Time from incident primary cancer until recurrence or second primary cancer: Risk factors and impact in general practice

Good cancer follow-up for socially disadvantaged patients in general practice? Perspectives from patients and general practitioners

One of the core principles of providing care in general practice is giving more to those who need it most. We investigate some of the complexities of this ambition in the context of cancer care for patients defined as socially disadvantaged by their general practitioner (GP). We do this by exploring how care is sought, how it is offered, and what expectations patients and GPs carry with them when receiving and providing cancer care in the Danish welfare state. We carried out semi-structured interviews with eight GPs and seven socially disadvantaged cancer patients living with different types and stages of cancer. The interviews focused on needs and challenges in cancer follow-up in general practice and were thematically coded. Drawing on theoretical concepts of morality and Nordic individualism, we point to how one of the main challenges in cancer care and follow-up is to figure out how the doctor-patient relationship should be established, practiced, and maintained. Both GPs and patients stressed the importance of the relationship, but how it should be practiced amidst social norms about being a patient, a citizen and how care-seeking should unfold seems less clear. In conclusion we argue that giving more to those who need it the most is a difficult and ill-defined task that is shaped by the cultural, social, and political expectations of both GPs and patients.

Healthcare use and fear of recurrence in adult cancer survivors at 2.5 years after a cancer diagnosis: a nationwide register study in Denmark

PURPOSE

To investigate the association between fear of cancer recurrence (FCR) and healthcare use in general practice among cancer survivors.

METHODS

We linked nationwide register data to survey data on FCR in cancer survivors at 2.5 years after a cancer diagnosis. Multiple regression models were used to analyse the association between high FCR level and quartiles of healthcare use at 18-30 months before the cancer diagnosis (habitual healthcare use) and between high FCR level and healthcare use at 18-30 months after the cancer diagnosis (survivorship healthcare use).

RESULTS

We included 1538 cancer survivors in the study. High habitual healthcare use was associated with a high level of FCR (odds ratio = 2.07 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.36-3.15)) for the 4th quartile of healthcare use compared to the 1st quartile. A high FCR score was also associated with higher healthcare use during cancer survivorship (incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 1.26 (95% CI: 1.14-1.40)). This association remained statistically significant when adjusting for habitual healthcare use (IRR = 1.20 (95% CI: 1.09-1.33)).

CONCLUSION

High healthcare use before the cancer diagnosis was associated with high FCR during survivorship. This indicates that FCR is partly explained by a general (pre-diagnostic) health concern. High FCR predicted high healthcare use during cancer survivorship, even when adjusting for habitual healthcare use.

IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS

Our results suggest that FCR in cancer survivors is triggered by a general high level of health concern, and the cancer diagnosis may further exacerbate this concern.

Second primary colorectal cancer in adults: a SEER analysis of incidence and outcomes

BACKGROUND

At present, there was no large epidemiological study exploring the actual incidence and survival of second primary colorectal cancer (spCRC). The different characteristics and survival of patients with spCRC and initial primary colorectal cancer (ipCRC) still need to be elucidated. In addition, the factors leading to different survival status of spCRC and ipCRC were still unclear. Our study plan to explore the annual incidence trend of spCRC as well as the factors influencing the occurrence and survival outcome of spCRC.

METHODS

This cohort study analyzed the data of 4680 spCRC patients and 330,937 initial primary colorectal cancer (ipCRC) patients. Whether patients had spCRC and whether spCRC patients survived or died were regarded as outcomes. The annual incidence of spCRC from 2004 to 2016 was analyzed by Jointpoint regression analysis. The truncation points were found, and the annual percentage change (APC) of each segment was calculated to explore the trend of spCRC change in the United States. Univariate and multivariable cox regression analyses were conducted to identify factors associated with the occurrence and prognosis of spCRC patients.

RESULTS

The total incidence of spCRC was decreased during 2000-2016 on the whole. The overall incidence of spCRC was lowered in both males and females despite 2013-2014, in the left colon, right colon, rectum and others. The incidence of spCRC was decreased in both 18-49 years' people and ≥ 50 years' people during 2000-2016, and the incidence of spCRC in the ≥ 50 years' people group was higher than those of 18-49 years. Insured (OR = 0.867 (0.778-0.966), initial primary site of other digestive (OR = 0.46, 95%CI: 0.42-0.50), rectum (OR = 0.74, 95%CI: 0.66-0.82), or right colon (OR = 0.73, 95%CI: 0.68-0.79), N 1 stage (OR = 0.87, 95%CI: 0.76-0.99), M 1 stage (OR = 0.49, 95%CI: 0.30-0.80), AJCC II stage (OR = 0.70, 95%CI: 0.60-0.82), AJCC III stage (OR = 0.69, 95%CI: 0.56-0.84), and radiation (OR = 0.69, 95%CI: 0.57-0.83) were associated with the risk of spCRC. At the end of follow-up, 2,246 spCRC patients were survived and 2,434 spCRC patients were dead. Patients with spCRC had poor survival probability than patients with ipCRC. Older age (HR = 1.02, 95%CI: 1.02-1.03), male (HR = 1.13, 95%CI: 1.04-1.23), Black (HR = 1.20, 95%CI: 1.06-1.35), uninsured (HR = 1.36, 95%CI: 1.16-1.59), Signet ring cell carcinoma (HR = 1.64, 95%CI: 1.19-2.25), T4 stage (HR = 1.63, 95%CI: 1.32-2.01), N2 stage (HR = 1.36, 95%CI: 1.08-1.72), M1 stage (HR = 4.51, 95%CI: 2.00-10.18), AJCC III (HR = 1.47, 95%CI: 1.08-1.98), and radiation (HR = 1.82, 95%CI: 1.43-2.33) were associated with increased risk of mortality in spCRC patients.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of spCRC was decreased except in people with initial primary tumor grade IV and those aged 15-39 years. The overall survival of spCRC patients was lower than ipCRC patients. Cancer patients with older age, high tumor grade, TNM stage, and AJCC stage should be caution to the occurrence of spCRC and timely interventions should be provided for spCRC patients to improve their outcomes.

Prior Thyroid and Nonthyroid Cancer History Do Not Significantly Alter Overall Survival in Patients Diagnosed with Anaplastic Thyroid Cancer

Background: A history of thyroid and nonthyroid malignancies has traditionally been an exclusion criterion in patients with anaplastic thyroid cancer (ATC) seeking to enroll in clinical trials. In this study, we examined the impact of prior malignancies on overall survival (OS) in patients diagnosed with ATC. Methods: In our retrospective cohort study, we identified 451 patients with ATC treated at MD Anderson between 2000 and 2019. Clinical and pathological information was obtained through chart review. Survival analyses were conducted using the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. Results: A history of clinically documented differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) was reported in 14% of patients with ATC (n = 62), most commonly papillary thyroid cancer (81%, n = 50). The median time from diagnosis of prior DTC to ATC diagnosis was 3.5 years (range: 6 months to 35 years). Concomitant DTC was found on pathology in a higher proportion of patients (52%, n = 234). A history of nonthyroid cancer was reported in 23% of patients (n = 102), where 19% (n = 87) had one, 2% (n = 10) had two, and 1% (n = 5) had three prior cancers. The median time from diagnosis of prior nonthyroid cancer to ATC diagnosis was 8 years (range: 3 months to 53 years). The most common prior nonthyroid cancers were nonmelanoma skin (28.4%), prostate (19.6%), and breast cancers (16.7%). In a subgroup analysis performed in patients with available tumor mutation information (n = 183), the frequency of detected tumor driver mutations (BRAF, RAS, TP53) was not significantly different between patients with ATC with and without a history of nonthyroid cancer. On multivariate analysis after adjusting for age and overall stage, prior DTC, concomitant DTC, and prior nonthyroid cancers, all had no significant impact on OS. Conclusions: The presence of prior malignancy does not significantly impact OS in patients with ATC. Revision of eligibility criteria for enrollment of patients with ATC into clinical trials is warranted.

Developing and Validating a Lung Cancer Risk Prediction Model: A Nationwide Population-Based Study

Lung cancer can be challenging to diagnose in the early stages, where treatment options are optimal. We aimed to develop 1-year prediction models for the individual risk of incident lung cancer for all individuals aged 40 or above living in Denmark on 1 January 2017. The study was conducted using population-based registers on health and sociodemographics from 2007-2016. We applied backward selection on all variables by logistic regression to develop a risk model for lung cancer and applied the models to the validation cohort, calculated receiver-operating characteristic curves, and estimated the corresponding areas under the curve (AUC). In the populations without and with previously confirmed cancer, 4274/2,826,249 (0.15%) and 482/172,513 (0.3%) individuals received a lung cancer diagnosis in 2017, respectively. For both populations, older age was a relevant predictor, and the most complex models, containing variables related to diagnoses, medication, general practitioner, and specialist contacts, as well as baseline sociodemographic characteristics, had the highest AUC. These models achieved a positive predictive value (PPV) of 0.0127 (0.006) and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 0.989 (0.997) with a 1% cut-off in the population without (with) previous cancer. This corresponds to 1.2% of the screened population experiencing a positive prediction, of which 1.3% would be incident with lung cancer. We have developed and tested a prediction model with a reasonable potential to support clinicians and healthcare planners in identifying patients at risk of lung cancer.

Fear of cancer recurrence at 2.5 years after a cancer diagnosis: a cross-sectional study in Denmark

PURPOSE

The aim was to investigate the characteristics of cancer survivors with high levels of fear of cancer recurrence, and how such fear is associated with their needs for care.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study was based on survey data from Danish cancer survivors at 2.5 years after a cancer diagnosis. These data were linked to nationwide register data. We used the 7-item Fear of Cancer Recurrence Inventory (FCR7) to measure fear of cancer recurrence, focussing on emotional, cognitive and behavioural reactions to such fear. The FCR7 score was dichotomised at the 75th percentile. A logistic regression model was used to analyse the associations between a high level of fear of cancer recurrence and (1) characteristics of patient and primary cancer and (2) cancer survivors' statements concerning follow-up for cancer.

RESULTS

We included 1538 cancer survivors in the study. The median FCR7 score was 18 (interquartile interval: 13-21), and 366 (23.8%) respondents had an FCR7 score of > 21, defined as a high level of fear. In the adjusted analyses, a high level of fear was associated with female sex, younger age, comorbidity, advanced tumour stage and negative statements concerning follow-up, including feeling less safe in the follow-up programme. Fear was not related to the professional background of care providers involved in cancer follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Fear of cancer recurrence was associated with female sex, younger age, comorbidity, advanced tumour stage and discontent with cancer follow-up.

Socioeconomic position and prognosis in premenopausal breast cancer: a population-based cohort study in Denmark

BACKGROUND

To investigate how socioeconomic position (SEP) influences the effectiveness of cancer-directed treatment in premenopausal breast cancer patients in terms of breast cancer recurrence and mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study nested in the ProBeCaRe (Predictors of Breast Cancer Recurrence) cohort (n = 5959). We identified all premenopausal women aged 18-55 years diagnosed with non-metastatic breast cancer and prescribed docetaxel-based chemotherapy in Denmark during 2007-2011. Population-based administrative registries provided data on SEP: marital status (married including registered partnership or single including divorced or widowed), cohabitation (cohabiting or living alone), education (low, intermediate, or high), income (low, medium, or high), and employment status (employed, unemployed, or health-related absenteeism). For each SEP measure, we computed incidence rates, cumulative incidence proportions (CIPs), and used Poisson regression to compute incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of recurrence and death. We stratified on estrogen receptor (ER) status/tamoxifen to evaluate interaction.

RESULTS

Our study cohort included 2616 women; 286 (CIP 13%) experienced recurrence and 223 (CIP 11%) died during follow-up (median 6.6 and 7.2 years, respectively). Single women had both increased 5-year risks of recurrence (IRR 1.45, 95% CI 1.11-1.89) and mortality (IRR 1.83, 95% CI 1.32-2.52). Furthermore, we observed increased 5-year mortality in women with low education (IRR 1.49, 95% CI 0.95-2.33), low income (IRR 1.37, 95% CI 0.83-2.28), unemployment (IRR 1.61, 95% CI 0.83-3.13), or health-related work absenteeism (IRR 1.80, 95% CI 1.14-2.82), but smaller or no increased risk of recurrence. These findings were especially evident among women with ER+ tumors prescribed tamoxifen. Overall analyses (follow-up max. 10 years) provided similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

Low SEP in premenopausal women with non-metastatic breast cancer was associated with increased mortality, but not always recurrence. This suggests underdetection of recurrences in certain groups. Poor prognosis in women with low SEP, especially single women, may partly be explained by tamoxifen adherence.

Lung Metastases Versus Second Primary Lung Cancers in Patients with Primary Urothelial Carcinoma of the Bladder: A National Population-Based Assessment

BACKGROUND

The work-up and diagnosis of indeterminate lung nodules at time of bladder cancer diagnosis may delay or change treatment.

OBJECTIVE

To quantify the incidence of synchronous and metachronous lung cancers in adults with bladder cancer and compare these rates to the incidence of bladder cancer metastases in the lung.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed all adults diagnosed with bladder cancer in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) registry (2010- 2015) and identified second primary lung cancers defined as being either synchronous (diagnosed within 6 months of bladder cancer diagnosis) or metachronous (more than 6 months following index bladder cancer diagnosis). The risk of second primary lung cancers were reported as a standardized incidence ratio (SIR) reflecting observed and expected case ratios.

RESULTS

A total of 88,335 patients diagnosed with bladder cancer were included. Among adults with NMIBC (n = 66,071) and MIBC (n = 18,879), 0.3% and 3.9% had bladder cancer metastatic to the lungs at diagnosis. Synchronous second primary lung cancers were diagnosed in 0.4% and 0.7% of patients with NMIBC and MIBC, respectively. Compared to the general population, the SIR for synchronous lung cancers among adults with NMIBC was 2.5 (95% CI 2.3- 2.9) and was 4.7 (95% CI 4.0- 5.6) for adults with MIBC.

CONCLUSIONS

Bladder cancer metastatic to the lung is more common in adults with MIBC compared to NMIBC. There are similar frequencies of synchronous second primary lung cancers regardless of initial bladder cancer stage.

Survival and medical costs of melanoma patients with subsequent cancer diagnoses: A South Korean population-based retrospective cohort study

Aim

Subsequent cancers (SCs) after melanoma diagnosis further increases the risks of mortality and medical costs. This population‐based analysis aimed to evaluate risk factors for SC, mortality, and medical costs of melanoma patients with SC.

Methods

A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted using a nationwide claims database during 2002‐2017 in South Korea. SC was defined as having other types of cancer diagnoses other than subsequent melanoma during‐up to 5 years after melanoma diagnosis. Melanoma patients were divided into patients with and without SC, and the overall and subgroup survival rates, the risk of developing SC, and the total medical costs were analyzed using a Kaplan–Meier method and regressions.

Results

A total of 3740 melanoma patients were included in the analysis (mean age, 62.3 ± 15.4 y; 47.2% men), and 2273 patients (1157 within 2 months, 756 after 2 months of melanoma diagnosis) had SC. Higher Charlson comorbidity index score and male sex significantly increased the risk of developing SC. Five‐year survival rate and cumulative medical costs were 62.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 60.8‐63.9) and $21,413, respectively, in all patients. Patients with SC diagnosed after 2 months showed the lowest survival rate of 47.8% (95% CI, 44.3‐51.4) and the highest costs of $27,081, showing a mortality hazard ratio of 1.65 (range, 1.46‐1.86) and a cost ratio of 1.189 (range, 1.112‐1.271) compared with those without SC.

Conclusion

This study presented survival outcomes and medical costs in melanoma patients and confirmed that SC after the first diagnosis of melanoma significantly increased disease burden in terms of mortality and medical costs.

Identification of endometrial cancer recurrence - a validated algorithm based on nationwide Danish registries

INTRODUCTION

Recurrence of endometrial cancer is not routinely registered in the Danish national health registers. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a register-based algorithm to identify women diagnosed with endometrial cancer recurrence in Denmark to facilitate register-based research in this field.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We conducted a cohort study based on data from Danish health registers. The algorithm was designed to identify women with recurrence and estimate the accompanying diagnosis date, which was based on information from the Danish National Patient Registry and the Danish National Pathology Registry. Indicators of recurrence were pathology registrations and procedure or diagnosis codes suggesting recurrence and related treatment. The gold standard for endometrial cancer recurrence originated from a Danish nationwide study of 2612 women diagnosed with endometrial cancer, FIGO stage I-II during 2005-2009. Recurrence was suspected in 308 women based on pathology reports, and recurrence suspicion was confirmed or rejected in the 308 women based on reviews of the medical records. The algorithm was validated by comparing the recurrence status identified by the algorithm and the recurrence status in the gold standard.

RESULTS

After relevant exclusions, the final study population consisted of 268 women, hereof 160 (60%) with recurrence according to the gold standard. The algorithm displayed a sensitivity of 91.3% (95% confidence interval (CI): 85.8-95.1), a specificity of 91.7% (95% CI: 84.8-96.1) and a positive predictive value of 94.2% (95% CI: 89.3-97.3). The algorithm estimated the recurrence date within 30 days of the gold standard in 86% and within 60 days of the gold standard in 94% of the identified patients.

DISCUSSION

The algorithm demonstrated good performance; it could be a valuable tool for future research in endometrial cancer recurrence and may facilitate studies with potential impact on clinical practice.

Second primary malignancies in colorectal cancer patients

The prevalence of second primary malignancies (SPMs) in the western world is continually increasing with the risk of a new primary cancer in patients with previously diagnosed carcinoma at about 20%. The aim of this retrospective analysis is to identify SPMs in colorectal cancer patients in a single-institution cohort, describe the most frequent SPMs in colorectal cancer patients, and discover the time period to occurrence of second primary tumors. We identified 1174 patients diagnosed with colorectal cancer in the period 2003–2013, with follow-up till 31.12.2018, and median follow-up of 10.1 years, (median age 63 years, 724 men). A second primary neoplasm was diagnosed in 234 patients (19.9%). Older age patients, those with early-stage disease and those with no relapse have a higher risk of secondary cancer development. The median time from cancer diagnosis to development of CRC was 8.9 years for breast cancer and 3.4 years for prostate cancer. For the most common cancer diagnosis after primary CRC, the median time to development was 0–5.2 years, depending on the type of malignancy. Patients with a diagnosis of breast, prostate, or kidney cancer, or melanoma should be regularly screened for CRC. CRC patients should also be screened for additional CRC as well as cancers of the breast, prostate, kidney, and bladder. The screening of cancer patients for the most frequent malignancies along with systematic patient education in this field should be the standard of surveillance for colorectal cancer patients.

Healthcare utilisation in general practice and hospitals in the year preceding a diagnosis of cancer recurrence or second primary cancer: a population-based register study

Background

The organisation of cancer follow-up is under scrutiny in many countries, and general practice is suggested to become more involved. A central focus is timely detection of recurring previous cancer and new second primary cancer. More knowledge on the patient pathway before cancer recurrence and second primary cancer is warranted to ensure the best possible organisation of follow-up. We aimed to describe the healthcare utilisation in the year preceding a diagnosis of cancer recurrence or second primary cancer.

Methods

This nationwide register study comprises patients diagnosed with bladder, breast, colorectal, endometrial, lung, malignant melanoma and ovarian cancer in Denmark in 2008–2016. The frequency of healthcare contacts during the 12 months preceding a cancer recurrence or second primary cancer was estimated and compared to the frequency of cancer survivors in cancer remission. The main analyses were stratified on sex and healthcare setting. Furthermore, two sub-analyses were stratified on 1) sex, healthcare setting and age group and on 2) sex, healthcare setting and comorbidity status.

Results

The study population consisted of 7832 patients with recurrence and 2703 patients with second primary cancer. On average, the patients were in contact with general practice one time per month in the 12th month preceding a new cancer diagnosis (recurrence or second primary cancer). Increasing contact rates were seen from 7 months before diagnosis in general practice and from 12 months before diagnosis in hospitals. This pattern was more pronounced in patients with cancer recurrence, younger patients and patients with no comorbidity. For instance, the contact rate ratios for hospital contacts in non-comorbid women with recurrence demonstrated 30% more contacts in the 12th month before recurrence and 127% more contacts in the 2nd month before recurrence.

Conclusions

The results show that cancer survivors are already seen in general practice on a regular basis. The increasing contact rates before a diagnosis of cancer recurrence or second primary cancer indicate that a window of opportunity exists for more timely diagnosis; this is seen in both general practice and in hospitals. Thus, cancer survivors may benefit from improvements in the organisation of cancer follow-up.