1
|
Lu J, Pan H, Xing J, Wang B, Xu L, Ye S. Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Lacunar Infarction in Patients with Hypertension. Int J Gen Med 2024; 17:3411-3422. [PMID: 39130489 PMCID: PMC11316493 DOI: 10.2147/ijgm.s467762] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/01/2024] [Accepted: 07/25/2024] [Indexed: 08/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Background A considerable proportion of hypertensive patients may experience lacunar infarction. Therefore, early identification of the risk for lacunar infarction in hypertensive patients is particularly important. This study aimed to develop and validate a concise nomogram for predicting lacunar infarction in hypertensive patients. Methods Retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 314 patients with accurate history of hypertension in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College from January 2021 to December 2022. All the patients were randomly assigned to the training set (n=220) and the validation set (n=94) with 7:3. The diagnosis of lacunar infarction in patients was confirmed using cranial CT or MRI. The independent risk factors of lacunar infarction were determined by Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multivariable logistic regression analysis. The nomogram was built based on the independent risk factors. The nomogram's discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness were evaluated by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) analysis, respectively. Results The incidence of lacunar infarction was 34.50% and 33.00% in the training and validation sets, respectively. Five independent predictors were made up of the nomogram, including age (OR=1.142, 95% CI: 1.089-1.198, P<0.001), diabetes mellitus (OR=3.058, 95% CI: 1.396-6.697, P=0.005), atrial fibrillation (OR=3.103, 95% CI: 1.328-7.250, P=0.009), duration of hypertension (OR=1.130, 95% CI: 1.045-1.222, P=0.002), and low-density lipoprotein (OR=2.147, 95% CI: 1.250-3.688, P=0.006). The discrimination with area under the curve (AUC) was 0.847 (95% CI: 0.789-0.905) in the training set and was a slight increase to 0.907 (95% CI: 0.838-0.976) in the validation set. The calibration curve showed high coherence between the predicted and actual probability of lacunar infarction. Moreover, the DCA analysis indicated that the nomogram had a higher overall net benefit of the threshold probability range in both two sets. Conclusion Age, diabetes mellitus, atrial fibrillation, duration of hypertension, and low-density lipoprotein were significant predictors of lacunar infarction in hypertensive patients. The nomogram based on the clinical data was constructed, which was a useful visualized tool for clinicians to assess the risk of the lacunar infarction in hypertensive patients.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jun Lu
- Emergency Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
| | - Huiqing Pan
- Emergency Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
| | - Jingjing Xing
- Emergency Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
| | - Bing Wang
- Emergency Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
| | - Li Xu
- Neurology Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
| | - Sheng Ye
- Emergency Department, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
- School of Clinical Medicine, Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, People’s Republic of China
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Cuspidi C, Gherbesi E, Sala C, Tadic M. Sex, gender, and subclinical hypertensiveorgan damage-heart. J Hum Hypertens 2023; 37:626-633. [PMID: 36030347 DOI: 10.1038/s41371-022-00750-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2022] [Revised: 08/01/2022] [Accepted: 08/16/2022] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
Hypertension-mediated organ damage (HMOD) at cardiac level include a variety of abnormal phenotypes of recognized adverse prognostic value. Although the risk of cardiac HMOD is related with the severity of BP elevation, the interaction of numerous non-hemodynamic factors plays a relevant role in this unfavorable dynamic process. In particular, sex-related differences in cardiovascular (CV) risk factors and HMOD have been increasingly described. The objective of the present review is to provide comprehensive, updated information on sex-related differences in cardiac HMOD, focusing on the most important manifestations of subclinical hypertensive heart disease such as left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), LV systolic and diastolic dysfunction, left atrial and aortic dilatation. Current evidence, based on cross-sectional and longitudinal observational studies as well as real-world registries and randomized controlled trials, suggests that women are more at risk of developing (and maintaining) LVH, concentric remodeling and subclinical LV dysfunction, namely the morpho-functional features of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. It should be pointed out, however, that further studies are needed to fill the gap in defining gender-based optimal therapeutic strategies in order to protect women's hearts.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Cesare Cuspidi
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milano, Italy.
| | - Elisa Gherbesi
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, University of Milano and Fondazione Ospedale Maggiore IRCCS Policlinico di Milano, Milano, Italy
| | - Carla Sala
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, University of Milano and Fondazione Ospedale Maggiore IRCCS Policlinico di Milano, Milano, Italy
| | - Marijana Tadic
- Department of Cardiology, University Hospital "Dr. Dragisa Misovic-Dedinje", Belgrade, Serbia
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Xu W, Song Q, Zhang H, Wang J, Shao X, Wu S, Zhu J, Cai J, Yang Y. Impact of baseline blood pressure on all-cause mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation: results from a multicenter registry study. Chin Med J (Engl) 2023; 136:683-689. [PMID: 36914952 PMCID: PMC10129153 DOI: 10.1097/cm9.0000000000002627] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2022] [Indexed: 03/15/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The ideal blood pressure (BP) target for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is still unclear. The present study aimed to assess the effect of the baseline BP on all-cause mortality in patients with AF. METHODS This registry study included 20 emergency centers across China and consecutively enrolled patients with AF from 2008 to 2011. All participants were followed for 1 year ± 1 month. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. RESULTS During the follow-up, 276 (13.9%) all-cause deaths occurred. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that a systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≤110 mmHg or >160 mmHg was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (log-rank test, P = 0.014), and a diastolic blood pressure (DBP) <70 mmHg was associated with the highest risk of all-cause mortality (log-rank test, P = 0.002). After adjusting for confounders, the multivariable Cox regression model suggested that the risk of all-cause mortality was increased in the group with SBP ≤110 mmHg (hazard ratio [HR], 1.963; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.306-2.951), and DBP <70 mmHg (HR, 1.628; 95% CI, 1.163-2.281). In the restricted cubic splines, relations between baseline SBP or DBP and all-cause mortality showed J-shaped associations (non-linear P <0.001 and P = 0.010, respectively). The risk of all-cause mortality notably increased at a lower baseline SBP and DBP. CONCLUSIONS Having a baseline SBP ≤110 mmHg or DBP <70 mmHg was associated with a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality in patients with AF. An excessively low BP may not be an optimal target for patients with AF.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Wei Xu
- Emergency Center, Fuwai Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease of China, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China
| | - Qirui Song
- Hypertension Center, Fuwai Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease of China, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases of China, National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China
| | - Han Zhang
- Emergency Center, Fuwai Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease of China, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China
| | - Juan Wang
- Emergency Center, Fuwai Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease of China, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China
| | - Xinghui Shao
- Emergency Center, Fuwai Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease of China, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China
| | - Shuang Wu
- Emergency Center, Fuwai Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease of China, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China
| | - Jun Zhu
- Emergency Center, Fuwai Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease of China, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China
| | - Jun Cai
- Hypertension Center, Fuwai Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease of China, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases of China, National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China
| | - Yanmin Yang
- Emergency Center, Fuwai Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease of China, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, National Clinical Research Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Low body mass is associated with reduced left ventricular mass in Chinese elderly with severe COPD. Sci Rep 2021; 11:13074. [PMID: 34158542 PMCID: PMC8219796 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-92212-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/10/2021] [Accepted: 06/02/2021] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
There is limited information on the association of body mass index (BMI) with left ventricular (LV) remodeling corresponding to severity of reduced lung function in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Therefore, we investigated whether BMI is associated with cardiac atrial and ventricular dimensions according to severity of lung functional impairment in Chinese COPD elderly. A total of 563 hospitalized COPD patients with lung function impairment and 184 patients with non-COPD (aged 65–92 years) were collected retrospectively in a cross-sectional study in a university affiliated tertiary hospital in China. BMI and cardiac echocardiographic parameters were compared according to severity of lung functional impairment in COPD patients. BMI was 22.9 ± 3.9 kg/m2 in COPD patients, 24.0 ± 4.1 kg/m2 in non-COPD patients respectively. Reduced BMI, LV mass index, LV wall thickness and left atrial diameter, and dilated right ventricle (RV) existed in COPD patients with severe lung dysfunction as compared the COPD patients with mild to moderate lung functional reduction and non-COPD patients (P < 0.05), while there were no differences in BMI and echocardiographic parameters between the COPD patients with mild to moderate lung functional decline and non-COPD patients (P > 0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that low BMI (BMI < 18.5 kg/m2) was correlated with reduced LV mass and wall thickness, dilated RV and reduced lung function in the COPD patients with severe lung dysfunction. In conclusion, this study demonstrates that lower BMI is associated not only with dilated RV and impaired pulmonary function, but also it is related to reduced LV mass in Asian COPD elderly with severe lung dysfunction.
Collapse
|
5
|
Sun T, Xie T, Zhang A, Fan L, Xu Z, Chen X, Fan Z, Wang C. Relation between left atrial structure and lacunar infarction in patients with hypertension. Aging (Albany NY) 2020; 12:17295-17304. [PMID: 32915163 PMCID: PMC7521509 DOI: 10.18632/aging.103697] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/04/2019] [Accepted: 07/06/2020] [Indexed: 01/24/2023]
Abstract
A lacunar infarction (LACI) can cause damage to the surrounding brain tissue and place an individual at greater risk for future major stroke. LACI is associated with hypertension and hypertension is associated with left atrial enlargement. It is important to identify a high-risk patient who is more vulnerable to suffering a LACI in hypertensive group. So, we studied whether left atrium size is an independent risk predictor for LACI in hypertensive patients. We performed cross-sectional analysis of 365 patients with hypertension at Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital from January 2016 to January 2017. The results showed that left atrial diameter(LAD), left atrial volume (LAV) and the ratio of left atrial diameter to left ventricular diameter (LAD/LVD) were significantly associated with LACI in hypertensive patients. Based on the ROC curve analysis, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of LAV used to predict LACI was 0.737 (95% CI: 0.686 - 0.788), and the AUC of LAD/LVD was 0.784 (95% CI: 0.737 - 0.830). The optimal cut-off value for LAV was 30.14, and the sensitivity and specificity were 72% and 63%, respectively. The optimal cut-off value for LAD/LVD was 0.757, and the sensitivity and specificity were 77% and 70%, respectively. LAV or LAD/LVD played an important role in LACI with hypertension and could be an independent risk factor in hypertensive patients.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ting Sun
- Department of Cardiology, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China
| | - Tong Xie
- Department of Cardiology, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China,Department of Intensive Care Unit, Shanghai Xuhui District Central Hospital, Shanghai 200031, China
| | - Alian Zhang
- Department of Cardiology, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China
| | - Li Fan
- Department of Cardiology, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China
| | - Zuojun Xu
- Department of Cardiology, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China
| | - Xin Chen
- Department of Cardiology, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China
| | - Zhicheng Fan
- Department of Cardiology, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China
| | - Changqian Wang
- Department of Cardiology, Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Liu C, Li G, Laukkanen JA, Hao L, Zhao Q, Zhang J, Zhang X. Overweight and obesity are associated with cardiac adverse structure remodeling in Chinese elderly with hypertension. Sci Rep 2019; 9:17896. [PMID: 31784593 PMCID: PMC6884627 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-54359-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2019] [Accepted: 11/13/2019] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
There is limited information on the association of overweight and obesity with cardiac remodeling in elderly population. Therefore, we investigated whether overweight and obesity are associated with cardiac geometric structures and function in Chinese elderly. A total of 1183 hospitalized patients (aged 65–99 years) with primary hypertension were collected retrospectively in a cross-sectional study, and divided into underweight, normal weight, overweight and obesity patient groups according to their body mass index (BMI). Cardiac echocardiographic parameters were compared between the groups. BMI was 17.2 ± 1.2, 21.4 ± 1.2, 25.1 ± 1.2, 30.2 ± 2.6 kg/m2 in underweight, normal weight, overweight and obesity groups respectively. Aortic and left atrial diameter, interventricular septal and left ventricular (LV) posterior wall thickness, LV end-diastolic and end-systolic diameter, and indexed LV mass, and prevalence of E/A reversal were higher, while LV ejection fraction and fractional shortening were lower in elderly with overweight or obesity, as compared with whose with underweight or normal weight separately (All P < 0.05). However, multivariable regression analysis showed that overweight and obesity are independently related to increased LV wall thickness, end-diastolic diameter and mass (All P < 0.05). In conclusions, this study demonstrates that overweight and obesity are associated with increased LV wall thickness, end-diastolic diameter and mass in Asian elderly.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Cheng Liu
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Geriatrics and General Practice, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Gang Li
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Geriatrics and General Practice, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
| | - Jari A Laukkanen
- Institute of Public Health and Clinical Nutrition, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland.,Faculty of Sport and Health Sciences, University of Jyväskylä, Jyväskylä, Finland
| | - Lan Hao
- Chongqing Key Laboratory of Ultrasound Molecular Imaging, Institute of Ultrasound Imaging, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Qianping Zhao
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Geriatrics and General Practice, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Jing Zhang
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Geriatrics and General Practice, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Xu Zhang
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Geriatrics and General Practice, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
| |
Collapse
|