radiological features. The diagnosis of SBP was established by abdominal paracentesis in the presence of cellular, biochemical, and microbiological features consistent with SBP. All independent variables were analyzed to generate a predictive model of mortality by using the Cox proportional hazards regression analysis (adjusted for age and gender).

Results

A total of 61 cirrhotic patients with ascites and a first episode of SBP were identified. The overall mortality among hospitalized patients was 19.7% and was associated with longer length of stay (12.6 vs. 7.6 days; p=0.01). Patient cohorts with multiple antibiotic resistant bacteria as a cause of SBP had a significantly higher mortality compared to those with other bacterial phenotypes (p=0.03). Multivariate analyses showed that a model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (hazard ratio [HR]=1.29; 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.92; p=0.023), Child-Turcotte-Pugh score (HR=1.23; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.82; p=0.027), and acute kidney injury (HR=2.09; 95% CI: 1.41 to 3.47; p=0.01) were the predictors of mortality from SBP.

Conclusion

SBP predicts in-hospital mortality in cirrhotic patients. In addition to multiple antibiotic resistant bacteria, thresholds of both hepatic and renal injury independently predict adverse outcomes.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Model for One-year Survival of Cirrhosis Patients with First-ever Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is one of the leading causes of death in patients with liver cirrhosis. We aimed to establish a prognostic model to evaluate the 1-year survival of cirrhosis patients after the first episode of SBP.

METHODS

A prognostic model was developed based on a retrospective derivation cohort of 309 cirrhosis patients with first-ever SBP and was validated in a separate validation cohort of 141 patients. We used Uno's concordance, calibration curve, and decision curve (DCA) analysis to evaluate the discrimination, calibration, and clinical net benefit of the model.

RESULTS

A total of 59 (19.1%) patients in the derivation cohort and 42 (29.8%) patients in the validation cohort died over the course of 1 year. A prognostic model in nomogram form was developed with predictors including age [hazard ratio (HR): 1.25; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.92-1.71], total serum bilirubin (HR: 1.66; 95% CI: 1.28-2.14), serum sodium (HR: 0.94; 95% CI: 0.90-0.98), history of hypertension (HR: 2.52; 95% CI: 1.44-4.41) and hepatic encephalopathy (HR: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.13-3.73). The nomogram had a higher concordance (0.79) compared with the model end-stage liver disease (0.67) or Child-Turcotte-Pugh (0.71) score. The nomogram also showed acceptable calibration (calibration slope, 1.12; Bier score, 0.15±0.21) and optimal clinical net benefit in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

This prediction model developed based on characteristics of first-ever SBP patients may benefit the prediction of patients' 1-year survival.

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in patients with cirrhosis: incidence, outcomes, and treatment strategies

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is the most frequent bacterial infection in patients with cirrhosis. The reported incidence varies between 7% and 30% in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and ascites, representing one of their main complications. Outcomes in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis are poor since acute kidney injury, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and death occur in as much as 54%, 60%, and 40% of the patients, respectively, at midterm. Early antibiotic treatment of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is crucial. However, the landscape of microbiological resistance is continuously changing, with an increasing spread of multidrug-resistant organisms that make its current management more challenging. Thus, the selection of the empirical antibiotic treatment should be guided by the severity and location where the infection was acquired, the risk factors for multidrug-resistant organisms, and the available information on the local expected bacteriology. The use of albumin as a complementary therapy for selected high-risk patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is recommended in addition to antibiotics. Even though antibiotic prophylaxis has proven to be effective to prevent spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, a careful selection of high-risk candidates is crucial to avoid antibiotic overuse. In this article we review the pathogenesis, risk factors, and prognosis of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, as well as the current evidence regarding its treatment and prophylaxis.

Treatment with non-selective beta-blockers affects the systemic inflammatory response to bacterial DNA in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The use of non-selective beta-blockers has been associated with lower rates of infection and reduced infection-associated morbidity in patients with cirrhosis. However, it is unknown if these drugs modify the systemic inflammatory response to circulating bacterial DNA.

METHODS

Sixty-three patients with cirrhosis were included during an episode of decompensation by ascites. Thirty of those patients were on beta-blockers. Blood samples were obtained after each patient had been in the supine position for at least 30 minutes in a quiet atmosphere. Bacterial DNA, serum cytokines, nitric oxide, and LPS were determined. Phagocytic and oxidative burst activities were determined in polymorphonuclear cells from the patients.

RESULTS

The detection rate of bacterial DNA in the blood was the same (33%) for patients not treated and treated with non-selective beta-blockers. Patients naive to non-selective beta-blockers showed significantly higher serum levels of IL6, IFN-gamma and IL10 in response to the presence of bacterial DNA. Patients treated with non-selective beta-blockers showed higher basal inflammatory activity that did not change with the presence of bacterial DNA. Monocytes and granulocytes from patients treated with non-selective beta-blockers showed a significantly increased phagocytic capacity in the presence of bacterial DNA.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with cirrhosis, chronic treatment with beta-blockers is associated with a higher unstimulated production of serum cytokines and an increased phagocytic activity in the presence of bacterial DNA.

Predicting mortality in patients with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis using routine inflammatory and biochemical markers

OBJECTIVES

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a common and high-mortality infectious complication of patients with cirrhosis. New inflammatory markers are associated with morbidity/mortality in various diseases. The aim of our study was to find the 30-day mortality rate of SBP and their predictors.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Seventy patients with cirrhosis complicated with SBP and 55 non-SBP controls were enrolled into the study, and patients were evaluated for mortality rate and its predictors.

RESULTS

The 30-day and 3-month mortality rates in the SBP group were 26.1 and 50.7%, respectively. Mortality rates were higher in the SBP group than in the controls. Symptoms at hospital admission and cell counts in ascitic fluid made no difference in predicting 30-day mortality. Patients with SBP with high serum neutrophil counts, high neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, high C reactive protein (CRP)/albumin ratio, and high model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score had higher 30-day mortality rates. We determined optimal cutoff values of MELD scores and serum neutrophil counts for predicting 30-day mortality as 20.5 and 6850/mm, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity for the MELD cutoff value were 83.3 and 80.4%, respectively. We also followed up patients for 60 months after SBP; the patients with high inflammatory markers and MELD scores at the time of SBP diagnosis had worse survival compared with the group with lower levels.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that SBP has high 30-day mortality. MELD scores and inflammatory markers (CRP, CRP albumin ratio, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio) may be used to predict mortality in patients with SBP.

The first episode of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is a threat event in children with end-stage liver disease

OBJECTIVE

Studies on native liver survival (NLS) after the first episode of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) are rare. Our objective was to evaluate NLS in children up to 1 year after SBP.

METHODS

A historical cohort study of 18 children followed after the first episode of SBP was conducted. NLS, in-hospital mortality, causes of death, and rate of multidrug-resistant organisms were reported.

RESULTS

Biliary atresia was the most prevalent diagnosis (72.2%); all were Child-Pugh C, and the median age was 1.0 year. The probability of NLS was 77.8, 27.8, and 11.1% at 1, 3 and 6 months, respectively. At 9 months, no child had the native liver. In-hospital mortality was 38.9%, and the main causes of death were septic shock and acute-on-chronic liver failure. Escherichia coli was the predominant organism cultured. Multidrug-resistant organisms were not detected. The cumulative probability of NLS was 77.8% at 1 month, 27.8% at 3 months, and 11.1% at 6 months. At 9-month follow-up, none of children had their native liver. Ascites PMN count cell more than 1000 cells/mm, positive ascites culture, and prolonged international normalized ratio reached a significant value as predictive factors of NLS and were selected for multivariate analysis. We did not identify independent predictors of survival.

CONCLUSION

Development of SBP was a late event in children and had a high effect on NLS.

Spontaneous bacterial and fungal peritonitis in patients with liver cirrhosis: A literature review

Spontaneous bacterial (SBP) and spontaneous fungal peritonitis (SFP) can be a life-threatening infection in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) and ascites. One of the possible mechanisms of developing SBP is bacterial translocation. Although the number of polymorphonuclear cells in the culture of ascitic fluid is diagnostic for SBP, secondary bacterial peritonitis is necessary to exclude. The severity of underlying liver dysfunction is predictive of developing SBP; moreover, renal impairment and infections caused by multidrug-resistant (MDR) organism are associated with a fatal prognosis of SBP. SBP is treated by antimicrobials, but initial empirical treatment may not succeed because of the presence of MDR organisms, particularly in nosocomial infections. Antibiotic prophylaxis is recommended for patients with LC at a high risk of developing SBP, gastrointestinal bleeding, or a previous episode of SBP, but the increase in the risk of developing an infection caused by MDR organisms is a serious concern globally. Less is known about SFP in patients with LC, but the severity of underlying liver dysfunction may increase the hospital mortality. SFP mortality has been reported to be higher than that of SBP partially because the difficulty of early differentiation between SFP and SBP induces delayed antifungal therapy for SFP.

Current concepts and future strategies in the antimicrobial therapy of emerging Gram-positive spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is the most common infection in end-stage liver disease patients. SBP is defined as an ascitic fluid infection with a polymorphonuclear leucocyte count ≥ 250/mm3 without an evident intra-abdominal surgically treatable source. Several mechanisms contribute to SBP occurrence, including translocation of gut bacteria and their products, reduced intestinal motility provoking bacterial overgrowth, alteration of the gut's barrier function and local immune responses. Historically, Gram-negative enteric bacteria have been the main causative agents of SBP, thereby guiding the empirical therapeutic choice. However, over the last decade, a worryingly increasing prevalence of Gram-positive and multi-drug resistant (MDR) SBP has been seen. Recently, the microbiological spectrum of SBP seems to have changed in Europe due to a high prevalence of Gram-positive bacteria (48%-62%). The overall proportion of MDR bacteria is up to 22%-73% of cases. Consequently, empirical therapy based on third-generation cephalosporins or amoxicillin/clavulanic acid, can no longer be considered the standard of care, as these drugs are associated with poor outcomes. The aim of this review is to describe, with an epidemiological focus, the evidence behind this rise in Gram-positive and MDR SBP from 2000 to present, and illustrate potential targeted therapeutic strategies. An appropriate treatment protocol should include daptomycin plus ceftaroline and meropenem, with prompt stepdown to a narrower spectrum when cultures and sensitivity data are available in order to reduce both cost and potential antibiotic resistance development.

Spontaneous fungal peritonitis: a rare but severe complication of liver cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION AND AIM

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis is the most common infectious complication in cirrhosis. Spontaneous fungal peritonitis is rare and remains unknown. In this work, spontaneous fungal peritonitis as well as risk factors and prognosis are characterized.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective case-control study of 253 consecutive admissions by peritonitis in cirrhotic patients was carried out between 2006 and 2015. Comparison of patients with spontaneous fungal peritonitis (cases) and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis with positive microbiologic ascitic fluid culture (controls) was performed. Variables such as sociodemographic and clinical features, cirrhosis etiology, liver dysfunction scores, ascitic and laboratory parameters, invasive procedures, and prognosis were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of the 231 patients, eight (3.5%) developed spontaneous fungal peritonitis, 62.5% of cases being coinfected with bacteria. Candida spp. was isolated in 87.5% of cases, mainly Candida albicans (37.5%) and C. krusei (25.0%). Patients with spontaneous fungal peritonitis had higher ascitic fluid lactate dehydrogenase (288.4±266.6 vs. 161.0±179.5; P=0.011), blood leukocyte count (15187.5±5432.3 vs. 10969.8±6949.5; P=0.028), blood urea nitrogen (69.8±3.1 vs. 36.3±25.5; P=0.001), higher number of invasive procedures (colonoscopy: 25.0 vs. 0.8%, P=0.001; urinary catheterization: 87.5 vs. 49.6%, P=0.038; nasogastric intubation: 87.5 vs. 26.9%, P=0.001), and longer duration of hospital stay (30.0±32.9 vs. 18.9±17.0 days; P=0.031). No statistical difference was found between the two groups for Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-sodium, and Child-Pugh scores. Spontaneous fungal peritonitis was associated with a worse prognosis, particularly severe sepsis/septic shock (87.5 vs. 42.8%, P=0.023), admission in the gastroenterology intensive care unit (87.5 vs. 24.4%; P=0.001), and overall (62.5 vs. 31.9%; P=0.039) or 30-day mortality (50.0 vs. 24.4%; P=0.034), with a mean diagnosis-death time of 17.6±11.5 days.

CONCLUSION

Despite being a rare condition, spontaneous fungal peritonitis was associated with worse prognosis and higher mortality than SBP. The ascitic fluid lactate dehydrogenase, blood leukocyte count and urea nitrogen, invasive procedures, and longer admission time were independent risk factors for spontaneous fungal peritonitis.

A nomogram for predicting prognostic value of inflammatory response biomarkers in decompensated cirrhotic patients without acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Inflammation plays a vital role in liver cirrhosis progression and prognosis.

AIM

To investigate the prognostic significance of inflammatory response markers in decompensated cirrhotic patients without acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF).

METHODS

Independent predictors were identified using multivariate Cox model and then assembled into a nomogram to predict survival. Concordance index (C-index) and time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (td-ROC) analysis were adopted to evaluate and compare the performance of nomogram, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores, MELD-Na and Chronic Liver Failure-consortium score for acute decompensated (CLIF-C ADs).

RESULTS

A total of 902 decompensated cirrhotic patients with different aetiologies were enrolled, with 6-month, 1-year and 3-year mortality of 18.6%, 24.4% and 34.8%, respectively. The cut-off values for neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) determined by X-tile program were 5.7 and 1.1 respectively. Patients with NLR>5.7 or LMR≤1.1 had significantly higher mortality (P < 0.001). Independent factors derived from multivariable Cox analysis of development cohort to predict mortality were age, NLR and LMR (hazard ratio (HR): 1.064, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.045-1.084, P < 0.001; HR: 1.124, 95%CI: 1.091-1.158, P < 0.001; HR: 0.794, 95%CI: 0.702-0.898, P < 0.001, respectively). The C-indexes of nomogram were higher than that of MELD score, MELD-Na and CLIF-C ADs for predicting survival. The tdROC and decision curves showed that nomogram was superior to MELD score, MELD-Na and CLIF-C ADs. Similar results were observed in validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

The proposed nomogram with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio resulted in accurate prognostic prediction for decompensated cirrhotic patients without ACLF.