An elevated preoperative serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level is a significant predictor for peritoneal dissemination and poor survival in colorectal cancer

A radiomics-boosted deep-learning for risk assessment of synchronous peritoneal metastasis in colorectal cancer

OBJECTIVES

Synchronous colorectal cancer peritoneal metastasis (CRPM) has a poor prognosis. This study aimed to create a radiomics-boosted deep learning model by PET/CT image for risk assessment of synchronous CRPM.

METHODS

A total of 220 colorectal cancer (CRC) cases were enrolled in this study. We mapped the feature maps (Radiomic feature maps (RFMs)) of radiomic features across CT and PET image patches by a 2D sliding kernel. Based on ResNet50, a radiomics-boosted deep learning model was trained using PET/CT image patches and RFMs. Besides that, we explored whether the peritumoral region contributes to the assessment of CRPM. In this study, the performance of each model was evaluated by the area under the curves (AUC).

RESULTS

The AUCs of the radiomics-boosted deep learning model in the training, internal, external, and all validation datasets were 0.926 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.874-0.978), 0.897 (95% CI: 0.801-0.994), 0.885 (95% CI: 0.795-0.975), and 0.889 (95% CI: 0.823-0.954), respectively. This model exhibited consistency in the calibration curve, the Delong test and IDI identified it as the most predictive model.

CONCLUSIONS

The radiomics-boosted deep learning model showed superior estimated performance in preoperative prediction of synchronous CRPM from pre-treatment PET/CT, offering potential assistance in the development of more personalized treatment methods and follow-up plans.

CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The onset of synchronous colorectal CRPM is insidious, and using a radiomics-boosted deep learning model to assess the risk of CRPM before treatment can help make personalized clinical treatment decisions or choose more sensitive follow-up plans.

KEY POINTS

Prognosis for patients with CRPM is bleak, and early detection poses challenges. The synergy between radiomics and deep learning proves advantageous in evaluating CRPM. The radiomics-boosted deep-learning model proves valuable in tailoring treatment approaches for CRC patients.

Prognostic value of dynamic changes of pre- and post-operative tumor markers in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) prognosis assessment is vital for personalized treatment plans. This study investigates the prognostic value of dynamic changes of tumor markers CEA, CA19-9, CA125, and AFP before and after surgery and constructs prediction models based on these indicators.

METHODS

A retrospective clinical study of 2599 CRC patients who underwent radical surgery was conducted. Patients were randomly divided into training (70%) and validation (30%) datasets. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified independent prognostic factors, and nomograms were constructed.

RESULTS

A total of 2599 CRC patients were included in the study. Patients were divided into training (70%, n = 1819) and validation (30%, n = 780) sets. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified age, total number of resected lymph nodes, T stage, N stage, the preoperative and postoperative changes in the levels of CEA, CA19-9, and CA125 as independent prognostic factors. When their postoperative levels are normal, patients with elevated preoperative levels have significantly worse overall survival. However, when the postoperative levels of CEA/CA19-9/CA125 are elevated, whether their preoperative levels are elevated or not has no significance for prognosis. Two nomogram models were developed, and Model I, which included CEA, CA19-9, and CA125 groups, demonstrated the best performance in both training and validation sets.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the significant predictive value of dynamic changes in tumor markers CEA, CA19-9, and CA125 before and after CRC surgery. Incorporating these markers into a nomogram prediction model improves prognostic accuracy, enabling clinicians to better assess patients' conditions and develop personalized treatment plans.

The rare circulating tumor microemboli as a biomarker contributes to predicting early colorectal cancer recurrences after medical treatment

Early prognosis of cancer recurrence remains difficult partially due to insufficient and ineffective screening biomarkers or regimes. This study evaluated the rare circulating tumor microemboli (CTM) from liquid biopsy individually and together with circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and serum CEA/CA19-9 in a panel, on early prediction of colorectal cancer (CRC) recurrence. Stained CTCs/CTM were detected by a microfluidic chip-based automatic rare-cell imaging platform. ROC, AUC, Kaplan-Meier survival, and Cox proportional hazard models regarding 4 selected biomarkers were analyzed. The relative risk, odds ratio, predictive accuracy, and positive/negative predictive value of biomarkers individually and in combination, to predict CRC recurrence were assessed and preliminarily validated. The EpCAM+Hochest+CD45- CTCs/CTM could be found in all cancer stages, where more recurrences were observed in late-stage cases. Significant correlations between CTCs/CTM with metastatic stages and clinical treatment were illustrated. CA19-9 and CTM could be seen as independent risk factors in patient survivals, while stratified patients by grouped biomarkers on the Kaplan-Meier analyses presented more significant differences in predicting CRC recurrences. By monitoring the panel of selected biomarkers, disease progressions of 4 CRC patients during follow-up visits after first treatments within 3 years were predicted successfully. This study unveiled the value of rare CTM on clinical studies and a panel of selected biomarkers on predicting CRC recurrences in patients at the early time after medical treatment, in which the CTM and serum CA19-9 could be applied in clinical surveillance and CRC management to improve the accuracy.

Development of a Nomogram to Predict Postoperative Peritoneal Metastasis of Colon Cancer

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine the clinicopathological and radiological risk factors for postoperative peritoneal metastasis and develop a prediction model for the early detection of peritoneal metastasis in patients with colon cancer.

METHODS

We included 174 patients with colon cancer. The clinicopathological and radiological data were retrospectively analyzed. A Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify risk factors for postoperative peritoneal metastasis. Based on these risk factors, a nomogram was developed.

RESULTS

At a median follow-up of 63 months, 43 (24.7%) patients developed peritoneal metastasis. Six independent risk factors (hazards ratio [95% confidence interval]) were identified for postoperative peritoneal metastasis: abdominopelvic fluid (2.12 [1.02-4.40]; P = 0.04), longer maximum tumor length (1.02 [1.00-1.03]; P = 0.02), pN1 (2.50 [1.13-5.56]; P = 0.02), pN2 (4.45 [1.77-11.17]; P = 0.02), nonadenocarcinoma (2.75 [1.18-6.38]; P = 0.02), and preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen levels ≥5 ng/mL (3.08 [1.50-6.30]; P < 0.01). A clinicopathological-radiological model was developed based on these factors. The model showed good discrimination (concordance index, 0.798 [0.723-0.876]; P < 0.001) and was well-calibrated.

CONCLUSIONS

The developed clinicopathological-radiological nomogram may assist clinicians in identifying patients at high risk of postoperative peritoneal metastasis.

The clinical value of a nomogram constructed from CEA, CA199, PT, FIB, tumor differentiation and TNM stage in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The accurate Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) staging of colorectal cancer (CRC) is of great guiding significance for the judgment of tumor progression and prognosis, and the formulation of treatment strategies.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to construct a recurrence risk scoring (RRS) system and prognostic prediction model to improve the accuracy of staging, prognosis prediction, and clinical decision making in resectable CRC.

METHODS

CRC patients who underwent radical resection were retrospectively enrolled into study. Multivariable Cox regression model was applied to screen for independent prognostic factors. The RRS system is composed of independent prognostic factors which was awarded 1point each. A prognostic model composed of RRS and TNM staging system (RRS-TNM model) was applied to predict postoperative recurrence.

RESULTS

TNM stage, tumor differentiation, preoperative elevated Carcinoembryonic Antigen, Carbohydrate Antigen 199, Prothrombin Time and Fibrinogen were the independent prognostic biomarkers. 173 of 540 patients had recurrence. The 5-year cumulative recurrence rate (5-y CRR) and disease-free survival (DFS) of postoperative p-TNM stage I, II, and III were 12.7% and 104.8 months, 26.5% and 89.3 months, and 55.5% and 57.3 months, respectively. The 5-y CRR and DFS of preoperative Low-risk (RRS 0-1score), Middle-risk (RRS 2-3scores), and High-risk (RRS 4-5scores) groups were 13.9% and 101.1 months, 40.9% and 75.5 months, and 70.2% and 41.1 months. The AUC (area under ROC curve) of RRS system was not inferior to that of TNM staging system (0.713 vs. 0.666; P= 0.093). The AUC (0.770) and C-index value (0.721) of RRS-TNM model were significantly better than both RRS and TNM staging system (P< 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The RRS system accurately identifies CRC patients with high-risk recurrence preoperatively. Constructing a nomogram using the RRS system and TNM staging significantly improves the accuracy of staging and prognosis prediction, which is of great clinical significance for individualized clinical treatment and follow-up of CRC.

Patterns and predictors of recurrence after laparoscopic resection of rectal cancer

Purpose

This study was designed to evaluate the patterns and predictors of recurrence in patients who underwent laparoscopic resection of rectal cancer.

Methods

Patients with rectal cancer receiving laparoscopic resection between April 2009 and March 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. The association of recurrence with clinicopathological characteristics was evaluated using multivariate analyses.

Results

A total of 405 consecutive patients were included in our study. Within a median follow-up time of 62 months, 77 patients (19.0%) experienced disease recurrence: 10 (2.5%) had locoregional recurrence (LR), 61 (15.1%) had distant metastasis (DM), and 6 (1.5%) developed LR and DM synchronously. The lung was the most common site of metastasis. Multivariate analyses indicated that involved circumferential resection margin (CRM) was the only independent predictor for LR (OR=13.708, 95% CI 3.478-54.026, P&lt;0.001), whereas elevated baseline level of CA19-9 (OR=3.299, 95% CI 1.461-7.449, P=0.032), advanced pN stage (OR=2.292, 95% CI 1.177-4.462, P=0.015) and harvested lymph nodes less than 12 (OR=2.418, 95% CI 1.245-4.695, P=0.009) were independently associated with DM. Patients receiving salvage surgery showed superior 3-year survival compared with palliative treatment after relapse (90.9% vs. 20.5%; P=0.017). The estimated 5-year DFS and CSS for the entire cohort was 80.2% and 83.1%, respectively.

Conclusions

DM was more common than LR after laparoscopic resection of rectal cancer, and there were several clinicopathological factors related to LR and DM. Involved CRM and suboptimal lymph node yield were adverse surgery-related factors of tumor recurrence, which should be paid more attention to during the operation.

A nomogram for predicting 10-year cancer specific survival in patients with pathological T3N0M0 rectal cancer

Background

The pathological T3N0M0 (pT3N0M0) rectal cancer is the earliest stage and has the best prognosis in the locally advanced rectal cancer, but the optimal treatment remains controversial. A reliable prognostic model is needed to discriminate the high-risk patients from the low-risk patients, and optimize adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) treatment decisions by predicting the likelihood of ACT benefit for the target population.

Patients and methods

We gathered and analyzed 276 patients in Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center from March 2005 to December 2011. All patients underwent total mesorectal excision (TME), without preoperative therapy, and were pathologically proven pT3N0M0 rectal cancer with negative circumferential resection margin (CRM). LASSO regression model was used for variable selection and risk factor prediction. Multivariable cox regression was used to develop the predicting model. Optimum cut-off values were determined using X-Tile plot analysis. The 10-fold cross-validation was adopted to validate the model. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated with its calibration, discrimination and clinical usefulness.

Results

A total of 188 patients (68.1%) had ACT and no patients had adjuvant radiotherapy. Age, monocyte percentage, carbohydrate antigen 19–9, lymph node dissection numbers and perineural invasion (PNI) were identified as significantly associated variables that could be combined for an accurate prediction risk of Cancer Specific Survival (CSS) for pT3N0M0 patients. The model adjusted for CSS showed good discrimination with a C-index of 0.723 (95% CI: 0.652–0.794). The calibration curves showed that the nomogram adjusted for CSS was able to predict 3-, 5-, and 10-year CSS accurately. The corresponding predicted probability was used to stratify high and low-risk patients (10-year CSS: 69.1% vs. 90.8%, HR = 3.815, 95%CI: 2.102–6.924, P < 0.0001). ACT improved overall survival (OS) in the low-risk patients (10-year OS: 91.9% vs. 83.3%, HR = 0.338, 95% CI: 0.135–0.848, P < 0.0001), while it did not exhibit a significant benefit in the high-risk patients.

Conclusion

The present study showed that age, monocyte percentage, carbohydrate antigen 19–9, lymph node dissection numbers and PNI were independent prognostic factors for pT3N0M0 rectal cancer patients. A nomogram based on these prognostic factors effectively predicts CSS in patients, which can be conveniently used in clinical practice. ACT may improve overall survival in the low-risk patients. But the benefit of ACT was not seen in the high-risk patients.

Potential Values of Circulating microRNA-21 to Predict Early Recurrence in Patients with Colorectal Cancer after Treatments

Insufficient prognosis of local recurrence contributes to the poor progression-free survival rate and death in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. Various biomarkers have been explored in predicting CRC recurrence. This study investigated the expressions of plasma/exosomal microRNA-21 (miR-21) in 113 CRC patients by qPCR, their values of predicting CRC recurrence, and the possibility to improve the prognostic efficacy in early CRC recurrence in stratified patients by combined biomarkers including circulating miR-21s, circulating tumour cells/microemboli (CTCs/CTM), and serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA)/carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9). Expressions of plasma and exosomal miR-21s were significantly correlated (p < 0.0001) in all and late-stage patients, presenting similar correlations with other biomarkers. However, stage IV patients stratified by a high level of exosomal miR-21 and stage I to III patients stratified by a high level of plasma miR-21 displayed significantly worse survival outcomes in predicting CRC recurrence, suggesting their different values to predict CRC recurrence in stratified patients. Comparable and even better performances in predicting CRC recurrence in late-stage patients were found by CTCs/CTM from our blood samples as sensitive biomarkers. Improved prognosing efficacy in CRC recurrence and better outcomes to significantly differentiate recurrence in stratified patients could be obtained by analysing combined biomarkers.

Risk factors for developing peritoneal metastases after curative surgery for colorectal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

Proactive detection and treatment strategies have achieved encouraging survival outcomes for patients with early peritoneal metastases (PM), but these costly and invasive approaches can only be applied to selected high-risk patients. This meta-analysis aimed to identify the risk factors for metachronous PM after curative surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHOD

The study was registered at PROSPERO (CRD42020219187). Databases were searched for studies comparing clinical and histopathological characteristics between patients with metachronous peritoneal metastases from colorectal cancer (pmCRC) and patients without (non-pmCRC).

RESULTS

Thirty-six studies were included. Metachronous PM were positively associated with perforation (OR 1.920; 95% CI 1.144-3.223; P = 0.014), poor differentiation (OR 2.291; 1.603-3.275; P < 0.001), T4 (OR 2.897; 1.248-6.726; P = 0.013), N1-2 (OR 3.429; 2.684-4.381; P < 0.001), mucinous adenocarcinoma (OR 4.175; 1.798-9.692; P = 0.001), obstruction (OR 4.467; 1.919-10.398; P = 0.001), synchronous ovarian metastases (OR 5.005; 1.140-21.977; P = 0.033), positive peritoneal carcinoembryonic antigen mRNA (OR 9.472; 3.643-24.631; P < 0.001), elevated serum carcinoembryonic antigen (preoperative group, OR 3.545, 1.486-8.459, P = 0.004; postoperative group, OR 13.673, 2.222-84.129, P = 0.005), elevated serum cancer antigen 19-9 (preoperative group, OR 5.281, 2.146-12.994, P < 0.001; postoperative group, OR 18.646, 6.429-54.083, P < 0.001) and positive peritoneal cytology (OR 25.884; 11.372-58.913; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

These evidence-based risk factors are conducive to designing early detection and proactive treatment strategies, enabling precision medicine.

Optimal cutoff value of preoperative CEA and CA19-9 for prognostic significance in patients with stage II/III colon cancer

PURPOSE

This unicentric, retrospective cohort study aimed to identify the optimal cutoff values of preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) for the prognosis in patients with stage II/III colon cancer.

METHODS

After excluding 43 patients with CA19-9 levels < 0.2 U/mL, 588 were included. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to determine the optimal cutoff values of CEA and CA 19-9 for disease relapse.

RESULTS

The median CEA and CA19-9 values were 3.6 (interquartile range: 2.1-7.2 ng/mL) and 14.3 (interquartile range: 8.1-30.0) U/mL, respectively. The optimal cutoff values of CEA and CA19-9 were 5.4 ng/mL and 22.4 U/mL, respectively. A multivariate analysis of relapse-free survival (RFS) showed that cancer stage, CEA, and CA19-9 were significant independent factors. The RFS of patients with stages II and III colon cancer was significantly stratified by CEA (< 5.4/ ≥ 5.4 ng/mL) and CA19-9 (< 22.4/ ≥ 22.4 U/mL). Prognostication based on the reference values (< 5.0 ng/mL for CEA and < 37.0 U/mL for CA19-9) was less significant than that based on the optimal cutoff values. Both elevated CEA and CA19-9 had no value dependency on RFS: RFS curves were similar between extremely elevated CEA (≥ 54.0 ng/ml) and intermediate CEA (5.4-54.0 ng/ml) and between extremely elevated CA19-9 (≥ 224.0 U/ml) and intermediate CA19-9 (22.4-224.0 U/ml).

CONCLUSION

The optimal cutoff values of preoperative CEA and CA19-9 for RFS were 5.4 ng/ml and 22.4 U/mL, respectively, in patients with stages II and III colon cancer. Further relapse risk stratification is possible using these values.

Predictive value of changes in the level of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

AIM

The aim of this work was to explore the predictive value of changes in the level of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and after surgery in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

METHOD

Patients with LARC who underwent nCRT and radical surgery (between 2011 and 2016) were divided into three groups according to pre-nCRT and post-nCRT CA19-9 levels as follows: normal pre-nCRT CA19-9 (normal CA19-9 group), elevated pre-nCRT and normal post-nCRT CA19-9 (normalized group) and elevated pre-nCRT and elevated post-nCRT CA19-9 (nonnormalized group). The pathological nCRT response criteria included ypCR and downstaging (ypStages 0-I). Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were analysed.

RESULTS

A total of 721 patients were identified. The normal CA19-9 group was significantly associated with ypCR (n = 159) and downstaging (n = 347) (P < 0.05). The normalized group (n = 76) had worse RFS and OS than the normal CA19-9 group (n = 622) and better RFS and OS than the nonnormalized group (n = 23) (5-year RFS 47.0% vs 66.9% vs 81.5%, P < 0.001; 5-year OS 47.0% vs 75.4% vs 85.0%, P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, CA19-9 group and ypTNM stage were independent predictors of RFS and OS. Moreover, for the 23 patients with elevated post-nCRT CA19-9 levels, the RFS and OS of patients with normalized postoperative CA19-9 levels were significantly better than those of patients with elevated postoperative CA19-9 levels (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Following nCRT, changes in the CA19-9 level are a strong prognostic marker for long-term survival, and they may be helpful in the selection of patients who prefer more conservative surgery after chemoradiotherapy.

A gut butyrate-producing bacterium Butyricicoccus pullicaecorum regulates short-chain fatty acid transporter and receptor to reduce the progression of 1,2-dimethylhydrazine-associated colorectal cancer

Gut microbes influence tumor development and progression in the intestines and may provide a novel paradigm for the treatment of colorectal cancer (CRC). Gut dysbiosis may be associated with the development and progression of CRC. Identifying the interactions between the colonic tract and gut microbiota may provide novel information relevant to CRC prevention. The present study examined the effects of butyrate-producing Butyricicoccus pullicaecorum (B. pullicaecorum) on mice with 1,2-dimethylhydrazine (DMH)-induced CRC and the microbial metabolite of B. pullicaecorum on CRC cells. Immunohistochemical staining of the mouse colon tissues and reverse transcription PCR of CRC cells were used to determine the protein and mRNA expression levels of the short-chain fatty acid (SCFA) transporter solute carrier family 5 member 8 (SLC5A8) and G-protein-coupled receptor 43 (GPR43). In CRC-bearing mice fed B. pullicaecorum, DMH-induced CRC regressed, body weight increased and serum carcinoembryonic antigen levels decreased. Notably, SLC5A8 and GPR43 were diffusely and moderately to strongly expressed in the neoplastic epithelial cells and underlying muscularis propria in the colons of the mice. In conclusion, administration of B. pullicaecorum or its metabolites improved the clinical outcome of CRC by activating the SCFA transporter and/or receptor. These results indicated that B. pullicaecorum was a probiotic with anti-CRC potential.

Preoperative prediction of peritoneal metastasis in colorectal cancer using a clinical-radiomics model

PURPOSE

To establish and validate a combined clinical-radiomics model for preoperative prediction of synchronous peritoneal metastasis (PM) in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHOD

We enrolled 779 patients (585 in the training set: 553 with nonmetastasis (NM) and 32 with PM; 194 in the validation set: 184 with NM and 10 with PM) with clinicopathologically confirmed CRC. The significant clinical risk factors were used to build the clinical model; the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm was adopted to construct a radiomics signature, which included imaging features of the primary lesion and the largest peripheral lymph node, and stepwise logistic regression was applied to select the significant variables to develop the clinical-radiomics model. We used the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and receiver operating characteristic analysis to compare the goodness of fit and the prediction performance of the three models respectively. An independent validation cohort, containing 139 consecutive patients from February to September 2018, was used to evaluate the performance of the optimal model.

RESULTS

Among the three models, the clinical-radiomics model (AUC = 0.855; AIC = 1043.2) was identified as the optimal model, with the maximum AUC value and the minimum AIC value (the clinical-only model: AUC = 0.771, AIC = 1277.7; the radiomics-only model: AUC = 0.764, AIC = 1280.5). The clinical-radiomics model also showed good discrimination in both the validation cohort (AUC = 0.793) and the independent validation cohort (AUC = 0.781).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study proposes a clinical-radiomics model created with the CT-based radiomics signature and key clinical features that can potentially be applied in the individual preoperative prediction of synchronous PM for CRC patients.

Gut butyrate-producing organisms correlate to Placenta Specific 8 protein: Importance to colorectal cancer progression

•

Genes from stools have molecular significance with CRC tumorgenesis.

•

SCFAs, the metabolites of microbiota, can suppress CRC tumorigenesis.

•

Relationship between colonic genes, gut microbiota, or their metabolites is significant.

•

Changes of PLAC8 and butyrate-producing organisms were found in stools of CRC patients.

•

Butyrate can reduce the CRC formation through regulating PLAC8 expression.

Tumor metastasis or recurrence often occurs in patients with curative resection of colorectal cancer (CRC). Placental-specific 8 (PLAC8), which has increased expression in stool, may be associated with CRC recurrence. Insights into the role of PLAC8 in CRC recurrence and its clinical significance may support to develop strategies for preventing CRC recurrence and deterioration. Clinical tissues, cell and animal models were used to clarify the roles of PLAC8 in CRC tumorigenesis, invasion, and migration. Next-generation sequencing of 16S ribosomal DNA has been used to assess the gut microbiota in stool of CRC patients. We found that PLAC8 was upregulated in tissues from patients with late-stage CRC. In our in vitro studies, PLAC8 was dynamically regulated in mitotic cells. Overexpressed PLAC8 was nucleated at the centrosome during mitosis, and therefore, PLAC8 overexpression might increase cell growth and migration (all p < 0.05). The tumorigenic and invasive effects of PLAC8 on CRC cells were also confirmed in a xenograft mouse model. We further identified reduced levels of two butyrate-producing organisms, Butyricicoccus and Prevotella spp., in stools from CRC patients. We found that butyrate downregulated PLAC8 expression and induced apoptosis in PLAC8-overexpressing cells. Our data suggests that PLAC8 gene and protein expression and dysbiosis of gut microflora, especially in butyrate-producing microorganisms, may be indicators of CRC progression.

P.R.O.P.S. - A novel Pre-Operative Predictive Score for unresectability in patients with colorectal peritoneal metastases being considered for cytoreductive surgery (CRS) and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC)

Background

Twenty to thirty percent of planned cytoreductive surgery and hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (CRS and HIPEC) procedures are abandoned intra-operatively. Pre-operative factors associated with unresectability identified previously were used to develop a Pre-Operative Predictive Score (PROPS), which was compared with current selection criteria—Peritoneal Surface Disease Severity Score (PSDSS), Verwaal’s Prognostic Score (PS) and Colorectal Peritoneal Metastases Prognostic Surgical Score (COMPASS), to determine which score provides the best prediction for unresectability.

Methods

Fifty-six patients with peritoneal metastases of colorectal origin were included. Beta-coefficient values of significant variables (p < 0.05) were determined from multivariate analysis to develop PROPS. PROPS, PSDSS, PS and COMPASS were compared using a receiver operating characteristic curve to calculate its accuracy, sensitivity and specificity.

Results

PROPS consisted of nine patient and tumour factors which were categorised into three groups: (i) poor tumour biology: previous inadequate resection, underwent multiple lines of chemotherapy and poorly differentiated or signet cell histology; (ii) heavy tumour burden: abdominal distension, palpable abdominal mass and computed tomography findings of ascites, small bowel disease and/or omental thickening; and (iii) active tumour proliferation: elevated tumour markers. Overall, PROPS achieved 86% accuracy with 100% sensitivity and 68% specificity, PSDSS achieved 85% accuracy with 100% sensitivity and 63% specificity, PS achieved 73% accuracy with 100% sensitivity and 68% specificity and COMPASS achieved 61% accuracy with 27% sensitivity and 100% specificity.

Conclusions

PROPS is more effective in predicting unresectability as compared to PSDSS, PS and COMPASS, and has the added advantage of using solely pre-operative factors.

Colorectal Peritoneal Metastases: A Systematic Review of Current and Emerging Trends in Clinical and Translational Research

Colorectal peritoneal metastases (CPM) are associated with abbreviated survival and significantly impaired quality of life. In patients with CPM, radical multimodality treatment consisting of cytoreductive surgery (CRS) combined with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy (HIPEC) has demonstrated oncological superiority over systemic chemotherapy alone. In highly selected patients undergoing CRS + HIPEC, overall survival of over 60% has been reported in some series. These are patients in whom the disease burden is limited and where the diagnosis is made at an early stage in the disease course. Early diagnosis and a deeper understanding of the biological mechanisms that regulate CPM are critical to refining patient selection for radical treatment, personalising therapeutic approaches, enhancing prognostication, and ultimately improving long-term survivorship. In the present study, we outline three broad themes which represent critical future research targets in CPM: (1) enhanced radiological strategies for early detection and staging; (2) identification and validation of translational biomarkers for diagnostic, prognostic, and therapeutic deployment; and (3) development of optimized approaches for surgical cytoreduction as well as more precise strategies for intraperitoneal drug selection and delivery. Herein, we provide a contemporary narrative review of the state of the art in these three areas. A systematic review in accordance with PRISMA guidelines was undertaken on all English language studies published between 2007 and 2017. In vitro and animal model studies were deemed eligible for inclusion in the sections pertaining to biomarkers and therapeutic optimisation, as these areas of research currently remain in the early stages of development. Acquired data were then divided into hierarchical thematic categories (imaging modalities, translational biomarkers (diagnostic/prognostic/therapeutic), and delivery techniques) and subcategories. An interactive sunburst figure is provided for intuitive interrogation of the CPM research landscape.

Construction and validation of a simple scoring system for stage III colorectal cancer recurrence (SiS-SCORE). A case control study

BACKGROUND

Stage III colorectal cancer is an indication for adjuvant chemotherapy; however, there is no definite view on the selection of regimen. If the recurrence can be predicted, it can serve as the indicator of regimen selection. The present study aimed to predict the recurrence of stage III colorectal cancer by constructing a simple scoring system.

METHODS

The information of stage III cases that underwent curative surgery was obtained from two facilities and analyzed. A scoring system was constructed from the analysis results and evaluated based on the cases from a different facility.

RESULTS

Five factors were extracted by multivariate analysis: age > 65, male, rectum, ≥pN2 and CA19-9 > 37. When these parameters were scored as 1 point each, the score was correlated with the cumulative recurrence rate. Additionally, when cases were divided into three groups (≤1 point, 2 points, ≥3 points), the 5-year recurrence rate was as follows:, ≤1 point: 33.3%, 2 points: 42.1%, ≥3 points: 78.6%. The cumulative recurrence rate of ≥3 points was significantly higher than that of ≤1 point (P < 0.001). Similar results were obtained by evaluating that cases at a different facility (P = 0.032). Both cases with 2 points were located between ≤1 point and ≥3 points, reflecting the average recurrence rate of each institution.

CONCLUSION

As the SiS-SCORE presented the same result in the facility that was different from the base facility, it can be used widely. However, a prospective study is required to prove the usefulness of the SiS-SCORE.

High Serum CA19-9 Concentration Predicts Poor Prognosis in Elderly Patients with Stage IV Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND/AIM

The optimal treatment strategy for elderly patients with stage IV colorectal cancer (CRC) remains controversial due to limited research data. The purpose of this study was to evaluate treatment results and to clarify the prognostic factors, especially poor prognosis factors, in elderly patients with stage IV CRC.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the data of 82 elderly patients (aged ≥75 years) with stage IV CRC who underwent surgical treatment at our hospital between April 2001 and March 2017. Factors that affected prognosis and the ability to undergo treatment were analyzed via multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

The median overall survival (OS) in the patients with high pretreatment serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) concentration (> 370 U/mL) was significantly worse than in those with lower serum CA19-9 concentration (0-370 U/mL) (8.5 vs. 19.2 months, p = 0.0059). In univariate analysis, age (≥80 years) (p = 0.014), performance status of 1-3 (p = 0.028), and high pretreatment serum CA19-9 concentration (p = 0.014) were significant prognostic factors for poor OS. By contrast, resection of the primary tumor (p = 0.024), chemotherapy (p < 0.0001), and resection of distant metastasis (p = 0.0005) were significant prognostic factors for favorable OS. Multivariate analysis showed that a high pretreatment serum CA19-9 concentration was an independent prognostic factor for poor OS (p = 0.01). Meanwhile, resection of the primary tumor (p = 0.033), chemotherapy (p < 0.0001), and resection of distant metastasis (p = 0.0008) were prognostic factors for favorable OS.

CONCLUSIONS

A high pretreatment serum CA19-9 concentration (> 370 U/mL) was a reliable predictive factor for poor prognosis, and aggressive treatments should be performed carefully in these patients. Moreover, various treatments, including surgery and chemotherapy, might improve OS in elderly patients with stage IV CRC.

An elevated preoperative serum calcium level is a significant predictor for positive peritoneal cytology in endometrial carcinoma

Objective

To evaluate preoperative serum calcium concentration and investigate the association between calcium level and positive peritoneal cytology in endometrial carcinoma (EC).

Methods

A total of 510 patients who were diagnosed with EC and had surgery were initially enrolled in this study at Peking University People’s Hospital between January 2012 and December 2016. Clinical characteristics and preoperative serum calcium, albumin, carbohydrate antigen (CA)125, CA19-9, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were extracted from patient records and evaluated according to postoperative peritoneal cytology. Predictive factors were assessed with Cox univariate and multivariate analyses. Factors selected from multivariate analysis results were used to build a predictive model.

Results

A total of 510 patients are identified in our database and 444 patients who fulfilled inclusion and exclusion criteria are included in this study. Univariate analysis revealed that ionized calcium concentration was closely related to positive peritoneal cytology, tumor grade and lymph-vascular space invasion (LVSI). Moreover, peritoneal cytology was significantly associated with hypertension, tubal ligation, serum CA125, CA19-9, CEA and ionized calcium level. Multivariate analysis revealed that albumin-adjusted calcium level, CA125 and tubal ligation were independent predictive factors of positive peritoneal cytology (P<0.05). A combination of ionized calcium level with the other two indexes yielded significantly great area under the curve (AUC=0.824).

Conclusions

This study enhanced the value of preoperative ionized calcium level. We also identified several potential biomarkers to predict positive peritoneal cytology in EC patients before surgery.

Prognostic value of IRF-2 expression in colorectal cancer

Interferon regulatory factor 2 (IRF-2) is known to play a pivotal role in the development and progression of several malignancies. As a crucial member of interferon regulatory factor family, the association between the expression of IRF-2 and clinical prognostic significance has not been fully explored in colorectal cancer (CRC). The purpose of our study was to investigate the expression profile of IRF-2 in CRC and to examine its association with clinical features. The expression levels of IRF-2 in 18 paired CRC and non-cancerous colorectal tissues were measured by quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) and those in 4 paired samples by Western blotting. The results showed a significant increase in IRF-2 mRNA expression and protein expression in CRC tissues compared to those in paired normal tissues. Besides, high expression of IRF-2 was significantly associated with distant metastasis (P = 0.041) and preoperative serum CEA level (P = 0.045). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that patients with high expression of IRF-2 had a significantly worse overall survival than those with low expression of IRF-2 (P = 0.006). Further multivariate analysis indicated that IRF-2 and TNM stage were independent prognostic factors for overall survival in patients with CRC. Our study primarily suggests IRF-2 as a potential prognostic biomarker in CRC.

Prognostic value of circulating endothelial cells in metastatic colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

There is urgent need for improved staging in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). In this study, we evaluated the prognostic value of circulating endothelial cells (CEC) in comparison with circulating tumor cells (CTC) in patients with mCRC amenable for potentially curative surgery.

METHODS

A total of 140 patients were enrolled prospectively. CTC and CEC were measured with the CellSearch System (Veridex, NJ, USA). Cut-off values were determined using ROC analyses. Prognostic factors were identified by Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

ROC analyses revealed ≥ 21 CEC as cut-off levels for detection, which was present in 68 (49%). CEC detection was associated with female gender (p = 0.03) only, whereas CTC detection was associated with presence of the primary tumor (p = 0.007), metastasis size (p < 0.001), bilobar liver metastases (p = 0.02), CEA (p < 0.001) and CA 19-9 levels (p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis only CEC detection (HR 1.81; p = 0.03) and preoperative CA19-9 levels (HR 2.28, p = 0.005) were revealed as independent predictors of poor survival.

CONCLUSIONS

CEC are of stronger prognostic value than CTC. Further studies are required to validate these results and to evaluate CEC as predictive biomarker for systemic therapy alone as well as in combination with other markers such as CA19-9.

High preoperative serum CA 19-9 levels can predict poor oncologic outcomes in colorectal cancer patients on propensity score analysis

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative serum CA 19-9 levels in colorectal cancer patients.

Methods

Between 2008 and 2011, 4,794 consecutive patients who underwent curative resection for colorectal cancer were analyzed. These patients were classified into 2 groups according to preoperative CA 19-9 (high CA 19-9: ≥37 ng/mL, n = 440; normal CA 19-9: <37 ng/mL, n = 4,354). We used 1:20 propensity score matching to adjust for potential baseline confounders between groups.

Results

After matching, 424 patients (10.5%) among 4,021 patients with colorectal cancer showed a high pre-CA 19-9 level (≥37 ng/mL). There were no significant differences between these 2 groups in age, sex, preoperative CEA level, or T, N, and M stage after matching. Of the 424 patients with high pre-CA 19-9, 141 (33.3%) exhibited cancer recurrence more frequently than patients with normal preoperative CA 19-9 (18.5%). Patients with an elevated preoperative CA 19-9 level showed significantly poorer survival than those with normal levels. The 5-year overall survival rate was 79.7% in the high preoperative CA 19-9 group and 91.9% in the normal preoperative CA 19-9 group (P < 0.001). The 5-year disease-free survival rate was 70.2% in the high preoperative CA 19-9 group and 82.7% in the normal preoperative CA 19-9 group (P < 0.001).

Conclusion

Patients with an elevated preoperative CA 19-9 level in colorectal cancer have a significantly poorer prognosis than those with normal levels of CA 19-9. We therefore suggest preoperative CA 19-9 level can be used as an additional prognostic indicator of poor outcomes in colorectal cancer.

Monitoring with sensitive tumor markers contributes to decision-making and better prognosis in gastric cancer patients with peritoneal recurrence

BACKGROUND

There is no evidence that monitoring tumor dynamics using sensitive tumor markers contributes to treatment decision-making and prognosis in gastric cancer patients with tumor recurrence. This study was designed to investigate the significance of tumor markers in monitoring peritoneal recurrence of gastric cancer.

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed 102 consecutive patients who developed recurrence after curative gastrectomy for gastric cancer at our institute between 2002 and 2011. They were followed intensively using tumor markers such as carbohydrate antigen 19-9 and carcinoembryonic antigen.

RESULTS

Of 102 patients who exhibited recurrence, 51 had peritoneal recurrence. These patients were divided into three groups according to the status of tumor markers at the time of recurrence. Each tumor marker was re-elevated in 28 patients (58%) (re-elevation group; REG), was continuously elevated since initial surgery in 13 patients (22%) (continuous elevation group; CEG) and was not elevated in 10 patients (20%) (non-elevation group; NEG). With regard to survival after recurrence and total postoperative survival, patients in the REG were significantly better than those in the other groups ( p = 0.001, p = 0.018, respectively). REG patients received more different types of chemotherapy regimens than NEG patients because of monitoring (p = 0.018). Multivariate analysis revealed that re-elevation of tumor markers at the time of recurrence was an independent and better prognostic factor for peritoneal recurrence (p = 0.003, hazard ratio 0.29).

CONCLUSION

Monitoring of tumor dynamics with sensitive tumor markers may contribute to the decision-making process for more promising chemotherapeutic regimens by avoiding subsequent ileus and lead to better prognosis in gastric cancer patients with peritoneal recurrence.

Molecular pathological epidemiology of colorectal cancer in Chinese patients with KRAS and BRAF mutations

An investigation of interactive effects of exogenous and endogenous factors and tumor molecular changes can lead to a better understanding of tumor molecular signatures in colorectal cancer. We here report a molecular pathological epidemiology study in a large cohort of 945 colorectal cancer patients. Mutations of KRAS (36.6%) and BRAF (3.46%) were nearly mutually exclusive. KRAS-mutated tumors were more common in female patients (odds ratio [OR] = 1.68; P = 0.0001) and never smokers (OR = 1.60; P = 0.001). Whereas BRAF-mutated tumors demonstrated no discrepancy in aspects of gender and smoking status compared with wild-type tumors. In addition, tumors with BRAF or KRAS mutations were in correlation with elevated serum level of carbohydrate antigen (CA19-9) and carcinoma embryonic antigen (CEA) and the combination of serum biomarkers and molecular mutation status may enhance the more precise risk stratification of CRC patients. Further studies are needed to define the mechanism brought about by the aforementioned epidemiologic and clinicopathologic characteristics that may help optimize cancer prevention and precision therapy.

Prognostic impact of carcinoembryonic antigen and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 in stage IV colorectal cancer patients after R0 resection

BACKGROUND

Although preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (pre-CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (pre-CA 19-9) are reportedly prognostic indicators for colorectal cancer (CRC), the prognostic roles of postoperative CEA (post-CEA) and CA 19-9 (post-CA 19-9) shortly after surgery have not been clarified in patients with curatively resected stage IV CRC. The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive abilities of post-CEA and post-CA 19-9.

METHODS

A total of 129 consecutive patients who had stage IV CRC and underwent R0 resection were retrospectively analyzed. Pre-CEA and post-CEA and CA 19-9 levels were measured within 1 mo before and 3 mo after surgery, respectively. Relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Pre-CEA was elevated (≥5.0 ng/mL) in 73.6% of the patients and remained elevated after surgery in 32.7% of the patients. Elevated post-CA 19-9 (≥50 U/mL) was observed in 9.5% of the patients. Neither elevated pre-CEA nor elevated pre-CA 19-9 was significantly associated with RFS but both elevated post-CEA and elevated post-CA 19-9 were associated with markedly reduced RFS (P = 0.0002 and P = 0.0004, respectively). When considered in combination, post-CEA and post-CA 19-9 significantly stratified RFS and was an independent predictive factor for recurrence (P = 0.0035), as was lymphatic invasion (P = 0.0015). Post-CA 19-9 was the only evident independent predictive factor for overall survival (P = 0.0336).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with stage IV CRC who underwent curative resection, the combination of post-CEA and post-CA 19-9 at 3 mo after surgery was a potent prognostic indicator for recurrence.

Long-term outcomes and prognostic factors of patients with obstructive colorectal cancer: A multicenter retrospective cohort study

AIM: To investigate the long-term oncologic outcomes and prognostic factors in patients with obstructive colorectal cancer (CRC) at multiple Japanese institutions.

METHODS: We identified 362 patients diagnosed with obstructive colorectal cancer from January 1, 2002 to December 31, 2012 in Yokohama Clinical Oncology Group’s department of gastroenterological surgery. Among them, 234 patients with stage II/III disease who had undergone surgical resection of their primary lesions were analyzed, retrospectively. We report the long-term outcomes, the risk factors for recurrence, and the prognostic factors.

RESULTS: The five-year disease free survival and cancer-specific survival were 50.6% and 80.3%, respectively. A multivariate analysis showed the ASA-PS (HR = 2.23, P = 0.026), serum Albumin ≤ 4.0 g/dL (HR = 2.96, P = 0.007), T4 tumor (HR = 2.73, P = 0.002) and R1 resection (HR = 6.56, P = 0.02) to be independent risk factors for recurrence. Furthermore, poorly differentiated cancers (HR = 6.28, P = 0.009), a T4 tumor (HR = 3.46, P = 0.011) and R1 resection (HR = 6.16, P = 0.006) were independent prognostic factors in patients with obstructive CRC.

CONCLUSION: The outcomes of patients with obstructive CRC was poor. T4 tumor and R1 resection were found to be independent prognostic factors for both recurrence and survival in patients with obstructive CRC.