Whose backyard? Some precautions in choosing recipient sites for assisted colonisation of Australian plants and animals

Importance of species translocations under rapid climate change

Species that cannot adapt or keep pace with a changing climate are likely to need human intervention to shift to more suitable climates. While hundreds of articles mention using translocation as a climate-change adaptation tool, in practice, assisted migration as a conservation action remains rare, especially for animals. This is likely due to concern over introducing species to places where they may become invasive. However, there are other barriers to consider, such as time-frame mismatch, sociopolitical, knowledge and uncertainty barriers to conservationists adopting assisted migration as a go-to strategy. We recommend the following to advance assisted migration as a conservation tool: attempt assisted migrations at small scales, translocate species with little invasion risk, adopt robust monitoring protocols that trigger an active response, and promote political and public support.

Differential exposure and susceptibility to threats based on evolutionary history: how OCBIL theory informs flora conservation

Optimal conservation approaches have been proposed to differ for biota with contrasting evolutionary histories. Natural selection filters the distribution of plant traits over evolutionary time, with the current expression of traits mediating susceptibility to contemporary and often novel threats. We use old, climatically buffered, infertile landscape (OCBIL) theory to compile predictions regarding differences in exposure and susceptibility to key threats between OCBIL and young, often disturbed, fertile landscape (YODFEL) flora. Based on literature and existing data from the Southwest Australian Floristic Region (SWAFR), we evaluate evidence in support of our predictions, finding strong theoretical and empirical support for the proposition that exposure and/or impact of many threats differs between OCBILs and YODFELs. OCBILs have more exposure to land clearance from mining, whereas many YODFELs have greater exposure to land clearance from agriculture, and urban and industrial land uses, and greater overall levels of habitat loss and fragmentation. OCBIL flora are more susceptible to pathogens and extremes of fire interval than YODFEL flora, but conversely may have a greater capacity to persist in smaller populations if small populations featured in the evolutionary history of the species prior to anthropogenic fragmentation, and have substantial resistance to weed invasion. We argue that consideration of evolutionary history has an important role in informing conservation management.

Climate change-driven range losses among bumblebee species are poised to accelerate

Climate change has shaped bee distributions over the past century. Here, we conducted the first species-specific assessment of future climate change impacts on North American bumblebee distributions, using the most recent global change scenarios developed in the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). We assessed potential shifts in bumblebee species distributions with models generated using Maxent. We tested different assumptions about bumblebee species’ dispersal capacities, drawing on observed patterns of range shifts to date, dispersal rates observed for bumblebee queens, and, lastly, assuming unlimited dispersal. Models show significant contractions of current ranges even under scenarios in which dispersal rates were high. Results suggest that dispersal rates may not suffice for bumblebees to track climate change as rapidly as required under any IPCC scenario for future climate change. Areas where species losses are projected overlap for many species and climate scenarios, and are concentrated in eastern parts of the continent. Models also show overlap for range expansions across many species, suggesting the presence of “hotspots” where management activities could benefit many species, across all climate scenarios. Broad-scale strategies are likely to be necessary to improve bumblebee conservation prospects under climate change.