Risk Factors for Mortality and Endotracheal Intubation after Methadone Intoxication

Outcomes and Practices of Endotracheal Intubation Using the Glasgow Coma Scale in Acute Non-Traumatic Poisoning: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Proportions

BACKGROUND

Acute poisoning often results in decreased consciousness, necessitating airway assessment and management. Existing literature in the trauma setting suggests the importance of airway protection in unconscious patients to prevent complications, including aspiration. Practices for endotracheal intubation in non-traumatic acute poisoning are poorly described and variable, particularly regarding the use of a Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) ≤ 8 threshold for intubation.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis of proportions was conducted to evaluate intubation rates and outcomes in patients presenting for acute non-traumatic poisoning. Studies were excluded if the primary indication for intubation was not airway protection. We analyzed rates of intubation, mortality, and aspiration by subgrouping patients into GCS ≤ 8, GCS 9-15, or mixed GCS. Common and random-effects analysis were used, supplemented by subgroup analyses.

RESULTS

39 studies were included in the analysis, involving 15,959 patients. Random-effects pooled intubation rates varied significantly across GCS categories: GCS ≤ 8 (30.0%, I2 = 92%, p < 0.01), GCS 9-15 (1.0%, I2 = 0%, p = 0.91), and mixed GCS (11.0%, I2 = 94%, p < 0.01), p-value <0.01 for subgroup difference. Aspiration rates also varied: GCS ≤ 8 (19.0%, I2 = 84%, p < 0.01), GCS 9-15 (4.0%, I2 = 78%, p < 0.01), and mixed group (5.0%, I2 = 72%, p < 0.01), p-value <0.01 for subgroup difference. Mortality rates remained low across all groups: GCS ≤ 8 (1.0%, I2 = 0%, p = 0.62), GCS 9-15 (1.0%, I2 = 0%, p = 0.99), and mixed group (2.0%, I2 = 68%, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

The conventional "less than 8, intubate" approach may not be directly applicable to acute poisoning patients due to heterogeneity in patient presentation, intubation practices, and low mortality. Therefore, a nuanced approach is warranted to optimize airway management strategies tailored to individual patient needs.

Developing a novel prediction model in opioid overdose using machine learning; a pilot analytical study

Background and Aims

The opioid epidemic has extended to many countries. Data regarding the accuracy of conventional prediction models including the Simplified Acute Physiologic Score (SAPS) II and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II are scarce in opioid overdose cases. We evaluate the efficacy of adding quantitative electroencephalogram (qEEG) data to clinical and paraclinical data in the prediction of opioid overdose mortality using machine learning.

Methods

In a prospective study, we collected clinical/paraclinical, and qEEG data of 32 opioid-poisoned patients. After preprocessing and Fast Fourier Transform analysis, absolute power was computed. Also, SAPS II was calculated. Eventually, data analysis was performed using SAPS II as a benchmark at three levels to predict the patient's course in comparison with SAPS II. First, the qEEG data set was used alone, secondly, the combination of the clinical/paraclinical, SAPS II, qEEG datasets, and the SAPS II-based model was included in the pool of classifier models.

Results

Seven out of 32 (22%) died. SAPS II (cut-off of 50.5) had a sensitivity/specificity/positive/negative predictive values of 85.7%, 84.0%, 60.0%, and 95.5% in predicting mortality, respectively. Adding majority voting on random forest with qEEG and clinical data, improved the model sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values to 71.4%, 96%, 83.3%, and 92.3% (not significant). The model fusion level has 40% less prediction error.

Conclusion

Considering the higher specificity and negative predictive value in our proposed model, it could predict survival much better than mortality. The model would constitute an indicator for better care of opioid poisoned patients in low resources settings, where intensive care unit beds are limited.

Public health risks associated with methadone in Iran: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

There has been a marked growth in methadone maintenance treatment (MMT) in Iran in the past two decades with positive health outcomes. We conducted a systematic review of studies on the prevalence of non-prescribed methadone use, methadone use disorder, and methadone-related poisoning and mortality in Iran.

METHODS

We searched International and Iranian databases up to May 2020 and contacted relevant experts. The pooled proportions were estimated through random-effects model. Methadone-related adverse outcomes were evaluated over time.

RESULTS

Sixty-five studies were included. The pooled estimates of non-prescribed methadone use in the last 12-month were 2.7% (95%CI: 0.9-5.4) and 0.1% (95%CI: 0.03-0.2) in the male and female general population, respectively. Among people who use drugs, 8.4% reported daily non-prescribed use in 2018. Four heterogeneous studies in drug treatment centers reported the existence of treatment-seeking for methadone use disorder. Methadone was responsible for 10.4% (95%CI: 4.5-18.3) of cases of acute poisoning in adults and 16.0% (95%CI: 9.3-24.1) in children. Methadone was reported as a cause of death in 53.5% of substance-related deaths referred to the Legal Medicine Organization while being the only cause in 35.8% of all cases.

CONCLUSION

Non-prescribed use of methadone in the general population is much less than opiates and some other available prescription opioids, like tramadol. However, notwithstanding the large and successful MMT program in Iran, increasing trends in methadone-related poisoning and deaths pose serious public health concerns. There is an urgent need to explore these fatal and non-fatal poisoning cases and implement policies to curb the harms associated with methadone use.

Troponin, A Predictor of Mortality in Methadone Exposure: An Observational Prospective Study

Background

Methadone poisoning/overdose is a global public health problem. We aimed to determine whether methadone poisoning increased cardiac troponin and whether high‐sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs‐cTnI) levels predicted the need for intensive care unit admission, intubation, and mortality.

Methods and Results

This observational, prospective single‐center study was done at Loghman‐Hakim Hospital (Tehran, Iran) from June 2018 until February 2019. Patients aged >14 years admitted with a diagnosis of methadone exposure were included. Patients were excluded if they had coexisting conditions associated with elevated hs‐cTnI levels. An ECG and hs‐cTnI levels were obtained on emergency department presentation. Patients were followed up on their need for intubation, intensive care unit admission, and in‐hospital mortality. Of 245 included patients (186 [75.9%] men; median age, 33 years), most referred to loss of consciousness (210 cases, 89%). Nineteen (7.7%) patients had hs‐cTnI levels of >0.1 ng/mL (positive), and 41 (16.7%) had borderline levels of 0.019 to 0.1 ng/mL. Twenty‐three (9.3%) cases were admitted to the intensive care unit, 21 (8.5%) needed intubation, and 5 (2%) died during hospitalization. An hs‐cTnI cutoff value of 0.019 ng/mL independently predicted mortality. For optimal concomitant sensitivity and specificity, receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was conducted and showed that hs‐cTnI had an independent significant association with mortality, with a cutoff value of 0.0365 ng/mL (odds ratio, 38.1; 95% CI, 2.3–641.9; P<0.001).

Conclusions

Methadone exposure/toxicity is a newly identified cause of elevated hs‐cTnI. Values >0.019 ng/mL, and particularly >0.0365 ng/mL, of hs‐cTnI predicted mortality in our sample. Future studies should measure troponin levels in methadone maintenance treatment clients to assess the risk of myocardial injury from long‐term exposure.

Forensic Toxicology Perspectives of Methadone-associated Deaths in Tehran, Iran, a 7-year Overview

Methadone has a long history of pain relief and successful substitute for maintenance treatment in heroin and narcotic addiction. The aim of the study was to assess the trends of methadone-associated deaths in Tehran, Iran, in 2009-2015, from a forensic toxicology point of view. All methadone-associated deaths during this 7-year study period were evaluated according to demographic parameters and forensic toxicology analysis results. Results showed that 1274 cases of methadone-associated deaths were investigated during the study period. The incidence rate of methadone-associated deaths had risen 7.7 times in 2015 in comparison with 2009 (p < 0.05). The majority of cases were men (90.35%), aged from 20 to 40 years. About 80% of cases had shown positive results for other drugs and poisons in combination with methadone. Methamphetamine and tramadol were the most drugs detected in post-mortem samples. Death rates among methadone users in Tehran, Iran, increased year by year during 2009-2015. These findings raise the attention to the concomitant use of drugs with the need for changes in regulation and regulatory policy to restrict access and use of controlled drugs.

Correlation of abdominopelvic computed tomography with clinical manifestations in methamphetamine body stuffers

Little is known about methamphetamine body stuffers and correlation of clinical manifestations with imaging studies. Current study was done to determine abdominopelvic computed tomography findings and clinical manifestations in methamphetamine body stuffers. In an IRB-approved routine data base study, demographic characteristics, clinical findings, and CT results of 70 methamphetamine body stuffers were retrieved. According to the clinical manifestations, the patients were categorized into either benign- or severe-outcome group. Also, they were determined to have positive or negative CT results. In the group with positive results, number and place of the baggies were determined, as well. Results of the CT were compared between the two groups. Almost 43% of the patients had positive abdominopelvic CT results. Mean density of the packs was 176.2 ± 152.7 Hounsfield unit. Based on the clinical grounds, 57% of the patients were in the benign- and 33% were in the severe-outcome group. In the benign group, 45% of the patients had positive CTs while in the severe-risk group, this was 40% (p > 0.05). Except variables defined as severe outcome (seizure, intubation, creatinine level, aspartate aminotransferase level, creatine phosphokinase and troponin level), agitation, on-arrival pulse rate, lactate dehydrogenase, bicarbonate, base excess, loss of consciousness and hospitalization period were correlating factors. But in regression analysis, we could not find a significant variable that prognosticate severe outcome. It seems that there is no relationship between the CT findings and clinical manifestations of the methamphetamine body stuffers. Severe outcomes may be observed even in the face of negative CTs.

Suspected Methadone Toxicity: from Hospital to Autopsy Bed

High mortality rates have been reported for methadone in both adults and children. We aimed to determine the pattern of toxicity, possible underlying diseases and treatment challenges in patients referred to our centre with early diagnosis of methadone toxicity and who later died. Medical files of all methadone-poisoned patients who had been admitted to a referral centre of toxicology between March 2011 and March 2016, died during the hospital stay and sent for autopsy to Legal Medicine Organization were retrospectively evaluated. In a total of 94 patients, autopsy findings and laboratory evaluations showed that cause of death was pure methadone toxicity in 57 (60.6%). Other causes of death were ischaemic heart disease in ten, co-ingestions (toxicities including methadone) in eight, brain haemorrhage, multi-organ failure and pneumosepsis (each in four), meningitis/encephalitis in three and head trauma and other toxicities (other than methadone but including an opioid, each in two) patients. Time of cardiopulmonary arrest was significantly different between those with pure methadone toxicity and those who died due to other causes (p = 0.01). Patients who had died due to co-ingestions and other toxicities were younger (p = 0.029) and took more bolus doses of naloxone (p = 0.042). In methadone users, especially in older ages and those with trivial response to naloxone administration, loss of consciousness should not be strictly attributed to methadone toxicity. In such patients, thorough evaluation for other possible causes of loss of consciousness is mandatory.