Integer-valued functional data analysis for measles forecasting

Functional Bayesian networks for discovering causality from multivariate functional data

Multivariate functional data arise in a wide range of applications. One fundamental task is to understand the causal relationships among these functional objects of interest. In this paper, we develop a novel Bayesian network (BN) model for multivariate functional data where conditional independencies and causal structure are encoded by a directed acyclic graph. Specifically, we allow the functional objects to deviate from Gaussian processes, which is the key to unique causal structure identification even when the functions are measured with noises. A fully Bayesian framework is designed to infer the functional BN model with natural uncertainty quantification through posterior summaries. Simulation studies and real data examples demonstrate the practical utility of the proposed model.

A Method of L1-Norm Principal Component Analysis for Functional Data

Recently, with the popularization of intelligent terminals, research on intelligent big data has been paid more attention. Among these data, a kind of intelligent big data with functional characteristics, which is called functional data, has attracted attention. Functional data principal component analysis (FPCA), as an unsupervised machine learning method, plays a vital role in the analysis of functional data. FPCA is the primary step for functional data exploration, and the reliability of FPCA plays an important role in subsequent analysis. However, classical L2-norm functional data principal component analysis (L2-norm FPCA) is sensitive to outliers. Inspired by the multivariate data L1-norm principal component analysis methods, we propose an L1-norm functional data principal component analysis method (L1-norm FPCA). Because the proposed method utilizes L1-norm, the L1-norm FPCs are less sensitive to the outliers than L2-norm FPCs which are the characteristic functions of symmetric covariance operator. A corresponding algorithm for solving the L1-norm maximized optimization model is extended to functional data based on the idea of the multivariate data L1-norm principal component analysis method. Numerical experiments show that L1-norm FPCA proposed in this paper has a better robustness than L2-norm FPCA, and the reconstruction ability of the L1-norm principal component analysis to the original uncontaminated functional data is as good as that of the L2-norm principal component analysis.