Evaluating the predicted impact of changes to the AJCC/TMN staging system for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC): A prospective observational study of patients in South East Scotland

Comparison of staging and recurrence predictors in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer between the 7th and 8th editions of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging systems

BACKGROUND

The predictive value of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8 for recurrence in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is not known. We aimed to compare AJCC 7 and 8 regarding the differences in staging and recurrence predictors in DTC.

METHODS

Demographic, clinical (duration of disease and follow-up, the extent of surgery), laboratory (TSH, fT4, thyroglobulin, and antithyroglobulin), pathological (type of thyroid cancer, localization, multifocality, diameter, extrathyroidal extension [ETE], and lymph node [LN] metastasis), and imaging findings (sonography, and whole-body scan), and follow-up features (metastases, recurrence and/or persistence, and RAI need) were retrospectively analyzed in adult patients with DTC followed-up for at least six months. Staging was determined in accordance with AJCC 7 and AJCC 8, prediction of recurrence and persistence by ATA risk stratification, and death risk by AMES systems. The alterations in staging and recurrence predictors were analyzed.

RESULTS

A majority of study patients (N.=524) were female (N.=424) and diagnosed with papillary cancer (N.=511), the median age at diagnosis was 44. 97.89% (N.=93) of stage 2-4 patients (N.=95) in AJCC 7 were down-staged in AJCC 8. We down-staged 41 patients of 45-55 years of age into stage 1 in AJCC 8 independent of LN status. A percentage of 26.71% of patients (N.=140) did have persistence, 9.54% (N.=50) persistence at the last follow-up, and 9.54% (N.=50) had recurrence. According to AJCC 8, T4 and AMES high risk were predictors for recurrence (hazard ratio: 3.053, P=0.023; hazard ratio:2.465, and P=0.005; respectively). Both AJCC 7 and 8 were associated with recurrence (P=0.008 and P<0.001, respectively). Stage 4 in AJCC 7, and stages 3 and 4 in AJCC 8 better predicted the probability of recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that AJCC 8 better predicted the recurrence in DTC than AJCC 7. In AJCC 8, T4 tumor, AMES high risk, stages 3 and 4 predicted recurrence. The vast majority of patients with stages 2-4 in AJCC 7 were down-staged in AJCC 8.

Long-term predictive value of highly sensitive thyroglobulin measurement

OBJECTIVE

To examine the predictive value of unremarkable nonstimulated highly sensitive thyroglobulin (hsTg) measurement with regard to the results of stimulated thyroglobulin (Tg) measurement, diagnostic whole-body scintigraphy, recurrence and differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC)-related death.

DESIGN, PATIENTS AND MEASUREMENTS

We retrospectively analysed the data of all 461 (410 without anti-Tg-antibodies [TgAbs], 51 with) DTC patients who were referred to our department for treatment and follow-up care of differentiated thyroid cancer from 2004 onwards, and in whom at least one posttreatment Tg value was measured in our hospital at least 3 months after I-131 ablation.

RESULTS

In the group of TgAb-negative patients, 2.0% of patients with an unstimulated Tg < 0.1 ng/ml showed a stimulated Tg ≥ 1.0 ng/ml, whereas this happened in 77.6% with an unstimulated Tg ≥ 0.1 but <1.0 ng/ml. An unstimulated hsTg ≥ 0.1 ng/ml had a sensitivity specificity positive and negative predictive value of 90.0%, 94.1%, 77.6% and 97.6%, respectively, for a stimulated Tg ≥ 1.0 ng/ml. In TgAb-positive patients, this was 75%, 97%, 75% and 97%, respectively. An unstimulated Tg ≥ 0.1 ng/ml did not significantly discriminate with regard to the risk of DTC-related death (p = .06), but ≥1.0 ng/ml did (p = .012), as did a stimulated Tg ≥ 1.0 ng/ml (p = .029). Excluding patients with distant metastases at diagnosis nullifies this significance.

CONCLUSION

Except for patients with distant metastases, both TgAb negative and TgAb positive patients with an undetectable nonstimulated hsTg measurement have a very good prognosis. The high net present value of unstimulated hsTg testing means that further diagnostic procedures can be omitted in such patients.

Concepts of Pathological Staging and Prognosis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)/Union for International Cancer Control (AJCC/UICC) staging and American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk predication system are the best predicators of mortality and cancer recurrence, respectively, in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma, including papillary thyroid carcinoma. In ATA risk stratification of differentiated thyroid carcinomas, clinical features, nodal features, and pathological features are assessed. Many of the features are also assessed in pathological staging. The prognostic stage grouping of papillary thyroid carcinoma in AJCC/UICC depends on the age of the patients as well as the standard parameters-extent of tumor (T), lymph node status (N), and presence of distant metastasis (M). Major changes noted in the current pathological staging protocol include the cut-off age from 45-year to 55-year in grouping of patients, use of gross invasion of strap muscles instead of minimal microscopic extrathyroidal extensions as T3b and downstage of many prognostic groups such as those with lymph node metastases (without distant metastases) from Stage III to Stage II. The staging protocol have moved many patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma into good prognostic groups for better predication of patients' survival rates and to avoid unnecessary treatment. This new approach has been verified by different groups globally, although modifications could be expected in the future for better prognostic assessment in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma.

Updates on the Management of Thyroid Cancer

The diagnostic modalities, stratification tools, and treatment options for patients with thyroid cancer have rapidly evolved since the development of the American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines in 2015. This review compiles newer concepts in diagnosis, stratification tools and treatment options for patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) and anaplastic thyroid cancer (ATC). Newer developments apply precision medicine in thyroid cancer patients to avoid over-treatment in low risk disease and under-treatment in high risk disease. Among novel patient-tailored therapies are selective RET inhibitors that have shown efficacy in the treatment of MTC with limited systemic toxicity compared with non-specific tyrosine kinase inhibitors. The combination of BRAF and MEK inhibitors have revolutionized management of BRAF V600E mutant ATC. Several immunotherapeutic agents are being actively investigated in the treatment of all forms of thyroid cancer. In this review, we describe the recent advances in the diagnosis and management of DTC, MTC, and ATC, with an emphasis on novel treatment modalities.